Epidemiologic trends and risk factors associated with the decline in mortality from coronary heart disease in the United States, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Despite the decline in the rate of coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality, it is unknown how the 3 strong and modifiable risk factors - alcohol, smoking, and obesity -have impacted these trends. We examine changes in CHD mortality rates in the United States and estimate the preventable fraction of CHD deaths by eliminating CHD risk factors. METHODS: We performed a sequential time-series analysis to examine mortality trends among females and males aged 25 to 84 years in the United States, 1990-2019, with CHD recorded as the underlying cause of death. We also examined mortality rates from chronic ischemic heart disease (IHD), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and atherosclerotic heart disease (AHD). All underlying causes of CHD deaths were classified based on the International Classification of Disease 9th and 10th revisions. We estimated the preventable fraction of CHD deaths attributable to alcohol, smoking, and high body-mass index (BMI) through the Global Burden of Disease. RESULTS: Among females (3,452,043 CHD deaths; mean [standard deviation, SD] age 49.3 [15.7] years), the age-standardized CHD mortality rate declined from 210.5 in 1990 to 66.8 per 100,000 in 2019 (annual change -4.04%, 95% CI -4.05, -4.03; incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.32, 95% CI, 0.41, 0.43). Among males (5,572,629 CHD deaths; mean [SD] age 47.9 [15.1] years), the age-standardized CHD mortality rate declined from 442.4 to 156.7 per 100,000 (annual change -3.74%, 95% CI, -3.75, -3.74; IRR 0.36, 95% CI, 0.35, 0.37). A slowing of the decline in CHD mortality rates among younger cohorts was evident. Correction for unmeasured confounders through a quantitative bias analysis slightly attenuated the decline. Half of all CHD deaths could have been prevented with the elimination of smoking, alcohol, and obesity, including 1,726,022 female and 2,897,767 male CHD deaths between 1990 and 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The decline in CHD mortality is slowing among younger cohorts. The complex dynamics of risk factors appear to shape mortality rates, underscoring the importance of targeted strategies to reduce modifiable risk factors that contribute to CHD mortality.

Disparities Associated With Inpatient Palliative Care Utilization by Patients With Metastatic Gynecologic Cancers: A Study of 3337 Women.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the factors associated with inpatient palliative care (PC) use in patients with metastatic gynecologic cancer. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) for patients with metastatic cervical, uterine, and ovarian cancers. Chi-square and multivariate models were used for statistical analyses. RESULTS: Of 67 947 inpatients with metastatic gynecologic cancer, 3337 (5%) utilized PC (median age: 63 years, range: 18-102 years). For the entire cohort, the majority was white (59%) and the remainder was black (10%), Hispanic (8%), and Asian (3%). Sixty-one percent had ovarian, 25% uterine, and 14% cervical cancers. Forty-four percent had Medicare, 37% private insurance, 12% Medicaid, and 3% were uninsured. Fifty-three percent of patients were treated at teaching hospitals, while 33% were treated at nonteaching hospitals. In multivariate analysis, the use of PC was associated with older age (≥63, median; odds ratio [OR] = 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.36-1.70; P < .0001) and black race (OR = 1.22, CI: 1.08-1.39; P < .01). Compared to patients with ovarian cancer, patients with uterine (OR = 1.63, CI: 1.46-1.83; P < .0001) and cervical (OR = 1.14, CI: 1.104-1.25; P < .01) cancer had higher rates of PC utilization. The proportion of patients receiving PC increased from 2% in 2005 to 10% in 2011. In a subset analysis of the 4517 patients who died during hospitalization, only 1056 (23%) patients received PC. CONCLUSION: Patients who were older, black, or had uterine and cervical cancers were more likely to use PC. Although the overall use of PC has increased, less than one-quarter of patients who died in the hospital used PC services during their final hospital admission.