Novel Approaches to Multidrug-Resistant Infections in Cystic Fibrosis.

Patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) often develop respiratory tract infections with pathogenic multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) such as methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, and a variety of gram-negative organisms that include Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Burkholderia sp., Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Achromobacter xylosoxidans, and nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM). Despite the introduction of new therapies to address underlying cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) dysfunction, MDRO infections remain a problem and novel antimicrobial interventions are still needed. Therapeutic approaches include improving the efficacy of existing drugs by adjusting the dose based on differences in CF patient pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics, the development of inhaled formulations to reduce systemic adverse events, and the use of newer beta-lactam/beta-lactamase combinations. Alternative innovative therapeutic approaches include the use of gallium and bacteriophages to treat MDRO pulmonary infections including those with extreme antibiotic resistance. However, additional clinical trials are required to determine the optimal dosing and efficacy of these different strategies and to identify patients with CF most likely to benefit from these new treatment options.

Neuromodulation Through Spinal Cord Stimulation Restores Ability to Voluntarily Cycle After Motor Complete Paraplegia.

Abstract Epidural spinal cord stimulation (eSCS) of the lower thoracic spinal cord has been shown to partially restore volitional movement in patients with complete chronic spinal cord injury (cSCI). Combining eSCS with intensive locomotor training improves motor function, including standing and stepping, but many patients with cSCI suffer from long-standing muscle atrophy and loss of bone mineral density, which may prohibit safe implementation. Safe, accessible, and effective avenues for pairing neuromodulation with activity-based therapy remain unexplored. Cycling is one such option that can be utilized as an eSCS therapy given its low-risk and low-weight-bearing requirement. We investigated the feasibility and kinematics of motor-assisted and passive cycle-based therapy for cSCI patients with epidural spinal cord stimulation. Seven participants who underwent spinal cord stimulation surgery in the Epidural Stimulation After Neurologic Damage (E-STAND) trial (NCT03026816) participated in a cycling task using the motor assist MOTOmed Muvi 300. A factorial design was used such that participants were asked to cycle with and without conscious effort with and without stimulation. We used mixed effects models assessing maximum power output and time pedaling unassisted to evaluate the interaction between stimulation and conscious effort. Cycling was well-tolerated and we observed no adverse events, including in participants up to 17 years post-initial injury and up to 58 years old. All participants were found to be able to pedal without motor assist, which primarily occurred when stimulation and effort were applied together (p = 0.001). Additionally, the combination of stimulation and intention was significantly associated with higher maximum power production (p < 0.0001) and distance pedaled (p = 0.0001). No association was found between volitional movement and participant factors: age, time since injury, and spinal cord atrophy. With stimulation and conscious effort, all participants were able to achieve active cycling without motor assistance. Thus, our stationary cycling factorial study design demonstrated volitional movement restoration with eSCS in a diverse study population of cSCI participants. Further, motor-assist cycling was well-tolerated without any adverse events. Cycling has the potential to be a safe research assessment and physical therapy modality for cSCI patients utilizing eSCS who have a high risk of injury with weight bearing exercise. The cycling modality in this study was demonstrated to be a straightforward assessment of motor function and safe for all participants regardless of age or time since initial injury.

Recruited monocytes/macrophages drive pulmonary neutrophilic inflammation and irreversible lung tissue remodeling in cystic fibrosis.

Persistent neutrophil-dominated lung inflammation contributes to lung damage in cystic fibrosis (CF). However, the mechanisms that drive persistent lung neutrophilia and tissue deterioration in CF are not well characterized. Starting from the observation that, in patients with CF, c-c motif chemokine receptor 2 (CCR2)+ monocytes/macrophages are abundant in the lungs, we investigate the interplay between monocytes/macrophages and neutrophils in perpetuating lung tissue damage in CF. Here we show that CCR2+ monocytes in murine CF lungs drive pathogenic transforming growth factor ß (TGF-ß) signaling and sustain a pro-inflammatory environment by facilitating neutrophil recruitment. Targeting CCR2 to lower the numbers of monocytes in CF lungs ameliorates neutrophil inflammation and pathogenic TGF-ß signaling and prevents lung tissue damage. This study identifies CCR2+ monocytes as a neglected contributor to the pathogenesis of CF lung disease and as a therapeutic target for patients with CF, for whom lung hyperinflammation and tissue damage remain an issue despite recent advances in CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR)-specific therapeutic agents.

