The cost-effectiveness of treating chronic hepatitis B patients in a median endemic and middle income country.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection is a serious public health problem due to its potential liver disease sequelae and highly expensive medical costs such as the need for liver transplantation. The aim of this study was to quantify the burden of active CHB in terms of mortality and morbidity, the eligibility of antiviral treatment and to assess various treatment scenarios and possible salvage combinations for cost-effectiveness. METHODS: A population cohort from a large data base of chronic hepatitis B patients was constructed and stratified according to 10-year age groups, the prevalence of HBsAg, HBV DNA level, ALT level, HBeAg status and the presence of cirrhosis. An age-specific Markov model for disease progression and cost-effectiveness analysis was constructed and calibrated for the specific population setting. RESULTS: Of about 3.2 million estimated HBsAg carriers, 25% are eligible for treatment. If the active cohort remains untreated, 31% will die due to liver related complications. Within a 20-year period, 11% will have developed decompensated cirrhosis, 12% liver cancer and 6% will need liver transplantation. Quality adjusted life years (QALYs) for the no treatment scenario ranged from 9.3 to 14.0. For scenarios with antiviral treatment, QALYs ranged from 9.9 to 14.5 for lamivudine, 13.0-17.5 for salvage therapy, and 16.6-19.0 for the third generation drugs entecavir and tenofovir. CONCLUSION: In a country with considerable amount of active CHB patients, monotherapy with a highly potent third generation drug has the most health-gain, and is cost-effective in both HBeAg-positive and negative in all stages of liver disease.

Screening and early treatment of migrants for chronic hepatitis B virus infection is cost-effective.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Persons with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection are at risk of developing cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Early detection of chronic HBV infection through screening and treatment of eligible patients has the potential to prevent these sequelae. We assessed the cost-effectiveness in The Netherlands of systematically screening migrants from countries that have high and intermediate HBV infection levels. METHODS: Epidemiologic data of the expected numbers of patients with active chronic HBV infection in the target population and information about the costs of a screening program were used in a Markov model and used to determine costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) for patients who were and were not treated. RESULTS: Compared with the status quo, a 1-time screen for HBV infection can reduce mortality of liver-related diseases by 10%. Using base case estimates, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of screening, compared with not screening, is euros (euro) 8966 per QALY gained. The ICER ranged from euro7936 to euro11,705 based on univariate sensitivity analysis, varying parameter values of HBV prevalence, participation rate, success in referral, and treatment compliance. Using multivariate sensitivity analysis for treatment effectiveness, the ICER ranged from euro7222 to euro15,694; for disease progression, it ranged from euro5568 to euro60,418. CONCLUSIONS: Early detection and treatment of people with HBV infection can have a large impact on liver-related health outcomes. Systematic screening for chronic HBV infection among migrants is likely to be cost-effective, even using low estimates for HBV prevalence, participation, referral, and treatment compliance.

Increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma among patients with hepatitis C cirrhosis and diabetes mellitus.

UNLABELLED: Recent studies suggest that diabetes mellitus increases the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study is to quantify the risk of HCC among patients with both diabetes mellitus and hepatitis C in a large cohort of patients with chronic hepatitis C and advanced fibrosis. We included 541 patients of whom 85 (16%) had diabetes mellitus. The median age at inclusion was 50 years. The prevalence of diabetes mellitus was 10.5% for patients with Ishak fibrosis score 4, 12.5% for Ishak score 5, and 19.1% for Ishak score 6. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed an increased risk of diabetes mellitus for patients with an elevated body mass index (BMI) (odds ratio [OR], 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.11; P = 0.060) and a decreased risk of diabetes mellitus for patients with higher serum albumin levels (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.63-1.04; P = 0.095). During a median follow-up of 4.0 years (interquartile range, 2.0-6.7), 11 patients (13%) with diabetes mellitus versus 27 patients (5.9%) without diabetes mellitus developed HCC, the 5-year occurrence of HCC being 11.4% (95% CI, 3.0-19.8) and 5.0% (95% CI, 2.2-7.8), respectively (P = 0.013). Multivariate Cox regression analysis of patients with Ishak 6 cirrhosis showed that diabetes mellitus was independently associated with the development of HCC (hazard ratio, 3.28; 95% CI, 1.35-7.97; P = 0.009). CONCLUSION: For patients with chronic hepatitis C and advanced cirrhosis, diabetes mellitus increases the risk of developing HCC.

