Prevalence and repair patterns of vesicovaginal fistula: a large retrospective population-based cohort analysis.

PURPOSE: Vesicovaginal fistulae (VVF) have a significant negative impact on quality of life, with failed surgical repair resulting in ongoing morbidity. Our aim was to characterize the rate of VVF repair and repair failures over time, and to identify predictors of repair failure. METHODS: We completed a population-based, retrospective cohort study of all women who underwent VVF repair in Ontario, Canada, aged 18 and older between 2005 and 2018. Risk factors for repair failure were identified using multivariable cox proportional hazard analysis; interrupted time series analysis was used to determine change in VVF repair rate over time. RESULTS: 814 patients underwent VVF repair. Of these, 117 required a second repair (14%). Mean age at surgery was 52 years (SD 15). Most patients had undergone prior gynecological surgery (68%), and 76% were due to iatrogenic injury. Most repairs were performed by urologists (60%). Predictors of VVF re-repair included iatrogenic injury etiology (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.3-3.45, p = 0.009), and endoscopic repair (HR 6.1, 95% CI 3.1-11.1, p < 0.05,); protective factors included combined intra-abdominal/trans-vaginal repair (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.3-0.8, p = 0.009), and surgeon years in practice (21 + years-HR 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.9, p = 0.005). Age adjusted annual rate of VVF repair (ranging from 0.8 to 1.58 per 100,000 women) and re-repair did not change over time. CONCLUSIONS: VVF repair and re-repair rates remained constant between 2005 and 2018. Iatrogenic injury and endoscopic repair predicted repair failure; combined intra-abdominal/trans-vaginal repair, and surgeon years in practice were protective. This suggests surgeon experience may protect against VVF repair failure.

No association between metformin initiation and incident dementia in older adults newly diagnosed with diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Metformin has been suggested to reduce dementia risk; however, most epidemiologic studies have been limited by immortal time bias or confounding due to disease severity. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of metformin initiation with incident dementia using strategies that mitigate these important sources of bias. METHODS: Residents of Ontario, Canada ≥66 years newly diagnosed with diabetes from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2017 entered this retrospective population-based cohort. To consider the indication for metformin monotherapy initiation, people with hemoglobin A1c of 6.5%-8.0% and estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥45 mL/min/1.73 m2 were selected. Using the landmark method to address immortal time bias, exposure was grouped into "metformin monotherapy initiation within 180 days after new diabetes diagnosis" or "no glucose-lowering medications within 180 days." To address disease latency, 1-year lag time was applied to the end of the 180-day landmark period. Incident dementia was defined using a validated algorithm for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated from propensity-score weighted Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Over mean follow-up of 6.77 years from cohort entry, metformin initiation within 180 days after new diabetes diagnosis (N = 12,331; 978 events; 65,762 person-years) showed no association with dementia risk (aHR [95% CI] = 1.05 [0.96-1.15]), compared to delayed or no glucose-lowering medication initiation (N = 22,369; 1768 events; 117,415 person-years). CONCLUSION: Early metformin initiation was not associated with incident dementia in older adults newly diagnosed with diabetes. The utility of metformin to prevent dementia was not supported.

Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Pancreatic Cancer: A Comparative Analysis of Ontario and the USA.

BACKGROUND: Comparative studies evaluating quality of care in different healthcare systems can guide reform initiatives. This study seeks to characterize best practices by comparing utilization and outcomes for patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) in the USA and Ontario, Canada. METHODS: Patients (age ≥ 66 years) with PC were identified from the Ontario Cancer Registry and SEER-Medicare databases from 2006 to 2015. Demographics and treatment (surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, or multimodality (surgery and chemotherapy)) were described. In resected patients, neoadjuvant therapy, readmission, and 30- and 90-day postoperative mortality rates were calculated. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: This study includes 38,858 and 11,512 patients with PC from the USA and Ontario, respectively. More female patients were identified in the USA (54.0%) versus Ontario (46.9%). In the entire cohort, US patients received more radiation in addition to other therapies (18.8% vs. 13.5% Ontario) and chemotherapy alone (34.3% vs. 19.0% Ontario). While rates of resection were similar (13.4% USA vs.12.5% Ontario), multimodality therapy was more common in the UAS (9.0% vs. 6.4%). Among resected patients, neoadjuvant chemotherapy was uncommon in both groups, although more frequent in the USA (12.0% vs. 3.2% Ontario). The 30- and 90-day postoperative mortality rates were lower in Ontario vs. the USA (30-day: 3.26% vs. 4.91%; 90-day: 7.08% vs. 10.96%), however, overall survival was similar between the USA and Ontario. CONCLUSIONS: We observed substantive differences in treatment and outcomes between PC patients in the USA and Ontario, which may reflect known differences in healthcare systems. Close evaluation of healthcare policies can inform initiatives to improve care quality.

