Determinants of Symptomatic Intracranial Progression After an Initial Stereotactic Radiosurgery Course.

Purpose: Clinical and imaging surveillance of patients with brain metastases is important after stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) because many will experience intracranial progression (ITCP) requiring multidisciplinary management. The prognostic significance of neurologic symptoms at the time of ITCP is poorly understood. Methods and Materials: This was a multi-institutional, retrospective cohort study from 2015 to 2020, including all patients with brain metastases completing an initial course of SRS. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) by presence of neurologic symptoms at ITCP. OS, freedom from ITCP (FF-ITCP), and freedom from symptomatic ITCP (FF-SITCP) were assessed via Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard models tested parameters impacting FF-ITCP and FF-SITCP. Results: Among 1383 patients, median age was 63.4 years, 55% were female, and common primaries were non-small cell lung (49%), breast (15%), and melanoma (9%). At a median follow-up of 8.72 months, asymptomatic and symptomatic ITCP were observed in 504 (36%) and 194 (14%) patients, respectively. The majority of ITCP were distant ITCP (79.5%). OS was worse with SITCP (median, 10.2 vs 17.9 months, P < .001). SITCP was associated with clinical factors including total treatment volume (P = .012), melanoma histology (P = .001), prior whole brain radiation therapy (P = .003), number of brain metastases (P < .001), interval of 1 to 2 years from primary and brain metastasis diagnosis (P = .012), controlled extracranial disease (P = .042), and receipt of pre-SRS chemotherapy (P = .015). Patients who were younger and received post-SRS chemotherapy (P = .001), immunotherapy (P < .001), and targeted or small-molecule inhibitor therapy (P < .026) had better FF-SITCP. Conclusions: In this cohort study of patients with brain metastases completing SRS, neurologic symptoms at ITCP is prognostic for OS. This data informs post-SRS surveillance in clinical practice as well as future prospective studies needed in the modern management of brain metastases.

Incidence and imaging characteristics of difficult to detect retrospectively identified brain metastases in patients receiving repeat courses of stereotactic radiosurgery.

PURPOSE: During stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) planning for brain metastases (BM), brain MRIs are reviewed to select appropriate targets based on radiographic characteristics. Some BM are difficult to detect and/or definitively identify and may go untreated initially, only to become apparent on future imaging. We hypothesized that in patients receiving multiple courses of SRS, reviewing the initial planning MRI would reveal early evidence of lesions that developed into metastases requiring SRS. METHODS: Patients undergoing two or more courses of SRS to BM within 6 months between 2016 and 2018 were included in this single-institution, retrospective study. Brain MRIs from the initial course were reviewed for lesions at the same location as subsequently treated metastases; if present, this lesion was classified as a "retrospectively identified metastasis" or RIM. RIMs were subcategorized as meeting or not meeting diagnostic imaging criteria for BM (+ DC or -DC, respectively). RESULTS: Among 683 patients undergoing 923 SRS courses, 98 patients met inclusion criteria. There were 115 repeat courses of SRS, with 345 treated metastases in the subsequent course, 128 of which were associated with RIMs found in a prior MRI. 58% of RIMs were + DC. 17 (15%) of subsequent courses consisted solely of metastases associated with + DC RIMs. CONCLUSION: Radiographic evidence of brain metastases requiring future treatment was occasionally present on brain MRIs from prior SRS treatments. Most RIMs were + DC, and some subsequent SRS courses treated only + DC RIMs. These findings suggest enhanced BM detection might enable earlier treatment and reduce the need for additional SRS.

Radiation technique and outcomes following moderately hypofractionated treatment of low risk prostate cancer: a secondary analysis of RTOG 0415.

