Chemotherapy Treatment Costs and Clinical Outcomes of Colon Cancer in the U.S. Military Health System's Direct and Private Sector Care Settings.

INTRODUCTION: Identifying low-value cancer care may be an important step in containing costs associated with treatment. Low-value care occurs when the medical services, tests, or treatments rendered do not result in clinical benefit. These may be impacted by care setting and patients' access to care and health insurance. We aimed to study chemotherapy treatment and the cost paid by the Department of Defense (DoD) for treatment in relation to clinical outcomes among patients with colon cancer treated within the U.S. Military Health System's direct and private sector care settings to better understand the value of cancer care. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort of patients aged 18 to 64 years with primary colon cancer diagnosed between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2014, were identified in the Military Cancer Epidemiology database. Multivariable time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the relationship between chemotherapy treatment and the cost paid by the DoD (in quartiles, Q) and the outcomes of cancer progression, cancer recurrence, and all-cause death modeled as adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The Military Cancer Epidemiology data were approved for research by the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences' Institutional Review Board. RESULTS: The study included 673 patients using direct care and 431 patients using private sector care. The median per patient chemotherapy costs in direct care ($111,202) were lower than in private sector care ($350,283). In direct care, higher chemotherapy costs were associated with an increased risk of any outcome but not with all-cause death. In private sector care, higher chemotherapy costs were associated with a higher risk of any outcome and with all-cause death (aHR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.20-5.92 for Q4 vs. Q1). CONCLUSIONS: The findings in the private sector may indicate low-value care in terms of the cost paid by the DoD for chemotherapy treatment and achieving desirable survival outcomes for patients with colon cancer in civilian health care. Comprehensive evaluations of value-based care among patients treated for other tumor types may be warranted.

Incidence of Proliferative Diabetic Retinopathy and Other Neovascular Sequelae at 5 Years Following Diagnosis of Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence and risk factors for developing proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), tractional retinal detachment (TRD), and neovascular glaucoma (NVG) at 5 years after the initial diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Insured patients aged ≥18 years with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and 5 years of continuous enrollment were identified from a nationwide commercial claims database containing data from 2007 to 2015. The incidences of PDR, TRD, and NVG were computed at 5 years following the index diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. Associations between these outcomes and demographic, socioeconomic, and medical factors were tested with multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: At 5 years following the initial diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, 1.74% (1,249 of 71,817) of patients had developed PDR, 0.25% of patients had developed TRD, and 0.14% of patients had developed NVG. Insulin use (odds ratio [OR] 3.59, 95% CI 3.16-4.08), maximum HbA1c >9% or >75 mmol/mol (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.54-2.69), renal disease (OR 2.68, 95% CI 2.09-3.42), peripheral circulatory disorders (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.25-2.83), neurological disease (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.24-2.11), and older age (age 65-74 years) at diagnosis (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.28-2.03) were identified as risk factors for development of PDR at 5 years. Young age (age 18-23 years) at diagnosis (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.29-0.74), Medicare insurance (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.70-0.76), morbid obesity (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.87), and smoking (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.70-1.00) were identified as protective factors. CONCLUSIONS: A subset of patients with type 2 diabetes develop PDR and other neovascular sequelae within the first 5 years following the diagnosis with type 2 diabetes. These patients may benefit from increased efforts for screening and early intervention.

Rates of Eye Care and Diabetic Eye Disease among Insured Patients with Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes.

