TNM stage in the Nordic Cancer Registries 2004-2016: Registration and availability.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Stage at cancer diagnosis is an important predictor of cancer survival. TNM stage is constructed for anatomic solid cancer diagnoses from tumor size (T), nodal spread (N) and distant metastasis (M) and categorized in groups 0-I, II, II and IV. TNM stage is imperative in cancer diagnosis, management and control, and of high value in cancer surveillance, for example, monitoring of stage distributions. This study yields an overview of TNM availability and trends in stage distribution in the Nordic countries for future use in monitoring and epidemiologic studies. MATERIAL AND METHODS: TNM information was acquired from the cancer registries in Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and Iceland during 2004-2016 for 26 cancer sites in the three former countries and four in Iceland. We studied availability, comparability, and distribution of TNM stage in three periods: 2004-2008, 2009-2013, and 2014-2016, applying a previously validated algorithm of 'N0M0 for NXMX'. For cancers of colon, rectum, lung, breast, and kidney, we examined TNM stage-specific 1-year relative survival to evaluate the quality in registration of TNM between countries. RESULTS: Denmark, Sweden, and Iceland exhibited available TNM stage proportions of 75-95% while proportions were lower in Norway. Proportions increased in Sweden over time but decreased in Denmark. One-year relative survival differed substantially more between TNM stages than between countries emphasizing that TNM stage is an important predictor for survival and that stage recording is performed similarly in the Nordic countries. INTERPRETATION: Assessment and registration of TNM stage is an imperative tool in evaluations of trends in cancer survival between the Nordic countries.

Trends in lung cancer survival in the Nordic countries 1990-2016: The NORDCAN survival studies.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate if the previously reported improvements in lung cancer survival were consistent across age at diagnosis and by lung cancer subtypes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on lung cancers diagnosed between 1990 and 2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Flexible parametric models were used to estimate age-standardized and age-specific relative survival by sex, as well as reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost. Age-standardised survival was also estimated by the three major subtypes; adenocarcincoma, squamous cell and small-cell carcinoma. RESULTS: Both 1- and 5-year relative survival improved continuously in all countries. The pattern of improvement was similar across age groups and by subtype. The largest improvements in survival were seen in Denmark, while improvements were comparatively smaller in Finland. In the most recent period, age-standardised estimates of 5-year relative survival ranged from 13% to 26% and the 5-year crude probability of death due to lung cancer ranged from 73% to 85%. Across all Nordic countries, survival decreased with age, and was lower in men and for small-cell carcinoma. CONCLUSION: Lung cancer survival has improved substantially since 1990, in both women and men and across age. The improvements were seen in all major subtypes. However, lung cancer survival remains poor, with three out of four patients dying from their lung cancer within five years of diagnosis.

Antidepressant use and ovarian cancer risk: Evidence from nationwide studies with >14,000 cases from Denmark and Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: Given that the evidence regarding the link between antidepressant use and ovarian cancer risk is equivocal, we investigated this research question by conducting two nationwide nested case-control studies among the Danish and Swedish populations. METHODS: Altogether, 14,121 women with epithelial ovarian cancer (30-84 years old) (Denmark: 8976 diagnosed 2000-2019, Sweden: 5145 diagnosed 2010-2018) were randomly age-matched with 564,840 female controls (359,040 from Denmark, and 205,800 from Sweden) using risk set sampling. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (OR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) and combined the estimates based on the fixed-effect assumption. We also investigated potential effect modification by well-established risk factors for ovarian cancer. RESULTS: Antidepressant use was associated with an overall reduced risk of ovarian cancer (OR = 0.92, 95%CI: 0.88-0.96), and that reduction was more pronounced in postmenopausal women and long-term users. The effect was most pronounced for serous ovarian tumors (OR = 0.90, 95%CI: 0.86-0.95) but was also observed in other subtypes, although not statistically significant. Among different types of antidepressants, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors in general and citalopram in particular exhibited a noteworthy reduction in ovarian cancer risk (OR = 0.89, 95%CI: 0.82-0.96). Additionally, use of oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy individually modified the association between antidepressant use and ovarian cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS: Use of an antidepressant was associated with a slight, but statistically significant, decrease in ovarian cancer risk. Given the morbidity and mortality associated with ovarian cancer, and increasing use of antidepressants, these findings may be of significance to cancer prevention and should be studied in more detail mechanistically.

