Health Services Use and Functional Recovery Following Blunt Trauma in Older Persons - A National Multicentre Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Frailty is associated with morbidity and mortality in older injured patients. However, for older blunt-trauma patients, increased frailty may not manifest in longer length of stay at index admission. We hypothesized that owing to time spent in hospital from readmissions, frailty would be associated with less total time at home in the 1-year postinjury period. DESIGN: Prospective, nationwide, multicenter cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: All Singaporean residents aged ≥55 years admitted for blunt trauma with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) or New Injury Severity Score (NISS) ≥10 from March 2016 to July 2018. METHODS: Frailty (by modified Fried criteria) was assessed at index admission, based on questions on preinjury weight loss, slowness, exhaustion, physical activity, and grip strength at the time of recruitment. Low time at home was defined as >14 hospitalized days within 1 year postinjury. The contribution of planned and unplanned readmission to time at home postinjury was explored. Functional trajectory (by Barthel Index) over 1 year was compared by frailty. RESULTS: Of the 218 patients recruited, 125 (57.3%) were male, median age was 72 years, and 48 (22.0%) were frail. On univariate analysis, frailty [relative to nonfrail: odds ratio (OR) 3.45, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-8.97, P = .01] was associated with low time at home. On multivariable analysis, after inclusion of age, gender, ISS, intensive care unit admission, and surgery at index admission, frailty (OR 5.21, 95% CI 1.77-15.34, P < .01) remained significantly associated with low time at home in the 1-year postinjury period. Unplanned readmissions were the main reason for frail participants having low time at home. Frail participants had poorer function in the 1-year postinjury period. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: In the year following blunt trauma, frail older patients experience lower time at home compared to patients who were not frail at baseline. Screening for frailty should be considered in all older blunt-trauma patients, with a view to being prioritized for postdischarge support.

Frailty and length of stay in older adults with blunt injury in a national multicentre prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients suffering moderate or severe injury after low falls have higher readmission and long-term mortality rates compared to patients injured by high-velocity mechanisms such as motor vehicle accidents. We hypothesize that this is due to higher pre-injury frailty in low-fall patients, and present baseline patient and frailty demographics of a prospective cohort of moderate and severely injured older patients. Our second hypothesis was that frailty was associated with longer length of stay (LOS) at index admission. METHODS: This is a prospective, nation-wide, multi-center cohort study of Singaporean residents aged ≥55 years admitted for ≥48 hours after blunt injury with an injury severity score or new injury severity score ≥10, or an Organ Injury Scale ≥3, in public hospitals from 2016-2018. Demographics, mechanism of injury and frailty were recorded and analysed by Chi-square, or Kruskal-Wallis as appropriate. RESULTS: 218 participants met criteria and survived the index admission. Low fall patients had the highest proportion of frailty (44, 27.3%), followed by higher level fallers (3, 21.4%) and motor vehicle accidents (1, 2.3%) (p < .01). Injury severity, extreme age, and surgery were independently associated with longer LOS. Frail patients were paradoxically noted to have shorter LOS (p < .05). CONCLUSION: Patients sustaining moderate or severe injury after low falls are more likely to be frail compared to patients injured after higher-velocity mechanisms. However, this did not translate into longer adjusted LOS in hospital at index admission.

Factors driving frequent attendance at emergency departments for patients with head and neck cancer.

BACKGROUND: Patients with head and neck cancer have a higher risk of emergency department (ED) frequent attender (FA). We hypothesized that FAs present with issues different from non-FAs. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on Singapore residents with head and neck cancers using de-identified registry merged with electronic medical record data. A competing risk regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with FA. Aggregated primary diagnoses were compared for patients with and without FA risk factors. RESULTS: Thirteen percent of patients with head and neck cancer were FAs. FA risk factors were Charlson comorbidity index (3+), and socioeconomic status (SES). FAs had a higher proportion of respiratory infections. The spectrum of diagnosis was similar for patients with low and high SES. Current smokers had a greater proportion of respiratory complaints, relative to never smokers. CONCLUSION: Patients with greater comorbidity scores or higher SES were more likely to be FA. FAs were more likely to present with respiratory complaints, likely related to cancer treatment, or smoking status.

