Cost-effectiveness analysis of CTZ/TAZ for the treatment of ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia and ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Resistant bacterial infections, particularly those caused by gram-negative pathogens, are associated with high mortality and economic burdens. Ceftolozane/tazobactam demonstrated efficacy comparable to meropenem in patients with ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia in the ASPECT-NP study. One cost-effectiveness analysis in the United States revealed that ceftolozane/tazobactam was cost effective, but no Japanese studies have been conducted. Therefore, the objective of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of ceftolozane/tazobactam compared to meropenem for patients with ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia from a health care payer perspective. METHODS: A hybrid decision-tree Markov decision-analytic model with a 5-year time horizon were developed to estimate costs and quality-adjusted life-years and to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio associated with ceftolozane/tazobactam and meropenem in the treatment of patients with ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia. Clinical outcomes were based on the ASPECT-NP study, costs were based on the national fee schedule of 2022, and utilities were based on published data. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were also conducted to assess the robustness of our modeled estimates. RESULTS: According to our base-case analysis, compared with meropenem, ceftolozane/tazobactam increased the total costs by 424,731.22 yen (£2,626.96) and increased the quality-adjusted life-years by 0.17, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 2,548,738 yen (£15,763.94) per quality-adjusted life-year gained for ceftolozane/tazobactam compared with meropenem. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that although the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio remained below 5,000,000 yen (£30,925) for most of the parameters, the incremental net monetary benefit may have been less than 0 depending on the treatment efficacy outcome, especially the cure rate and mortality rate for MEPM and mortality rate for CTZ/TAZ. 53.4% of the PSA simulations demonstrated that CTZ/TAZ was more cost-effective than MEPM was. CONCLUSION: Although incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was below ï¿¥5,000,000 in base-case analysis, whether ceftolozane/tazobactam is a cost-effective alternative to meropenem for ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia in Japan remains uncertain. Future research should examine the unobserved heterogeneity across patient subgroups and decision-making settings, to characterise decision uncertainty and its consequences so as to assess whether additional research is required.

Predictive Model for Occurrence of Febrile Neutropenia after Chemotherapy in Patients with Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: A Multicenter, Retrospective, Observational Study.

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a major concern in patients undergoing chemotherapy for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL); however, the overall risk of FN is difficult to assess. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting the occurrence of FN in patients with DLBCL. In this multicenter, retrospective, observational analysis, a multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between FN incidence and pretreatment clinical factors. We included adult inpatients and outpatients (aged ≥ 18 years) diagnosed with DLBCL who were treated with chemotherapy. The study examined 246 patients. Considering FN occurring during the first cycle of chemotherapy as the primary outcome, a predictive model with a total score of 5 points was constructed as follows: 1 point each for a positive hepatitis panel, extranodal involvement, and a high level of soluble interleukin-2 receptor and 2 points for lymphopenia. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of this model was 0.844 (95% confidence interval: 0.777-0.911). Our predictive model can assess the risk of FN before patients with DLBCL start chemotherapy, leading to better outcomes.

Development and validation of prediction scores for the outcome associated with persistent inflammation, immunosuppression, and catabolism syndrome among patients with trauma.

Background: Persistent inflammation, immunosuppression, and catabolism syndrome (PICS) has impacted on long-term prognosis of patients with trauma. We aimed to identify patients with trauma at risk of PICS-related complications early in the intensive care unit (ICU) course. Methods: A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted. All consecutive patients with trauma who had stayed in the ICU for >7 days were included in the study. We developed the prediction score for the incidence of PICS-related outcomes in the derivation cohort for the initial period and then evaluated in the validation cohort for the subsequent period. Other outcomes were also assessed using the score. Results: In total, 170 and 133 patients were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The prediction score comprised the variables indicating PICS presence, including a maximum value of C-reactive protein >15 mg/dL, minimum value of albumin <2.5 g/dL, and an episode of nosocomial infection for the first 7 days after admission. A score of 1 was assigned to each variable. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the score to predict PICS incidence was 0.74 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.81) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.81) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The higher score was also significantly associated with a higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at day 14, a longer duration of mechanical ventilation, a longer length of stay in ICU, and experienced multiple episodes of infection. Similar results were obtained in the validation cohort. Conclusions: Our scoring system could predict the outcomes associated with PICS among patients with trauma. Because the score comprised the parameters measured for the first 7 days during the ICU course, it could contribute to identifying patients at a high risk of unfavorable outcome earlier. Level of evidence: Multivariate prediction models; level IV.

