Breast cancer hormone receptor levels and benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen in a randomized trial with long-term follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Hormone receptor positivity predicts benefit from endocrine therapy but the knowledge about the long-term survival of patients with different tumor receptor levels is limited. In this study, we describe the 25 years outcome of tamoxifen (TAM) treated patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 1983 and 1992, a total of 4,610 postmenopausal patients with early-stage breast cancer were randomized to receive totally 2 or 5 years of TAM therapy. After 2 years, 4,124 were alive and free of breast cancer recurrence. Among these, 2,481 had demonstrated estrogen receptor positive (ER+) disease. From 1988, the Abbot enzyme immunoassay became available and provided quantitative receptor levels for 1,210 patients, for which our analyses were done. RESULTS: After 5 years of follow-up, when all TAM treatment was finished, until 15 years of follow-up, breast cancer mortality for patients with ER+ disease was significantly reduced in the 5-year group as compared with the 2-year group (hazard ratios [HR] 0.67, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.55-0.83, p < 0.001). After 15 years, the difference between the groups remained but did not increase further. A substantial benefit from prolonged TAM therapy was only observed for the subgroup of patients with ER levels below the median (HR = 0.62, 95% CI 0.46-0.84, p = 0.002). Similarly, patients with progesterone receptor negative (PR-) disease did benefit from prolonged TAM treatment. For patients with progesterone receptor positive (PR+) disease, there was no statistically significant benefit from more than 2 years of TAM.  Interpretation: As compared with 2 years of adjuvant TAM, 5 years significantly prolonged breast cancer-specific survival. The benefit from prolonged TAM therapy was statistically significant for patients with ER levels below median or PR-negative disease. There was no evident benefit from prolonged TAM for patients with high ER levels or with PR+ tumors.

Breast cancer survival and incidence of second primary cancers after 30 years in a randomized study of two versus five years of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy.

BACKGROUND: Tamoxifen is an established treatment for breast cancer, but its long-term effects on survival and on secondary cancers are not fully evaluated. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We studied 30 years outcome of 4124 postmenopausal patients who were randomized to receive (totally) two or five years of adjuvant tamoxifen. RESULTS: After 5 years of follow-up, when tamoxifen treatment was finished in both groups, until 15 years of follow-up, overall mortality (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72-0.90, p < 0.001), breast cancer mortality for all patients (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.68-0.94, p = 0.006) and breast cancer mortality for patients with estrogen receptor positive disease (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.55-0.83, p < 0.001) were significantly reduced in the five-year group as compared to the two-year group. After 15 years, the difference remained but did not further increase. In the five-year group, the incidence of contralateral breast cancer was gradually reduced during the entire period of observation. The incidence of lung cancer was also reduced in the five-year group. In contrast there was an increased endometrial cancer incidence in the five-year group and for those receiving 40 mg of tamoxifen this incidence was further increased. CONCLUSION: Three more years of tamoxifen therapy reduced the risk of breast cancer mortality. The difference was established during the first 15 years after randomization. Moreover, the incidence of contralateral breast cancer gradually decreased for 30 years. The incidence of lung cancer was reduced in the five-year group. In contrast the incidence of endometrial cancer was increased.

Twenty-Year Benefit From Adjuvant Goserelin and Tamoxifen in Premenopausal Patients With Breast Cancer in a Controlled Randomized Clinical Trial.

PURPOSE: To assess the long-term (20-year) endocrine therapy benefit in premenopausal patients with breast cancer. METHODS: Secondary analysis of the Stockholm trial (STO-5, 1990-1997) randomly assigning 924 premenopausal patients to 2 years of goserelin (3.6 mg subcutaneously once every 28 days), tamoxifen (40 mg orally once daily), combined goserelin and tamoxifen, or no adjuvant endocrine therapy (control) is performed. Random assignment was stratified by lymph node status; lymph node-positive patients (n = 459) were allocated to standard chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil). Primary tumor immunohistochemistry (n = 731) and gene expression profiling (n = 586) were conducted in 2020. The 70-gene signature identified genomic low-risk and high-risk patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis, multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression, and multivariable time-varying flexible parametric modeling assessed the long-term distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI). Swedish high-quality registries allowed a complete follow-up of 20 years. RESULTS: In estrogen receptor-positive patients (n = 584, median age 47 years), goserelin, tamoxifen, and the combination significantly improved long-term distant recurrence-free interval compared with control (multivariable hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% CI, 0.32 to 0.75, HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.87, and HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.94, respectively). Significant goserelin-tamoxifen interaction was observed (P = .016). Genomic low-risk patients (n = 305) significantly benefitted from tamoxifen (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.60), and genomic high-risk patients (n = 158) from goserelin (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.54). Increased risk from the addition of tamoxifen to goserelin was seen in genomic high-risk patients (HR, 3.36; 95% CI, 1.39 to 8.07). Moreover, long-lasting 20-year tamoxifen benefit was seen in genomic low-risk patients, whereas genomic high-risk patients had early goserelin benefit. CONCLUSION: This study shows 20-year benefit from 2 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy in estrogen receptor-positive premenopausal patients and suggests differential treatment benefit on the basis of tumor genomic characteristics. Combined goserelin and tamoxifen therapy showed no benefit over single treatment. Long-term follow-up to assess treatment benefit is critical.

