Biomarkers of inflammation, fibrosis, cardiac stretch and injury predict death but not renal replacement therapy at 1 year in a Canadian chronic kidney disease cohort.

BACKGROUND: Newer biomarkers, reflective of biological processes, such as inflammation and fibrosis, cardiac stretch or damage and vascular health may be useful in understanding clinical events in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We assessed whether these newer biomarkers, alone or as a panel, improve risk prediction for renal replacement therapy or death, over and above conventional clinical, demographic and laboratory variables. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational Canadian cohort study in 2544 CKD patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 15-45 mL/min/1.73 m(2), under nephrology care, in urban and rural centers. We measured traditional clinical and laboratory risk factors, as well as newer biomarkers: cystatin C, high sensitivity c-reactive protein (hsCRP), interleukin 6 (IL6), transforming growth factor ß1 (TGFß1), fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), troponin I and asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA). Key outcomes were renal replacement therapy (RRT, dialysis or transplantation) and death, during the first year follow-up after enrollment: a time point important for clinical decision-making for patients and providers. RESULTS: Newer biomarkers do not improve the prediction of RRT, when added to conventional risk factors such as eGFR, urine albumin to creatinine ratio, hemoglobin, phosphate and albumin. However, in predicting death within 1 year, cystatin C, NT-proBNP, hsCRP and FGF23 values significantly improved model discrimination and reclassification: c statistic increased by absolute 4.3% and Net Reclassification Improvement for categories of low, intermediate and high risk at 11.2%. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the addition of newer biomarkers may be useful in predicting death in patients with established CKD within a 1-year timeframe. This information may be useful in informing prognosis and redirect resources to serve patients at higher risk to improve outcomes and sustainability of the nephrology care system.

Cohort profile: Canadian study of prediction of death, dialysis and interim cardiovascular events (CanPREDDICT).

BACKGROUND: The Canadian Study of Prediction of Death, Dialysis and Interim Cardiovascular Events (CanPREDDICT) is a large, prospective, pan-Canadian, cohort study designed to improve our understanding of determinants of renal and cardiovascular (CV) disease progression in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The primary objective is to clarify the associations between traditional and newer biomarkers in the prediction of specific renal and CV events, and of death in patients with CKD managed by nephrologists. This information could then be used to better understand biological variation in outcomes, to develop clinical prediction models and to inform enrolment into interventional studies which may lead to novel treatments. METHODS/DESIGNS: Commenced in 2008, 2546 patients have been enrolled with eGFR between 15 and 45 ml/min 1.73m2 from a representative sample in 25 rural, urban, academic and non academic centres across Canada. Patients are to be followed for an initial 3 years at 6 monthly intervals, and subsequently annually. Traditional biomarkers include eGFR, urine albumin creatinine ratio (uACR), hemoglobin (Hgb), phosphate and albumin. Newer biomarkers of interest were selected on the basis of biological relevance to important processes, commercial availability and assay reproducibility. They include asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP), troponin I, cystatin C, high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), interleukin-6 (IL6) and transforming growth factor beta 1 (TGFß1). Blood and urine samples are collected at baseline, and every 6 monthly, and stored at -80°C. Outcomes of interest include renal replacement therapy, CV events and death, the latter two of which are adjudicated by an independent panel. DISCUSSION: The baseline distribution of newer biomarkers does not appear to track to markers of kidney function and therefore may offer some discriminatory value in predicting future outcomes. The granularity of the data presented at baseline may foster additional questions.The value of the cohort as a unique resource to understand outcomes of patients under the care of nephrologists in a single payer healthcare system cannot be overstated. Systematic collection of demographic, laboratory and event data should lead to new insights. The mean age of the cohort was 68 years, 90% were Caucasian, 62% were male, and 48% had diabetes. Forty percent of the cohort had eGFR between 30-45 mL/min/1.73m², 22% had eGFR values below 20 mL/min/1.73m²; 61% had uACR < 30. Serum albumin, hemoglobin, calcium and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels were progressively lower in the lower eGFR strata, while parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels increased. Cystatin C, ADMA, NT-proBNP, hsCRP, troponin I and IL-6 were significantly higher in the lower GFR strata, whereas 25(OH)D and TGFß1 values were lower at lower GFR. These distributions of each of the newer biomarkers by eGFR and uACR categories were variable.

