Ratio of hemoglobin to red cell distribution width: an inflammatory predictor of survival in AIDS-related DLBCL.

Background: Despite the introduction of combined antiretroviral therapy, AIDS-related diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (AR-DLBCL) remains a prominent cancer among individuals living with HIV with a suboptimal prognosis. Identifying independent prognostic markers could improve risk stratification. Methods: In this multicenter retrospective cohort study spanning years 2011 to 2019, 153 eligible patients with AR-DLBCL were examined. Overall survival (OS) factors were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. The discriminatory ability of the risk score was evaluated by examining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: The study included 153 patients with a median age of 47 years (interquartile range [IQR] 39-58), 83.7% of whom were men. The median follow-up was 12.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.5-15.5), with an OS rate of 35.9%. Among the potential inflammatory markers examined, only the ratio of hemoglobin (g/dL) to red cell distribution width (%) (Hb/RDW) emerged as an independent prognostic parameter for OS in the training (hazard ratios [HR] = 2.645, 95% CI = 1.267-5.522, P = 0.010) and validation cohorts (HR = 2.645, 95% CI = 1.267-5.522, P = 0.010). A lower Hb/RDW ratio was strongly correlated with adverse clinical factors, including advanced Ann Arbor stage, increased extranodal sites, reduced CD4 count, elevated lactate dehydrogenase levels, poorer Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS), and a higher International Prognostic Index (IPI) score. The addition of the Hb/RDW ratio to the IPI produced a highly discriminatory prognostic composite score, termed Hb/RDW-IPI. Conclusion: We identified a cost-effective and readily available inflammatory biomarker, the Hb/RDW ratio, as an independent predictor of outcomes in patients with AR-DLBCL. Its integration into the IPI score partially improves prognostic accuracy.

A promising prognostic model for predicting survival of patients with HIV-related diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in the cART era.

BACKGROUND: Optimization of risk stratification is important for facilitating prognoses and therapeutic decisions regarding diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). However, a simple and applicable prognostic tool is lacking for individuals with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related DLBCL in the era of combined antiretroviral therapy (cART). METHODS: This retrospective multicenter observational study included 147 HIV-related DLBCL patients with histologically confirmed DLBCL from 2013 to 2020. The total group was divided into training (n = 78) and validation (n = 69) cohorts to derive the best prognostic score. Clinicopathological and characteristic biomarkers correlated with clinical outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: Age, Ann Arbor stage, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ratio, bulky disease, and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) ratio retained robust independent correlations with overall survival (OS) in multivariate analysis. A new and practical prognostic model was generated and externally validated, classifying patients into three categories with significantly different survival rates. Moreover, the new index outperformed the International Prognostic Index (IPI) score (area under the curve values of 0.94 vs. 0.81 in the training cohort and 0.85 vs. 0.74 in the validation cohort, C-indices of 0.80 vs. 0.70 in the training cohort and 0.74 vs. 0.70 in the validation cohort, and integrated discrimination improvement values of 0.203 in the training cohort and 0.175 in the validation cohort) and was better at defining intermediate- and high-risk groups. The calibration curves performed satisfactorily for predicting 3-year OS in the training and validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a simple and feasible prognostic model for patients with HIV-related DLBCL that had more discriminative and predictive accuracy than the IPI score for risk stratification and individualized treatment in the cART era.

A Novel Prognostic Score Including the CD4/CD8 for AIDS-Related Lymphoma.

Background: A simple and clinically applicable prognostic scoring system for AIDS-related lymphoma (ARL) in the era of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) is needed to better stratify patients' risks and to assist in the decision-making of therapeutic strategies. Methods: We conducted a retrospective multicenter cohort study in 138 primary ARL patients over an 8-year period from 2013 to 2020. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were performed to identify the association between patient-, lymphoma-, and HIV-specific variables with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The incremental prognostic value of novel inflammatory biomarkers in the International Prognostic Index (IPI) was evaluated by comparing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the concordance index (C-index), and the integrated Brier score (IBS). Results: The median age was 49.14 ± 14.20 (range 18-79) years, 81.9% were men, and the median follow-up was 44.94 (95% CI = 37.05-52.84) months. The 3-year OS and PFS were 39.4% (95% CI = 16.3-21.2) and 38.7% (95% CI = 14.5-19.7), respectively. We found that age, extranodal sites, bulky mass, CD4 T-cell counts, CD4/CD8 ratio, and hypoalbuminemia were associated with OS (all P < 0.05) at both univariate and multivariate analyses. Of the new inflammatory markers, only the CD4/CD8 ratio was an independent prognostic parameter of OS and PFS. A lower CD4/CD8 ratio was strongly associated with adverse clinical factors, including older age, advanced Ann Arbor stage, more extranodal sites, elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, prior history of HIV, higher red cell distribution width ratio, hypoproteinemia, and emaciation. When the CD4/CD8 ratio was added to the IPI, the composite HIV-IPI score showed significantly better discrimination than IPI alone [AUC (95% CI): HIV-IPI, 0.83 (0.77-0.89) vs. IPI, 0.72 (0.70-0.85)]. The HIV-IPI model provided good predictive performance [C-index (95% CI): HIV-IPI, 0.82 (0.81-0.83) vs. IPI, 0.75 (0.73-0.77), P < 0.001] and a satisfactory calibration function. Conclusions: The CD4/CD8 ratio, an inexpensive and readily available marker, is a powerful independent prognostic parameter in patients with ARL. Furthermore, when the CD4/CD8 ratio is used in combination with IPI, it increases prognostic ability. The useful prediction of expected outcomes in ARL can inform treatment decisions.

