Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Molnupiravir Versus Best Supportive Care for the Treatment of Outpatient COVID-19 in Adults in the US.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) imposes a substantial and ongoing burden on the US healthcare system and society. Molnupiravir is a new oral antiviral for treating COVID-19 in outpatient settings. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness profile of molnupiravir versus best supportive care in the treatment of adult patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 at risk of progression to severe disease, from a US payer's perspective. METHODS: The model was developed using a decision tree for the short-term acute phase of COVID-19 and a Markov state transition model for the long-term post-acute phase. This model compared molnupiravir with best supportive care as consistent with the MOVe-OUT trial. Costs were reported in 2021 US dollars. Transition probabilities were derived from the phase III MOVe-OUT trial and the TriNetX real-world electronic health records database. Costs were derived from the TriNetX database and utility values from a de novo, vignette-based utility study. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (DSA/PSA) were conducted. Primary outcomes included proportion hospitalized, proportion who died overall and by highest healthcare setting at the end of the acute phase, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental costs per QALY gained over a lifetime (100 years) horizon, discounted at 3% annually and assessed at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $100,000 per QALY. RESULTS: In this model, the use of molnupiravir led to an increase in QALYs (0.210) and decrease in direct total medical costs (-$895) per patient across a lifetime horizon, compared with best supportive care in COVID-19 outpatients. Molnupiravir was the dominant intervention when compared with best supportive care. Patients treated with molnupiravir were less likely to be hospitalized (6.38% vs. 9.20%) and more likely to remain alive (99.88% vs. 98.71%) during the acute phase. Through DSA, molnupiravir treatment effect of hospitalization reduction was identified to be the most influential parameter, and through PSA, molnupiravir remained dominant in 84% of the total simulations and, overall, 100% cost effective. CONCLUSION: This analysis suggests that molnupiravir is cost effective compared with best supportive care for the treatment of adult outpatients with COVID-19. However, our study was limited by the unavailability of the most recent information on the rapidly evolving pandemic, including new viral variants, patient populations affected, and changes in standards of care. Further research should explore the impact of vaccination on the cost effectiveness of molnupiravir and other therapies, based on real-world data, to account for these changes, including the impact of vaccination and immunity.

Stereotactic radioablation of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with structural heart disease - A systematic review.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Several studies have suggested stereotactic arrhythmia radioablation (STAR) as a treatment option for patients suffering from therapy-refractory ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation (VT/VF). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a systematic review of human reports of STAR for structural VT/VF to assess its effectivity and safety. All identified publications were assessed for inclusion. This study adheres to the PRISMA guidelines and was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020183044). RESULTS: Thirteen studies were included resulting in a population of 57 patients. Median age was 64 (range 34-83), 31 patients (54%) had ischemic cardiomyopathy and 50 patients (88%) had prior catheter ablation (CA) for VT/VF. A mean planned target volume of 64.4 cc (range 3.5-238) with a mean safety margin of 3.3 mm (0-5) was treated with 25 Gy. Immediately following STAR, four patients (7%) experienced an electrical storm. During a mean follow-up duration of 410 days, all patients suffering from sustained VT/VF prior to STAR (n = 55) had a reduction of their sustained VT/VF-burden after STAR, but recurrence occurred in 41 patients (75%) during follow-up. Forty-six patients (81%) had an adverse effect from therapy, but no treatment-related death occurred. Evidence of scar-formation after STAR either by imaging, invasive mapping or histopathology was found in six of nine examined patients (67%). CONCLUSION: From the still very limited experience, STAR appears effective and safe in patients with structural heart disease and therapy-refractory sustained VT/VF. It is associated with a significant short-term reduction of sustained VT/VF-burden, but recurrences are common.

Does an undetected obstructive sleep apnea influence the natural course and success of cardiac rehabilitation after cardiac surgery?

