Development and validation of a predictive model for choledocholithiasis.

BACKGROUND: Gallstone-related conditions affect a significant portion of the population, with varying prevalence among different ethnic groups. Complications such as pancreatitis and cholangitis are associated with the presence of common bile duct (CBD) stones. Existing guidelines for diagnosing choledocholithiasis lack precision, leading to excessive use of invasive procedures like endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). METHODS: A prospective study was conducted at Hospital Central "Dr. Ignacio Morones Prieto," involving 374 patients in the development cohort and 154 patients in the validation cohort. Patients meeting inclusion criteria underwent biochemical testing and ultrasonography. A predictive scoring system was developed using logistic regression and validated in an independent cohort. Clinical and laboratory variables were collected, and model performance was assessed using receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: The predictive model incorporated variables such as age, pancreatitis, cholangitis, bilirubin levels, and CBD stone presence on ultrasound. The model demonstrated an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 93.81% in the validation dataset. By adjusting the threshold defining high-risk probability to 40%, the model improved specificity and sensitivity compared to existing guidelines. Notably, the model reclassified patients, leading to a more accurate risk assessment. CONCLUSIONS: The developed algorithm accurately predicts choledocholithiasis non-invasively in patients with symptomatic gallstones. This tool has the potential to reduce reliance on costly or invasive procedures like magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography and ERCP, offering a more efficient and cost-effective approach to patient management. The user-friendly calculator developed in this study could streamline diagnostic procedures, particularly in resource-limited healthcare settings, ultimately improving patient care.

Update of the guidelines for the pharmacological treatment of rheumatoid arthritis by the Mexican College of Rheumatology 2023.

OBJECTIVE: To develop updated guidelines for the pharmacological management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: A group of experts representative of different geographical regions and various medical services catering to the Mexican population with RA was formed. Questions based on Population, Intervention, Comparison, and Outcome (PICO) were developed, deemed clinically relevant. These questions were answered based on the results of a recent systematic literature review (SLR), and the evidence's validity was assessed using the GRADE system, considered a standard for these purposes. Subsequently, the expert group reached consensus on the direction and strength of recommendations through a multi-stage voting process. RESULTS: The updated guidelines for RA treatment stratify various therapeutic options, including different classes of DMARDs (conventional, biologicals, and JAK inhibitors), as well as NSAIDs, glucocorticoids, and analgesics. By consensus, it establishes the use of these in different subpopulations of interest among RA patients and addresses aspects related to vaccination, COVID-19, surgery, pregnancy and lactation, and others. CONCLUSIONS: This update of the Mexican guidelines for the pharmacological treatment of RA provides reference points for evidence-based decision-making, recommending patient participation in joint decision-making to achieve the greatest benefit for our patients. It also establishes recommendations for managing a variety of relevant conditions affecting our patients.

Impact of Risk Factors on COVID-19 Outcomes in Unvaccinated People With Rheumatic Diseases: A Comparative Analysis of Pandemic Epochs Using the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance Registry.

OBJECTIVE: Approximately one third of individuals worldwide have not received a COVID-19 vaccine. Although studies have investigated risk factors linked to severe COVID-19 among unvaccinated people with rheumatic diseases (RDs), we know less about whether these factors changed as the pandemic progressed. We aimed to identify risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 in unvaccinated individuals in different pandemic epochs corresponding to major variants of concern. METHODS: Patients with RDs and COVID-19 were entered into the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance Registry between March 2020 and June 2022. An ordinal logistic regression model (not hospitalized, hospitalized, and death) was used with date of COVID-19 diagnosis, age, sex, race and/or ethnicity, comorbidities, RD activity, medications, and the human development index (HDI) as covariates. The main analysis included all unvaccinated patients across COVID-19 pandemic epochs; subanalyses stratified patients according to RD types. RESULTS: Among 19,256 unvaccinated people with RDs and COVID-19, those who were older, male, had more comorbidities, used glucocorticoids, had higher disease activity, or lived in lower HDI regions had worse outcomes across epochs. For those with rheumatoid arthritis, sulfasalazine and B-cell-depleting therapy were associated with worse outcomes, and tumor necrosis factor inhibitors were associated with improved outcomes. In those with connective tissue disease or vasculitis, B-cell-depleting therapy was associated with worse outcomes. CONCLUSION: Risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcomes were similar throughout pandemic epochs in unvaccinated people with RDs. Ongoing efforts, including vaccination, are needed to reduce COVID-19 severity in this population, particularly in those with medical and social vulnerabilities identified in this study.

