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While genome sequencing has transformed medicine by elucidating the genetic underpinnings of both rare and common complex disorders, its utility to predict clinical outcomes remains understudied. Here, we used artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to explore the predictive value of genome sequencing in forecasting clinical outcomes following surgery for congenital heart defects (CHD). We report results for a cohort of 2,253 CHD patients from the Pediatric Cardiac Genomics Consortium with a broad range of complex heart defects, pre- and post-operative clinical variables and exome sequencing. Damaging genotypes in chromatin-modifying and cilia-related genes were associated with an elevated risk of adverse post-operative outcomes, including mortality, cardiac arrest and prolonged mechanical ventilation. The impact of damaging genotypes was further amplified in the context of specific CHD phenotypes, surgical complexity and extra-cardiac anomalies. The absence of a damaging genotype in chromatin-modifying and cilia-related genes was also informative, reducing the risk for adverse postoperative outcomes. Thus, genome sequencing enriches the ability to forecast outcomes following congenital cardiac surgery.
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BACKGROUND: As more pediatric patients become candidates for heart transplantation (HT), understanding pathological predictors of outcome and the accuracy of the pretransplantation evaluation are important to optimize utilization of scarce donor organs and improve outcomes. The authors aimed to investigate explanted heart specimens to identify pathologic predictors that may affect cardiac allograft survival after HT. METHODS: Explanted pediatric hearts obtained over an 11-year period were analyzed to understand the patient demographics, indications for transplant, and the clinical-pathological factors. RESULTS: In this study, 149 explanted hearts, 46% congenital heart defects (CHD), were studied. CHD patients were younger and mean pulmonary artery pressure and resistance were significantly lower than in cardiomyopathy patients. Twenty-one died or underwent retransplantation (14.1%). Survival was significantly higher in the cardiomyopathy group at all follow-up intervals. There were more deaths and the 1-, 5- and 7-year survival was lower in patients ≤10 years of age at HT. Early rejection was significantly higher in CHD patients exposed to homograft tissue, but not late rejection. Mortality/retransplantation rate was significantly higher and allograft survival lower in CHD hearts with excessive fibrosis of one or both ventricles. Anatomic diagnosis at pathologic examination differed from the clinical diagnosis in eight cases. CONCLUSIONS: Survival was better for the cardiomyopathy group and patients >10 years at HT. Prior homograft use was associated with a higher prevalence of early rejection. Ventricular fibrosis (of explant) was a strong predictor of outcome in the CHD group. We presented several pathologic findings in explanted pediatric hearts.
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Rejeição de Enxerto , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Transplante de Coração , Humanos , Criança , Masculino , Feminino , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Adolescente , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Cardiopatias Congênitas/patologia , Rejeição de Enxerto/patologia , Rejeição de Enxerto/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Seguimentos , Cardiomiopatias/cirurgia , Cardiomiopatias/patologia , Reoperação , Recém-Nascido , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database (CHSD) continues to be the most comprehensive database of congenital and pediatric cardiothoracic surgical procedures in the world and contains information on 664,210 operations as of June 30, 2023. The 35th harvest of the STS CHSD data was undertaken in Spring 2023, spanning the 4-year period January 1, 2019, through December 31, 2022, and included 144,919 operations performed at 114 participating sites in North America. The harvest analysis was successfully executed by the STS Research and Analytic Center. The overall unadjusted mortality rate was 2.68% and has remained stable over the 4 years included in the current harvest window. Mortality is highest in neonates (7.4%) and lowest in children (1.1%). As in prior analyses, observed mortality and postoperative length of stay in the database increase with an increase in STS-European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery (STAT) Congenital Heart Surgery Mortality Categories. This quality report summarizes contemporary outcomes, provides the odds ratios for the CHSD risk model variables based on this analysis, and describes on-going efforts to improve data collection and augment analytical approaches. Lastly, 5 research publications completed in the last year using data from the CHSD are also summarized.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Sociedades Médicas , Cirurgia Torácica , Humanos , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Cardiopatias Congênitas/mortalidade , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Pesquisa Biomédica , Criança , Pré-EscolarRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mortality after congenital heart surgery is an important metric across benchmarking, quality, and reporting initiatives. All rely on estimates from prior years, and how well these reflect current outcomes is unclear. METHODS: Index operations from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Database (2014-2019) were included. Adjusted operative mortality in "past" 4-year and 1-year intervals vs the most recent year ("present") was evaluated using Bayesian hierarchical logistic regression with results presented as odds ratios and 95% credible intervals (CrI). RESULTS: Among 115,699 operations (106 hospitals), overall present observed