RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Although modern Australian healthcare systems provide patient-centred care, the ability to predict and prevent suboptimal post-procedural outcomes based on patient demographics at admission may improve health equity. This study aimed to identify patient demographic characteristics that might predict disparities in mortality, readmission, and discharge outcomes after either an operative or non-operative procedural hospital admission. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included all surgical and non-surgical procedural admissions at three of the four major metropolitan public hospitals in South Australia in 2022. Multivariable logistic regression, with backwards selection, evaluated association between patient demographic characteristics and outcomes up to 90 days post-procedurally. RESULTS: 40 882 admissions were included. Increased likelihood of all-cause, post-procedure mortality in-hospital, at 30 days, and 90 days, were significantly associated with increased age (P < 0.001), increased comorbidity burden (P < 0.001), an emergency admission (P < 0.001), and male sex (P = 0.046, P = 0.03, P < 0.001, respectively). Identification as ATSI (P < 0.001) and being born in Australia (P = 0.03, P = 0.001, respectively) were associated with an increased likelihood of 30-day hospital readmission and decreased likelihood of discharge directly home, as was increased comorbidity burden (P < 0.001) and emergency admission (P < 0.001). Being married (P < 0.001) and male sex (P = 0.003) were predictive of an increased likelihood of discharging directly home; in contrast to increased age (P < 0.001) which was predictive of decreased likelihood of this occurring. CONCLUSIONS: This study characterized several associations between patient demographic factors present on admission and outcomes after surgical and non-surgical procedures, that can be integrated within patient flow pathways through the Australian healthcare system to improve healthcare equity.
Assuntos
Alta do Paciente , Readmissão do Paciente , Humanos , Masculino , Austrália do Sul/epidemiologia , Austrália , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hospitais Públicos , Fatores de Risco , DemografiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to examine the performance of machine learning algorithms for the prediction of discharge within 12 and 24 h to produce a measure of readiness for discharge after general surgery. METHODS: Consecutive general surgery patients at two tertiary hospitals, over a 2-year period, were included. Observation and laboratory parameter data were stratified into training, testing and validation datasets. Random forest, XGBoost and logistic regression models were evaluated. Each ward round note time was taken as a different event. Primary outcome was classification accuracy of the algorithmic model able to predict discharge within the next 12 h on the validation data set. RESULTS: 42 572 ward round note timings were included from 8826 general surgery patients. Discharge occurred within 12 h for 8800 times (20.7%), and within 24 h for 9885 (23.2%). For predicting discharge within 12 h, model classification accuracies for derivation and validation data sets were: 0.84 and 0.85 random forest, 0.84 and 0.83 XGBoost, 0.80 and 0.81 logistic regression. For predicting discharge within 24 h, model classification accuracies for derivation and validation data sets were: 0.83 and 0.84 random forest, 0.82 and 0.81 XGBoost, 0.78 and 0.79 logistic regression. Algorithms generated a continuous number between 0 and 1 (or 0 and 100), representing readiness for discharge after general surgery. CONCLUSIONS: A derived artificial intelligence measure (the Adelaide Score) successfully predicts discharge within the next 12 and 24 h in general surgery patients. This may be useful for both treating teams and allied health staff within surgical systems.
Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Alta do Paciente , Humanos , Algoritmos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Modelos LogísticosRESUMO
Total wrist arthrodesis, fusion of the carpus to the radius, is a well-established and commonly performed procedure for the management of pancarpal degenerative arthritis, trauma, and other severe diseases of the wrist. A well-known complication of this is radiocarpal nonunion, with a rate of 4.4%. Commonly, bone grafting is done at the time of the surgery using local bone, iliac crest bone graft, or cancellous allograft bone. The Synthes Reamer-Irrigator-Aspirator (RIA) is a flexible reamer originally designed as a single-pass intramedullary reamer that can be used in reaming of long bone fractures prior to insertion of an intramedullary nail. Recently, its use has been expanding to the harvesting of bone graft. We present a case study of 2 patients who had total wrist arthrodesis after severe trauma to the wrist resulting in severe bone loss, in whom we used an RIA to obtain bone graft, and both patients went on to union. The first patient is a 17-year-old male who sustained a blast injury from a firework resulting in a mangling injury to the wrist with soft tissue and severe bone loss of his carpus. After being treated with multiple debridements with an external fixator, he was definitively treated with a wrist fusion with RIA bone graft. He went on to osseous union by his 4-month follow-up. Our second patient is a 53-year-old woman who sustained a gunshot wound to the wrist resulting in massive bone loss of the distal radius. After being initially treated with multiple debridements and external fixation, she was treated with a wrist fusion with RIA bone graft and went on to osseous fusion by her 3-month follow-up. Neither patient had complications from the RIA procedure.
