Identification of undiagnosed atrial fibrillation using a machine learning risk prediction algorithm and diagnostic testing (PULsE-AI) in primary care: cost-effectiveness of a screening strategy evaluated in a randomized controlled trial in England.

OBJECTIVE: The PULsE-AI trial sought to determine the effectiveness of a screening strategy that included a machine learning risk prediction algorithm in conjunction with diagnostic testing for identification of undiagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) in primary care. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of implementing the screening strategy in a real-world setting. METHODS: Data from the PULsE-AI trial - a prospective, randomized, controlled trial conducted across six general practices in England from June 2019 to February 2021 - were used to inform a cost-effectiveness analysis that included a hybrid screening decision tree and Markov AF disease progression model. Model outcomes were reported at both individual- and population-level (estimated UK population ≥30 years of age at high-risk of undiagnosed AF) and included number of patients screened, number of AF cases identified, mean total and incremental costs (screening, events, treatment), quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: The screening strategy was estimated to result in 45,493 new diagnoses of AF across the high-risk population in the UK (3.3 million), and an estimated additional 14,004 lifetime diagnoses compared with routine care only. Per-patient costs for high-risk individuals who underwent the screening strategy were estimated at £1,985 (vs £1,888 for individuals receiving routine care only). At a population-level, the screening strategy was associated with a cost increase of approximately £322 million and an increase of 81,000 QALYs. The screening strategy demonstrated cost-effectiveness versus routine care only at an accepted ICER threshold of £20,000 per QALY-gained, with an ICER of £3,994/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with routine care only, it is cost-effective to target individuals at high risk of undiagnosed AF, through an AF risk prediction algorithm, who should then undergo diagnostic testing. This AF risk prediction algorithm can reduce the number of patients needed to be screened to identify undiagnosed AF, thus alleviating primary care burden.

Identification of undiagnosed atrial fibrillation patients using a machine learning risk prediction algorithm and diagnostic testing (PULsE-AI): Study protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke, enhanced stroke severity, and other comorbidities. However, AF is often asymptomatic, and frequently remains undiagnosed until complications occur. Current screening approaches for AF lack either cost-effectiveness or diagnostic sensitivity; thus, there is interest in tools that could be used for population screening. An AF risk prediction algorithm, developed using machine learning from a UK dataset of 2,994,837 patients, was found to be more effective than existing models at identifying patients at risk of AF. Therefore, the aim of the trial is to assess the effectiveness of this risk prediction algorithm combined with diagnostic testing for the identification of AF in a real-world primary care setting. Eligible participants (aged ≥30 years and without an existing AF diagnosis) registered at participating UK general practices will be randomised into intervention and control arms. Intervention arm participants identified at highest risk of developing AF (algorithm risk score ≥ 7.4%) will be invited for a 12­lead electrocardiogram (ECG) followed by two-weeks of home-based ECG monitoring with a KardiaMobile device. Control arm participants will be used for comparison and will be managed routinely. The primary outcome is the number of AF diagnoses in the intervention arm compared with the control arm during the research window. If the trial is successful, there is potential for the risk prediction algorithm to be implemented throughout primary care for narrowing the population considered at highest risk for AF who could benefit from more intensive screening for AF. Trial Registration: NCT04045639.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants for the Treatment of Acute Venous Thromboembolism Associated with Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: International guidelines have endorsed the use of edoxaban or rivaroxaban as an alternative to low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) for the treatment of acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer patients. Recently, a large randomized controlled trial of apixaban versus dalteparin in patients with cancer was completed. We performed an updated meta-analysis to assess the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus LMWH in patients with cancer-associated VTE. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL (Cochrane Controlled Trials Registry) were systematically searched up to March 30, 2020 for randomized controlled trials comparing DOACs versus LMWH for the treatment of VTE in patients with cancer. The two coprimary outcomes were recurrent VTE and major bleeding at 6 months. Data were pooled by the Mantel-Haenszel method and compared by relative risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Four randomized controlled studies (2,894 patients) comparing apixaban, edoxaban, or rivaroxaban with dalteparin were included in the meta-analysis. Recurrent VTE occurred in 75 of 1,446 patients (5.2%) treated with oral factor Xa inhibitors and in 119 of 1,448 patients (8.2%) treated with LMWH (RR 0.62; 95% CI 0.43-0.91; I 2, 30%). Major bleeding occurred in 62 (4.3%) and 48 (3.3%) patients receiving oral factor Xa inhibitors or LMWH, respectively (RR 1.31; 95% CI 0.83-2.08; I 2, 23%). CONCLUSION: In patients with cancer-associated VTE, oral factor Xa inhibitors reduced the risk of recurrent VTE without a significantly higher likelihood of major bleeding at 6 months compared with LMWH.