Novel Approaches to Multidrug-Resistant Infections in Cystic Fibrosis.

Patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) often develop respiratory tract infections with pathogenic multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) such as methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, and a variety of gram-negative organisms that include Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Burkholderia sp., Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Achromobacter xylosoxidans, and nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM). Despite the introduction of new therapies to address underlying cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) dysfunction, MDRO infections remain a problem and novel antimicrobial interventions are still needed. Therapeutic approaches include improving the efficacy of existing drugs by adjusting the dose based on differences in CF patient pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics, the development of inhaled formulations to reduce systemic adverse events, and the use of newer beta-lactam/beta-lactamase combinations. Alternative innovative therapeutic approaches include the use of gallium and bacteriophages to treat MDRO pulmonary infections including those with extreme antibiotic resistance. However, additional clinical trials are required to determine the optimal dosing and efficacy of these different strategies and to identify patients with CF most likely to benefit from these new treatment options.

Design considerations and analytical framework for reliably identifying a beneficial individualized treatment rule.

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) formalizes personalized medicine by assigning treatment as a function of patients' clinical information, which contrasts with a static treatment rule that assigns everyone the same treatment. ITR identification has become a common aim in randomized clinical trials but sample size considerations for this aim are lacking. One approach is to select a sample size that will reliably identify an ITR with a performance close to the theoretical optimal rule. However, this approach could still lead to identifying ITRs that perform worse than the optimal static rule, particularly in the absence of substantial effect heterogeneity. This limitation motivates sample size considerations aimed at reliable identification of a beneficial ITR, which outperforms the optimal static rule, and analysis methods that identify the estimated optimal static rule when there is substantial uncertainty about whether an ITR will improve outcomes. To address these limitations, we propose a sample size approach based on the probability of identifying a beneficial ITR and introduce an approach for selecting the LASSO penalty parameter such that in the absence of treatment effect heterogeneity the estimated optimal static rule is identified with high probability. We apply these approaches to the PLUTO trial aimed at developing methods to assist with smoking cessation.

Prenatal Genetic Testing and Screening: A Focused Review.

Given the advancements in prenatal testing, child neurologists are becoming involved in earlier stages of patient care, often being consulted during the gestational stage rather than during the postnatal period. Thus, it is essential that pediatric neurologists understand the strengths and limitations of prenatal testing when counseling families. In this review we separate prenatal testing into screening and diagnostic testing. On the one hand, screening testing is noninvasive and does not have an increased risk for miscarriage. Diagnostic tests, on the other hand, are invasive and include chorionic villus sampling and amniocentesis. Understanding that screening tests are not diagnostic is imperative, therefore, attention should be placed on the positive and negative predictive values when interpreting results within the clinical context. Given their invasive nature, prenatal diagnostic tests increase the risk for complications such as miscarriage. Diagnostic tests include biochemical marker testing, enzyme testing, karyotype, microarray, whole exome sequencing, and whole genome sequencing. With each test, pretest and post-test counseling is crucial for informed decision making, and the strengths and limitations should be discussed when obtaining consent. Prior to obtaining testing, clinicians must consider unexpected and unrelated findings of testing and must acknowledge that the patient always has the option to decline the test.

Recruitment of monocytes primed to express heme oxygenase-1 ameliorates pathological lung inflammation in cystic fibrosis.

