Artificial Intelligence for Real-Time Prediction of the Histology of Colorectal Polyps by General Endoscopists.

BACKGROUND: Real-time prediction of histologic features of small colorectal polyps may prevent resection and/or pathologic evaluation and therefore decrease colonoscopy costs. Previous studies showed that computer-aided diagnosis (CADx) was highly accurate, though it did not outperform expert endoscopists. OBJECTIVE: To assess the diagnostic performance of histologic predictions by general endoscopists before and after assistance from CADx in a real-life setting. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter, single-group study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04437615). SETTING: 6 centers across the United States. PARTICIPANTS: 1252 consecutive patients undergoing colonoscopy and 49 general endoscopists with variable experience in real-time prediction of polyp histologic features. INTERVENTION: Real-time use of CADx during routine colonoscopy. MEASUREMENTS: The primary end points were the sensitivity and specificity of CADx-unassisted and CADx-assisted histologic predictions for adenomas measuring 5 mm or less. For clinical purposes, additional estimates according to location and confidence level were provided. RESULTS: The CADx device made a diagnosis for 2695 polyps measuring 5 mm or less (96%) in 1252 patients. There was no difference in sensitivity between the unassisted and assisted groups (90.7% vs. 90.8%; P = 0.52). Specificity was higher in the CADx-assisted group (59.5% vs. 64.7%; P < 0.001). Among all 2695 polyps measuring 5 mm or less, 88.2% and 86.1% (P < 0.001) in the CADx-assisted and unassisted groups, respectively, could be resected and discarded without pathologic evaluation. Among 743 rectosigmoid polyps measuring 5 mm or less, 49.5% and 47.9% (P < 0.001) in the CADx-assisted and unassisted groups, respectively, could be left in situ without resection. LIMITATION: Decision making based on CADx might differ outside a clinical trial. CONCLUSION: CADx assistance did not result in increased sensitivity of optical diagnosis. Despite a slight increase, the specificity of CADx-assisted diagnosis remained suboptimal. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Olympus America Corporation served as the clinical study sponsor.

Epidemiology and Socioeconomic Impact of Pancreatic Cancer: An Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study is to estimate the global burden of pancreatic cancer from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: We reconstructed the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) study results for pancreatic cancer across 204 countries and territories. Our study generated estimates for key disease burden indicators, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and cost. Linear regression analysis of the natural logarithm of age-standardized outcomes was used to calculate annual percent change. RESULTS: In 2019, there were a total of 530,296 incident and 442,101 prevalent cases of pancreatic cancer, resulting in 531,107 deaths and 11.5 million DALYs lost. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer has increased from 5.22 (95% CI 4.97-5.40) to 6.57 (CI 6.00-7.09) per 100,000 people per year, and 4.1 (95% CI 3.95-4.26) to 5.4 (CI 4.96-5.87), respectively. This equated to 10 million (95% CI 9.5 to 10.4 million) incident cases of pancreatic cancer. The number of DALYs lost as a result of pancreatic cancer was 225 million years (95% CI 216-234 million years). Mortality from pancreatic cancer increased over the study period from 3.7 (95% CI 3.54-3.83) to 6.9 (95% CI 6.36-7.32). Incidence, prevalence, DALYs, and mortality were higher in countries with a higher socio-demographic index. CONCLUSIONS: Pancreatic cancer is rising around the world and is associated with a high economic burden. Programs aimed at reducing modifiable risk factors are needed.

Novel 15-mm-long lumen-apposing metal stent for endoscopic ultrasound-guided drainage of pancreatic fluid collections located ≥10 mm from the luminal wall.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided drainage of pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) by cautery-enhanced lumen-apposing metal stents (LAMS) has largely been limited to collections located < 10 mm from the luminal wall. We present outcomes of the use of a novel 15-mm-long cautery-enhanced LAMS for drainage of PFCs located ≥ 10 mm away. METHODS: This international, multicenter study analyzed all adults with PFCs located ≥ 10 mm from the luminal wall who were treated by EUS-guided drainage using the 15-mm-long cautery-enhanced LAMS. The primary outcome was technical success. Secondary outcomes included clinical success (decrease in PFC size by ≥ 50 % at 30 days and resolution of clinical symptoms without surgical intervention), complications, and recurrence. RESULTS: 35 patients (median age 57 years; interquartile range [IQR] 47-64 years; 49 % male) underwent novel LAMS placement for drainage of PFCs (26 walled-off necrosis, 9 pseudocysts), measuring 85 mm (IQR 64-117) maximal diameter and located 11.8 mm (IQR 10-12.3; range 10-14) from the gastric/duodenal wall. Technical and clinical success were high (both 97 %), with recurrence in one patient (3 %) at a median follow-up of 123 days (58-236). Three complications occurred (9 %; one mild, two moderate). CONCLUSIONS: The 15-mm-long cautery-enhanced LAMS was feasible and safe for drainage of PFCs located 10-14 mm from the luminal wall.

