High Throughput Plasma Proteomics and Risk of Heart Failure and Frailty in Late Life.

Importance: Heart failure (HF) and frailty frequently coexist and may share a common pathobiology, although the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Understanding these mechanisms may provide guidance for preventing and treating both conditions. Objective: To identify shared pathways between incident HF and frailty in late life using large-scale proteomics. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cohort study, 4877 aptamers (Somascan v4) were measured among participants in the community-based longitudinal Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) cohort study at visit 3 (V3; 1993-1995; n = 10 638) and at visit 5 (V5; 2011-2013; n = 3908). Analyses were externally replicated among 3189 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Data analysis was conducted from February 2022 to June 2023. Exposures: Protein aptamers, measured at study V3 and V5. Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes assessed included incident HF hospitalization after V3 and after V5, prevalent frailty at V5, and incident frailty between V5 and visit 6 (V6; 2016-2017; n = 4131). Frailty was assessed using the Fried criteria. Analyses were adjusted for age, gender, race, field center, hypertension, diabetes, smoking status, body mass index, estimated glomerular filtration rate, prevalent coronary heart disease, prevalent atrial fibrillation, and history of myocardial infarction. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to assess potential causal effects of candidate proteins on HF and frailty. Results: A total of 4877 protein aptamers were measured among 10 638 participants at V3 (mean [SD] age, 60 [6] years; 4886 [46%] men). Overall, 286 proteins were associated with incident HF after V3 (822 events; P < 1.0 × 10-5), 83 of which were also associated with incident after V5 (336 events; P < 1.7 × 10-4). Among HF-free participants at V5 (n = 3908; mean [SD] age, 75 [5] years; 1861 [42%] men), 48 of 83 HF-associated proteins were associated with prevalent frailty (223 cases; P < 6.0 × 10-4), 18 of which were also associated with incident frailty at V6 (152 cases; P < 1.0 × 10-3). These proteins enriched fibrosis and inflammation pathways and demonstrated stronger associations with incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) than HF with reduced ejection fraction. All 18 proteins were associated with both prevalent frailty and incident HF in CHS. MR identified potential causal effects of several proteins on frailty and HF. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, the proteins associated with risk of HF and frailty enrich for pathways related to inflammation and fibrosis as well as risk of HFpEF. Several of these proteins could potentially contribute to the shared pathophysiology of frailty and HF.

Atrial Fibrillation and Clonal Hematopoiesis in TET2 and ASXL1.

Importance: Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) may contribute to the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) through its association with inflammation and cardiac remodeling. Objective: To determine whether CHIP was associated with AF, inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers, and cardiac structural changes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a population-based, prospective cohort study in participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and UK Biobank (UKB) cohort. Samples were collected and echocardiography was performed from 2011 to 2013 in the ARIC cohort, and samples were collected from 2006 to 2010 in the UKB cohort. Included in this study were adults without hematologic malignancies, mitral valve stenosis, or previous mitral valve procedure from both the ARIC and UKB cohorts; additionally, participants without hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and congenital heart disease from the UKB cohort were also included. Data analysis was completed in 2023. Exposures: CHIP (variant allele frequency [VAF] ≥2%), common gene-specific CHIP subtypes (DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1), large CHIP (VAF ≥10%), inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin 6 [IL-6], IL-18, high-sensitivity troponin T [hs-TnT] and hs-TnI, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), and echocardiographic indices. Main Outcome Measure: Incident AF. Results: A total of 199 982 adults were included in this study. In ARIC participants (4131 [2.1%]; mean [SD] age, 76 [5] years; 2449 female [59%]; 1682 male [41%]; 935 Black [23%] and 3196 White [77%]), 1019 had any CHIP (24.7%), and 478 had large CHIP (11.6%). In UKB participants (195 851 [97.9%]; mean [SD] age, 56 [8] years; 108 370 female [55%]; 87 481 male [45%]; 3154 Black [2%], 183 747 White [94%], and 7971 other race [4%]), 11 328 had any CHIP (5.8%), and 5189 had large CHIP (2.6%). ARIC participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 7.0 (5.3-7.7) years, and UKB participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 12.2 (11.3-13.0) years. Meta-analyzed hazard ratios for AF were 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25; P = .04) for participants with vs without large CHIP, 1.29 (95% CI, 1.05-1.59; P = .02) for those with vs without large TET2 CHIP (seen in 1340 of 197 209 [0.67%]), and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.02-2.07; P = .04) for those with vs without large ASXL1 CHIP (seen in 314 of 197 209 [0.16%]). Large TET2 CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 levels. Additionally, large ASXL1 was associated with higher hs-TnT level and increased left ventricular mass index. Conclusions and Relevance: Large TET2 and ASXL1, but not DNMT3A, CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 level, indices of cardiac remodeling, and increased risk for AF. Future research is needed to elaborate on the mechanisms driving the associations and to investigate potential interventions to reduce the risk.

Association between dietary phosphate intake and skeletal muscle energetics in adults without cardiovascular disease.