mortality was 2.5%. Regression to the mean was evident, and individual hospital's present vs past adjusted mortality were only weakly correlated (-0.11 vs past 1-year data, 0.22 vs past 4-year data). A significant relationship was found between past and present mortality only for the group of hospitals in the highest mortality quartile, most prominent for past 4-year data (adjusted odds ratio vs lowest mortality quartile, 2.04; 95% CrI, 1.44-2.80). The proportion of present hospital mortality variation explained by past mortality quartile was 52% (95% CrI, 20%-90%) using past 4-year data and only 27% (95% CrI, 92%-83%) using past 1-year data. Overall 66% of hospitals changed mortality quartiles from past to present (30% by ≥2 quartiles). CONCLUSIONS: Past mortality relates to present primarily for groups of hospitals at the extremes, with past 4-year data more informative than past 1-year data. For individual hospitals, past may differ from present, regression to the mean is common, and many change quartiles. Past mortality should be used thoughtfully and not as the sole factor informing present decision making.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Sociedades Médicas , Humanos , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Cardiopatias Congênitas/mortalidade , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/mortalidade , Feminino , Masculino , Lactente , Cirurgia Torácica , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Recém-Nascido , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pré-EscolarRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop a novel risk prediction model of 1-year mortality after congenital heart surgery that accounts for clinical, anatomic, echocardiographic, and socioeconomic factors. METHODS: This was a single-center, retrospective review of consecutive index operations for congenital or acquired heart disease, from January 2011 to January 2021, among patients with known survival status at 1 year after discharge from the index hospitalization. The primary outcome was postdischarge mortality at 1 year. Variables of interest included age, prematurity, noncardiac anomalies or syndromes, the Childhood Opportunity Index, primary procedure, major adverse postoperative complications, and the Residual Lesion Score. Logistic regression was used to develop a weighted risk score for the primary outcome. Internal validation using a bootstrap-resampling approach was performed. RESULTS: Of 10,412 consecutive operations for congenital or acquired heart disease, 8808 (84.6%) cases met entry criteria, including survival to discharge. There were 190 (2.2%) deaths at 1 year postdischarge. A weighted risk score was formulated on the basis of the variables in the final risk prediction model, which included all aforementioned risk factors of interest. This model had a C-statistic of 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.85). The median risk score was 6 (interquartile range, 4-8) points. Patients were categorized as low (score 0-5), medium (score 6-10), high (score 11-15), or very high (score 16-20) risk. The expected probability of mortality was 0.4% ± 0.2%, 2.0% ± 1.1%, 10.1% ± 5.0%, and 36.6% ± 9.6% for low-risk, medium-risk, high-risk, and very high-risk patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A risk prediction model of 1-year mortality may guide prognostication and follow-up of patients after discharge after surgery for congenital or acquired heart disease.
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Cardiopatias Congênitas , Alta do Paciente , Humanos , Criança , Prognóstico , Assistência ao Convalescente , Cardiopatias Congênitas/diagnóstico por imagem , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Fatores de Risco , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: We sought to characterize the natural history of aortic root dilatation and aortic regurgitation in tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). METHODS: A single-center review of patients who underwent TOF repair from January 1960 to December 2022 was performed. Morphology was categorized as TOF-pulmonary stenosis or TOF-variant (including TOF-pulmonary atresia and TOF-pulmonary atresia-major aortopulmonary collateral arteries). Echocardiographically determined diameters and derived z scores were measured at the annulus, sinus of Valsalva, and sinotubular junction immediately before TOF repair and throughout follow-up. Linear mixed-effects models assessed trends in dimensions over time. RESULTS: Of 2205 patients who underwent primary repair of TOF at a median age of 4.9 months (interquartile range, 2.3-20.5 months) and survived to discharge, 1608 (72.9%) patients had TOF-pulmonary stenosis and 597 (27.1%) patients had TOF-variant. At a median postoperative follow-up of 14.4 years (interquartile range, 3.3-27.6 years; range, 0.1-62.6 years), 313 (14.2%) patients had mild or greater aortic regurgitation and 34 (1.5%) patients required an aortic valve or root intervention. The overall mean rates of annular, sinus of Valsalva, and sinotubular junction growth were 0.5 ± 0.2, 0.6 ± 0.3, and 0.7 ± 0.5 mm/year, respectively. Root z scores remained stable with time. At baseline, patients with TOF-variant had larger diameters and z scores at the annulus, sinus of Valsalva, and sinotubular junction, compared with patients with TOF-pulmonary stenosis (all P values < .05). Over time, patients with TOF-variant demonstrated relatively greater annular (P = .020), sinus of Valsalva (P < .001), and sinotubular junction (P < .001) dilatation. Patients with ≥75th percentile root growth rates had a higher incidence of mild or greater aortic regurgitation (P < .001), moderate or greater aortic regurgitation (P < .001), and aortic valve repair or replacement (P = .045). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with TOF-variant are at comparatively greater risk of pathologic root dilatation over time, warranting closer longitudinal follow-up.
