Point-of-Care Noninvasive Prediction of Liver-Related Events in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Individual risk prediction of liver-related events (LRE) is needed for clinical assessment of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) patients. We aimed to provide point-of-care validated liver stiffness measurement (LSM)-based risk prediction models for the development of LRE in patients with NAFLD, focusing on selecting patients for clinical trials at risk of clinical events. METHODS: Two large multicenter cohorts were evaluated, 2638 NAFLD patients covering all LSM values as the derivation cohort and 679 more advanced patients as the validation cohort. We used Cox regression to develop and validate risk prediction models based on LSM alone, and the ANTICIPATE and ANTICIPATE-NASH models for clinically significant portal hypertension. The main outcome of the study was the rate of LRE in the first 3 years after initial assessment. RESULTS: The 3 predictive models had similar performance in the derivation cohort with a very high discriminative value (c-statistic, 0.87-0.91). In the validation cohort, the LSM-LRE alone model had a significant inferior discrimination (c-statistic, 0.75) compared with the other 2 models, whereas the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model (0.81) was significantly better than the ANTICIPATE-LRE model (0.79). In addition, the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model presented very good calibration in the validation cohort (integrated calibration index, 0.016), and was better than the ANTICIPATE-LRE model. CONCLUSIONS: The ANTICIPATE-LRE models, and especially the ANTICIPATE-NASH-LRE model, could be valuable validated clinical tools to individually assess the risk of LRE at 3 years in patients with NAFLD/NASH.

Clinical Outcomes and Quantitative HBV Surface Antigen Levels in Diverse Chronic Hepatitis B Patients in Canada: A Retrospective Real-World Study of CHB in Canada (REVEAL-CANADA).

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss is associated with improved clinical outcomes for individuals with chronic hepatitis B (CHB); however, the effects of varying HBsAg levels on clinical outcomes in diverse cohorts are understudied. METHODS: In this cross-sectional, multicentre, retrospective study, the data on adult subjects enrolled in the Canadian HBV Network with CHB seen from 1 January 2012 to 30 January 2021 with the treatment and virologic data within 1 year of HBsAg testing were analyzed. Patients were tested for HBsAg using qualitative (for HBsAg-negative samples) and/or commercial quantitative assays. Fibrosis or hepatic necroinflammation was determined by the liver stiffness measurement (LSM). The baseline data were summarized using descriptive statistics and compared by using univariable/multivariable analyses. RESULTS: This study included 844 CHB patients, with a median age of 49.6 years (IQR 40.1-60.5), and 37% were female. In total, 751 patients (78.6%) had known ethnicity data, and 76.7% self-reported as Asian, 11.4% as Black, 6.8% as White, and 4.8% as other. Among the 844 patients, 237 (28.0%) were HBsAg (-) (1000 IU/mL. Overall, 80% (682) had known HBeAg status at the last follow-up, and the majority (87.0%) were HBeAg-negative. In addition, 54% (461/844) had prior antiviral therapy, 19.7% of which (16.3, 23.7, n = 91) were HBsAg (-). The treated patients had a lower risk of cirrhosis (16.46, 95% CI 1.89-143.39, p = 0.01) or HCC (8.23, 95% CI 1.01-67.39, p = 0.05) than the untreated patients. A lower proportion of the HBsAg-loss group had cirrhosis (5.7% vs. 10.9%, p = 0.021) and HCC (0.9% vs. 6.2%, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this retrospective, ethnically diverse cohort study, CHB patients who received antiviral therapy and/or had HBsAg loss were less likely to develop cirrhosis and HCC, confirming the results of the studies in less diverse cohorts. No association was found between the qHBsAg level and fibrosis determined with LSM. Individuals who achieved HBsAg loss had low-level qHBsAg within 1 year of seroclearance.

