Cardiorespiratory fitness does not offset the increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease attributed to smoking: a cohort study.

Though evidence suggests that higher cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) levels can offset the adverse effects of other risk factors, it is unknown if CRF offsets the increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to smoking. We aimed to evaluate the combined effects of smoking status and CRF on incident COPD risk using a prospective cohort of 2295 middle-aged and older Finnish men. Peak oxygen uptake, assessed with a respiratory gas exchange analyzer, was used as a measure of CRF. Smoking status was self-reported. CRF was categorised as low and high based on median cutoffs, whereas smoking status was classified into smokers and non-smokers. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios with confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. During 26 years median follow-up, 119 COPD cases were recorded. Smoking increased COPD risk 10.59 (95% CI 6.64-16.88), and high CRF levels decreased COPD risk 0.43 (95% CI 0.25-0.73). Compared with non-smoker-low CRF, smoker-low CRF was associated with an increased COPD risk in multivariable analysis 9.79 (95% CI 5.61-17.08), with attenuated but persisting evidence of an association for smoker-high CRF and COPD risk 6.10 (95% CI 3.22-11.57). An additive interaction was found between smoking status and CRF (RERI = 6.99). Except for CRF and COPD risk, all associations persisted on accounting for mortality as a competing risk event. Despite a wealth of evidence on the ability of high CRF to offset the adverse effects of other risk factors, it appears high CRF levels have only modest attenuating effects on the very strong association between smoking and COPD risk.

Finnish sauna bathing does not increase or decrease the risk of cancer in men: A prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Evidence suggests that heat therapy can be used to prevent and treat cancer; anecdotal reports suggest passive heat therapies may increase cancer risk. Finnish sauna bathing has been linked to a reduced risk of chronic diseases, but its association with cancer risk is unknown. We aimed to assess the prospective association between frequency of sauna bathing and the risk of all-cause and site-specific cancers using the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease prospective cohort. METHODS: Baseline sauna bathing habits were assessed in 2173 men aged 42-61 years with no history of cancer. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for cancer were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models. We corrected for within-person variability in sauna bathing habits using data from repeat assessments taken 11 years apart. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 24.3 years, 588 (27.1%) all-cause cancer cases were recorded. The age-adjusted regression dilution ratio of sauna bathing frequency was 0.69 (0.62-0.76). In multivariable-adjusted analyses, the HRs (95% CIs) of all-cause cancer were 0.92 (0.76-1.11) and 0.92 (0.66-1.27) for men who had 2-3 and ≥4 sauna sessions per week, respectively, compared with men who had ≤1 sauna session per week. The non-significant findings were consistent for prostate, gastrointestinal and lung cancers on multivariate adjustment. CONCLUSION: Frequent Finnish sauna bathing is not associated with the risk of cancer in a middle-aged male Caucasian population. Further studies are required to confirm or refute these findings, particularly in women and other age groups.

Serum ß-carotene and the risk of sudden cardiac death in men: a population-based follow-up study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine whether serum concentrations of carotenoids are related to the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in middle-aged men. METHODS: The study population consisted of 1031 Finnish men aged 46-65 years of the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Risk Factor (KIHD) cohort. Serum concentrations of carotenoids were measured by high-performance liquid chromatography. The hazard ratios (HR) of serum ß-carotene, lycopene and α-carotene were estimated by using the Cox proportional hazard model after adjusting for age and other potential confounding factors. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 15.9 years a total of 59 incidents of SCD occurred. After controlling for age, systolic blood pressure, waist circumference, smoking, alcohol consumption, years of education, serum LDL cholesterol, serum hs-CRP, diabetes, prevalent coronary heart disease (CHD) and congestive heart failure (CHF), men in the lowest tertile of serum concentrations of ß-carotene had a 2-fold increased risk of SCD (HR=2.15, 95% CI: 1.02-4.51; p=0.044) as compared to those in the highest tertile. The risk of SCD was borderline significant for lycopene. In addition, low serum ß-carotene concentrations increased the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and total mortality. Lycopene and α-carotene were not related to the risk of SCD. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that low serum ß-carotene concentrations may increase the risk of SCD in middle-aged Finnish men. Furthermore, low serum ß-carotene concentrations may be related to the risk of CVD and total mortality.