The price of personal mobility: burden of injury and mortality from personal mobility devices in Singapore - a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Personal mobility devices (PMDs) like skate-scooters, electric bicycles (e-bikes) or motorised scooters (e-scooters) have become widely available globally. There are several studies describing the rising incidence of injury from such devices. The aim of our study was to examine PMD user factors between motorised (MotPMDs) vs non-motorised PMDs (NonPMDs) as risk factors for severe injury and the need for hospital admission. METHODS: We analysed de-identified National Trauma Registry data (2015 to 2017) from all public sector hospitals in Singapore for patients aged 12 and above presenting to emergency departments with PMD-related injuries. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for the primary outcome of interest (higher injury severity, defined as Injury Severity Score / ISS > =9), and the secondary outcome of interest (need for hospital admission). Additional subgroup analysis was conducted comparing only scooters (manual vs electric), the most common sub-type of PMD in our study. RESULTS: Of the 614 patients in our study, majority were male (74%), median age 33 years, with 136 (22%) sustaining injuries with ISS > =9; 185 (30%) admitted [median stay length 3 days (IQR: 1-6)] and 93 (15%) required surgery. MotPMDs were more common (480, 78%), with e-scooters being the most common motorised device (393, 64%). There were 6 deaths, all in MotPMD users. On both univariate and multivariable regression, MotPMD users [OR 3.82, 95% CI 1.51-12.9, p = 0.01] and older users (> = 60 years) [OR 9.47, 95% CI 2.45-62.9, p = 0.004] were more likely to sustain injuries with ISS > =9, and more likely to need admission (MotPMD users [OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.04-3.29, p = 0.045], age > =60 years [OR 4.72, 95% CI 1.86-13.0, p = 0.002]). CONCLUSION: MotPMDs tripled the risk of severe injury and doubled the risk of requiring hospitalisation, compared to NonPMDs, likely due to higher travelling speeds. Increased age was also associated with severe injury and requiring hospitalisation.

Granulomatous Mastitis and Factors Associated with Recurrence: An 11-Year Single-Centre Study of 113 Patients in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: Granulomatous mastitis (GM) is an inflammatory breast disease of unknown aetiology. It poses diagnostic and therapeutic challenges with myriad forms of clinical presentation, varying results to treatments and propensity to recur. This study aims to look at clinical and treatment factors that predispose to recurrence of GM. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of 113 patients in our unit with histologically proven GM from 2006 to 2016. Demographic, clinical, treatment and outcomes data were collected and analysed. RESULTS: Eighty-nine patients were treated with antibiotics (78.8%), 79 (69.9%) with steroids and 23 (20.4%) patients underwent surgery. Twenty (17.7%) patients had recurrence. Patients who presented with inflammatory signs and symptoms had increased odds of having subsequent recurrence: skin changes (1.50), pain (2.00), fistula (4.39) and antibiotic treatment (6.65). Four patients (20%) with recurrence had positive bacterial cultures. All 4 grew Corynebacterium. Patients with Corynebacterium infection had a 2.64 times higher risk of recurrence. Surgery did not preclude recurrence. There was a 70% (7/10) penicillin resistance rate in our patients with positive cultures for Corynebacterium. CONCLUSION: Initial presentation with inflammatory signs and symptoms may confer increased risk of recurrence, warranting closer monitoring. Corynebacterium infection may play a part as a causative factor and risk factor for recurrence. Non-penicillin antibiotics should be considered as first-line antibiotics for patients presenting with inflammatory changes. Further prospective studies with larger patient populations might reveal information on the aetiology of GM and result in the development of a more standardized and effective treatment regimen.

Utility of bronchoalveolar lavage in the management of immunocompromised patients presenting with lung infiltrates.