Non-preventable cases of breast, prostate, lung, and colorectal cancer in 2050 in an elimination scenario of modifiable risk factors.

Most Western countries have increasing number of new cancer cases per year. Cancer incidence is primarily influenced by basically avoidable risk factors and an aging population. Through hypothetical elimination scenarios of multiple major risk factors for cancer, we estimated the number of new cancer cases that are non-preventable in 2050. We compare numbers of new postmenopausal breast, prostate, lung, and colorectal cancer cases in 2021 to projected numbers of new cases in 2050 under prevention scenarios regarding smoking, overweight and obesity, and alcohol consumption: no intervention, 50%, and 100% instant reduction. Cancer incidence data were derived from NORDCAN, and risk factor prevalence data from the Danish National Health Survey. Cancer projections were calculated with the Prevent program. Hypothetical 100% instant elimination of major risk factors for cancer in Denmark in 2022 will result in unchanged numbers of new breast and colorectal cancers in 2050. The number of new prostate cancers will increase by 25% compared to 2021. Unchanged risk factor levels will result in noticeable increase in cancer burden. Increase in life expectancy and age will entail an increase in cancer incidence, despite maximum effect of preventive actions in the population. Our results are important when planning future health care.

Depression risk in users of different doses of levonorgestrel intrauterine systems: a nationwide prospective cohort study.

Background: Use of the high-dose levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine system (LNG-IUS) has been associated with increased risk of incident depression. Evidence is lacking on the influence of use of two recently marketed low-dose LNG-IUS on risk of depression. This study aims to examine associations between use of different doses of LNG-IUS and risk of depression. Methods: We conducted a nationwide prospective cohort study involving all first-time users of an LNG-IUS among all Danish nulliparous women aged 15-34 years with no medical history of depression, major psychiatric diseases, endometriosis, heavy menstrual bleeding, polyp, myoma, dysmenorrhoea, iron supplement use, abortion, and infertility treatment. Findings: A total of 46,565 first-time users of LNG-IUS were followed for 80,516 person-years with 1,531 incident initiations of antidepressant use observed during follow-up. Use of the high-dose LNG-IUS containing 52 mg levonorgestrel was initiated by 9,902 (21%) women, while 20,665 (44%), and 15,998 (34%) initiated use of the low-dose LNG-IUS containing 19·5 mg and 13·5 mg levonorgestrel, respectively.The age-, calendar-time-, and education-standardised incidence rates of first-time depression per 1,000 person-years at full LNG-IUS duration were 30.8 (95% CI 23·6-39·5) for the 52 mg LNG-IUS, 19·8 (95% CI 16·1; 24·0) for the 19·5 mg LNG-IUS, and 17·7 (95% CI 14·4-21·5) for the 13·5 mg LNG-IUS-. Compared to the high-dose 52 mg LNG-IUS, the adjusted number of avoided depressions per 1,000 person-years were 11·0 (95% CI 7·1-14·9) for the 19·5 mg LNG-IUS and 13·1 (95% CI 9·6-16·6) for the 13·5 mg LNG-IUS. The corresponding adjusted rate ratios were 0·77 (95% CI 0·68; 0·88) and 0·85 (95% CI 0·75-0·96). The reduced risk of depression with low-dose LNG-IUS compared to high-dose LNG-IUS was observable throughout duration of use. Interpretation: Use of low-dose LNG-IUS containing 19·5 mg and 13·5 mg levonorgestrel, respectively, were associated with a reduced risk of incident depression compared to use of the high-dose 52 mg LNG-IUS. The study suggests that low-dose LNG-IUS should be preferred over the high-dose LNG-IUS for contraceptive purpose. Funding: Sygeforsikringen "Danmark" grant: 2021-0128.

Survival trends for patients diagnosed with cutaneous malignant melanoma in the Nordic countries 1990-2016: The NORDCAN survival studies.