Impact of a Transitional Pain Service on postoperative opioid trajectories: a retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: It has been well described that a small but significant proportion of patients continue to use opioids months after surgical discharge. We sought to evaluate postdischarge opioid use of patients who were seen by a Transitional Pain Service compared with controls. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using administrative data of individuals who underwent surgery in Ontario, Canada from 2014 to 2018. Matched cohort pairs were created by matching Transitional Pain Service patients to patients of other academic hospitals in Ontario who were not enrolled in a Transitional Pain Service. Segmented regression was performed to assess changes in monthly mean daily opioid dosage. RESULTS: A total of 209 Transitional Pain Service patients were matched to 209 patients who underwent surgery at other academic centers. Over the 12 months after surgery, the mean daily dose decreased by an estimated 3.53 morphine milligram equivalents (95% CI 2.67 to 4.39, p<0.001) per month for the Transitional Pain Service group, compared with a decline of only 1.05 morphine milligram equivalents (95% CI 0.43 to 1.66, p<0.001) for the controls. The difference-in-difference change in opioid use for the Transitional Pain Service group versus the control group was -2.48 morphine milligram equivalents per month (95% CI -3.54 to -1.43, p=0.003). DISCUSSION: Patients enrolled in the Transitional Pain Service were able to achieve opioid dose reduction faster than in the control cohorts. The difficulty in finding an appropriate control group for this retrospective study highlights the need for future randomized controlled trials to determine efficacy.

Association between preoperative cardiac risk assessment and health care costs in major noncardiac surgery: a multicentre health economic analysis.

PURPOSE: Patients with impaired functional capacity who undergo major surgery are at increased risk of postoperative morbidity including complications and increased length of stay. These outcomes have been associated with increased hospital and health system costs. We aimed to assess whether common preoperative risk indices are associated with postoperative cost. METHODS: We conducted a health economic analysis focused on the subset of Measurement of Exercise Tolerance before Surgery (METS) study participants in Ontario, Canada. Participants were scheduled for major elective noncardiac surgery and underwent several preoperative assessments of cardiac risk, including physicians' subjective assessment, Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) questionnaire, peak oxygen consumption, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide concentration. Using linked health administrative data, postoperative costs were calculated for both one year and in-hospital. Using multiple regression models, we tested for association between the preoperative measures of cardiac risk and postoperative costs. RESULTS: Our study included 487 patients (mean [standard deviation] age 68 [11] yr and 47.0% female) who underwent noncardiac surgery between 13 June 2013 and 8 March 2016. Overall, the median [interquartile range] cost incurred within one year postoperatively was CAD 27,587 [13,902-32,590], of which CAD 12,928 [10,253-12,810] were incurred in-hospital and CAD 14,497 [10,917-15,017] were incurred by 30 days. None of the four preoperative measures of cardiac risk assessment were associated with costs incurred in hospital or at one year postoperatively. This lack of strong association persisted in sensitivity analyses considering type of surgical procedure, burden of preoperative cost, and when costs were categorized as quantiles. CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery, common measures of functional capacity are not consistently associated with total postoperative cost. Until further data exist that differ from this analysis, clinicians and health care funders should not assume that preoperative measures of cardiac risk are associated with annual health care or hospital costs for such surgeries.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: La patientèle présentant une capacité fonctionnelle dégradée qui bénéficie d'une intervention chirurgicale majeure court un risque accru de morbidité postopératoire, y compris de complications et de prolongation de la durée de séjour. Ces issues ont été associées à une augmentation des coûts hospitaliers et du système de santé. Notre objectif était d'évaluer si des indices de risque préopératoires communs étaient associés aux coûts postopératoires. MéTHODE: Nous avons effectué une analyse de l'économie de la santé axée sur le sous-ensemble des participant·es à l'étude METS (Measurement of Exercise Tolerance before Surgery) en Ontario, au Canada. Les participant·es devaient bénéficier d'une chirurgie non cardiaque et non urgente majeure et ont complété plusieurs évaluations préopératoires du risque cardiaque, notamment l'évaluation subjective des médecins, le questionnaire DASI (Duke Activity Status Index), la consommation maximale d'oxygène et la concentration de prohormone N-terminale du peptide natriurétique de type B (cérébral) (NT-proBNP). À l'aide de données administratives couplées de santé, les coûts postopératoires ont été calculés à la fois pour une année et à l'hôpital. À l'aide de modèles de régression multiples, nous avons testé l'association entre les mesures préopératoires du risque cardiaque et les coûts postopératoires. RéSULTATS: Notre étude a inclus 487 personnes (âge moyen [écart type] 68 [11] ans et 47,0 % de femmes) ayant bénéficié d'une chirurgie non cardiaque entre le 13 juin 2013 et le 8 mars 2016. Dans l'ensemble, le coût médian [écart interquartile] engagé dans l'année qui a suivi l'opération était de 27 587 CAD [13 902­32 590], dont 12 928 CAD [10 253­12 810] ont été encourus à l'hôpital et 14 497 CAD [10 917­15 017] ont été encourus dans les premiers 30 jours. Aucune des quatre mesures préopératoires de l'évaluation du risque cardiaque n'était associée aux coûts engagés à l'hôpital ou un an après l'opération. Cette absence d'association forte persistait dans les analyses de sensibilité tenant compte du type d'intervention chirurgicale, du fardeau des coûts préopératoires et lorsque les coûts étaient classés en quantiles. CONCLUSION: Chez la patientèle bénéficiant d'une chirurgie non cardiaque majeure, les mesures courantes de la capacité fonctionnelle ne sont pas systématiquement associées au coût postopératoire total. Jusqu'à ce qu'il existe d'autres données qui diffèrent de cette analyse, les cliniciens et cliniciennes et les organismes finançant les soins de santé ne devraient pas présumer que les mesures préopératoires du risque cardiaque sont associées aux coûts annuels des soins de santé ou des hôpitaux pour de telles chirurgies.