Impaired fasting plasma glucose and type 2 diabetes are related to the risk of out-of-hospital sudden cardiac death and all-cause mortality.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine whether impaired fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and type 2 diabetes may be risk factors for sudden cardiac death (SCD). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This prospective study was based on 2,641 middle-aged men 42-60 years of age at baseline. Impaired FPG level (≥5.6 mmol/L) among nondiabetic subjects (501 men) was defined according to the established guidelines, and the group with type 2 diabetes included subjects (159 men) who were treated with oral hypoglycemic agents, insulin therapy, and/or diet. RESULTS: During the 19-year follow-up, a total of 190 SCDs occurred. The relative risk (RR) for SCD was 1.51-fold (95% CI 1.07-2.14, P = 0.020) for nondiabetic men with impaired FPG and 2.86-fold (1.87-4.38, P < 0.001) for men with type 2 diabetes as compared with men with normal FPG levels, after adjustment for age, BMI, systolic blood pressure, serum LDL cholesterol, smoking, prevalent coronary heart disease (CHD), and family history of CHD. The respective RRs for out-of-hospital SCDs (157 deaths) were 1.79-fold (1.24-2.58, P = 0.001) for nondiabetic men with impaired FPG and 2.26-fold (1.34-3.77, P < 0.001) for men with type 2 diabetes. Impaired FPG and type 2 diabetes were associated with the risk of all-cause death. As a continuous variable, a 1 mmol/L increment in FPG was related to an increase of 10% in the risk of SCD (1.10 [1.04-1.20], P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Impaired FPG and type 2 diabetes represent risk factors for SCD.

Duration of QRS complex in resting electrocardiogram is a predictor of sudden cardiac death in men.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies indicate that increased QRS duration in ECG is related to the risk of all-cause death. However, the association of QRS duration with the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is not well documented in large population-based studies. Our aim was to examine the relation of QRS duration with SCD in a population-based sample of men. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective study was based on a cohort of 2049 men aged 42 to 60 years at baseline with a 19-year follow-up, during which a total of 156 SCDs occurred. As a continuous variable, each 10-ms increase in QRS duration was associated with a 27% higher risk for SCD (relative risk, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-1.40; P<0.001). Subjects with QRS duration of >110 ms (highest quintile) had a 2.50-fold risk for SCD (relative risk, 2.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.38-4.55; P=0.002) compared with those with QRS duration of <96 ms (lowest quintile), after adjustment for established key demographic and clinical risk factors (age, alcohol consumption, previous myocardial infarction, smoking, serum low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, C-reactive protein, type 2 diabetes mellitus, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, and cardiorespiratory fitness). In addition to QRS duration, smoking, previous myocardial infarction, type 2 diabetes mellitus, cardiorespiratory fitness, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, and C-reactive protein were independently associated with the risk of SCD. CONCLUSIONS: QRS duration is an independent predictor of the risk of SCD and may have utility in estimating SCD risk in the general population.

The effect of bone marrow microenvironment on the functional properties of the therapeutic bone marrow-derived cells in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of acute myocardial infarction with stem cell transplantation has achieved beneficial effects in many clinical trials. The bone marrow microenvironment of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients has never been studied even though myocardial infarction is known to cause an imbalance in the acid-base status of these patients. The aim of this study was to assess if the blood gas levels in the bone marrow of STEMI patients affect the characteristics of the bone marrow cells (BMCs) and, furthermore, do they influence the change in cardiac function after autologous BMC transplantation. The arterial, venous and bone marrow blood gas concentrations were also compared. METHODS: Blood gas analysis of the bone marrow aspirate and peripheral blood was performed for 27 STEMI patients receiving autologous stem cell therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention. Cells from the bone marrow aspirate were further cultured and the bone marrow mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) proliferation rate was determined by MTT assay and the MSC osteogenic differentiation capacity by alkaline phosphatase (ALP) activity assay. All the patients underwent a 2D-echocardiography at baseline and 4 months after STEMI. RESULTS: As expected, the levels of pO(2), pCO(2), base excess and HCO(3) were similar in venous blood and bone marrow. Surprisingly, bone marrow showed significantly lower pH and Na(+) and elevated K(+) levels compared to arterial and venous blood. There was a positive correlation between the bone marrow pCO(2) and HCO(3) levels and MSC osteogenic differentiation capacity. In contrast, bone marrow pCO(2) and HCO(3) levels displayed a negative correlation with the proliferation rate of MSCs. Patients with the HCO(3) level below the median value exhibited a more marked change in LVEF after BMC treatment than patients with HCO(3) level above the median (11.13 ± 8.07% vs. 2.67 ± 11.89%, P = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Low bone marrow pCO(2) and HCO(3) levels may represent the optimal environment for BMCs in terms of their efficacy in autologous stem cell therapy in STEMI patients.