BACKGROUND: The survival in patients diagnosed with cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) has improved in the Nordic countries in the last decades. It is of interest to know if these improvements are observed in all ages and for both women and men. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with CMM in the Nordic countries in 1990-2016 were identified in the NORDCAN database. Flexible parametric relative survival models were fitted, except for Iceland where a non-parametric Pohar-Perme approach was used. A range of survival metrics were estimated by sex, both age-standardised and age-specific. RESULTS: The 5-year relative survival improved in all countries, in both women and men and across age. While the improvement was more pronounced in men, women still had a higher survival at the end of the study period. The survival was generally high, with age-standardised estimates of 5-year relative survival towards the end of the study period ranging from 85% in Icelandic men to 95% in Danish women. The age-standardised and reference-adjusted 5-year crude probability of death due to CMM ranged from 5% in Danish and Swedish women to 13% in Icelandic men. CONCLUSION: Although survival following CMM was relatively high in the Nordic countries in 1990, continued improvements in survival were observed throughout the study period in both women and men and across age.

Prediagnostic use of menopausal hormone therapy and long-term survival of localized epithelial ovarian cancer: The Extreme study.

Use of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) prior to an epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) diagnosis has been suggested to be associated with improved survival. In a recent nationwide cohort study, we found that prediagnostic long-term MHT use, especially estrogen therapy (ET), was associated with improved long-term survival in women with nonlocalized EOC. Our aim was to investigate the influence of prediagnostic MHT use on long-term survival among women with localized EOC in the same nationwide study. Our study cohort comprised all women aged 50 years or older with an EOC diagnosis in Denmark 2000-2014 (n = 2097) identified from the Extreme study. We collected information on usage of systemic ET and estrogen plus progestin therapy (EPT) from the Danish National Prescription Registry. By using pseudo-values, 5- and 10-year absolute and relative survival probabilities were estimated with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) while adjusting for histology, comorbidity, and income. Relative survival probabilities >1 indicate better survival. The 5-year absolute survival probabilities were 61% and 56%, respectively, among women who were nonusers and users of prediagnostic MHT, whereas these numbers were 46% and 41%, respectively, regarding 10-year survival. Use of MHT was not significantly associated with an improved 5- or 10-year survival in women with localized EOC (5-year relative survival probability = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.89-1.02; 10-year relative survival probability = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.84-1.02). Similar findings were seen for systemic ET or EPT use. Our findings do not suggest a positive benefit from prediagnostic MHT use on long-term survival of localized EOC.

Association of vaginal oestradiol and the rate of breast cancer in Denmark: registry based, case-control study, nested in a nationwide cohort.

Objective: To estimate the rate of breast cancer associated with use of vaginal oestradiol tablets according to duration and intensity of their use. Design: Registry based, case-control study, nested in a nationwide cohort. Setting: Based in Denmark using the civil registration system, the national registry of medicinal product statistics, the Danish cancer registry, the Danish birth registry, and statistics Denmark. Participants: Women aged 50-60 years in year 2000 or turning 50 years during the study period of 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2018 were included. Exclusions were a history of cancer, mastectomy, use of systemic hormone treatment, use of the levonorgestrel releasing intrauterine system, or use of vaginal oestrogen treatments other than oestradiol tablets. To each woman who developed breast cancer during follow-up (18 997), five women in the control group (94 985) were incidence density matched by birth year. Main outcome measure: The main outcome was pathology confirmed breast cancer diagnosis. Results: 2782 (14.6%) women with breast cancer (cases) and 14 999 (15.8%) women with no breast cancer diagnosis (controls) had been exposed to vaginal oestradiol tablets with 234 cases and 1232 controls having been in treatment for at least four years at a high intensity (>50 micrograms per week). Increasing durations and intensities of use (cumulative dose/cumulative duration) of vaginal oestradiol tablets was not associated with increasing rates of breast cancer. Compared with never-use, cumulative use of vaginal oestradiol for more than nine years was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.87 (95% confidence interval 0.69 to 1.11). Results were similar in women who had long term use (≥four years) and with high intensity of use (>50-70 micrograms per week) with an adjusted hazard ratio 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.81 to 1.08). Conclusions: Use of vaginal oestradiol tablets was not associated with increased breast cancer rate compared with never-use. Increasing duration and intensity of use was not associated with increased rates of breast cancer.

Dementia in Women Using Estrogen-Only Therapy.

This study examines the association between use of estrogen-only therapy for perimenopausal and menopausal women and risk of dementia.

