Retrospective Analysis of the Impact of High- and Low-Quality Donor Livers for Patients with High-Acuity Illness.

BACKGROUND Patients with high-acuity liver failure have increased access to marginal and split liver options, owing to historically high waitlist mortality rates. While most research states that donor liver quality has no impact on patients with high-acuity illness, there have been inconsistencies in recent research on how liver quality impacts post-transplant outcomes for these patients. We aimed to quantify donor liver quality with various post-transplantation patient outcomes for patients with high-acuity illness. MATERIAL AND METHODS Using the liver donor risk index (LDRI), model for end stage liver disease (MELD), and clinically relevant recipient factors, we used multivariate logistic regression to analyze how donor liver quality affects varying measures of patient outcomes for 9923 high-acuity patients from June 18, 2013, to June 18, 2022. RESULTS Using LDRI, high-quality livers had a significant protective impact on high-acuity patient mortality, compared with low-quality livers (OR=0.695 [0.549, 0.879], P=0.002). High-quality livers also had significant impact on graft survival (OR=0.706 [0.558, 0.894], P=0.004). Two sensitivity patient mortality analyses, excluding patients with status 1A and hepatocellular carcinoma, showed significant protective findings for high-quality livers. High-quality livers had insignificant outcomes on long-term survivor mortality, length of hospitalization, and primary non-function outcomes, compared with low-quality donor livers. CONCLUSIONS While our findings suggest donor quality has an impact on high-acuity patient outcomes, these findings indicate further research is needed in intent-to-treat analysis on clinical offer data to provide a clearer finding of how donor quality affects patients with high-acuity illness.

Cost of Care for Patients With Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: There are limited longitudinal data on the cost of treating patients with cirrhosis, which hampers value-based improvement initiatives. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis seen in the Veterans Affairs health care system from 2011 to 2015. Patients were followed up through 2019. We identified a sex-matched and age-matched control cohort without cirrhosis. We estimated incremental annual health care costs attributable to cirrhosis for 4 years overall and in subgroups based on severity (compensated, decompensated), cirrhosis complications (ascites, encephalopathy, varices, hepatocellular cancer, acute kidney injury), and comorbidity (Deyo index). RESULTS: We compared 39,361 patients with cirrhosis with 138,964 controls. The incremental adjusted costs for caring of patients with cirrhosis were $35,029 (95% confidence interval $32,473-$37,585) during the first year and ranged from $14,216 to $17,629 in the subsequent 3 years. Cirrhosis complications accounted for most of these costs. Costs of managing patients with hepatic encephalopathy (year 1 cost, $50,080) or ascites ($50,364) were higher than the costs of managing patients with varices ($20,488) or hepatocellular cancer ($37,639) in the first year. Patients with acute kidney injury or those who had multimorbidity were the most costly at $64,413 and $66,653 in the first year, respectively. DISCUSSION: Patients with cirrhosis had substantially higher health care costs than matched controls and multimorbid patients had even higher costs. Cirrhosis complications accounted for most of the excess cost, so preventing complications has the largest potential for cost saving and could serve as targets for improvement.

Twenty-year survival following lung transplantation.

Background: Lung transplantation median survival has seen improvements due to recognition of short-term survival factors but continues to trail behind other solid organs due to limited understanding of long-term survivorship. Given the creation of the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database in 1986, it was difficult to accrue data on long-term survivors until recently. This study characterizes factors impacting lung transplant survival beyond 20 years, conditional to 1-year survival. Methods: Lung transplant recipients listed in UNOS from 1987 to 2002 who survived to 1 post-transplant year were reviewed. Kaplan-Meier and adjusted Cox regression analyses were performed at 20 and 10 years to identify risk factors associated with long-term outcomes independent of their short-term effects. Results: A total of 6,172 recipients were analyzed, including 472 (7.6%) recipients who lived 20+ years. Factors associated with increased likelihood of 20-year survival were female-to-female gender match, recipient age 25-44, waitlist time >1 year, human leukocyte antigen (HLA) mismatch level 3, and donor cause of death: head trauma. Factors associated with decreased 20-year survival included recipient age ≥55, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/emphysema (COPD/E) diagnosis, donor smoking history >20 pack-years, unilateral transplant, blood groups O&AB, recipient glomerular filtration rate (GFR) <10 mL/min, and donor GFR 20-29 mL/min. Conclusions: This is the first study identifying factors associated with multiple-decade survival following lung transplant in the United States. Despite its challenges, long-term survival is possible and more likely in younger females in good waitlist condition without COPD/E who receive a bilateral allograft from a non-smoking, gender-matched donor of minimal HLA mismatch. Further analysis of the molecular and immunologic implications of these conditions are warranted.

