Diagnostic accuracy of oral glucose tolerance tests, fasting plasma glucose and haemoglobin A1c for type 2 diabetes in women with polycystic ovary syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: To inform international guidelines, a systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to assess the performance of diagnostic methods for type 2 diabetes in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). METHODS: An updated systematic search was conducted on five databases from 2017 until October 2023 and combined with prior searches (from inception). Meta-analyses of diagnostic accuracy tests were conducted. RESULTS: Nine studies comprising 2628 women with PCOS were included. Against the oral glucose tolerance test, a haemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) ≥ 6.5% had a pooled sensitivity of 50.00% (95% confidence interval (CI): 35.53-64.47), specificity of 99.86% (95%CI: 99.49-99.98), and positive and negative predictive values of 92.59% (95%CI: 75.27-98.09) and 98.27% (95%CI: 97.73-98.68), respectively, with an accuracy of 98.17% (95%CI: 97.34-98.79). Fasting plasma glucose values ≥ 7.0 mmol/L had a pooled sensitivity of 58.14% (95%CI: 42.13-72.99), specificity of 92.59% (95%CI: 75.35-98.08), positive and negative predictive values of 92.59% (95%CI: 75.35-98.08) and 99.09% (95%CI: 98.71-99.36), respectively, and an accuracy of 99.00% (95%CI: 98.46-99.39) against the oral glucose tolerance test. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review assessing the performance of diagnostic methods for type 2 diabetes in women with PCOS. We demonstrate that using a cut-off for HbA1c of ≥6.5% in this population may result in misdiagnosis of half of the women with type 2 diabetes. Our results directly informed the recommendations of the 2023 International PCOS Guideline, suggesting that the oral glucose tolerance test is the optimal method for screening and diagnosing type 2 diabetes in women with PCOS and is superior to fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c.

Efficacy and safety of once weekly semaglutide 2·4 mg for weight management in a predominantly east Asian population with overweight or obesity (STEP 7): a double-blind, multicentre, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Data on the benefits of the once weekly GLP-1 receptor agonist semaglutide 2·4 mg for weight management in people from east Asia are insufficient. The objective of this study was to determine the efficacy and safety of once weekly semaglutide 2·4 mg versus placebo for weight management in a predominantly east Asian adult population. METHODS: This randomised phase 3a, double-blind multicentre controlled trial (STEP 7) recruited participants from 23 hospitals and trial centres in China, Hong Kong, Brazil, and South Korea. Adults with overweight or obesity, with or without type 2 diabetes, were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive a subcutaneous injection of either semaglutide 2·4 mg or placebo once a week for 44 weeks, plus a diet and physical activity intervention. Randomisation was done in blocks of six with an interactive web response system and was stratified by diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. Participants, investigators, and the trial sponsor were masked to treatment allocation until after database lock. Primary endpoints were percentage change in mean bodyweight and proportion of participants having reached a weight reduction of at least 5% of bodyweight from baseline to week 44. Safety was assessed in all participants who received at least one dose of study drug. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04251156, and is now complete. FINDINGS: From Dec 8, 2020, to Aug 23, 2022, 448 participants were screened, of whom 375 were randomly assigned to either the semaglutide 2·4 mg group (n=249) or the placebo group (n=126). Estimated mean percentage change in bodyweight from baseline to week 44 was -12·1% (SE 0·5) with semaglutide 2·4 mg versus -3·6% (0·7) with placebo (estimated treatment difference -8·5 percentage points [95% CI -10·2 to -6·8]; p<0·0001). At week 44, the proportion of participants who lost 5% or more of their bodyweight was higher in the semaglutide 2·4 mg group than in the placebo group (203/238 [85%] vs 36/116 [31%]); odds ratio 13·1 (95% CI 7·4-23·1; p<0·0001). Adverse events were reported by 231 (93%) of 249 participants in the semaglutide 2·4 mg group and 108 (86%) of 126 participants in the placebo group, the most common of which were gastrointestinal disorders (168/249, 67% vs 45/126, 36%). INTERPRETATION: The results of this study support the use of semaglutide 2·4 mg for weight management in people of east Asian ethnicity with overweight or obesity and with or without type 2 diabetes. FUNDING: Novo Nordisk. TRANSLATIONS: For the Mandarin, Portuguese and South Korean translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