Overwhelming neutrophilic inflammation is a leading cause of lung damage in many pulmonary diseases, including cystic fibrosis (CF). The heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1)/carbon monoxide (CO) pathway mediates the resolution of inflammation and is defective in CF-affected macrophages (MΦs). Here, we provide evidence that systemic administration of PP-007, a CO releasing/O2 transfer agent, induces the expression of HO-1 in a myeloid differentiation factor 88 (MyD88) and phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/protein kinase B (AKT)-dependent manner. It also rescues the reduced HO-1 levels in CF-affected cells induced in response to lipopolysaccharides (LPS) or Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA). Treatment of CF and muco-obstructive lung disease mouse models with a single clinically relevant dose of PP-007 leads to effective resolution of lung neutrophilia and to decreased levels of proinflammatory cytokines in response to LPS. Using HO-1 conditional knockout mice, we show that the beneficial effect of PP-007 is due to the priming of circulating monocytes trafficking to the lungs in response to infection to express high levels of HO-1. Finally, we show that PP-007 does not compromise the clearance of PA in the setting of chronic airway infection. Overall, we reveal the mechanism of action of PP-007 responsible for the immunomodulatory function observed in clinical trials for a wide range of diseases and demonstrate the potential use of PP-007 in controlling neutrophilic pulmonary inflammation by promoting the expression of HO-1 in monocytes/macrophages.

Single Mutation on Trastuzumab Modulates the Stability of Antibody-Drug Conjugates Built Using Acetal-Based Linkers and Thiol-Maleimide Chemistry.

Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) are a class of targeted therapeutics used to selectively kill cancer cells. It is important that they remain intact in the bloodstream and release their payload in the target cancer cell for maximum efficacy and minimum toxicity. The development of effective ADCs requires the study of factors that can alter the stability of these therapeutics at the atomic level. Here, we present a general strategy that combines synthesis, bioconjugation, linker technology, site-directed mutagenesis, and modeling to investigate the influence of the site and microenvironment of the trastuzumab antibody on the stability of the conjugation and linkers. Trastuzumab is widely used to produce targeted ADCs because it can target with high specificity a receptor that is overexpressed in certain breast cancer cells (HER2). We show that the chemical environment of the conjugation site of trastuzumab plays a key role in the stability of linkers featuring acid-sensitive groups such as acetals. More specifically, Lys-207, located near the reactive Cys-205 of a thiomab variant of the antibody, may act as an acid catalyst and promote the hydrolysis of acetals. Mutation of Lys-207 into an alanine or using a longer linker that separates this residue from the acetal group stabilizes the conjugates. Analogously, Lys-207 promotes the beneficial hydrolysis of the succinimide ring when maleimide reagents are used for conjugation, thus stabilizing the subsequent ADCs by impairing the undesired retro-Michael reactions. This work provides new insights for the design of novel ADCs with improved stability properties.

Efficacy of Losartan in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19-Induced Lung Injury: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: SARS-CoV-2 viral entry may disrupt angiotensin II (AII) homeostasis, contributing to COVID-19 induced lung injury. AII type 1 receptor blockade mitigates lung injury in preclinical models, although data in humans with COVID-19 remain mixed. Objective: To test the efficacy of losartan to reduce lung injury in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Design, Setting, and Participants: This blinded, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial was conducted in 13 hospitals in the United States from April 2020 to February 2021. Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and a respiratory sequential organ failure assessment score of at least 1 and not already using a renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitor were eligible for participation. Data were analyzed from April 19 to August 24, 2021. Interventions: Losartan 50 mg orally twice daily vs equivalent placebo for 10 days or until hospital discharge. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the imputed arterial partial pressure of oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen (Pao2:Fio2) ratio at 7 days. Secondary outcomes included ordinal COVID-19 severity; days without supplemental o2, ventilation, or vasopressors; and mortality. Losartan pharmacokinetics and RAAS components (AII, angiotensin-[1-7] and angiotensin-converting enzymes 1 and 2)] were measured in a subgroup of participants. Results: A total of 205 participants (mean [SD] age, 55.2 [15.7] years; 123 [60.0%] men) were randomized, with 101 participants assigned to losartan and 104 participants assigned to placebo. Compared with placebo, losartan did not significantly affect Pao2:Fio2 ratio at 7 days (difference, -24.8 [95%, -55.6 to 6.1]; P = .12). Compared with placebo, losartan did not improve any secondary clinical outcomes and led to fewer vasopressor-free days than placebo (median [IQR], 9.4 [9.1-9.8] vasopressor-free days vs 8.7 [8.2-9.3] vasopressor-free days). Conclusions and Relevance: This randomized clinical trial found that initiation of orally administered losartan to hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and acute lung injury did not improve Pao2:Fio2 ratio at 7 days. These data may have implications for ongoing clinical trials. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04312009.