Sofosbuvir-Based Antiviral Therapy Is Highly Effective In Recurrent Hepatitis C in Liver Transplant Recipients: Canadian Multicenter "Real-Life" Experience.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluates the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of regimens containing sofosbuvir (SOF) in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) recurrence in all genotypes in patients outside of clinical trials in all Canadian transplant centers. METHODS: One hundred twenty liver transplantation recipients from across Canada with HCV recurrence were started on SOF-based regimens (SOF + simeprevir ± ribavirin (RBV), n = 53; SOF + pegylated interferon + RBV, n = 25; SOF + RBV, n = 36; and SOF + ledipasvir, n = 6) between January and November 2014. Mean age 58 ± 6.85 years, majority (83%) were genotype 1, male (81%), and treatment experienced (82%). Twenty-seven percent had fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis/early aggressive HCV in the graft, and 48% had F3/4 fibrosis. The primary outcomes included patient and graft survival, on- and end-of-treatment response and sustained virological response at 12 weeks after treatment end (SVR12), and adverse events. RESULTS: One hundred thirteen of 120 (94%) patients were HCV RNA undetectable at end of treatment, and SVR12 was achieved in 102/120 (85%) patients, with 7 relapses, 1 nonresponder, and 10 deaths (liver-related complications). Sixty-three percent had HCV RNA levels below the lower limit of quantification at week 4. Serum creatinine levels remained stable throughout the treatment. Severe anemia occurred in 13% of patients, primarily in RBV-based regimens. CONCLUSIONS: Sofosbuvir-based antiviral therapy for HCV recurrence after liver transplantation was well tolerated, with an overall high SVR12 rate (85%) including patients with severe disease recurrence and F3-4 cirrhosis. The response rate was higher (91%) in mild HCV recurrence, suggesting earlier treatment might be beneficial.

Enhanced activation of memory, but not naïve, B cells in chronic hepatitis C virus-infected patients with cryoglobulinemia and advanced liver fibrosis.

Mixed cryoglobulinemia is the most common extrahepatic disease manifestation of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, where immunoglobulins precipitate at low temperatures and cause symptoms such as vasculitis, glomerulonephritis and arthralgia. HCV-associated cryoglobulinemia is also strongly linked with the development of B cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Abnormal B cell function in HCV infections can lead to the formation of HCV cryoglobulin complexes that usually comprise monoclonal rheumatoid factor and HCV-specific immune complexes. The aim of this study was to characterize the activation phenotype of B cells from patients with chronic HCV infection in comparison to healthy controls using flow cytometry. In addition, we determined how the activation status varies depending on the presence of cryoglobulinemia and advanced liver fibrosis. We found that only memory B cells, not naïve cells, were significantly activated in chronic HCV infection when compared with healthy controls. We also identified markers of memory B cell activation that were specific for HCV patients with cryoglobulinemia (CD86, CD71, HLA-DR) and advanced liver disease (CD86). Our results demonstrate that HCV infection has differential effects on B cells depending on the severity of hepatic and extrahepatic disease.

Severe muscle depletion in patients on the liver transplant wait list: its prevalence and independent prognostic value.

As detected by cross-sectional imaging, severe muscle depletion, which is termed sarcopenia, holds promise for prognostication in patients with cirrhosis. Our aims were to describe the prevalence and predictors of sarcopenia in patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation (LT) and to determine its independent prognostic significance for the prediction of waiting-list mortality. Adults listed for LT who underwent abdominal computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging within 6 weeks of activation were retrospectively identified. The exclusions were hepatocellular carcinoma, acute liver failure, prior LT, and listing for multivisceral transplantation or living related LT. Sixty percent of the 142 eligible patients were male, the median age was 53 years, and the median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score at listing was 15. Forty-one percent were sarcopenic; sarcopenia was more prevalent in males versus females (54% versus 21%, P < 0.001) and increased with the Child-Pugh class (10% for class A, 34% for class B, and 54% for class C, P = 0.007). Male sex, the dry-weight body mass index (BMI), and Child-Pugh class C cirrhosis (but not the MELD score) were independent predictors of sarcopenia. Sarcopenia was an independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio = 2.36, 95% confidence interval = 1.23-4.53) after adjustments for age and MELD scores. In conclusion, sarcopenia is associated with increased waiting-list mortality and is poorly predicted by subjective nutritional assessment tools such as BMI and subjective global assessment. If this is validated in larger studies, the objective assessment of sarcopenia holds promise for prognostication in this patient population.