Clostridium difficile Infection in the Emergency Department.

INTRODUCTION: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is associated with substantial emergency department (ED) and inpatient burden. To date, few studies have evaluated the ED burden of CDI. Using the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample, we evaluated trends in ED use, ED and inpatient charges, admission and mortality rates, length of stay, and independent risk factors for hospital admission and mortality after an ED visit. METHODS: Using Nationwide Emergency Department Sample for 2006 through 2014, we identified all patients with the primary diagnosis of CDI (using diagnostic codes). We determined the trends in ED visits and used survey logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with hospital admission. RESULTS: Overall, 909,236 ED visits for CDI resulted in 817,935 admissions (90%) to the hospital. The number of visits increased from 76,709 in 2006 to 106,869 in 2014, and the admission rate decreased from 92.4% to 84.4%. ED charges adjusted for inflation went up from US$1433.0 to 2900, a significant rise even accounting for inflation. The overall length of hospital stay decreased from 7 to 5.8 days. Independent predictors of admission after ED visits included smoking, use of alcohol, and presence of multiple comorbidities. Independent risk factors for mortality in admitted patients include increasing age and presence of comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Although ED use for CDI increased, rates of hospital admission decreased over 9 years. Identification of predictors of admission and in-hospital mortality will help guide policies and interventions to reduce the burden on health care resources.

Incidence and Risk Factors Associated With 30-Day Readmission for Alcoholic Hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol abuse and liver disease are associated with high rates of 30-day hospital readmission, but factors linking alcoholic hepatitis (AH) to readmission are not well understood. We aimed to determine the incidence rate of 30-day readmission for patients with AH and to evaluate potential predictors of readmission. METHODS: We used the Nationwide Readmissions Database to determine the 30-day readmission rate for recurrent AH between 2010 and 2014 and examined trends in readmissions during the study period. We also identified the 20 most frequent reasons for readmission. Multivariate survey logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with 30-day readmission. RESULTS: Of the 61,750 index admissions for AH, 23.9% were readmitted within 30-days. The rate of readmission did not change significantly during the study period. AH, alcoholic cirrhosis, and hepatic encephalopathy were the most frequent reasons for readmission. In multivariate analysis female sex, leaving against medical advice, higher Charlson comorbidity index, ascites, and history of bariatric surgery were associated with earlier readmissions, whereas older age, payer type (private or self-pay/other), and discharge to skilled nursing-facility reduced this risk. CONCLUSIONS: The 30-day readmission rate in patients with AH was high and stable during the study period. Factors associated with readmission may be helpful for development of consensus-based expert guidelines, treatment algorithms, and policy changes to help decrease readmission in AH.

Incidence, Admission Rates, and Predictors, and Economic Burden of Adult Emergency Visits for Acute Pancreatitis: Data From the National Emergency Department Sample, 2006 to 2012.