Association between subjects with newly Diagnosed rheumatoid arthritis and dental caries / Asociación entre sujetos con artritis reumatoide recientemente diagnosticada y caries dental

Abstract Alterations in saliva, temporomandibular joint disorders, dysphagia, Sjogrens syndrome, dental caries, periodontal disease, and tooth loss have been identified in patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis. The aims of this research were 1) to study the association between newly diagnosed rheumatoid arthritis and dental caries and 2) to identify most frequent teeth with caries in study groups. A descriptive pilot study was performed. A total of 620 participants were evaluated, 29 met the selection criteria. The subjects were divided into 2 groups: 13 subjects with newly diagnosed rheumatoid arthritis and 16 subjects without rheumatoid arthritis. Salivary parameters, DMFT index, care index, FS-T index and Treatment Needs Index were evaluated in all participants. The Fishers Exact test and Mann-Whitney U test we used to establish the differences between groups. Low mean in all salivary parameters and a high caries frequency were observed in subjects with newly diagnosed rheumatoid arthritis compared to a control group (p<0.01). The right maxillary second premolar (n=6, 46%, p=0.0100); right mandibular second premolar (n=7,54%, p=0.0462) and left mandibular second molar (n=10,77%, p=0.0001) were the most frequent teeth with caries. Early diagnosis and early treatment of rheumatoid arthritis can improve the prognosis in most of patients. The development of new public health policies and care based on the prevention are necessary to improve the quality of patients lives.

Resumen Alteraciones en la saliva, trastornos de la articulación temporomandibular, disfagia, síndrome de Sjogren, caries dental, enfermedad periodontal y pérdida de dientes son algunas patologías que se han identificado en pacientes con artritis reumatoide. Los objetivos de este estudio fueron (1) Asociar la artritis reumatoide recientemente diagnosticada con la caries dentales e (2) Identificar los dientes más frecuentes con caries en los grupos de estudio. Se realizó un estudio piloto descriptivo. 620 participantes fueron evaluados, 29 sujetos cumplieron con los criterios de selección. Los sujetos se dividieron en 2 grupos: 13 sujetos con artritis reumatoide recién diagnosticados y 16 sujetos sin artritis reumatoide. En todos los participantes se evaluaron parámetros salivales, el índice CPOD, el índice IC, el índice FS-T y el índice INT. La prueba exacta de Fisher y U de Mann-Whitney se utilizaron para establecer diferencias entre grupos. En los resultados se observó un bajo promedio de los parámetros salivales y una alta frecuencia de caries en sujetos con artritis reumatoide recién diagnosticados comparados con un grupo control (p<0.01). El segundo premolar superior derecho (n=6,46%, p=0,0100); el segundo premolar mandibular derecho (n=7,54%, p=0.0462) y el segundo molar mandibular izquierdo (n=10,77%, p=0.0001) fueron los dientes más frecuentes con caries dental. El diagnóstico y el tratamiento temprano de la artritis reumatoide pueden mejorar el pronóstico en la mayoría de los pacientes. El desarrollo de nuevas políticas de salud pública basadas en la prevención de la cavidad bucal son necesarias para mejorar la calidad de vida de los pacientes.

An Analysis COVID-19 in Mexico: a Prediction of Severity.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) causes a mild illness in most cases; forecasting COVID-19-associated mortality and the demand for hospital beds and ventilators are crucial for rationing countries' resources. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate factors associated with the severity of COVID-19 in Mexico and to develop and validate a score to predict severity in patients with COVID-19 infection in Mexico. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. PARTICIPANTS: We included 1,435,316 patients with COVID-19 included before the first vaccine application in Mexico; 725,289 (50.5%) were men; patient's mean age (standard deviation (SD)) was 43.9 (16.9) years; 21.7% of patients were considered severe COVID-19 because they were hospitalized, died or both. MAIN MEASURES: We assessed demographic variables, smoking status, pregnancy, and comorbidities. Backward selection of variables was used to derive and validate a model to predict the severity of COVID-19. KEY RESULTS: We developed a logistic regression model with 14 main variables, splines, and interactions that may predict the probability of COVID-19 severity (area under the curve for the validation cohort = 82.4%). CONCLUSIONS: We developed a new model able to predict the severity of COVID-19 in Mexican patients. This model could be helpful in epidemiology and medical decisions.