Pegylated interferon alfa-2a (40 kD) and ribavirin in haemodialysis patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is associated with liver dysfunction and hepatocellular carcinoma. In patients with normal kidney function, treatment with pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) frequently leads to eradication of HCV. Treatment in dialysis patients has long been controversial and until recently, the use of RBV was considered to be contra-indicated. We used plasma trough levels of RBV to promote tolerance, safety and efficacy. PEG-IFN alfa-2a (40 kD) was chosen because it is cleared predominantly via hepatic metabolism. METHODS: Seven haemodialysis patients with chronic HCV infection were eligible and started with 135 microg PEG-IFN alfa-2a (40 kD) weekly and 200 mg RBV every other day. Dose adaptations were allowed following study guidelines. Genotypes 1 and 4 (five patients) were treated for 48 weeks and genotypes 2 and 3 (two patients) for 24 weeks. HCV-RNA was determined after 12, 24 and 48 weeks (and at 72 weeks for genotypes 1 and 4). RBV trough plasma levels were monitored regularly by HPLC-technique. RESULTS: All patients completed the treatment. In two patients, the PEG-IFN dose had to be reduced to 90 microg/week because of adverse events. To achieve the target range (1.5-2.5 microg/ml) of the plasma trough level, the mean RBV dose was increased to a dose between 133 and 200 mg each day in five patients. Despite an increase of the weekly erythropoietin (Epo) dose, two to a max of four red cell transfusions were given to four patients. A sustained viral response (SVR) was reached in five patients (3/5 with genotype 1/4 and 2/2 with genotype 2/3). CONCLUSION: In our series of seven patients, we were able to use RBV monitoring drug levels in combination with PEG-IFN alfa-2a (40 kD) and achieve high sustained response rates. However, Epo and transfusion requirements may increase. In two patients adverse events were observed, but manageable with dose reduction of PEG-IFN.

Sustained virologic response and clinical outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis C and advanced fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical outcomes of chronic hepatitis C infection in patients with advanced fibrosis include liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether sustained virologic response to treatment for hepatitis C is associated with improved clinical outcomes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: 5 hepatology units of tertiary care centers in Europe and Canada caring for patients with chronic hepatitis C treated between 1990 and 2003. PATIENTS: Consecutively treated patients with chronic hepatitis C who had biopsy-proven advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis (Ishak score, 4 to 6). MEASUREMENTS: Sustained virologic response, defined as absence of detectable hepatitis C virus RNA at 24 weeks after the end of treatment, and clinical outcomes, defined as death (liver-related or non-liver-related), liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma. RESULTS: Of 479 patients, 29.6% had sustained virologic response and 70.3% did not. Median follow-up was 2.1 years (interquartile range, 0.8 to 4.9 years). Four patients with and 83 without sustained virologic response had at least 1 outcome event. Sustained virologic response was associated with a statistically significant reduction in the hazard of events (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.21 [95% CI, 0.07 to 0.58]; P = 0.003). The effect was largely attributable to a reduction in liver failure, which developed in no patients with and 42 patients without sustained virologic response (5-year occurrence, 0% vs. 13.3% [CI, 8.4% to 18.2%]; unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.03 [CI, 0.00 to 0.91]). LIMITATIONS: Because few events occurred in the sustained virologic response group, the study had limited ability to detect differences between groups in individual outcomes. In addition, the study was retrospective; selection and survival biases may therefore influence estimates of effect. CONCLUSION: Sustained virologic response to treatment is associated with improved clinical outcomes, mainly prevention of liver failure, in patients with chronic hepatitis C and advanced fibrosis.