1-year weight change after diabetes diagnosis and long-term incidence and sustainability of remission of type 2 diabetes in real-world settings in Hong Kong: An observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials have demonstrated that remission of type 2 diabetes can be achieved following sustained weight loss. However, the feasibility of achieving diabetes remission through weight management in real-world settings remains unclear. In this study, we aimed to examine the association of weight change at 1 year after diabetes diagnosis with long-term incidence and sustainability of type 2 diabetes remission in real-world settings in Hong Kong. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This was a population-based observational cohort study. The territory-wide Risk Assessment and Management Programme for Diabetes Mellitus (RAMP-DM) provides regular comprehensive assessments of metabolic control and complication screening for people with diabetes in Hong Kong. We included 37,326 people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes who were enrolled in the RAMP-DM between 2000 and 2017, followed until 2019. Diabetes remission was defined as 2 consecutive HbA1c <6.5% measurements at least 6 months apart in the absence of glucose-lowering drugs (GLDs) and with no record of GLDs at least 3 months before these measurements. During a median follow-up of 7.9 years, 6.1% (2,279) of people achieved diabetes remission, with an incidence rate of 7.8 (95% CI: 7.5, 8.1) per 1,000 person-years. After adjusting for age at diabetes diagnosis, sex, assessment year, body mass index, other metabolic indices, smoking, alcohol drinking, and medication use, the hazard ratio (HR) for diabetes remission was 3.28 (95% CI: 2.75, 3.92; p < 0.001) for people with ≥10% weight loss within 1 year of diagnosis, 2.29 (95% CI: 2.03, 2.59; p < 0.001) for those with 5% to 9.9% weight loss, and 1.34 (95% CI: 1.22, 1.47; p < 0.001) for those with 0% to 4.9% weight loss compared to people with weight gain. During a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 67.2% (1,531) of people who had achieved diabetes remission returned to hyperglycaemia, with an incidence rate of 184.8 (95% CI: 175.5, 194.0) per 1,000 person-years. The adjusted HR for returning to hyperglycaemia was 0.52 (95% CI: 0.41, 0.65; p < 0.001) for people with ≥10% weight loss, 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.92; p = 0.002) for those with 5% to 9.9% weight loss, and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.80, 1.01; p = 0.073) for those with 0% to 4.9% weight loss compared to people with weight gain. Diabetes remission was associated with a 31% (HR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.52, 0.93; p = 0.014) decreased risk of all-cause mortality. The main limitation of the study is that the reliability of HbA1c used to define diabetes remission can be affected by other medical conditions. Furthermore, we did not have data on bariatric surgery. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, greater weight loss within the first year of diabetes diagnosis was associated with an increased likelihood of achieving diabetes remission and a decreased risk of returning to hyperglycaemia among those who had achieved diabetes remission. However, both the incidence of diabetes remission and the probability of its long-term sustainability were low with conventional management in real-world settings, in an era when the importance of weight loss was not fully appreciated. Our study provides evidence for policymakers to design and implement early weight management interventions and diabetes remission initiatives.

Young-onset diabetes in women with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: A territory-wide retrospective analysis in Hong Kong.

AIM: To ascertain the risk of progression to diabetes among Chinese women with PCOS. METHODS: Women with PCOS (n = 3978) were identified from the Hong Kong Diabetes Surveillance Database based on the ICD-9 code for PCOS diagnosis and women without PCOS served as controls (n = 39780), matched 1:10 by age. RESULT(S): The mean follow-up was 6.28 ± 4.20 and 6.95 ± 4.33 years in women with PCOS and controls, respectively. The crude incidence rate of diabetes was 14.25/1000 person-years in women with PCOS compared with 3.45 in controls. The crude hazard ratio of diabetes in women with PCOS was 4.23 (95 % CI: 3.73-4.80, p < 0.001). Further stratified by age group, the risk of developing diabetes decreased with increasing age but it remained significantly higher in women with PCOS across all age groups. It also suggested that the incidence rate of diabetes in women with PCOS aged 20-29 is highly comparable to that in healthy women aged ≥ 40. More than half of the incident diabetes captured during the follow-up in women with PCOS cohort were young-onset diabetes. CONCLUSION: Women diagnosed with PCOS at a younger age have the highest relative risk of developing diabetes, suggesting frequent glycemic status screening is required to detect diabetes at an early stage.

Gender-associated cardiometabolic risk profiles and health behaviors in patients with type 2 diabetes: a cross-sectional analysis of the Joint Asia Diabetes Evaluation (JADE) program.

Background: In Asia, diabetes-associated death due to cardiorenal diseases were 2-3 times higher in women than men which might be due to gender disparity in quality of care and health habits. Methods: Adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) from 11 Asian countries/areas were assessed using the same protocol (2007-2015). We compared treatment target attainment (HbA1c < 7%, blood pressure [BP] < 130/80 mmHg, risk-based LDL-cholesterol, lack of central obesity [waist circumference <90 cm in men or <80 cm in women), use of cardiorenal-protective drugs (renin-angiotensin system [RAS] inhibitors, statins), and self-reported health habits including self-monitoring blood glucose (SMBG) by gender. Analyses were stratified by countries/areas, age of natural menopause (<50 vs. ≥50 years), and comorbidities (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease [ASCVD], heart failure, kidney impairment [eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2]). Findings: Among 106,376 patients (53.2% men; median (interquartile range) diabetes duration: 6.0 (2.0-12.0) years; mean ± SD HbA1c 8.0 ± 1.9%; 27% insulin-treated), women were older and less likely to receive college education than men (28.9% vs. 48.8%). Women were less likely to smoke/drink alcohol and were physically less active than men. Women had lower BP (<130/80 mmHg: 29.4% vs. 25.7%), less general obesity (54.8% vs. 57.8%) but more central obesity than men (77.5% vs. 57.3%). Women were less likely to have ASCVD (12.8% vs. 17.0%) or heart failure (1.3% vs. 2.3%), but more likely to have kidney impairment (22.3% vs. 17.6%) and any-site cancer than men (2.5% vs. 1.6%). In most countries/areas, more men attained HbA1c <7% and risk-based LDL-cholesterol level than women. After adjusting for potential confounders including countries and centres, men had 1.63 odds ratio (95% CI 1.51, 1.74) of attaining ≥3 treatment targets than women. Interpretation: Asian women with T2D had worse quality of care than men especially in middle-income countries/areas, calling for targeted implementation programs to close these care gaps. Sponsor: Asia Diabetes Foundation. Funding: Nil.

