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BACKGROUND: In the management of ulcerative colitis (UC), histological remission is increasingly recognized as the ultimate goal. The absence of neutrophil infiltration is crucial for assessing remission. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system capable of accurately quantifying and localizing neutrophils in UC biopsy specimens to facilitate histological assessment. METHODS: Our AI system, which incorporates semantic segmentation and object detection models, was developed to identify neutrophils in hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole slide images. The system assessed the presence and location of neutrophils within either the epithelium or lamina propria and predicted components of the Nancy Histological Index and the PICaSSO Histologic Remission Index. We evaluated the system's performance against that of experienced pathologists and validated its ability to predict future clinical relapse risk in patients with clinically remitted UC. The primary outcome measure was the clinical relapse rate, defined as a partial Mayo score of ≥3. RESULTS: The model accurately identified neutrophils, achieving a performance of 0.77, 0.81, and 0.79 for precision, recall, and F-score, respectively. The system's histological score predictions showed a positive correlation with the pathologists' diagnoses (Spearman's ρ = 0.68-0.80; P < .05). Among patients who relapsed, the mean number of neutrophils in the rectum was higher than in those who did not relapse. Furthermore, the study highlighted that higher AI-based PICaSSO Histologic Remission Index and Nancy Histological Index scores were associated with hazard ratios increasing from 3.2 to 5.0 for evaluating the risk of UC relapse. CONCLUSIONS: The AI system's precise localization and quantification of neutrophils proved valuable for histological assessment and clinical prognosis stratification.
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BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: The Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) is the most popular endoscopic disease activity measure of ulcerative colitis (UC). Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted colonoscopy is expected to reduce diagnostic variability among endoscopists. However, no study has been conducted to ascertain whether AI-based MES assignments can help predict clinical relapse, nor has AI been verified to improve the diagnostic performance of non-specialists. METHODS: This open-label, prospective cohort study enrolled 110 patients with UC in clinical remission. The AI algorithm was developed using 74713 images from 898 patients who underwent colonoscopy at three centers. Patients were followed up after colonoscopy for 12 months, and clinical relapse was defined as a partial Mayo score >2. A multi-video, multi-reader analysis involving 124 videos was conducted to determine whether the AI system reduced the diagnostic variability among six non-specialists. RESULTS: The clinical relapse rate for patients with AI-based MES = 1 (24.5% [12/49]) was significantly higher (log-rank test, P = 0.01) than that for patients with AI-based MES = 0 (3.2% [1/31]). Relapse occurred during the 12-month follow-up period in 16.2% (13/80) of patients with AI-based MES = 0 or 1 and 50.0% (10/20) of those with AI-based MES = 2 or 3 (log-rank test, P = 0.03). Using AI resulted in better inter- and intra-observer reproducibility than endoscopists alone. CONCLUSIONS: Colonoscopy using the AI-based MES system can stratify the risk of clinical relapse in patients with UC and improve the diagnostic performance of non-specialists.
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Mounting evidence underscores the pivotal role of the intestinal barrier and its convoluted network with diet and intestinal microbiome in the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and colitis-associated colorectal cancer (CRC). Moreover, the bidirectional association of the intestinal barrier with the liver and brain, known as the gut-brain axis, plays a crucial role in developing complications, including extraintestinal manifestations of IBD and CRC metastasis. Consequently, barrier healing represents a crucial therapeutic target in these inflammatory-dependent disorders, with barrier assessment predicting disease outcomes, response to therapy and extraintestinal manifestations.New advanced technologies are revolutionising our understanding of the barrier paradigm, enabling the accurate assessment of the intestinal barrier and aiding in unravelling the complexity of the gut-brain axis. Cutting-edge endoscopic imaging techniques, such as ultra-high magnification endocytoscopy and probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy, are new technologies allowing real-time exploration of the 'cellular' intestinal barrier. Additionally, novel advanced spatial imaging technology platforms, including multispectral imaging, upconversion nanoparticles, digital spatial profiling, optical spectroscopy and mass cytometry, enable a deep and comprehensive assessment of the 'molecular' and 'ultrastructural' barrier. In this promising landscape, artificial intelligence plays a pivotal role in standardising and integrating these novel tools, thereby contributing to barrier assessment and prediction of outcomes.Looking ahead, this integrated and comprehensive approach holds the promise of uncovering new therapeutic targets, breaking the therapeutic ceiling in IBD. Novel molecules, dietary interventions and microbiome modulation strategies aim to restore, reinforce, or modulate the gut-brain axis. These advancements have the potential for transformative and personalised approaches to managing IBD.
