Decision-tree derivation and external validation of a new clinical decision rule (DISCERN-FN) to predict the risk of severe infection during febrile neutropenia in children treated for cancer.

BACKGROUND: In 2017, international guidelines proposed new management of febrile neutropenia in children with cancer, adapted to the risk of severe infection by clinical decision rules (CDRs). Until now, none of the proposed CDRs has performed well enough in high-income countries for use in clinical practice. Our study aimed to build and validate a new CDR (DISCERN-FN) to predict the risk of severe infection in children with febrile neutropenia. METHODS: We did two prospective studies. First, a prospective derivation study included all episodes of febrile neutropenia in children (aged <18 years) with a cancer diagnosis and receiving treatment for it who were admitted for an episode of febrile neutropenia, excluding patients already treated with antibiotics for this episode, febrile neutropenia not induced by chemotherapy, those receiving palliative care, and those with a stem cell allograft for less than 1 year, from April 1, 2007, to Dec 31, 2011 from two paediatric cancer centres in France. We collected the children's medical history, and clinical and laboratory data, and analysed their associations with severe infection. Sipina software was used to derive the CDR as a decision tree. Second, a prospective, national, external validation study was done in 23 centres from Jan 1, 2012, to May 31, 2016. The primary outcome was severe infection, defined by bacteraemia, a positive bacterial culture from a usually sterile site, a local infection with a high potential for extension, or an invasive fungal infection. The CDR was applied a posteriori to all episodes to evaluate its sensitivity, specificity, and negative likelihood ratio. FINDINGS: The derivation set included 539 febrile neutropenia episodes (270 episodes in patients with blood cancer [median age 7·5 years, IQR 3·7-11·2; 158 (59 %) boys and 112 (41%) girls] and 269 in patients with solid tumours [median age 6·6 years, IQR 2·9-14·2; 140 (52 %) boys and 129 (48%) girls]). Significant variables introduced into the decision tree were cancer type (solid tumour vs blood cancer), age, high-risk chemotherapy, level of fever, C-reactive protein concentration (at 24-48 h after admission), and leucocyte and platelet counts and procalcitonin (at admission and at 24-48 h after admission). For the derivation set, the CDR sensitivity was 98% (95% CI 93-100), its specificity 56% (51-61), and the negative likelihood ratio 0·04 (0·01-0·15). 1806 febrile neutropenia episodes were analysed in the validation set (mean age 8·1 years [SD 4·8], 1014 (56%) boys and 792 (44%) girls), of which 332 (18%, 95% CI 17-20) were linked with severe infection. For the validation set, the CDR had a sensitivity of 95% (95% CI 91-97), a specificity of 38% (36-41), and a negative likelihood ratio of 0·13 (0·08-0·21). Our CDR reduced the risk of severe infection to a post-test probability of 0·8% (95% CI 0·2-2·9) in the derivation set and 2·4% (1·5-3·9) in the validation set. The validation study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03434795. INTERPRETATION: The use of our CDR substantially reduced the risk of severe infection after testing in both the derivation and validation groups, which suggests that this CDR would improve clinical practice enough to be introduced in appropriate settings. FUNDING: Ligue Nationale Contre le Cancer.

Differential risk of severe infection in febrile neutropenia among children with blood cancer or solid tumor.

OBJECTIVE: To describe and analyze the differences between infections in children with febrile neutropenia (FN) treated for solid tumor or blood cancer. METHODS: A prospective study included all episodes of FN in children from April 2007 to April 2016 in 2-pediatric cancer centers in France. Medical history, clinical and laboratory data available at admission and final microbiological data were collected. The proportion of FN, severe infection, categories of microorganisms and outcomes were compared between the two groups. The presumed gateway of the infection was a posteriori considered and evaluated. RESULTS: We analyzed 1197 FN episodes (mean age: 8 years). 66% of the FN episodes occurred in children with blood cancer. Severe infections were identified in 23.4% of episodes overall. The rate of severe infection (28.4% vs. 10.4%), types of microorganisms and the need for a management in intensive care unit (2.6% vs. 0.5%) was significantly different between children with blood cancer and solid tumor. Digestive or respiratory presumed gateway of the infections was less frequent for patients with solid tumor. CONCLUSION: Given these important microbiological and clinical differences, it may be appropriate to consider differently the risk of severe infection in these two populations and therefore the management of FN.

Risk-stratification management of febrile neutropenia in pediatric hematology-oncology patients: Results of a French nationwide survey.