Healthcare utilization during transition to adult care in patients with spina bifida A population-based, longitudinal study in Ontario, Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Individuals with spina bifida (SB) may experience negative health outcomes because of an informal transition from pediatric to adult care that results in using the emergency room (ER ) for non-acute health problems. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study of all people with SB in Ontario, Canada turning 18 years old between 2002 and 2011. These patients were followed for five years before and after age 18. Primary outcome was the annual rate of ER visits. Secondary outcomes included rates of hospitalization, surgery, primary care, and specialist outpatient care. We estimated the association between age and primary and secondary outcomes using negative binomial growth curve models, adjusting for patient-level baseline covariates. RESULTS: Among the 1215 individuals with SB, there was no trend of ER visits seen with increasing age (relative risk [RR ] 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.98-1.02); however, there was a significant increase in the rate of ER visits associated with turning 18 years (RR 1.14, 95% CI 1.03-1.27). Turning 18 years old was also associated with a decreased rate of hospital admissions (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.66-0.95) and no change in surgeries (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.64-1.02). Visits to primary care physicians remained stable over the same period (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90-1.01), while visits to SB-focused specialists decreased after age 18 (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.75-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with SB, the rate of ER visits increased significantly at 18 years old, while hospital admissions and specialist physician visits decreased at the same time. Models of transitional care can aim to reduce non-urgent ER visits and facilitate regular specialist care.

Surgical Outcomes between Routes of Hysterectomy in Patients with a Previous Cesarean Section.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To determine the difference in surgical complications for patients with a previous cesarean section (CS) undergoing abdominal, vaginal, or laparoscopic hysterectomy. DESIGN: A population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Province of Ontario, Canada. PATIENTS: 10 300 patients with at least 1 CS between July 1, 1991, and February 17, 2018. INTERVENTIONS: Benign, nongravid hysterectomy between Apr 1, 2002, and March 31, 2018. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was a composite of all surgical complications within 30 days of surgery. Secondary outcomes were rate of genitourinary complications, readmission to hospital, and emergency department visit occurring within 30 days of surgery. Of 10 300 patients who had at least one previous CS, who underwent subsequent hysterectomy for a benign indication, 7370 underwent an abdominal hysterectomy (71.55%), 813 (7.9%) had a vaginal hysterectomy, and 2117 (20.55%) underwent a laparoscopic hysterectomy. The adjusted odds of any surgical complication from hysterectomy was significantly lower when performed by the vaginal approach than the laparoscopic approach (odds ratio, 0.32; 95% confidence interval, 0.20-0.51; p <.0001). There was no difference in the odds of surgical complication between abdominal and laparoscopic approaches (odds ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 0.87-1.37; p = .45). CONCLUSION: Our retrospective population-based study demonstrates that, after previous CS, patients selected to undergo vaginal hysterectomy experienced lower risk than either abdominal or laparoscopic approaches. This suggests that CS alone should not be a contraindication to vaginal hysterectomy.