Age-specific population attributable risk factors for all-cause and cause-specific mortality in type 2 diabetes: An analysis of a 6-year prospective cohort study of over 360,000 people in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes has increased in both young and old people. We examined age-specific associations and population attributable fractions (PAFs) of risk factors for all-cause and cause-specific mortality in people with type 2 diabetes. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We analysed data from 360,202 Chinese with type 2 diabetes who participated in a territory-wide diabetes complication screening programme in Hong Kong between January 2000 and December 2019. We compared the hazard ratios and PAFs of eight risk factors, including three major comorbidities (cardiovascular disease [CVD], chronic kidney disease [CKD], all-site cancer) and five modifiable risk factors (suboptimal HbA1c, suboptimal blood pressure, suboptimal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, and suboptimal weight), for mortality across four age groups (18 to 54, 55 to 64, 65 to 74, and ≥75 years). During a median 6.0 years of follow-up, 44,396 people died, with cancer, CVD, and pneumonia being the leading causes of death. Despite a higher absolute mortality risk in older people (crude all-cause mortality rate: 59.7 versus 596.2 per 10,000 person-years in people aged 18 to 54 years versus those aged ≥75 years), the relative risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality associated with most risk factors was higher in younger than older people, after mutually adjusting for the eight risk factors and other potential confounders including sex, diabetes duration, lipid profile, and medication use. The eight risk factors explained a larger proportion of mortality events in the youngest (PAF: 51.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] [39.1%, 64.0%], p < 0.001) than the oldest (PAF: 35.3%, 95% CI [27.2%, 43.4%], p < 0.001) age group. Suboptimal blood pressure (PAF: 16.9%, 95% CI [14.7%, 19.1%], p < 0.001) was the leading attributable risk factor for all-cause mortality in the youngest age group, while CKD (PAF: 15.2%, 95% CI [14.0%, 16.4%], p < 0.001) and CVD (PAF: 9.2%, 95% CI [8.3%, 10.1%], p < 0.001) were the leading attributable risk factors in the oldest age group. The analysis was restricted to Chinese, which might affect the generalisability to the global population with differences in risk profiles. Furthermore, PAFs were estimated under the assumption of a causal relationship between risk factors and mortality. However, reliable causality was difficult to establish in the observational study. CONCLUSIONS: Major comorbidities and modifiable risk factors were associated with a greater relative risk for mortality in younger than older people with type 2 diabetes and their associations with population mortality burden varied substantially by age. These findings highlight the importance of early control of blood pressure, which could reduce premature mortality in young people with type 2 diabetes and prevent the onset of later CKD and related mortality at older ages.

Clinical outcomes following discontinuation of renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes and advanced chronic kidney disease: A prospective cohort study.

Background: Renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors (RASi), that include angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) reduce proteinuria, delay chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, protect against cardiovascular events and heart failure hospitalizations. We examined the associations of discontinuation of ACEi/ARBs with risk of clinical outcomes in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and advanced-CKD (estimated-glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <30 ml/min/1.73 m2). Methods: We conducted a prospective, population-based cohort study including 10,400 patients with T2D in Hong Kong stratified by continuation of ACEi/ARBs within 6 months after reaching eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m2 from January 01, 2002 to December 31, 2018 and observed until December 31, 2019. The primary outcomes were death, major-adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), heart failure, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and all-cause mortality. Cox-model with time-dependent exposure and covariates was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of outcomes in a propensity-score overlap-weighted cohort. The risk of occurrence of hyperkalemia (plasma potassium >5.5 mmol/L) in discontinued-ACEi/ARBs versus continued-ACEi/ARBs users was assessed in a register-based cohort. Findings: In the population-based cohort of 10,400 ACEi/ARBs users with new-onset eGFR<30 ml/min/1.73 m2, 1766 (17.0%) discontinued ACEi/ARBs and 8634 (83.0%) persisted with treatment. During a median follow-up of 3.6 (interquartile range, IQR: 2.11-5.8) years (41,623 person-years), 13.5%, 12.9%, and 27.6% had incident MACE, heart failure and ESKD respectively, and 35.8% died. Discontinued-ACEi/ARBs use was associated with higher risk of MACE (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.49), heart failure (HR = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.53-2.25) and ESKD (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.17-1.43), and neutral risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.86-1.01) compared to counterparts with continued use. In the register-based cohort (583 discontinued-ACEi/ARBs users and 3817 continued-ACEi/ARBs users), discontinued-ACEi/ARBs had neutral risk of hyperkalemia (HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.84-1.08). Interpretation: Discontinuation of ACEi/ARBs was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular-renal events supporting their continued use in patients with T2D and advanced-CKD. Funding: CUHK Impact Research Fellowship Scheme.

Initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors at lower HbA1c threshold attenuates eGFR decline in type 2 diabetes patients with and without cardiorenal disease: A propensity-matched cohort study.

AIM: To examine the association of initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) at lower glycemic threshold with decline in estimated-glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). METHODS: We analyzed a prospective cohort of Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes from Hong Kong. Patients initiating SGLT2i at HbA1c < 7.5 % (lower-HbA1c) versus ≥ 7.5 % (higher-HbA1c) were matched using 1:1 propensity score. We compared annual eGFR changes in the lower-HbA1c and higher-HbA1c groups using linear mixed-effect models. Binary logistic regression was used to explore associations of SGLT2i initiation at lower HbA1c with odds of rapid eGFR decline (>4% per year). RESULTS: Among 3384 patients with a median follow-up of 1.9 years, the mean age was 60.2 ± 11.5 years and 62.1 % were male. The lower-HbA1c and higher-HbA1c groups had baseline HbA1c (%) of 6.9 ± 0.5 and 9.0 ± 1.3 respectively, with similar pre-index annual eGFR decline. The lower-HbA1c group had a slower post-index annual eGFR decline than the higher-HbA1c group (-0.99 versus -1.63 mL/min/1.73 m2, p < 0.001). Overall, the lower-HbA1c group had lower odds of rapid eGFR decline (OR = 0.15, 95 % CI: 0.07-0.29). Greater renoprotection from SGLT2i initiation at lower-HbA1c was observed in those with baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, albuminuria and/or treatment with renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors or insulin. CONCLUSIONS: In this real-world study, SGLT2i initiation at HbA1c < 7.5 % was associated with slower eGFR decline especially in high risk patients, supporting the potential renal benefits of SGLT2i initiation at lower glycemic thresholds.

The role of age on the risk relationship between prediabetes and major morbidities and mortality: Analysis of the Hong Kong diabetes surveillance database of 2 million Chinese adults.

Background: Intensive lifestyle modification showed variable success in the prevention of major clinical events and mortality among people with prediabetes. We propose that age may partly explain the heterogeneity and that health hazards related to prediabetes are age-specific. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of a territory-wide diabetes surveillance dataset from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority between 2000 and 2019. Prediabetes was defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. Proportional Cox regression was performed, stratified by baseline age categories (20-39, 40-59, 60-79 and ≥80 years). Findings: 1,630,942 individuals were included in the analysis. Compared with normoglycaemia, prediabetes was associated with greater hazards for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in most age groups but the effect size attenuated with ascending age (p value for trend <0·05). In the youngest and in the oldest age categories, the respective hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of prediabetes vs normoglycaemia were 1·79 (1·59, 2·01) and 1·00 (0·95, 1·05) for CVD, and 1·36 (1·20, 1·55) and 0·99 (0·97, 1·02) for all-cause mortality. Similar associations were found for chronic kidney disease, end-stage kidney disease, all-site cancer, all-site infection, subtypes of CVD, and cause-specific mortality. The associations became attenuated but remained after excluding people who later developed diabetes and adjusting for metabolic factors. Similar associations were observed in prediabetes defined by impaired fasting glucose, but not HbA1c. Interpretation: Prediabetes is associated with higher risk of major clinical events, even excluding subsequent development of diabetes and adjusting for metabolic factors. The risk relationships are stronger in young than older people. Funding: This study did not receive any specific funding.

Combined associations of family history and self-management with age at diagnosis and cardiometabolic risk in 86,931 patients with type 2 diabetes: Joint Asia Diabetes Evaluation (JADE) Register from 11 countries.