Menopausal hormone therapy and central nervous system tumors: Danish nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Use of estrogen-containing menopausal hormone therapy has been shown to influence the risk of central nervous system (CNS) tumors. However, it is unknown how the progestin-component affects the risk and whether continuous versus cyclic treatment regimens influence the risk differently. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Nested case-control studies within a nationwide cohort of Danish women followed for 19 years from 2000 to 2018. The cohort comprised 789,901 women aged 50 to 60 years during follow-up, without prior CNS tumor diagnosis, cancer, or contraindication for treatment with menopausal hormone therapy. Information on cumulative exposure to female hormonal drugs was based on filled prescriptions. Statistical analysis included educational level, use of antihistamines, and use of anti-asthma drugs as covariates. During follow-up, 1,595 women were diagnosed with meningioma and 1,167 with glioma. The median (first-third quartile) follow-up time of individuals in the full cohort was 10.8 years (5.0 years to 17.5 years). Compared to never-use, exposure to estrogen-progestin or progestin-only were both associated with increased risk of meningioma, hazard ratio (HR) 1.21; (95% confidence interval (CI) [1.06, 1.37] p = 0.005) and HR 1.28; (95% CI [1.05, 1.54] p = 0.012), respectively. Corresponding HRs for glioma were HR 1.00; (95% CI [0.86, 1.16] p = 0.982) and HR 1.20; (95% CI [0.95, 1.51] p = 0.117). Continuous estrogen-progestin exhibited higher HR of meningioma 1.34; (95% CI [1.08, 1.66] p = 0.008) than cyclic treatment 1.13; (95% CI [0.94, 1.34] p = 0.185). Previous use of estrogen-progestin 5 to 10 years prior to diagnosis yielded the strongest association with meningioma, HR 1.26; (95% CI [1.01, 1.57] p = 0.044), whereas current/recent use of progestin-only yielded the highest HRs for both meningioma 1.64; (95% CI [0.90, 2.98] p = 0.104) and glioma 1.83; (95% CI [0.98, 3.41] p = 0.057). Being an observational study, residual confounding could occur. CONCLUSIONS: Use of continuous, but not cyclic estrogen-progestin was associated with increased meningioma risk. There was no evidence of increased glioma risk with estrogen-progestin use. Use of progestin-only was associated with increased risk of meningioma and potentially glioma. Further studies are warranted to evaluate our findings and investigate the influence of long-term progestin-only regimens on CNS tumor risk.

Venous thromboembolism with use of hormonal contraception and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the influence of concomitant use of hormonal contraception and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) on the risk of venous thromboembolism. DESIGN: Nationwide cohort study. SETTING: Denmark through national registries. PARTICIPANTS: All 15-49 year old women living in Denmark between 1996 and 2017 with no medical history of any venous or arterial thrombotic event, cancer, thrombophilia, hysterectomy, bilateral oophorectomy, sterilisation, or infertility treatment (n=2 029 065). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: A first time discharge diagnosis of lower limb deep venous thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. RESULTS: Among 2.0 million women followed for 21.0 million person years, 8710 venous thromboembolic events occurred. Compared with non-use of NSAIDs, use of NSAIDs was associated with an adjusted incidence rate ratio of venous thromboembolism of 7.2 (95% confidence interval 6.0 to 8.5) in women not using hormonal contraception, 11.0 (9.6 to 12.6) in women using high risk hormonal contraception, 7.9 (5.9 to 10.6) in those using medium risk hormonal contraception, and 4.5 (2.6 to 8.1) in users of low/no risk hormonal contraception. The corresponding numbers of extra venous thromboembolic events per 100 000 women over the first week of NSAID treatment compared with non-use of NSAIDs were 4 (3 to 5) in women not using hormonal contraception, 23 (19 to 27) in women using high risk hormonal contraception, 11 (7 to 15) in those using medium risk hormonal contraception, and 3 (0 to 5) in users of low/no risk hormonal contraception. CONCLUSIONS: NSAID use was positively associated with the development of venous thromboembolism in women of reproductive age. The number of extra venous thromboembolic events with NSAID use compared with non-use was significantly larger with concomitant use of high/medium risk hormonal contraception compared with concomitant use of low/no risk hormonal contraception. Women needing both hormonal contraception and regular use of NSAIDs should be advised accordingly.