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Integrating artificial intelligence into inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has the potential to revolutionise clinical practice and research. Artificial intelligence harnesses advanced algorithms to deliver accurate assessments of IBD endoscopy and histology, offering precise evaluations of disease activity, standardised scoring, and outcome prediction. Furthermore, artificial intelligence offers the potential for a holistic endo-histo-omics approach by interlacing and harmonising endoscopy, histology, and omics data towards precision medicine. The emerging applications of artificial intelligence could pave the way for personalised medicine in IBD, offering patient stratification for the most beneficial therapy with minimal risk. Although artificial intelligence holds promise, challenges remain, including data quality, standardisation, reproducibility, scarcity of randomised controlled trials, clinical implementation, ethical concerns, legal liability, and regulatory issues. The development of standardised guidelines and interdisciplinary collaboration, including policy makers and regulatory agencies, is crucial for addressing these challenges and advancing artificial intelligence in IBD clinical practice and trials.
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Inteligência Artificial , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais , Medicina de Precisão , Humanos , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/patologia , Medicina de Precisão/métodos , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal/métodosRESUMO
This systematic review evaluated the current status of AI-assisted colonoscopy to identify histologic remission and predict the clinical outcomes of patients with ulcerative colitis. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) has increased substantially across several medical fields, including gastrointestinal endoscopy. Evidence suggests that it may be helpful to predict histologic remission and relapse, which would be beneficial because current histological diagnosis is limited by the inconvenience of obtaining biopsies and the high cost and time-intensiveness of pathological diagnosis. MEDLINE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched for studies published between January 1, 2000, and October 31, 2023. Nine studies fulfilled the selection criteria and were included; five evaluated the prediction of histologic remission, two assessed the prediction of clinical outcomes, and two evaluated both. Seven were prospective observational or cohort studies, while two were retrospective observational studies. No randomized controlled trials were identified. AI-assisted colonoscopy demonstrated sensitivity between 65 %-98 % and specificity values of 80 %-97 % for identifying histologic remission. Furthermore, it was able to predict future relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis. However, several challenges and barriers still exist to its routine clinical application, which should be overcome before the true potential of AI-assisted colonoscopy can be fully realized.
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Inteligência Artificial , Colite Ulcerativa , Colonoscopia , Colite Ulcerativa/patologia , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico , Humanos , Colonoscopia/métodos , Indução de Remissão , Recidiva , Estudos Observacionais como AssuntoAssuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Colite Ulcerativa , Humanos , Colite Ulcerativa/tratamento farmacológico , Colite Ulcerativa/patologia , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico , Criança , Resultado do Tratamento , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Colo/patologia , Colo/efeitos dos fármacos , Colo/diagnóstico por imagem , BiópsiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Image-enhanced endoscopy has attracted attention as a method for detecting inflammation and predicting outcomes in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC); however, the procedure requires specialist endoscopists. Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted image-enhanced endoscopy may help nonexperts provide objective accurate predictions with the use of optical imaging. We aimed to develop a novel AI-based system using 8853 images from 167 patients with UC to diagnose "vascular-healing" and establish the role of AI-based vascular-healing for predicting the outcomes of patients with UC. METHODS: This open-label prospective cohort study analyzed data for 104 patients with UC in clinical remission. Endoscopists performed colonoscopy using the AI system, which identified the target mucosa as AI-based vascular-active or vascular-healing. Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES), AI outputs, and histologic assessment were recorded for 6 colorectal segments from each patient. Patients were followed up for 12 months. Clinical relapse was defined as a partial Mayo score >2 RESULTS: The clinical relapse rate was significantly higher in the AI-based vascular-active group (23.9% [16/67]) compared with the AI-based vascular-healing group (3.0% [1/33)]; P = .01). In a subanalysis predicting clinical relapse in patients with MES ≤1, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the combination of complete endoscopic remission and vascular healing (0.70) was increased compared with that for complete endoscopic remission alone (0.65). CONCLUSIONS: AI-based vascular-healing diagnosis system may potentially be used to provide more confidence to physicians to accurately identify patients in remission of UC who would likely relapse rather than remain stable.