Assessment of 25-Year Survival of Women With Estrogen Receptor-Positive/ERBB2-Negative Breast Cancer Treated With and Without Tamoxifen Therapy: A Secondary Analysis of Data From the Stockholm Tamoxifen Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Clinically used breast cancer markers, such as tumor size, tumor grade, progesterone receptor (PR) status, and Ki-67 status, are known to be associated with short-term survival, but the association of these markers with long-term (25-year) survival is unclear. Objective: To assess the association of clinically used breast cancer markers with long-term survival and treatment benefit among postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative, estrogen receptor [ER]-positive and ERBB2-negative breast cancer who received tamoxifen therapy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study was a secondary analysis of data from a subset of 565 women with ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer who participated in the Stockholm tamoxifen (STO-3) randomized clinical trial. The STO-3 clinical trial was conducted from 1976 to 1990 and comprised 1780 postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative breast cancer who were randomized to receive adjuvant tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. Complete 25-year follow-up data through December 31, 2016, were obtained from Swedish national registers. Immunohistochemical markers were reannotated in 2014. Data were analyzed from April to December 2020. Interventions: Patients in the original STO-3 clinical trial were randomized to receive 2 years of tamoxifen therapy vs no endocrine therapy. In 1983, patients who received tamoxifen therapy without cancer recurrence during the 2-year treatment and who consented to continued participation in the STO-3 study were further randomized to receive 3 additional years of tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) by clinically used breast cancer markers was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses adjusted for age, period of primary diagnosis, tumor size (T1a and T1b [T1a/b], T1c, and T2), tumor grade (1-3), PR status (positive vs negative), Ki-67 status (low vs medium to high), and STO-3 clinical trial arm (tamoxifen treatment vs no adjuvant treatment). A recursive partitioning analysis was performed to evaluate which markers were able to best estimate long-term DRFI. Results: The study population comprised 565 postmenopausal women (mean [SD] age, 62.0 [5.3] years) with lymph node-negative, ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer. A statistically significant difference in long-term DRFI was observed by tumor size (88% for T1a/b vs 76% for T1c vs 63% for T2 tumors; log-rank P < .001) and tumor grade (81% for grade 1 vs 77% for grade 2 vs 65% for grade 3 tumors; log-rank P = .02) but not by PR status or Ki-67 status. Patients with smaller tumors (hazard ratio [HR], 0.31 [95% CI, 0.17-0.55] for T1a/b tumors and 0.58 [95% CI, 0.38-0.88] for T1c tumors) and grade 1 tumors (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-0.95) experienced a significant reduction in the long-term risk of distant recurrence compared with patients with larger (T2) tumors and grade 3 tumors, respectively. A significant tamoxifen treatment benefit was observed among patients with larger tumors (HR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.32-0.89] for T1c tumors and 0.34 [95% CI, 0.16-0.73] for T2 tumors), lower tumor grades (HR, 0.24 [95% CI, 0.07-0.82] for grade 1 tumors and 0.50 [95% CI, 0.31-0.80] for grade 2 tumors), and PR-positive status (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.24-0.62). The recursive partitioning analysis revealed that tumor size was the most important characteristic associated with long-term survival, followed by clinical trial arm among patients with larger tumors. Conclusions and Relevance: This secondary analysis of data from the STO-3 clinical trial indicated that, among the selected subgroup of patients, tumor size followed by tumor grade were the markers most significantly associated with long-term survival. Furthermore, a significant long-term tamoxifen treatment benefit was observed among patients with larger tumors, lower tumor grades, and PR-positive tumors.

Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 and mortality in patients starting hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular events are the leading cause of death in end stage renal disease (ESRD), but traditional markers of dyslipidemia are not clearly associated with cardiovascular risk in this population. Proprotein Convertase Subtilsin/Kexin type 9 (PCSK-9) could be of interest as a novel cardiovascular risk marker in ESRD due to the emergence of lipid lowering therapy based on PCSK-9 inhibition. The aim of the present study was to investigate if the convertase PCSK-9 is a potential risk marker for mortality among patients starting haemodialysis treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a cohort study of 265 patients starting haemodialysis between 1991-2009, with 3 years follow-up. The association between baseline PCSK-9 levels and mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazards- and quantile regression models, with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: PCSK-9 levels at initiation of haemodialysis were associated to mortality in multivariable adjusted analysis. PCSK-9 levels exhibited an U-shaped association to mortality. Inclusion of the quadratic term of PCSK-9 in regression modelling optimized model performance. At baseline, PCSK-9 levels had positive correlations to Davies comorbidity score, haemoglobin and C-reactive protein while negative correlations were found for high-density lipoprotein and total cholesterol. PCSK-9 levels were higher in statin users and patients with a history of cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows, for the first time, that the level of PCSK-9 is associated with all-cause mortality in haemodialysis patients, independently of a number of potential confounders.