PURPOSE: To determine rates of eye examinations and diabetic eye disease in the first 5 years after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes (DM2) among continuously insured adults. DESIGN: Retrospective, longitudinal cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Insured patients aged 40 years or older with newly diagnosed DM2 (n = 42 684), and control patients without diabetes matched on age, sex, and race were identified from a nationwide commercial claims database containing data from 2007 to 2015. METHODS: All patients were tracked for 6 years: 1 year before and 5 years after the index diabetes diagnosis. Receipt of eye care for individual patients was identified using International Classification of Diseases 9th edition (ICD-9) procedure codes or Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes indicating an eye examination, as well as encounters indicating the patient was seen by an ophthalmologist. A diagnosis of diabetic eye disease was determined by using ICD-9 codes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Outcome measures included annual receipt of eye care and development of diabetic eye disease, namely, diabetic retinopathy (DR). Associations between these outcomes and demographic factors were tested with multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Diabetic patients received more eye examinations than controls in each year, but no more than 40.4% of diabetic patients received an examination in any given year. Patients with Medicare Advantage received fewer eye examinations at 5 years (odds ratio [OR], 0.79; P < 0.01) than those with private insurance but were less likely to develop DR (OR, 0.71; P < 0.01). Hispanic patients had higher rates of DR (OR, 1.60; P < 0.01) and received fewer eye examinations (OR, 0.75; P < 0.01) at 5 years compared with White patients. Men received fewer eye examinations (OR, 0.84; P < 0.01) and were more likely to develop DR at 5 years (OR, 1.17; P < 0.01) than women. Patients with higher education were more likely to receive an eye examination and less likely to develop DR. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of diabetic patients do not receive adequate eye care within the 5 years after initial diabetes diagnosis despite having insurance. Efforts should be made to improve adherence to screening guidelines, especially for vulnerable populations.

The effect of malpractice law on physician supply: Evidence from negligence-standard reforms.

We explore whether the composition of the physician workforce is impacted by the clinical standards imposed on physicians under medical liability rules. Specifically, we explore whether the proportion of non-surgeons practicing in a region decreases-and thus whether the proportion of surgeons increases-when liability standards are modified so as to expect that physicians practice more intensively. For these purposes, we draw on a quasi-experiment made possible by states shifting from local to national customs as the basis for setting liability standards. Using data from the Area Health Resource File from 1977 to 2005, we find that the rate of non-surgeons among practicing physicians decreases by 2-2.4 log points (or by 1.4-1.7 percentage points) following the adoption of national-standard laws in initially low surgery-rate regions-i.e., following a change in the law that effectively expects physicians to increase their use of surgical approaches.

Lifetime Economic Burden of Crohn's Disease and Ulcerative Colitis by Age at Diagnosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Understanding the burden of Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) is important for measuring treatment value. We estimated lifetime health care costs incurred by patients with CD or UC by age at diagnosis. METHODS: We collected data from 78,620 patients with CD, 85,755 with UC, and propensity score-matched control subjects from the Truven Health MarketScan insurance claims databases (2008‒2015). Total medical (inpatient, outpatient) and pharmacy costs were captured. Cost variations over a lifetime were estimated in cost-state Markov models by age at diagnosis, adjusted to 2016 U.S. dollars and discounted at 3% per annum. We measured lifetime total and lifetime incremental cost (the difference between costs of CD or UC patients vs matched controls). RESULTS: For CD, the lifetime incremental cost was $707,711 among patients who received their diagnosis at 0‒11 years, and $177,614 for patients 70 years or older, averaging $416,352 for a diagnosis at any age. Lifetime total cost was $622,056, consisting of outpatient ($273,056), inpatient ($164,298), pharmacy ($163,722), and emergency room (ER) ($20,979) costs. For UC, the lifetime incremental cost was $369,955 among patients who received their diagnosis at 0‒11 years, and $132,396 for individuals 70 years or older, averaging $230,102 for a diagnosis at any age. Lifetime total cost was $405,496, consisting of outpatient ($163,670), inpatient ($123,190), pharmacy ($105,142), and ER ($13,493) costs. Therefore, the prevalent populations of patients with CD or UC in the United States in 2016 are expected to incur lifetime total costs of $498 billion and $377 billion, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Using a Markov model, we estimated lifetime costs for patients with CD or UC to exceed previously published estimates. Individuals who receive a diagnosis of CD or UC at an early age (younger than 11 years) incur the highest lifetime cost burden. Advancing management strategies may significantly improve patient outcomes and reduce lifetime health care spending.