BACKGROUND: Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) is utilized for diagnosing lung infiltrates in immunocompromised. There is heterogeneity in the data and reported diagnostic yields range from 26 to 69%. Therefore, selection criteria for BAL to maximize yield and minimize complications are unclear. Objectives of this study were to determine the diagnostic yield and complication rate of BAL in immunocompromised patients presenting with lung infiltrates, and identify factors impacting these outcomes. Exploratory aims included characterization of pathogens, rate of treatment modification and mortality. METHODS: Retrospective study from January 2012 to December 2016. Patients on mechanical ventilation were excluded. Positive diagnostic yield was defined as confirmed microbiological or cytological diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 217 patients were recruited (70.1% male and mean age: 51.7 ± 14.6 years). Diagnostic yield was 60.8% and complication rate 14.7%. Complications (hypoxemia and endobronchial bleeding) were all sell-limiting. Treatment modification based on BAL results was 63.3%. In 97.0% an infectious aetiology was identified. HIV infection (OR 5.304, 95% CI 1.611-17.458, p = 0.006) and severe neutropenia (OR 4.253, 95% CI 1.288-14.045, p = 0.018) were associated with positive yield. Leukemia (OR 0.317, 95% CI 0.102-0.982, p = 0.047) was associated with lower yield. No factors impacted complication rate. Overall mortality (90-day) was 17.5% and in those with hematologic malignancy, it was 28.3%. CONCLUSION: BAL retains utility in diagnosis of immunocompromised patients with lung infiltrates. However, patients with hematologic malignancy have a high mortality and alternative sampling should be considered because of poor results with BAL. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01374542 . Registered June 16, 2011.

Frailty and functional decline after emergency abdominal surgery in the elderly: a prospective cohort study.

Background: Frailty has been associated with an increased risk of adverse postoperative outcomes in elderly patients. We examined the impact of preoperative frailty on loss of functional independence following emergency abdominal surgery in the elderly. Methods: This prospective cohort study was performed at a tertiary hospital, enrolling patients 65 years of age and above who underwent emergency abdominal surgery from June 2016 to February 2018. Premorbid variables, perioperative characteristics and outcomes were collected. Two frailty measures were compared in this study-the Modified Fried's Frailty Criteria (mFFC) and Modified Frailty Index-11 (mFI-11). Patients were followed-up for 1 year. Results: A total of 109 patients were prospectively recruited. At baseline, 101 (92.7%) were functionally independent, of whom seven (6.9%) had loss of independence at 1 year; 28 (25.7%) and 81 (74.3%) patients were frail and non-frail (by mFFC) respectively. On univariate analysis, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index and frailty (mFFC) (univariate OR 13.00, 95% CI 2.21-76.63, p < 0.01) were significantly associated with loss of functional independence at 1 year. However, frailty, as assessed by mFI-11, showed a weaker correlation than mFFC (univariate OR 4.42, 95% CI 0.84-23.12, p = 0.06). On multivariable analysis, only premorbid frailty (by mFFC) remained statistically significant (OR 15.63, 95% CI 2.12-111.11, p < 0.01). Conclusions: The mFFC is useful for frailty screening amongst elderly patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery and is a predictor for loss of functional independence at 1 year. Including the risk of loss of functional independence in perioperative discussions with patients and caregivers is important for patient-centric emergency surgical care. Early recognition of this at-risk group could help with discharge planning and priority for post-discharge support should be considered.

Predictors of Change in Functional Outcome at six months and twelve months after Severe Injury: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: There is increasing focus on long-term survival, function and quality-of-life for trauma patients. There are few studies tracking longitudinal changes in functional outcome over time. The goal of our study was to compare the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) at 6 months and 12 months in blunt trauma survivors with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) of more than 15. Methods: Using the Singapore National Trauma Registry 2011-2013, patients with 6-month GOSE and 12-month GOSE scores were analysed. Patients were grouped into three categories-those with the same score at 6 months and 12 months, an improvement in score, and a worse score at 12 months. Ordinal regression was used to identify risk factors for improved score. Patients with missing scores at either 6 months or 12 months were excluded. Results: We identified 478 patients: 174 had an improvement in score, 233 stayed the same, and 71 had worse scores at 12 months compared to 6 months. On univariate ordinal regression, the following variables were associated with same or better function at 12-months compared to 6-months: male gender, being employed pre-injury, thoracic Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) of 3 or more, anatomical polytrauma (AIS of 3 or more in 2 or more body regions), and road traffic injury mechanism. Older age, low fall, increasing Charlson comorbidity scores, new injury severity score, and head and neck AIS of 3 or more were associated with worse function at 12 months compared to 6 months. ISS and revised trauma score were not significant predictors on univariate or multivariable analysis.On multivariable ordinal regression, motor vehicle mechanism (OR 2.78, 1.51-5.12, p = 0.001) was associated with improved function, while male gender (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.02-1.82, p = 0.039) predicted improved function at 12 months. Conclusions: Females experience worse functional outcomes at 12 months, potentially due to majority of female injuries being low falls in the elderly. In contrast, motor vehicle injury patients had better functional outcomes at 12 months. Additional interventional strategies for high-risk groups should be explored.