Effects of intracoronary injection of autologous bone marrow-derived stem cells on natriuretic peptides and inflammatory markers in patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Intracoronary administration of autologous bone marrow stem cells (BMC) has been shown to result in a subtle improvement of global left ventricular ejection fraction after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), but the overall benefits of BMC therapy are still unclear. We studied the influence of intracoronary injections of BMC on levels of natriuretic peptides and inflammatory mediators, which are well established prognostic biomarkers, in patients with STEMI. METHODS: In this randomized, double-blind study, consecutive patients with an acute STEMI treated with thrombolysis followed by PCI 2-6 days after STEMI, were randomly assigned to receive either intracoronary BMC or placebo medium into the infarct-related artery. Blood samples were drawn for biochemical determinations. RESULTS: From baseline to 6 months, there was a significant decrease in the levels of N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) in the whole patient population (P < 0.001 for all). However, no difference was observed between the BMC group (n = 39) and the placebo group (n = 39) in the change of the levels of NT-proANP (median -54 vs. +112 pmol/L), NT-proBNP (-88 vs. -115 pmol/L) or inflammatory markers IL-6 (-3.86 vs. -5.61 pg/mL), hsCRP (-20.29 vs. -22.36 mg/L) and tumor necrosis factor α (-0.12 vs. -0.80 pg/mL) between baseline and 6 months. CONCLUSION: Intracoronary BMC therapy does not appear to exert any significant effects on the secretion of natriuretic peptides or inflammatory biomarkers in STEMI patients.

Cardiorespiratory fitness is related to the risk of sudden cardiac death: a population-based follow-up study.

OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to examine the relation of cardiorespiratory fitness with sudden cardiac death (SCD) in a population-based sample of men. BACKGROUND: Very limited information is available about the role of cardiorespiratory fitness in the prediction of SCD. METHODS: This population study was based on 2,368 men 42 to 60 years of age. Cardiorespiratory fitness was defined by using respiratory gas exchange analyzer and maximal workload during cycle ergometer exercise test. RESULTS: During the 17-year follow-up, there were 146 SCDs. As a continuous variable, 1 metabolic equivalent (MET) increment in cardiorespiratory fitness was related to a decrease of 22% in the risk of SCD (relative risk: 0.78, 95% confidence interval: 0.71 to 0.84, p<0.001). In addition to cardiorespiratory fitness, ischemic ST-segment depression during exercise testing, smoking, systolic blood pressure, prevalent coronary heart disease, family history of coronary heart disease, and type 2 diabetes mellitus were related to the risk of SCD. The Harrell C-index for the total model discrimination was 0.767, while cardiorespiratory fitness provides modest improvement (from 0.760 to 0.767) in the risk prediction when added with all other risk factors. The integrated discrimination improvement was 0.0087 (p=0.018, relative integrated discrimination improvement 0.11) when cardiorespiratory fitness was added in the model. However, the net reclassification index (-0.018) was not statistically significantly improved (p=0.703). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiorespiratory fitness is a predictor of SCD in addition to that predicted by conventional risk factors. There was a slight improvement in the level of discrimination, although the net reclassification index did not change while using cardiorespiratory fitness with conventional risk factors.