Hypoalbuminemia predicts inferior outcome in patients with AIDS-related lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of serum albumin in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related lymphoma (ARL) remains covered. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed de novo ARL patients from 2013 to 2019 across three centers. Factors correlated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated in Kaplan-Meier, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: A total of 86 ARL patients were enrolled with a median follow-up of 34 months. In the cohort, the OS and 2-year PFS rates were 37.5% and 35.4%, respectively. In multivariate models, older age (PFS, hazard ratios [HR] = 1.035, p = 0.037; OS, HR = 1.034, p = 0.041) and hypoalbuminemia (OS, HR = 0.910, p = 0.038) predicted inferior survival. ARL patients with hypoalbuminemia showed worse OS and 2-year PFS (p = 0.028 and p = 0.01, respectively), which was associated with poor Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) and higher International Prognosis Index (IPI) score. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, serum albumin at diagnosis is an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in AIDS-related lymphoma.

90-90-90 cascade analysis on reported CLHIV infected by mother-to-child transmission in Guangxi, China: a modeling study.

The prevalence of HIV in Guangxi was very high, and there were many children living with HIV (CLHIV) because of larger baseline of pregnant women infected by HIV. It is necessary for children to explore the status of antiretroviral therapy (ART) on different initial CD4 counts in children with HIV infected by mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) in Guangxi and to evaluate the progress towards the 90-90-90 targets proposed by UNAIDS/WHO. Based on a retrospective observational cohort of children with HIV infected from the Guangxi Center for Disease Prevention and Control (CDC), the variables of all patients included viral loads, CD4 counts, laboratory results and WHO clinical staging of HIV/AIDS were collected. Several indicators were defined before analyzed: (1) diagnosis of MTCT: infants born to HIV-positive mothers who tested positive for HIV twice before 18 months; (2) ART initiation: the children who were enrolled in the treatment cohort and were still having HIV monitoring as of 6 months before date censored and (3) viral suppression: a recently viral load measurement that was less than 1000 copies per milliliter. The number of CLHIV in Guangxi was projected by using the estimates of the national HIV/AIDS prevalence from China CDC. An Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and the Holt Exponential Smoothing (ES) model were used to predict the number of CLHIV, the diagnosed CLHIV, the diagnosed CLHIV receiving ART and the number of them achieving viral suppression, in 2019 and 2021, respectively. In this 14-year HIV/AIDS treatment cohort, 807 children who were HIV infected by MTCT were enrolled. The ARIMA and Holt ES models showed that by the end of 2019, 82.71% of all CLHIV in Guangxi knew their HIV status, 84.50% of those diagnosed had initiated ART, and 85.68% of those on ART had durable viral suppression. By the end of 2021, 93.51% of all CLHIV in Guangxi will know their HIV status, 84.28% of those diagnosed will have initiated antiretroviral therapy, and 85.83% of those on ART will have durable viral suppression. Therefore, in 2021, Guangxi fails to achieve the WHO/UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets for CLHIV, and there is still a wide time interval between the first HIV-positive diagnosis and ART initiation. National free antiretroviral treatment program (NFATP) requires strong enforcement to reduce the prevalence of later chronic diseases and complications.

Six-Year Immunologic Recovery and Virological Suppression of HIV Patients on LPV/r-Based Second-Line Antiretroviral Treatment: A Multi-Center Real-World Cohort Study in China.

The World Health Organization guidelines recommend lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) as a second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV-infected adults in middle-income and low-income countries as a protease inhibitor boost based on clinical trials; however, the real-world safety and efficacy remain unknown. Therefore, we conducted a large-scale, multicenter retrospective cohort study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of LPV/r-based ART among HIV-infected adults in China in whom first-line therapy failed. The data were obtained from a national database covering 17 clinics in China for six years of follow-up from 2009 to 2016. Failure of first-line treatment was determined according to a viral load at least 400 copies/ml at week 48, non-completers at week 48 for any reason, and those who switched ART before week 48 for any reason such as side effects. Treatment effectiveness was assessed by the rate of CD4+T cell recovery, defined as >500 cells/mm3, and the proportion of patients achieving viral suppression, defined as <400 or <50 copies/ml according to the methods used during treatment. Safety was assessed by rates of LPV/r-related adverse events (AEs), including lipid disorder, severe abnormal liver function, myelosuppression, and renal function. Between 2009 and 2016, 1196 participants (median, 36 years old; IQR, 30-43 years) were ultimately enrolled. All patients had been on LPV/r-based second-line ART treatment for more than one year after failure of any first-line ART regimen. Overall CD4+T cell counts increased from 138 cells/mm3 to 475 cells/mm3 and 37.2% of all participants reached CD4 recovery. Viral suppression rates dramatically increased at the end of the first year (<400 copies/ml, 88.8%; <50 copies/ml, 76.7%) and gradually increased during follow-up (<400 copies/ml, 95.8%; <50 copies/ml, 94.4%). The most frequently reported AEs were LPV/r-induced lipid disorders with no obvious increase on LDL-C at follow-up visits. This is the first real-world LPV/r-based second-line treatment study to cover such a large population in China. These results provide strong clinical evidence that LPV/r-based second-line ART is effective in increasing CD4+T cell counts and viral suppression rates with tolerable side effects in HIV-infected adults in China in whom first-line treatment had failed.