Assuntos
Artrodese/instrumentação , Traumatismos por Explosões/cirurgia , Transplante Ósseo/instrumentação , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo/cirurgia , Traumatismos do Punho/cirurgia , Adolescente , Traumatismos por Explosões/diagnóstico por imagem , Traumatismos por Explosões/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Irrigação Terapêutica/instrumentação , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo/diagnóstico por imagem , Traumatismos do Punho/diagnóstico por imagem , Traumatismos do Punho/etiologiaRESUMO
A 9-year-old boy sustained an ulnohumeral dislocation with a medial epicondyle fracture and experienced incomplete post-traumatic median nerve palsy in addition to post-traumatic stiffness following closed reduction and cast immobilization. When his motor palsy and stiffness did not improve, MRI and ultrasound were obtained, which demonstrated entrapment of the median nerve in an osseous tunnel at the fracture site, compatible with type 2 median nerve entrapment. Subsequently, the patient underwent surgery to mobilize the medial epicondyle and free the median nerve, resulting in improved range of motion, near complete restoration of motor function, and complete restoration of sensory function in the median nerve distribution within 6 months of surgery. Median nerve entrapment, particularly intraosseous, is a rare complication of posterior elbow dislocation and medial epicondyle fracture that may result in significant, sometimes irreversible, nerve damage if there is a delay in diagnosis and treatment. A high degree of clinical suspicion with early imaging is indicated in patients with persistent stiffness or nerve deficits following reduction of an elbow dislocation. Intra-articular entrapment diagnosed on ultrasound has been reported and intraosseous entrapment diagnosed clinically and on MR neurography have been reported; however, to our knowledge, this is the first reported case of intraosseous (type 2) median nerve entrapment clearly visualized and diagnosed on traditional MRI and ultrasound. The use of ultrasound for diagnosing median nerve entrapment is an accurate, accessible, and non-invasive imaging option for patients presenting with suspected nerve entrapment following elbow dislocation.
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Lesões no Cotovelo , Luxações Articulares/diagnóstico por imagem , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Nervo Mediano/diagnóstico por imagem , Síndromes de Compressão Nervosa/diagnóstico por imagem , Ultrassonografia/métodos , Criança , Articulação do Cotovelo/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Luxações Articulares/complicações , Masculino , Nervo Mediano/cirurgia , Síndromes de Compressão Nervosa/etiologia , Síndromes de Compressão Nervosa/cirurgiaRESUMO
CASE: A 19-year-old woman presented with a 3-month history of an enlarging lesion on the proximal aspect of the femur. After imaging studies and a biopsy had been performed, the mass was determined to represent heterotopic ossification (HO). The only known risk factor was a history of concussion. The mass was resected and, as of the 12-month follow-up, had not recurred. CONCLUSION: HO is a potentially serious complication of ossification in soft tissues that can develop secondary to several disease states; it commonly occurs following traumatic brain injury. To our knowledge, this is the only case report that describes HO associated with a concussion and no other risk factors.