Optimal dose of normal saline for confirming correct peripheral venous access with precordial Doppler ultrasonography in children.

Precordial Doppler ultrasound technology can be utilized to confirm correct peripheral intravenous vascular (PIV) access in children during surgery. This study aimed to determine the minimally required dose of normal saline (NS) for confirming correct PIV access. Healthy children were randomly allocated to receive a 0.1 mL/kg, 0.3 mL/kg, or 0.5 mL/kg dose of NS injected via PIV access. Two independent raters judged the change in the recorded precordial Doppler sound test (S-test) before and after NS injection. Typically, rapid injection of NS increased the pitch of the heartbeat as the injection volume increased. Changes in blood flow velocity test (V-test) results were evaluated using a cut-off value of 1 cm/s. Both in the S- and V-tests, the detection rate of correct PIV access was lower with 0.1 mL/kg NS than with 0.3 mL/kg or 0.5 mL/kg. Logistic regression analysis showed that the positive results in both the S- and V-tests were significantly decreased with a 0.1 mL/kg NS; no significant difference was observed with a 0.3 mL/kg NS (reference dose: 0.5 mL/kg). These results suggest 0.3 mL/kg is the minimally required dose of NS for confirming correct PIV access. This study is registered with the University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000041330).

Factors related to employment in childhood cancer survivors in Japan: A preliminary study.

Purpose: Previous research has revealed vocational and academic difficulties in childhood cancer survivors, and explored impact of survivors' medical history and physical function on vocational and academic status. However, we often encounter survivors with similar diagnoses and late effects but different academic or employment statuses. This raises the question of what affects academic attainment and employment other than treatment or late effects. This study aimed to explore factors associated with childhood cancer survivors' employment status and academic achievement. Methods: Comprehensive health check-up and questionnaire survey were conducted for 69 survivors who were over the age of 18 and participated in St. Luke's Lifetime cohort study. We obtained survivors' biological function using comprehensive health check-up, neurocognitive states, quality of life, transition readiness, and family function. We conducted univariate analysis (Mann-Whitney U tests or chi-square tests) to compare the differences between the regular workers/students and non-regular workers/unemployed groups. The variables with p-values <0.1 were used as independent variables multivariate logistic regression to explore predictors of employment status and academic attainment. Results: Result of the univariate analysis, intelligence quotient, SF-8 PCS, transition readiness, family function were used for multivariate logistic regression as independent variables. The stepwise likelihood method was conducted; intelligence quotient (odds ratio [OR] = 1.100; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.015-1.193; p = 0.021), transition readiness (OR = 0.612; 95% CI 0.396-0.974; p = 0.038), and family function (OR = 2.337; 95% CI 1.175-4.645; p = 0.015) were found to be associated with survivors' regular workers/students in the final regression model. Conclusion: Long-term follow-up of pediatric cancer survivors requires the provision of total care, which supports physical, psychological, and social functions to improve health, readiness for transition to self-management, and family functioning.

Advantages of an alternate-day glucocorticoid treatment strategy for the treatment of IgG4-related disease: A preliminary retrospective cohort study.

Alternate-day glucocorticoid (GC) therapy is a treatment option that can reduce GC-associated adverse events. We investigated the safety and efficacy of alternate-day GC therapy in patients with immunoglobulin G4-related disease (IgG4-RD). Medical records of patients with IgG4-RD who were followed for at least one year at St. Luke's International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan, from 2004 to 2020 were reviewed. Patients who fulfilled comprehensive IgG4-RD diagnostic criteria were divided into alternate-day or daily GC treatment groups based on their treatment protocol. The effect of alternate-day GC therapy on glucocorticoid toxicity index (GTI) score was evaluated using multilinear analysis with adjustments for cumulative GC doses until each assessment point and propensity scores (PS) for alternate-day GC therapy. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the efficacy of alternate-day GC therapy for disease control. Among the 67 patients with IgG4-RD, patients with alternate-day (n = 13) and daily (n = 31) GC treatments were analyzed after excluding 23 ineligible patients. The median (interquartile range) age was 64 (60-70) years, 29 (65.9%) were male patients, 26 (59.1%) patients had positive biopsy results, and the median follow-up period was 1643 days. Significantly more patients with alternate-day GC treatment used concomitant immunosuppressants (11 [84.6%] vs 11 [35.5%]; P = .007). The alternate-day strategy significantly lowered the GTI score after adjusting for cumulative GC dose until the assessment and PS (adjusted coefficient: -29.5 [-54.3, -4.8], P = .021 at 12 months; -20.0 [-39.8, -0.1], P = .049 at 24 months). Serious infections were numerically less frequent in the alternate-day group (incidence ratio [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45 [0.05, 3.63], P = .45). Most patients (92.3%) in the alternate-day GC treatment group and all patients in the daily GC treatment group showed treatment responses in the remission induction therapy. The PS-adjusted hazard ratio of alternate-day GC treatment for disease flares was not significant (1.55 [0.53, 4.51]; P = .43). The alternate-day treatment strategy significantly reduced GC-related adverse events regardless of the cumulative GC dose. Alternate-day GC treatment is a feasible option for patients with IgG4-RD, without a significant increase in disease flares particularly when combined with immunosuppressants.

