Should we reconsider blocking the thyroid for 123 I-Ioflupane studies in elderly patients: quantifying radiation dose to the unblocked thyroid and implications for clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES: To measure the absorbed dose to the thyroid in patients injected with 123 I-Ioflupane where the thyroid was not blocked with prophylaxis to investigate whether thyroid blocking should be limited to younger patients. This risk from the additional absorbed dose to the thyroid was then compared to the risk from iodine overdose through ingestion of the iodide prophylaxis, resulting in iodine-induced hyper/hypothyroidism (IIH). METHODS: A cohort of patients (n = 30) who did not receive thyroid prophylaxis underwent static thyroid imaging 3 h after 123 I-Ioflupane administration. The measured thyroidal uptake of free 123 I was then extrapolated to peak uptake time (24 h post-administration). This value was used to calculate cumulated activity in the thyroid and thus thyroid-thyroid absorbed dose D(rthy←rthy ) using the relevant S-value in the MIRD method. RESULTS: Mean D(rthy←rthy ) was found to be 13.6 mGy with an SD of 8.8 mGy; this would contribute an additional 0.5 mSv to the effective dose. CONCLUSION: ARSAC recommends in its Notes for Guidance prophylactic thyroid blocking if the absorbed dose to the thyroid is >50 mGy; the maximum thyroid dose in this study cohort was 36.3 mGy. With risk from IIH and its associated cardiac complications increasing with age, this study suggests that iodide prophylaxis with 123 I-Ioflupane should be reconsidered for elderly patient.

Assessing the cardiovascular effects of levothyroxine use in an ageing United Kingdom population (ACEL-UK) protocol: a cohort and target trial emulation study.

BACKGROUND: Subclinical hypothyroidism is diagnosed when serum thyroid stimulating hormone levels are higher whilst free thyroxine levels remain within their respective reference ranges. These reference ranges are uniformly applied in all adults, despite serum thyroid stimulating hormone levels naturally increasing with age. Research has found that mildly elevated thyroid stimulating hormone levels may be associated with some benefits in ageing patients, including reduced mortality and better cardiorespiratory fitness. Levothyroxine is typically prescribed to patients with hypothyroidism, but no conclusive evidence exists on whether levothyroxine therapy is beneficial or detrimental in older subclinical hypothyroid patients. Despite this, prescriptions for levothyroxine are increasing year-on-year. This study aims to determine if receiving levothyroxine affects the cardiovascular and bone health outcomes of subclinical patients in primary care aged 50 years and over. METHODS: This project includes a retrospective cohort analysis and a target trial emulation study using electronic patient records collected between 2006 and 2021 and recorded in The Health Improvement Network database. The primary outcome of this study is to compare the cardiovascular outcomes of subclinical hypothyroid patients aged over 50 years treated with levothyroxine compared to those untreated. Secondary outcomes are bone health and all-cause mortality outcomes. Descriptive and inferential statistics will both be employed to analyse the data. Secondary analysis will explore confounding factors, including age, sex, smoking status, body mass index, co-morbidities, and levothyroxine dosage. DISCUSSION: There needs to be a greater understanding of the potential risks of the current treatment for older patients with subclinical hypothyroidism in a primary care setting. We will investigate the clinical importance of this issue and whether older subclinical hypothyroid patients have poorer outcomes when treated. Clarifying this concern may help address the healthcare resource implications of ageing patients being misclassified as having mild hypothyroidism, as these patients are more likely to repeat their blood tests. This could reduce prescription wastage and improve patient outcomes and quality of life in the ageing population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.

The optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function defined by the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Reference intervals of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and free thyroxine (FT4) are statistically defined by the 2·5-97·5th percentiles, without accounting for potential risk of clinical outcomes. We aimed to define the optimal healthy ranges of TSH and FT4 based on the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. METHODS: This systematic review and individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis identified eligible prospective cohorts through the Thyroid Studies Collaboration, supplemented with a systematic search via Embase, MEDLINE (Ovid), Web of science, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Google Scholar from Jan 1, 2011, to Feb 12, 2017 with an updated search to Oct 13, 2022 (cohorts found in the second search were not included in the IPD). We included cohorts that collected TSH or FT4, and cardiovascular outcomes or mortality for adults (aged ≥18 years). We excluded cohorts that included solely pregnant women, individuals with overt thyroid diseases, and individuals with cardiovascular disease. We contacted the study investigators of eligible cohorts to provide IPD on demographics, TSH, FT4, thyroid peroxidase antibodies, history of cardiovascular disease and risk factors, medication use, cardiovascular disease events, cardiovascular disease mortality, and all-cause mortality. The primary outcome was a composite outcome including cardiovascular disease events (coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure) and all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were the separate assessment of cardiovascular disease events, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular disease mortality. We performed one-step (cohort-stratified Cox models) and two-step (random-effects models) meta-analyses adjusting for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, and total cholesterol. The study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42017057576. FINDINGS: We identified 3935 studies, of which 53 cohorts fulfilled the inclusion criteria and 26 cohorts agreed to participate. We included IPD on 134 346 participants with a median age of 59 years (range 18-106) at baseline. There was a J-shaped association of FT4 with the composite outcome and secondary outcomes, with the 20th (median 13·5 pmol/L [IQR 11·2-13·9]) to 40th percentiles (median 14·8 pmol/L [12·3-15·0]) conveying the lowest risk. Compared with the 20-40th percentiles, the age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for FT4 in the 80-100th percentiles was 1·20 (95% CI 1·11-1·31) for the composite outcome, 1·34 (1·20-1·49) for all-cause mortality, 1·57 (1·31-1·89) for cardiovascular disease mortality, and 1·22 (1·11-1·33) for cardiovascular disease events. In individuals aged 70 years and older, the 10-year absolute risk of composite outcome increased over 5% for women with FT4 greater than the 85th percentile (median 17·6 pmol/L [IQR 15·0-18·3]), and men with FT4 greater than the 75th percentile (16·7 pmol/L [14·0-17·4]). Non-linear associations were identified for TSH, with the 60th (median 1·90 mIU/L [IQR 1·68-2·25]) to 80th percentiles (2·90 mIU/L [2·41-3·32]) associated with the lowest risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. Compared with the 60-80th percentiles, the age-adjusted and sex-adjusted HR of TSH in the 0-20th percentiles was 1·07 (95% CI 1·02-1·12) for the composite outcome, 1·09 (1·05-1·14) for all-cause mortality, and 1·07 (0·99-1·16) for cardiovascular disease mortality. INTERPRETATION: There was a J-shaped association of FT4 with cardiovascular disease and mortality. Low concentrations of TSH were associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality. The 20-40th percentiles of FT4 and the 60-80th percentiles of TSH could represent the optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function based on the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality, with more than 5% increase of 10-year composite risk identified for FT4 greater than the 85th percentile in women and men older than 70 years. We propose a feasible approach to establish the optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function, allowing for better identification of individuals with a higher risk of thyroid-related outcomes. FUNDING: None.

Efficacy and Safety of Triiodothyronine Treatment in Cardiac Surgery or Cardiovascular Diseases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

Background: Low levels of the active thyroid hormone triiodothyronine (T3) in cardiac patients are associated with worse outcomes. The aim of this analysis was to assess if T3 treatment is beneficial and safe in patients undergoing cardiac surgery or those with cardiovascular diseases in whom there is observed or expected reduction in serum T3 levels. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was performed as per the PRISMA guidelines. Pubmed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases were searched for RCTs published between January 1, 1960 and March 30, 2022 that evaluated the effects of T3 therapy in patients undergoing cardiac surgery or with cardiovascular diseases. The primary outcomes were measures of cardiac function. Weighted mean difference (MD) or relative risk was calculated using a random effects model. PROSPERO registration number CRD42020211966. Results: Of the 3181 full-text articles screened, 34 studies with 2547 participants (number ranging between 13 and 223, mean ages between 0.5 and 73 years, mean percentage of women between 7% and 64%) were included. In 12 RCTs with 1093 adults undergoing cardiac surgery T3 therapy was associated with improvement in cardiac index (MD [95% confidence interval], 0.24 [0.08 to 0.40] L/min/m2, I2 = 74%). The quality of evidence was high to moderate. In 3 RCTs with 188 children undergoing cardiac surgery, 3 RCTs with 131 adult cardiac donors, 3 RCTs with 83 adult patients with heart failure, and 2 RCTs with 89 adults with acute myocardial infarction, T3 therapy did not improve cardiac index or left ventricular function; the quality of evidence ranged from high (pediatric cardiac surgery) to low (other groups). No detrimental effect of T3 therapy was observed on heart rate, risk of in-hospital atrial fibrillation, or mortality. Conclusions: Short-term T3 therapy is safe and trials in adults undergoing cardiac surgical procedures to evaluate longer term clinical endpoints are required. Current data do not support the routine use of T3 therapy in children undergoing cardiac surgery or in cardiac donors. Adequately designed trials are required to determine if T3 therapy improves cardiac function and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure or acute myocardial infarction.