Genetic characteristics of hepatitis B virus genotypes as a factor for interferon-induced HBeAg clearance.

The factors determining the responsiveness of different hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotypes to interferon treatment are not fully understood. We investigated the relationship between HBV genetic characteristics and the outcome of short (16 weeks) or prolonged (32 weeks) treatment with standard interferon-alpha in a prospectively followed cohort of 103 patients across Europe with HBeAg positive chronic hepatitis B. INNO-LiPA assays and HBV DNA sequencing were used to determine HBV genotypes, mutations in the core promoter and precore/core regions. After 16-weeks interferon-alpha treatment, the rate of HBeAg clearance was higher in genotype A versus all other genotypes (P = 0.014), or genotype D alone (P = 0.05). The HBV genome analysis revealed that: (i) after 16-weeks treatment, an HBV subpopulation with core promoter mutations emerged or increased (P < 0.001) only in genotype A; (ii) the core gene of genotype A has the lowest number of amino acid variations in comparison with genotypes B, C, or D. Logistic regression analysis identified genotype A as a positive predictor of short (16 weeks) treatment response (P = 0.001; odds ratio 6.19, 95 confidence interval 1.94-19.8), having a greater impact than baseline HBV DNA or alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. In contrast, the response to prolonged interferon-alpha treatment was not different between HBV genotypes. These results suggest that HBV genotype A responds earlier to interferon treatment than other genotypes, which is associated with its molecular characteristics. The optimal duration of interferon-based therapies in chronic hepatitis B may vary between different HBV genotypes.

Successful treatment with peginterferon alfa-2b of HBeAg-positive HBV non-responders to standard interferon or lamivudine.

OBJECTIVES: Antiviral therapy leads to HBeAg seroconversion in 10-40% of the patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B. Nonresponse may result in progression of liver disease and increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. As part of a global randomized controlled trial we investigated the efficacy (i.e., loss of HBeAg at the end of follow-up) of peginterferon alfa-2b (Peg-IFN alpha2b) in patients who failed to respond to previous courses of standard interferon (IFN) or lamivudine. METHODS: We analyzed a total of 76 previous nonresponders: 37 were nonresponders to standard IFN, 17 were nonresponders to lamivudine, and 22 were nonresponders to both therapies. All patients received a 52-wks course of 100 microg Peg-IFN alpha2b weekly combined with either 100 mg lamivudine daily or a placebo. After therapy patients were followed for 26 wks. RESULTS: Thirteen (35%) nonresponders to previous IFN, five (29%) nonresponders to previous lamivudine, and four (22%) nonresponders to both IFN and lamivudine responded to treatment with Peg-IFN alpha2b. No difference in response was found for those treated with Peg-IFN alpha2b alone or in combination with lamivudine. Nonresponders to prior IFN therapy with baseline ALT (alanine aminotransferase) > 4 x ULN (upper limit of normal) responded better to Peg-IFN alpha2b than those with ALT levels

Long-term clinical outcome and effect of glycyrrhizin in 1093 chronic hepatitis C patients with non-response or relapse to interferon.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with chronic hepatitis C who do not respond to interferon can be treated with glycyrrhizin to reduce disease activity. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of glycyrrhizin on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during long-term follow-up after non-response to interferon. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We analyzed individual patient data of all consecutive patients treated with interferon in 12 major Japanese hospitals between 1990 and 1995 who showed no sustained response. RESULTS: The study comprised 1093 patients. During a mean follow-up of 6.1 +/- 1.8 years, 107 patients developed HCC. The Cox regression analysis with time-dependent variables showed that older age, male gender, higher alanine aminotransferase (ALAT) and higher fibrosis stage were significantly associated with a higher risk of developing HCC. Response to glycyrrhizin, defined as ALAT < 1.5 x upper limit of normal, was significantly associated with a decreased incidence of HCC: hazard ratio 0.39 (95% CI 0.21-0.72; p < 0.01). G-estimation, used to correct for ALAT as the confounder, showed no significant benefit of glycyrrhizin in the overall study population. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides some evidence to show that interferon non-responder patients with chronic hepatitis C and fibrosis stage 3 or 4 may have a reduced incidence of HCC if glycyrrhizin therapy leads to normalization of ALAT levels.