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Doenças da Aorta , Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Atresia Pulmonar , Estenose da Valva Pulmonar , Tetralogia de Fallot , Humanos , Lactente , Tetralogia de Fallot/complicações , Tetralogia de Fallot/diagnóstico por imagem , Tetralogia de Fallot/cirurgia , Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica/etiologia , Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica/cirurgia , Aorta Torácica/patologia , Atresia Pulmonar/complicações , Dilatação/efeitos adversos , Doenças da Aorta/complicações , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Estenose da Valva Pulmonar/complicações , Dilatação PatológicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The natural history of the dilated truncal root in repaired truncus arteriosus (TA) is incompletely understood. METHODS: A single-center review of patients who underwent TA repair between January 1984 and December 2018 was performed. Echocardiographically determined root diameters and derived z scores were measured at the annulus, sinus of Valsalva (SoV), and sinutubular junction (STJ) immediately before TA repair and throughout follow-up. Linear mixed-effects models assessed trends in root dimensions over time. RESULTS: Of 193 patients who underwent TA repair at a median age of 12 days (interquartile range, 6-48 days) and survived to discharge, 34 (17.6%), 110 (57.0%), and 49 (25.4%) patients had bicuspid, tricuspid, and quadricuspid truncal valves, respectively. Median postoperative follow-up was 11.6 years (interquartile range, 4.4-22.0 years; range, 0.1-34.8 years). Truncal valve or root intervention was required in 38 patients (19.7%). The mean rates of annular, SoV, and STJ growth were 0.7 ± 0.3 mm/y, 0.8 ± 0.5 mm/y, and 0.9 ± 0.4 mm/y, respectively. Root z scores remained stable with time. At baseline, compared with patients with tricuspid leaflet anatomy, bicuspid patients had larger diameters at the SoV (P = .003) and STJ (P = .029), whereas quadricuspid patients had larger STJ diameters (P = .004). Over time, the bicuspid and quadricuspid cohorts demonstrated comparatively greater annular dilatation (both P < .05). Patients with ≥75th percentile root growth rates had a higher incidence of moderate-severe truncal regurgitation (P = .019) and truncal valve intervention (P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: Root dilatation in TA persisted for up to 30 years after primary repair. Patients with bicuspid and quadricuspid truncal valves demonstrated greater root dilatation over time and required more valve interventions. Continued longitudinal follow-up is warranted in this higher-risk cohort.
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Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas , Persistência do Tronco Arterial , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Tronco Arterial/diagnóstico por imagem , Tronco Arterial/cirurgia , Dilatação , Persistência do Tronco Arterial/complicações , Persistência do Tronco Arterial/diagnóstico por imagem , Persistência do Tronco Arterial/cirurgia , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/complicações , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/diagnóstico por imagem , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/cirurgia , Dilatação PatológicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Operative mortality risk models for adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) undergoing cardiac operations are essential, given the growing population of these patients, yet they are currently unavailable. Existing adult Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) models exclude congenital procedures, whereas existing congenital models exclude operations for acquired disease. We aimed to develop an STS mortality risk model for ACHD patients undergoing cardiac operations. METHODS: Leveraging a comprehensive list of diagnostic and procedure codes, ACHD patients who underwent cardiac operations were identified from the STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (versions: v2.73, v2.81, and v2.9) between 2011 and 2019. The model was developed and validated in the ACHD population using a 60/40 development/validation split. Univariate analyses and clinical expertise informed the addition of ACHD-relevant procedure and diagnosis variables to existing STS adult risk model variables. Model performance was assessed overall and in 38 subgroups based on patient demographics, procedures, and diagnoses. RESULTS: Forty-seven procedure and diagnosis variables relevant to ACHD were added to existing STS adult risk model variables. The derived ACHD model for operative mortality was well calibrated within demographic, procedural, and diagnosis subgroups and the overall ACHD population, and discrimination in the validation cohort was excellent (C statistic, 0.815) compared with the model using only existing STS adult risk model variables (C statistic, 0.79; P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: A novel, high-performing STS ACHD mortality risk model has been developed on the basis of contemporary patient data. The ACHD risk model represents an important expansion of the STS portfolio. Implementation with an online risk calculator is planned.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Cirurgia Torácica , Humanos , Adulto , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/métodos , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Sociedades Médicas , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Bases de Dados FactuaisRESUMO