Determinants of functional recovery after myocardial infarction of patients treated with bone marrow-derived stem cells after thrombolytic therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the determinants of functional recovery in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated initially with thrombolysis, followed by percutaneous coronary intervention and intracoronary injection of bone marrow-derived stem cells (BMC). DESIGN: A randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind study (substudy of FINCELL). SETTING: Two tertiary cardiac centres. PARTICIPANTS: 78 patients with STEMI randomly assigned to receive either intracoronary BMC (n=39) or placebo (n=39) into the infarct-related artery. INTERVENTIONS: Thrombolysis a few hours after symptom onset, percutaneous coronary intervention and intracoronary injection of BMC 2-6 days later. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Efficacy of the BMC treatment was assessed by measurement of the change of global left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) from baseline to 6 months after STEMI. Various predefined variables (eg, the levels of certain natriuretic peptides and inflammatory cytokines) were analysed as determinants of improvement of LVEF. RESULTS: In the BMC group, the most powerful determinant of the change in LVEF was the baseline LVEF (r=-0.58, p<0.001). Patients with baseline LVEF at or below the median (< or = 62.5%) experienced a more marked improvement in LVEF (+12.7 + or - 12.5 %units, p<0.001) than those above the median (-0.8 + or - 6.3 %units, p=0.10). Elevated N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (p<0.001) and N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide (p=0.052) levels were also associated with improvement in LVEF in the BMC group but not in the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: The global LVEF recovers most significantly after intracoronary infusion of BMC in patients with the most severe impairment of LVEF on admission. The baseline levels of natriuretic peptides seem also to be associated with LVEF recovery after BMC treatment. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00363324.

Cardiorespiratory fitness, lifestyle factors and cancer risk and mortality in Finnish men.

BACKGROUND: Physical fitness along with lifestyle factors may have important roles in the prevention of cancer. We examined the relationship between common lifestyle factors such as energy expenditure, physical activity and maximal oxygen uptake (VO(2max)), nutrition and smoking habits and the risk of cancer. METHODS: A population-based cohort study was carried out in 2268 men from Eastern Finland with no history of cancer. They were followed up for an average of 16.7 years. The outcome measures were cancer incidence (n=387) and cancer mortality (n=159). RESULTS: Men with VO(2max) of more than 33.2 mL/kg/min (highest tertile) had 27% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.97) decreased cancer incidence and 37% (95% CI 0.40-0.97) reduced cancer mortality than men with VO(2max) of less than 26.9 mL/kg/min (lowest tertile) after adjustment for age, examination year, alcohol, smoking, socioeconomic status, waist-to-hip ratio and energy, fibre and fat intake. The risk reduction was mainly due to decreased risk of lung cancer in fit men. The adjusted risk of cancer was 0.73 (95% CI 0.55-0.98) among fit (VO(2max)> or =26.9 mL/kg/min) men with the total energy expenditure of physical activity over 2500 kcal/week. A total of 290 active (energy expenditure >2500 kcal and at least 2h of physical activity per week) men with a favourable lifestyle (good fitness, balanced diet and non-smoking) had an adjusted relative risk of 0.63 (95% CI 0.46-0.87) for cancer. CONCLUSION: Favourable lifestyle including good cardiorespiratory fitness and healthy dietary habits with active and non-smoking lifestyle considerably reduces the risk of cancer.

Insertion/deletion polymorphism in alpha2-adrenergic receptor gene is a genetic risk factor for sudden cardiac death.