Charlson Comorbidity Index Predicts 5-Year Survivorship of Surgically Treated Hip Fracture Patients.

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to assess the correlation of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) with 5-year mortality in a surgically treated hip fracture population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on 1057 patients aged 60 years and above who underwent surgery for hip fracture with a minimum of 5-year follow-up (92.2% 5-year follow-up rate) in a tertiary hospital. Manual review of patients' electronic hospital records was performed to record demographic data, comorbidities, and length of stay. Mortality data were extracted from the hospital's electronic medical records and corroborated with the National Electronic Health Record. RESULTS: Of the 1057 patients, 283 (26.8%) were male. The majority of patients were 80 years of age and above (42.5%), with the oldest patient operated on age 102 with a mean age of 77.8 (8.6) years. Four hundred eighteen (39.5%) patients sustained extracapsular intertrochanteric fractures. The mean follow-up duration was 8 years and 3 days with an overall survivorship of 37.2%. A multiple regression model constructed with ACCI, age, gender, and fracture pattern demonstrated satisfactory predictive ability with a concordance statistic of 0.68. Patients with a higher ACCI category (≥6) had an increased 5-year mortality rate (41.8%) with an odds ratio of 13.6 (6.7-31.8, P < .001) compared to those with an ACCI category of 3 and below (89.3%). DISCUSSION: The study demonstrates that ACCI correlated with 5-year mortality after surgical treatment of hip fracture. This information is pertinent in the counseling of patients with regard to their midterm survival following hip fracture surgery and may inform policy makers of the varied midterm survival rates in patients with differing ACCI scores and educate the allocation of health-care resources. CONCLUSION: The ACCI correlates with 5-year mortality after surgical treatment of hip fracture.

Effectiveness of bariatric surgery in diabetes prevention in high-risk Asian individuals.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is a key risk factor in the development of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Bariatric surgery causes a large amount of durable weight loss in those with clinically severe obesity. We reported the effect of weight loss via bariatric surgery on DM prevention in those at high risk of developing DM. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 44 patients with obesity (mean body mass index 43.8 kg/m2) and pre-DM who underwent bariatric surgery and were followed up for up to three years. We also reviewed a non-surgical cohort of patients with obesity and pre-DM seen at the weight management clinic. RESULTS: 91% of patients attained normal glycaemic status at one year after bariatric surgery. At the three-year follow-up, 87.5% of the patients maintained normoglycaemia. None of the patients developed T2DM after surgery. 26.9% of patients achieved absolute weight loss at one year after bariatric surgery and maintained this at two and three years post surgery (p < 0.001 vs. baseline). The homeostatic model assessment-insulin resistance index in patients also decreased from 5.50 at baseline to 1.20, 1.14 and 1.44 at one, two and three years, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Bariatric surgery produces significant weight loss, and leads to reversion from the pre-diabetic state to normal glycaemic status and reduction of the incident DM rate in those with pre-DM and morbid obesity.

Study protocol for a cohort study of patients with advanced heart failure in Singapore.