MELD score, insulin-like growth factor 1 and cytokines on bone density in end-stage liver disease.

AIM: To determine the contributions of insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), cytokines and liver disease severity to bone mineral density in patients pre-transplantation. METHODS: Serum IGF-1, tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα) and interleukin 6 (IL-6) were measured and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score calculated in 121 adult patients referred to a single centre for liver transplantation. Bone mineral density (BMD) of the lumbar spine and femoral neck were assessed via dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Demographics, liver disease etiology, medication use and relevant biochemistry were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 117 subjects were included, with low BMD seen in 68.6%, irrespective of disease etiology. In multivariable analysis, low body mass index (BMI), increased bone turnover and low IGF-1 were independent predictors of low spinal bone density. At the hip, BMI, IGF-1 and vitamin D status were predictive. Despite prevalent elevations of TNFα and IL-6, levels did not correlate with degree of bone loss. The MELD score failed to predict low BMD in this pre-transplant population. CONCLUSION: Osteopenia/osteoporosis is common in advanced liver disease. Low serum IGF-1 is weakly predictive but serum cytokine and MELD score fail to predict the severity of bone disease.

Effects of probiotic therapy on portal pressure in patients with cirrhosis: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Recent literature has supported the role of bacterial translocation as a mediator of splanchnic vasodilatation and portal hypertension. The objective of this study was to determine whether the probiotic VSL#3 would reduce portal pressure in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Eight patients with compensated or very early decompensated cirrhosis and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) >10 mmHg, received 2 months of VSL#3 (3600 billion bacteria daily). The HVPG, intestinal permeability, endotoxin, tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha, interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, renin and aldosterone were measured at baseline and study end. RESULTS: There was no change in the HVPG or intestinal permeability from baseline to study end but there was a trend to reduction in plasma endotoxin (P=0.09), a mild but significant increase in serum TNF-alpha (P=0.02) and a significant reduction in plasma aldosterone (P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Within the limitations of small sample size, there does not appear to be a benefit of probiotic therapy for portal pressure reduction in patients with compensated or early decompensated cirrhosis. The reductions in endotoxin and aldosterone suggest possible beneficial effects of probiotics for this patient population. The clinical significance of the small but unexpected increase in TNF-alpha is unclear. Future studies are planned in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

De novo sirolimus-based immunosuppression after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: long-term outcomes and side effects.

BACKGROUND: We report long-term outcomes and side effects after transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using de novo, sirolimus-based immunosuppression (IS). METHODS: A total of 70 patients with HCC (mean age: 54.4+/-7 years, female/male: 12/58) were transplanted and included in the study. Immunosuppression included de novo sirolimus, low-dose calcineurin inhibitor for 6 to 12 months, with short-course (3 months) or no steroids. RESULTS: After 49 months-median follow-up, eight patients have experienced an HCC recurrence, 2 of 34 when Milan criteria were respected (6%) and 6 of 36 when beyond Milan criteria (17%). One- and 4-year tumor-free survivals were 85 and 73%, when Milan criteria were respected and 82% and 75% when they were not, respectively. (P=0.9). After recurrence, mean survival was 23+/-28 months. Half (35 of 70) of the patients experienced a rejection. Incisional hernia (24 of 70, 34%), wound infection (12 of 70, 17%), anemia (39 of 70, 56%), leucopenia (39 of 70, 56%), high triglyceride (43 of 70, 61%), and cholesterol (28 of 70, 40%) levels and mouth ulcers (20 of 70, 29%) were among the most frequent complications. No hepatic artery thrombosis was observed. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that de novo sirolimus-based immunosuppression is associated with satisfactory outcomes after transplantation, even in selected patients beyond Milan criteria. The protocol has proven safe, with an acceptable side-effect profile. This study supports the conduct of larger randomized trials investigating sirolimus after transplantation for HCC.