Bacterial Surface Detachment during Nebulization with Contaminated Reusable Home Nebulizers.

Patients with chronic respiratory diseases use home nebulizers that are often contaminated with pathogenic microbes to deliver aerosolized medications. The conditions under which these microbes leave the surface as bioaerosols during nebulization are not well characterized. The objectives of this study were to (i) determine whether different pathogens detach and disperse from the nebulizer surface during aerosolization and (ii) measure the effects of relative humidity and drying times on bacterial surface detachment and aerosolization. Bacteria were cultured from bioaerosols after Pari LC Plus albuterol nebulization using two different sources, as follows: (i) previously used nebulizers donated by anonymous patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) and (ii) nebulizers inoculated with bacteria isolated from the lungs of CF patients. Fractionated bioaerosols were collected with a Next-Generation Impactor. For a subset of bacteria, surface adherence during rewetting was measured with fluorescence microscopy. Bacteria dispersed from the surface of used CF patient nebulizers during albuterol nebulization. Eighty percent (16/20) of clinical isolates inoculated on the nebulizer in the laboratory formed bioaerosols. Detachment from the plastic surface into the chamber solution predicted bioaerosol production. Increased relative humidity and decreased drying times after inoculation favored bacterial dispersion on aerosols during nebulized therapy. Pathogenic bacteria contaminating nebulizer surfaces detached from the surface as bioaerosols during nebulized therapies, especially under environmental conditions when contaminated nebulizers were dried or stored at high relative humidity. This finding emphasizes the need for appropriate nebulizer cleaning, disinfection, and complete drying during storage and informs environmental conditions that favor bacterial surface detachment during nebulization. IMPORTANCE Studies from around the world have demonstrated that many patients use contaminated nebulizers to deliver medication into their lungs. While it is known that using contaminated medications in a nebulizer can lead to a lung infection, whether bacteria on the surface of a contaminated nebulizer detach as bioaerosols capable of reaching the lung has not been studied. This work demonstrates that a subset of clinical bacteria enter solution from the surface during nebulization and are aerosolized. Environmental conditions of high relative humidity during storage favor dispersion from the surface. We also provide results of an in vitro assay conducted to monitor bacterial surface detachment during multiple cycles of rewetting that correlate with the results of nebulizer/bacterial surface interactions. These studies demonstrate for the first time that pathogenic bacteria on the nebulizer surface pose a risk of bacterial inhalation to patients who use contaminated nebulizers.

Responses to a Neutralizing Monoclonal Antibody for Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19 According to Baseline Antibody and Antigen Levels : A Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: In a randomized, placebo-controlled, clinical trial, bamlanivimab, a SARS-CoV-2-neutralizing monoclonal antibody, given in combination with remdesivir, did not improve outcomes among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 based on an early futility assessment. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the a priori hypothesis that bamlanivimab has greater benefit in patients without detectable levels of endogenous neutralizing antibody (nAb) at study entry than in those with antibodies, especially if viral levels are high. DESIGN: Randomized, placebo-controlled trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04501978). SETTING: Multicenter trial. PATIENTS: Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 without end-organ failure. INTERVENTION: Bamlanivimab (7000 mg) or placebo. MEASUREMENTS: Antibody, antigen, and viral RNA levels were centrally measured on stored specimens collected at baseline. Patients were followed for 90 days for sustained recovery (defined as discharge to home and remaining home for 14 consecutive days) and a composite safety outcome (death, serious adverse events, organ failure, or serious infections). RESULTS: Among 314 participants (163 receiving bamlanivimab and 151 placebo), the median time to sustained recovery was 19 days and did not differ between the bamlanivimab and placebo groups (subhazard ratio [sHR], 0.99 [95% CI, 0.79 to 1.22]; sHR > 1 favors bamlanivimab). At entry, 50% evidenced production of anti-spike nAbs; 50% had SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid plasma antigen levels of at least 1000 ng/L. Among those without and with nAbs at study entry, the sHRs were 1.24 (CI, 0.90 to 1.70) and 0.74 (CI, 0.54 to 1.00), respectively (nominal P for interaction = 0.018). The sHR (bamlanivimab vs. placebo) was also more than 1 for those with plasma antigen or nasal viral RNA levels above median level at entry and was greatest for those without antibodies and with elevated levels of antigen (sHR, 1.48 [CI, 0.99 to 2.23]) or viral RNA (sHR, 1.89 [CI, 1.23 to 2.91]). Hazard ratios for the composite safety outcome (<1 favors bamlanivimab) also differed by serostatus at entry: 0.67 (CI, 0.37 to 1.20) for those without and 1.79 (CI, 0.92 to 3.48) for those with nAbs. LIMITATION: Subgroup analysis of a trial prematurely stopped because of futility; small sample size; multiple subgroups analyzed. CONCLUSION: Efficacy and safety of bamlanivimab may differ depending on whether an endogenous nAb response has been mounted. The limited sample size of the study does not allow firm conclusions based on these findings, and further independent trials are required that assess other types of passive immune therapies in the same patient setting. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: U.S. government Operation Warp Speed and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Pitfalls of Single Measurement Screening for Diabetes and Hypertension in Community-Based Settings.