BACKGROUND: Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) is common in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and can negatively impact the course of CVD. However, scarce data are available for patients before or after cardiac surgery (CS) in the context of OSA. AIM: This study investigated the impact of an undetected OSA on the results of cardiac rehabilitation (CR) in patients after CS. DESIGN: Observational study over a period of 3 months following CS. SETTING: The setting of this study was inpatient CR after CS or cardiac interventions. POPULATION: CS cohort referred to a CR program to an inpatient rehabilitation clinic in Switzerland. METHODS: In this prospective observational study 256 patients were screened for OSA at the entry of CR via a level III screening device (ApneaLink AirTM, Resmed, San Diego, CA, USA). They were stratified into two groups: apnea hypopnea index (AHI) >15 or <15/h. A comprehensive assessment was performed at entry and end of CR including six-minute walk test (6-MWT), Functional Independence Measure (FIM), Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, MacNewHeart (MNH), STOP-Bang Questionnaire (SBQ) and Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS).All patients participated in a comprehensive CR program with a mean duration of approximately 3 weeks. Another OSA screening was performed at the end of the PR program and after 3 months in order to observe the clinical course of OSA. RESULTS: An AHI>15/h was found in 133 patients (59%) at baseline, 54% after 3 weeks and 43% after 3 months. The AHI>15/h-group was older, had a higher BMI, more frequent hypertension and coronary artery disease, and higher ESS and SBQ scores compared to the AHI<15/h-group. The results of the STOP-Bang and ESS questionnaires showed a statistically significant but weak positive correlation with AHI. However, in both groups ESS did not improve from baseline to the end of CR. A multivariable logistic regression model confirmed age and ESS as independent positive predictors of OSA. No differences were found between both groups according to the results of the 6-MWT, HADS and MNH. CONCLUSIONS: OSA had a high prevalence in a large CS cohort referred to CR. However, moderate-severe OSA, though symptomatic, had no significant influence on the outcome during CR and on the parameters representing success. CLINICAL REHABILITATION IMPACT: In our study the improvements during CR after CS were not influenced by the presence of significant OSA which is remarkable since the presence of OSA is thought to be associated with increased rates of cardiovascular adverse events after cardiovascular intervention or CS. This is true at least for the success of CR after CS. The long-term consequences of untreated OSA in CVD remain unclear and are still the subject of current research.

Diagnostic performance of angiography-based quantitative flow ratio for the identification of myocardial ischemia as assessed by 13N-ammonia myocardial perfusion imaging positron emission tomography.

BACKGROUND: Quantitative flow ratio (QFR) is a novel, adenosine-free method for functional lesion interrogation based on 3-dimensional quantitative coronary angiography and computational algorithms. We sought to investigate the diagnostic performance of QFR versus myocardial perfusion imaging positron emission tomography (MPI-PET), which yields the highest accuracy for detection of myocardial ischemia. METHODS: Diagnostic performance of QFR versus MPI-PET was assessed in consecutive patients undergoing both clinically indicated coronary angiography and 13N-ammonia MPI-PET within a six-month period. RESULTS: Out of 176 patients (439 coronary arteries), 19.3% were women. Percent area stenosis was 45 [32-58] %. Myocardial ischemia on 13N-ammonia MPI-PET was detected in 106 (24.1%) vessel territories and hemodynamic significance defined as contrast-flow vessel QFR ≤ 0.80 was observed in 83 (18.9%) vessels. Diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of contrast-flow vessel QFR for the prediction of myocardial ischemia on 13N-ammonia MPI-PET were 92.5 (95% CI 89.6-94.7) %, 73.6 (95% CI 64.1-81.7) %, and 98.5 (95% CI 96.5-99.5) %, respectively. The AUCs for contrast-flow vessel QFR, percent diameter stenosis, and percent area stenosis were 0.85 (95% CI 0.81-0.88, p < 0.001), 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.79, p < 0.001) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.70-0.79, p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: QFR, a novel diagnostic tool for functional coronary lesion assessment, provides good diagnostic agreement with MPI-PET and superior diagnostic accuracy for the detection of myocardial ischemia as compared to anatomic indices. Future studies will have to determine the non-inferiority of QFR to fractional flow reserve with respect to clinical outcomes.

Temporal trends in incidence of childhood cancer in Switzerland, 1985-2014.

BACKGROUND: Incidence of childhood cancer increased in most countries worldwide, but reasons are unclear. This study investigates trends of childhood cancer incidence in Switzerland from 1985 to 2014. METHODS: We extracted data on all childhood cancer cases diagnosed at ages 0-14 years in Switzerland from the Swiss Childhood Cancer Registry. We included ICCC-3 main groups I-XII and calculated age-standardised, cumulative, and age-specific incidence for different diagnostic groups. We analysed trends of annual age-standardised incidence using JoinPoint regression models. RESULTS: Over the study period from 1985 to 2014, 5104 of 5486 cancer diagnoses (93%) were microscopically verified. The proportion of children treated in paediatric cancer centres increased from 84% during 1985-1994 to 93% in 1995-2004 and 98% in 2005-2014 (p < 0.001). Using the World standard population, age-standardised incidence was 143 in 1985-1994, 154 in 1995-2004, and 162 per million in 2005-2014. Incidence increased by 0.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5; 1.0) per year for all cancers from 1985 to 2014, 0.8% (95% CI 0.2%-1.4%) for leukaemias over the same period, 3.0% (95% CI 0.2%-1.4%) for CNS tumours during 1985-2002, and 3.8% (95% CI 1.7%-6.0%) for epithelial neoplasms and melanomas over the period 1985-2014. CONCLUSION: Trends in incidence were driven mostly by increases among leukaemias and CNS tumours. For CNS tumours, observed trends may be explained at least partially by diagnostic changes and improved registration. For leukaemias, rising incidence may be real and due to risk factors that experience similar increases in trends.

