A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Remission in Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis on Treatment With Secukinumab.

Background: Psoriatic Arthritis (PsA) is a multifactorial disease, and predicting remission is challenging. Machine learning (ML) is a promising tool for building multi-parametric models to predict clinical outcomes. We aimed at developing a ML algorithm to predict the probability of remission in PsA patients on treatment with Secukinumab (SEC). Methods: PsA patients undergoing SEC treatment between September 2017 and September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. At baseline and 12-month follow-up, we retrieved demographic and clinical characteristics, including Body Mass Index (BMI), disease phenotypes, Disease Activity in PsA (DAPSA), Leeds Enthesitis Index (LEI) and presence/absence of comorbidities, including fibromyalgia and metabolic syndrome. Two random feature elimination wrappers, based on an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Logistic Regression (LR), were trained and validated with 10-fold cross-validation for predicting 12-month DAPSA remission with an attribute core set with the least number of predictors. The performance of each algorithm was assessed in terms of accuracy, precision, recall and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results: One-hundred-nineteen patients were selected. At 12 months, 20 out of 119 patients (25.21%) achieved DAPSA remission. Accuracy and AUROC of XGBoost was of 0.97 ± 0.06 and 0.97 ± 0.07, overtaking LR (accuracy 0.73 ± 0.09, AUROC 0.78 ± 0.14). Baseline DAPSA, fibromyalgia and axial disease were the most important attributes for the algorithm and were negatively associated with 12-month DAPSA remission. Conclusions: A ML approach may identify SEC good responders. Patients with a high disease burden and axial disease with comorbid fibromyalgia seem challenging to treat.

Bariatric surgery restores visual cortical plasticity in nondiabetic subjects with obesity.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Obesity leads to changes in synaptic plasticity. We aimed at investigating the impact of bariatric surgery (RYGB) on visual neural plasticity (NP) and its relationship with the main gut peptides, leptin, and brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF). SUBJECTS/METHODS: NP was assessed testing binocular rivalry before and after 2 h of monocular deprivation (index of visual brain plasticity) in 15 subjects with obesity (age 42.3 ± 9.8 years; BMI 46.1 ± 4.9 kg/m2) before and after RYGB. Gut peptides, leptin, and BDNF were obtained at baseline and 6 months after surgery in 13 subjects. RESULTS: A significant reduction in BMI (p < 0.001 vs. baseline) and a significant increase of disposition index (DI, p = 0.02 vs baseline) were observed after RYGB. Total and active GLP-1 release in response to glucose ingestion significantly increased after RYGB, while no changes occurred in VIP, GIP, and BDNF levels. Fasting leptin concentration was lower after RYGB (p = 0.001 vs. baseline). Following RYGB, NP was progressively restored (p < 0.002). NP was correlated with DI and fasting glucose at baseline (r = 0.75, p = 0.01; r = -0.7, p = 0.02; respectively), but not with BMI. A positive correlation between post-pre-RYGB changes in AUCactive GLP-1 and NP was observed (r = 0.70, p < 0.01). Leptin was inversely correlated with NP 6 months after surgery (r = -0.63, p = 0.02). No correlation was observed between GIP, VIP, BDNF, and NP. CONCLUSIONS: Visual plasticity is altered in subjects with obesity, and it can be restored after RYGB. The improvement may be mediated by amelioration of insulin sensitivity, increased GLP-1 levels, and reduced leptin levels.

Binocular Rivalry Measured 2 Hours After Occlusion Therapy Predicts the Recovery Rate of the Amblyopic Eye in Anisometropic Children.

PURPOSE: Recent studies on adults have shown that short-term monocular deprivation boosts the deprived eye signal in binocular rivalry, reflecting homeostatic plasticity. Here we investigate whether homeostatic plasticity is present also during occlusion therapy for moderate amblyopia. METHODS: Binocular rivalry and visual acuity (using Snellen charts for children) were measured in 10 children (mean age 6.2 ± 1 years) with moderate anisometropic amblyopia before the beginning of treatment and at four intervals during occlusion therapy (2 hours, 1, 2, and 5 months). Visual stimuli were orthogonal gratings presented dichoptically through ferromagnetic goggles and children reported verbally visual rivalrous perception. Bangerter filters were applied on the spectacle lens over the best eye for occlusion therapy. RESULTS: Two hours of occlusion therapy increased the nonamblyopic eye predominance over the amblyopic eye compared with pretreatment measurements, consistent with the results in adults. The boost of the nonamblyopic eye was still present after 1 month of treatment, steadily decreasing afterward to reach pretreatment levels after 2 months of continuous occlusion. Across subjects, the increase in nonamblyopic eye predominance observed after 2 hours of occlusion correlated (rho = -0.65, P = 0.04) with the visual acuity improvement of the amblyopic eye measured after 2 months of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Homeostatic plasticity operates during occlusion therapy for moderate amblyopia and the increase in nonamblyopic eye dominance observed at the beginning of treatment correlates with the amblyopic eye recovery rate. These results suggest that binocular rivalry might be used to monitor visual cortical plasticity during occlusion therapy, although further investigations on larger clinical populations are needed to validate the predictive power of the technique.

Inversion of perceived direction of motion caused by spatial undersampling in two children with periventricular leukomalacia.

We report here two cases of two young diplegic patients with cystic periventricular leukomalacia who systematically, and with high sensitivity, perceive translational motion of a random-dot display in the opposite direction. The apparent inversion was specific for translation motion: Rotation and expansion motion were perceived correctly, with normal sensitivity. It was also specific for random-dot patterns, not occurring with gratings. For the one patient that we were able to test extensively, contrast sensitivity for static stimuli was normal, but was very low for direction discrimination at high spatial frequencies and all temporal frequencies. His optokinetic nystagmus movements were normal but he was unable to track a single translating target, indicating a perceptual origin of the tracking deficit. The severe deficit for motion perception was also evident in the seminatural situation of a driving simulation video game. The perceptual deficit for translational motion was reinforced by functional magnetic resonance imaging studies. Translational motion elicited no response in the MT complex, although it did produce a strong response in many visual areas when contrasted with blank stimuli. However, radial and rotational motion produced a normal pattern of activation in a subregion of the MT complex. These data reinforce the existent evidence for independent cortical processing for translational, and circular or radial flow motion, and further suggest that the two systems have different vulnerability and plasticity to prenatal damage. They also highlight the complexity of visual motion perception, and how the delicate balance of neural activity can lead to paradoxical effects such as consistent misperception of the direction of motion. We advance a possible explanation of a reduced spatial sampling of the motion stimuli and report a simple model that simulates well the experimental results.