Background: Cross-sectional screening programs are used to detect and refer individuals with non-communicable diseases to healthcare services. We evaluated the positive predictive value of cross-sectional measurements for Diabetes Mellitus (DM) and hypertension (HTN) as part of a community-based disease screening study, 'Vukuzazi' in rural South Africa. Methods: We conducted community-based screening for HTN and DM using the World Health Organization STEPS protocol and glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) testing, respectively. Nurses conducted follow-up home visits for confirmatory diagnostic testing among individuals with a screening BP above 140/90 mmHg and/or HbA1c above 6.5% at the initial screen, and without a prior diagnosis. We assessed the positive predictive value of the initial screening, compared to the follow up measure. We also sought to identify a screening threshold for HTN and DM with greater than 90% positive predictive value. Results: Of 18,027 participants enrolled, 10.2% (1,831) had a screening BP over 140/90 mmHg. Of those without a prior diagnosis, 871 (47.6%) received follow-up measurements. Only 51.2% (451) of those with completed follow-up measurements had a repeat BP>140/90 mmHg at the home visit and were referred to care. To achieve a 90% correct referral rate, a systolic BP threshold of 192 was needed at first screening. For DM screening, 1,615 (9.0%) individuals had an HbA1c > 6.5%, and of those without a prior diagnosis, 1,151 (71.2%) received a follow-up blood glucose. Of these, only 34.1% (395) met criteria for referral for DM. To ensure a 90% positive predictive value i.e. a screening HbA1c of >16.6% was needed. Conclusions: A second home-based screening visit to confirm a diagnosis of DM and HTN reduced health system referrals by 48% and 66%, respectively. Two-day screening programmes for DM and HTN screening might save individual and healthcare resources and should be evaluated carefully in future cost effectiveness evaluations.

Endothelial Nox2 Limits Systemic Inflammation and Hypotension in Endotoxemia by Controlling Expression of Toll-Like Receptor 4.

ABSTRACT: Leukocyte Nox2 is recognized to have a fundamental microbicidal function in sepsis but the specific role of Nox2 in endothelial cells (EC) remains poorly elucidated. Here, we tested the hypothesis that endothelial Nox2 participates in the pathogenesis of systemic inflammation and hypotension induced by LPS. LPS was injected intravenously in mice with Tie2-targeted deficiency or transgenic overexpression of Nox2. Mice with Tie2-targeted Nox2 deficiency had increased circulating levels of TNF-α, enhanced numbers of neutrophils trapped in lungs, and aggravated hypotension after LPS injection, as compared to control LPS-injected animals. In contrast, Tie2-driven Nox2 overexpression attenuated inflammation and prevented the hypotension induced by LPS. Because Tie2-Cre targets both EC and myeloid cells we generated bone marrow chimeric mice with Nox2 deletion restricted to leukocytes or ECs. Mice deficient in Nox2 either in leukocytes or ECs had reduced LPS-induced neutrophil trapping in the lungs and lower plasma TNF-α levels as compared to control LPS-injected mice. However, the pronounced hypotensive response to LPS was present only in mice with EC-specific Nox2 deletion. Experiments in vitro with human vein or aortic endothelial cells (HUVEC and HAEC, respectively) treated with LPS revealed that EC Nox2 controls NF-κB activation and the transcription of toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), which is the recognition receptor for LPS. In conclusion, these results suggest that endothelial Nox2 limits NF-κB activation and TLR4 expression, which in turn attenuates the severity of hypotension and systemic inflammation induced by LPS.