A novel risk score for predicting prolonged length of stay following pediatric kidney transplant.

BACKGROUND: Kidney transplants (KT) are accepted as the kidney replacement therapy of choice for children with kidney failure. The surgery itself may be more difficult especially in small children, and often leads to significant hospital stays. There is little research on predicting prolonged length of stay (LOS) in children. We aim to examine the factors associated with prolonged LOS following pediatric KT to help clinicians make informed decisions, better counsel families, and potentially reduce preventable causes of prolonged stay. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the United Network for Organ Sharing database for all KT recipients less than 18 years old between January 2014 and July 2022 (n = 3693). Donor and recipient factors were tested in univariate and multivariate logistic analysis using stepwise elimination of non-significant factors to create a final regression model predicting LOS longer than 14 days. Values were assigned to significant factors to create risk scores for each individual patient. RESULTS: In the final model, only primary diagnosis of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, dialysis prior to KT, geographic region, and recipient weight prior to KT were significant predictors of LOS longer than 14 days. The C-statistic of the model is 0.7308. The C-statistic of the risk score is 0.7221. CONCLUSIONS: Knowledge of the risk factors affecting prolonged LOS following pediatric KT can help identify patients at risk of increased resource use and potential hospital-acquired complications. Using our index, we identified some of these specific risk factors and created a risk score that can stratify pediatric recipients into low, medium, or high risk groups. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Survival Benefit of Solid-Organ Transplantation: 10-Year Update.

IMPORTANCE: Transplantation has transformed into a burgeoning field that is rapidly evolving to optimize organ distribution and survival outcomes. The years since 2012 (the last comprehensive study) have seen changes in transplantation, such as advances in immunotherapy and novel indices, that necessitate an updated analysis of survival benefit. DESIGN: Our goal was to determine the survival benefit for solid-organ transplants in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database for a three decade period and provide updates on advancements since 2012. Our retrospective analysis examined data containing U.S. patient records from September 1, 1987, to September 1, 2021. RESULTS: We found that 3,430,272 life-years were saved over our transplant period (4.33 life-years saved per patient); kidney-1,998,492 life-years; liver -767,414; heart-435,312; lung-116,625; pancreas-kidney-123,463; pancreas-30,575; intestine-7901. After matching, 3,296,851 life-years were saved. Life-years saved and median survival increased for all organs between 2012 and 2021. Compared to 2012, median survival increased in kidney (from 12.4 to 14.76 years), liver (from 11.6 to 14.59), heart (9.5 to 11.73), lung (5.2 to 5.63), pancreas-kidney (from 14.5 to 16.88), pancreas (from 13.3 to 16.10). When compared to 2012, the percent transplanted increased in kidney, liver, heart, lung, and intestine, while pancreas-kidney and pancreas show decreased percent transplanted. CONCLUSION: Our study underscores the tremendous survival benefits of solid organ transplantation (over 3.4 million life-years saved) and shows improvements since 2012. Our study also highlights areas of transplantation, notably pancreas transplants, that may necessitate reinvigorated attention.

Development and validation of a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE) following liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Analysis of the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium.