Comparative In Vitro Study of Various α2-Adrenoreceptor Agonist Drugs for Ticagrelor Reversal.

Ticagrelor, an antiplatelet adenosine diphosphate (ADP)-P2Y12 receptor antagonist, increases the risk of bleeding. Its management is challenging because platelet transfusion is ineffective and no specific antidote is currently available. Epinephrine, a vasopressor catecholamine prescribed during shock, restores platelet functions inhibited by ticagrelor through stimulation of α2A-adrenoreceptors. It subsequently inhibits cyclic adenosine monophosphate (cAMP) pathway and PI3K signaling. However, since epinephrine may expose a patient to deleterious hemodynamic effects, we hypothesized that other α2-adrenoreceptor agonist drugs used in clinical practice with fewer side effects could reverse the antiplatelet effects of ticagrelor. We compared in vitro the efficacy of clonidine, dexmedetomidine, brimonidine, and norepinephrine with epinephrine to restore ADP- and PAR-1-AP-induced washed platelet aggregation inhibited by ticagrelor, as well as resulting platelet cAMP levels. In ticagrelor-free samples, none of the α2-adrenoreceptor agonists induced aggregation by itself but all of them potentiated ADP-induced aggregation. Compared with epinephrine, norepinephrine, and brimonidine partially restored ADP- and fully restored PAR-1-AP-induced aggregation inhibited by ticagrelor while clonidine and dexmedetomidine were ineffective. Indeed, this lack of effect resulted from a lower decrease in cAMP concentration elicited by these partial α2-adrenoreceptor agonists, clonidine, and dexmedetomidine, compared with full α2-agonists. Our results support the development of specific full and systemic α2-adrenoreceptor agonists for ticagrelor reversal.

Epinephrine restores platelet functions inhibited by ticagrelor: A mechanistic approach.

Ticagrelor, an antagonist of the platelet adenosine diphosphate (ADP)-P2Y12 receptor is recommended for patients with acute coronary syndromes. However, ticagrelor exposes to a risk of bleeding, the management of which is challenging because platelet transfusion is ineffective, and no antidote is yet available. We hypothesized that the vasopressor drug epinephrine could counter the antiplatelet effects of ticagrelor and restore platelet functions. We assessed in vitro the efficiency of epinephrine in restoring platelet aggregation inhibited by ticagrelor and investigated the underlying mechanisms. Washed platelet aggregation and secretion were measured upon stimulation by epinephrine alone or in combination with ADP, in the presence or absence of ticagrelor. Mechanistic investigations used P2Y1 and phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitors and included vasodilator-stimulated phosphoprotein (VASP) and Akt phosphorylation assays as well as measurement of Ca2+ mobilisation. We found that epinephrine restored ADP-induced platelet aggregation, but not dense granule release. Epinephrine alone failed to induce aggregation whereas it fully induced VASP dephosphorylation and Akt phosphorylation regardless of the presence of ticagrelor. In the presence of ticagrelor, blockage of the P2Y1 receptor prevented restoration of platelet aggregation by the combination of epinephrine and ADP, as well as intracellular Ca2+ mobilisation. In combination with ADP, epinephrine induced platelet aggregation of ticagrelor-treated platelets through inhibition of the cAMP pathway and activation of the PI3K pathway, thus enabling the P2Y1 receptor signalling and subsequent Ca2+ mobilisation. This proof-of-concept study needs to be challenged in vivo for the management of bleeding in ticagrelor-treated patients.

Estimation of Acutely Ill Medical Patients at Venous Thromboembolism Risk Eligible for Extended Thromboprophylaxis Using APEX Criteria in US Hospitals.