Relationship Between Breast Density, Breast Cancer Subtypes, and Prognosis.

BACKGROUND: In the United States, Europe, and Asia, a consensus has been reached that there is a higher risk of breast cancer in high density breasts. However, there are some contrary reports that suggest the absence of an association between breast composition and breast cancer subtype; thus, there is conflicting evidence. The purpose of this study was to investigate trends in the incidence of breast cancer subtypes according to breast composition and analyze the survival rates in Japanese women. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 2007 and 2008, 1258 Japanese patients with invasive breast cancer who underwent mammography and obtained a pathological diagnosis in our institution were included in the study. We compared cancer subtypes with breast composition types (dense and non-dense breast), and classified them based on initial mammography findings. Information on 5- and 10-year survival rates was collected by chart review for patients with dense and nondense breasts. Statistical analysis was performed using the Pearson's chi-square test for breast composition and cancer subtype. The effect of breast composition on mortality was examined using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, and adjusted hazard ratios were calculated. RESULTS: No significant difference was found between breast cancer subtype and breast composition (P = .08). Five-year (log-rank test, P = .09) and 10-year (log-rank test, P = .31) survival rates were not significantly different between breast composition types. CONCLUSION: There was no significant association between breast composition and cancer subtypes. There was also no significant difference in the prognosis between patients with and without dense breasts.

External validation of the Briganti 2019 nomogram to identify candidates for extended pelvic lymph node dissection among patients with high-risk clinically localized prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to establish an external validation of the Briganti 2019 nomogram in a Japanese cohort to preoperatively evaluate the probability of lymph node invasion in patients with high-risk, clinically localized prostate cancer. METHODS: The cohort consisted of 278 patients with prostate cancer diagnosed using magnetic resonance imaging-targeted biopsy who underwent radical prostatectomy and extended pelvic lymph node dissection from 2012 to 2020. Patients were rated using the Briganti 2019 nomogram, which evaluates the probability of lymph node invasion. We used the area under curve of the receiver operating characteristic analysis to quantify the accuracy of the nomogram. RESULTS: Nineteen (6.8%) patients had lymph node invasion. The median number of lymph nodes removed was 18. The area under the curve for the Briganti 2019 was 0.71. When the cutoff was set at 7%, 84 (30.2%) patients with extended pelvic lymph node dissection could be omitted, and only 1 (1.2%) patient with lymph node invasion would be missed. Sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive values at the 7% cutoff were 94.7, 32.0, and 98.8%, respectively. CONCLUSION: This external validation showed that the Briganti 2019 nomogram was accurate, although there may still be scope for individual adjustments.

Cost-effectiveness analysis for HbA1c test intervals to screen patients with type 2 diabetes based on risk stratification.