BACKGROUND: While moderately hypofractionated radiotherapy (MHRT) for prostate cancer (PC) is commonly delivered by intensity modulated radiation therapy, IMRT has not been prospectively compared to three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) in this context. We conducted a secondary analysis of the phase III RTOG 0415 trial comparing survival and toxicity outcomes for low-risk PC following MHRT with IMRT versus 3D-CRT. METHODS: RTOG 0415 was a phase III, non-inferiority trial randomizing low-risk PC patients to either MHRT or conventionally fractionated radiation with stratification by RT technique. A secondary analysis for differences in overall survival (OS), biochemical recurrence free survival (BRFS), or toxicity by EPIC scores and Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) was performed. RESULTS: 1079 patients received the allocated intervention with a median follow up of 5.8 years. 79.1% of patients were treated with IMRT and radiation technique was balanced between arms. Across all patients, RT technique was not associated with significant differences in BRFS, OS, or rates of acute and late toxicities. For patients completing MHRT, there was a difference in the late GU toxicity distribution between 3D-CRT and IMRT but no difference in late grade 2 or greater GU or GI toxicity. Stratifying patients by RT technique and fractionation, no significant differences were observed in the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) in EPIC urinary and bowel scores following RT. CONCLUSIONS: RT technique did not impact clinical outcomes following MHRT for low-risk PC. Despite different late GU toxicity distributions in patients treated with MHRT by IMRT or 3D-CRT, there was no difference in late Grade 2 or greater GU or GI toxicity or patient reported toxicity. Increases in late GU and GI toxicity following MHRT compared to CFRT, as demonstrated in the initial publication of RTOG 0415, do not appear related to a 3D-CRT treatment technique.

Role of radiation in oligometastases and oligoprogression in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer: consensus and controversy.

INTRODUCTION: The oligometastatic state in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has recently become well-established. However, the specific definition of oligometastases remains unclear. Several smaller randomized studies have investigated the safety and efficacy of radiation as metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) in oligometastatic NSCLC, which have led the way to larger studies currently accruing patients globally. AREAS COVERED: This review covers the definitions of 'oligometastases' and explains why the oligometastatic state is becoming increasingly relevant in metastatic NSCLC. This includes the rationale for MDT in oligometastatic NSCLC, specifically reviewing stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) as a treatment strategy. This review details many randomized trials that support radiation as MDT and introduces trials that are currently accruing patients. Finally, it explores some of the controversies that warrant further investigation. EXPERT OPINION: Radiation treatment, specifically SBRT, has been shown to be safe, convenient, and cost-effective as MDT. As systemic therapy, including targeted agents and immunotherapy, continues to improve, the precise role(s) and timing of radiation therapy may evolve. However, radiation therapy as MDT will continue to be an integral part of treatment in patients with oligometastatic NSCLC.

Intracranial and Extracranial Progression and Their Correlation With Overall Survival After Stereotactic Radiosurgery in a Multi-institutional Cohort With Brain Metastases.

Importance: Clinical trials for metastatic malignant neoplasms are increasingly being extended to patients with brain metastases. Despite the preeminence of progression-free survival (PFS) as a primary oncologic end point, the correlation of intracranial progression (ICP) and extracranial progression (ECP) events with overall survival (OS) is poorly understood for patients with brain metastases following stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). Objective: To determine the correlation of ICP and ECP with OS among patients with brain metastases completing an initial SRS course. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multi-institutional retrospective cohort study was conducted from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2020. We included patients who completed an initial course of SRS for brain metastases during the study period, including receipt of single and/or multifraction SRS, prior whole-brain radiotherapy, and brain metastasis resection. Data analysis was performed on November 15, 2022. Exposures: Non-OS end points included intracranial PFS, extracranial PFS, PFS, time to ICP, time to ECP, and any time to progression. Progression events were radiologically defined, incorporating multidisciplinary clinical consensus. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was correlation of surrogate end points to OS. Clinical end points were estimated from time of SRS completion via the Kaplan-Meier method, while end-point correlation to OS was measured using normal scores rank correlation with the iterative multiple imputation approach. Results: This study included 1383 patients, with a mean age of 63.1 years (range, 20.9-92.8 years) and a median follow-up of 8.72 months (IQR, 3.25-19.68 months). The majority of participants were White (1032 [75%]), and more than half (758 [55%]) were women. Common primary tumor sites included the lung (757 [55%]), breast (203 [15%]), and skin (melanoma; 100 [7%]). Intracranial progression was observed in 698 patients (50%), preceding 492 of 1000 observed deaths (49%). Extracranial progression was observed in 800 patients (58%), preceding 627 of 1000 observed deaths (63%). Irrespective of deaths, 482 patients (35%) experienced both ICP and ECP, 534 (39%) experienced ICP (216 [16%]) or ECP (318 [23%]), and 367 (27%) experienced neither. The median OS was 9.93 months (95% CI, 9.08-11.05 months). Intracranial PFS had the highest correlation with OS (ρ = 0.84 [95% CI, 0.82-0.85]; median, 4.39 months [95% CI, 4.02-4.92 months]). Time to ICP had the lowest correlation with OS (ρ = 0.42 [95% CI, 0.34-0.50]) and the longest median time to event (median, 8.76 months [95% CI, 7.70-9.48 months]). Across specific primary tumor types, correlations of intracranial PFS and extracranial PFS with OS were consistently high despite corresponding differences in median outcome durations. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this cohort study of patients with brain metastases completing SRS suggest that intracranial PFS, extracranial PFS, and PFS had the highest correlations with OS and time to ICP had the lowest correlation with OS. These data may inform future patient inclusion and end-point selection for clinical trials.