Major medical illnesses place patients at risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Some risk factors including age ≥75 years or history of cancer place them at increased risk of VTE that extends for at least 5 to 6 weeks following hospital admission. Betrixaban thromboprophylaxis is now approved in the United States for this indication. We estimated the annual number of acutely ill medical patients at extended risk of VTE discharged from US hospital. Major medical illnesses (stroke, respiratory failure/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure, pneumonia, other infections, and rheumatologic disorders) and 2 common risk factors for extended VTE risk, namely, age ≥75 years and history of cancer (active or past) were examined in 2014 US hospital discharges using the first 3 discharge diagnosis codes in the National Inpatient Sample (database of acute-care hospital discharges from the US Agency for Health Care Quality and Research). In 2014, there were 20.8 million discharges with potentially at risk of nonsurgical-related VTE. Overall, 7.2 million (35%) discharges corresponded to major medical illness that warranted thromboprophylaxis according to 2012 American College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) guideline. Among them, 2.79 million were aged ≥75 years and 1.36 million had a history of cancer (aged 40-74 years). Overall, 3.48 million discharges were at extended risk of VTE. Many medical inpatients at risk of VTE according to 2012 ACCP guideline might benefit from the awareness of continuing risk and some of these patients might benefit from extended thromboprophylaxis, depending on the risk of bleeding and comorbidities.

Magnitude of Venous Thromboembolism Risk in US Hospitals: Impact of Evolving National Guidelines for Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism.

BACKGROUND: The annual number of US hospital discharges at risk for venous thromboembolism and the impact of evolving American College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) consensus guidelines for prevention of venous thromboembolism are unknown. METHODS: Three risk-assessment algorithms based on 2004, 2008, and 2012 ACCP guidelines for prevention of venous thromboembolism were applied to the 2014 US National Inpatient Sample to derive estimates of the annual number of US inpatients at risk for venous thromboembolism. RESULTS: Of 35.4 million discharges from US acute-care hospitals in 2014, 25.3 million (71%) met study inclusion criteria of age ≥18 years and length of stay (LOS) ≥2 days. Among 7.5 million patients who underwent a procedure in an operating room, more than 4.4 million (59%) were at ACCP-defined risk for venous thromboembolism, irrespective of which version of the ACCP guidelines applied. With an additional 8.4/8.5/7.3 million eligible discharges meeting criteria for venous thromboembolism prophylaxis due to medical risk factors, the total annual numbers of inpatients at risk for venous thromboembolism were 12.8/12.9/11.7 million according to 2004/2008/2012 ACCP guidelines, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Over half of adult patients who had an LOS ≥2 days in US acute-care hospitals met ACCP criteria for consideration of venous thromboembolism prophylaxis based on risk factors associated with surgery or acute medical illness. These data provide an objective basis for estimating the potential impact of venous thromboembolism prevention on patient care, together with associated costs, risks, and benefits.

Perioperative management of patients with coronary artery disease undergoing non-cardiac surgery: Summary from the French Society of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine 2017 convention.

This review summarises the specific stakes of preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative periods of patients with coronary artery disease undergoing non-cardiac surgery. All practitioners involved in the perioperative management of such high cardiac risk patients should be aware of the modern concepts expected to decrease major adverse cardiac events and improve short- and long-term outcomes. A multidisciplinary approach via a functional heart team including anaesthesiologists, cardiologists and surgeons must be encouraged. Rational and algorithm-guided management of those patients should be known and implemented from preoperative to postoperative period.

Ticagrelor reversal: in vitro assessment of four haemostatic agents.

AIM: Management of ticagrelor-induced bleeding is challenging as platelet transfusion is ineffective. An effective strategy is needed. This study aimed to investigate in vitro the efficacy of four haemostatic drugs (HDs), namely recombinant activated factor VII (rFVIIa), fibrinogen concentrate (Fib), tranexamic acid (TXA) and factor XIII concentrate (FXIII) to improve the haemostatic capacity in the presence of ticagrelor. METHODS: Blood was spiked with ticagrelor then supplemented by either HD or control. Several assays were performed: ADP-induced platelet aggregation measured by impedance aggregometry, light transmission and two global assays, thrombolastography with the platelet mapping device (TEG-PM) and a platelet-dependent thrombin generation assay (TGA). RESULTS: Ticagrelor inhibited ADP-induced platelet aggregation and decreased the clot strength maximum amplitude (MA) in TEG-PMADP. None of the HDs corrected these parameters. However, rFVIIa shortened the coagulation time R using TEG-PMthrombin and the time to peak prolonged by ticagrelor in TGA. Fib increased MAthrombin and FXIII decreased LY30. TXA had no effects. CONCLUSIONS: Whereas none of the HDs corrected ticagrelor-induced platelet inhibition, rFVIIa shortened coagulation times, Fib increased clot firmness and FXIII decreased fibrinolysis. Consequently, they may bypass ticagrelor effects by acting on fibrin formation or fibrinolysis. Further studies are needed to confirm these data in vivo.