HCC recurrence following liver transplantation (LT) is highly morbid and occurs despite strict patient selection criteria. Individualized prediction of post-LT HCC recurrence risk remains an important need. Clinico-radiologic and pathologic data of 4981 patients with HCC undergoing LT from the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium (UMHTC) were analyzed to develop a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE). Multivariable Fine and Gray competing risk analysis and machine learning algorithms (Random Survival Forest and Classification and Regression Tree models) identified variables to model HCC recurrence. RELAPSE was externally validated in 1160 HCC LT recipients from the European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant study group. Of 4981 UMHTC patients with HCC undergoing LT, 71.9% were within Milan criteria, 16.1% were initially beyond Milan criteria with 9.4% downstaged before LT, and 12.0% had incidental HCC on explant pathology. Overall and recurrence-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 89.7%, 78.6%, and 69.8% and 86.8%, 74.9%, and 66.7%, respectively, with a 5-year incidence of HCC recurrence of 12.5% (median 16 months) and non-HCC mortality of 20.8%. A multivariable model identified maximum alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.35 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.22-1.50, p < 0.001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.16 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.04-1.28, p < 0.006), pathologic maximum tumor diameter (HR = 1.53 per-log SD, 95% CI, 1.35-1.73, p < 0.001), microvascular (HR = 2.37, 95%-CI, 1.87-2.99, p < 0.001) and macrovascular (HR = 3.38, 95% CI, 2.41-4.75, p < 0.001) invasion, and tumor differentiation (moderate HR = 1.75, 95% CI, 1.29-2.37, p < 0.001; poor HR = 2.62, 95% CI, 1.54-3.32, p < 0.001) as independent variables predicting post-LT HCC recurrence (C-statistic = 0.78). Machine learning algorithms incorporating additional covariates improved prediction of recurrence (Random Survival Forest C-statistic = 0.81). Despite significant differences in European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant recipient radiologic, treatment, and pathologic characteristics, external validation of RELAPSE demonstrated consistent 2- and 5-year recurrence risk discrimination (AUCs 0.77 and 0.75, respectively). We developed and externally validated a RELAPSE score that accurately discriminates post-LT HCC recurrence risk and may allow for individualized post-LT surveillance, immunosuppression modification, and selection of high-risk patients for adjuvant therapies.

Disparate Intent-to-Treat Outcomes for Pediatric Liver Transplantation Based on Indication.

Background: The impact of indication for pediatric liver transplantation on waitlist and post-transplant mortality outcomes is well known, but the impact on intent-to-treat outcomes has not been investigated. Intent-to-treat survival analysis is important in this study because it is more comprehensive, combining the transplant outcomes of waitlist mortality, post-transplant mortality, and transplant rate into a single metric to elucidate any disparities in outcomes based on indication. Methods: Cox regression was used to analyze factors impacting survival in 8,002 children listed for liver transplant in the UNOS database between 2006 and 2016. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to assess differences in waitlist, post-transplant, and intent-to-treat mortality among the top 5 indications of biliary atresia, acute hepatic necrosis, metabolic disorders, hepatoblastoma, and autoimmune cirrhosis. Results: When compared to the reference group of biliary atresia, multivariate analyses showed that every indication was associated with inferior intent-to-treat outcomes except for metabolic disorders. Hepatoblastoma (hazard ratio (HR): 3.73), autoimmune cirrhosis (HR: 1.86), and AHN (HR: 1.77) were associated with significantly increased intent-to-treat mortality. Hepatoblastoma was also associated with increased post-transplant mortality (HR: 3.77) and was the only indication significantly associated with increased waitlist mortality (HR: 6.43). Conclusion: Significant disparity exists across all indications with respect to an increased intent-to-treat mortality, along with an increased post-transplant and waitlist mortality, when compared to the biliary atresia reference group. If further studies validate these findings, a reexamination of the equitable distribution of allografts for transplant may be warranted as well as a focus on disparities in survival after transplant.

Outcomes in liver transplant recipients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related HCC: results from the US multicenter HCC transplant consortium.