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Inteligência Artificial , Colite Ulcerativa , Colonoscopia , Recidiva , Humanos , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico , Colite Ulcerativa/patologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Feminino , Masculino , Colonoscopia/métodos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mucosa Intestinal/patologia , Mucosa Intestinal/diagnóstico por imagem , Colo/patologia , Colo/diagnóstico por imagem , Colo/irrigação sanguínea , Estudos de Coortes , Curva ROC , Adulto Jovem , Cicatrização , IdosoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Computer-aided characterization (CADx) may be used to implement optical biopsy strategies into colonoscopy practice; however, its impact on endoscopic diagnosis remains unknown. We aimed to evaluate the additional diagnostic value of CADx when used by endoscopists for assessing colorectal polyps. METHODS: This was a single-center, multicase, multireader, image-reading study using randomly extracted images of pathologically confirmed polyps resected between July 2021 and January 2022. Approved CADx that could predict two-tier classification (neoplastic or nonneoplastic) by analyzing narrow-band images of the polyps was used to obtain a CADx diagnosis. Participating endoscopists determined if the polyps were neoplastic or not and noted their confidence level using a computer-based, image-reading test. The test was conducted twice with a 4-week interval: the first test was conducted without CADx prediction and the second test with CADx prediction. Diagnostic performances for neoplasms were calculated using the pathological diagnosis as reference and performances with and without CADx prediction were compared. RESULTS: Five hundred polyps were randomly extracted from 385 patients and diagnosed by 14 endoscopists (including seven experts). The sensitivity for neoplasia was significantly improved by referring to CADx (89.4% vs. 95.6%). CADx also had incremental effects on the negative predictive value (69.3% vs. 84.3%), overall accuracy (87.2% vs. 91.8%), and high-confidence diagnosis rate (77.4% vs. 85.8%). However, there was no significant difference in specificity (80.1% vs. 78.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Computer-aided characterization has added diagnostic value for differentiating colorectal neoplasms and may improve the high-confidence diagnosis rate.
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Pólipos do Colo , Neoplasias Colorretais , Humanos , Pólipos do Colo/diagnóstico , Pólipos do Colo/patologia , Colonoscopia/métodos , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgia , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Computadores , Imagem de Banda Estreita/métodosRESUMO
Precision endoscopy in the management of colorectal polyps and early colorectal cancer has emerged as the standard of care. It includes optical characterization of polyps and estimation of submucosal invasion depth of large nonpedunculated colorectal polyps to select the appropriate endoscopic resection modality. Over time, several imaging modalities have been implemented in endoscopic practice to improve optical performance. Among these, image-enhanced endoscopy systems and magnification endoscopy represent now well-established tools. New advanced technologies, such as endocytoscopy and confocal laser endomicroscopy, have recently shown promising results in predicting the histology of colorectal polyps. In recent years, artificial intelligence has continued to enhance endoscopic performance in the characterization of colorectal polyps, overcoming the limitations of other imaging modes. In this review we retrace the path of precision endoscopy, analyzing the yield of various endoscopic imaging techniques in personalizing management of colorectal polyps and early colorectal cancer.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) are at risk of developing colorectal cancer. The feasibility of endoscopic resection (ER) for UC-associated neoplasia has been suggested, but its efficacy and safety remain unclear. We aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of ER for colorectal neoplasms in patients with UC. METHODS: This was a retrospective, multicenter cohort study of patients with UC who initially underwent ER or surgery for colorectal neoplasms between April 2015 and March 2021. Patients who had prior colorectal neoplastic lesions were excluded. RESULTS: Among 213 men and 123 women analyzed, the mean age at UC onset was 41.6 years, and the mean age at neoplasia diagnosis was 56.1 years for 240 cases of total colitis, 59 cases of left-sided colitis, 31 cases of proctitis, and 6 cases of segmental colitis. EMR was performed for 142 lesions, and endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) was performed for 96 lesions. The perforation rate was 2.5% for all 238 lesions removed by ER and 6.3% for the 96 lesions removed by ESD. Among 146 ER lesions followed up with endoscopy, the local recurrence rate was 2.7%. The incidence of metachronous neoplasia after ER was 6.1%. All patients were followed a median of 34.7 months after initial treatment, and 5 died (all surgical cases). Overall survival was significantly higher in the ER group than in the surgery group (P = .0085). CONCLUSIONS: ER for colorectal neoplasms in UC may be acceptable in selected cases, although follow-up for metachronous lesions is necessary.