Postradioiodine Graves' management: The PRAGMA study.

OBJECTIVE: Thyroid status in the months following radioiodine (RI) treatment for Graves' disease can be unstable. Our objective was to quantify frequency of abnormal thyroid function post-RI and compare effectiveness of common management strategies. DESIGN: Retrospective, multicentre and observational study. PATIENTS: Adult patients with Graves' disease treated with RI with 12 months' follow-up. MEASUREMENTS: Euthyroidism was defined as both serum thyrotropin (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH]) and free thyroxine (FT4) within their reference ranges or, when only one was available, it was within its reference range; hypothyroidism as TSH ≥ 10 mU/L, or subnormal FT4 regardless of TSH; hyperthyroidism as TSH below and FT4 above their reference ranges; dysthyroidism as the sum of hypo- and hyperthyroidism; subclinical hypothyroidism as normal FT4 and TSH between the upper limit of normal and <10 mU/L; and subclinical hyperthyroidism as low TSH and normal FT4. RESULTS: Of 812 patients studied post-RI, hypothyroidism occurred in 80.7% and hyperthyroidism in 48.6% of patients. Three principal post-RI management strategies were employed: (a) antithyroid drugs alone, (b) levothyroxine alone, and (c) combination of the two. Differences among these were small. Adherence to national guidelines regarding monitoring thyroid function in the first 6 months was low (21.4%-28.7%). No negative outcomes (new-onset/exacerbation of Graves' orbitopathy, weight gain, and cardiovascular events) were associated with dysthyroidism. There were significant differences in demographics, clinical practice, and thyroid status postradioiodine between centres. CONCLUSIONS: Dysthyroidism in the 12 months post-RI was common. Differences between post-RI strategies were small, suggesting these interventions alone are unlikely to address the high frequency of dysthyroidism.

The prevalence and significance of nonuniform thyroid radio-isotope uptake in patients with Graves' disease.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence and clinical significance of nonuniform technetium (99m Tc) uptake among patients with Graves' disease (GD). DESIGN, PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Patients with GD, referred between July 2005 and March 2018, had Tc99 - uptake scans and TSH-receptor antibody (TRAb) measured before antithyroid drug (ATD) therapy. Risk of relapse after ATD cessation was monitored until June 2021 and compared between GD patients based on uptake patterns. RESULTS: Of the 276 GD patients (mean age, 49.8 years; 84% female), 25 (9.0%) had nonuniform Tc99 uptake. At diagnosis, individuals with nonuniform uptake were older (mean age of 61.8 vs. 48.5 years, p < .001), had lower mean thyroid hormone levels (free thyroxine: 36.3 vs. 45.4 pmol/L, p = .04 and free triiodothyronine: 10.0 vs. 17.8 pmol/L, p < .001) and median TRAb levels (4.2 vs. 6.6 U/L, p = .04) compared with those with a uniform uptake. Older age was a significant predictor for the presence of nonuniform uptake in GD patients; odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) of 1.07 (1.03 - 1.10). The risk of relapse was similar in both groups after a median (IQR) follow-up of 41 (13-74) months after ATD cessation (56.0% vs. 46.3%, respectively); hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals) of 1.74 (0.96-3.15). CONCLUSIONS: Nonuniform radio-isotope uptake is seen in 1 in 11 patients with GD which could be misdiagnosed as toxic multinodular goitre if TRAb levels are not measured. Treatment of GD patients with nonuniform radio-isotope uptake with ATD therapy as first-line appears to be equally effective as compared with those with uniform uptake. TRAb testing should be the main diagnostic test for patients with suspected GD with radio-labelled uptake scans being reserved for those who are TRAb negative.