Prevalence and Natural History of Non-metastatic Castrate Resistant Prostate Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis.

PURPOSE: To determine the prevalence and natural history of nmCRPC prior to the adoption of novel androgen receptor axis-targeting therapies(ARAT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study of men with nmCRPC in Ontario, Canada between January 2007-March 2018. Patients with prostate cancer, castrate level of testosterone(<1.7nmol/L) and a PSA>2.0ng/mL with a subsequent rise>25% from the nadir, and without metastasis were included. Annual prevalence of nmCRPC was calculated. Crude time from nmCRPC to metastasis and all-cause death are presented as medians with interquartile range(IQR). Predictors of time from nmCRPC to death were compared using univariable and multivariable cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We identified 2045 patients with nmCRPC. Median age was 79(IQR:72-84). 984 patients(48.1%) received upfront hormonal therapy while 583(28.5%) received initial radiotherapy and 478(23.4%) underwent radical prostatectomy. Median time from primary treatment to nmCRPC was 6 years(IQR:3-10). The average annual prevalence of nmCRPC was 8% among men receiving ADT. Crude median time from nmCRPC to death was 37.6 months(IQR:22.1-55.4). Median time from nmCRPC to metastasis and metastasis to death was 20.0 and 8.3 months, respectively. Patients who had primary surgery experienced longer crude survival. Older patients, patients who had a higher PSA at nmCRPC, and patients with grade group 4 to 5 disease had a shorter time from nmCRPC to death. CONCLUSION: This is the largest population-level analysis of the prevalence and natural history of nmCRPC. The current study can be used as a historical cohort to compare how novel imaging modalities and ARAT impact prevalence and disease trajectory over time.

Incidence and Mortality of Emergency General Surgery Conditions Among Solid Organ Transplant Recipients in Ontario, Canada: A Population-based Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions and their outcomes are perceived to be disproportionately high among solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs). However, this has not been adequately investigated at a population level. We characterized the incidence and mortality of EGS conditions among SOTRs compared with nontransplant patients. METHODS: Data were collected through linked administrative population-based databases in Ontario, Canada. We included all adult SOTRs (kidney, liver, heart, and lung) who underwent transplantation between 2002 and 2017. We then identified posttransplantation emergency department visits for EGS conditions (appendicitis, cholecystitis, choledocolithiasis, perforated diverticulitis, incarcerated/strangulated hernias, small bowel obstruction, and perforated peptic ulcer). Age-, sex-, and year-standardized incidence rate ratios (SIRRs) were generated. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate association between transplantation status and 30 d mortality after adjusting for demographics, year, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Ten thousand seventy-three SOTRs and 12 608 135 persons were analyzed. SOTRs developed 881 EGS conditions (non-SOTRs: 552 194 events). The incidence of all EGS conditions among SOTR was significantly higher compared with the nontransplant patients [SIRR 3.56 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.32-3.82)], even among those with high Aggregated Diagnosis Groups scores ( > 10) [SIRR 2.76 (95% CI 2.53-3.00)]. SOTRs were 1.4 times more likely to die at 30 d [adjusted odds ratio 1.44 (95% CI 1.08-1.91)] after an EGS event compared with nontransplant patients, predominantly amongst lung transplant recipients [adjusted odds ratio 3.28 (95% CI 1.72-6.24)]. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of EGS conditions is significantly higher in SOTRs even after stratifying by comorbidity burden. This is of particular importance as SOTRs also have a higher likelihood of death after an EGS condition, especially lung transplant recipients.

Analysis of Rates of Brain Metastases and Association With Breast Cancer Subtypes in Ontario, Canada.