Potential preventive properties of GLP-1 receptor agonists against prostate cancer: a nationwide cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have been suggested to possess antineoplastic properties against prostate cancer. We examined the association between GLP-1RA use and prostate cancer risk in a real-world setting. METHODS: We performed a nationwide register-based cohort study using an active-comparator, new-user design. We included all men in Denmark aged ≥50 years who commenced use of GLP-1RAs or basal insulin during 2007-2019. HRs and 95% CIs for incident prostate cancer were estimated using multivariable Cox regression in 'intention-to-treat' (ITT)- and 'per-protocol'-like analyses. RESULTS: Among 14,206 initiators of GLP-1RAs and 21,756 initiators of basal insulin, we identified 697 patients with prostate cancer during a mean follow-up period of about 5 years from initiation of the study drugs. In comparison with basal insulin use, GLP-1RA use was associated with an adjusted HR of 0.91 (95% CI 0.73, 1.14) in the 'ITT' analysis and 0.80 (95% CI 0.64, 1.01) in the 'per-protocol' analysis. Stronger inverse associations were seen among older men (≥70 years) ('ITT' HR 0.56; 95% CI 0.38, 0.82; 'per-protocol' HR 0.47; 95% CI 0.30, 0.74), and in patients with CVD ('ITT' HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.53, 1.06; 'per-protocol' HR 0.60; 95% CI 0.39, 0.91). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: GLP-1RA use was inversely associated with prostate cancer risk compared with use of basal insulin in the 'per-protocol' analysis. Older men and patients with CVD exhibited stronger inverse associations in both the 'ITT' and 'per-protocol' analyses. Our results may indicate that GLP-1RA use could protect against prostate cancer.

Were cancer patients worse off than the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic? A population-based study from Norway, Denmark and Iceland during the pre-vaccination era.

Background: In a population-based setting, we investigated the risks of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 and developing severe COVID-19 outcomes among cancer patients compared with the general population. Methods: In nationwide cohorts, we identified all individuals in Norway, Denmark and Iceland who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 or had a severe COVID-19 outcome (hospitalisation, intensive care, and death) from March until December 2020, using data from national health registries. We estimated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing cancer patients with the general population. Findings: During the first wave of the pandemic, cancer patients in Norway and Denmark had higher risks of testing SARS-CoV-2 positive compared to the general population. Throughout 2020, recently treated cancer patients were more likely to test SARS-CoV-2 positive. In Iceland, cancer patients experienced no increased risk of testing positive. The risk of COVID-19-related hospitalisation was higher among cancer patients diagnosed within one year of hospitalisation (Norway: SIR = 2.43, 95% CI 1.89-3.09; Denmark: 2.23, 1.96-2.54) and within five years (Norway: 1.58, 1.35-1.83; Denmark: 1.54, 1.42-1.66). Risks were higher in recently treated cancer patients and in those diagnosed with haematologic malignancies, colorectal or lung cancer. Risks of COVID-19-related intensive care and death were higher among cancer patients. Interpretation: Cancer patients were at increased risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the first pandemic wave when testing availability was limited, while relative risks of severe COVID-19 outcomes remained increased in cancer patients throughout 2020. Recent cancer treatment and haematologic malignancy were the strongest risk factors. Funding: Nordic Cancer Union.

Menopausal hormone therapy and dementia: nationwide, nested case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between use of menopausal hormone therapy and development of dementia according to type of hormone treatment, duration of use, and age at usage. DESIGN: Nationwide, nested case-control study. SETTING: Denmark through national registries. PARTICIPANTS: 5589 incident cases of dementia and 55 890 age matched controls were identified between 2000 and 2018 from a population of all Danish women aged 50-60 years in 2000 with no history of dementia or contraindications for use of menopausal hormone therapy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for all cause dementia defined by a first time diagnosis or first time use of dementia specific medication. RESULTS: Compared with people who had never used treatment, people who had received oestrogen-progestogen therapy had an increased rate of all cause dementia (hazard ratio 1.24 (95% confidence interval 1.17 to 1.33)). Increasing durations of use yielded higher hazard ratios, ranging from 1.21 (1.09 to 1.35) for one year or less of use to 1.74 (1.45 to 2.10) for more than 12 years of use. Oestrogen-progestogen therapy was positively associated with development of dementia for both continuous (1.31 (1.18 to 1.46)) and cyclic (1.24 (1.13 to 1.35)) regimens. Associations persisted in women who received treatment at the age 55 years or younger (1.24 (1.11 to 1.40)). Findings persisted when restricted to late onset dementia (1.21 (1.12 to 1.30)) and Alzheimer's disease (1.22 (1.07 to 1.39)). CONCLUSIONS: Menopausal hormone therapy was positively associated with development of all cause dementia and Alzheimer's disease, even in women who received treatment at the age of 55 years or younger. The increased rate of dementia was similar between continuous and cyclic treatment. Further studies are warranted to determine whether these findings represent an actual effect of menopausal hormone therapy on dementia risk, or whether they reflect an underlying predisposition in women in need of these treatments.