Kidney and liver transplants from donors after cardiac death: initial experience at the London Health Sciences Centre.

BACKGROUND: The disparity between the number of patients waiting for an organ transplant and availability of donor organs increases each year in Canada. Donation after cardiac death (DCD), following withdrawal of life support in patients with hopeless prognoses, is a means of addressing the shortage with the potential to increase the number of transplantable organs. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, single-centre chart review of organs donated after cardiac death to the Multi-Organ Transplant Program at the London Health Sciences Centre between July 2006 and December 2007. In total, 34 solid organs (24 kidneys and 10 livers) were procured from 12 DCD donors. RESULTS: The mean age of the donors was 38 (range 18-59) years. The causes of death were craniocerebral trauma (n = 7), cerebrovascular accident (n = 4) and cerebral hypoxia (n = 1). All 10 livers were transplanted at our centre, as were 14 of the 24 kidneys; 10 kidneys were transplanted at other centres. The mean renal cold ischemia time was 6 (range 3-9.5) hours. Twelve of the 14 kidney recipients (86%) experienced delayed graft function, but all kidneys regained function. After 1-year follow-up, kidney function was good, with a mean serum creatinine level of 145 (range 107-220) micromol/L and a mean estimated creatinine clearance of 64 (range 41-96) mL/min. The mean liver cold ischemia time was 5.8 (range 5.5-8) hours. There was 1 case of primary nonfunction requiring retransplantation. The remaining 9 livers functioned well. One patient developed a biliary anastomotic stricture that resolved after endoscopic stenting. All liver recipients were alive after a mean follow-up of 11 (range 3-20) months. Since the inception of this DCD program, the number of donors referred to our centre has increased by 14%. CONCLUSION: Our initial results compare favourably with those from the transplantation of organs procured from donors after brain death. Donation after cardiac death can be an important means of increasing the number of organs available for transplant, and its widespread implementation in Canada should be encouraged.

Cost-effectiveness of irbesartan 300 mg given early versus late in patients with hypertension and a history of type 2 diabetes and renal disease: a Canadian perspective.

BACKGROUND: The Irbesartan in Reduction of Microalbuminuria trial and the Irbesartan in Diabetic Nephropathy Trial found that irbesartan is renoprotective in patients having hypertension with type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess whether treatment with irbesartan is cost-effective in Canada relative to conventional care in this patient population and whether it is more cost-effective to treat patients early rather than later in the development of renal disease from the perspective of the Canadian health and social care system. METHODS: The analysis compared 3 alternative strategies for the management of hypertension in patients with type 2 diabetes and early renal disease: (1) conventional hypertensive treatment excluding the use of angiotensin II receptor antagonists (AIIRAs); (2) the early addition of irbesartan (an AIIRA) to conventional treatment; and (3) the late addition of irbesartan to conventional treatment. A Markov model was used to simulate the progression of renal disease (microalbuminuria to death) in hypertensive patients with type 2 diabetes over a 25-year time horizon. Transition probabilities were derived from the 2 randomized controlled trials. A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted with outcome measured in life-years gained (LYGs). RESULTS: The early addition of irbesartan during microalbuminuria was cost-saving and more effective than both delaying irbesartan treatment until advanced overt nephropathy (AON) (0.45 LYG, Can $54,100 saved) and conventional antihypertensive use (0.62 LYG, $68,400 saved). This was due to the increased drug costs associated with the use of irbesartan being offset by savings arising from delays in the development of overt nephropathy and the subsequent delay to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the study results. CONCLUSIONS: The early use of irbesartan for patients with hypertension and type 2 diabetes who have yet to develop overt nephropathy is both more effective and less costly than delaying irbesartan treatment until AON and conventional antihypertensive use. Analysis suggests that the earlier irbesartan is added to conventional antihypertensive treatment, the greater the delays in the onset of ESRD and the overall savings in health care resource utilization from the perspective of the Canadian health and social care system.

Re-exposure to mismatched HLA class I is a significant risk factor for graft loss: multivariable analysis of 259 kidney retransplants.