The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database continues to be one of the most comprehensive clinical outcomes registries capturing almost all pediatric cardiothoracic surgical operations undertaken in the United States. The latest analysis of aggregate outcomes was performed after the 33rd data harvest and included congenital and pediatric cardiac operations performed between July 1, 2017 and June 30, 2021. This article summarizes these contemporary outcomes and provides a context for the interpretation of these outcomes. In addition this article describes ongoing efforts to improve data collection and augment analytical approaches. Finally, research activities undertaken in the last year using data from the database are also summarized.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Cirurgiões , Cirurgia Torácica , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Criança , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Sociedades Médicas , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Bases de Dados FactuaisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database was queried to document variation of patient characteristics, procedure types, and programmatic case-mix. METHODS: All index cardiac operations in patients less than 18 years of age in the STS Congenital Heart Surgery Database (July 2016 to June 2020) were eligible for inclusion except patients weighing ≤2.5 kg undergoing isolated patent ductus arteriosus closure. At the hospital level, we describe variations in patient and procedural characteristics known from previous analyses to be associated with outcomes. We also report variations across hospitals of programmatic case-mix. RESULTS: Data were analyzed from 117 sites (90 322 total operations, 87 296 total index cardiac operations eligible for STAT [STS-European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery] 2020 Mortality Score). The median annual total index cardiac operations eligible for STAT 2020 Mortality Score per hospital was 157 (interquartile range [IQR], 94-276). Wide variability was documented in total annual index cardiac operations eligible for STAT 2020 Mortality Score per hospital (ratio 90th/10th percentile = 9.01), operations in neonates weighing <2.5 kg (ratio 90th/10th percentile = 4.09), operations in patients with noncardiac anatomic abnormalities (ratio 90th/10th percentile = 3.46), and operations in patients with preoperative mechanical ventilation (ratio 90th/10th percentile = 3.97). At the hospital level, the median percentage of all index cardiac operations in STAT 2020 Mortality Category 5 was 3.7% (IQR, 1.7%-4.9%), the median percentage of all index cardiac operations in STAT 2020 Mortality Category 4 or 5 was 24.4% (IQR, 19.0%-28.4%), the median hospital-specific mean STAT Mortality Category was 2.39 (IQR, 2.20-2.47), and the median hospital-specific mean STAT Mortality Score was 0.86 (IQR, 0.73-0.91). CONCLUSIONS: Substantial variation of patient characteristics, procedure types, and case-mix exists across pediatric and congenital cardiac surgical programs. Knowledge about programmatic case-mix augments data about indirectly standardized programmatic observed-to-expected (O/E) mortality. Indirectly standardized O/E ratios do not provide a complete description of a given pediatric and congenital cardiac surgical program. The indirectly standardized programmatic O/E ratios associated with a given program apply only to its specific case-mix of patients and may represent a quite different case-mix than that of another program.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Cirurgiões , Cirurgia Torácica , Recém-Nascido , Criança , Humanos , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/métodos , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Bases de Dados Factuais , HospitaisRESUMO
Reimbursement for cardiothoracic surgery continues to be threatened with enormous financial cuts ranging from 5% to 10% in recent years. In this policy perspective, we describe the history of reimbursement for cardiothoracic surgery, highlight areas in need of urgent reform, propose possible solutions that Congress and the Executive Branch may enact, and call cardiothoracic surgeons to action on this critical issue. Meaningful engagement of members of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons with their elected representatives is the only way to prevent these cuts.