Does Clinical and Biochemical Thyroid Dysfunction Impact on Endometrial Cancer Survival Outcomes? A Prospective Database Study.

Endometrial cancer is the commonest gynaecological malignancy in developed countries, and women presenting with high risk or advanced disease have poor outcomes. Thyroid hormones play a key role in cellular metabolism and can influence cancer growth and invasion. Our aim was to evaluate the association between clinical and biochemical thyroid dysfunction and endometrial cancer survival outcomes. This was a prospective cohort study of women treated for endometrial cancer at a specialist centre. Clinical diagnosis of hypothyroidism was based on clinical and biochemical assessment, verified by general practitioner (GP) records. Pre-treatment serum samples were tested for thyrotropin (TSH), thyroid hormones (free T4 and total T3), and thyroid peroxidase antibodies. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and log-rank tests were used to compare survival between groups, while Cox regression was used for multivariable analysis, adjusting for known confounders and effect modifications. In total, 333 women with median age and body mass index (BMI) of 66 years (interquartile range (IQR) 56, 73) and 33 kg/m2 (IQR 27, 41) respectively were included. A total of 51 (15.3%) women had a diagnosis of hypothyroidism, 39 (11.9%) had biochemical evidence of overt or subclinical hypothyroidism. Median follow-up was 35 months (IQR 21, 45) with 38 (11.7%) relapses and 50 (15.0%) deaths. Women with a diagnosis of hypothyroidism had improved overall survival (adjusted HR = 0.22, 95%CI 0.06-0.74, p = 0.02), cancer-specific survival (adjusted HR = 0.21, 95%CI 0.05-0.98, p = 0.04) and fewer recurrences (adjusted HR = 0.17, 95%CI 0.04-0.77, p = 0.02) than those who did not. Confirmatory studies should explore underlying mechanisms and the potential for therapeutic exploitation.

Obesity: A critical risk factor in the COVID-19 pandemic.

Obesity is an emerging independent risk factor for susceptibility to and severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). Previous viral pandemics have shown that obesity, particularly severe obesity (BMI > 40 kg/m2 ), is associated with increased risk of hospitalization, critical care admission and fatalities. In this narrative review, we examine emerging evidence of the influence of obesity on COVID-19, the challenges to clinical management from pulmonary, endocrine and immune dysfunctions in individuals with obesity and identify potential areas for further research. We recommend that people with severe obesity be deemed a vulnerable group for COVID-19; clinical trials of pharmacotherapeutics, immunotherapies and vaccination should prioritize inclusion of people with obesity.

Novel uses of thyroid hormones in cardiovascular conditions.

Thyroid hormone levels are reduced in cardiovascular diseases and this phenomenon is associated with worse outcomes. It is unclear whether the changes in thyroid hormone bioavailability to the affected myocardium are beneficial or if this is a maladaptive response. Experimental studies from animal models of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) suggest that thyroid hormone treatment may be beneficial. There is limited data available on the use of thyroid hormones in patients with AMI and heart failure and this suggests that treatment to normalise thyroid hormone levels may be safe and potentially efficacious. Similarly, evidence of thyroid hormone therapy in patients undergoing cardiac surgery or during cardiac transplantation is limited. It is therefore difficult to draw any firm conclusions about benefits or risks of thyroid hormone treatment in these conditions. Large scale clinical trials of thyroid hormones in patients with cardiac conditions are required to confirm safety and evaluate efficacy. Furthermore, it needs to be elucidated which hormone to administer (thyroxine or triiodothyronine), when in the disease pathway to treat, dose of thyroid hormone to administer, and which parameters to utilise to assess safety and efficacy. Until these important questions are answered thyroid hormone therapy in cardiovascular diseases must remain within the research domain.

Challenges in Interpreting Thyroid Stimulating Hormone Results in the Diagnosis of Thyroid Dysfunction.