BACKGROUND: Family history (FamH) of type 2 diabetes might indicate shared genotypes, environments, and/or behaviors. We hypothesize that FamH interacts with unhealthy behaviors to increase the risk of early onset of diabetes and poor cardiometabolic control. METHODS: In a cross-sectional analysis of the prospective Joint Asia Diabetes Evaluation Register including patients from 427 clinics in 11 Asian countries/regions in 2007-2021, we defined positive FamH as affected parents/siblings and self-management as (1) healthy lifestyles (balanced diet, non-use of alcohol and tobacco, regular physical activity) and (2) regular self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG). RESULTS: Among 86,931 patients with type 2 diabetes (mean±SD age: 56.6±11.6 years; age at diagnosis of diabetes: 49.8±10.5 years), the prevalence of FamH ranged from 39.1% to 85.3% in different areas with FamH affecting mother being most common (32.5%). The FamH group (n=51,705; 59.5%) was diagnosed 4.6 years earlier than the non-FamH group [mean (95% CI): 47.9 (47.8-48.0) vs. 52.5 (52.4-52.6), logrank p<0.001]. In the FamH group, patients with both parents affected had the earliest age at diagnosis [44.6 (44.5-44.8)], followed by affected single parent [47.7 (47.6-47.8)] and affected siblings only [51.5 (51.3-51.7), logrank p<0.001]. The FamH plus ≥2 healthy lifestyle group had similar age at diagnosis [48.2 (48.1-48.3)] as the non-FamH plus <2 healthy lifestyle group [50.1 (49.8-50.5)]. The FamH group with affected parents had higher odds of hyperglycemia, hypertension, and dyslipidemia than the FamH group with affected siblings, with the lowest odds in the non-FamH group. Self-management (healthy lifestyles plus SMBG) was associated with higher odds of attaining HbA1c<7%, blood pressure<130/80mmHg, and LDL-C<2.6 mmol/L especially in the FamH group (FamH×self-management, pinteraction=0.050-0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In Asia, FamH was common and associated with young age of diagnosis which might be delayed by healthy lifestyle while self management  was associated with better control of  cardiometabolic risk factors especially in those with FamH.

Effect of a Web-Based Management Guide on Risk Factors in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Diabetic Kidney Disease: A JADE Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and its comorbidities can be prevented by treating multiple targets. Technology-assisted team-based care with regular feedback and patient empowerment can improve the attainment of multiple targets and clinical outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes, but the effects of this intervention on patients with DKD are unclear. Objective: To evaluate the effect of the Joint Asia Diabetes Evaluation (JADE) web portal, nurse reminders, and team-based care on multiple risk factors in patients with DKD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This 12-month multinational, open-label randomized clinical trial was conducted between June 27, 2014, and February 19, 2019, at 13 hospital-based diabetes centers in 8 countries or regions in Asia. All patients who participated had DKD. The intention-to-treat data analysis was performed from April 7 to June 30, 2020. Interventions: Patients were randomized in a 1:1:1 ratio at each site to usual care, empowered care, or team-based empowered care. All patients underwent a JADE web portal-guided structured assessment at baseline and month 12. Patients in the usual care and empowered care groups received a medical follow-up. Patients in the empowered care group also received a personalized JADE report and nurse telephone calls every 3 months. Patients in the team-based empowered care group received additional face-to-face reviews every 3 months from a physician-nurse team. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the proportion of patients who attained multiple treatment targets (defined as ≥3 of 5 targets: HbA1c level <7.0% [53 mmol/mol], blood pressure <130/80 mm Hg, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level <1.8 mmol/L, triglyceride level <1.7 mmol/L, and/or persistent use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors). Results: A total of 2393 patients (mean [SD] age, 67.7 [9.8] years; 1267 men [52.9%]) were randomized to the usual care group (n = 795), empowered care group (n = 802), and team-based empowered care group (n = 796). At baseline, 34.7% patients (n = 830) were on 3 treatment targets. On intention-to-treat analysis, the team-based empowered care group had the highest proportion of patients who had further increase in attainment of multiple treatment targets (within-group differences: usual care group, 3.9% [95% CI, 0.0%-7.8%]; empowered care group, 1.3% [95% CI, -2.8% to 5.4%]; team-based empowered care group, 9.1% [95% CI, 4.7%-13.5%]). The team-based empowered care group was more likely to attain multiple treatment targets than the usual care group (risk ratio [RR], 1.17; 95% CI, 1.00-1.37) and the empowered care group (RR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.06-1.48) after adjustment for site. Compared with the group that did not attain multiple treatment targets, the group that attained multiple treatment targets reported a lower incidence of cardiovascular, kidney, and cancer events (8.4% [n = 51] vs 14.5% [n = 134]; P = .004). Analysis of the per-protocol population yielded similar results. Conclusions and Relevance: This trial found that technology-assisted team-based care for 12 months improved the attainment of multiple treatment targets as well as empowerment in patients with DKD. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02176278.

Risk Associations of Glycemic Burden and Obesity With Liver Cancer-A 10-Year Analysis of 15,280 Patients With Type 2 Diabetes.

Liver is a major site for glucose metabolism. Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity have increased risk of liver cancer. We explored the association of glycemic burden (GB) and obesity with liver cancer in T2D in the prospective Hong Kong Diabetes Register (1995-2019). We calculated GB using the area under the curve above hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) of 5.7% and defined obesity as body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m2 . We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the association between GB and liver cancer. We included 15,280 patients with at least 10 years of disease duration before liver cancer occurred or censor date, ≥3 years of observation, and ≥5 HbA1c measurements (64% male, age: 58.23 ± 12.47 years, HbA1c: 7.60 ± 1.65%, BMI: 25.58 ± 4.10 kg/m2 ). We excluded 3 years of HbA1c values before liver cancer to avoid reverse causality. Every 1-SD increase in GB was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of liver cancer of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-1.47). The top GB quartile group (range: >2.41) had aHR of 1.78 (1.01-3.13) versus the lowest quartile group (0-1.19). The aHRs for each SD increase in GB were 1.34 (1.05, 1.70) in the obese group and 1.12 (0.81-1.53) in the nonobese group, but no interaction (Pinteraction  = 0.120). When stratified by GB median (1.69 [1.13, 2.43]) and obesity, obese patients with high GB had the highest aHR of 2.51 (1.44-4.37) for liver cancer versus the nonobese group with low GB, but no interaction (Pinteraction  = 0.071). Subgroup analysis of patients with available hepatitis B surface antigen status (n = 9,248) yielded similar results. Conclusion: Our results emphasized the importance of glycemic and weight control for reducing the risk of liver cancer in T2D.