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OBJECTIVES: Lymph node metastasis (LNM) prediction for T1 colorectal cancer (CRC) is critical for determining the need for surgery after endoscopic resection because LNM occurs in 10%. We aimed to develop a novel artificial intelligence (AI) system using whole slide images (WSIs) to predict LNM. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective single center study. To train and test the AI model, we included LNM status-confirmed T1 and T2 CRC between April 2001 and October 2021. These lesions were divided into two cohorts: training (T1 and T2) and testing (T1). WSIs were cropped into small patches and clustered by unsupervised K-means. The percentage of patches belonging to each cluster was calculated from each WSI. Each cluster's percentage, sex, and tumor location were extracted and learned using the random forest algorithm. We calculated the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) to identify the LNM and the rate of over-surgery of the AI model and the guidelines. RESULTS: The training cohort contained 217 T1 and 268 T2 CRCs, while 100 T1 cases (LNM-positivity 15%) were the test cohort. The AUC of the AI system for the test cohort was 0.74 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58-0.86), and 0.52 (95% CI 0.50-0.55) using the guidelines criteria (P = 0.0028). This AI model could reduce the 21% of over-surgery compared to the guidelines. CONCLUSION: We developed a pathologist-independent predictive model for LNM in T1 CRC using WSI for determination of the need for surgery after endoscopic resection. TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000046992, https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000053590).
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Inteligência Artificial , Neoplasias Colorretais , Humanos , Metástase Linfática/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Endoscopia , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgia , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Linfonodos/patologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mucin depletion is one of the histological indicators of clinical relapse among patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). Mucin depletion is evaluated semiquantitatively by pathologists using histological images. Therefore, the interobserver concordance is not extremely high, and an objective evaluation method is needed. This study was conducted to demonstrate that our automated quantitative method using a deep learning-based model is useful in predicting the prognosis of patients with UC. METHODS: Deep learning-based models were trained to detect goblet cell mucus area from whole slide images of biopsy specimens. This study involved 114 patients with UC in endoscopic remission with a partial Mayo score of ≤ 1. Biopsy specimens were collected during colonoscopy, and the ratio of goblet cell mucus area to the epithelial cell and goblet cell mucus area was calculated as goblet cell ratio (GCR). The follow-up time was 12 months, and the primary outcome was the relapse rate. Clinical relapse was defined as partial Mayo score of ≥ 3. RESULTS: Sixteen patients (14%) experienced clinical relapse. In the relapsed group, the GCRs of specimens obtained from the cecum, ascending colon, and rectum were significantly lower than those of specimens in the relapse-free group (p = 0.010, p = 0.027, p < 0.01). In the rectum, patients with a GCR of ≤ 12% had a significantly higher relapse rate than those with a GCR of > 12% (45% [10/22] vs. 6.5% [6/92]; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Quantifying goblet cell mucus areas using a deep learning-based model is useful in predicting the clinical relapse in patients with UC in clinical and endoscopic remission.