The pituitary hormone, thyrotropin (TSH), is regarded as the primary biomarker for evaluating thyroid function and is useful in guiding treatment with levothyroxine for patients with hypothyroidism. The amplified response of TSH to slight changes in thyroid hormone levels provides a large and easily measured signal in the routine care setting. Laboratories provide reference ranges with upper and lower cutoffs for TSH to define normal thyroid function. The upper limit of the range, used to diagnose subclinical (mild) hypothyroidism, is itself a matter for debate, with authoritative guidelines recommending treatment to within the lower half of the range. Concomitant diseases, medications, supplements, age, gender, ethnicity, iodine status, time of day, time of year, autoantibodies, heterophilic antibodies, smoking, and other factors influence the level of TSH, or the performance of current TSH assays. The long-term prognostic implications of small deviations of TSH from the reference range are unclear. Correction of TSH to within the reference range does not always bring thyroid and other biomarkers into range and will not always resolve the patient's symptoms. Overt hypothyroidism requires intervention with levothyroxine. It remains important that physicians managing a patient with symptoms suggestive of thyroid disease consider all of the patient's relevant disease, lifestyle, and other factors before intervening on the basis of a marginally raised TSH level alone. Finally, these limitations of TSH testing mitigate against screening the population for the undoubtedly substantial prevalence of undiagnosed thyroid disease, until appropriately designed randomised trials have quantified the benefits and harms from this approach.

Antigen-Specific Immunotherapy with Thyrotropin Receptor Peptides in Graves' Hyperthyroidism: A Phase I Study.

Background: Graves' disease is one of the most common autoimmune conditions, but treatment remains imperfect. This study explores the first-in-human use of antigen-specific immunotherapy with a combination of two thyrotropin receptor (TSHR) peptides (termed ATX-GD-59) in Graves' hyperthyroidism. Methods: Twelve participants (11 female) with previously untreated mild to moderate Graves' hyperthyroidism were enrolled in a Phase I open label trial to receive 10 doses of ATX-GD-59 administered intradermally over an 18-week period. Adverse events, tolerability, changes in serum free thyroid hormones, and TSHR autoantibodies were measured. Results: Ten subjects received all 10 doses of ATX-GD-59, five (50%) of whom had free triiodothyronine within the reference interval by the 18-week visit. Two further subjects had improved free thyroid hormones by the end of the study (7/10 responders), whereas three subjects showed worsening thyrotoxicosis during the study. Serum TSHR autoantibody concentrations reduced during the study and correlated with changes in free thyroid hormones (r = 0.85, p = 0.002 for TSHR autoantibody vs. free triiodothyronine). Mild injection-site swelling and pain were the most common adverse events. Conclusions: These preliminary data suggest that ATX-GD-59 is a safe and well-tolerated treatment. The improvement in free thyroid hormones in 70% of subjects receiving the medication suggests potential efficacy as a novel treatment for Graves' hyperthyroidism.

Analysis of BAFF gene polymorphisms in UK Graves' disease patients.

OBJECTIVE: B lymphocyte activating factor (BAFF), a member of the tumour necrosis factor superfamily, is essential for B cell activation, differentiation and survival. Elevated circulating BAFF levels have been found in patients with several autoimmune conditions, including Graves' disease. In addition, BAFF gene variants have been associated with Graves' disease in a Taiwanese cohort, and with several other autoimmune conditions in non-Taiwanese populations. DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed a case-control association study to investigate two BAFF polymorphisms (rs9514828 and rs4000607) in a UK cohort of 444 patients with Graves' disease. Genotype frequencies were compared to those from 447 local controls and more than 5000 healthy controls from the Wellcome Trust case-control consortium (WTCCC2). RESULTS: There was a significant difference in the frequency of the AA genotype at rs4000607 between the Graves' disease cohort and both the local controls (P = 0.045) and the WTCCC2 controls (P = 4.56 × 10-6 ). Furthermore, the frequency of the A allele was found to be increased in the Graves' disease group compared to WTCCC2 controls (P = 0.02, OR 1.20 (95% CI 1.03-1.41). No association was observed at the rs9514828 locus. CONCLUSION: Dysfunction of the humoral immune system is an obligatory pathophysiological component of Graves' disease, hence BAFF is an excellent functional candidate gene. We have demonstrated, for the first time, a significant association of the BAFF polymorphism rs4000607 with Graves' disease in a UK cohort. Further work to elucidate the role of BAFF in the pathogenesis of Graves' disease is now warranted.