INTRODUCTION: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the most common gastroenterology-related reason for hospital admission, and a major source of morbidity and mortality in the United States. This study examines the National Emergency Database Sample, a large national database, to analyze trends in emergency department (ED) utilization and costs, risk factors for hospital admission, and associated hospital costs and length of stay (LOS) in patients presenting with AP. METHODS: The National Emergency Database Sample (2006 to 2012) was evaluated for trends in ED visits, ED charges, hospitalization rates, hospital charges, and hospital LOS in patients with primary diagnosis of AP (further subcategorized by age and etiology). A survey logistic-regression model was used to determine factors predictive of hospitalization. RESULTS: A total of 2,193,830 ED visits were analyzed. There was a nonsignificant 5.5% (P=0.07) increase in incidence of ED visits for AP per 10,000 US adults from 2006 to 2012, largely driven by significant increases in ED visits for AP in the 18 to <45 age group (+9.2%; P=0.025), AP associated with alcohol (+15.9%; P=0.001), and AP associated with chronic pancreatitis (+59.5%; P=0.002). Visits for patients aged ≥65 decreased over the time period. Rates of admission and LOS decreased during the time period, while ED and inpatient costs increased (62.1%; P<0.001 and 7.9%; P=0.0011, respectively). Multiple factors were associated with increased risk of hospital admission from the ED, with the strongest predictors being morbid alcohol use [odds ratio (OR), 4.53; P<0.0001], advanced age (age>84 OR, 3.52; P<0.0001), and smoking (OR, 1.75; P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Despite a relative stabilization in the overall incidence of ED visits for AP, continued increases in ED visits and associated costs appear to be driven by younger patients with alcohol-associated and acute on chronic pancreatitis. While rates of hospitalization and LOS are decreasing, associated inflation-adjusted costs are rising. In addition, identified risk factors for hospitalization, such as obesity, alcohol use, and increased age, should be explored in further study for potential use in predictive models and clinical improvement projects.

Endoscopic submucosal dissection of gastric tumors: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIM: To systematically review the medical literature in order to evaluate the safety and efficacy of gastric endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). METHODS: We performed a comprehensive literature search of MEDLINE, Ovid, CINAHL, and Cochrane for studies reporting on the clinical efficacy and safety profile of gastric ESD. RESULTS: Twenty-nine thousand five hundred and six tumors in 27155 patients (31% female) who underwent gastric ESD between 1999 and 2014 were included in this study. R0 resection rate was 90% (95%CI: 87%-92%) with significant between-study heterogeneity (P < 0.001) which was partly explained by difference in region (P = 0.02) and sample size (P = 0.04). Endoscopic en bloc and curative resection rates were 94% (95%CI: 93%-96%) and 86% (95%CI: 83%-89%) respectively. The rate of immediate and delayed perforation rates were 2.7% (95%CI: 2.1%-3.3%) and 0.39% (95%CI: 0.06%-2.4%) respectively while rates of immediate and delayed major bleeding were 2.9% (95%CI: 1.3-6.6) and 3.6% (95%CI: 3.1%-4.3%). After an average follow-up of about 30 mo post-operative, the rate of tumor recurrence was 0.02% (95%CI: 0.001-1.4) among those with R0 resection and 7.7% (95%CI: 3.6%-16%) among those without R0 resection. Overall, irrespective of the resection status, recurrence rate was 0.75% (95%CI: 0.42%-1.3%). CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis, the largest and most comprehensive assessment of gastric ESD till date, showed that gastric ESD is safe and effective for gastric tumors and warrants consideration as first line therapy when an expert operator is available.

Peroral endoscopic myotomy: a meta-analysis.

Background and study aim: Peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) is a relatively novel minimally invasive technique that is used to treat achalasia and other esophageal motility disorders. We systematically reviewed the medical literature in order to evaluate the safety and efficacy of POEM. Methods: We performed a comprehensive review and meta-analysis of studies published up to March 2016 that reported on clinical outcomes of POEM. Five databases were searched: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Ovid, CINAHL, and Cochrane. Results: A total of 36 studies involving 2373 patients were included in the review. Clinical success (Eckardt score ≤ 3) was achieved in 98 % (95 % confidence interval [CI] 97 % - 100 %) of patients after the procedure. The mean Eckardt score decreased from 6.9 ±â€Š0.15 preoperatively to 0.77 ±â€Š0.10, 1.0 ±â€Š0.10, and 1.0 ±â€Š0.08 within 1, 6, and 12 months of treatment. In addition, there were significant decreases in the average lower esophageal sphincter pressure, integrated relaxation pressure, and the average heights of the barium column following a timed barium esophagogram after the procedure. After a mean follow-up of 8 months post-procedure, the rates of symptomatic gastroesophageal reflux, esophagitis on esophagogastroduodenoscopy, and abnormal acid exposure were 8.5 % (95 %CI 4.9 % - 13 %), 13 % (95 %CI 5.0 % - 23 %), and 47 % (95 %CI 21 % - 74 %), respectively. Conclusions: POEM appears to be safe and effective based on the large body of current evidence, and warrants consideration as first-line therapy when an expert operator is available.