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Colite Ulcerativa , Aprendizado Profundo , Células Caliciformes , Mucinas , Humanos , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico por imagem , Colite Ulcerativa/patologia , Colonoscopia , Células Caliciformes/patologia , Mucosa Intestinal/diagnóstico por imagem , Mucosa Intestinal/patologia , Mucinas/deficiência , Muco , Recidiva , Indução de Remissão , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Advances in endoscopic technology, including magnifying and image-enhanced techniques, have been attracting increasing attention for the optical characterization of colorectal lesions. These techniques are being implemented into clinical practice as cost-effective and real-time approaches. Additionally, with the recent progress in endoscopic interventions, endoscopic resection is gaining acceptance as a treatment option in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). Therefore, accurate preoperative characterization of lesions is now required. However, lesion characterization in patients with UC may be difficult because UC is often affected by inflammation, and it may be characterized by a distinct "bottom-up" growth pattern, and even expert endoscopists have relatively little experience with such cases. In this systematic review, we assessed the current status and limitations of the use of optical characterization of lesions in patients with UC. METHODS: A literature search of online databases (MEDLINE via PubMed and CENTRAL via the Cochrane Library) was performed from 1 January 2000 to 30 November 2021. RESULTS: The database search initially identified 748 unique articles. Finally, 25 studies were included in the systematic review: 23 focused on differentiation of neoplasia from non-neoplasia, one focused on differentiation of UC-associated neoplasia from sporadic neoplasia, and one focused on differentiation of low-grade dysplasia from high-grade dysplasia and cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Optical characterization of neoplasia in patients with UC, even using advanced endoscopic technology, is still challenging and several issues remain to be addressed. We believe that the information revealed in this review will encourage researchers to commit to the improvement of optical diagnostics for UC-associated lesions.
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Colite Ulcerativa , Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias , Humanos , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico , Colite Ulcerativa/cirurgia , Colite Ulcerativa/complicações , Colonoscopia/métodos , Hiperplasia/complicações , Tecnologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/etiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Ulcerative colitis-associated neoplasias (UCAN) are often flat with an indistinct boundary from surrounding tissues, which makes differentiating UCAN from non-neoplasias difficult. Pit pattern (PIT) has been reported as one of the most effective indicators to identify UCAN. However, regenerated mucosa is also often diagnosed as a neoplastic PIT. Endocytoscopy (EC) allows visualization of cell nuclei. The aim of this retrospective study was to demonstrate the diagnostic ability of combined EC irregularly-formed nuclei with PIT (EC-IN-PIT) diagnosis to identify UCAN. METHODS: This study involved patients with ulcerative colitis whose lesions were observed by EC. Each lesion was diagnosed by two independent expert endoscopists, using two types of diagnostic strategies: PIT alone and EC-IN-PIT. We evaluated and compared the diagnostic abilities of PIT alone and EC-IN-PIT. We also examined the difference in the diagnostic abilities of an EC-IN-PIT diagnosis according to endoscopic inflammation severity. RESULTS: We analyzed 103 lesions from 62 patients; 23 lesions were UCAN and 80 were non-neoplastic. EC-IN-PIT diagnosis had a significantly higher specificity and accuracy compared with PIT alone: 84% versus 58% (P < 0.001), and 88% versus 67% (P < 0.01), respectively. The specificity and accuracy were significantly higher for Mayo endoscopic score (MES) 0-1 than MES 2-3: 93% versus 68% (P < 0.001) and 95% versus 74% (P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our novel EC-IN-PIT strategy had a better diagnostic ability than PIT alone to predict UCAN from suspected and initially detected lesions using conventional colonoscopy. UMIN clinical trial (UMIN000040698).