The effectiveness of platelet supplementation for the reversal of ticagrelor-induced inhibition of platelet aggregation: An in-vitro study.

BACKGROUND: Management of ticagrelor-induced bleeding is challenging, as no antidote is currently available. Platelet transfusion, usually proposed to reverse antiplatelet drugs, has been suggested to be ineffective but few data are available. OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy of platelet supplementation to restore platelet aggregation inhibited by ticagrelor. DESIGN: In vitro study. SETTING: Blood samples were obtained from the French Blood Bank Institute. PARTICIPANTS: Healthy blood donors. INTERVENTIONS: Whole blood from healthy donors was spiked with ticagrelor or aspirin (used as a positive control). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Platelet aggregation was investigated with impedance aggregometry on whole blood [expressed in ohms (V)] and light transmission aggregometry (expressed in %) on platelet-rich plasma using ADP or arachidonic acid as agonists for ticagrelor or aspirin, respectively. Platelet supplementation was defined as the addition of washed platelet suspension increasing at least 60% of whole blood platelet count. RESULTS: Ticagrelor (3.25 mM) inhibited ADP-induced platelet aggregation compared with control either in whole blood (2 vs. 13 V, P < 0.05) or in platelet-rich plasma (15 vs. 75% P < 0.05). Aspirin (25 mM) inhibited arachidonic acid-induced aggregation (1 vs. 7.5 V, P < 0.05 in whole blood and 5 vs. 77.5%, P = 0.01 in platelet-rich plasma). Platelet supplementation completely restored arachidonic acid-induced platelet aggregation in whole blood (10 vs. 1 V, P = 0.008) and platelet-rich plasma (73 vs. 5%, P < 0.01) in aspirin-treated samples, whereas it failed to correct ADP-induced aggregation (2 vs. 2 V in whole blood and 13.5 vs. 15% in platelet-rich plasma, P > 0.05) in ticagrelor-treated samples. We also report a case of a ticagrelor-treated patient in whom platelet transfusion failed to restore ADP-induced platelet aggregation. CONCLUSION: Platelet supplementation restored platelet aggregation in aspirin-spiked but not in ticagrelor-spiked samples. These results do not support the use of platelet transfusion to reverse the effects of ticagrelor.

Peri-procedural management of dabigatran and rivaroxaban: Duration of anticoagulant discontinuation and drug concentrations.

BACKGROUND: Peri-procedural management of direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) is challenging. The optimal duration of pre-procedural discontinuation that guarantees a minimal DOAC concentration ([DOAC]) at surgery is unknown. The usual 48-hour discontinuation might not be sufficient for all patients. OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that a 48-hour DOAC discontinuation is not sufficient to ensure a minimal per-procedural [DOAC], defined as [DOAC]<30ng/mL. To investigate the factors associated with per-procedural [DOAC]. To evaluate the ability of normal PT and aPTT to predict [DOAC]<30ng/mL. METHODS: Patients treated with dabigatran or rivaroxaban, and requiring any invasive procedure were included in this multicentre, prospective, observational study. [DOAC], PT and aPTT were measured during invasive procedure. RESULTS: Sixty-five patients were enrolled. Duration of DOAC discontinuation ranged from 1-168h. Per-procedural [DOAC] ranged from <30 to 466ng/mL. [DOAC]<30ng/mL occurred more frequently after 48-hour discontinuation than after a shorter delay. [DOAC] remained ≥30ng/mL in 36% and 14% of measurements performed 24-48h and 48h-120h after discontinuation, respectively. According to ROC curve, a cut-off value of 120hours for DOAC discontinuation had a better specificity than a cut-off value of 48hours to predict [DOAC]<30ng/mL. Normal PT and aPTT ratios had good specificity and positive predictive value, but limited sensitivity (74%) and negative predictive value (73%) to predict [DOAC]<30ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: A 48-hour discontinuation does not guarantee a [DOAC]<30ng/mL in all patients. Normal PT and aPTT are flawed to predict this threshold and could not replace specific assays. Further studies are needed to define the relationship between per-procedural [DOAC] and clinical outcomes.