BACKGROUND: The best HbA1c test interval strategy for detecting new type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) cases in healthy individuals should be determined with consideration of HbA1c test characteristics, risk stratification towards T2DM and cost effectiveness. METHODS: State transition models were constructed to investigate the optimal screening interval for new cases of T2DM among each age- and BMI-stratified health individuals. Age was stratified into 30-44-, 45-59-, and 60-74-year-old age groups, and BMI was also stratified into underweight, normal, overweight and obesity. In each model, different HbA1c test intervals were evaluated with respect to the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and costs per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Annual intervals (Japanese current strategy), every 3 years (recommendations in US and UK) and intervals which are tailored to each risk stratification group were compared. All model parameters, including costs for screening and treatment, rates for complications and mortality and utilities, were taken from published studies. The willingness-to-pay threshold in the cost-effectiveness analysis was set to US $50,000/QALY. RESULTS: The HbA1c test interval for detecting T2DM in healthy individuals varies by age and BMI. Three-year intervals were the most cost effective in obesity at all ages-30-44: $15,034/QALY, 45-59: $11,849/QALY, 60-74: $8685/QALY-compared with the other two interval strategies. The three-year interval was also the most cost effective in the 60-74-year-old age groups-underweight: $11,377/QALY, normal: $18,123/QALY, overweight: $12,537/QALY-and in the overweight 45-59-year-old group; $18,918/QALY. In other groups, the screening interval for detecting T2DM was found to be longer than 3 years, as previously reported. Annual screenings were dominated in many groups with low BMI and in younger age groups. Based on the probability distribution of the ICER, results were consistent among any groups. CONCLUSIONS: The three-year screening interval was optimal among elderly at all ages, the obesity at all ages and the overweight in 45-59-year-old group. For those sin the low-BMI and younger age groups, the optimal HbA1c test interval could be longer than 3 years. Annual screening to detect T2DM was not cost effective and should not be applied in any population.

Differences in aggressive treatments during the actively dying phase in patients with cancer and heart disease: an exploratory study using the sampling dataset of the National Database of Health Insurance Claims.

Despite the recent attention given to palliative care for patients with heart disease, data about the treatments in their actively dying phase are not sufficiently elaborated. In this study, we used the sampling dataset of a national database to compare the aggressive treatments performed in patients with cancer and those with heart disease. We only included patients deceased in January or July from 2011 to 2015, using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination sampling dataset of the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan (NDB). Patients who were discharged within the first 10 days of each month were excluded. We explored and compared aggressive treatments such as cardiopulmonary resuscitation and intensive care utilization, performed within seven days before death in cancer patients. We used 10,637 (0.4% of the dataset) deceased target population (40.0% female), with 7844 (73.7%) and 2793 (26.3%) being the proportion of cancer and heart disease patients, respectively. Aggressive treatments and procedures such as cardiopulmonary resuscitation (18.4%), intensive care utilization (5.4%), use of inotropes (43.4%), use of respirators (29.1%), and dialysis (4.5%) were frequently observed in heart disease patients. These associations remained after adjusting for age, sex, and disease severity. This study indicates the possible use of an NDB sampling dataset to evaluate the aggressive treatments and procedures in the actively dying phase in both heart disease and cancer patients. Our results showed the differences in aggressive treatment strategies in the actively dying phase between patients with cancer and those with heart disease.

Development of a Simple and Practical Delirium Screening Tool for Use in Surgical Wards.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is an important and common medical condition, particularly in hospitalized patients, that is associated with adverse outcomes. The identification, prevention, and treatment of delirium are increasingly regarded as major public health priorities. PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to create a simple-to-use screening tool for delirium in hospitalized patients using clinical manifestations of delirium regularly observed by nurses. METHODS: This study was conducted using data on 2,168 patients who had been admitted to the surgical ward between January 2011 and December 2014. Data were collected retrospectively from medical records. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed, and a logistic regression model was constructed for the development of a predictive screening tool. After constructing a new screening tool for delirium, a receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn, the most appropriate cutoff value was decided, and the area under the curve was obtained. Bootstrapping was used for the internal model validation. RESULTS: A screening tool for delirium (Subjective Delirium Screening Scale by Nurse) with a total score of 5 points was constructed as follows: 2 points for disorientation and 1 point each for restlessness, somnolence, and hallucination. The area under the curve for the Subjective Delirium Screening Scale by Nurse was 81.9% (95% CI [77.9%, 85.8%]), and the most appropriate cutoff value was determined to be 2 (sensitivity of 61.0% and specificity of 96.7%). Bootstrapped validation beta coefficients of the predictive factors were similar to the original cohort beta coefficients. CONCLUSIONS: We created a screening tool for delirium using factors that were regularly observed and recorded by nurses. This tool is simple and practical and has adequate diagnostic accuracy.