Risk associations of long-term HbA1c variability and obesity on cancer events and cancer-specific death in 15,286 patients with diabetes - A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity, cancer and diabetes frequently coexist. The association of glycaemic variability (GV) and obesity with cancer events had not been explored in diabetes. METHODS: In the prospective Hong Kong Diabetes Register cohort (1995-2019), we used cox proportional hazards models to examine the risk associations of GV with all-site cancer (primary outcome) and cause-specific death (secondary outcome). We also explored the joint association of obesity and GV with these outcomes and site-specific cancer. We expressed GV using HbA1c variability score (HVS) defined as percentage of HbA1c values varying by 0.5% compared with values in preceding visit. FINDINGS: We included 15,286 patients (type 2 diabetes: n=15,054, type 1 diabetes: n=232) with ≥10 years of diabetes and ≥3 years of observation (51.7% men, age (mean±SD): 61.04±10.73 years, HbA1c: 7.54±1.63%, body mass index [BMI]: 25.65±3.92 kg/m2, all-site cancer events: n=928, cancer death events: n=404). There were non-linear relationships between HVS and outcomes but there was linearity within the high and low HVS groups stratified by the median (IQR) value of HVS (42.31 [27.27, 56.28]). In the high HVS group, the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) of each SD of HVS was 1.15 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.26) for all-site cancer (n=874). The respective aHRs for breast (n=77), liver (n=117) and colorectal (n=184) cancer were 1.44 (1.07, 1.94), 1.37 (1.08, 1.74), and 1.09 (0.90, 1.32). In the high GV group, the respective aHRs were 1.21 (1.06, 1.39), 1.27 (1.15, 1.40), and 1.15 (1.09, 1.22) for cancer, vascular, and noncancer nonvascular death. When stratified by obesity (BMI ≥25 kg/m2), the high HVS & obese group had the highest aHRs of 1.42 (1.16, 1.73), 2.44 (1.24, 4.82), and 2.63 (1.45, 4.74) respectively for all-site, breast, and liver cancer versus the low GV & non-obese group. The respective aHRs were 1.45 (1.07, 1.96), 1.47 (1.12, 1.93), and 1.35 (1.16, 1.57) for cancer, vascular, and noncancer nonvascular death. INTERPRETATION: Obesity and high GV were associated with increased risk of all-site, breast, liver cancer, and cancer-specific death in T2D. FUNDING: The Chinese University of Hong Kong Diabetes Research Fund.

Effects of a Technology-Assisted Integrated Diabetes Care Program on Cardiometabolic Risk Factors Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes in the Asia-Pacific Region: The JADE Program Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Many health care systems lack the efficiency, preparedness, or resources needed to address the increasing number of patients with type 2 diabetes, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Objective: To examine the effects of a quality improvement intervention comprising information and communications technology and contact with nonphysician personnel on the care and cardiometabolic risk factors of patients with type 2 diabetes in 8 Asia-Pacific countries. Design, Setting, and Participants: This 12-month multinational open-label randomized clinical trial was conducted from June 28, 2012, to April 28, 2016, at 50 primary care or hospital-based diabetes centers in 8 Asia-Pacific countries (India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam). Six countries were low and middle income, and 2 countries were high income. The study was conducted in 2 phases; phase 1 enrolled 7537 participants, and phase 2 enrolled 13 297 participants. Participants in both phases were randomized on a 1:1 ratio to intervention or control groups. Data were analyzed by intention to treat and per protocol from July 3, 2019, to July 21, 2020. Interventions: In both phases, the intervention group received 3 care components: a nurse-led Joint Asia Diabetes Evaluation (JADE) technology-guided structured evaluation, automated personalized reports to encourage patient empowerment, and 2 or more telephone or face-to-face contacts by nurses to increase patient engagement. In phase 1, the control group received the JADE technology-guided structured evaluation and automated personalized reports. In phase 2, the control group received the JADE technology-guided structured evaluation only. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the incidence of a composite of diabetes-associated end points, including cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, visual impairment or eye surgery, lower extremity amputation or foot ulcers requiring hospitalization, all-site cancers, and death. The secondary outcomes were the attainment of 2 or more primary diabetes-associated targets (glycated hemoglobin A1c <7.0%, blood pressure <130/80 mm Hg, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol <100 mg/dL) and/or 2 or more key performance indices (reduction in glycated hemoglobin A1c≥0.5%, reduction in systolic blood pressure ≥5 mm Hg, reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≥19 mg/dL, and reduction in body weight ≥3.0%). Results: A total of 20 834 patients with type 2 diabetes were randomized in phases 1 and 2. In phase 1, 7537 participants (mean [SD] age, 60.0 [11.3] years; 3914 men [51.9%]; 4855 patients [64.4%] from low- and middle-income countries) were randomized, with 3732 patients allocated to the intervention group and 3805 patients allocated to the control group. In phase 2, 13 297 participants (mean [SD] age, 54.0 [11.1] years; 7754 men [58.3%]; 13 297 patients [100%] from low- and middle-income countries) were randomized, with 6645 patients allocated to the intervention group and 6652 patients allocated to the control group. In phase 1, compared with the control group, the intervention group had a similar risk of experiencing any of the primary outcomes (odds ratio [OR], 0.94; 95% CI, 0.74-1.21) but had an increased likelihood of attaining 2 or more primary targets (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.21-1.49) and 2 or more key performance indices (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.04-1.34). In phase 2, the intervention group also had a similar risk of experiencing any of the primary outcomes (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.83-1.25) and had a greater likelihood of attaining 2 or more primary targets (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.14-1.37) and 2 or more key performance indices (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.33-1.68) compared with the control group. For attainment of 2 or more primary targets, larger effects were observed among patients in low- and middle-income countries (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.29-1.74) compared with high-income countries (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.03-1.39) (P = .04). Conclusions and Relevance: In this 12-month clinical trial, the use of information and communications technology and nurses to empower and engage patients did not change the number of clinical events but did reduce cardiometabolic risk factors among patients with type 2 diabetes, especially those in low- and middle-income countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01631084.