Determination of Salivary Sialic Acid Through Nanotechnology: A Useful Biomarker for the Screening of Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: To demonstrate the usefulness of sialic acid (SA) in saliva as a biomarker for breast cancer (BC) and develop a new tool for early detection. METHODS: Considering that the amount of SA in human saliva is limited, the levels of SA were measured using surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS) with tailored citrate-reduced silver nanoparticles. We calibrated the spectrum using analytical reagent SA. The 164 patients included in this study were undergoing screening mammography and/or ultrasound testing. The SA test was performed in the absence of previous information regarding the health of the subjects. Biopsies were performed to determine the diagnosis of cancer condition. The biopsy studies determined that 35 patients are BC affected and 129 gave negative results. RESULTS: SERS showed a sensitivity and specificity of 80 and 93%, respectively. The cut-off value for SA (12.5 mg/dL) was established through a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The area under the curve of the ROC analysis resulted in 95% with this SA level cut-off. Our results suggest that SA may be a useful biomarker for the screening of breast cancer in women. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the SA levels measured from saliva may be highly sensitive and specific markers for the presence of breast cancer.

Desempeño de las ecuaciones para estimar la tasa de filtración glomerular en pacientes mexicanos receptores de trasplante renal.

INTRODUCTION: The management of kidney transplant recipients requires glomerular filtration rate (GFR) monitoring, which is an indicator of graft primary function and patient survival. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of different creatinine or cystatin-based formulas in the estimation of glomerular filtration rate in Mexican patients receiving kidney transplantation. METHOD: 30 transplant recipients were included, in whom the glomerular filtration rate was measured by means of iothalamate, and was also calculated using seven equations based on cystatin or creatinine. RESULTS: The formula with the best performance was the one proposed by the chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI), with a bias of -2.4 mL/min/1.73 m2 and an accuracy of 9.6; 96.7 % of patients were within 30 % of the measured GFR. The second best formula was the modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD) equation. Cystatin-based equations showed a poor performance. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that, in Mexican patients receiving kidney transplantations, the best equations to estimate GFR are the CKD-EPI and MDRD equations.

INTRODUCCIÓN: El manejo de los pacientes receptores de trasplante renal requiere vigilancia de la tasa de filtrado glomerular (TFG), la cual es un indicador de la función primaria del injerto y de la supervivencia del paciente. OBJETIVO: Evaluar el rendimiento en la estimación de la función renal de diferentes fórmulas basadas en creatinina o cistatina en pacientes mexicanos receptores de trasplante renal. MÉTODO: Se incluyeron 30 pacientes receptores de trasplante renal en quienes se midió tasa de filtrado glomerular por iodotalamato, la cual también se calculó por siete ecuaciones basadas en cistatina o creatinina. RESULTADOS: La fórmula con mejor desempeño fue la propuesta por CKD-EPI (Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration), con un sesgo de −2.4 mL/minuto/1.73 m2 y precisión de 9.6; 96.7 % estaba dentro de 30 % de la tasa de filtrado glomerular medida. La segunda mejor ecuación fue la MDRD (Modification of Diet in Renal Disease). Las ecuaciones basadas en cistatina mostraron pobre desempeño. CONCLUSIONES: Nuestro estudio sugiere que en pacientes mexicanos receptores de trasplante renal las mejores ecuaciones para estimar la TFG son CKD y MDRD.