NAFLD will soon be the most common indication for liver transplantation (LT). In NAFLD, HCC may occur at earlier stages of fibrosis and present with more advanced tumor stage, raising concern for aggressive disease. Thus, adult LT recipients with HCC from 20 US centers transplanted between 2002 and 2013 were analyzed to determine whether NAFLD impacts recurrence-free post-LT survival. Five hundred and thirty-eight (10.8%) of 4981 total patients had NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD were significantly older (63 vs. 58, p<0.001), had higher body mass index (30.5 vs. 27.4, p<0.001), and were more likely to have diabetes (57.3% vs. 28.8%, p<0.001). Patients with NAFLD were less likely to receive pre-LT locoregional therapy (63.6% vs. 72.9%, p<0.001), had higher median lab MELD (15 vs. 13, p<0.001) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (3.8 vs. 2.9, p<0.001), and were more likely to have their maximum pre-LT alpha fetoprotein at time of LT (44.1% vs. 36.1%, p<0.001). NAFLD patients were more likely to have an incidental HCC on explant (19.4% vs. 10.4%, p<0.001); however, explant characteristics including tumor differentiation and vascular invasion were not different between groups. Comparing NAFLD and non-NAFLD patients, the 1, 3, and 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence (3.1%, 9.1%, 11.5% vs. 4.9%, 10.1%, 12.6%, p=0.36) and recurrence-free survival rates (87%, 76%, and 67% vs. 87%, 75%, and 67%, p=0.97) were not different. In competing risks analysis, NAFLD did not significantly impact recurrence in univariable (HR: 0.88, p=0.36) nor in adjusted analysis (HR: 0.91, p=0.49). With NAFLD among the most common causes of HCC and poised to become the leading indication for LT, a better understanding of disease-specific models to predict recurrence is needed. In this NAFLD cohort, incidental HCCs were common, raising concerns about early detection. However, despite less locoregional therapy and high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, explant tumor characteristics and post-transplant recurrence-free survival were not different compared to non-NAFLD patients.

Clinical Course and Outcomes of Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-Related Hepatocellular Cancer (NAFLD-HCC).

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Among etiologies for hepatocellular (HCC), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) carries a high risk of competing non-cancer mortality. The effect of cancer and non-cancer factors on risk of death after NAFLD-HCC diagnosis remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the role of non-cancer mortality with NAFLD-HCC. METHODS: Using a retrospective cohort of patients with NAFLD diagnosed at 130 facilities in the Veterans Administration, we identified patients with incident HCC diagnosed between January 1, 2005 and June 30, 2018. We determined cause of death as HCC-related, non-HCC liver-related, and non-liver-related after HCC diagnosis. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the effect of clinical factors on cause-specific mortality after NAFLD-HCC diagnosis. RESULTS: We identified 776 patients with incident HCC. Mean age at HCC diagnosis was 70.1 year, 22.2% had Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0-A, and 67.0% had more than one comorbidity. 1- and 3-year mortality rates were 47.0% and 69.6%, respectively. Most deaths (72.2% at 3 years) were attributable to HCC. In HCC patients who received curative treatment, non-cancer mortality accounted for 40% of all deaths between 3 and 5 years after treatment. Poor performance status (ECOG 3/4, HR 5.03, 95% CI: 2.59-9.77) and older age (65-75, HR 1.94, 95% CI: 1.06-3.54) were strongly associated with non-cancer mortality. CONCLUSION: Although most patients with NAFLD-HCC die of HCC, non-cancer mortality represents a clinically meaningful competing event for patients receiving curative treatment, underscoring the importance of assessing and managing risk factors of non-cancer morbidity and mortality. TRIAL AND REGISTRATION: N/A.

Long-term outcomes and trends in liver transplantation for hereditary hemochromatosis in the United States.