Highly bioavailable inorganic phosphate (Pi) is present in large quantities in the typical Western diet and represents a large fraction of total phosphate intake. Dietary Pi excess induces exercise intolerance and skeletal muscle mitochondrial dysfunction in normal mice. However, the relevance of this to humans remains unknown. The study was conducted on 13 individuals without a history of cardiopulmonary disease (46% female, 15% Black participants) enrolled in the pilot-phase of the Dallas Heart and Mind Study. Total dietary phosphate was estimated from 24-h dietary recall (ASA24). Muscle ATP synthesis was measured at rest, and phosphocreatinine (PCr) dynamics was measured during plantar flexion exercise using 7-T 31P magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopy in the calf muscle. Correlation was assessed between dietary phosphate intake normalized to total caloric intake, resting ATP synthesis, and PCr depletion during exercise. Higher dietary phosphate intake was associated with lower resting ATP synthesis (r = -0.62, P = 0.03), and with higher levels of PCr depletion during plantar flexion exercise relative to the resting period (r = -0.72; P = 0.004). These associations remain significant after adjustment for age and estimated glomerular filtration rate (both P < 0.05). High dietary phosphate intake was also associated with lower serum Klotho levels, and Klotho levels are in turn associated with PCr depletion and higher ADP accumulation post exercise. Our study suggests that higher dietary phosphate is associated with reduced skeletal muscle mitochondrial function at rest and exercise in humans providing new insight into potential mechanisms linking the Western diet to impaired energy metabolism.NEW & NOTEWORTHY This is the first translational research study directly demonstrating the adverse effects of dietary phosphate on muscle energy metabolism in humans. Importantly, our data show that dietary phosphate is associated with impaired muscle ATP synthesis at rest and during exercise, independent of age and renal function. This is a new biologic paradigm with significant clinical dietary implications.

Clonal Hematopoiesis and Incident Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Importance: Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), the age-related clonal expansion of hematopoietic stem cells with leukemogenic acquired genetic variants, is associated with incident heart failure (HF). Objective: To evaluate the associations of CHIP and key gene-specific CHIP subtypes with incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study included participants from 2 racially diverse prospective cohort studies with uniform HF subtype adjudication: the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) and Women's Health Initiative (WHI). JHS participants were enrolled during 2000 to 2004 and followed up through 2016. WHI participants were enrolled during 1993 to 1998 and followed up through 2022. Participants who underwent whole-genome sequencing, lacked prevalent HF at baseline, and were followed up for HF adjudication were included. Follow-up occurred over a median (IQR) of 12.0 (11.0-12.0) years in the JHS and 15.3 (9.0-22.0) years in the WHI. Statistical analysis was performed from June to December 2023. Exposures: Any CHIP and the most common gene-specific CHIP subtypes (DNMT3A and TET2 CHIP). Main Outcomes and Measures: First incident hospitalized HF events were adjudicated from hospital records and classified as HFpEF (left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%) or HFrEF (ejection fraction <50%). Results: A total of 8090 participants were included; 2927 from the JHS (median [IQR] age, 56 [46-65] years; 1846 [63.1%] female; 2927 [100.0%] Black or African American) and 5163 from the WHI (median [IQR] age, 67 [62-72] years; 5163 [100.0%] female; 29 [0.6%] American Indian or Alaska Native, 37 [0.7%] Asian or Pacific Islander, 1383 [26.8%] Black or African American, 293 [5.7%] Hispanic or Latinx, 3407 [66.0%] non-Hispanic White, and 14 [0.3%] with other race and ethnicity). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for composite CHIP and HFpEF was 1.28 (95% CI, 0.93-1.76; P = .13), and for CHIP and HFrEF it was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.49-1.25; P = .31). TET2 CHIP was associated with HFpEF in both cohorts (meta-analyzed HR, 2.35 [95% CI, 1.34 to 4.11]; P = .003) independent of cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery disease. Analyses stratified by C-reactive protein (CRP) in the WHI found an increased risk of incident HFpEF in individuals with CHIP and CRP greater than or equal to 2 mg/L (HR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.20-3.15]; P = .007), but not in those with CHIP and CRP less than 2 mg/L or those with CRP greater than or equal to 2 mg/L without CHIP, when compared with participants without CHIP and CRP less than 2 mg/L. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, TET2 CHIP was an independent risk factor associated with incident HFpEF. This finding may have implications for the prevention and management of HFpEF, including development of targeted therapies.