A Deep Learning-Based Computer Aided Detection (CAD) System for Difficult-to-Detect Brain Metastases.

PURPOSE: We sought to develop a computer-aided detection (CAD) system that optimally augments human performance, excelling especially at identifying small inconspicuous brain metastases (BMs), by training a convolutional neural network on a unique magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data set containing subtle BMs that were not detected prospectively during routine clinical care. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Patients receiving stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for BMs at our institution from 2016 to 2018 without prior brain-directed therapy or small cell histology were eligible. For patients who underwent 2 consecutive courses of SRS, treatment planning MRIs from their initial course were reviewed for radiographic evidence of an emerging metastasis at the same location as metastases treated in their second SRS course. If present, these previously unidentified lesions were contoured and categorized as retrospectively identified metastases (RIMs). RIMs were further subcategorized according to whether they did (+DC) or did not (-DC) meet diagnostic imaging-based criteria to definitively classify them as metastases based upon their appearance in the initial MRI alone. Prospectively identified metastases (PIMs) from these patients, and from patients who only underwent a single course of SRS, were also included. An open-source convolutional neural network architecture was adapted and trained to detect both RIMs and PIMs on thin-slice, contrast-enhanced, spoiled gradient echo MRIs. Patients were randomized into 5 groups: 4 for training/cross-validation and 1 for testing. RESULTS: One hundred thirty-five patients with 563 metastases, including 72 RIMS, met criteria. For the test group, CAD sensitivity was 94% for PIMs, 80% for +DC RIMs, and 79% for PIMs and +DC RIMs with diameter <3 mm, with a median of 2 false positives per patient and a Dice coefficient of 0.79. CONCLUSIONS: Our CAD model, trained on a novel data set and using a single common MR sequence, demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity overall, outperforming published CAD results for small metastases and RIMs - the lesion types most in need of human performance augmentation.

The 17-Gene Genomic Prostate Score Test Is Prognostic for Outcomes After Primary External Beam Radiation Therapy in Men With Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: The Oncotype DX Genomic Prostate Score (GPS) assay has been validated as a strong prognostic indicator of adverse pathology, biochemical recurrence, distant metastasis (DM), and prostate cancer (PCa)-related death (PCD) in men with localized PCa after radical prostatectomy. However, it has yet to be tested in men undergoing external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), for whom assessing PCa progression risk could inform decisions on treatment intensity. We analyzed whether GPS results are associated with time to biochemical failure (BCF), DM, and PCD after EBRT in men with localized PCa and whether the association is modified by race. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We conducted a retrospective study of men with localized PCa treated with EBRT at the VA Health Care System in Durham, NC from 2000 to 2016. Study endpoints were time to BCF per the Phoenix criteria, DM, and PCD. The association of GPS results, per 20-unit increase or dichotomous variable (0-40 vs 41-100), was evaluated with each endpoint using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Results were then stratified by race. RESULTS: A total of 238 patients (69% Black) met the eligibility criteria. Median follow-up for patients who did not experience BCF was 7.6 years. GPS results per 20-unit increase were significantly associated with BCF (hazard ratio [HR], 3.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.59-5.02), DM (HR, 4.48; 95% CI, 2.75-7.38), and PCD (HR, 5.36; 95% CI, 3.06-9.76) in univariable analysis. GPS results remained significant in multivariable models adjusted for baseline clinical and pathological factors, with HRs being similar to the univariable analysis. There was no significant interaction between the GPS assay and race (P = .923). HRs for BCF were similar in Black men (HR, 3.88; 95% CI, 2.40-6.24) versus non-Black men (HR, 4.01; 95% CI, 2.42-6.45). CONCLUSIONS: Among men treated with EBRT, the GPS assay is a strong, independent prognostic indicator of time to BCF, DM, and PCD, and performs similarly in Black and non-Black men.

