RESUMO
This paper examines the spillover effects transmission mechanism between oil prices, oil price uncertainty and oil price volatility on labour market in Greece, using static and dynamic quantile connectedness methodology (Diebold and Yilmaz Diebold and Yilmaz, Int J Forecast 28:57-66, 2012; Ando et al. Ando T, Greenwood-Nimmo N, Shin Y (2018) 'Quantile connectedness: Modelling tail behavior in the topology of financial networks', Working Paper. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3164772.). There is empirical evidence that the oil price variable is the most influential node of the energy variables on hirings and firings, suggesting the endogeneity of the labour market variables. Rolling estimation analysis based on the quantile VAR to capture the volatility spillovers across the whole conditional distribution shows a large variation of the total connectedness index, which is responsive to exogenous adverse and beneficial shocks. Further, our results point to a strong effect due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the state intervention to sustain the pandemic on the labour market. Overall, the analysis reveals a substantial higher time-varying connectedness of the system at the tails of the distribution, indicating that changes in energy markets asymmetrically affect the Greek labour market in recessionary and flourishing states of the economy, rather than normal times.
RESUMO
Hepatectomy-induced coagulation disturbances have been well studied over the past decade. Cumulative evidence supports the superiority of global coagulation analysis compared with conventional coagulation tests (i.e., prothrombin time or activated partial thromboplastin time) for clinical decision making. Cancer, however, represents an acquired prothrombotic state and liver resection for cancer deserves a more thorough investigation. This prospective observational study was conducted to assess the perioperative coagulation status of patients undergoing major hepatectomies for primary or metastatic hepatic malignancy. Patients were followed up to the 10th post-operative day by serial measurements of conventional coagulation tests, plasma levels of coagulation factors, and thrombin generation assay parameters. An abnormal coagulation profile was detected at presentation and included elevated FVIII levels, decreased levels of antithrombin, and lag time prolongation in thrombin generation. Serial hematological data demonstrated increased Von Willebrand factor, FVIII, D-dimer, fibrinogen and decreased levels of natural anticoagulant proteins in the early post-operative period predisposing to a hyper-coagulable state. The ratio of the anticoagulant protein C to the procoagulant FVIII was low at baseline and further declined post-operatively, indicating a prothrombotic state. Though no bleeding complications were reported, one patient experienced pulmonary embolism while under thromboprophylaxis. Overall, patients with hepatic carcinoma presenting for elective major hepatectomy may have baseline malignancy-associated coagulation disturbances, aggravating the hyper-coagulable state documented in the early post-operative period.