There have been conflicting data regarding liver transplantation (LT) outcomes for hereditary hemochromatosis (HH), with no recent data on LT outcomes in patients with HH in the past decade. Using the United Network for Organ Sharing registry, we evaluated waitlist and post-LT survival in all adult patients listed for HH without concomitant liver disease from 2003 to 2019. Post-LT survival for HH was compared with a propensity-matched (recipient and donor factors) cohort of recipients with chronic liver disease (CLD). From 2003 to 2019, 862 patients with HH were listed for LT, of which 55.6% ( n = 479) patients underwent LT. The 1- and 5-year post-LT survival rates in patients with HH were 88.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 85.4%-91.4%) and 77.5% (95% CI, 72.8%-81.4%), respectively, and were comparable with those in the propensity-matched CLD cohort ( p value = 0.96). Post-LT survival for HH was lower than for Wilson's disease, another hereditary metabolic liver disease with similar LT volume ( n = 365). Predictors for long-term (5-year) post-LT mortality included presence of portal vein thrombosis (hazard ratio [HR], 1.96; 95% CI, 1.07-3.58), obesity measurements greater than Class II (HR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.16-3.39), and Karnofsky performance status (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.99) at the time of LT. The leading cause of post-LT death ( n = 145) was malignancy (25.5%), whereas cardiac disease was the cause in less than 10% of recipients. In conclusion, short- and long-term survival rates for HH are excellent and comparable with those of other LT recipients. Improving extrahepatic metabolic factors and functional status in patients with HH prior to LT may improve outcomes.

Reduction in Racial and Ethnic Disparity in Survival Following Liver Transplant for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Direct-acting Antiviral Era.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Black patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC), often attributed to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, have suboptimal survival following liver transplant (LT). We evaluated the impact of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) availability on racial and ethnic disparities in wait list burden post-LT survival for candidates with HCC. METHODS: Using the United Network for Organ Sharing registry, we identified patients with HCC who were listed and/or underwent LT from 2009 to 2020. Based on date of LT, patients were categorized into 2 era-based cohorts: the pre-DAA era (LT between 2009 and 2011) and DAA era (LT between 2015 and 2017, with follow-up through 2020). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to compare post-LT survival, stratified by era and race and ethnicity. RESULTS: Annual wait list additions for HCV-related HCC decreased significantly in White and Hispanic patients during the DAA era, with no change (P = .14) in Black patients. Black patients had lower 3-year survival than White patients in the pre-DAA era (70.6% vs 80.1%, respectively; P < .001) but comparable survival in the DAA era (82.1% vs 85.5%, respectively; P = .16). 0n multivariable analysis, Black patients in the pre-DAA era had a 53% higher risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-1.84), for mortality than White patients, but mortality was comparable in the DAA era (adjusted HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.99-1.52). In a stratified analysis in Black patients, HCV-related HCC carried more than a 2-fold higher risk of mortality in the pre-DAA era (adjusted HR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.50-5.43), which was reduced in the DAA era (adjusted HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.78-2.30). CONCLUSIONS: With the availability of DAA therapy, racial disparities in post-LT survival have improved.

Improved Survival After Liver Transplantation for Patients With Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and HIV/Hepatitis C Virus Coinfection in the Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitor and Direct-Acting Antiviral Eras.

BACKGROUND: People with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) with and without hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection had poor outcomes after liver transplant (LT). Integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) and direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have changed the treatment landscape for HIV and HCV, respectively, but their impact on LT outcomes remains unclear. METHODS: This retrospective analysis of adults with HIV monoinfection (n = 246) and HIV/HCV coinfection (n = 286) who received LT compared mortality in patients with HIV who received LT before versus after approval of INSTIs and in patients with HIV/HCV coinfection who received LT before versus after approval of DAAs. In secondary analysis, we compared the outcomes in the different eras with those of propensity score-matched control cohorts of LT recipients without HIV or HCV infection. RESULTS: LT recipients with HIV monoinfection did not experience a significant improvement in survival between the pre-INSTI and INSTI recipients with HIV (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.70 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .36-1.34]). However, recipients with HIV/HCV coinfection in the DAA era had a 47% reduction (aHR, 0.53 [95% CI, .31-9.2] in 1-year mortality compared with coinfected recipients in the pre-DAA era. Compared to recipients without HIV or HCV, HIV-monoinfected recipients had higher mortality during the pre-INSTI era, but survival was comparable between groups during the INSTI era. HIV/HCV-coinfected recipients also experienced comparable survival during the DAA era compared to recipients without HCV or HIV. CONCLUSIONS: Post-LT survival for people with HIV monoinfection and HIV/HCV coinfection has improved with the introduction of INSTI and DAA therapy, suggesting that LT has become safer in these populations.