Central nervous system tumours among users of vaginal oestradiol tablets: A nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: It is currently unknown whether vaginal oestradiol is associated with development of meningioma and glioma. The aim of this study was to examine associations between cumulative use and treatment intensity of vaginally administered oestradiol tablets and incidence of meningioma and glioma in a nationwide, population-based study. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study within a nationwide cohort of Danish women followed from 2000 to 2018. The cohort consisted of 590,676 women aged 50-60 years at study start, without prior cancer diagnosis or use of systemic hormone therapy. Information on cumulative dose, duration, and intensity of vaginal oestradiol tablet use was assessed from filled prescriptions. Conditional logistic regression provided adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between vaginal oestradiol use and diagnosis of meningioma or glioma. RESULTS: We identified 1108 women with meningioma and 835 with glioma. Of these, 19.8% and 14.0% used vaginal oestradiol tablets, respectively. The HRs in those with ever-use of vaginal oestradiol tablets was 1.14 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.97-1.34) for meningioma and 0.90 (95% CI 0.73-1.11) for glioma. The corresponding HRs for new users exclusively were 1.18 (95% CI 0.99-1.40) for meningioma and 0.89 (95% CI 0.71-1.13) for glioma. Intensity of vaginal oestradiol tablet use according to duration and user status yielded slightly elevated HRs for meningioma without an apparent dose-response pattern, while the HRs for glioma were generally below unity. Among new users, the HR with high intensity of current or recent vaginal oestradiol tablet use for 2+ years was 1.66 (95% CI 1.09-2.55) for meningioma and 0.77 (95% CI 0.41-1.44) for glioma. CONCLUSION: Use of vaginal oestradiol tablets was associated with a slightly increased incidence of meningioma but not of glioma. Owing to the observational nature of the study, residual bias cannot be ruled out.

In Utero Exposure to Hormonal Contraception and Mortality in Offspring with and without Cancer: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

Approximately 400 million women of reproductive age use hormonal contraceptives worldwide. Eventually, pregnancy sometimes occurs due to irregular use. Use in early pregnancy is found to be associated with child morbidities including cancer, the main reason for disease-related death in children. Here, we add the missing piece about in utero exposure to hormonal contraception and mortality in offspring, including assessments of prognosis in children with cancer. In utero exposure to hormonal contraception may be associated with death since we found a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.22 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.48) compared to children of mothers with previous use. The HRs were 1.22 (95% CI 0.99-1.13) for oral combined products and 2.92 (95% CI 1.21-7.04) for non-oral progestin-only products. A poorer prognosis was also found in exposed children with leukemia (3.62 (95% CI: 1.33-9.87)). If causal, hormonal contraception in pregnancy seems detrimental for offspring health and a marker of poorer prognosis in children with leukemia.

Influence of various assumptions for the individual TNM components on the TNM stage using Nordic cancer registry data.