Morbidity and Mortality Trends of Pancreatitis: An Observational Study.

Background: Pancreatitis accounts for more than $2.5 billion of healthcare costs and remains the most common gastrointestinal (GI) admission. Few contemporary studies have assessed temporal trends of incidence, complications, management, and outcomes for acute pancreatitis in hospitalized patients at the national level. Methods: We used data from one of the largest hospital-based databases available in the United States, the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's (HCUP) State Inpatient Database, from 10 states between 2008 and 2015. We included patients with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis (ICD-9 CM 577.0). Patient- and hospital-level data were used to estimate incidence and inpatient mortality rates. Results: From 80,736,256 hospitalizations, 929,914 (1.15%) cases of acute pancreatitis were identified, 186,226 (20.2%) of which were caused by gallbladder disease). The median age was 53 years (interquartile range [IQR], 41-67) and 50.8% were men. In-hospital mortality was 2.5% and crude mortality rates declined from 2.9% to 2.0% over the study period. Admission year remained significant after adjusting for patient demographics and comorbidities (odds ratio [OR], 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89-0.90; p < 0.001). Gallbladder disease was associated with decreased odds of mortality (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.57-0.62). Median length of stay was four days (IQR, 2-7) and decreased over time. The rates of surgical and endoscopic interventions were highest in 2011 (peak incidence of 16.1% and 9.5%, respectively) and have been decreasing since. Surgical providers were, on average, more likely than medical providers to perform surgery in both those with and without gallbladder disease etiology (gallbladder disease OR, 7.11; 95% CI, 5.46-9.25; non-gallbladder disease OR, 20.50; 95% CI, 16.81-25.01), endoscopy (gallbladder disease OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.87-1.72; non-gallbladder disease OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.18-2.16), or both (gallbladder disease OR, 7.00; 95% CI, 5.22-9.37; non-gallbladder disease OR, 8.85; 95% CI, 5.61-13.96). Conclusions: The incidence of pancreatitis, from 2008 to 2015, has increased whereas inpatient mortality (i.e., case fatality) has decreased. Understanding temporal trends in outcomes and management along with provider, hospital, and regional variation can better identify areas for future research and collaboration in managing these patients.

Logistic retainment interval dose exploration design for Phase I clinical trials of cytotoxic agents.

Phase I studies of a cytotoxic agent often aim to identify the dose that provides an investigator specified target dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) probability. In practice, an initial cohort receives a dose with a putative low DLT probability, and subsequent dosing follows by consecutively deciding whether to retain the current dose, escalate to the adjacent higher dose, or de-escalate to the adjacent lower dose. This article proposes a Phase I design derived using a Bayesian decision-theoretic approach to this sequential decision-making process. The design consecutively chooses the action that minimizes posterior expected loss where the loss reflects the distance on the log-odds scale between the target and the DLT probability of the dose that would be given to the next cohort under the corresponding action. A logistic model is assumed for the log odds of a DLT at the current dose with a weakly informative t-distribution prior centered at the target. The key design parameters are the pre-specified odds ratios for the DLT probabilities at the adjacent higher and lower doses. Dosing rules may be pre-tabulated, as these only depend on the outcomes at the current dose, which greatly facilitates implementation. The recommended default version of the proposed design improves dose selection relative to many established designs across a variety of scenarios.

