Probabilistic risk assessment of nitrates for Austrian adults and estimation of the magnitude of their conversion into nitrites.

Nitrates occur in food naturally, as contaminants or additives. The health implications attributed to ingested nitrates result primarily from their conversion into nitrites and subsequent methemoglobinemia, carcinogenicity induced by N-nitroso-compounds and cardiovascular, endocrine, metabolic, reproductive and developmental effects. The present study comprises a probabilistic tiered risk assessment of nitrates for Austrian adults through the diet with the application of the Monte Carlo simulation method in alternative optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. Risk estimates are of concern regarding the upper exposures, which exceed the Acceptable Daily Intake (ADI) in almost all scenarios and population groups. Exposure is elevated when all dietary sources are considered and the ADI is exceeded by already the mean intake for vegetarians. Leafy vegetables are major contributors to the intake. Contribution of cured meat is very low. Estimates of the conversion of nitrates into nitrites were used to assess the combined exposure to both species. When the average intake of nitrates and nitrites is considered, the mean exposure to nitrites is lower or close to the ADI for individuals with average conversion capacity. However, upper tail combined intake can lead to a multifold exceedance of the ADI of nitrites for individuals with both high and average conversion capacity.

Risk assessment of nitrites for the Austrian adult population with probabilistic modelling of the dietary exposure.

Nitrites are present in the food chain as naturally occurring species or contaminants. Additionally, sodium and potassium nitrites are authorised food additives. Nitrites exert acute toxicity through methemoglobinemia or cardiovascular effects, chronic toxicity associated with endocrine, reproductive and developmental effects and have been classified as probable gastric carcinogens. Ingestion of food and water are the main sources of human exposure. This study comprises a tiered risk assessment of nitrites for the Austrian adult population, along with the identification of the food categories most contributing to their intake. The dietary exposure, based on Austrian occurrence and consumption data, was modelled with the Monte Carlo simulation method. In an additional scenario, data gaps were addressed with the usage of occurrence data published by the European Food Safety Authority and from the available literature to account for the exposure from all sources. Risk estimates regarding only the exposure to nitrite additives and to contaminated water indicate low level of concern. However, when exposure from all sources is considered, the estimated exposure is elevated and exceeds the Acceptable Daily Intake for high consumers. Mean exposure attributed to the use of nitrites as additives accounts for only a very small proportion of the total intake.