Peg-interferon improves liver histology in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B: no additional benefit of combination with lamivudine.

BACKGROUND: The effect of pegylated interferon or its combination with lamivudine on liver histology of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is unknown. In a double-blinded, randomized, multi-center study we assessed histological changes in 110 hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg)-positive CHB patients treated for 52 weeks with Pegylated interferon alpha-2b (PEG-IFN) in combination with either lamivudine or placebo. Liver biopsies were taken before and at the end of treatment. All biopsies were blinded and scored according to the Ishak system. RESULTS: Necroinflammatory score improved (defined as a decrease of at least two points) in 25 patients (48%) of the PEG-IFN/lamivudine combination therapy group and in 31 patients (53%) of the PEG-IFN monotherapy group. The fibrosis score improved (decrease of at least 1 point) in 17 patients (33%) of the combination therapy group vs. 13 patients (22%) of the PEG-IFN monotherapy group (P=0.23). Responders (n=42), defined as serum HBeAg negative at the end of therapy, showed a larger decline in necroinflammatory score than non-responders (mean decline 2.3 and 1.2 points, respectively, P=0.02). Among patients receiving PEG-IFN monotherapy necroinflammation improved more frequently in responders (78% of responders vs. 43% of non-responders, P=0.01) and in patients who showed normalization of ALT (76% of patients with normal ALT vs. 40% of patients with abnormal ALT, P=0.01). Fibrosis score in the PEG-IFN monotherapy group improved more often in responders (39%) than in non-responders (15%, P=0.04). In the PEG-IFN/lamivudine combination therapy group, we found no significant association between virological and biochemical endpoints and histological improvement. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with PEG-IFN therapy improves liver necroinflammation in HBeAg-positive CHB patients, particularly in responders to therapy. PEG-IFN also improves fibrosis in responders. Addition of lamivudine to PEG-IFN did not further improve the histological outcome.

Analysis of intrahepatic HBV-specific cytotoxic T-cells during and after acute HBV infection in humans.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Characteristics of the intrahepatic virus-specific T-cell response in patients with acute hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection have not been studied due to the risk of complications associated with standard liver biopsies. In this study we aimed to characterize the virus-specific CD8 + T-cell response in the liver of patients with acute HBV infection using fine-needle aspiration-biopsy (FNAB). METHODS: In HLA-A2 positive patients with acute HBV infection a FNAB was performed at first presentation, at the time of HBsAg-seroconversion and 3 months after HBsAg-seroconversion. HLA-A2 tetramers were used to identify HBV-specific CD8 + T-cells in FNAB-cytology and peripheral blood (PB). RESULTS: At first presentation there was a correlation between the frequency of intrahepatic CD8 + T-cells and the degree of liver damage. At all time points there was sequestering of HBV-specific CD8 + T-cells in the liver, and the percentage of intrahepatic HLA-DR expressing HBV-specific CD8 + T-cells was higher than in PB. Three months after HBsAg-seroconversion the frequency of intrahepatic HBV-specific CD8 + T-cells remained high. CONCLUSIONS: HBV-specific CD8 + T-cells are compartmentalized in the liver during acute HBV infection. Their presence in the liver may suggest a role in the resolution of the infection. Intrahepatic HBV-specific CD8 + T cells remain detectable at high frequencies after HBsAg-seroconversion.