A modified Kidney Donor Risk Index for pediatric kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: The Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI) by Rao et al. was developed to measure the quality of kidney allografts. While Rao's KDRI has been found to be a robust measure of kidney allograft survival for adult kidney transplant recipients, many studies have indicated the need to create a distinct pediatric KDRI. METHODS: Our retrospective study utilized data from the United Network for Organ Sharing database. We examined 9295 deceased donor recipients' data for age < 18 years from 1990 to 2020. We performed a multivariate Cox regression to determine the significant recipient and transplant factors impacting pediatric kidney allograft survival. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis found 5 donor factors to be independently associated with graft failure or recipient death: age, female sex, anoxia as the cause of death, history of cigarette use, and cold ischemia time. Using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and analyzing the predictive value of each KDRI at 1, 5, and 10 years, the proposed pediatric KDRI had a statistically significant and higher predictive value for pediatric recipients at 5 (0.60 versus 0.57) and 10 years (0.61 versus 0.57) than the Rao KDRI. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed pediatric KDRI may provide a more accurate and simpler index to assess the quality of kidney allografts for pediatric recipients. However, due to the mild increase in predictive capabilities over the Rao index, the study serves as a proof of concept to develop a pediatric KDRI. Further studies should focus on increasing the index's predictive capabilities. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Is Liver Transplant Justified at Any MELD Score?

BACKGROUND: Assessing the survival benefit of transplantation in patients with end-stage liver disease is critical in guiding the decision-making process for liver allocation. Previous studies established increased mortality risk for those transplanted below Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 18 compared with candidates who remained on the waitlist; however, improved outcomes of liver transplantation and a changing landscape in the donor supply warrant re-evaluation of this idea. METHODS: Using the United Network for Organ Sharing database, we analyzed 160 290 candidates who were waitlisted for liver transplantation within MELD cohorts. We compared patients who were transplanted in a MELD cohort with those listed but not transplanted in that listed MELD cohort with an intent-to-treat analysis. RESULTS: Those transplanted at a MELD between 6 and 11 showed a 31% reduction in adjusted mortality (HR = 0.69 [95% confidence interval [CI], 0.66-0.75]; P < 0.001) compared with the intent-to-treat cohort in a Cox multivariate regression. This mortality benefit increased to a 37% adjusted reduction for those transplanted at MELD between 12 and 14 (HR = 0.63 [95% CI, 0.60-0.66]; P < 0.001) and a 46% adjusted reduction for those transplanted at a MELD between 15 and 17 (HR = 0.54 [95% CI, 0.52-0.57]; P < 0.001), effects that remained in sensitivity analyses excluding patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, encephalopathy, ascites, and variceal bleeds. A multivariate analysis of patients transplanted at MELD < 18 found younger age and cold ischemia time were protective, whereas older age, lower functional status, and socioeconomic factors increased mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS: These findings challenge the current practice of deferring liver transplants below a particular MELD score by demonstrating survival benefits for most transplant patients at the lowest MELD scores and providing insight into who benefits within these subgroups.

nnU-Net Deep Learning Method for Segmenting Parenchyma and Determining Liver Volume From Computed Tomography Images.