BACKGROUND: Kidney retransplants carry increased immunologic risk. One possible contributor to this risk may be re-exposure to human leukocyte antigens (HLA) common to a previous donor but foreign to the recipient. Conflicting publications have assessed this risk, so to examine our experience 259 kidney retransplants were analyzed. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of retransplant patients from 1973 to 2005 with minimum 12 months follow up was examined. Using multivariable modeling, important confounders were controlled for identifying factors significantly affecting graft survival. RESULTS: Re-exposure to HLA class I (HLA-A or B) antigens, peak panel reactive antibodies and donor source were the most important determinants of allograft survival, despite a negative conventional or anti-human globulin-augmented T cell crossmatch. We failed to demonstrate that recipient re-exposure to HLA class II (HLA-DR) or positive B cell crossmatch were associated with adverse outcomes. Sample size and molecular versus serologic methods may have influenced the former, while inability to determine antibody specificities may have influenced the latter. Controlling for other variables, the adjusted risk of graft loss associated with re-exposure to HLA class I increased by 71% (P=0.006) and occurred early, consistent with recall of memory cytotoxic T lymphocyte or antibody responses. CONCLUSIONS: Kidney recipients re-exposed to mismatched HLA class I antigens appear to be at heightened risk of early graft loss. Such patients may benefit from pretransplant identification of donor specific antibodies using solid phase methods and heightened vigilance for acute rejection. Future studies may indicate whether more intensive immunosuppression for these patients is warranted.

Meta-analysis: risk for hypertension in living kidney donors.

BACKGROUND: The risk for hypertension after kidney donation remains uncertain. PURPOSE: To see whether normotensive adults who donate a kidney develop higher blood pressure and risk for hypertension compared with nondonor adults acting as control participants. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Science Citation Index were searched from 1966 until November 2005 for articles published in any language. Reference lists of pertinent articles were also reviewed. STUDY SELECTION: The authors selected studies involving 10 or more healthy normotensive adults who donated a kidney and in whom blood pressure was assessed at least 1 year later. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently abstracted data on study and donor characteristics, blood pressure measurements, outcomes, and prognostic features. Comparison data were abstracted from donor studies with control participants. Thirty primary authors provided additional data. DATA SYNTHESIS: Forty-eight studies from 28 countries followed a total of 5145 donors. Before surgery, the average age of donors was 41 years, the average systolic blood pressure was 121 mm Hg, and the average diastolic blood pressure was 77 mm Hg for all studies. In controlled studies in which the average follow-up was at least 5 years after donation (range, 6 to 13 years), blood pressure was 5 mm Hg higher in donors than in control participants (the weighted mean for systolic blood pressure using 4 studies involving 157 donors and 128 control participants was 6 mm Hg [95% CI, 2 to 11 mm Hg], and the weighted mean for diastolic blood pressure using 5 studies involving 196 donors and 161 control participants was 4 mm Hg [CI, 1 to 7 mm Hg]). There was statistical heterogeneity among the 6 controlled studies that assessed hypertension; an increase in risk was noted in 1 study (relative risk, 1.9 [CI, 1.1 to 3.5]). LIMITATIONS: Most studies were retrospective and did not include control groups that were assembled and followed along with donors. Approximately one third of the donors had incomplete follow-up information. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of the limited studies conducted to date, kidney donors may have a 5-mm Hg increase in blood pressure within 5 to 10 years after donation over that anticipated with normal aging. Future controlled, prospective studies with long periods of follow-up will better delineate safety and identify donors at lowest risk for long-term morbidity.

Intravenous immunoglobulin as a treatment for BK virus associated nephropathy: one-year follow-up of renal allograft recipients.

BK virus associated nephropathy (BKVAN) has emerged as an important cause of renal allograft dysfunction and graft loss. Although several treatment strategies have been proposed, the rate of graft loss remains high. We studied the outcome of renal transplant patients with BKVAN treated with IVIG. After 11.4 +/- 3.9 months (mean +/- SEM) from the time of transplantation, 8 renal allograft recipients were diagnosed with BKVAN. In addition to a reduction of immunosuppressive therapy, patients received 2 g/kg IVIG. After a mean follow-up of 15 months, all except one patient are currently off dialysis. In summary, after IVIG therapy, 88% of patients still have functioning grafts, although renal function continues to be impaired. The benefit of concomitant IVIG and reduction of immunosuppressive therapy in BKVAN needs to be further addressed in randomized, multicentered trials.