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Especialidades Cirúrgicas , Cirurgia Torácica , Idoso , Estados Unidos , Humanos , MedicareRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database (CHSD) provides risk-adjusted operative mortality rates to approximately 120 North American congenital heart centers. Optimal case-mix adjustment methods for operative mortality risk prediction in this population remain unclear. METHODS: A panel created diagnosis-procedure combinations of encounters in the CHSD. Models for operative mortality using the new diagnosis-procedure categories, procedure-specific risk factors, and syndromes or abnormalities included in the CHSD were estimated using Bayesian additive regression trees and least absolute shrinkage and selector operator (lasso) models. Performance of the new models was compared with the current STS CHSD risk model. RESULTS: Of 98 825 operative encounters (69 063 training; 29 762 testing), 2818 (2.85%) STS-defined operative mortalities were observed. Differences in sensitivity, specificity, and true and false positive predicted values were negligible across models. Calibration for mortality predictions at the higher end of risk from the lasso and Bayesian additive regression trees models was better than predictions from the STS CHSD model, likely because of the new models' inclusion of diagnosis-palliative procedure variables affecting <1% of patients overall but accounting for 27% of mortalities. Model discrimination varied across models for high-risk procedures, hospital volume, and hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Overall performance of the new models did not differ meaningfully from the STS CHSD risk model. Adding procedure-specific risk factors and allowing diagnosis to modify predicted risk for palliative operations may augment model performance for very high-risk surgical procedures. Given the importance of risk adjustment in estimating hospital quality, a comparative assessment of surgical program quality evaluations using the different models is warranted.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Cirurgia Torácica , Teorema de Bayes , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/métodos , Criança , Bases de Dados Factuais , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Humanos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Sociedades MédicasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (STS-CHSD) provides observed-to-expected (O/E) operative mortality ratios to more than 100 congenital heart centers in North America. We compared the current approach for estimating O/E ratios to approaches incorporating information on diagnosis as moderators of procedures, other unused risk factors, and additional variation in confidence interval construction to characterize center performance. METHODS: Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) and lasso models linked operative mortality to diagnosis-procedure categories, procedure-specific risk factors, and syndromes/abnormalities. Bootstrapping accounted for variation in the STS-CHSD (STS bootstrap) and lasso CIs. We compared O/E estimates, interquartile range of CI widths, and concordance of center performance categorizations (worse-than-, as-, or better-than-expected mortality) of the new approaches to the STS-CHSD. RESULTS: In 110 surgical centers including 98,822 surgical operative encounters, there were 2818 (2.85%) operative mortalities (center range, 0.37%-10%). Compared with the STS-CHSD, BART- and lasso-estimated O/E ratios varied more and had narrower confidence intervals (interquartile range of confidence interval: STS-CHSD = 1.11, STS bootstrap = 0.98; lasso = 0.80; BART = 0.96). Concordance of performance categorization with the STS-CHSD ranged from 84% (lasso) to 91% (STS Bootstrap); more than 70% of discordant centers improved categories. Discordant centers had smaller volumes, fewer operative mortalities, and treated more patients with congenital lung abnormalities. CONCLUSIONS: Relative to the STS-CHSD, up to 16% of hospitals changed performance categories, most improving performance. Given the significance of quality reports for congenital heart centers, inclusion of additional risk factors and unaddressed variation should be considered.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Cardiopatias Congênitas , Cirurgia Torácica , Teorema de Bayes , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/métodos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Humanos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Sociedades MédicasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: To identify opportunities for enhanced data collection for adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD), a structured review of existing variables in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database (CHSD) and the STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (ACSD) was conducted. METHODS: A working group was assembled representing multiple STS Workforces and Task Forces. The ACSD was reviewed systematically over eight 90-minute calls. ACSD version 4.20.2 and CHSD version 3.41 were used, and the ACSD was approached in sections. ACSD variables were classified as (1) represented in identical form in the CHSD (no further discussion), (2) represented in similar form in the CHSD (discussed for potential harmonization of definitions), or (3) not represented in the CHSD (discussed for potential inclusion). Variables felt to be relevant to ACHD were noted, and special consideration was given to STS required fields and variables used in existing STS adult risk models. Other factors that were examined were the frequency, use, and capture of existing ACSD variables. RESULTS: Over 22 weeks (8 calls), the existing 1069 variables in version 4.20.2 of the ACSD were discussed. Ultimately, 539 total variables were found to be both (1) relevant to ACHD and (2) not currently collected in the CHSD. These were recommended for inclusion in the next CHSD upgrade for patients aged ≥18 years. CONCLUSIONS: For adult patients having case records entered into the CHSD, the inclusion of a limited set of additional data fields from the ACSD should enhance capture of comorbidities and other clinical data relevant to the ACHD population.