Economic Value of Anti-Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Treatment for Patients With Wet Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the United States.

Importance: Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) is a breakthrough treatment for wet age-related macular degeneration (wAMD), the most common cause of blindness in western countries. Anti-VEGF treatment prevents vision loss and has been shown to produce vision gains lasting as long as 5 years. Although this treatment is costly, the benefits associated with vision gains are large. Objective: To estimate the economic value of benefits, costs for patients with wAMD, and societal value in the United States generated from vision improvement associated with anti-VEGF treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: This economic evaluation study used data from the published literature to simulate vision outcomes for a cohort of 168 820 patients with wAMD aged 65 years or older and to translate them into economic variables. Data were collected and analyzed from March 2018 to November 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes included patient benefits, costs, and societal value. Each outcome was estimated for a newly diagnosed cohort and the full population across 5 years, with a focus on year 3 as the primary outcome because data beyond that point may be less representative of the general population. Drug costs were the weighted mean across anti-VEGF therapies. Two current treatment scenarios were considered: less frequent injections (mean [SD], 8.2 [1.6] injections annually) and more frequent injections (mean [range], 10.5 [6.8-13.1] injections annually). The 2 treatment innovation scenarios, improved adherence and best case, had the same vision outcomes as the current treatment scenarios had but included more patients treated from higher initiation and lower discontinuation. Results: The study population included 168 820 patients aged 65 years at the time of diagnosis with wAMD. The underlying clinical trials that were used to parameterize the model did not stratify visual acuity outcomes or treatment frequency by sex; therefore, the model parameters could not be stratified by sex. The current treatment scenario of less frequent injections generated $1.1 billion for the full population in year 1 and $5.1 billion in year 3, whereas the scenario of more frequent injections generated $1.6 billion (year 1) and $8.2 billion (year 3). Three-year benefits ranged from $7.3 billion to $11.4 billion in the improved adherence scenario and from $9.7 billion to $15.0 billion if 100% of the patients initiated anti-VEGF treatment and the discontinuation rates were 6% per year or equivalent to clinical trial discontinuation (best-case scenario). Societal value (patient benefits net of treatment cost) ranged from $0.9 billion to $3.0 billion across 3 years in the current treatment scenarios and from $0.9 billion to $4.3 billion in the treatment innovation scenarios. Conclusions and Relevance: This study's findings suggest that improved vision associated with anti-VEGF treatment may provide economic value to patients and society if the outcomes match published outcomes data used in these analyses; however, future innovations that increase treatment utilization may result in added economic benefit.

Contribution Of Care Source To Cancer Treatment Cost Variation In The US Military Health System.

The US Military Health System (MHS) provides universal access to health care for more than nine million eligible beneficiaries through direct care in military treatment facilities or purchased care in civilian facilities. Using information from linked cancer registry and administrative databases, we examined how care source contributed to cancer treatment cost variation in the MHS for patients ages 18-64 who were diagnosed with colon, female breast, or prostate cancer in the period 2003-14. After accounting for patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics, we found the independent contribution of care source to total variation in cost to be 8 percent, 12 percent, and 2 percent for colon, breast, and prostate cancer treatment, respectively. About 20-50 percent of the total cost variance remained unexplained and may be related to organizational and administrative factors.