Age May Influence the Impact of TRAbs on Thyroid Function and Relapse-Risk in Patients With Graves Disease.

CONTEXT: Thyrotropin receptor antibodies (TRAbs) play a crucial role in the pathogenesis of Graves disease (GD). However, factors that influence the association of TRAbs with thyroid hormones and relapse risk in GD remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the associations of TRAbs at diagnosis with thyroid hormones and relapse risk and potential factors that can influence these associations in GD. DESIGN AND SETTING: A prospective study in an endocrine center in England. PATIENTS AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Three hundred eighty-four consecutive patients with GD who had measurements of TRAbs and thyroid hormones at diagnosis. The association of TRAbs with thyroid hormones and relapse risk was assessed through linear regression and Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: TRAbs were nonlinearly associated with thyroid hormones, following a curve with an initial positive slope and a subsequent flattening (P < 0.0001). Higher TRAbs were associated with greater relapse risk [hazard ratio (HR), 1.05 (95% CI, 1.02 to 1.08) per 1-U/L increase]. These associations were modified by age, but not by sex, race, smoking, or thyroid peroxidase antibody levels. In younger participants, increasing TRAbs were associated with higher thyroid hormones and greater relapse risk [HR, 1.13 (95% CI, 1.04 to 1.23) per 1-U/L increase]. In older participants, TRAbs were not associated with thyroid hormones or relapse risk [HR, 0.99 (95% CI, 0.93 to 1.05) per 1-U/L increase. CONCLUSIONS: In GD, age can influence the effect of TRAbs on thyroid function and relapse risk. TRAbs at diagnosis have better predictive value in younger patients with GD.

Trends, Determinants, and Associations of Treated Hypothyroidism in the United Kingdom, 2005-2014.

BACKGROUND: Recent reports suggest that prescriptions for thyroid hormones have increased. Recent trends in and determinants of the prevalence of treated hypothyroidism across the United Kingdom were therefore analyzed. METHODS: Data covering the whole of the United Kingdom held by the National Health Service and the Office of National Statistics were examined. The main outcome measured was trends in the prevalence of treated hypothyroidism between 2005 and 2014. In addition, linear trend forecasting was performed to estimate projected trends in the prevalence of treated hypothyroidism up to the year 2025. Furthermore, determinants of variation of treated hypothyroidism prevalence across each of the 237 health areas in the United Kingdom in 2014 and its association with other health conditions were explored by multivariate linear regression analyses. RESULTS: The prevalence of treated hypothyroidism increased from 2.3% (1.4 million) to 3.5% (2.2 million) of the total British population between the years 2005 and 2014 and is projected to rise further to 4.2% (2.9 million) by 2025. There was large geographical variation of treated hypothyroidism across the United Kingdom, with London having the lowest (1.4%) and the Western Isles of Scotland having the highest (6.3%) prevalence. This variation was attenuated, but did not completely disappear, after some potential determinants were accounted for. The prevalence of treated hypothyroidism was independently related to health areas, with a higher proportion of individuals who were female, white, and obese, and negatively associated with prevalent cigarette smoking. The prevalence of treated hypothyroidism was significantly associated with the frequency of prevalent atrial fibrillation but not with other major health conditions, including ischemic heart disease and osteoporosis. CONCLUSIONS: Between 2005 and 2014, the prevalence of treated hypothyroidism increased across the United Kingdom, has wide geographical variation, and is likely to increase further for the foreseeable future. Clinical effects and cost-effectiveness of the trend in increasing treatment of hypothyroidism remains to be evaluated.

Thyroid Function Within the Reference Range and the Risk of Stroke: An Individual Participant Data Analysis.