Importance: Approximately 1 in 7 patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) will receive radiotherapy for brain metastases (BRM). Significant differences in cumulative incidence of BRM by breast cancer subtype may inform future BRM screening protocols. Objective: To describe cumulative incidence of BRM among patients with de novo MBC. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this population-based cohort study, population health administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, held at the ICES were used to identify patients diagnosed with de novo MBC between 2009 and 2018. Given that a code for BRM does not exist within ICES, we analyzed the incidence of radiotherapy for BRM. The median (IQR) follow-up was 19.3 (6.2-39.5) months. A total of 100 747 patients with a new diagnosis of breast cancer between January 2009 and December 2018 were identified. Of these patients, 17 955 were excluded because they had previous or subsequent malignant neoplasms, 583 were excluded because they were younger than 18 years, 974 were excluded because there was an invalid Ontario Health Insurance Plan number or a date of death on or before the index date. Among 81 235 remaining patients, 3916 were identified as having de novo MBC. Exposures: Treatment with radiotherapy for breast cancer BRM. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cumulative incidence of radiotherapy for BRM accounting for the competing risk of death, and time from MBC diagnosis to brain radiotherapy. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed for time-to-event end points. Logistic regression was used to account for confounding variables. Results: Among 3916 patients with MBC, 1215 (31.0%) had HR-positive/ERBB2 (formerly HER2)-negative cancer, 310 (7.9%) had ERBB2-positive/HR-positive cancer, 200 (5.1%) had ERBB2-positive/HR-negative cancer, 258 (6.6%) had TNBC, and the remaining 1933 patients (49.4%) had an unknown breast cancer subtype. The median (IQR) age at diagnosis was 63 (52-75). A total of 549 (14.0%) underwent stereotactic radiosurgery or whole brain radiotherapy for breast cancer BRM. Cumulative incidence of BRM was higher among patients with ERBB2-positive/HR-negative breast cancer (34.7%), ERBB2-positive/HR-positive breast cancer (28.1%), and triple-negative breast cancer (21.9%) compared to those with HR-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer (12.1%). The median (IQR) time from MBC diagnosis to brain radiotherapy ranged from 7.5 (2.3-17.4) months for patients with TNBC to 19.8 (12.2-35.1) months for those with ERBB2-positive/HR-positive breast cancer. Conclusions and Relevance: Incidence and time to development of BRM vary significantly by breast cancer subtype. A better understanding of the biology of intracranial metastatic disease may help inform potential screening programs or preventative interventions.

Not all is lost: Functional recovery in older adults following emergency general surgery.

BACKGROUND: Although functional decline and death are common long-term outcomes among older adults following emergency general surgery (EGS), we hypothesized that patients' postdischarge function may wax and wane over time. Periods of fluctuation in function may represent opportunities to intervene to prevent further decline. Our objective was to describe the functional trajectories of older adults following EGS admission. METHODS: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study of all independent, community-dwelling older adults (age ≥65 years) in Ontario with an EGS admission (2006-2016). A multistate model was used to examine patients' functional trajectories over the 5 years following discharge. Patients were followed as they transitioned back and forth between functional independence, use of chronic home care (in-home assistance for personal care, homemaking, or medical care for at least 90 days), nursing home admission, and death. RESULTS: We identified 78,820 older adults with an EGS admission (mean age, 77 years; 53% female). In the 5 years following admission, 32% (n = 24,928) required new chronic home care, 21% (n = 5,249) of whom had two or more episodes of chronic home care separated by periods of independence. The average time spent in chronic home care was 11 months, and 50% (n = 12,679) of chronic home care episodes ended with a return to independence. For patients requiring chronic home care at any time, the probability of returning to independent living during the subsequent 5 years ranged from 36% to 43% annually. CONCLUSION: Not all is lost for older adults who experience functional decline following EGS admission. Half of those who require chronic home care will recover to independence, and one-third will have a durable recovery, remaining independent after 5 years. Fluctuations in function in the years following EGS may represent a unique opportunity for interventions to promote rehabilitation and recovery among older adults. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiologic; Level III.

Radiation Oncologist Consultations Prior to Radical Prostatectomy: Disparities and Opportunities.