Background: Recipient donor matching in liver transplantation can require precise estimations of liver volume. Currently utilized demographic-based organ volume estimates are imprecise and nonspecific. Manual image organ annotation from medical imaging is effective; however, this process is cumbersome, often taking an undesirable length of time to complete. Additionally, manual organ segmentation and volume measurement incurs additional direct costs to payers for either a clinician or trained technician to complete. Deep learning-based image automatic segmentation tools are well positioned to address this clinical need. Objectives: To build a deep learning model that could accurately estimate liver volumes and create 3D organ renderings from computed tomography (CT) medical images. Methods: We trained a nnU-Net deep learning model to identify liver borders in images of the abdominal cavity. We used 151 publicly available CT scans. For each CT scan, a board-certified radiologist annotated the liver margins (ground truth annotations). We split our image dataset into training, validation, and test sets. We trained our nnU-Net model on these data to identify liver borders in 3D voxels and integrated these to reconstruct a total organ volume estimate. Results: The nnU-Net model accurately identified the border of the liver with a mean overlap accuracy of 97.5% compared with ground truth annotations. Our calculated volume estimates achieved a mean percent error of 1.92% + 1.54% on the test set. Conclusions: Precise volume estimation of livers from CT scans is accurate using a nnU-Net deep learning architecture. Appropriately deployed, a nnU-Net algorithm is accurate and quick, making it suitable for incorporation into the pretransplant clinical decision-making workflow.

Do Patients with Autoimmune Conditions Have Less Access to Liver Transplantation despite Superior Outcomes?

Orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is a lifesaving therapy for patients with irreversible liver damage caused by autoimmune liver diseases (AutoD) including autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Currently, it is unclear how access to transplantation differs among patients with various etiologies of liver disease. Our aim is to evaluate the likelihood of transplant and the long-term patient and graft survival after OLT for each etiology for transplantation from 2000 to 2021. We conducted a large retrospective study of United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) liver transplant patients in five 4-year eras with five cohorts: AutoD (PBC, PSC, AIH cirrhosis), alcohol-related liver disease (ALD), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), viral hepatitis, and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We conducted a multivariate analysis for probability of transplant. Intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis was performed to assess the 10-year survival differences for each listing diagnosis while accounting for both waitlist and post-transplant survival. Across all eras, autoimmune conditions had a lower adjusted probability of transplant of 0.92 (0.92, 0.93) compared to ALD 0.97 (0.97, 0.97), HCC 1.08 (1.07, 1.08), viral hepatitis 0.99 (0.99, 0.99), and NASH 0.99 (0.99, 1.00). Patients with AutoD had significantly better post-transplant patient and graft survival than ALD, HCC, viral hepatitis, and NASH in each and across all eras (p-values all < 0.001). Patients with AutoD had superior ITT survival (p-value < 0.001, log rank test). In addition, the waitlist survival for patients with AutoD compared to other listing diagnoses was improved with the exception of ALD, which showed no significant difference (p-value = 0.1056, log rank test). Despite a superior 10-year graft and patient survival in patients transplanted for AutoD, patients with AutoD have a significantly lower probability of receiving a liver transplant compared to those transplanted for HCC, ALD, viral hepatitis, and NASH. Patients with AutoD may benefit from improved liver allocation while maintaining superior waitlist and post-transplant survival. Decreased access in spite of appropriate outcomes for patients poses a significant risk for increased morbidity for patients with AutoD.

Trends in marginal lung allograft survival: Advanced-age donors improve.

INTRODUCTION: Although lung demand continues to outpace supply, 75% of potential donor lungs are discarded without being transplanted in the United States. To identify the discarded cohorts best suited to alleviate the lung shortage and reduce waitlist mortality, we explored changes in survival over time for five marginal donor definitions: age >60 years, smoking history >20 pack-years, PaO2 /FiO2  < 300 mmHg, purulent bronchoscopic secretions, and chest radiograph infiltrates. METHODS: Our retrospective cohort study separated 27 803 lung recipients in the UNOS Database into three 5-year eras by transplant date: 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis with log-rank test were used to compare survival across the eras. RESULTS: Three definitions-low PaO2 /FiO2 , purulent bronchoscopic secretions, and abnormal chest radiographs-did not bear out as truly marginal, demonstrating lack of significantly elevated risk. Advanced donor age demonstrated considerable survival improvement (HR (95% CI): 1.47 (1.26-1.72) in 2005-2009 down to 1.14 (.97-1.35) for 2015-2019), with protective factors being recipients <60 years, moderate recipient BMI, and low Lung Allocation Score (LAS). Donors with smoking history failed to demonstrate any significant improvement (HR (95% CI): 1.09 (1.01-1.17) in 2005-2009 increasing to 1.22 (1.08-1.38) in 2015-2019). CONCLUSIONS: Advanced donor age, previously the most significant risk factor, has improved to near-benchmark levels, demonstrating the possibility for matching older donors to healthier non-elderly recipients in selected circumstances. Low PaO2 /FiO2 , bronchoscopic secretions, and abnormal radiographs demonstrated survival on par with standard donors. Significant donor smoking history, a moderate risk factor, has failed to improve.