Early postoperative inflammatory response by procedure types: stapler-based segmentectomy versus lobectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Perioperative C-reactive protein (CRP) levels have become a contentious topic on the surgical outcome of lung cancer, but the influence of the procedure types has not been precisely investigated. From this viewpoint, we compared two types of thoracoscopic anatomical lung resection: segmentectomy and lobectomy. METHODS: This was a retrospective study involving patients who underwent standardized anatomical lung resection at a single institute from 2014 to 2017; CRP levels were routinely measured on postoperative days 1, 3, and 5. Changes in the CRP levels from the preoperative period were calculated (ΔCRP), and factors associated with a higher ΔCRP value were analyzed. RESULTS: Among 186 patients included, 91 (48.9%) patients underwent stapler-based segmentectomy and 95 (51.1%) patients underwent lobectomy. The segmentectomy group showed significantly higher ΔCRP values on every measurement day than the lobectomy group, in spite of shorter operation time, smaller blood loss, shorter drainage periods, shorter dissection time, and limited lymph node dissection. The number of stapler cartridges for the lung parenchyma was significantly larger in the segmentectomy group. Regression analyses indicated that procedure type and smoking history were associated with a higher ΔCRP value, whereas no significant difference was indicated in the smoking history between the groups. CONCLUSION: In our cohort, stapler-based thoracoscopic segmentectomy was associated with an increase in acute inflammatory response despite favorable perioperative outcome compared to lobectomy. Local surgical stress and damage in the remaining segments might play a key role and warrants further investigation.

Healthcare Expenditures for the Treatment of Patients Infected with Hepatitis C Virus in Japan.

AIM: The recently developed direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are costly. Cost-effectiveness analyses of DAAs require accurate healthcare expenditure estimates for the various HCV disease states, but few studies have produced such estimates using national-level data. This study utilized nationally representative data to estimate the healthcare expenditure for each HCV disease state. METHODS: We identified all patients infected with HCV between April 2010 and March 2018 from a nationwide administrative claims database in Japan. Monthly patient-level healthcare expenditures were calculated for the following disease states: chronic hepatitis C (CHC), compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DC), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The expenditures for the CHC and CC states were also compared before DAA treatment and after sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved. A longitudinal two-part model was employed to estimate the healthcare expenditures for each state. RESULTS: During the study period, 1,564,043 patients with 146,488,137 patient-months of data met the inclusion criteria. The year of valuation was 2017. The mean monthly healthcare expenditures per patient (95% confidence intervals) for the pre-DAA CHC, CC, DC, and HCC states were US$267 (US$267-268), US$428 (US$427-429), US$666 (US$663-669), and US$969 (US$966-972), respectively. The mean monthly healthcare expenditures per patient for the post-SVR (≥ 2 years) CHC and CC states were US$176 (US$176-177) and US$238 (US$236-240), respectively. Healthcare expenditure increased with increasing age in all disease states (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: These healthcare expenditure estimates from a nationally representative sample have potential applications in cost-effectiveness analyses of DAAs.

Triage DOA® versus INSTANT-VIEW M-1® in Urinary Drug Screening for Acute Drug Poisoning: A Prospective Cross-sectional Study.

Objective In the management of patients with suspected acute drug poisoning, a screening test using the patient's urine is usually performed. The Triage DOA® and INSTANT-VIEW M-1® kits are two commonly used point-of-care screening kits in Japan. However, the relationship between the results of these screening kits and the blood concentration of the poisoning drug is not clear. In this study, we evaluated which kit is more useful for acute drug poisoning screening based on a comparison of their results with the results of a serum drug analysis. Methods This prospective cross-sectional study investigated all patients with acute drug poisoning admitted to a general hospital in Tokyo, Japan, over a nine-month period. The Triage DOA® and INSTANT-VIEW M-1® screening kits were used, and a qualitative serum analysis was conducted simultaneously in all cases. We compared the kits for use in screening patients with acute drug poisoning and evaluated the utility of the kits. Results For the 117 patients enrolled in this study, the 2 kits showed different sensitivities to benzodiazepines (Triage®, 78.6%; INSTANT-VIEW®, 90.5%). Both kits showed high sensitivity to barbiturates (Triage®, 87.0%; INSTANT-VIEW®, 91.3%) but low sensitivity to tricyclic antidepressants (Triage®, 25.0%; INSTANT-VIEW®, 45.8%). Conclusion Because the sensitivity varies depending on the kind of drug, it is difficult to discuss the superiority of these kits. However, this study compared the results of two types of urinary drug screening kits with the results of qualitative analysis of drugs in serum as a gold standard, providing important reference data.