Performance of the equations to estimate the glomerular filtration rate in Mexican patients receiving kidney transplantation / Desempeño de las ecuaciones para estimar la tasa de filtración glomerular en pacientes mexicanos receptores de trasplante renal

Abstract Introduction: The management of kidney transplant recipients requires glomerular filtration rate (GFR) monitoring, which is an indicator of graft primary function and patient survival. Objective: To evaluate the performance of different creatinine or cystatin-based formulas in the estimation of glomerular filtration rate in Mexican patients receiving kidney transplantation. Method: 30 transplant recipients were included, in whom the glomerular filtration rate was measured by means of iothalamate, and was also calculated using seven equations based on cystatin or creatinine. Results: The formula with the best performance was the one proposed by the chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI), with a bias of −2.4 mL/min/1.73 m2: and an accuracy of 9.6; 96.7 % of patients were within 30 % of the measured GFR. The second best formula was the modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD) equation. Cystatin-based equations showed a poor performance. Conclusions: Our study suggests that, in Mexican patients receiving kidney transplantations, the best equations to estimate GFR are the CKD-EPI and MDRD equations.

Determination of sialic acid in saliva by means of surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy as a marker in adnexal mass patients: ovarian cancer vs benign cases.

BACKGROUND: To demonstrate the use of surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS) to determine sialic acid (SA) levels in saliva using silver nanoparticles as substrates, in adnexal mass patients scheduled for surgical intervention to remove invasive masses, with the aim to compare SA levels in benign tumor vs ovarian cancer patients. METHODS: Quantification of SA levels was accomplished by measuring their SERS and calibrating with analytical reagent SA. The mean SA concentration in saliva from 37 benign adnexal mass resulted smaller (5.1 mg/dL) than the mean concentration in 15 Ovarium cancer patients (23 mg/dL). The cancer condition was determined by biopsy of the removed adnexal mass. The CA-125 biomarker was also measured. The predictive potential of both biomarkers is discussed, together with the malignity risk index (MRI). RESULTS: Our results showed a sensitivity/specificity of 80%/100% with a cutoff to distinguish between benign/cancer cases of SA 15.5 mg/dL, as established from a ROC analysis. Our results suggest that SA may be a more useful biomarker than CA-125 to detect ovarian cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the SA levels measured from saliva may be as good predictors as the MRI index for the presence of ovarian cancer in sensitivity/negative predictive value and outperforms it in specificity/positive predictive value.

IgG4-related disease, retrospective histopathological diagnosis. Prevalence in a University Hospital.

INTRODUCTION: IgG4 related diseases (IgG4-RD) are characterized mainly by organic dysfunction and inflammation with lymphoplasmacytic cells infiltration. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study. We analyzed patients with a diagnosis of IgG4-RD through histopathologic registries. We divided the study into three phases: (i)extraction of data from the registries of the Pathology Department, including specimens reported with: non-specific inflammation with plasmatic cell infiltration, inflammatory pseudo-tumors and storiform fibrosis, and excluding any report of cancer or infection; (ii)from the selected specimens, three pathologists microscopically re-analyzed these biopsies and included only those who had at least two of the inclusion criteria cited above; (iii)finally, immunostaining was performed in the specimens selected in the second phase. The selected biopsies were catalogued as compatible for IgG4-RD if they had at least 3 inclusion criteria and as probable if they had 2 inclusion criteria. RESULTS: On the first phase of the study we analyzed 23,720 biopsies, from which we included 71 and excluded 29 specimens; the rest of the specimens (n=41) underwent immunostaining. From the biopsies included, 41.4% (n=17/71) were positive to IgG4, with the most common histological diagnosis for the positive specimens being granulomatous mastitis, which represented 12.1% of the specimens catalogued initially as probable. The rest of the positive biopsies were from aortitis, dacrioadenitis and/or sialoadenitis, lung pseudo-inflammatory tumor, pericarditis and chronic pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS: The suspicion of IgG4 related disease should not be based solely on clinical manifestations or serology. In the present study we confirm the characteristic changes of IgG4-RD in patients without initial clinical suspicion.