Sirolimus-based immunosuppression for liver transplantation in the presence of extended criteria for hepatocellular carcinoma.

An increasing number of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are undergoing evaluation for listing for liver transplantation. Criteria for selection require ongoing review for suitability. A consecutive series of 40 patients with HCC within the standard Milan criteria (single tumors n = 19 < 5 cm, or up to 3 tumors < 3 cm) and beyond (Extended Criteria; single tumors n = 21 < 7.5 cm, multiple tumors < 5 cm) underwent liver transplant with a sirolimus-based immunosuppressive protocol designed to minimize exposure to calcineurin inhibitors and steroids. At 44.3 +/- 19.3 months (mean +/- standard deviation) follow-up, 1- and 4-year survivals (Kaplan-Meier) are 94.1 +/- 5.7% and 87.4 +/- 9.3%, in the Milan group, respectively, and 90.5 +/- 6.4% and 82.9 +/- 9.3% in the Extended Criteria group, respectively. Five patients died during follow-up, only 1 from recurrent HCC. Five tumor recurrences have occurred at median 17 (mean 22 +/- 17) months posttransplant, 1 in the Milan group and 4 in the Extended Criteria group. Median survival in the patients with recurrent tumor is 42 months (mean 45 +/- 25), and the median postrecurrence survival is 15.5 months (mean 23 +/- 16). The rate of patients who were alive and free of tumor at 1 and 4 years is 94.1 +/- 5.7% and 81.1 +/- 9.9%, respectively, in the Milan group and is 90.5 +/- 6.4% and 76.8 +/- 10.5%, respectively, in the Extended Criteria group. Five patients had sirolimus discontinued for toxicity, while 24 of 35 surviving patients have sirolimus monotherapy immunosuppression. In conclusion, the Milan criteria for liver transplantation in the presence of HCC can be carefully extended without compromising outcomes. This sirolimus based immunosuppression protocol appears to have beneficial effects on tumor recurrence and survival with an acceptable rate of rejection and toxicity.

Late acute rejection after liver transplantation: the Western Canada experience.

Acute rejection usually occurs within 3 months posttransplantation. Most centers reduce immunosuppression over 6 to 12 months to minimize opportunistic infection, malignancy, and drug toxicity. Pretransplant disease and low immunosuppression have been reported in association with late acute rejection (LAR). The objective of this study was to determine the incidence, predictive factors, and outcomes of LAR via retrospective review of adult liver transplant recipients in Western Canada from 1989 to 2000. LAR was defined as biopsy-proven acute rejection occurring more than 180 days posttransplantation. Patient characteristics, immunosuppression, and outcome were determined. Both a univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis were performed. LAR occurred in 97 (23%) of 415 patients more than 180 days posttransplantation. Median follow-up was 402 days (range, 180 to 3137 days); 79% of LAR episodes were graded mild. At the time of LAR, 33% were on a steroid taper. A total of 73% of LAR episodes were treated with pulse intravenous steroids, and 5% were steroid-resistant. In the univariate analysis, patients undergoing transplantation for viral etiologies and older age were associated with less LAR. Immunosuppression was significant in a multiple logistic regression model, but not with a proportional hazards model. On multivariate analysis, only patients undergoing transplantation for viral etiologies remained resistant to LAR (hazard ratio, 0.52; range, 0.34 to 0.93, P = .02). There was a trend toward increased chronic rejection in patients who developed LAR (P = .04). LAR is common and occurs after more than 1 year posttransplantation. Patients undergoing transplantation for viral etiologies seem to have a lower risk of LAR. There may be an increased risk of chronic rejection in those developing LAR.