Factors associated with treatment delay in women with primary breast cancer who were referred to reproductive specialists.

PURPOSE: Cancer treatment delay due to fertility preservation procedures is a barrier for patients with breast cancer who wish to preserve their fertility. This study aimed to describe the associations between fertility preservation and treatment delay in patients with breast cancer with reproductive concerns and assess the factors related to treatment delay. METHODS: Patients with primary breast cancer who visited the reproductive unit at our institution before cancer treatment between 2007 and 2015 were enrolled. The treatment delay cut-off was defined as follows: time to chemotherapy (TTC) >8 weeks for patients intending to receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy, TTC >12 weeks for patients intending to receive adjuvant chemotherapy, time to endocrine therapy (TTE) >12 weeks for patients intending to receive endocrine therapy without radiation therapy and TTE >20 weeks for patients intending to receive endocrine therapy after radiation therapy. Multivariable models were constructed to examine the factors of treatment delay. RESULTS: Overall, 212 patients met the inclusion criteria. Using the defined cut-offs, treatment delay was noted in 18% of the patients. Endocrine therapy was related to treatment delay (OR 4.49, 95% CI 1.02 to 19.7; p=0.05), but fertility preservation by artificial reproductive treatment (ART) was not. Pregnancy and delivery following treatment for breast cancer were achieved in 18 (19%) and 15 (16%) patients who underwent fertility preservation with ART. CONCLUSION: Fertility preservation with ART was not associated with treatment delay in patients with breast cancer who were referred to reproductive specialists before cancer treatment.

A novel model uses metabolic and volumetric parameters to predict less invasive lung adenocarcinomas†.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop a prediction model for less invasive lesions of pathological Stage IA adenocarcinomas. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 121 lesions from 114 patients with pathological Stage IA adenocarcinoma who underwent surgery after fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography and high-resolution computed tomography. Less invasive lesions were adenocarcinoma in situ and minimally invasive adenocarcinoma. The 3D parameter, solid tumour ratio, was the volume ratio of the solid part to the whole tumour. The 2D parameter was the consolidation-to-tumour ratio. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) in fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography was the metabolic parameter. A volumetric analysis programme semiautomatically measured these 3 parameters. The cut-off values were 0.5, 0.125 and 1.0 for the consolidation-to-tumour ratio, solid tumour ratio and SUVmax, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to select the prediction model parameters. RESULTS: There were 34 (28.1%) less invasive lesions. A consolidation-to-tumour ratio <0.5 was an insignificant predictive factor for less invasive lesions in the multivariable analysis. The prediction model had a total score of 3 points: 1 point for SUVmax <1.0 and 2 points for the solid tumour ratio <0.125. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in this model was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.78-0.94). The total score indicated 89.5% probability of possessing less invasive lesions. CONCLUSIONS: The solid tumour ratio and SUVmax effectively predicted less invasive lesions in early-stage lung adenocarcinomas. The prediction model generated by volumetric and metabolic parameters showed higher predictive power in this clinical setting.

Age is the Most Significantly Associated Risk Factor With the Development of Delirium in Patients Hospitalized for More Than Five Days in Surgical Wards: Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: The primary purpose of this study was to assess risk factors for delirium in patients staying in a surgical ward for more than 5 days. The secondary purpose was to assess outcomes in patients with delirium. BACKGROUND: Delirium is a syndrome characterized by acute fluctuations in mental status. Patients with delirium are at increased risk of adverse inpatient events, higher mortality and morbidity rates, prolonged hospital stays, and increased health care costs. METHODS: Participants in this study were 2168 patients who had been admitted to the surgical ward of St. Luke's International Hospital for 5 days or more between January 2011 and December 2014. Data on these patients were collected retrospectively from hospital medical records. Firstly, univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify risk factors for delirium. Secondly, morbidity and mortality associated with delirium were analyzed. RESULTS: Delirium occurred in 205 of 2168 patients (9.5%). Age, physical restraint, past history of a cerebrovascular disorder, malignancy, intensive care unit stay, pain, and high blood urea nitrogen value were significant risk factors for delirium in the multivariate analysis. Among these, age was the strongest factor, with an odds ratio for delirium of 12.953 in patients 75 years of age or older. The length of hospital stays and the mortality rates were higher in patients with delirium. CONCLUSIONS: Results showed that age, and also physical restraint, past history of cerebrovascular disorder, malignancy, intensive care unit stay, pain, and high serum blood urea nitrogen were important factors associated with delirium in patients hospitalized for more than 5 days in a surgical ward.