Metformin and risk of mortality in patients hospitalised with COVID-19: a retrospective cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes and obesity, as states of chronic inflammation, are risk factors for severe COVID-19. Metformin has cytokine-reducing and sex-specific immunomodulatory effects. Our aim was to identify whether metformin reduced COVID-19-related mortality and whether sex-specific interactions exist. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort analysis, we assessed de-identified claims data from UnitedHealth Group (UHG)'s Clinical Discovery Claims Database. Patient data were eligible for inclusion if they were aged 18 years or older; had type 2 diabetes or obesity (defined based on claims); at least 6 months of continuous enrolment in 2019; and admission to hospital for COVID-19 confirmed by PCR, manual chart review by UHG, or reported from the hospital to UHG. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality from COVID-19. The independent variable of interest was home metformin use, defined as more than 90 days of claims during the year before admission to hospital. Covariates were comorbidities, medications, demographics, and state. Heterogeneity of effect was assessed by sex. For the Cox proportional hazards, censoring was done on the basis of claims made after admission to hospital up to June 7, 2020, with a best outcome approach. Propensity-matched mixed-effects logistic regression was done, stratified by metformin use. FINDINGS: 6256 of the 15 380 individuals with pharmacy claims data from Jan 1 to June 7, 2020 were eligible for inclusion. 3302 (52·8%) of 6256 were women. Metformin use was not associated with significantly decreased mortality in the overall sample of men and women by either Cox proportional hazards stratified model (hazard ratio [HR] 0·887 [95% CI 0·782-1·008]) or propensity matching (odds ratio [OR] 0·912 [95% CI 0·777-1·071], p=0·15). Metformin was associated with decreased mortality in women by Cox proportional hazards (HR 0·785, 95% CI 0·650-0·951) and propensity matching (OR 0·759, 95% CI 0·601-0·960, p=0·021). There was no significant reduction in mortality among men (HR 0·957, 95% CI 0·82-1·14; p=0·689 by Cox proportional hazards). INTERPRETATION: Metformin was significantly associated with reduced mortality in women with obesity or type 2 diabetes who were admitted to hospital for COVID-19. Prospective studies are needed to understand mechanism and causality. If findings are reproducible, metformin could be widely distributed for prevention of COVID-19 mortality, because it is safe and inexpensive. FUNDING: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute; Minnesota Learning Health System Mentored Training Program, M Health Fairview Institutional Funds; National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences; and National Cancer Institute.

Design and Efficacy of a Monovalent Bispecific PD-1/CTLA4 Antibody That Enhances CTLA4 Blockade on PD-1+ Activated T Cells.

The clinical benefit of PD-1 blockade can be improved by combination with CTLA4 inhibition but is commensurate with significant immune-related adverse events suboptimally limiting the doses of anti-CTLA4 mAb that can be used. MEDI5752 is a monovalent bispecific antibody designed to suppress the PD-1 pathway and provide modulated CTLA4 inhibition favoring enhanced blockade on PD-1+ activated T cells. We show that MEDI5752 preferentially saturates CTLA4 on PD-1+ T cells versus PD-1- T cells, reducing the dose required to elicit IL2 secretion. Unlike conventional PD-1/CTLA4 mAbs, MEDI5752 leads to the rapid internalization and degradation of PD-1. Moreover, we show that MEDI5752 preferentially localizes and accumulates in tumors providing enhanced activity when compared with a combination of mAbs targeting PD-1 and CTLA4 in vivo. Following treatment with MEDI5752, robust partial responses were observed in two patients with advanced solid tumors. MEDI5752 represents a novel immunotherapy engineered to preferentially inhibit CTLA4 on PD-1+ T cells. SIGNIFICANCE: The unique characteristics of MEDI5752 represent a novel immunotherapy engineered to direct CTLA4 inhibition to PD-1+ T cells with the potential for differentiated activity when compared with current conventional mAb combination strategies targeting PD-1 and CTLA4. This molecule therefore represents a step forward in the rational design of cancer immunotherapy.See related commentary by Burton and Tawbi, p. 1008.This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 995.

Risk factors for de novo and therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS).