INTRODUCTIO: Understanding the symptom and health expenditure burden among patients with advanced congestive heart failure (CHF) and their family caregivers is essential to reform policy and practice needed to provide quality care to these patients at affordable prices. The proposed cohort study titled Singapore Cohort of Patients with Advanced Heart Failure aims to describe trajectories of quality of life among patients and their primary informal caregivers, quantify healthcare utilisation and expenditures, assess changes in patient and caregiver awareness of and preferences for knowing diagnostic and prognostic information, awareness and utilisation of palliative care services, preferences for treatments and decision making, perceived quality of care, self-care, caregiver psychological distress and caregiver burden. METHODS: This cohort study will recruit 250 patients with New York Heart Association Classification class III and IV CHF from inpatient wards at two public tertiary healthcare institutions in Singapore. Patients and their primary informal caregiver are being surveyed every 4 months until patients' death; caregivers are followed until 8 weeks postpatient death. Medical and billing records of patients are obtained and merged with patients' survey data. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has been approved by an ethics board. Results from the study will be disseminated through publications and presentations targeting researchers, policy makers and clinicians interested in understanding and improving care for patients with advanced CHF. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03089034.

Diagnostic performance of ATA, BTA and TIRADS sonographic patterns in the prediction of malignancy in histologically proven thyroid nodules.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to compare the malignancy risk stratification of histologically proven thyroid nodules using the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) Management Guidelines, 2014 British Thyroid Association (BTA) Guidelines for the Management of Thyroid Cancer and the Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TIRADS). METHODS: Thyroid nodules measuring > 1 cm resected over 5.5 years were retrospectively studied. Demographic information as well as cytology and histopathology results were collected. Static ultrasonography (US) images and radiologists' reports of each resected nodules were reviewed and classified based on the above risk classification systems. RESULTS: A total of 167 thyroid nodules from 150 patients were examined. More malignant nodules were solid (78.4% vs. 62.5%; p = 0.049) or hypoechoic (70.6% vs. 28.6%; p < 0.001), and had irregular margins (35.3% vs. 8.0%; p < 0.001), taller-than-wide morphology (9.8% vs. 2.7%; p = 0.031), microcalcifications (33.3% vs. 8.0%; p < 0.001), disrupted rim calcifications (9.8% vs. 0.9%; p = 0.012) or associated abnormal cervical lymphadenopathy (13.7% vs. 0.9%; p = 0.001) compared with benign nodules. The guidelines' diagnostic performance was: ATA - sensitivity 98.0%, specificity 17.3%, positive predictive value (PPV) 35.0%, negative predictive value (NPV) 95.0%; BTA - sensitivity 90%, specificity 50.9%, PPV 45.5%, NPV 91.8%; and TIRADS - sensitivity 94.0%, specificity 28.2%, PPV 37.3%%, NPV 91.2%. CONCLUSION: Sonographic patterns outlined by the three guidelines displayed high sensitivity and NPV. Although isolated suspicious US features cannot predict malignancy risk, they should be considered when risk stratifying nodules that do not fit into particular sonographic patterns based on current guidelines.

One-year and three-year mortality prediction in adult major blunt trauma survivors: a National Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Survivors of trauma are at increased risk of dying after discharge. Studies have found that age, head injury, injury severity, falls and co-morbidities predict long-term mortality. The objective of our study was to build a nomogram predictor of 1-year and 3-year mortality for major blunt trauma adult survivors of the index hospitalization. METHODS: Using data from the Singapore National Trauma Registry, 2011-2013, we analyzed adults aged 18 and over, admitted after blunt injury, with an injury severity score (ISS) of 12 or more, who survived the index hospitalization, linked to death registry data. The study population was randomly divided 60/40 into separate construction and validation datasets, with the model built in the construction dataset, then tested in the validation dataset. Multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze 1-year and 3-year mortality. RESULTS: Of the 3414 blunt trauma survivors, 247 (7.2%) died within 1 year, and 551 (16.1%) died within 3 years of injury. Age (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.05-1.07, p < 0.001), male gender (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.12-2.10, p < 0.01), low fall from 0.5 m or less (OR 3.48, 95% CI 2.06-5.87, p < 0.001), Charlson comorbidity index of 2 or more (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.38-3.70, p < 0.01), diabetes (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.68-2.52, p = 0.04), cancer (OR 1.76, 95% CI 0.94-3.32, p = 0.08), head and neck AIS 3 or more (OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.13-2.84, p = 0.01), length of hospitalization of 30 days or more (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.02-3.86, p = 0.04) were predictors of 1-year mortality. This model had a c-statistic of 0.85. Similar factors were found significant for the model predictor of 3-year mortality, which had a c-statistic of 0.83. Both models were validated on the second dataset, with an overall accuracy of 0.94 and 0.84 for 1-year and 3-year mortality respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Adult survivors of major blunt trauma can be risk-stratified at discharge for long-term support.