Overweight in childhood cancer survivors: the Swiss Childhood Cancer Survivor Study.

Background: An increased risk of becoming overweight has been reported for childhood cancer survivors (CCSs), in particular leukemia survivors, although the evidence is inconclusive. Objective: We assessed the prevalence of overweight in CCSs, with a focus on leukemia survivors, compared it with their peers, and determined potential risk factors. Design: As part of the Swiss Childhood Cancer Survivor Study, we sent a questionnaire between 2007 and 2013 to all Swiss resident CCSs aged <21 y at diagnosis who had survived ≥5 y. We calculated body mass index (BMI) from medical records at diagnosis and self-reported heights and weights at survey. We calculated BMI z scores by using Swiss references for children and compared overweight prevalence in CCSs, their siblings, and the general population with the use of the Swiss Health Survey (SHS) and assessed risk factors for being overweight by using multivariable logistic regression. Results: The study included 2365 CCSs, 819 siblings, and 9591 SHS participants. At survey, at an average of 15 y after diagnosis, the prevalence of overweight in CCSs overall (26%) and in leukemia survivors (26%) was similar to that in siblings (22%) and the general population (25%). Risk factors for being overweight in CCSs were male sex (OR: 1.8; 95% CI: 1.5, 2.1), both young (OR for ages 5-14 y: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.2, 2.3) and older (range-OR for ages 25-29 y: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.2, 2.4; OR for ages 40-45 y: 4.0; 95% CI: 2.5, 6.5) age at study, lower education (OR: 1.4; 95% CI: 1.1, 1.8), migration background (OR: 1.3; 95% CI: 1.1, 1.7), and no sports participation (OR: 1.4; 95% CI: 1.1, 1.7). Risk factors for overweight were similar in peers. CCSs treated with cranial radiotherapy (≥20 Gy) were more likely to be overweight than their peers (OR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.2, 2.2). Conclusions: The prevalence of and risk factors for being overweight are similar in long-term CCSs and their peers. This suggests that prevention methods can be the same as in the general population. An important exception is CCSs treated with cranial radiotherapy ≥20 Gy who may need extra attention during follow-up care. This study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03297034.

Long-term pulmonary disease among Swiss childhood cancer survivors.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary diseases are potentially severe late complications of childhood cancer treatment that increase mortality risk among survivors. This nationwide study assesses the prevalence and incidence of pulmonary diseases in long-term childhood cancer survivors (CCS) and their siblings, and quantifies treatment-related risks. METHODS: As part of the Swiss Childhood Cancer Survivor Study, we studied CCS who were diagnosed between 1976 and 2005 and alive at least 5 years after diagnosis. We compared prevalence of self-reported pulmonary diseases (pneumonia, chest wall abnormalities, lung fibrosis, emphysema) between CCS and their siblings, calculated cumulative incidence of pulmonary diseases using the Kaplan-Meier method, and determined risk factors using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: CCS reported more pneumonias (10% vs. 7%, P = 0.020) and chest wall abnormalities (2% vs. 0.4%, P = 0.003) than siblings. Treatment with busulfan was associated with prevalence of pneumonia (odds ratio [OR] 4.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-14.9), and thoracic surgery was associated with chest wall abnormalities and lung fibrosis (OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.6-10.7 and OR 6.3, 95% CI 1.7-26.6). Cumulative incidence of any pulmonary disease after 35 years of follow-up was 21%. For pneumonia, the highest cumulative incidence was seen in CCS treated with both pulmotoxic chemotherapy and radiotherapy to the thorax (23%). CONCLUSION: This nationwide study in CCS found an increased risk for pulmonary diseases, especially pneumonia, while still young, which indicates that CCS need long-term pulmonary follow-up.

Feasibility and normal values of an integrated conductivity (Nanoduct™) sweat test system in healthy newborns.