Impact of Race on Outcomes of High-Risk Patients With Prostate Cancer Treated With Moderately Hypofractionated Radiotherapy in an Equal Access Setting.

Background: Moderately hypofractionated radiotherapy (MHRT) is an accepted treatment for localized prostate cancer; however, limited MHRT data address high-risk prostate cancer (HRPC) and/or African American patients. We report clinical outcomes and toxicity profiles for individuals with HRPC treated in an equal access system. Methods: We identified patients with HRPC treated with MHRT at a US Department of Veterans Affairs referral center. Exclusion criteria included < 12 months follow-up and elective nodal irradiation. MHRT included 70 Gy over 28 fractions or 60 Gy over 20 fractions. Acute and late gastrointestinal (GI) and genitourinary (GU) toxicities were graded using Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 5.0. Clinical endpoints, including biochemical recurrence-free survival (BRFS), distant metastases-free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS), and prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods. Clinical outcomes, acute toxicity, and late toxicity-free survival were compared between African American and White patients with logistic regression and log-rank testing. Results: Between November 2008 and August 2018, 143 patients with HRPC were treated with MHRT and followed for a median of 38.5 months; 82 (57%) were African American and 61 were White patients. Concurrent androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) was provided for 138 (97%) patients for a median duration of 24 months. No significant differences between African American and White patients were observed for 5-year OS (73% [95% CI, 58%-83%] vs 77% [95% CI, 60%-97%]; P = .55), PCSS (90% [95% CI, 79%-95%] vs 87% [95 % CI, 70%-95%]; P = .57), DMFS (91% [95% CI, 80%-96%] vs 81% [95% CI, 62%-91%]; P = .55), or BRFS (83% [95% CI, 70%-91%] vs 71% [95% CI, 53%-82%]; P = .57), respectively. Rates of acute grade 3+ GU and GI were low overall (4% and 1%, respectively). Late toxicities were similarly favorable with no significant differences by race. Conclusions: Individuals with HRPC treated with MHRT in an equal access setting demonstrated favorable clinical outcomes that did not differ by race, alongside acceptable rates of acute and late toxicities.

Prognostic Model for Intracranial Progression after Stereotactic Radiosurgery: A Multicenter Validation Study.

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is a standard of care for many patients with brain metastases. To optimize post-SRS surveillance, this study aimed to validate a previously published nomogram predicting post-SRS intracranial progression (IP). We identified consecutive patients completing an initial course of SRS across two institutions between July 2017 and December 2020. Patients were classified as low- or high-risk for post-SRS IP per a previously published nomogram. Overall survival (OS) and freedom from IP (FFIP) were assessed via the Kaplan−Meier method. Assessment of parameters impacting FFIP was performed with univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Among 890 patients, median follow-up was 9.8 months (95% CI 9.1−11.2 months). In total, 47% had NSCLC primary tumors, and 47% had oligometastatic disease (defined as ≤5 metastastic foci) at the time of SRS. Per the IP nomogram, 53% of patients were deemed high-risk. For low- and high-risk patients, median FFIP was 13.9 months (95% CI 11.1−17.1 months) and 7.6 months (95% CI 6.4−9.3 months), respectively, and FFIP was superior in low-risk patients (p < 0.0001). This large multisite BM cohort supports the use of an IP nomogram as a quick and simple means of stratifying patients into low- and high-risk groups for post-SRS IP.