Cost of Medical Care of Patients with Advanced Serious Illness in Singapore (COMPASS): prospective cohort study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Advanced cancer significantly impacts quality of life of patients and families as they cope with symptom burden, treatment decision-making, uncertainty and costs of treatment. In Singapore, information about the experiences of advanced cancer patients and families and the financial cost they incur for end-of-life care is lacking. Understanding of this information is needed to inform practice and policy to ensure continuity and affordability of care at the end of life. The primary objectives of the Cost of Medical Care of Patients with Advanced Serious Illness in Singapore (COMPASS) cohort study are to describe changes in quality of life and to quantify healthcare utilization and costs of patients with advanced cancer at the end of life. Secondary objectives are to investigate patient and caregiver preferences for diagnostic and prognostic information, preferences for end-of-life care, caregiver burden and perceived quality of care and to explore how these change as illness progresses and finally to measure bereavement adjustment. The purpose of this paper is to present the COMPASS protocol in order to promote scientific transparency. METHODS: This cohort study recruits advanced cancer patients (n = 600) from outpatient medical oncology clinics at two public tertiary healthcare institutions in Singapore. Patients and their primary informal caregiver are surveyed every 3 months until patients' death; caregivers are followed until 6 months post patient death. Patient medical and billing records are obtained and merged with patient survey data. The treating medical oncologists of participating patients are surveyed to obtain their beliefs regarding care delivery for the patient. DISCUSSION: The study will allow combination of self-report, medical, and cost data from various sources to present a comprehensive picture of the end-of-life experience of advanced cancer patients in a unique Asian setting. This study is responsive to Singapore's National Strategy for Palliative Care which aims to identify opportunities to meet the growing need for high quality care for Singapore's aging population. Results will also be of interest to policy makers and researchers beyond Singapore who are interested to understand and improve the end-of-life experience of cancer patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02850640 (Prospectively registered on June 9, 2016).

Survival of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma by housing subsidy in a tiered public housing system.

BACKGROUND: Socioeconomic status affects survival in patients diagnosed with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), even in health systems with universal health care. Singapore has a tiered subsidized housing system, in which income determines eligibility for subsidies by size of apartment. The objective of this study was to assess whether a patient's residential type (small/heavily subsidized, medium/moderate subsidy, large/minimal or no subsidy) influenced mortality. A secondary analysis examined whether patients in smaller subsidized apartments were more likely to present with advanced disease. METHODS: An historical cohort study of patients in a tertiary referral center with HNSCC was identified in the multidisciplinary cancer database from 1992 to 2014. Clinicopathologic data were extracted for analysis. Patient residential postal codes were matched to type of housing. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate the relationship between all-cause mortality and the predictors of interest as well as the association between housing type and disease stage at presentation. RESULTS: Of the 758 patients identified, most were men (73.4%), the median age was 64 years, 30.5% and 15.2% were smokers and former smokers, respectively. Over one-half (56.8%) of patients presented with advanced disease. Male gender, age, stage at presentation, survival time from diagnosis, and smoker status were significant predictors of mortality. Patients living in the smaller, higher subsidy apartments had poorer survival, although they were not more likely to present with advanced disease, suggesting that the survival difference was not because of delayed presentation. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HNSCC living in smaller, higher-subsidy apartments have poorer survival despite no apparent delays in presentation. Cancer 2017;123:1998-2005. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Trends and predictors of asthma costs: results from a 10-year longitudinal study.

Research on asthma costs often focuses on estimating average asthma costs. Trends in asthma costs and patterns of medication use, especially for those who have been followed up and under treatment, have received much less attention. This study's objective was to document asthma costs over time for asthma patients who are enrolled in an asthma care programme in Singapore and to identify its predictors, using a 10-year longitudinal dataset.The study population comprised different cohorts of 939 asthma patients entering the programme at different times during 2004-2013. Average asthma costs were estimated and the trends over time examined graphically, within and across patient cohorts. Regression analyses were conducted to examine cost predictors, with a focus on the relationship between risk factors at programme enrolment and subsequent asthma costs.The results indicate that 10-year average annual asthma cost was GBP 341 per patient. The main drivers of costs were asthma medications and consultation fees. Use of combined inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting ß-agonist medications increased over time, but this was accompanied by declines in controller drug use, doctor visits and total asthma drug costs. Obesity, smoking and asthma severity were the main predictors of subsequent asthma costs, especially for females.