BACKGROUND: Adrenoceptors mediate contraction of vascular smooth muscle and induce coronary vasoconstriction in humans. A deletion variant of the human alpha(2B)-adrenoreseptor of glutamic acid residues has been associated with impaired receptor desensitization. This receptor variant could, therefore, be involved in cardiovascular diseases associated with enhanced vasoconstriction. Our aim was to study whether an insertion/deletion (I/D) polymorphism in the alpha(2B)-adrenoceptor gene is associated with the risk for sudden cardiac death. METHODS: This was a prospective population-based study investigating risk factors for cardiovascular diseases in middle-aged men from 42 to 60 years from eastern Finland. The study is based on 1,606 men with complete data on DNA observed for an average time of 17 years. RESULTS: In this study population, 338 men (21%) had the D/D genotype, 467 (29%) had the I/I genotype, and 801 (50%) had a heterozygous genotype. There were 76 sudden cardiac deaths during follow-up (0.81 deaths/1,000 persons per year). In a Cox model adjusting for other coronary risk factors (age, systolic blood pressure, smoking, diabetes, serum low-density lipoprotein and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, body mass index, and exercise-induced myocardial ischemia), men with the D/D or I/D genotype had 1.97 times (95% CI 1.08-3.59, P = .026) higher risk to experience sudden cardiac death (20 events for D/D genotype, 13 events for I/I genotype, and 43 events for I/D genotype) compared with men carrying the I/I genotype. In addition, the alpha(2B)-adrenoceptor D/D genotype was associated with the risk of coronary heart disease death and acute coronary events, after adjusting for risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The genetic polymorphism of the alpha(2B)-adrenoreceptor is genetic risk predictor for sudden cardiac death.

Asymptomatic ST-segment depression during exercise testing and the risk of sudden cardiac death in middle-aged men: a population-based follow-up study.

AIMS: Silent electrocardiographic ST change predicts future coronary events in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), but the prognostic significance of asymptomatic ST-segment depression with respect to sudden cardiac death in subjects without apparent CHD is not well known. METHODS AND RESULTS: We investigated the association between silent ST-segment depression during and after maximal symptom-limited exercise test and the risk of sudden cardiac death in a population-based sample of 1769 men without evident CHD. A total of 72 sudden cardiac death occurred during the median follow-up of 18 years. The risk of sudden cardiac death was increased among men with asymptomatic ST-segment depression during exercise [hazard ratio (HR) 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-3.9] as well as among those with asymptomatic ST-segment depression during recovery period (HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.7-6.0). Asymptomatic ST-depression during exercise testing was a stronger predictor for the risk of sudden cardiac death especially among smokers as well as in hypercholesterolaemic and hypertensive men than in men without these risk factors. CONCLUSION: Asymptomatic ST-segment depression was a very strong predictor of sudden cardiac death in men with any conventional risk factor but no previously diagnosed CHD, emphasizing the value of exercise testing to identify asymptomatic high-risk men who could benefit from preventive measures.

Effects of intracoronary injection of mononuclear bone marrow cells on left ventricular function, arrhythmia risk profile, and restenosis after thrombolytic therapy of acute myocardial infarction.

AIMS: To assess the efficacy and safety of bone marrow cell (BMC) therapy after thrombolytic therapy of an acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with STEMI treated with thrombolysis followed by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) 2-6 days after STEMI were randomly assigned to receive intracoronary BMCs (n = 40) or placebo medium (n = 40), collected and prepared 3-6 h prior PCI and injected into the infarct artery immediately after stenting. Efficacy was assessed by the measurement of global left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) by left ventricular angiography and 2-D echocardiography, and safety by measuring arrhythmia risk variables and restenosis of the stented vessel by intravascular ultrasound. At 6 months, BMC group had a greater absolute increase of global LVEF than placebo group, measured either by angiography (mean +/- SD increase 7.1 +/- 12.3 vs. 1.2 +/- 11.5%, P = 0.05) or by 2-D echocardiography (mean +/- SD increase 4.0 +/- 11.2 vs. -1.4 +/- 10.2%, P = 0.03). No differences were observed between the groups in the adverse clinical events, arrhythmia risk variables, or the minimal lumen diameter of the stented coronary lesion. CONCLUSION: Intracoronary BMC therapy is associated with an improvement of global LVEF and neutral effects on arrhythmia risk profile and restenosis of the stented coronary lesions in patients after thrombolytic therapy of STEMI.

Coronary angioplasty in drug eluting stent era for the treatment of unprotected left main stenosis compared to coronary artery bypass grafting.