Pulmonary manifestations of granulomatosis with polyangiitis.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical and laboratory data, with special emphasis on thoracic imaging findings, in 14 patients with a definitive diagnosis of granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). METHODS: The clinical and tomographic data of 14 patients with a definitive diagnosis of GPA are presented. Patients with thoracic manifestations suggestive of GPA were evaluated in 3 hospitals from 2000 to 2012. All patients had a sputum analysis and bronchoalveolar lavage for bacterial, mycobacterial and fungal stains and cultures; antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies, antinuclear-antibodies, rheumatoid factor, and a biopsy of involved organs. RESULTS: A total of 13 patients had at least two organs involved. The most frequent thoracic findings were pulmonary nodules, ground glass opacities and patches of consolidation; other abnormalities were tracheal stenosis, diffuse alveolar hemorrhage, lung masses with organized pneumonia. More than three-quarters (78%) of patients had positive antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA). Ten patients had respiratory tissue biopsy (8 open lung, one tracheal, and one nasal). In 4 patients the diagnosis was made with the classic organ involvement in GPA, positive ANCA, and renal or skin biopsy, and response to treatment on follow-up. At 6-12 months all patients showed clinical and radiological improvement, with 54% showing a recurrence of disease. DISCUSSION: The majority of thoracic findings described in GPA are presented in this study. A complete diagnostic approach with invasive diagnostic procedures to rule out other more prevalent respiratory diseases with similar thoracic manifestations must be performed. The positivity of ANCA in this study was high, and the recurrence of the disease was frequent.

[Calciphylaxis, renal failure and gout. A patient with hyperuricemia as a risk factor for death]. / Calcifilaxis, insuficiencia renal y gota. Un paciente con hiperuricemia como factor de riesgo para morir.

BACKGROUND: gout is an inflammatory arthritis that frequently is associated with obesity, alcohol consumption, hypertension and hypertriglyceridemia. The calciphylaxis is characterized by metastatic calcification to small and medium vessels. Both are associated independently with high mortality. When hyperuricemia and the calciphylaxis are present, the death risk is 80 %. CLINICAL CASE: a 51 year old man presented with clinical history of alcoholism and systemic arterial hypertension, and he developed limb ulcers, edema and uremic syndrome. Three week later, the patient died as a consequence of sepsis from Staphylococcus aureus. We emphasize the diagnostic approach of calciphylaxis, metabolic syndrome and comorbidities, cardiovascular and renal failure risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: the hyperuricemia is included in the metabolic syndrome, as the result of genetic and behavioral factors. It is recognized as a cardiovascular risk. For this reason we must consider it in the clinical practice guidelines for the prevention and treatment of diseases with high mortality.

Introducción: la gota es una artropatía inflamatoria que frecuentemente se asocia con obesidad, consumo de alcohol, hipertensión e hipertrigliceridemia. La calcifilaxis se caracteriza por la calcificación metastásica de los vasos de mediano y pequeño calibre. En forma independiente ambas se asocian con mortalidad elevada. Cuando la hiperuricemia y la calcifilaxis están presentes, el riesgo de muerte es de 80%. Caso clínico: hombre de 51 años de edad, con antecedentes de alcoholismo e hipertensión arterial sistémica, quien desarrolló úlceras en extremidades, edema generalizado y síndrome urémico. Tres semanas después de su ingreso falleció debido a sepsis ocasionada por Staphylococcus aureus. El diagnóstico fue calcifilaxis asociada con síndrome metabólico, comorbilidades, factores de riesgo cardiovascular y de insuficiencia renal. Conclusiones: la hiperuricemia es parte del complejo que conforma el síndrome metabólico, resultante de factores genéticos y ambientales. Se reconoce que es un factor asociado con la mortalidad cardiovascular, lo que obliga a considerar a la hiperuricemia en las guías de práctica clínica en la prevención y tratamiento de enfermedades con alta mortalidad debido a las complicaciones que se presentan.

A male patient with cavitary pulmonary disease.

Granulomatosis with polyangiitis (Wegener) (GPA) was diagnosed in a 44 year-old-man who had a relapse 6 years after diagnosis with the "air crescent" sign on chest CT. Seven years after his diagnosis the patient presented a new relapse with cavitary lung disease, and high levels of anti-proteinase 3 antibodies, suggesting disease activity; however, a transbronchial biopsy showed histological findings of tuberculosis (TB). The association between TB and GPA is rarely informed; moreover TB and GPA have similar findings including both clinical and anti-proteinase 3 antibodies.