CONTEXT: The currently applied reference ranges for thyroid function are under debate. Despite evidence that thyroid function within the reference range is related with several cardiovascular disorders, its association with the risk of stroke has not been evaluated previously. DESIGN AND SETTING: We identified studies through a systematic literature search and the Thyroid Studies Collaboration, a collaboration of prospective cohort studies. Studies measuring baseline TSH, free T4, and stroke outcomes were included, and we collected individual participant data from each study, including thyroid function measurements and incident all stroke (combined fatal and nonfatal) and fatal stroke. The applied reference range for TSH levels was between 0.45 and 4.49 mIU/L. RESULTS: We collected individual participant data on 43 598 adults with TSH within the reference range from 17 cohorts, with a median follow-up of 11.6 years (interquartile range 5.1-13.9), including 449 908 person-years. Age- and sex-adjusted pooled hazard ratio for TSH was 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.95 across the reference range of TSH) for all stroke and 0.83 (95% CI 0.62-1.09) for fatal stroke. For the free T4 analyses, the hazard ratio was 1.08 (95% CI 0.99-1.15 per SD increase) for all stroke and 1.10 (95% CI 1.04-1.19) for fatal stroke. This was independent of cardiovascular risk factors including systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, smoking, and prevalent diabetes. CONCLUSION: Higher levels of TSH within the reference range may decrease the risk of stroke, highlighting the need for further research focusing on the clinical consequences associated with differences within the reference range of thyroid function.

Serum Thyroid Function, Mortality and Disability in Advanced Old Age: The Newcastle 85+ Study.

CONTEXT: Perturbations in thyroid function are common in older individuals but their significance in the very old is not fully understood. OBJECTIVE: This study sought to determine whether thyroid hormone status and variation of thyroid hormones within the reference range correlated with mortality and disability in a cohort of 85-year-olds. DESIGN: A cohort of 85-year-old individuals were assessed in their own homes (community or institutional care) for health status and thyroid function, and followed for mortality and disability for up to 9 years. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Six hundred and forty-three 85-year-olds registered with participating general practices in Newcastle and North Tyneside, United Kingdom. MAIN OUTCOMES: All-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and disability according to thyroid disease status and baseline thyroid hormone parameters (serum TSH, FT4, FT3, and rT3). Models were adjusted for age, sex, education, body mass index, smoking, and disease count. RESULTS: After adjustment for age and sex, all-cause mortality was associated with baseline serum rT3 and FT3 (both P < .001), but not FT4 or TSH. After additional adjustment for potential confounders, only rT3 remained significantly associated with mortality (P = .001). Baseline serum TSH and rT3 predicted future disability trajectories in men and women, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our study is reassuring that individuals age 85 y with both subclinical hypothyroidism and subclinical hyperthyroidism do not have a significantly worse survival over 9 years than their euthyroid peers. However, thyroid function tests did predict disability, with higher serum TSH levels predicting better outcomes. These data strengthen the argument for routine use of age-specific thyroid function reference ranges.

The Natural History of Subclinical Hyperthyroidism in Graves' Disease: The Rule of Thirds.

BACKGROUND: There is little information regarding the natural history of subclinical hyperthyroidism (SH) due to Graves' disease (GD). METHODS: A prospective analysis was conducted of patients with SH due to GD between 2007 and 2013 with at least 12 months of follow-up. SH was diagnosed if serum thyrotropin (TSH) was below the laboratory reference range (0.4-4.0 mIU/L) and when thyroid hormones were normal. GD was confirmed by either a raised TSH receptor antibody (TRAb) level or uniform uptake on Technetium scan. RESULTS: Forty-four patients (89% female, 16% current smokers, and 5% with active Graves' orbitopathy) were diagnosed with SH due to GD. Over the follow-up period (median 32 months), approximately one third (34%) of the cohort progressed to overt hyperthyroidism, one third (34%) normalized their thyroid function, slightly less than one third (30%) remained in the SH state, while one person became hypothyroid. Multivariate regression analysis showed that older age and positive antithyroid peroxidase (TPO) antibody status had a positive association with risk of progression to overt hyperthyroidism, with hazard ratios of 1.06 ([confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.10], p < 0.01) per year and 10.15 ([CI 1.83-56.23], p < 0.01), respectively, independent of other risk factors including, smoking, TRAb levels at diagnosis, and sex. CONCLUSIONS: A third each of patients with SH due to GD progress, normalize, or remain in the SH state. Older people and those with positive anti-TPO antibodies have a higher risk of progression of the disease. These novel data need to be verified and confirmed in larger cohorts and over longer periods of follow-up.