BACKGROUND: The stage at diagnosis is one of the most important predictors for cancer survival. TNM stage is constructed from T (tumor size), N (nodal spread), and M (distant metastasis) components. In many notifications to cancer registries, TNM information is incomplete with unknown N and/or M. We aimed to evaluate the influence of various assumptions for recoding missing N (NX) and M (MX) as N0 and M0 on the proportion with available TNM stage, stage-distribution, and stage-specific relative survival. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We identified 140,201 patients diagnosed with incident cancer of the colon, rectum, lung, breast, or kidney during 2014-2016 in Denmark, Norway, Sweden, or Iceland. Information on TNM were obtained from cancer registry records used for an update of the Nordic cancer statistics database NORDCAN. Patients were followed for death or emigration through 2017. We calculated proportions of available TNM stage, stage distribution, and stage-specific relative survival under different approaches for each cancer site and country. RESULTS: Application of the assumptions yielded higher numbers of cases with available TNM stage for stages 0-I, II, and III. We observed only minor differences in stage-specific one-year relative survival when applying N0M0 for missing N and M, especially for high completeness of TNM registrations, whereas relative survival for remaining cases with missing TNM stage declined substantially. CONCLUSION: We found no major changes in stage-specific one-year relative survival applying N0M0 for NXMX. We conclude that complete TNM information is preferable to making assumptions, but it seems reasonable to consider assuming N0M0 for missing N and M in future studies based on the Nordic cancer registries. An automatic algorithm, though, is not recommended without considering potential area-specific reasons for frequent use of NX and MX. Clinicians should be urged to report complete TNM information to improve surveillance of the TNM stage.

Shifting incidence and survival of epithelial ovarian cancer (1995-2014): A SurvMark-2 study.

The aim of the study is to provide a comprehensive assessment of incidence and survival trends of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) by histological subtype across seven high income countries (Australia, Canada, Denmark, Ireland, New Zealand, Norway and the United Kingdom). Data on invasive EOC diagnosed in women aged 15 to 99 years during 1995 to 2014 were obtained from 20 cancer registries. Age standardized incidence rates and average annual percentage change were calculated by subtype for all ages and age groups (15-64 and 65-99 years). Net survival (NS) was estimated by subtype, age group and 5-year period using Pohar-Perme estimator. Our findings showed marked increase in serous carcinoma incidence was observed between 1995 and 2014 among women aged 65 to 99 years with average annual increase ranging between 2.2% and 5.8%. We documented a marked decrease in the incidence of adenocarcinoma "not otherwise specified" with estimates ranging between 4.4% and 7.4% in women aged 15 to 64 years and between 2.0% and 3.7% among the older age group. Improved survival, combining all EOC subtypes, was observed for all ages combined over the 20-year study period in all countries with 5-year NS absolute percent change ranging between 5.0 in Canada and 12.6 in Denmark. Several factors such as changes in guidelines and advancement in diagnostic tools may potentially influence the observed shift in histological subtypes and temporal trends. Progress in clinical management and treatment over the past decades potentially plays a role in the observed improvements in EOC survival.

Age-specific survival trends and life-years lost in women with breast cancer 1990-2016: the NORDCAN survival studies.

BACKGROUND: A recent overview of cancer survival trends 1990-2016 in the Nordic countries reported continued improvements in age-standardized breast cancer survival among women. The aim was to estimate age-specific survival trends over calendar time, including life-years lost, to evaluate if improvements have benefited patients across all ages in the Nordic countries. METHODS: Data on breast cancers diagnosed 1990-2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Age-standardized and age-specific relative survival (RS) was estimated using flexible parametric models, as was reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost. RESULTS: Age-standardized period estimates of 5-year RS in women diagnosed with breast cancer ranged from 87% to 90% and 10-year RS from 74% to 85%. Ten-year RS increased with 15-18 percentage points from 1990 to 2016, except in Sweden (+9 percentage points) which had the highest survival in 1990. The largest improvements were observed in Denmark, where a previous survival disadvantage diminished. Most recent 5-year crude probabilities of cancer death ranged from 9% (Finland, Sweden) to 12% (Denmark, Iceland), and life-years lost from 3.3 years (Finland) to 4.6 years (Denmark). Although survival improvements were consistent across different ages, women aged ≥70 years had the lowest RS in all countries. Period estimates of 5-year RS were 94-95% in age 55 years and 84-89% in age 75 years, while 10-year RS were 88-91% in age 55 years and 69-84% in age 75 years. Women aged 40 years lost on average 11.0-13.8 years, while women lost 3.8-6.0 years if aged 55 and 1.9-3.5 years if aged 75 years. CONCLUSIONS: Survival for Nordic women with breast cancer improved from 1990 to 2016 in all age groups, albeit with larger country variation among older women where survival was also lower. Women over 70 years of age have not had the same survival improvement as women of younger age.