Comparing Outcomes of Oligometastases Treated with Hypofractionated Image-Guided Radiotherapy (HIGRT) with a Simultaneous Integrated Boost (SIB) Technique versus Metastasis Alone: A Multi-Institutional Analysis.

PURPOSE: We previously reported on the clinical outcomes of treating oligometastases with radiation using an elective simultaneous integrated boost technique (SIB), delivering higher doses to known metastases and reduced doses to adjacent bone or nodal basins. Here we compare outcomes of oligometastases receiving radiation targeting metastases alone (MA) versus those treated via an SIB. METHODS: Oligometastatic patients with ≤5 active metastases treated with either SIB or MA radiation at two institutions from 2013 to 2019 were analyzed retrospectively for treatment-related toxicity, pain control, and recurrence patterns. Tumor metastasis control (TMC) was defined as an absence of progression in the high dose planning target volume (PTV). Marginal recurrence (MR) was defined as recurrence outside the elective PTV but within the adjacent bone or nodal basin. Distant recurrence (DR) was defined as any recurrence that is not within the PTV or surrounding bone or nodal basin. The outcome rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared between the two techniques using the log-rank test. RESULTS: 101 patients were treated via an SIB to 90 sites (58% nodal and 42% osseous) and via MA radiation to 46 sites (22% nodal and 78% osseous). The median follow-up among surviving patients was 24.6 months (range 1.4-71.0). Of the patients treated to MA, the doses ranged from 18 Gy in one fraction (22%) to 50 Gy in 10 fractions (50%). Most patients treated with an SIB received 50 Gy to the treated metastases and 30 Gy to the elective PTV in 10 fractions (88%). No acute grade ≥3 toxicities occurred in either cohort. Late grade ≥3 toxicity occurred in 3 SIB patients (vocal cord paralysis and two vertebral body compression), all related to the high dose PTV and not the elective volume. There was similar crude pain relief between cohorts. The MR-free survival rate at 2 years was 87% (95% CI: 70%, 95%) in the MA group and 98% (95% CI: 87%, 99%) in the SIB group (p = 0.07). The crude TMC was 89% (41/46) in the MA group and 94% (85/90) in the SIB group. There were no significant differences in DR-free survival (65% (95% CI: 55-74%; p = 0.24)), disease-free survival (60% (95% CI: 40-75%; p = 0.40)), or overall survival (88% (95% CI: 73-95%; p = 0.26)), between the MA and SIB cohorts. CONCLUSION: Both SIB and MA irradiation of oligometastases achieved high rates of TMC and similar pain control, with a trend towards improved MR-free survival for oligometastases treated with an SIB. Further investigation of this technique with prospective trials is warranted.

Alliance A082002 -a randomized phase II/III trial of modern immunotherapy-based systemic therapy with or without SBRT for PD-L1-negative, advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment of advanced stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has changed dramatically due to immunotherapy. However, patients without Programmed Death-Ligand 1 (PD-L1) protein expression often benefit less from immunotherapy. This trial is designed to test if stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) to a single tumor site can significantly enhance the outcome of patients with advanced stage PD-L1(-) NSCLC when added to systemic therapy including immunotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Alliance A082002 is based on subgroup analysis from the randomized phase II PEMBRO-RT trial., PEMBRO-RT compared pembrolizumab alone or with SBRT and revealed improved progression-free and overall survival (PFS and OS, respectively) in PD-L1(-) patients when adding SBRT (8 Gy x 3 fractions). In A082002, patients without PD-L1 expression will be randomized to SBRT (8 Gy x3) plus systemic therapy vs. systemic therapy alone. The primary endpoint of the phase II portion of the trial is PFS and will require 100 patients. The primary endpoint of the phase III portion of the trial is OS and will require an additional 284 patients. This trial will clarify whether adding SBRT to systemic therapy can improve PFS and OS in a larger multi-institutional cohort. Several systemic treatment options are allowed including either immunotherapy alone or chemo-immunotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: This phase II/III Alliance trial A082002 will test whether the addition of SBRT to a single tumor site will enhance the anti-tumor activity of systemic immunotherapy or chemo-immunotherapy in patients with stage IV PD-L1(-) NSCLC. It is now open in the National Clinical Trials Network (NCTN).