Low-dose aspirin confers protection against acute cellular allograft rejection after primary liver transplantation.

This study investigated the effect of low-dose aspirin in primary adult liver transplantation (LT) on acute cellular rejection (ACR) as well as arterial patency rates. The use of low-dose aspirin after LT is practiced by many transplant centers to minimize the risk of hepatic artery thrombosis (HAT), although solid recommendations do not exist. However, aspirin also possesses potent anti-inflammatory properties and might mitigate inflammatory processes after LT, such as rejection. Therefore, we hypothesized that the use of aspirin after LT has a protective effect against ACR. This is an international, multicenter cohort study of primary adult deceased donor LT. The study included 17 high-volume LT centers and covered the 3-year period from 2013 to 2015 to allow a minimum 5-year follow-up. In this cohort of 2365 patients, prophylactic antiplatelet therapy with low-dose aspirin was administered in 1436 recipients (61%). The 1-year rejection-free survival rate was 89% in the aspirin group versus 82% in the no-aspirin group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.94; p = 0.01). The 1-year primary arterial patency rates were 99% in the aspirin group and 96% in the no-aspirin group with an HR of 0.23 (95% CI, 0.13-0.40; p < 0.001). Low-dose aspirin was associated with a lower risk of ACR and HAT after LT, especially in the first vulnerable year after transplantation. Therefore, low-dose aspirin use after primary LT should be evaluated to protect the liver graft from ACR and to maintain arterial patency.

Early Impact of MMaT-3 Policy on Liver Transplant Waitlist Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

To reduce the disparity in access to liver transplant (LT), United Network for Organ Sharing implemented an exception policy in May 2019, which capped hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exception score to the median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) at transplant within the donor service area minus 3 points (MMaT-3) after the 6-mo wait period. We aimed to evaluate how this policy affected HCC waitlist outcomes. Methods: Using United Network for Organ Sharing data, we analyzed waitlist outcomes in HCC patients at the time they received exception points from in the pre-MMaT era (August 15, 2017, to November 15, 2018) and MMaT era (June 1, 2019, to August 30, 2020). Comparisons were made within the HCC group and HCC versus non-HCC (at time of listing) groups in the pre-MMaT and MMaT eras and regions were grouped as low, medium, and high MELD based on MMaT. Results: HCC group: LT probability within HCC patients decreased by 20% (subhazard ratio [sHR], 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.85) between the eras and decreased by 41% in low MELD regions (sHR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.52-0.66). Waitlist dropout was unchanged. Matched HCC versus non-HCC groups: HCC patients had 80% higher LT probability (sHR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.71-1.99) than non-HCC patients in the pre-MMaT era; which decreased to a 14% higher LT probability in MMaT era. In low and medium regions, HCC patients had over twofold higher LT probability in the pre-MMaT era, which decreased to a ~20% higher probability (sHR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06-1.23) in the MMaT era. After implementation of the acuity circle policy, HCC patients had lower LT probability (sHR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.94) than non-HCC patients. Conclusions: The geographic disparity between HCC and non-HCC patients has improved with the MMaT-3 policy. Despite lower LT probability for HCC patients, waitlist dropout was not adversely impacted.