Emergency Department Contribution to the Prescription Opioid Epidemic.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We characterize the relative contribution of emergency departments (EDs) to national opioid prescribing, estimate trends in opioid prescribing by site of care (ED, office-based, and inpatient), and examine whether higher-risk opioid users receive a disproportionate quantity of their opioids from ED settings. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of the nationally representative Medical Expenditure Panel Survey from 1996 to 2012. Individuals younger than 18 years and with malignancy diagnoses were excluded. All prescriptions were standardized through conversion to milligrams of morphine equivalents. Reported estimates are adjusted with multivariable regression analysis. RESULTS: From 1996 to 2012, 47,081 patient-years (survey-weighted population of 483,654,902 patient-years) surveyed by the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey received at least 1 opioid prescription. During the same period, we observed a 471% increase in the total quantity of opioids (measured by total milligrams of morphine equivalents) prescribed in the United States. The proportion of opioids from office-based prescriptions was high and increased throughout the study period (71% of the total in 1996 to 83% in 2012). The amount of opioids originating from the ED was modest and declined throughout the study period (7.4% in 1996 versus 4.4% in 2012). For people in the top 5% of opioid consumption, ED prescriptions accounted for only 2.4% of their total milligrams of morphine equivalents compared with 87.8% from office visits. CONCLUSION: Between 1996 and 2012, opioid prescribing for noncancer patients in the United States significantly increased. The majority of this growth was attributable to office visits and refills of previously prescribed opioids. The relative contribution of EDs to the prescription opioid problem was modest and declining. Thus, further efforts to reduce the quantity of opioids prescribed may have limited effect in the ED and should focus on office-based settings. EDs could instead focus on developing and disseminating tools to help providers identify high-risk individuals and refer them to treatment.

The impact of self- and physician-administered cancer treatment on work productivity and healthcare utilization.

BACKGROUND: Lost productivity in the workplace represents a significant portion of the economic burden of cancer in the United States. Cancer treatments have historically been physician-administered, while recent innovations have led to the development of self-administered, usually oral, agents. Self-administered treatments have the potential to reduce healthcare utilization and time away from work, but the magnitude of these effects is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effects of self- and physician-administered cancer treatment on work productivity and health care utilization. METHODS: Cancer subtypes with self- and physician-administered treatment options were selected. Patients with female breast, or lung or bronchus cancer diagnosed in 2004-2013 were identified in the Truven Health Analytics Commercial Claims and Encounters and Health and Productivity Management databases. Using multivariate regression models, work productivity and healthcare utilization were compared for patients receiving self- versus physician-administered treatment in the 12 months after initial diagnosis. Work productivity outcomes included the number of sick days and short-term disability claims. RESULTS: One month of self- versus physician-administered treatment significantly reduced cancer-related outpatient services, doctor visits, and infusions in the 12 months after initial diagnosis for both cancers of interest. In addition, breast and lung or bronchus cancer patients who received self-administered treatment were less likely to have short-term disability claims, and breast cancer patients with non-metastatic disease who received self-administered treatment had significantly fewer sick days. CONCLUSIONS: Self-administered cancer treatment was associated with fewer cancer-related outpatient services and reduced time away from work compared to physician-administered cancer treatment.

Quantifying Gains in the War on Cancer Due to Improved Treatment and Earlier Detection.

INTRODUCTION: There have been significant improvements in both treatment and screening efforts for many types of cancer over the past decade. However, the effect of these advancements on the survival of cancer patients is unknown, and many question the value of both new treatments and screening efforts. METHODS: This study uses a retrospective analysis of SEER Registry data to quantify reductions in mortality rates for cancer patients diagnosed between 1997 and 2007. Using variation in trends in mortality rates by stage of diagnosis across cancer types, we use logistic regression to decompose separate survival gains into those attributable to advances in treatment versus advances in detection. We estimate the gains in survival due to gains in both treatment and detection overall and separately for 15 of the most common cancer types. RESULTS: We estimate that 3-year cancer-related mortality of cancer patients fell 16.7% from 1997 to 2007. Overall, advances in treatment reduced mortality rates by approximately 12.2% while advances in early detection reduced mortality rates by 4.5%. The relative importance of treatment and detection varied across cancer types. Improvements in detection were most important for thyroid, prostate and kidney cancer. Improvements in treatment were most important for non-Hodgkins lymphoma, lung cancer and myeloma. CONCLUSION: Both improved treatment options and better early detection have led to significant survival gains for cancer patients diagnosed from 1997 to 2007, generating considerable social value over this time period.

Incidence of sexually transmitted infections after human papillomavirus vaccination among adolescent females.