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Colite Ulcerativa , Neoplasias Colorretais , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico por imagem , Colonoscopia , Humanos , Projetos Piloto , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
With the prevalence of endoscopic submucosal dissection and endoscopic full thickness resection, which enable complete resection of T1 colorectal cancer with a negative margin, the treatment strategy following endoscopic resection has become more important. The necessity of secondary surgical resection is determined on the basis of the risk of lymph node metastasis according to the histopathological findings of resected specimens because ~10% of T1 colorectal cancer cases have lymph node metastasis. The current Japanese treatment guidelines state four risk factors for lymph node metastasis: lymphovascular invasion, histological differentiation, depth of submucosal invasion, and tumor budding. These guidelines have succeeded in stratifying the low-risk group for lymph node metastasis, in which endoscopic resection alone is acceptable for cure. On the other hand, there are some problems: there is variation in diagnosis methods and low interobserver agreement for each pathological factor and 90% of surgical resections are unnecessary, with lymph node metastasis negativity. To ensure patients with T1 colorectal cancer receive more appropriate treatment, these problems should be addressed. In this systematic review, we gave some suggestions to these practical issues of four pathological factors as predictors.
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Neoplasias Colorretais , Ressecção Endoscópica de Mucosa , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/cirurgia , Humanos , Linfonodos/patologia , Linfonodos/cirurgia , Metástase Linfática , Invasividade Neoplásica/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The use of artificial intelligence (AI) during colonoscopy is attracting attention as an endoscopist-independent tool to predict histologic disease activity of ulcerative colitis (UC). However, no study has evaluated the real-time use of AI to directly predict clinical relapse of UC. Hence, it is unclear whether the real-time use of AI during colonoscopy helps clinicians make real-time decisions regarding treatment interventions for patients with UC. This study aimed to establish the role of real-time AI in stratifying the relapse risk of patients with UC in clinical remission. METHODS: This open-label, prospective, cohort study was conducted in a referral center. The cohort comprised 145 consecutive patients with UC in clinical remission who underwent AI-assisted colonoscopy with a contact-microscopy function. We classified patients into either the Healing group or Active group based on the AI outputs during colonoscopy. The primary outcome measure was clinical relapse of UC (defined as a partial Mayo score >2) during 12 months of follow-up after colonoscopy. RESULTS: Overall, 135 patients completed the 12-month follow-up after AI-assisted colonoscopy. AI-assisted colonoscopy classified 61 patients as the Healing group and 74 as the Active group. The relapse rate was significantly higher in the AI-Active group (28.4% [21/74]; 95% confidence interval, 18.5%-40.1%) than in the AI-Healing group (4.9% [3/61]; 95% confidence interval, 1.0%-13.7%; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Real-time use of AI predicts the risk of clinical relapse in patients with UC in clinical remission, which helps clinicians make real-time decisions regarding treatment interventions. (Clinical trial registration number: UMIN000036650.).
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Colite Ulcerativa , Inteligência Artificial , Estudos de Coortes , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico por imagem , Colite Ulcerativa/tratamento farmacológico , Colonoscopia , Humanos , Mucosa Intestinal/patologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Recidiva , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Complete endoscopic healing, defined as Mayo endoscopic score (MES) = 0, is an optimal target in the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). However, some patients with MES = 0 show clinical relapse within 12 months. Histologic goblet mucin depletion has emerged as a predictor of clinical relapse in patients with MES = 0. We observed goblet depletion in vivo using an endocytoscope, and analyzed the association between goblet appearance and future prognosis in UC patients. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, all enrolled UC patients had MES = 0 and confirmed clinical remission between October 2016 and March 2020. We classified the patients into two groups according to the goblet appearance status: preserved-goblet and depleted-goblet groups. We followed the patients until March 2021 and evaluated the difference in cumulative clinical relapse rates between the two groups. RESULTS: We identified 125 patients with MES = 0 as the study subjects. Five patients were subsequently excluded. Thus, we analyzed the data for 120 patients, of whom 39 were classified as the preserved-goblet group and 81 as the depleted-goblet group. The patients were followed-up for a median of 549 days. During follow-up, the depleted-goblet group had a significantly higher cumulative clinical relapse rate than the preserved-goblet group (19% [15/81] vs. 5% [2/39], respectively; P = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Observing goblet appearance in vivo allowed us to better predict the future prognosis of UC patients with MES = 0. This approach may assist clinicians with onsite decision-making regarding treatment interventions without a biopsy.