Predictors of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism or Arterial Thrombotic Events during and after Anticoagulation for a First Venous Thromboembolism.

After first episodes of venous thromboembolism (VTE), patients are at increased risk of recurrent VTE and arterial thrombotic events (ATE) compared with the general population, two disorders that are influenced by anticoagulation. However, risk factors of these conditions occurring during and after anticoagulation are little described. Using cause-specific hazard regression models, we aimed to determine risk factors of the composite outcome recurrent VTE/ATE, and separately recurrent VTE or ATE, during and after anticoagulation in patients with first episodes of VTE from a prospective cohort. Hazard ratios (HRs) are given with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 2,011 patients treated for at least 3 months were included. A total of 647 patients had recurrent VTE/ATE (incidence: 4.69% per patient-years) during overall follow-up (median: 92 months). Of these events, 173 occurred during anticoagulation (incidence: 3.67% per patient-years). Among patients free of events at the end of anticoagulation, 801 had a post-anticoagulation follow-up ≥3 months; and 95 had recurrent VTE/ATE (incidence: 1.27% per patient-years). After adjustment for confounders, cancer-associated VTE (HR: 2.64, 95% CI: 1.70-4.11) and unprovoked VTE (HR: 1.95, 95% CI: 1.35-2.81) were the identified risk factors of recurrent VTE/ATE during anticoagulation (vs. transient risk factor-related VTE). Risk factors of recurrent VTE/ATE after anticoagulation included 50 to 65 years of age (vs. < 50, HR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.04-3.81), older than 65 years (vs. < 50, HR: 5.28, 95% CI: 3.03-9.21), and unprovoked VTE (vs. transient risk factor-related VTE, HR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.27-3.34). Cancer-associated VTE and unprovoked VTE are the main risk factors of recurrent VTE/ATE during anticoagulation, while older age and unprovoked VTE mainly predict the risk of these events after anticoagulation.

Risk Factors of Cardiovascular Death after Venous Thromboembolism: Results from a Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular deaths (CVDTs) are more frequent in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) than in the general population; however, risk factors associated with this increased risk of CVDT in patients with VTE are not described. METHODS: To determine the risk factors of CVDT in patients with VTE from a multicenter prospective cohort study, Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard models were conducted. RESULTS: Of the 3,988 included patients, 426 (10.7%) died of CVDT during a median follow-up of 5 years. The risk factors of CVDT after multivariate analyses were: age of 50 to 65 years (vs. <50 years, hazard ratio [HR]: 3.22, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.67-6.62), age >65 years (vs. <50 years, HR: 7.60, 95% CI: 3.73-15.52), cancer-associated VTE (vs. transient risk factor-related VTE, HR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.15-2.61), unprovoked VTE (vs. transient risk factor-related VTE, HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.02-2.00), past tobacco use (vs. never, HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.06-1.94), current tobacco use (vs. never, HR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.15-3.01), hypertension (HR: 2.11, 95% CI: 1.51-2.96), chronic heart failure (HR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.37-3.79), chronic respiratory failure (HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.02-2.89), and atrial fibrillation (HR: 1.67, 95% CI: 1.06-2.60). The risk of CVDT was significantly reduced with direct oral anticoagulants (vs. vitamin-K antagonists) and with longer duration of treatment (>3 months). CONCLUSION: Risk factors of CVDT after VTE include some traditional cardiovascular risk factors and other risk factors that are related to characteristics of VTE, and patients' comorbidities.

Risk Factors for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and Major Adverse Limb Events after Venous Thromboembolism: A Large Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: There is an increased risk of arterial events including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and major adverse limb events (MALE) after venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, their risk factors remain little explored. METHODS: We aimed to determine the risk factors for MACE (acute coronary syndrome/stroke/cardiovascular death) and MALE (limb ischemia/critical limb ischemia/non-traumatic amputation/any limb revascularization) after VTE. Competing risk models (Fine-Gray) were used in a multicenter prospective cohort of 4,940 patients (mean age: 64.6 years and median follow-up: 64 months). RESULTS: MACE occurred in 17.3% of participants (2.35% per patient-years) and MALE in 1.7% (0.27% per patient-years). In multivariable analysis, the identified risk factors for MACE were the age of 50 to 65 years (vs. <50 years, hazard ratio [HR]: 2.00, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38-2.91), age >65 years (vs. <50 years, HR 4.85, 95% CI: 3.35-7.02), pulmonary embolism + deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (vs. isolated-DVT, HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.02-1.55), unprovoked-VTE (vs. transient risk factor associated-VTE, HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.04-1.59), current tobacco use (vs. never, HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.07-1.98), hypertension (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.30-1.98), past history of symptomatic atherosclerosis (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.17-1.98), heart failure (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.21-2.42), atrial fibrillation (HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.15-2.08), and vena cava filter insertion (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.03-2.08). The identified risk factors for MALE were the age of 50-65 years (vs. <50 years, HR: 3.49, 95% CI: 1.26-9.65) and atrial fibrillation (HR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.15-4.89). CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for MACE and MALE after VTE included some traditional cardiovascular risk factors, patient's comorbidities, and some characteristics of VTE.

Risk factors of arterial thrombotic events after unprovoked venous thromboembolism, and after cancer associated venous thromboembolism: A prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: The increased risk of arterial thrombotic (ATE) after VTE, particularly when they are unprovoked or cancer-associated has been established. However, the risk factors of ATE after these VTE remain unclear. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using cause-specific hazard regression models, we determined risk factors of ATE (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, acute limb ischemia, digestive tract ischemia, or renal ischemia) in 2242 patients with unprovoked VTE and in 914 patients with cancer-associated VTE from a multi-center prospective cohort. RESULTS: Of patients with unprovoked-VTE, 174 developed ATE (7.8%, incidence: 1.26 per 100 patient-years) during follow-up (median: 68 months). Among patients with cancer-associated VTE, 57 developed ATE (6.2%, incidence: 1.98 per 100 patient-years) during follow-up (median: 30 months). After multivariable analysis, the identified risk factors of ATE in patients with unprovoked-VTE were age > 65 years (vs. <50 years, HR 2.59, 95% CI: 1.56-4.29), past history of symptomatic atherosclerosis (HR 2.11, 95% CI: 1.40-3.19), and treatment with low molecule weight heparin (vs. vitamin K antagonists, HR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.13-4.52). In patients with cancer-associated VTE, the identified risk factors of ATE were: past history of symptomatic atherosclerosis (HR: 3.13, 95% CI: 1.72-5.67), and ongoing anticoagulation at the diagnosis of VTE (HR: 2.77, 95% CI: 1.07-7.22). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of ATE after unprovoked VTE and after cancer-associated VTE, is determined by some classic cardiovascular risk factors and appears to be influenced by anticoagulant treatment introduced for VTE, as well as the presence or absence of ongoing anticoagulation at the diagnosis of VTE.