IMPORTANCE: Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination rates among US females remain low, in part because of concerns that HPV vaccination may promote unsafe sexual activity by lowering perceived risks of acquiring a sexually transmitted infection (STI). OBJECTIVE: To study whether HPV vaccination of females is associated with increases in STI rates. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Using a large, longitudinal insurance database of females aged 12 to 18 years insured from January 1, 2005, through December 31, 2010, in the United States, we examined whether HPV vaccination was associated with an increase in incident STIs among females who were vaccinated compared with those who were not. We defined STIs as one or more medical claims for any of the following infections in a given quarter: chlamydia, gonorrhea, herpes, human immunodeficiency virus or AIDS, or syphilis. We used difference-in-difference analysis to compare changes in STI rates among HPV-vaccinated females before and after vaccination (index quarter) to changes among age-matched nonvaccinated females before and after the index quarter. We analyzed whether effects varied according to age and prior contraceptive medication use. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Rates of STIs. RESULTS: The rates of STIs in the year before vaccination were higher among HPV-vaccinated females (94 of 21 610, 4.3 per 1000) compared with age-matched nonvaccinated females (522 of 186 501, 2.8 per 1000) (adjusted odds ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.09-1.71; P = .007). The rates of STIs increased for the vaccinated (147 of 21 610, 6.8 per 1000) and nonvaccinated (781 of 186 501, 4.2 per 1000) groups in the year after vaccination (adjusted odds ratio, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.25-1.79; P < .001). The difference-in-difference odds ratio was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.80-1.38; P = .74), implying that HPV vaccination was not associated with an increase in STIs relative to growth among nonvaccinated females. Similar associations held among subgroups aged 12 through 14 years and aged 15 through 18 years and among females with contraceptive use in the index quarter. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Human papillomavirus vaccination was not associated with increases in STIs in a large cohort of females, suggesting that vaccination is unlikely to promote unsafe sexual activity.

Medical professional liability risk among US cardiologists.

BACKGROUND: Medical professional liability (MPL) remains a significant burden for physicians, in general, and cardiologists, in particular, as recent research has shown that average MPL defense costs are higher in cardiology than other specialties. Knowledge of the clinical characteristics and outcomes of lawsuits against cardiologists may improve quality of care and risk management. METHODS: We analyzed closed MPL claims of 40,916 physicians and 781 cardiologists insured by a large nationwide insurer for ≥1 policy year between 1991 and 2005. RESULTS: The annual percentage of cardiologists facing an MPL claim was 8.6%, compared with 7.4% among physicians overall (P < .01). Among 530 claims, 72 (13.6%) resulted in an indemnity payment, with a median size of $164,988. Mean defense costs for claims resulting in payment were $83,593 (standard deviation (s.d.) $72,901). The time required to close MPL claims was longer for claims with indemnity payment than claims without (29.6 versus 18.9 months; P < .001). More than half of all claims involved a patient's death (304; 57.4%), were based on inpatient care (379; 71.5%), or involved a primary cardiovascular condition (416; 78.4%). Acute coronary syndrome was the most frequent condition (234; 44.2%). Medical professional liability claims involving noncardiovascular conditions were common (66; 12.5%) and included falls or mechanical injuries had while under a cardiologist's care and a failure to diagnose cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of malpractice lawsuits are higher among cardiologists than physicians overall. A substantial portion of claims are noncardiovascular in nature.

Patients value metastatic cancer therapy more highly than is typically shown through traditional estimates.

There is a growing emphasis on promoting medical treatments that provide the most benefits relative to their costs. However, objective criteria for determining the value patients receive from treatment are lacking. This study used data on the treatment choices of terminally ill patients to estimate the value they associate with care. We found that patients place high valuations on metastatic cancer therapy--on average, twenty-three times higher than its cost--and that other traditional methods used to estimate the value of these treatments for patients significantly undervalues how patients view them. Our methods provide another framework for an evidence-based approach to assessing the value of treatments for terminal illness.