PURPOSE: In 2015, men undergoing radical prostatectomy in Ontario, Canada were recommended to undergo multidisciplinary care by seeing a radiation oncologist or discussion at multidisciplinary rounds before surgery. The a priori target rate was ≥76%. We used population-based data to explore factors associated with not receiving multidisciplinary care prior to radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Men who underwent radical prostatectomy for localized prostate cancer in Ontario between 2007 and 2017 were identified using administrative data. Physician billings identified patients who received multidisciplinary care. Multivariable logistic regression was used to predict receipt of multidisciplinary care. RESULTS: A total of 31,485 men underwent radical prostatectomy between 2007 and 2017. Of these patients 28.7% saw a radiation oncologist, 1.2% underwent multidisciplinary discussion and 1.9% had both before surgery. Multidisciplinary care receipt increased from 17.8% in 2007 to 47.8% in 2017 (p <0.001). The odds ratio between the highest and lowest geographic regions was 7.93 (95% CI 6.17-10.18, p <0.001). Lower odds of multidisciplinary care receipt were observed for men further from the nearest cancer center (OR 0.74 per 50 km, 95% CI 0.71-0.78, p <0.001) and higher odds for the highest versus lowest income quintile (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.29-1.54, p <0.001). Of 128 urologists who performed ≥10 radical prostatectomies between 2016 and 2017, 29 (22.7%) met the target of having ≥76% of men seen for multidisciplinary care prior to surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Despite increasing utilization, many men do not receive multidisciplinary care prior to radical prostatectomy. While geography and the urologist appear to be the greatest factors predicting multidisciplinary care receipt, these factors are closely intertwined.

The association of statin subgroups with lower urinary tract symptoms following a prostate biopsy.

INTRODUCTION: This was a secondary analysis aiming to assess whether hydrophilic or hydrophobic statins have a differential effect on urinary retention (UR) and lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) in men following a prostate biopsy (PBx), who were at risk for prostate cancer development. METHODS: This was a population-based cohort study with data incorporated from the Institute for Clinical and Evaluative Sciences database to identify all Ontarian men aged 66 and above with a history of a single negative PBx between 1994 and 2016, with no drug prescription history of any of several putative chemo-preventative medications (statins, proton pump inhibitors, five-alpha-reductase inhibitors, and alpha-blockers). Multivariable Cox regression models with time-dependent covariates were used to assess the association of hydrophilic and hydrophobic statins with UR and LUTS within 30 days of a PBx. All models were adjusted for other known putative chemopreventive medications, age, rurality, pharmacologically treated diabetes, comorbidity score, and study inclusion year. RESULTS: Overall, 21 512 men were included, with a median followup time of 9.4 years (interquartile range [IQR] 5.4-13.4 years). Hydrophobic and hydrophilic statins were initiated by 30.7% and 19.6% of men, respectively, after the first negative PBx. UR and LUTS were experienced by 2.2% and 10% of men, respectively. Cox models demonstrated hydrophilic statins were associated with a lower risk of UR (hazard ratio [HR] 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38-0.83, p=0.0038) and LUTS (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.76-0.98, p=0.022), while no such association was shown for hydrophobic statins. CONCLUSIONS: Initiation of hydrophilic statins in men older than 66 appears to be inversely associated with the risk of UR and LUTS within 30 days of a PBx.

Association between chronic bladder catheterisation and bladder cancer incidence and mortality: a population-based retrospective cohort study in Ontario, Canada.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the risk of bladder cancer and bladder cancer mortality among patients with chronic bladder catheterisation (indwelling or intermittent) to patients from the general population. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Population-based study in Ontario, Canada between 2003 and 2018. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients 18-90 years of age with chronic bladder catheterisation were hard matched to patients from the general population without a history of bladder catheterisation. INTERVENTIONS: The presence of a chronic catheter was defined as a minimum of two physician encounters for bladder catheterisation, suprapubic tube insertion or home care for catheter care separated by at least 28 days. Urinary tract infection (UTI) rates were collected. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Bladder cancer and bladder cancer-specific mortality after a 1-year lag period were compared between groups. RESULTS: We identified 36 903 patients with chronic catheterisation matched to 110 709 patients without a history of catheterisation. Patients were followed for a median of 8.8 years (IQR: 5.2-11.9 years). The median age was 62 years (IQR: 50-71) and 52% were female. More patients in the catheter group developed bladder cancer (393 (1.1%) vs 304 (0.3%),p<0.001). There were 106 (0.3%) bladder cancer deaths in the catheter group and 59 (0.1%) in the comparison group (p<0.001). Chronic catheterisation (adjusted subdistribution HR (sdHR)=4.80, 95% CI: 4.26 to 5.42,p<0.001) and the number of UTIs (adjusted sdHR=1.04 per UTI, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.05,p<0.001) were independent predictors of bladder cancer. The relative rate of bladder cancer-specific death was more than eightfold higher among patients with chronic catheterisation (adjusted sdHR=8.68, 95% CI: 6.97 to 10.81,p<0.001). Subgroup analysis among patients with neurogenic bladder and bladder calculi similarly revealed an increased risk of bladder cancer diagnosis and mortality. Bladder cancer risk was highest among patients in the two longest catheter duration quintiles (2.9-5.9 and 5.9-15.5 years). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to quantify the increase in bladder cancer incidence and mortality in a large, diverse cohort of patients with chronic indwelling or intermittent bladder catheterisation. The risk was highest among patients with a chronic catheter beyond 2.9 years.