BACKGROUND: Improved outcomes of percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) with drug-eluting stents (DES) have resulted in their expanded use for left main coronary artery (LMCA) stenosis. AIM: We compared outcomes of patients undergoing PCI for unprotected LMCA stenosis and patients treated by coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). METHOD: Between January 2005 and January 2007, 6705 patients were studied with coronary angiography in northern Finland. All subjects treated with revascularization of LMCA stenosis (n = 287) were included and followed up for a mean of 12+6 months. RESULTS: From 287 patients, 238 underwent CABG, and 49 had PCI with DES. The incidence of 1-year mortality was 4% among the PCI-treated and 11% among CABG-treated patients (P = 0.136). After the first month, mortality among PCI-or CABG-treated patients did not differ statistically significantly (2% versus 7%, P = 0.133). The most significant independent predictor of mortality was reduced left ventricular systolic function (hazard ratio 14.9, 95% CI 5.5-40.0, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: PCI with DES for selected LMCA disease patients results in short- and midterm outcomes comparable to results of CABG in general. PCI is a viable therapeutic option in selected patients with LMCA stenosis.

Long-term alterations of heart rate dynamics after coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

We tested the hypothesis that there may be long-term alterations in overall heart rate (HR) variability and in fractal HR behavior after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Reduced HR variability predicts morbidity in various patient populations. Continuous 24-h electrocardiograph recordings were performed in 25 elective CABG surgery patients 1 wk before the operation and 6 wk and 6 mo after. Seventeen of the patients also had recordings 12 mo after CABG. Time and frequency domain measures of HR variability were assessed, along with measurement of short-term fractal scaling exponent (alpha1), approximate entropy, and power-law relationship of relative risk interval variability (beta-slope). The high, low, very low, and ultra low frequency powers decreased significantly after the operation and remained at a significantly decreased level 6 wk and 6 and 12 mo after the operation than before (P = 0.01, P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001 for overall difference between the time points, respectively). The fractal scaling exponent alpha1 was at significantly more decreased 6 wk after (P < 0.05) CABG than before surgery but recovered to the preoperative level 6 mo after the operation. Long-term fractal organization (beta-slope) remained stable, but the overall complexity (approximate entropy) decreased toward more predictable HR dynamics during the study period (P < 0.01 after 1 yr). The predictive value of temporary and persistent long-term changes of the HR dynamics after CABG surgery for long-term outcome is not clear.

The breakdown of fractal heart rate dynamics predicts prolonged postoperative myocardial ischemia.

UNLABELLED: Patients with myocardial ischemia after noncardiac surgery have a three- to ninefold increased risk of adverse cardiac events. In this study we tested the hypothesis that altered preoperative heart rate variability (HRV) predicts postoperative prolonged myocardial ischemia (>10 min) in elderly surgical patients. Thirty-two patients, age 60 yr or older, admitted to hospital for surgical repair of a traumatic hip fracture with preoperative night and daytime Holter recordings were included. Holter monitoring was initiated at arrival at hospital and continued until the third postoperative morning. Conventional HRV measures along with analysis of short-term fractal scaling exponent (alpha(1)) of RR intervals were assessed for night (from 2 AM to 5 AM) and day (7 AM to 12 AM) periods in each patient. Preoperative alpha(1) was significantly lower (i.e., increased randomness in HRV) during the nighttime compared with daytime (mean +/- SEM; 0.92 +/- 0.08 versus 1.03 +/- 0.06; P = 0.002) in patients with postoperative myocardial ischemia. Patients without ischemia had no such difference. In stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis, increased preoperative night-day difference of alpha(1) was the only independent predictor of postoperative prolonged ischemia. The odds ratio for an increase of 0.16 U in night-day difference of alpha(1) (corresponding to interquartile range) was 7.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.9-51.4; P = 0.0018). Breakdown of fractal-like heart rate dynamics is predictive for postoperative prolonged myocardial ischemia in elderly patients having emergency surgery for traumatic hip fracture. IMPLICATIONS: Night and daytime Holter recordings before surgical repair of traumatic hip fracture were analyzed with linear and nonlinear heart rate variability methods. Preoperatively increased randomness in heart rate variability was predictive for postoperative, silent prolonged myocardial ischemia. Prolonged myocardial ischemia increases the risk for adverse cardiac events.