Breast cancer survival trends in different stages and age groups - a population-based study 1989-2013.

BACKGROUND: During the recent decades, breast cancer survival has gradually improved but there is limited knowledge on the improvement in population-based studies of patients diagnosed with different stages of the disease and in different age groups. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In two Swedish health care regions a total of 42,220 female breast cancer patients below 90 years of age were diagnosed between 1989 and 2013. They were treated and followed according to national and regional guidelines and formed a population-based cohort. RESULTS: Using patients diagnosed in 1989-1993 as a reference to the relative risk, 5-year mortality decreased with 49% for patients diagnosed at the end of the observation period (CI 95% 45-58). The mortality tended to decrease for patients with all stages of breast cancer and test for trend resulted in a statistically significant improvement over time in 5-year relative survival in stage III and IV and in 10-year survival in stage I and III. For each operable stage of disease, patients aged below 40 years or more than 70 years when diagnosed tended to have less favorable survival than patients diagnosed between 40-69 years of age. Test for trend resulted in statistically significant improvements over time for patients diagnosed at ages below 40, 40-54 and 54-69, but less marked improvements for patients older than 70 when diagnosed. CONCLUSIONS: During the period 1989-2013 the relative risk of 5-year mortality decreased with 49%. Improvements were seen in all age groups but were unevenly distributed between stages and age groups pointing to the need for further improvements for younger and elderly patients.

Myocardial Infarction with Nonobstructive Coronary Arteries: The Importance of Achieving Secondary Prevention Targets.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 5% to 10% of all patients with myocardial infarction have nonobstructive coronary arteries. Studies investigating the importance of follow-up and achievement of conventional secondary prevention targets in these patients are lacking. METHODS: In this analysis from the Swedish Web-system for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-based care in Heart disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies (SWEDEHEART) registry, we investigated 5830 patients with myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries (group 1) and 54,637 patients with myocardial infarction with significant coronary artery disease (≥50% stenosis; group 2). Multivariable- and propensity score-adjusted statistics were used to assess the reduction in the 1-year risk of major adverse events associated with prespecified secondary preventive measures: participation in follow-up at 6 to 10 weeks after the hospitalization and achievement of secondary prevention targets (blood pressure and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in the target ranges, nonsmoking, and participation in exercise training). RESULTS: Patients in group 1 were less often followed up compared with patients in group 2 and less often achieved any of the secondary prevention targets. Participation in the 6- to 10-week follow-up was associated with a 3% to 20% risk reduction in group 1, similar as for group 2 according to interaction analysis. The improvement in outcome in group 1 was mainly mediated by achieving target range low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (24%-32% risk reduction) and, to a smaller extent, by participation in exercise training (10%-23% risk reduction). CONCLUSIONS: Selected secondary preventive measures are associated with prognostic benefit in patients with myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries, in particular achieving target range low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Our results indicate that these patients should receive similar follow-up as myocardial infarction patients with significant coronary stenoses.

Progesterone receptor positivity is a predictor of long-term benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen treatment of estrogen receptor positive breast cancer.

PURPOSE: The independent predictive information from progesterone receptor (PgR) positivity for breast cancer treated with tamoxifen has been questioned after an overview by the Early Breast Cancer Trialists' Collaborative Group (EBCTCG). However, the studies in the overview were to a large content performed before modern PgR immunohistochemistry (IHC) was developed. We therefore investigated the predictive value of PgR determined with IHC in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumors from patients participating in the Stockholm trial of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy. METHODS: The Stockholm Breast Cancer Study Group conducted a randomized trial during 1976 through 1990 comparing adjuvant tamoxifen versus control. The patients were stratified according to tumor size and lymph node status in high-risk and low-risk groups. In this study, we evaluated 618 patients with ER-positive "low-risk" breast cancer (size ≤ 30 mm, lymph node-negative) for whom PgR was determined by IHC at one pathology laboratory. The median time of follow-up was 21 years. RESULTS: Patients with ER-positive tumors that were also PgR-positive by IHC did benefit from tamoxifen, while we could not show any long-term benefit for those with tumors positive for ER only (recurrence rate ratio 0.43, 95 % CI 0.29-0.62 and 0.87, 95 % CI 0.52-1.46, respectively). We further investigated the influence of different levels of PgR positivity on recurrence risk. The results show that at all receptor levels with ≥10 % stained PgR-positive cells, the patients did benefit from tamoxifen. There was no clear linear trend in benefit with increasing proportion of stained cells. CONCLUSIONS: PgR positivity determined by IHC is a marker indicating long-term benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen in patients with ER-positive tumors.