Critical illness in patients with hematologic malignancy: a population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: To describe the modern incidence and predictors of ICU admission for adult patients newly diagnosed with a hematologic malignancy. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of adults with a new diagnosis of hematologic malignancy (April 1, 2006-March 31, 2017) in Ontario, Canada. We described the baseline demographic, clinical and laboratory predictors of ICU admission and subsequent mortality. The primary outcome was the incidence of ICU admission within 1 year of hematologic malignancy diagnosis. We assessed the predictors of ICU admission using Cox-proportional models that accounted for the competing risk of death and reported as subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: A total of 87,965 patients (mean [SD] age, 67.8 (15.7) years) were included. The 1-year incidence of ICU admission was 13.9% (median time 35 days), ranging from 7.3% (indolent lymphoma) to 22.5% (acute myeloid leukemia). After multivariable adjustment, compared to indolent lymphoma, acute myeloid leukemia (sHR, 3.09; 95% CI 2.84-3.35), aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma (sHR, 2.47; 95% CI 2.31-2.65) and acute lymphoblastic leukemia (sHR, 2.46; 95% CI 2.15-2.80) had the highest risk of ICU admission. Comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease (sHR, 2.09; 95% CI 2.01-2.19), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (sHR, 1.33; 95% CI 1.26-1.39) and baseline laboratory abnormalities (anemia, thrombocytopenia and high creatinine) were also associated with ICU admission. Among ICU patients, 36.7% required invasive mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality was 31%. CONCLUSION: Critical illness in patients with a newly diagnosed hematologic malignancy is frequent, occurring early after diagnosis. Certain baseline characteristics can help identify those patients at the highest risk.

Long-term survival in high-risk older adults following emergency general surgery admission.

BACKGROUND: Emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions are increasingly common among nursing home residents. While such patients have a high risk of in-hospital mortality, long-term outcomes in this group are not well described, which may have implications for goals of care discussions. In this study, we evaluate long-term survival among nursing home residents admitted for EGS conditions. METHODS: We performed a population-based, retrospective cohort study of nursing home residents (65 years or older) admitted for one of eight EGS diagnoses (appendicitis, cholecystitis, strangulated hernia, bowel obstruction, diverticulitis, peptic ulcer disease, intestinal ischemia, or perforated viscus) from 2006 to 2018 in a large regional health system. The primary outcome was 1-year survival. To ascertain the effect of EGS admission independent of baseline characteristics, patients were matched to nursing home residents without an EGS admission based on demographics and baseline health. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate survival across groups. RESULTS: A total of 7,942 nursing home residents (mean age, 85 years) were admitted with an EGS diagnosis and matched to controls. One quarter of patients underwent surgery, and 18% died in hospital. At 1 year, 55% of cases were alive, compared with 72% of controls (p < 0.001). Among those undergoing surgery, 61% were alive at 1 year, compared with 72% of controls (p < 0.001). The 1-year survival probability was 57% in patients who did not require mechanical ventilation, 43% in those who required 1 to 2 days of ventilation, and 30% in those who required ≥3 days of ventilation. CONCLUSION: Although their risk of in-hospital mortality is high, most nursing home residents admitted for an EGS diagnosis survive at least 1 year. While nursing home residents presenting with an EGS diagnosis should be cited realistic odds for the risk of death, long-term survival is achievable in the majority of these patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Epidemiological, level III.