Chronic hepatitis B: a critical appraisal of current approaches to therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) involves a number of complex and controversial issues. Expert opinions may differ from those of practicing hepatologists and gastroenterologists. We aimed to explore this issue further after a critical review of the literature. METHODS: A panel of 14 international experts graded the strength of evidence for 16 statements addressing 3 content areas: patient selection, therapeutic end points, and treatment options. Available data relating to the statements were reviewed critically in 3 small work groups. After discussion of each statement with the entire panel, the experts voted anonymously to accept or reject statements based on the strength of evidence and their experience. A total of 241 members of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) responded to the same statements and their responses were compared with those of the experts. A discordant response was defined as a difference of more than 20% in any of the 5 graded levels of response (accept or reject) between the 2 groups. RESULTS: With the exception of 2 statements, the experts' responses were relatively uniform. However, the responses of the AASLD members were discordant from the experts in 12 statements, spanning all 3 content areas. CONCLUSIONS: Several areas of disagreement on the management of CHB exist between experts and AASLD members. Our results indicate a potential knowledge gap among practicing hepatologists. Better educational efforts are needed to meet the challenge of managing this complex disorder in which even expert opinion occasionally may disagree.

Treatment with Peg-interferon alpha-2b for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B: HBsAg loss is associated with HBV genotype.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss is the hallmark of a complete response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B. In this study, we investigated the frequency of HBsAg loss after treatment with pegylated (Peg)-interferon alpha-2b. METHODS: In a multicenter randomized controlled trial, 266 HBeAg-positive patients were treated for 52 wks with Peg-interferon alpha-2b (100 microg/wk) in combination with either lamivudine (100 mg/day) or placebo. Posttreatment follow-up was 26 wks. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up, 95 (36%) of the 266 patients exhibited HBeAg loss, 18 (7%) HBsAg loss, and 16 (6%) HBsAg seroconversion. Addition of lamivudine did not enhance HBeAg loss, HBsAg loss, or development of anti-HBs. All 18 patients who showed HBsAg loss had normal ALT; 11 (61%) of these patients were also hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA negative (<400 copies/mL) at the end of follow-up. Loss of HBsAg differed according to HBV genotype: 14% for genotype A, 9% for genotype B, 3% for genotype C, and 2% for genotype D (A vs D: p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: One year of Peg-interferon alpha-2b for HBeAg-positive patients led to HBsAg loss in 7%. Our study indicates that treatment with Peg-interferon alpha-2b is the best therapy to achieve HBsAg clearance in patients with genotype A.

Heterotopic vs. orthotopic liver transplantation for chronic liver disease: a case-control comparison of short-term and long-term outcomes.

Between 1986 and 1990 we performed heterotopic liver transplantation (HLT) in 17 patients with chronic liver disease. In spite of theoretical advantages and favorable short-term results, we abandoned HLT because of doubts about the long-term outcome and the improved results of standard orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). There are, however, no studies comparing the long-term survival after HLT and OLT for chronic liver disease. We performed a case-control study of HLT vs. OLT, with long-term patient and graft survival as the main outcome measures. Known confounders and differences in baseline characteristics between HLT and OLT patients were corrected for. At 1 year, 5 of the 17 HLT patients had died, compared with 9 of the 34 OLT patients (relative risk [RR], 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33-4.02; P = 0.83). After correction for confounders, the long-term risk of graft failure (RR, 18.0; 95% CI, 1.5-223.5; P = 0.02) and of death (RR, 5.2; 95% CI, 0.8-34.8; P = 0.09) was higher after HLT than after OLT. The main causes of graft loss and death at more than 1 year after HLT were de novo malignancies and a variety of biliary complications. In conclusion, our data, from 1 of the largest single-center series of HLTs available, showed no significant difference between HLT and OLT in 1-year survival. However, the long-term outcome of HLT was inferior. HLT cannot be recommended as an alternative to OLT for any of the indications we studied, even though only 1 of the late deaths was definitely related to the heterotopic technique.

