Development of a model predicting cardiac events in heart failure patients with decreased renal function: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Inappropriate and multiple medications affect the prognosis of patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, in ADHF patients with decreased renal function, there have been no reports on prognostic factors, including medication data, or models for predicting cardiac events. AIM: To develop a model including medication data to predict cardiac events in ADHF patients with decreased renal function. METHOD: This retrospective cohort study included 443 first-time admitted ADHF patients with decreased renal function (estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at discharge) in the Showa University Fujigaoka Hospital. The primary outcome was cardiac events within one year after discharge, defined as the composite of HF readmission, HF mortality, and cardiovascular mortality. The model for predicting cardiac events was developed using predictive factors extracted by multivariable analysis. The cardiac events curves were visualized using the Kaplan-Meier method and estimated using a log-rank test. RESULTS: The incidence of cardiac events within one year after discharge was 20.1%. By multivariable analysis, we observed that atrial fibrillation, weight loss < 5%, brain natriuretic peptide ≥ 200 pg/mL, polypharmacy, and beta-blockers use below target dosage were significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiac events. The developed model, the cardiac events rate in the high-risk group was significantly higher than in the low-risk group (41.0 vs. 9.2%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The developed model for predicting cardiac events will be useful in decision-making to support appropriate early management of ADHF patients with decreased renal function.

Influence of fractional flow reserve on grafts patency: Systematic review and patient-level meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of invasive functional guidance for coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) on graft failure. BACKGROUND: Data on the impact of fractional flow reserve (FFR) in guiding CABG are still limited. METHODS: Systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis were performed. Primary objective was the risk of graft failure, stratified by FFR. Risk estimates are reported as odds ratios (ORs) derived from the aggregated data using random-effects models. Individual patient data were analyzed using mixed effect model to assess relationship between FFR and graft failure. This meta-analysis is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42020180444). RESULTS: Four prospective studies comprising 503 patients referred for CABG, with 1471 coronaries, assessed by FFR were included. Graft status was available for 1039 conduits at median of 12.0 [IQR 6.6; 12.0] months. Risk of graft failure was higher in vessels with preserved FFR (OR 5.74, 95% CI 1.71-19.29). Every 0.10 FFR units decrease in the coronaries was associated with 56% risk reduction of graft failure (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.34 to 0.59). FFR cut-off to predict graft failure was 0.79. CONCLUSION: Surgical grafting of coronaries with functionally nonsignificant stenoses was associated with higher risk of graft failure.

Simplified Assessment of the Index of Microvascular Resistance.

BACKGROUND: To validate a simplified invasive method for the calculation of the index of microvascular resistance (IMR). METHODS: This is a prospective, single-center study of patients with chronic coronary syndromes presenting with nonobstructive coronary artery disease. IMR was obtained using both intravenous (IV) adenosine and intracoronary (IC) papaverine. Each IMR measurement was obtained in duplicate. The primary objective was the agreement between IMR acquired using adenosine and papaverine. Secondary objectives include reproducibility of IMR and time required for the IMR measurement. RESULTS: One hundred and sixteen IMR measurements were performed in 29 patients. The mean age was 68.8 ± 7.24 years, and 27.6% was diabetics. IMR values were similar between papaverine and adenosine (17.7 ± 7.26 and 20.1 ± 8.6, p=0.25; Passing-Bablok coefficient A 0.58, 95% CI -2.42 to 3.53; coefficient B 0.90, 95% CI -0.74 to 1.07). The reproducibility of IMR was excellent with both adenosine and papaverine (ICC 0.78, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.88 and ICC 0.93, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.97). The time needed for microvascular assessment was significantly shortened by the use of IC papaverine (3.23 (2.84, 3.78) mins vs. 5.48 (4.94, 7.09) mins, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: IMR can be reliably measured using IC papaverine with similar results compared to intravenous infusion of adenosine with increased reproducibility and reduced procedural time. This approach simplifies the invasive assessment of the coronary microcirculation in the catheterization laboratory.

Association of Potentially Inappropriate Medications With All-Cause Mortality in the Elderly Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Patients: Importance of Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug Prescription.

BACKGROUND: Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is the most common cause of readmissions in the hospital. ADHF patients are associated with polypharmacy. It is a common problem among elderly patients due to frequently occurring multiple morbidities and is associated with the use of potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs). The aim of this study was to examine the association between PIMs and all-cause mortality in elderly ADHF patients. METHODS: This retrospective study included ADHF patients who were admitted to the Showa University Fujigaoka Hospital between January 2015 and August 2016. We investigated the proportion of patients taking at least one PIM at admission and the characteristics of patients at admission. PIMs were defined based on the Screening Tool of Older People's potentially inappropriate Prescriptions (STOPP). Multiple Cox regression analysis was performed to examine the association between PIM use and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 193 elderly patients (median age 81 years, interquartile range (IQR) 65 - 99 years) were included in the study. All-cause death occurred in 30 patients. The median number of medications at admission was 7 (IQR 0 - 18). The number of medications (greater than or equal to six) at admission was associated with mortality. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 100 mm Hg at admission, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) at admission were independent predictors for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The medical staff should attempt to stop unnecessary medications that are prone to be inappropriate prescribing. In particular, prescription of NSAIDs should be carefully assessed and monitored.