BACKGROUND: Nanoduct™ is a simple and practical sweat analysis system measuring conductivity in situ. It requires only three microlitres of sweat, making it especially applicable to newborns. METHODS: We measured conductivity in 260 healthy term infants at the age of four days, and again at four weeks to determine the proportion of successful tests, test duration, and normal values for sweat conductivity in newborns. RESULTS: Sufficient sweat was collected in 159/260 of four-day olds (61%), and in 225/239 of four-week olds (94%). Mean (sd) test duration was 27 (5) and 25 (5) min. Mean (sd, range) conductivity was 53mmol/l (16, 8-114) at age four days, and 36 (9, 12-64) at four weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Determination of sweat conductivity using Nanoduct™ cannot be recommended for four-day old newborns. However, at the age of four weeks the success rate is high (94%), and conductivity values at that age are comparable to older healthy children.

Childhood cancer survival in Switzerland (1976-2013): Time-trends and predictors.

Population-based studies on childhood cancer survival are key to monitor progress against cancer and to detect potential differences between regions and other subgroups in the population. We investigated time trends and factors associated with childhood cancer survival on a national level in Switzerland, from 1976 to 2013. We extracted data from the population-based Swiss Childhood Cancer Registry of 5,776 children (age 0-14 years) diagnosed with cancer from 1985 to 2014 in Switzerland. We calculated age-adjusted 5-year survival, defined the annual reduction in risk of death (ARR), and explored associations of survival with clinical and demographic factors. Overall, 5-year survival improved significantly, from 64% in 1976-1983 to 88% in 2004-2013. ARR over the whole period was 4% for all diagnostic groups, greatest for Hodgkin lymphomas (8%), ependymomas (6%), Burkitt's lymphomas (6%) and germ cell tumours (6%). Children treated in hospitals without specialised paediatric cancer centre for leukaemia (HR 12.9), lymphoma (HR 5.0) and neuroblastoma (HR 3.7) were at higher risk of death. In French-speaking Switzerland, risk of death was lower for lymphoma (HR 0.6), CNS tumours (HR 0.7) and neuroblastoma (HR 0.5). Children with migration background had a higher risk of death from all tumours except bone tumours. Childhood cancer survival significantly improved from 1976 to 2013, but there is room for further improvement. Survival rates varied by type of clinical treatment, language region and nationality. All paediatric cancer patients should be referred to a specialised paediatric cancer centre. Further research is needed to intervene and completely eliminate inequalities in survival.

Income in Adult Survivors of Childhood Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the impact of childhood cancer on the personal income of survivors. We compared income between survivors and siblings, and determined factors associated with income. METHODS: As part of the Swiss Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (SCCSS), a questionnaire was sent to survivors, aged ≥18 years, registered in the Swiss Childhood Cancer Registry (SCCR), diagnosed at age <21 years, who had survived ≥5 years after diagnosis of the primary tumor. Siblings were used as a comparison group. We asked questions about education, profession and income and retrieved clinical data from the SCCR. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify characteristics associated with income. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 1'506 survivors and 598 siblings. Survivors were less likely than siblings to have a high monthly income (>4'500 CHF), even after we adjusted for socio-demographic and educational factors (OR = 0.46, p<0.001). Older age, male sex, personal and parental education, and number of working hours were associated with high income. Survivors of leukemia (OR = 0.40, p<0.001), lymphoma (OR = 0.63, p = 0.040), CNS tumors (OR = 0.22, p<0.001), bone tumors (OR = 0.24, p = 0.003) had a lower income than siblings. Survivors who had cranial irradiation, had a lower income than survivors who had no cranial irradiation (OR = 0.48, p = 0.006). DISCUSSION: Even after adjusting for socio-demographic characteristics, education and working hours, survivors of various diagnostic groups have lower incomes than siblings. Further research needs to identify the underlying causes.

Cause-specific long-term mortality in survivors of childhood cancer in Switzerland: A population-based study.