Effect of Large Prostate Volume on Efficacy and Toxicity of Moderately Hypofractionated Radiation Therapy in Patients With Prostate Cancer.

Purpose: To evaluate the effect of prostate volume on outcomes after moderately hypofractionated radiation therapy (mHFRT) for prostate cancer. Methods and Materials: Prostate cancer patients treated with mHFRT at a Veteran's Affairs Medical Center from August 20, 2008, to January 31, 2018, were identified. Patients were placed into a large prostate planning target volume (LPTV) cohort if their prostate PTV was in the highest quartile. Acute/late genitourinary (GU) and gastrointestinal toxicity events among patients with and without LPTV were compared. Multivariable analyses estimated the effect of factors on toxicity. Overall survival, biochemical recurrence-free survival, and freedom from late GU/gastrointestinal toxicity of patients with and without LPTV were estimated via Kaplan-Meier. Results: Four hundred and seventy-two patients were included. Ninety-three percent received 70 Gy in 2.5 Gy fractions; 75% received androgen deprivation therapy. Median follow-up was 69 months. Patients with LPTV (PTV >138.4 cm3) had a higher late 2 + GU toxicity compared with those without (59% vs 48%, P = .03). Earlier time to late 2 + GU toxicity was associated with LPTV (hazard ratio 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.86; P = .047), androgen deprivation therapy use (hazard ratio 1.60; 95% CI, 1.13-2.27; P = .01), and higher baseline American Urologic Association symptom score (odds ratio 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02-1.05; P < .001). At 2 years, freedom from late 2 + GU toxicity was 46% (95% CI, 47%-54%) for those with LPTV versus 61% (95% CI, 55%-65%) for those without (P = .04). Late grade 3 GU toxicity was 7% for those with LPTV and 4% for those without. No differences in overall survival or biochemical recurrence-free survival were observed between patients with or without LPTV. Conclusions: LPTV did not affect efficacy of mHFRT for prostate cancer; however, it was associated with increased risk and earlier onset of late grade 2 + GU toxicity.

Nomogram Predicting Overall Survival Benefit of Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy for Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a nomogram that predicts overall survival (OS) for patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) vs. observation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adults with biopsy-proven T1-T2N0 NCSLC treated with SABR (30-70 Gy in 1-10 fractions with biologically effective dose ≥100 Gy10) or observation between 2004 and 2015 in the National Cancer Database (NCDB) were identified. Propensity score was used to match SABR and observation cohorts on prognostic demographic and clinicopathologic factors identified by logistic regression. Using backward selection, a multivariable Cox proportional hazard was identified predicting 2- and 5-year OS via a nomogram. Model prediction accuracy was assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and integrated area under the ROC curve (AUC) analysis. RESULTS: A total of 22,073 adults met inclusion criteria and 4418 matched pairs (total n = 8836) were identified for nomogram development. The factors most strongly associated with improved OS on multivariable analysis included younger age (HR 0.82 by decade, P < .001), female sex (HR 0.81, P < .001), lower comorbidity index (HR 0.65 for 0 vs. ≥3, P < .001), smaller tumor size (HR 0.60 for ≤3 cm vs. 5.1-7 cm, P < .001), adenocarcinoma histology (P < .001), and receipt of SABR (P < .001). Interaction between SABR and histology was significantly associated with OS (P = .017). Relative to adenocarcinoma, patients with squamous cell carcinoma who were observed (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.33-1.56) or treated with SABR (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.14-1.35) had significantly worse OS. The nomogram demonstrated fair accuracy for predicting OS, with an integrated time-dependent AUC of 0.694 over the entire follow-up period. CONCLUSION: This nomogram estimates OS at 2 and 5 years based on whether medically inoperable early-stage NSCLC patients receive SABR or elect for observation. Incorporation of other variables not captured within the NCDB may improve the model accuracy.