Effects of lifestyle intervention on long-term risk of diabetes in women with prior gestational diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

We performed two meta-analyses to estimate the effects of lifestyle intervention during pregnancy and after delivery on the risk of postpartum diabetes among women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). We searched the major databases to retrieve articles published in English or Chinese before 15 December 2019. The inclusion criteria were randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of diet, physical activity or both, conducted during or after pregnancy among women with GDM. The exclusion criteria were (1) having type 1 or type 2 diabetes before the intervention and (2) without postpartum diabetes documented. Fixed-effects model analysis was used to obtain the pooled relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of lifestyle intervention for diabetes in women with GDM. Four RCTs were identified to have implemented the intervention during pregnancy (n = 2883) and 10 to have conducted it within 3 years after delivery (n = 1733). Lifestyle intervention during pregnancy was not effective at reducing the risk of postpartum diabetes (RR: 0.91, 95%CI: 0.66-1.25). However, lifestyle intervention initiated within 3 years after delivery was highly effective in reducing the risk of postpartum diabetes (pooled RR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.42-0.78). In conclusion, our findings support the early initiation of lifestyle intervention in women with GDM for the prevention of diabetes.

Diabetes, metabolic disease, and telomere length.

Telomeres are regions of repetitive nucleotide sequences at the ends of chromosomes. Telomere length is a marker of DNA damage, which is often considered a biomarker for biological ageing, and has also been linked with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and cancer. Emerging studies have highlighted the role of genetic and environmental factors, and explored the effect of modulating telomere length. We provide an overview of studies to date on diabetes and telomere length, and compare different methods and assays for evaluating telomere length and telomerase activity. We highlight the limitations of current studies and areas that warrant further research to unravel the link between diabetes and telomere length. The value of adding telomere length to clinical risk factors to improve risk prediction of diabetes and related complications also merits further investigation.

Association of technologically assisted integrated care with clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes in Hong Kong using the prospective JADE Program: A retrospective cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes outcomes are influenced by host factors, settings, and care processes. We examined the association of data-driven integrated care assisted by information and communications technology (ICT) with clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes in public and private healthcare settings. METHODS AND FINDINGS: The web-based Joint Asia Diabetes Evaluation (JADE) platform provides a protocol to guide data collection for issuing a personalized JADE report including risk categories (1-4, low-high), 5-year probabilities of cardiovascular-renal events, and trends and targets of 4 risk factors with tailored decision support. The JADE program is a prospective cohort study implemented in a naturalistic environment where patients underwent nurse-led structured evaluation (blood/urine/eye/feet) in public and private outpatient clinics and diabetes centers in Hong Kong. We retrospectively analyzed the data of 16,624 Han Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes who were enrolled in 2007-2015. In the public setting, the non-JADE group (n = 3,587) underwent structured evaluation for risk factors and complications only, while the JADE (n = 9,601) group received a JADE report with group empowerment by nurses. In a community-based, nurse-led, university-affiliated diabetes center (UDC), the JADE-Personalized (JADE-P) group (n = 3,436) received a JADE report, personalized empowerment, and annual telephone reminder for reevaluation and engagement. The primary composite outcome was time to the first occurrence of cardiovascular-renal diseases, all-site cancer, and/or death, based on hospitalization data censored on 30 June 2017. During 94,311 person-years of follow-up in 2007-2017, 7,779 primary events occurred. Compared with the JADE group (136.22 cases per 1,000 patient-years [95% CI 132.35-140.18]), the non-JADE group had higher (145.32 [95% CI 138.68-152.20]; P = 0.020) while the JADE-P group had lower event rates (70.94 [95% CI 67.12-74.91]; P < 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for the primary composite outcome were 1.22 (95% CI 1.15-1.30) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.66-0.75), respectively, independent of risk profiles, education levels, drug usage, self-care, and comorbidities at baseline. We reported consistent results in propensity-score-matched analyses and after accounting for loss to follow-up. Potential limitations include its nonrandomized design that precludes causal inference, residual confounding, and participation bias. CONCLUSIONS: ICT-assisted integrated care was associated with a reduction in clinical events, including death in type 2 diabetes in public and private healthcare settings.