Long-term follow-up of alpha-interferon treatment of patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Data on the long-term effects of interferon alfa (IFN) treatment on disease progression and mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) are limited. To evaluate factors that influence clinical outcome and survival, we performed a follow-up study on 165 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positive CHB patients treated with IFN between 1978 and 2002. The median IFN dose was 30 megaunits (MU)/week (range, 2-70 MU/week), and the median duration of therapy was 16 weeks (range, 1-92 weeks). Response to treatment was defined as HBeAg loss within 12 months after the end of IFN therapy. Median follow-up was 8.8 years (range, 0.3-24 years). Fifty-four patients (33%) responded to IFN treatment. Relapse (HBeAg reactivation) occurred in 7 of the 54 (13%) responders. Fifty-two percent of the responders lost hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) as compared with 9% of the nonresponders (P <.001). Liver histology showed a decreased necroinflammatory activity and less progression of fibrosis in responders. Twenty-six patients died during follow-up. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was found in 8 patients, 6 of whom were nonresponders. Of the two responders who developed HCC, one patient had relapsed after discontinuation of therapy. Multivariate analysis showed significantly improved survival (relative risk (RR) of death 0.28, 95% CI 0.10-0.78) and reduced risk of developing HCC (RR 0.084, 95% CI 0.09-0.75) in responders. In conclusion, response to IFN therapy results in a prolonged clinical remission with an increased rate of HBsAg seroconversion and improved liver histology. Our results indicate that after correction for baseline factors, response to IFN therapy increases survival and reduces the risk of developing HCC.

Pretreatment intrahepatic CD8+ cell count correlates with virological response to antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

We analyzed the relationship between virological response and baseline immune factors in 17 patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) who received interferon-alpha-ribavirin therapy for 26 weeks. The number of intrahepatic CD8(+) cells present in the portal tract before the start of treatment was found to be significantly higher in patients who responded to treatment than in nonresponders. The relationship between portal CD8(+) cell counts and the response to therapy could be described by a logistic curve. Neither peripheral cytokine levels nor HCV-specific T cell reactivity in peripheral blood mononuclear cells showed a relationship to response to therapy.

The intrahepatic immune response during chronic hepatitis B infection can be monitored by the fine-needle aspiration biopsy technique.

Frequent analysis of the intrahepatic cellular immune response during chronic hepatitis B infection is not feasible with the liver tissue biopsy technique, due to its risk profile and patient discomfort. We investigated whether the relatively safe and patient-friendly cytological fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) technique is suited for this purpose. FNABs taken during hepatitis flares in three chronic hepatitis B patients treated with interferon-alpha, showed significant increments of CD8(+)-lymphocytes compared with the FNABs taken before and after the flares. No increments were observed in peripheral blood. The increments of intrahepatic CD8+ lymphocytes detected by the FNAB were related to anti-viral immune reactivity, since they coincided with significant serum hepatitis B virus DNA level reductions and in two of three patients with HBeAg seroconversion. In conclusion, the FNAB technique is suited to investigate the intrahepatic immune response during chronic hepatitis B infection on a frequent basis.

Endoscopic sclerotherapy compared with no specific treatment for the primary prevention of bleeding from esophageal varices. A randomized controlled multicentre trial [ISRCTN03215899].

BACKGROUND: Since esophageal variceal bleeding is associated with a high mortality rate, prevention of bleeding might be expected to result in improved survival. The first trials to evaluate prophylactic sclerotherapy found a marked beneficial effect of prophylactic treatment. These results, however, were not generally accepted because of methodological aspects and because the reported incidence of bleeding in control subjects was considered unusually high. The objective of this study was to compare endoscopic sclerotherapy (ES) with nonactive treatment for the primary prophylaxis of esophageal variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: 166 patients with esophageal varices grade II, III of IV according to Paquet's classification, with evidence of active or progressive liver disease and without prior variceal bleeding, were randomized to groups receiving ES (n = 84) or no specific treatment (n = 82). Primary end-points were incidence of bleeding and mortality; secondary end-points were complications and costs. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 32 months variceal bleeding occurred in 25% of the patients of the ES group and in 28% of the control group. The incidence of variceal bleeding for the ES and control group was 16% and 16% at 1 year and 33% and 29% at 3 years, respectively. The 1-year survival rate was 87% for the ES group and 84% for the control group; the 3-year survival rate was 62% for each group. In the ES group one death occurred as a direct consequence of variceal bleeding compared to 9 in the other group (p = 0.01, log-rank test). Complications were comparable for the two groups. Health care costs for patients assigned to ES were estimated to be higher. Meta-analysis of a large number of trials showed that the effect of prophylactic sclerotherapy is significantly related to the baseline bleeding risk. CONCLUSION: In the present trial, prophylactic sclerotherapy did not reduce the incidence of bleeding from varices in patients with liver cirrhosis and a low to moderate bleeding risk. Although sclerotherapy lowered mortality attributable to variceal bleeding, overall survival was not affected. The effect of prophylactic sclerotherapy seems dependent on the underlying bleeding risk. A beneficial effect can only be expected for patients with a high risk for bleeding.