Ten-year longitudinal study of factors influencing nocturnal asthma symptoms among Asian patients in primary care.

BACKGROUND: Nocturnal asthma symptoms result in poor quality of life and morbidity. AIMS: This study primarily examines key factors predicting and mitigating nocturnal symptom risks among asthma patients, who were enrolled into a Singapore publicly funded asthma care programme. It also studies the association between nocturnal symptoms and medication changes as the secondary outcome. METHODS: A longitudinal study was conducted on 939 multi-racial Asian patients with persistent asthma. Patient clinical and therapeutic data were retrieved retrospectively from the programme's database established in 2004. Association between nocturnal symptoms (defined as night-time cough, wheeze and breathlessness at least twice monthly) and each categorical predictor was tested. The generalised linear mixed-effects model (GLIMM) was used to model the primary and secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Having nocturnal asthma symptoms was significantly associated with the number of days with breathlessness, off usual activities and off work, and asthma severity at baseline (all P values <0.05). The asthma action plan (AAP) status is significantly associated with nocturnal symptoms after adjusting for race, age and smoking status at baseline (odds ratio (OR)=0.49 (updated asthma action plan versus none), OR=0.37 (been-on plan versus none)). The risks of nocturnal asthma symptoms increased over time for those with allergic rhinitis (OR=1.52) and reduced with subsequent visits (OR=0.91). Nocturnal symptoms increased the odds (OR=2.87) of switching from inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) to combination medications (ICS-LABA (long-acting ß2-agonist)). CONCLUSIONS: The risks of having nocturnal symptoms were primarily associated with those with allergic rhinitis. An increase in patients' nocturnal symptoms was also predictive of the switching from ICS medications to combination formulations by their physicians.

Risk of Major Abdominal Surgery in an Asian Population-based Crohn's Disease Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Crohn's disease (CD) is increasing in incidence and prevalence in Asia, but there is a paucity of population-based studies on risk factors for surgery in Asian patients with CD. This will be useful to identify patients who may benefit from top-down treatment. This study describes the rates of abdominal surgery and identifies associated risk factors in Singaporean patients with CD. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study. The medical records of Singaporeans diagnosed with CD from 1970 to 2013 were reviewed from 8 different hospitals in Singapore. The cumulative probability of CD-related abdominal surgery was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The logistic regression model was used to assess associations between independent risk factors and surgery. RESULTS: The cohort of 430 Singaporean patients with CD included 63.5% Chinese, 11.9% Malay, and 24.7% Indians, with a male to female ratio of 1.6; median follow-up was 7.3 years (range, 2.9-13.0 yr) and median age at diagnosis 30.5 years (range, 19.5-43.7 yr). One hundred twelve patients (26.0%) required major abdominal surgery: the cumulative risk of surgery was 14.9% at 90 days, 21.2% at 5 years, 28.8% at 10 years, 38.3% at 20 years, and 50.6% at 30 years from diagnosis. Of the surgical patients, 75.0% were Chinese, 10.7% Malays, and 14.3% Indians; 21.4% underwent surgery for inflammatory disease, 40.2% for stricturing disease, and 38.4% for penetrating disease. Age at diagnosis (A2 17-40 yr, OR: 2.75, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-7.76), ileal disease (L1 location, OR: 2.35, 95% CI, 1.14-5.0), stricturing (B2 OR: 6.09, 95% CI, 3.20-11.8), and penetrating behavior (B3 OR: 21.6, 95% CI, 9.0-58.8) were independent risk factors for CD-related abdominal surgery. Indian patients were less likely to require surgery (OR: 0.40, 95% CI, 0.19-0.78). CONCLUSIONS: Age at diagnosis, L1 location, B2, and B3 disease behavior are independent risk factors for abdominal surgery. Interestingly, despite a higher prevalence of CD in Indians, a smaller proportion of Indian patients required surgery. These findings suggest that both environmental and genetic factors contribute to the risk of surgery in Asian patients with CD.