Relationships of adipocyte-fatty acid binding protein and lipocalin 2 with risk factors and chronic complications in type 2 diabetes and effects of fenofibrate: A fenofibrate Intervention and event lowering in diabetes sub-study.

AIMS: To investigate determinants of circulating levels of adipocyte-fatty acid binding protein (A-FABP) and lipocalin-2 (LCN2), their relationships with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and microvascular events, and effects of fenofibrate in type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: A-FABP and LCN2 were quantified in baseline plasma from 2000 T2D adults in a Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) trial sub-study and correlates thereof determined. In a subset (n = 200) adipokines were also measured on-trial. RESULTS: Female sex, older age, higher body mass index (BMI), HbA1c, insulin resistance index, triglycerides, plasma creatinine and homocysteine, shorter diabetes duration, and use of oral hypoglycaemic agents alone were independent determinants of higher A-FABP. Higher BMI, fibrinogen and homocysteine, Caucasian race, and lower fasting glucose, HDL-cholesterol, apolipoprotein A-II and estimated glomerular filtration rate were independent predictors of higher LCN2 levels. Baseline A-FABP and LCN2 levels were associated with multiple new CVD and microvascular events over 5-years, though significance was lost after risk factor adjustment. Fenofibrate increased A-FABP but did not change LCN2 levels. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline plasma A-FABP and LCN2 levels were associated with concurrent CVD risk factors, and on-trial chronic complications, likely mediated via traditional risk factors. Fenofibrate increased A-FABP modestly but did not affect LCN2 levels. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN 64783481.

Obesity, clinical, and genetic predictors for glycemic progression in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes: A cohort study using the Hong Kong Diabetes Register and Hong Kong Diabetes Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a progressive disease whereby there is often deterioration in glucose control despite escalation in treatment. There is significant heterogeneity to this progression of glycemia after onset of diabetes, yet the factors that influence glycemic progression are not well understood. Given the tremendous burden of diabetes in the Chinese population, and limited knowledge on factors that influence glycemia, we aim to identify the clinical and genetic predictors for glycemic progression in Chinese patients with T2D. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In 1995-2007, 7,091 insulin-naïve Chinese patients (mean age 56.8 ± 13.3 [SD] years; mean age of T2D onset 51.1 ± 12.7 years; 47% men; 28.4% current or ex-smokers; median duration of diabetes 4 [IQR: 1-9] years; mean HbA1c 7.4% ± 1.7%; mean body mass index [BMI] 25.3 ± 4.0 kg/m2) were followed prospectively in the Hong Kong Diabetes Register. We examined associations of BMI and other clinical and genetic factors with glycemic progression defined as requirement of continuous insulin treatment, or 2 consecutive HbA1c ≥8.5% while on ≥2 oral glucose-lowering drugs (OGLDs), with validation in another multicenter cohort of Hong Kong Diabetes Biobank. During a median follow-up period of 8.8 (IQR: 4.8-13.3) years, incidence of glycemic progression was 48.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] 46.3-49.8) per 1,000 person-years with 2,519 patients started on insulin. Among the latter, 33.2% had a lag period of 1.3 years before insulin was initiated. Risk of progression was associated with extremes of BMI and high HbA1c. On multivariate Cox analysis, early age at diagnosis, microvascular complications, high triglyceride levels, and tobacco use were additional independent predictors for glycemic progression. A polygenic risk score (PRS) including 123 known risk variants for T2D also predicted rapid progression to insulin therapy (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.07 [95% CI 1.03-1.12] per SD; P = 0.001), with validation in the replication cohort (HR: 1.24 [95% CI 1.06-1.46] per SD; P = 0.008). A PRS using 63 BMI-related variants predicted BMI (beta [SE] = 0.312 [0.057] per SD; P = 5.84 × 10-8) but not glycemic progression (HR: 1.01 [95% CI 0.96-1.05] per SD; P = 0.747). Limitations of this study include potential misdiagnosis of T2D and lack of detailed data of drug use during follow-up in the replication cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that approximately 5% of patients with T2D failed OGLDs annually in this clinic-based cohort. The independent associations of modifiable and genetic risk factors allow more precise identification of high-risk patients for early intensive control of multiple risk factors to prevent glycemic progression.