Graft patency and progression of coronary artery disease after CABG assessed by angiography-derived fractional flow reserve.

BACKGROUND: Graft occlusion after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) has been associated with native coronary artery competitive flow. OBJECTIVES: The present study aims to characterize the functional progression of coronary artery disease (CAD) in native vessels after CABG, and to assess the relationship between preoperative FFR as derived from angiography and graft occlusion. METHODS: Multicenter study of consecutive patients undergoing CABG between 2013 and 2018, in whom a follow-up angiogram had been performed. Serial vessel-fractional flow reserve (vFFR) analyses were obtained in each major native coronary vessel before and after CABG, excluding post-anastomotic segments and graft conduits. RESULTS: In 73 patients, serial angiograms were suitable for vFFR analysis, including 118 grafted (86 arterial and 32 saphenous grafts) and 64 non-grafted vessels. The median time between CABG and follow-up angiography was 2.4 years [IQR 1.5, 3.3]. Functional CAD progression, by means of decline in vFFR, was observed in grafted but not in non-grafted vessels (delta vFFR in grafted vessels 0.10 [IQR 0.05, 0.18] vs. 0.01 [IQR -0.01, 0.03], in non-grafted vessels, p < 0.001). Preoperative vFFR predicted graft occlusion (AUC: 0.66, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.80, p = 0.031). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing CABG, preoperative vFFR derived from conventional angiograms without use of pressure wire was able to predict graft occlusion. Graft occlusion was more frequent in vessels with high vFFR values. Grafted native coronary vessels exhibited accelerated functional CAD progression, whereas in non-grafted native coronaries the functional status remained unchanged.

Can an increase in the pulmonary vein volume measured by three dimensional computed tomography predict the presence of atrial fibrillation?

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) dilation is associated with morbidity of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, little is known about pulmonary vein (PV) dilation. PURPOSE: We investigated the PV volume in the patients with AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed 3dimensional computed tomography (3DCT) in 155 patients and divided them into three groups: 19 patients without AF (non-AF group, mean age 66 ± 12 years), 50 with paroxysmal AF (PAF group, mean age 67 ± 8 years) and 24 with persistent AF (PeAF group, mean age 64 ± 10 years). The absence of AF was diagnosed in patients with a cardiac implantable electronic device for at least 1 year (mean: 59 ± 37 months). We determined the PV volume as the total volume from the orifice to the first branch of each PV. According to the echocardiographic data, the LA dimension (LAD) and LA volume index (LAVI) were largest in the PeAF group followed by the PAF and non-AF group. According to the morphometric data obtained on 3D-CT, the PV volume was similar in PeAF and PAF groups but significantly smaller in the non-AF group (median value: 24 vs 21 vs 14 mL, respectively). According to the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the area under the curve for the PV volume in the presence of AF was 0.80, and the optimum cut-off value was 17 mL (sensitivity 74%, specificity 80%). CONCLUSION: The PV volume might be useful for predicting the presence of AF before increases in the LAD and LAVI on echocardiography.

Sex-Related Differences in In-Hospital Mortality in Japanese ST-Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients Presenting to Hospital in the 24 Hours After Symptom Onset　- Results From K-ACTIVE.

Background: Despite the drastic advances in clinical care for patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), female STEMI patients have higher in-hospital mortality rates than male patients. This study assessed the influence of sex on in-hospital mortality in STEMI patients in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan. Methods and Results: From October 2015 to June 2018, 2,491 consecutive STEMI patients (23.9% female) who presented to hospital in the 24 h after symptom onset were analyzed. The female patients were 9 years older and less frequently had diabetes, smoking and prior MI than male patients. Pre-hospital managements, including prehospital 12-lead electrocardiography, and symptom-to-door time were similar between the sexes. A door-to-device time ≤90 min was achieved in 61.3% of female cases and in 65.0% of male cases (P=0.13). Reperfusion therapy was provided to 94.6% of female and 97.6% of male patients (P<0.001). In-hospital mortality rate was not significantly different between female and male patients (6.6% vs. 7.8%, P=0.37). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, female sex itself was not associated with in-hospital mortality (OR, 1.52; 95% CI: 0.67-3.47, P=0.32). Conclusions: There was no sex discrepancy in the in-hospital mortality of STEMI patients in this study. Guideline-based treatment, such as advanced pre-hospital management and a high use of reperfusion therapy might have attenuated the sex-related differences in the in-hospital mortality.