Change in sonographic brightness can predict pathological response of triple-negative breast cancer to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

INTRODUCTION: Ultrasound (US) is conventionally performed to determine effects of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) on breast cancer. In patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), higher pathological complete response (pCR) predicts the most favorable survival outcome. We aimed to predict pCR to NAC using echogenicity changes in US region of interest (ROI) in patients with TNBC. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We retrospectively determined clinicopathological characteristics of 52 patients with primary TNBC who underwent NAC. Changes in echogenicity for pCR and non-pCR patients were calculated from ratios of tumor to fat (T/F) in their ROIs, before and after NAC, as [T/F After/T/F Before] and [T/F After - T/F Before]. RESULTS: Of the 52 patients (median age: 52 years; range 26-77 years), 20 (38.5%) achieved pCR, which was significantly associated with change in ROI ratio (P < 0.01). The cut-off values for ROI ratio and ROI difference were 0.8 and 0.3. Sensitivity and specificity were 73.7 and 81.8% for ROI ratio, and 70.0 and 81.3% for ROI difference. Area under the curves (AUCs) for ROI ratio and ROI difference were 0.80 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67-0.92] and 0.78 (95% CI 0.64-0.92), respectively. CONCLUSION: Quantification of echogenic changes by converting absolute values of tumor and fat regions can predict pCR and individual differences between tumors after NAC in patients with TNBC.

Risk factors for complications among breast cancer patients treated with post-mastectomy radiotherapy and immediate tissue-expander/permanent implant reconstruction: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The use of post-mastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT) following immediate breast reconstruction has increased recently, and its safety is becoming a major concern. We aimed to evaluate the complication rates of PMRT to immediate tissue-expander/permanent implant (TE/PI)-based reconstructions for breast cancer and its association with radiotherapy timing (irradiation to TE or PI). METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the cases of breast cancer patients who underwent mastectomy, immediate TE/PI reconstruction, and PMRT between January 2003 and December 2014. The rates of complications including reconstruction failure, re-operation, and infection were estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. The risk factors including radiotherapy timing were analyzed by log-rank test and multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: A total of 81 patients were included. Median follow-up was 32 months (range 2-120 months). Radiotherapy consisted of 50 Gy to the reconstructed breast and supraclavicular region in most cases. Total reconstruction failure, re-operation, and infection rates were 12.3, 13.6, and 11.1%, and 5-year cumulative reconstruction failure, re-operation, and infection rates were 16.7, 16.6, and 12.2%, respectively. No significant differences were observed in complication rates with respect to radiotherapy timing. In multivariate analysis, age 55 years and older was a significant risk factor for complications (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: There were no significant differences in rates of reconstruction failure, re-operation, or infection with regard to radiotherapy timing. PMRT to reconstructed breasts of older patients aged 55 years or over can be expected to result in more complications than in younger patients.

Predictive model for high-frequency microsatellite instability in colorectal cancer patients over 50 years of age.

Microsatellite instability (MSI) is an important biomarker for screening for Lynch syndrome, and also of response to immune checkpoint inhibitors. The aim of this study is to create a predictive model to determine which elderly patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) should undergo MSI and/or immunohistochemistry testing on the basis of clinicopathological data. We analyzed a test cohort of CRC patients aged ≥50 years (n = 2219) by multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify predictors of high-frequency MSI (MSI-H). The created prediction model was validated in an external cohort (n = 992). The frequency of MSI-H was 5.5% among CRC patients aged ≥ 50 years. The following five predictors of MSI-H were identified in the test cohort: female (1 point), mucinous component (2 points), tumor size ≥ 60 mm (2 points), location in proximal colon (3 points), and BRAF mutation (6 points). The area under curve (AUC) in the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of this prediction model was 0.832 (95% confidence interval: 0.790-0.874). The sensitivity and specificity were 74.4% and 77.7%, respectively, for a cut-off score of 4 points. The receiver-operating characteristic curve of the validation cohort also showed an AUC of 0.856 (95% CI: 0.806-0.905). This prediction model is useful to select elderly CRC patients who should undergo MSI testing, and who may benefit from treatment with 5-FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy and cancer immunotherapy.