Individualizing anaemia treatment: a discussion of case histories.

Current guidelines give evidence-based advice on how best to manage anaemia in patients with renal disease, but these guidelines do not consider individual patient needs, so tailoring anaemia management to each patient still remains a challenge for the treating physician. Two case studies are described that illustrate some of the key factors that need to be considered. The first case emphasizes that haemoglobin (Hb) targets recommended in current guidelines may not suit all patients. The patient had been stably maintained on subcutaneous epoetin therapy with an average Hb concentration of >13.0 g/dl because he developed angina symptoms when his Hb level fell to 12.2 g/dl. Iron deficiency was identified as the likely cause of falling Hb in this patient. After the patient's iron supplementation was increased, his Hb level was normalized back to >13.0 g/dl without increasing the epoetin dose, and the angina symptoms were resolved. The second case involved a pre-dialysis patient with diabetes, who required a higher dose of epoetin after beginning concomitant antihypertensive treatment with an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor. Previously, the treatment of renal anaemia in pre-dialysis patients has not been the focus of attention. Two ongoing randomized controlled trials have been designed to study early initiation of epoetin treatment in pre-dialysis patients and will provide much needed information in this area.

Epstein-Barr virus seronegativity is a risk factor for late-onset posttransplant lymphoroliferative disorder in adult renal allograft recipients.

BACKGROUND: Posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) remains a difficult management issue; therefore, many studies focus on the identification of risk factors to allow for preventive strategies. We investigated risk factors for PTLD in the adult renal transplant setting. METHODS: A single-center, matched case-control study design was used. Cases were identified from patients who underwent a first renal transplant between January 1, 1985, and December 1, 2001. Two controls were chosen per case, matched (+/-1 year) by date of transplant and graft survival. Clinical and demographic data were ascertained from medical records. Pretransplant serology for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and cytomegalovirus was confirmed on frozen, stored sera. Statistical analysis included univariate and multivariable examination of putative risk factors using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Twenty cases of PTLD were identified, an incidence of 2.4%. Median time from transplant to diagnosis was 55 months (range, 3-168 months), with 16 cases of late-onset PTLD (>1 year posttransplant). The only significant risk in univariate analysis was EBV-negative status at transplant (risk ratio 6.0, P=0.03). In multivariable analysis, EBV-negative status remained significant (adjusted risk ratio 8.9, P=0.01). The risk related to EBV status held true when late cases were analyzed separately (adjusted risk ratio 7.1, P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Pretransplant EBV-seronegative status is a strong risk for development of PTLD in adult renal allograft recipients, even in late disease. These results indicate that primary infection with EBV may have a pathogenic role in some cases of late PTLD.

Cytomegalovirus seromismatching increases the risk of acute renal allograft rejection.

BACKGROUND: There is an association between cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection or disease and acute allograft rejection in the setting of renal transplantation. There is, however, debate regarding the nature of this association, with evidence supporting both a "forward" relationship (CMV infection or disease precedes acute rejection) and a "backward" relationship (CMV infection or disease follows acute rejection). The objective of this study was to determine whether CMV matching had an independent effect on the risk of acute renal allograft rejection, which would support the view that CMV infection or disease is a risk factor for acute rejection. METHODS: Retrospective single center study (using a prospectively maintained database) of 333 first cadaveric transplant recipients from January 1st 1991 to December 31st 1997. Primary end-point was incidence of acute rejection, diagnosed clinically or by renal biopsy, for different groups formed on the basis of CMV seromatching. RESULTS: One hundred and ninety-four patients (58.3%) had at least one acute rejection episode. CMV seromismatched patients (donor +/recipient-) had a significantly higher rate of acute rejection than non-seromismatched patients (72.6% vs. 54.2%, P=0.005). Using multiple logistic regression, CMV seromismatch, delayed graft function, and biological induction were identified as independent predictors of acute rejection. The adjusted odds ratios for these were 2.28, 1.65, and 0.52, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who are CMV seromismatched are at higher risk of acute renal allograft rejection. This finding suggests that CMV infection or disease is a risk factor for acute rejection.