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Concussão Encefálica/complicações , Fêmur , Ossificação Heterotópica , Adulto , Feminino , Fêmur/diagnóstico por imagem , Fêmur/patologia , Fêmur/cirurgia , Humanos , Ossificação Heterotópica/complicações , Ossificação Heterotópica/diagnóstico por imagem , Ossificação Heterotópica/patologia , Ossificação Heterotópica/cirurgia , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Infective endocarditis (IE) is a life-threatening condition often manifesting as a multisystem disease; its heterogeneous features present a diagnostic challenge. We report two cases of IE masquerading as rare extracardiac complications: a splenectomised patient with a periarticular ankle abscess and acute encephalopathy; and a young man with a cutaneous vasculitis following a spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage. In both cases, the diagnosis was suspected following detection of afebrile bacteraemia and confirmed with echocardiography. Risk factors included a pneumococcal bacteraemia in the asplenic patient and a previously undiagnosed bicuspid aortic valve in the second patient. Both patients recovered well with appropriate antibiotic therapy followed by valve surgery. IE is an important diagnosis to consider in patients with systemic symptoms or organ specific, otherwise unexplained relevant pathology especially in the presence of a cardiac murmur or risk factors for IE including structural heart disease, prosthetic valves or intravascular devices, and in immunosuppressed patients.
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Abscesso/microbiologia , Bacteriemia/complicações , Encefalopatias/microbiologia , Ecocardiografia , Endocardite/diagnóstico por imagem , Endocardite/diagnóstico , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Tornozelo/patologia , Valva Aórtica/anormalidades , Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Bacteriemia/sangue , Doença da Válvula Aórtica Bicúspide , Hemorragia Cerebral/etiologia , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Endocardite/complicações , Endocardite/microbiologia , Feminino , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/complicações , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções Pneumocócicas/complicações , Dermatopatias Vasculares/microbiologia , Esplenectomia/efeitos adversos , Streptococcus pneumoniae/patogenicidade , Vasculite/microbiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The European Concerted Action Project 'Homocysteine and Vascular Disease' showed that an elevated homocysteine is associated with a substantially increased risk of cardiovascular disease, and particularly when combined with other factors such as smoking, hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia. The purpose of this study was to examine the potential interactions between homocysteine and individual lipid subfractions. In addition, it was hypothesized that HDL cholesterol may protect against hyperhomocysteinaemia because HDL cholesterol is associated with the enzyme paroxonase, which reduces oxidization of homocysteine to the harmful metabolite, homocysteine thiolactonase. METHODS: Data from a multicentre European case-control study (750 cases and 800 controls) were used for analysis. The risks of vascular disease associated with homocysteine, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, apoprotein A1 and apoprotein B were established. The effect of elevated homocysteine on the cardiovascular risk associated with each lipid subfraction was then examined. RESULTS: As expected, homocysteine, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, triglycerides and apolipoprotein B were associated with cardiovascular risk. HDL cholesterol was inversely related to risk. Homocysteine increased the risk associated with all lipid measures. In contrast, a low plasma cholesterol does not seem to confer protection against the risk associated with a raised plasma homocysteine. Hyperhomocysteinaemia is associated with an increased risk at all levels of HDL cholesterol, conversely, in those with elevated homocysteine HDL cholesterol levels result in reduced risk. CONCLUSION: In general, the increased cardiovascular risk associated with elevated homocysteine is evident across the spectrum cholesterol subfraction levels.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Homocisteína/sangue , Hiper-Homocisteinemia/complicações , Hiperlipidemias/complicações , Lipídeos/sangue , Adulto , Apolipoproteína A-I/sangue , Apolipoproteínas B/sangue , Biomarcadores/sangue , Estudos de Casos e Controles , HDL-Colesterol/sangue , LDL-Colesterol/sangue , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Humanos , Hiper-Homocisteinemia/sangue , Hiperlipidemias/sangue , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Projetos Piloto , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Triglicerídeos/sangue , Regulação para CimaRESUMO
Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD), which includes coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, is now the most common cause of death in the middle aged and elderly in all parts of the world except subSaharan Africa. The direct cause of death is frequently an acute thrombotic arterial occlusion. Because atherosclerosis is a diffuse disease, patients with CHD also have a high risk of ischemic stroke. The hemostatic process is a needed defense mechanism to control hemorrhage after injury but at same time, if overactive, may have the potential to precipitate diseases such as myocardial infarction or stroke in the setting of atherosclerosis. In approximately 1% of all patients with ischemic stroke, and in up to 4% of young adults with stroke, the major precipitant of brain ischemia is a hematologic disorder or coagulopathy that predisposes to thrombosis. von Willebrand factor (vWF) plays an important role in platelet adhesion to subendothelial structures and in the intrinsic pathway of coagulation. It is regarded as an indirect measure of endothelial dysfunction. Deficiency of vWF in von Willebrand's disease is well established. However, much less is known regarding the pathophysiologic implications of an elevated level of vWF, particularly in relation to CVD and cerebrovascular disease. The importance of vWF in the pathogenesis of this disease is poorly defined and information is limited and inconsistent. Elevated levels of vWF have been variably linked with risk of CHD; causal criteria are not fully met. Relationships with stroke risk are even less well established. Measurement of vWF adds little to risk prediction after considering the major risk factors--age, sex, smoking, raised blood cholesterol, and hypertension. vWF may have a greater role in predicting outcome in subjects with acute coronary syndromes (ACS), stroke, and perhaps atrial fibrillation. Investigation of the use of vWF level to guide treatment of ACS or stroke is ongoing; however, there is no compelling evidence to date.