BACKGROUND: In 2012, new international guidelines for children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (FN) were issued, recommending reduced-intensity management strategy based on stratification of infectious risks. Some studies have highlighted practice disparities in different countries and within the same country. Our aim was to assess the current management strategies for the treatment of chemotherapy-induced FN in children in France. PROCEDURE: This survey of all French pediatric oncology-hematology reference centers (n = 30) in late 2012 and early 2013 sent a standardized questionnaire to each center inquiring about their definition of an FN episode, its initial empiric treatment and ongoing management, use of management stratified by risk, and any criteria used for the risk assessment. Each center's management protocol was also analyzed. RESULTS: All French reference centers participated in this survey, completing 88% of the questionnaire items. Definitions of both fever and neutropenia varied between centers. Ten centers used a risk-stratification strategy for initial management. In all, 42 probabilistic first-line antibiotic treatments were identified. After 48 hr of apyrexia, 17 units applied different forms of step-down therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Most French centers already offered some form of reduced-intensity or step-down therapy, although they differed substantially in their management of FN episodes. Risk stratification with validated tools is essential to facilitate the implementation of the international recommendations, which would ultimately help to standardize practices in France.

Which Variables Are Useful for Predicting Severe Infection in Children With Febrile Neutropenia?

To distinguish children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (FN) at low risk of severe infection, the variables that are significant risk factors must be identified. Our objective was to identify them by applying evidence-based standards. This retrospective 2-center cohort study included all episodes of chemotherapy-induced FN in children in 2005 and 2006. The medical history, clinical, and laboratory data available at admission were collected. Severe infection was defined by bacteremia, a positive culture of a normally sterile body fluid, invasive fungal infection, or localized infection at high risk of extension. Univariate analysis identified potential predictive variables. A generalized mixed model was used to determine the adjusted variables that predict severe infection. We analyzed 372 FN episodes. Severe infections occurred in 16.1% of them. Variables predictive of severe infection at admission were: disease with high risk of prolonged neutropenia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.5), blood cancer (aOR=1.9), fever ≥38.5°C (aOR=3.7), and C-reactive protein level ≥90 mg/L (aOR=4.5). Now that we have identified these variables significantly associated with the risk of severe infection, they must be validated prospectively before combining the best predictive variables in a decision rule that can be used to distinguish children at low risk.

Diagnosis of viral infections using myxovirus resistance protein A (MxA).

BACKGROUND: Myxoma resistance protein 1 (MxA) is induced during viral infections. MxA testing could be helpful to differentiate between viral and bacterial infections. METHODS: A prospective multicenter cohort study was performed in pediatric emergency departments. MxA blood values were measured in children with confirmed viral or bacterial infections, uninfected controls, and infections of unknown origin. First patients were used to determine MxA threshold for viral infection. The diagnostic performance of MxA was determined by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Sensitivities (Se), specificities (Sp), and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+, LR-) were calculated. RESULTS: The study included 553 children; 44 uninfected controls and 77 confirmed viral infections (mainly respiratory syncytial virus and rotavirus) were used to determine an MxA threshold at 200 ng/mL. In the 193 other patients with confirmed infections and uninfected controls (validation group), MxA was significantly higher in patients with viral than in those with bacterial infections and uninfected controls (P < .0001). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) were 0.98, with 96.4% Se and 85.4% Sp, for differentiating uninfected from virus-infected patients and 0.89, with 96.4% Se and 66.7% Sp, for differentiating bacterial and viral infections. MxA levels were significantly higher in patients with clinically diagnosed viral versus clinically diagnosed bacterial infections (P < .001). Some patients with Streptococcus pneumonia infections had high MxA levels. Additional studies are required to elucidate whether this was due to undiagnosed viral coinfections. CONCLUSIONS: MxA is viral infection marker in children, at least with RSV and rotavirus. MxA could improve the management of children with signs of infection.

Which decision rules meet methodological standards in children with febrile neutropenia? Results of a systematic review and analysis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical decision rules (CDRs) have sought to identify the few children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (FN) really at risk of severe infection to reduce the invasive procedures and costs for those at low risk. Several reports have shown that most rules do not perform well enough to be clinically useful. Our objective was to analyze the derivation methods and validation procedures of these CDRs. PROCEDURE: A systematic review using Medline, Ovid, Refdoc, and the Cochrane Library through December 2012 searched for all CDRs predicting the risk of severe infection and/or complications in children with chemotherapy-induced FN. Their methodological quality was analyzed by 17 criteria for deriving and validating a CDR identified in the literature. The criteria published by the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group were applied to the published validations of each CDR to assess their level of evidence. RESULTS: The systematic research identified 612 articles and retained 12 that derived CDRs. Overall, the CDRs met a median of 65% of the methodological criteria. The criteria met least often were that the rule made clinical sense, or described the course of action, or that the variables and the CDR were reproducible. Only one CDR, developed in South America, met all methodological criteria and provided the highest level of evidence; unfortunately it was not reproducible in Europe. CONCLUSION: Only one CDR developed for children with FN met all methodological standards and reached the highest level of evidence.