Inferior Alveolar Nerve Injury in Trauma-Induced Mandible Fractures.

PURPOSE: This prospective observational cohort study sought to determine the prevalence of inferior alveolar nerve (IAN) injury after mandibular fractures before and after treatment and to elucidate factors associated with the incidence of post-treatment IAN injury and time to normalization of sensation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Consenting patients with mandibular fractures (excluding dentoalveolar, pathologic, previous fractures, or mandibular surgery) were prospectively evaluated for subjective neurosensory disturbance (NSD) and underwent neurosensory testing before treatment and then 1 week, 1.5, 3, 6, and 12 months after treatment. RESULTS: Eighty patients (men, 83.8%; mean age, 30.0 yr; standard deviation, 12.6 yr) with 123 mandibular sides (43 bilateral) were studied. Injury etiology included assault (33.8%), falls (31.3%), motor vehicle accidents (25.0%), and sports injuries (6.3%). Half the fractures (49.6%) involved the IAN-bearing posterior mandible; all condylar fractures (13.0%) had no NSD. Treatment included open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF; 74.8%), closed reduction and fixation (22.0%), or no treatment (3.3%). Overall prevalence of IAN injury was 33.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.8-42.6) before treatment and 53.8% (95% CI, 46.0-61.6) after treatment. In the IAN-bearing mandible, the prevalence was 56.2% (95% CI, 43.2-69.2) before treatment and 72.9% (95% CI, 63.0-82.7) after treatment. In contrast, this prevalence in the non-IAN-bearing mandible was 12.6% (95% CI, 4.1-21.1) before treatment and 31.6% (95% CI, 20.0-43.3) after treatment. Factors associated with the development of post-treatment IAN injury included fracture site and gap distance (a 1-mm increase was associated with a 27% increase in odds of post-treatment sensory alteration). Time to normalization after treatment was associated with type of treatment (ORIF inhibited normalization) and fracture site (IAN-bearing sites took longer to normalize). CONCLUSION: IAN injury was 4 times more likely in IAN-bearing posterior mandibular fractures (56.2%) than in non-IAN-bearing anterior mandibular fractures (12.6%). After treatment, IAN injury prevalence (in 12 months) was higher (72.9% in posterior mandible, 31.6% in anterior mandible).

Montreal Cognitive Assessment for the screening and prediction of cognitive decline in early Parkinson's disease.

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis of cognitive impairment in PD would allow appropriate monitoring and timely intervention to reduce the progression to dementia (PDD). OBJECTIVE: To study the usefulness of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) in the screening for mild cognitive impairment (PD-MCI) and its predictive utility in determining longitudinal cognitive decline in PD. METHODS: Prospective longitudinal study of patients with mild PD. PD-MCI and PDD was diagnosed based on the Movement Disorder taskforce (MDS) criteria. Receiver Operating Characteristic analyses and Cox regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: 95 patients; mean age 66.37 (SD 7.86); mean H&Y score of 1.99 (SD 0.45) were studied. At baseline, 34 patients fulfilled the MDS criteria for PD-MCI. MoCA, compared to the MMSE had a high discriminatory power in detecting PD-MCI [Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0.912, p < 0.001]. A MoCA score of ≤26 provided a sensitivity of 93.1% for the diagnosis of PD-MCI. In the longitudinal cohort over 2 years, baseline MOCA was useful in predicting cognitive decline (AUC of 0.707, p = 0.05). With Cox regression analyses, a 1-point lower score on baseline MoCA was associated with a 34% increased risk of cognitive decline [Hazard ratio (HR) 1.34; 95% CI: 1.03-1.74: p = 0.029]. A baseline MoCA ≤26 was highly predictive of progressive cognitive decline (HR 3.47, 95% CI: 2.38-5.07; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: MoCA is a reliable tool in predicting cognitive decline in early PD. A MoCA score of ≤26 significantly increases the risk for progressive cognitive decline.