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BACKGROUND: The relative importance of new risk factors for heart disease singly or in combination is uncertain. We assessed relationships between C-reactive protein, homocysteine, cysteine, von Willebrand factor, activated factor XII and stable heart disease, as well as interaction with established risk factors. METHODS: A case-control study of 260 cases of stable heart disease from the Irish component of the European Action on Secondary Prevention through Intervention to Reduce Events (EUROASPIRE) II cohort and 260 age, sex-matched controls. C-reactive protein, homocysteine, cysteine, von Willebrand factor, activated factor XII and conventional risk factors were assayed or recorded. Interaction effects between new and conventional factors were assessed using additive and multiplicative models. RESULTS: C-reactive protein, homocysteine, cysteine and von Willebrand factor were significantly higher in cases than controls. Comparing the top fifth with the bottom four-fifths showed independent associations between heart disease and C-reactive protein [odds ratio (OR) 1.79; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-2.86; P = 0.01], cysteine (OR 2.00; 95% CI 1.25-3.20; P = 0.004), von Willebrand factor (OR, 3.0; 95% CI 1.9-4.8; P < 0.0001). For homocysteine, the association was independent comparing the top tenth to the bottom nine-tenths (OR 1.95; 95% CI 1.02-3.41; P = 0.04). Activated factor XII was not associated with risk. The association between C-reactive protein and disease was U-shaped and a graded association existed between homocysteine, cysteine, von Willebrand factor and disease. C-reactive protein, homocysteine, cysteine and von Willebrand factor considerably increased risk associated with other factors, particularly smoking. CONCLUSIONS: Independent associations exist between stable heart disease and C-reactive protein, homocysteine, cysteine and von Willebrand factor. Strong combined effects were observed between these and conventional risk factors, particularly smoking. Smoking cessation may profoundly reduce risk associated with other risk factors. We found no evidence of a relationship between activated factor XII and disease.
Assuntos
Proteína C-Reativa/metabolismo , Doença das Coronárias/sangue , Cisteína/sangue , Homocisteína/sangue , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Fator de von Willebrand/metabolismo , Adulto , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Doença das Coronárias/epidemiologia , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/sangueRESUMO
A raised plasma level of the amino acid homocysteine is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease. This association may be causal-it is biologically plausible, fairly strong, graded, and an increase in plasma homocysteine preceeds the onset of vascular disease. Plasma homocysteine levels are controlled by genetic and nutritional factors, notably folate, vitamin B12 and vitamin B6 intakes. Folic acid in particular lowers plasma homocysteine levels by about 25%. It is not known if this cheap and safe treatment reduces vascular disease risk. Current randomized control trials are addressing this issue, and proof or otherwise of causality must await their results. Homocysteine may also interact with conventional risk factors such as smoking to substantially increase their effect on risk. Thus meticulous risk factor control may be particularly important in subjects at high total cardiovascular risk who also have a raised plasma homocysteine level, and folic acid supplementation may be considered in such individuals.