PURPOSE: Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are classified as de novo and therapy-related (tMDS). We evaluated associations between MDS risk factors separately for de novo and tMDS. METHODS: The study population included 346 de novo MDS cases, 37 tMDS cases and 682 population controls frequency matched by age and sex. Polytomous logistic regression was performed to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: After adjustment, former smoking status (OR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.10-1.93), personal history of autoimmune disease (OR = 1.34, 95% CI: 0.99-1.82) and exposure to benzene (OR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.00-2.19) were associated with de novo MDS. Risk estimates for the associations between smoking, autoimmune disease, and benzene exposure were similar in magnitude but non-significant in tMDS cases. Among individuals with a previous diagnosis of cancer, de novo MDS cases and controls were more likely to have had a previous solid tumor, while tMDS cases more commonly had a previous hematologic malignancy. CONCLUSIONS: We observed similar associations between smoking, history of autoimmune disease and benzene exposure in de novo and tMDS although estimates for tMDS were imprecise due to small sample sizes. Future analyses with larger sample sizes will be required to confirm whether environmental factors influence risk of tMDS.

BRIDGING RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS AND SINGLE-ARM TRIALS USING COMMENSURATE PRIORS IN ARM-BASED NETWORK META-ANALYSIS.

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a powerful tool to compare multiple treatments directly and indirectly by combining and contrasting multiple independent clinical trials. Because many NMAs collect only a few eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs), there is an urgent need to synthesize different sources of information, e.g., from both RCTs and single-arm trials. However, single-arm trials and RCTs may have different populations and quality, so that assuming they are exchangeable may be inappropriate. This article presents a novel method using a commensurate prior on variance (CPV) to borrow variance (rather than mean) information from single-arm trials in an arm-based (AB) Bayesian NMA. We illustrate the advantages of this CPV method by reanalyzing an NMA of immune checkpoint inhibitors in cancer patients. Comprehensive simulations investigate the impact on statistical inference of including single-arm trials. The simulation results show that the CPV method provides efficient and robust estimation even when the two sources of information are moderately inconsistent.

A Neutralizing Monoclonal Antibody for Hospitalized Patients with Covid-19.

BACKGROUND: LY-CoV555, a neutralizing monoclonal antibody, has been associated with a decrease in viral load and the frequency of hospitalizations or emergency department visits among outpatients with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19). Data are needed on the effect of this antibody in patients who are hospitalized with Covid-19. METHODS: In this platform trial of therapeutic agents, we randomly assigned hospitalized patients who had Covid-19 without end-organ failure in a 1:1 ratio to receive either LY-CoV555 or matching placebo. In addition, all the patients received high-quality supportive care as background therapy, including the antiviral drug remdesivir and, when indicated, supplemental oxygen and glucocorticoids. LY-CoV555 (at a dose of 7000 mg) or placebo was administered as a single intravenous infusion over a 1-hour period. The primary outcome was a sustained recovery during a 90-day period, as assessed in a time-to-event analysis. An interim futility assessment was performed on the basis of a seven-category ordinal scale for pulmonary function on day 5. RESULTS: On October 26, 2020, the data and safety monitoring board recommended stopping enrollment for futility after 314 patients (163 in the LY-CoV555 group and 151 in the placebo group) had undergone randomization and infusion. The median interval since the onset of symptoms was 7 days (interquartile range, 5 to 9). At day 5, a total of 81 patients (50%) in the LY-CoV555 group and 81 (54%) in the placebo group were in one of the two most favorable categories of the pulmonary outcome. Across the seven categories, the odds ratio of being in a more favorable category in the LY-CoV555 group than in the placebo group was 0.85 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56 to 1.29; P = 0.45). The percentage of patients with the primary safety outcome (a composite of death, serious adverse events, or clinical grade 3 or 4 adverse events through day 5) was similar in the LY-CoV555 group and the placebo group (19% and 14%, respectively; odds ratio, 1.56; 95% CI, 0.78 to 3.10; P = 0.20). The rate ratio for a sustained recovery was 1.06 (95% CI, 0.77 to 1.47). CONCLUSIONS: Monoclonal antibody LY-CoV555, when coadministered with remdesivir, did not demonstrate efficacy among hospitalized patients who had Covid-19 without end-organ failure. (Funded by Operation Warp Speed and others; TICO ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04501978.).