Thyroid function within the normal range and risk of coronary heart disease: an individual participant data analysis of 14 cohorts.

IMPORTANCE: Some experts suggest that serum thyrotropin levels in the upper part of the current reference range should be considered abnormal, an approach that would reclassify many individuals as having mild hypothyroidism. Health hazards associated with such thyrotropin levels are poorly documented, but conflicting evidence suggests that thyrotropin levels in the upper part of the reference range may be associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between differences in thyroid function within the reference range and CHD risk. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Individual participant data analysis of 14 cohorts with baseline examinations between July 1972 and April 2002 and with median follow-up ranging from 3.3 to 20.0 years. Participants included 55,412 individuals with serum thyrotropin levels of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L and no previously known thyroid or cardiovascular disease at baseline. EXPOSURES: Thyroid function as expressed by serum thyrotropin levels at baseline. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Hazard ratios (HRs) of CHD mortality and CHD events according to thyrotropin levels after adjustment for age, sex, and smoking status. RESULTS: Among 55,412 individuals, 1813 people (3.3%) died of CHD during 643,183 person-years of follow-up. In 10 cohorts with information on both nonfatal and fatal CHD events, 4666 of 48,875 individuals (9.5%) experienced a first-time CHD event during 533,408 person-years of follow-up. For each 1-mIU/L higher thyrotropin level, the HR was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.90-1.04) for CHD mortality and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.97-1.03) for a first-time CHD event. Similarly, in analyses by categories of thyrotropin, the HRs of CHD mortality (0.94 [95% CI, 0.74-1.20]) and CHD events (0.97 [95% CI, 0.83-1.13]) were similar among participants with the highest (3.50-4.49 mIU/L) compared with the lowest (0.45-1.49 mIU/L) thyrotropin levels. Subgroup analyses by sex and age group yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Thyrotropin levels within the reference range are not associated with risk of CHD events or CHD mortality. This finding suggests that differences in thyroid function within the population reference range do not influence the risk of CHD. Increased CHD risk does not appear to be a reason for lowering the upper thyrotropin reference limit.

Levothyroxine improves abnormal cardiac bioenergetics in subclinical hypothyroidism: a cardiac magnetic resonance spectroscopic study.

CONTEXT: It is well established that subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) is associated with mild cardiac dysfunction, but it is unknown whether there is an underlying impairment of cardiac bioenergetic function. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to quantify the cardiac phosphocreatine to adenosine triphosphate ratio (PCr to ATP) in SCH, compared with healthy controls, and to measure the effect of 6 months of levothyroxine treatment. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a 6-month, prospective, case-controlled interventional study. PARTICIPANTS AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The PCr to ATP ratio was measured using phosphorus-31 magnetic resonance spectroscopy in subjects with SCH at baseline and after levothyroxine therapy (1.6 µg/kg · d) and compared with age- and gender-matched euthyroid controls. All subjects were free of overt heart disease. RESULTS: Twenty-one subjects with SCH (normal free T4 and serum TSH between 4.1 and 10 mIU/L) and 17 controls were matched for age (mean age 40.5 vs 43.3 y) and sex (females 81% vs 82%) but differed in mean TSH (6.5 vs 2.1 mIU/L, P < .001). At baseline the mean (± SD) PCr to ATP ratio in SCH was lower than in controls (1.80 ± 0.26 vs 2.07 ± 0.20, P = .001). In the 16 subjects studied after levothyroxine treatment, the PCr to ATP ratio improved (from 1.74 ± 0.24 to 1.91 ± 0.26, P = .004) and approached controls (borderline loss of significance, P = .051). On multivariate analysis, SCH was independently associated with a reduced PCr to ATP ratio, even after adjusting for confounding variables (body mass index and fasting glucose) (P = .001). CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrate early cardiac bioenergetic impairment in SCH, which is reversible with levothyroxine therapy. This mechanistic insight provides justification for longitudinal trials to determine whether improvement in bioenergetic function improves cardiovascular outcome.