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Cardiopatias Congênitas , Cirurgiões , Cirurgia Torácica , Adulto , Humanos , Adolescente , Sociedades Médicas , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Cardiopatias Congênitas/cirurgia , Bases de Dados FactuaisRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: In this study, we sought to identify independent risk factors for mortality and reintervention after early surgical correction of truncus arteriosus using a novel statistical method. METHODS: Patients undergoing neonatal/infant truncus arteriosus repair between January 1984 and December 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. An innovative statistical strategy was applied integrating competing risks analysis with modulated renewal for time-to-event modeling. RESULTS: A total of 204 patients were included in the study. Mortality occurred in 32 patients (15%). Smaller right ventricle to pulmonary artery conduit size and truncal valve insufficiency at birth were significantly associated with overall mortality (right ventricle to pulmonary artery conduit size: hazard ratio, 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.66, P = .008; truncal valve insufficiency: hazard ratio, 2.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-5.53, P = .024). truncal valve insufficiency at birth, truncal valve intervention at index repair, and number of cusps (4 vs 3) were associated with truncal valve reoperations (truncal valve insufficiency: hazard ratio, 2.38; 95%, confidence interval, 1.13-5.01, P = .02; cusp number: hazard ratio, 6.62; 95% confidence interval, 2.54-17.3, P < .001). Right ventricle to pulmonary artery conduit size 11 mm or less was associated with a higher risk of early catheter-based reintervention (hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-2.28, P = .03) and reoperation (hazard ratio, 1.96; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-2.89, P = .001) on the right ventricle to pulmonary artery conduit. CONCLUSIONS: Smaller right ventricle to pulmonary artery conduit size and truncal valve insufficiency at birth were associated with overall mortality after truncus arteriosus repair. Quadricuspid truncal valve, the presence of truncal valve insufficiency at the time of diagnosis, and truncal valve intervention at index repair were associated with an increased risk of reoperation. The size of the right ventricle to pulmonary artery conduit at index surgery is the single most important factor for early reoperation and catheter-based reintervention on the conduit.
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Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardiovasculares , Valvas Cardíacas , Ventrículos do Coração , Efeitos Adversos de Longa Duração , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Reoperação , Medição de Risco , Persistência do Tronco Arterial/cirurgia , Adulto , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardiovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardiovasculares/métodos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Causalidade , Feminino , Valvas Cardíacas/anormalidades , Valvas Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Valvas Cardíacas/cirurgia , Ventrículos do Coração/anormalidades , Ventrículos do Coração/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Lactente , Efeitos Adversos de Longa Duração/diagnóstico , Efeitos Adversos de Longa Duração/etiologia , Efeitos Adversos de Longa Duração/mortalidade , Efeitos Adversos de Longa Duração/cirurgia , Masculino , Mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/diagnóstico , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/cirurgia , Artéria Pulmonar/anormalidades , Artéria Pulmonar/cirurgia , Reoperação/métodos , Reoperação/normas , Reoperação/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Persistência do Tronco Arterial/diagnóstico , Persistência do Tronco Arterial/fisiopatologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: For the more than 40,000 children in the United States undergoing congenital heart surgery annually, the relationship between hospital quality and costs remains unclear. Prior studies report conflicting results and clinical outcomes have continued to improve over time. We examined a large contemporary cohort, aiming to better inform ongoing initiatives seeking to optimize health care value in this population. METHODS: Clinical information (The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Database) was merged with standardized cost data (Pediatric Health Information Systems) for children undergoing heart surgery from 2010 to 2015. In-hospital cost variability was analyzed using Bayesian hierarchical models adjusted for case-mix. Quality metrics examined included in-hospital mortality, postoperative complications, postoperative length of stay (PLOS), and a composite. RESULTS: Overall, 32 hospitals (n = 45,315 patients) were included. Median adjusted cost per case varied across hospitals from $67,700 to $51,200 in the high vs low cost tertile (ratio 1.32; 95% credible interval, 1.29 to 1.35), and all quality metrics also varied across hospitals. Across cost tertiles, there were no significant differences in the quality metrics examined, with the exception of PLOS. The PLOS findings were driven by high-risk The Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery categories 4 and 5 cases (adjusted median length of stay 16.8 vs 14.9 days in high vs low cost tertile [ratio 1.13, 1.05 to 1.24]), and intensive care unit PLOS. CONCLUSIONS: Contemporary congenital heart surgery costs vary across hospitals but were not associated with most quality metrics examined, highlighting that performance in one area does not necessarily convey to others. Cost variability was associated with PLOS, particularly related to intensive care unit PLOS and high-risk cases. Care processes influencing PLOS may provide targets for value-based initiatives in this population.