Delays in diagnosis of paediatric cancers: a systematic review and comparison with expert testimony in lawsuits.

Delayed diagnosis of paediatric cancers is reported regularly and is a source of remorse for physicians and parents and a leading cause of malpractice claims. We did a systematic review of information about the distribution, determinants, and consequences of time to diagnosis of paediatric malignancies and compared these findings with those of court-appointed expert witnesses in malpractice claims in Canada and France. Time to diagnosis varied widely between tumour types in the 98 relevant studies (medians ranged from 2-260 weeks) without any significant decrease with time. Determinants of a long delay in diagnosis included older age, qualification of the first physician contacted, non-specific symptoms, histological type, and tumour localisation. Delayed diagnosis was associated with poor outcome for retinoblastoma and possibly for leukaemia, nephroblastoma, and rhabdomyosarcoma (data were insufficient for definitive conclusions). It was not associated with an adverse outcome for most CNS tumours, osteosarcoma or Ewing's sarcoma, and, paradoxically, was frequently associated with better outcomes than was short time to diagnosis in these cancers. A third of the court-appointed experts provided testimony concordant with the medical literature. The relations between delay in diagnosis and outcome are complex and probably depend more on tumour biology than on parental or medical factors.

Predicting the risk of severe infection in children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia is a frequent event in children with cancer with possible severe complications. However, increasing evidence indicates that early discharge or outpatient therapy can safely be proposed for children with low-risk febrile neutropenia. Clinical decision rules (CDRs) have been proposed to help predict the risk of severe infection in children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia, but none has been fully validated. RECENT FINDINGS: The aim of CDRs for children with febrile neutropenia would be to identify patients at low risk of severe infection. At least 16 different CDRs have been proposed. Only a few have been tested across multiple datasets. Some CDRs were reproducible, but none fulfilled the requirements for validation. Different definitions of outcome and the lack of rigorous methods for derivation probably explain why no validated CDR yet exists for children with febrile neutropenia. SUMMARY: A consensus definition of the best outcome in clinical practice is essential. It must then be followed by multiple and large-scale validations of a CDR that meets all methodological criteria, with high sensitivity and enough specificity to enable physicians to safely propose an outpatient management strategy for patients identified as at low risk of severe complications related to febrile neutropenia.

[Diagnosis of acute abdominal pain in infants]. / Douleurs abdominales du nourrisson, démarche diagnostique.

In front of infant and toddler presenting with unexplained cries, unusual behavior, and tachycardia, pain should be recognized, and signs and symptoms of shock and intestinal occlusion should be sought without any delay. Meningitis, pyelonephritis, and pneumonia must be taken into consideration in a young child with fever and irritability. In the presence of any paroxystic pain with refusal of feeding, one should consider acute intestinal occlusion, volvulus due to intestinal malrotation if associated with signs of shock, and volvulus related to postsurgical adhesions if history of abdominal surgery. Abdominal ultrasonography is the exam of choice in these cases. Examination of inguino-scrotal region is essential in order to rule-out inguinal hernia, ovarian hernia, and testicular torsion. Infant colic and peptic esophagitis are common causes of recurrent pain.

Predicting the risk of severe bacterial infection in children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of febrile neutropenia (FN) in childhood cancer has been considerably improved by the intensification of treatment, including systematic hospitalization and broad-spectrum antibiotics. As only few children present with a severe bacterial infection (SBI), clinical decision rules have been developed to distinguish those at risk for SBI. The aim of this study was to evaluate the reproducibility of six clinical decision rules proposed in the literature and to compare their performance. METHODS: This retrospective two-center cohort study included all episodes of chemotherapy-induced FN in children admitted between January 2005 and December 2006. Each rule was applied to our patients. Their sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) were calculated and compared with the authors' results, to assess reproducibility. The most predictive rule was defined in advance as that yielding 100% Se, the highest Sp, and the greatest simplicity for bedside application. RESULTS: Three hundred seventy-seven episodes of FN in 167 patients were collected; 64 episodes were associated with SBI, including 36 with bacteremia. Four of the six rules were reproducible, but none were able to be validated. The most predictive rule for bacteremia had 96% Se (95% confidence interval (CI): 79-99%) and 25% Sp (95% CI: 19-33%), and the most predictive rule for SBI had 95% Se (95% CI: 87-98%), but no power of discrimination (Sp = 5%, 95% CI: 3-8%). CONCLUSION: This study emphasizes the difficulty in identifying standardized decision rules in the management of a condition with numerous clinical variables like FN.