Survivors of childhood cancer have a higher mortality than the general population. We describe cause-specific long-term mortality in a population-based cohort of childhood cancer survivors. We included all children diagnosed with cancer in Switzerland (1976-2007) at age 0-14 years, who survived ≥5 years after diagnosis and followed survivors until December 31, 2012. We obtained causes of death (COD) from the Swiss mortality statistics and used data from the Swiss general population to calculate age-, calendar year-, and sex-standardized mortality ratios (SMR), and absolute excess risks (AER) for different COD, by Poisson regression. We included 3,965 survivors and 49,704 person years at risk. Of these, 246 (6.2%) died, which was 11 times higher than expected (SMR 11.0). Mortality was particularly high for diseases of the respiratory (SMR 14.8) and circulatory system (SMR 12.7), and for second cancers (SMR 11.6). The pattern of cause-specific mortality differed by primary cancer diagnosis, and changed with time since diagnosis. In the first 10 years after 5-year survival, 78.9% of excess deaths were caused by recurrence of the original cancer (AER 46.1). Twenty-five years after diagnosis, only 36.5% (AER 9.1) were caused by recurrence, 21.3% by second cancers (AER 5.3) and 33.3% by circulatory diseases (AER 8.3). Our study confirms an elevated mortality in survivors of childhood cancer for at least 30 years after diagnosis with an increased proportion of deaths caused by late toxicities of the treatment. The results underline the importance of clinical follow-up continuing years after the end of treatment for childhood cancer.

Death certificate notifications in the Swiss Childhood Cancer Registry: assessing completeness and registration procedures.

QUESTIONS UNDER STUDY: Completeness is important in cancer registration. Identifying areas to improve registry procedures might help to maximise completeness. We examined characteristics of childhood cancer cases that were registered via death certificate notification (DCN) rather than during life, and estimated completeness of the Swiss Childhood Cancer Registry (SCCR). METHODS: We analysed data from all children who died from cancer in Switzerland between 1985-2009 at age <16 years (n = 978), and checked whether they had been registered in the SCCR. We used multivariable logistic regression to compare characteristics of DCN cases with deceased SCCR cases, and the DCN-to-incidence and mortality-to-incidence ratio method to estimate completeness for different diagnostic periods. RESULTS: Among 978 deceased children with cancer, 126 (12.9%) were registered via DCN. Those with tumours of digestive organs (odds ratio [OR] 5.1; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9-13.7), tumours of endocrine glands (OR 4.5; 95% CI 1.6-12.3), and brain tumours (OR 3.1; 95% CI 1.7-5.5) were more likely to be DCN cases than those with leukaemia. Neonates (OR 14.1, 95% CI 5.3-37.3), infants (OR 7.5; 95% CI 3.1-18.0) and 14-15 year olds (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.2-4.9) were more likely to be DCN cases than 1-4 year olds. The DCN proportion was particularly high in infants who lived in rural regions. Estimated completeness of the SCCR increased from 85% for 1985-89 to ≥ 95% for 1995-2009. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood cancer registration in Switzerland was quite complete, but registration must improve for infants, particularly neonates, and children diagnosed with hepatic, endocrine and brain tumours.

Childhood cancer survivor cohorts in Europe.

With the advent of multimodality therapy, the overall five-year survival rate from childhood cancer has improved considerably now exceeding 80% in developed European countries. This growing cohort of survivors, with many years of life ahead of them, has raised the necessity for knowledge concerning the risks of adverse long-term sequelae of the life-saving treatments in order to provide optimal screening and care and to identify and provide adequate interventions. Childhood cancer survivor cohorts in Europe. Considerable advantages exist to study late effects in individuals treated for childhood cancer in a European context, including the complementary advantages of large population-based cancer registries and the unrivalled opportunities to study lifetime risks, together with rich and detailed hospital-based cohorts which fill many of the gaps left by the large-scale population-based studies, such as sparse treatment information. Several large national cohorts have been established within Europe to study late effects in individuals treated for childhood cancer including the Nordic Adult Life after Childhood Cancer in Scandinavia study (ALiCCS), the British Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (BCCSS), the Dutch Childhood Oncology Group (DCOG) LATER study, and the Swiss Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (SCCSS). Furthermore, there are other large cohorts, which may eventually become national in scope including the French Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (FCCSS), the French Childhood Cancer Survivor Study for Leukaemia (LEA), and the Italian Study on off-therapy Childhood Cancer Survivors (OTR). In recent years significant steps have been taken to extend these national studies into a larger pan-European context through the establishment of two large consortia - PanCareSurFup and PanCareLIFE. The purpose of this paper is to present an overview of the current large, national and pan-European studies of late effects after childhood cancer. This overview will highlight the strong cooperation across Europe, in particular the EU-funded collaborative research projects PanCareSurFup and PanCareLIFE. Overall goal. The overall goal of these large cohort studies is to provide every European childhood cancer survivor with better care and better long-term health so that they reach their full potential, and to the degree possible, enjoy the same quality of life and opportunities as their peers.