A replicon-based bioassay for the measurement of interferons in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

Overall treatment results of chronic hepatitis C have improved markedly with the introduction of pegylated interferon-alpha (PEG-IFN-alpha) and ribavirin combination therapy. However, cure rates in the most common genotype 1 infection are still unsatisfactory. IFN-alpha dose-response studies on viral kinetics suggest that inadequate dosing might be a key factor but drug levels have hardly been tested, which is in part due to difficulties in measuring this cytokine in patient samples. We have shown recently that hepatitis C virus (HCV) replicons are highly sensitive to IFN-alpha. In this report we tested whether the replicon system could be used as a sensitive bioassay to determine the amount of biologically active IFN-alpha in serum or heparinized plasma of patients under therapy. To facilitate the measurements, a stably replicating subgenomic HCV RNA was developed that carries the gene encoding the firefly luciferase. Dose response studies with IFN-alpha demonstrate that the amount of expressed luciferase directly correlates with the level of HCV replication. By using this cell-based assay, serum samples of HCV patients treated with different types and doses of IFN-alpha were analyzed in parallel to IFN-alpha standards made by serial dilutions of the same type of IFN-alpha the patient was treated with. Based on nonlinear logistic models serum concentrations corresponding to 1.3-19 U/ml were determined in patients under standard or high dose IFN-alpha therapy, and from 3.8 to 4.1 ng/ml in patients treated with PEG IFN-alpha. In conclusion, the HCV-replicon based bioassay allows determining the levels of biologically active IFN-alpha in serum and heparinized plasma of patients under treatment.

Effect of hepatitis B and C virus infections on the natural history of compensated cirrhosis: a cohort study of 297 patients.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to compare the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive and those with antibody to hepatitis C (anti-HCV) positive cirrhosis. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 297 untreated Western European patients with compensated viral cirrhosis (Child class A; 161 patients with hepatitis type B and 136 with type C) who were followed for a median period of 6.6 yr. RESULTS: At diagnosis, median age was lower (48 vs 58 yr, respectively) in HBsAg-positive cirrhotic patients. The Kaplan-Meier 5-yr probability of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was 9% and 10% in HBsAg and anti-HCV-positive cirrhotic patients, respectively; the corresponding figures for decompensation unrelated to HCC were 16% and 28% and for survival were 86% and 84%, respectively. After adjustment for clinical and serological differences at baseline, the relative risk (95% CI) for HCC, decompensation and mortality was 1.53 (CI = 0.81-2.89), 0.59 (CI = 0.37-0.94), and 1.44 (CI = 0.85-2.46) respectively, in HBsAg-positive patients compared with anti-HCV-positive cirrhotic patients. Among HBsAg-positive cirrhotic patients, the relative risk for HCC, decompensation, and mortality was 0.89 (CI = 0.30-2.63), 4.05 (CI = 1.09-15.1), and 5.9 (CI = 1.64-21.3), respectively, in HBV-DNA positive (HBeAg positive or negative) compared with HBV-DNA negative (HBeAg negative) patients at entry. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HBV infection may present with cirrhosis about 10 yr earlier than those with HCV infection. HCV infection tends to be associated with a higher risk of decompensation, but these data should take into consideration the heterogeneity of HBV-related cirrhosis in terms of viremia levels and risk of hepatic failure. Survival shows no significant differences according to HBV or HCV etiology in Western European cirrhotic patients.