Large-Scale Proteomics Identifies Novel Biomarkers and Circulating Risk Factors for Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist regarding risk factors for aortic stenosis (AS). The plasma proteome is a promising phenotype for discovery of novel biomarkers and potentially causative mechanisms. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to discover novel biomarkers with potentially causal associations with AS. METHODS: We measured 4,877 plasma proteins (SomaScan aptamer-affinity assay) among ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study participants in mid-life (visit 3 [V3]; n = 11,430; age 60 ± 6 years) and in late-life (V5; n = 4,899; age 76 ± 5 years). We identified proteins cross-sectionally associated with aortic valve (AV) peak velocity (AVmax) and dimensionless index by echocardiography at V5 and with incident AV-related hospitalization after V3 with the use of multivariable linear and Cox proportional hazard regression. We assessed associations of candidate proteins with changes in AVmax over 6 years and with AV calcification with the use of cardiac computed tomography, replicated analysis in an independent sample, performed Mendelian randomization, and evaluated gene expression in explanted human AV tissue. RESULTS: Fifty-two proteins cross-sectionally were associated with AVmax and dimensionless index at V5 and with risk of incident AV-related hospitalization after V3. Among 3,413 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 6 of those proteins were significantly associated with adjudicated moderate or severe AS, including matrix metalloproteinase 12 (MMP12), complement C1q tumor necrosis factor-related protein 1 (C1QTNF1), and growth differentiation factor-15. MMP12 was also associated with greater increase in AVmax over 6 years, greater degree of AV calcification, and greater expression in calcific compared with normal or fibrotic AV tissue. C1QTNF1 had consistent potential causal effects on both AS and AVmax according to Mendelian randomization analysis. CONCLUSIONS: These findings identify MMP12 as a potential novel circulating biomarker of AS risk and C1QTNF1 as a new putative target to prevent AS progression.

Rethinking cancer initiation: The role of large-scale mutational events.

Cancer initiation is revisited in light of recent discoveries in cancer pathogenesis. Of note is the detection of mutated cancer genes in benign conditions. More significantly, somatic clones, which harbor mutations in cancer genes, arise in normal tissues from early development through adulthood, but seldom do they transform into cancer. Further, clustered mutational events-kataegis, chromothripsis and chromoplexy-are widespread in cancer, generating point mutations and chromosomal rearrangements in a single cellular catastrophe. These observations are contrary to the prevailing somatic mutation theory, which states that a cancer is caused by the gradual accumulation of mutations over time. A different perspective is proposed within the framework of Waddington's epigenetic landscape wherein tumorigenesis is viewed primarily as a disruption of cell development. Cell types are defined by their specific gene-expression profiles, determined by the gene regulatory network, and can be regarded as attractor states of the network dynamics: they represent specific, self-stabilizing patterns of gene activities across the genome. However, large-scale mutational events reshape the landscape topology, creating abnormal "unphysiological" attractors. This is the crux of the process of initiation. Initiation primes the cell for conversion into a tumor phenotype by oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes, which drive cell proliferation and clonal diversification. This view of tumorigenesis calls for a different approach to therapy.

Association of interleukin-6 and interleukin-18 with cardiovascular disease in older adults: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.

AIMS: Interleukin-6 (IL-6) and interleukin-18 (IL-18), important cytokines implicated in atherosclerosis and inflammaging, were assessed for associations with global cardiovascular disease (CVD), atrial fibrillation (AF), and death in older adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants from Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study Visit 5 (mean age 75.4 ± 5.1 years) with IL-6 and IL-18 measurements were included (n = 5672). Cox regression models were used to assess associations of IL-6 and IL-18 with coronary heart disease (CHD), ischaemic stroke, heart failure (HF) hospitalization, global CVD (composite of CHD, stroke, and HF), AF, and all-cause death. Over a median follow-up of 7.2 years, there were 1235 global CVD events, 530 AF events, and 1173 deaths. Higher IL-6 [hazard ratio (HR) 1.57, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44-1.72 per log unit increase] and IL-18 (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.01-1.26) were significantly associated with global CVD after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Association between IL-6 and global CVD remained significant after further adjustment for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) but was no longer significant for IL-18 after further adjustments. Interleukin-6 was also associated with increased risk for CHD, HF, and AF after adjustment for covariates. Both IL-6 and IL-18 were associated with increased risk for all-cause death independent of cardiovascular risk factors and other biomarkers. CONCLUSION: Among older adults, both IL-6 and IL-18 were associated with global CVD and death. The association between IL-6 with CVD appears to be more robust and was independent of hs-CRP, NT-proBNP, and hs-TnT.

In older adults in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (average age 75 years), higher levels of interleukin-6 and interleukin-18, two proteins implicated in atherosclerosis and increased inflammation that occurs with ageing, significantly increased risk for global cardiovascular disease (including coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure) during the next ∼7 years; interleukin-6 also increased risk for global cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation even after adjustment for other biomarkers of inflammation and subclinical myocardial injury, and both interleukin-6 and interleukin-18 were associated with increased risk for all-cause death independent of cardiovascular risk factors and other biomarkers. In older adults, higher levels of interleukin-6 and interleukin-18 were both associated with increased risk for global cardiovascular disease (including coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure) and death.The association between interleukin-6 and global cardiovascular disease appeared to be stronger than that for interleukin-18 and remained significant after adjustment for other biomarkers of inflammation and subclinical myocardial injury.

Age Dependency of Cardiovascular Outcomes With the Amyloidogenic pV142I Transthyretin Variant Among Black Individuals in the US.

Importance: Hereditary transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis is an increasingly recognized cause of heart failure (HF) with distinct treatment. The amyloidogenic pV142I (V122I) variant is present in 3% to 4% of Black individuals in the US and increases the risk for atrial fibrillation (AF), HF, and mortality. Since hereditary transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis demonstrates age-dependent anatomic penetrance, evaluation later in life may identify survivors at particularly high risk. Objective: To estimate age-dependent risks for cardiovascular events with the variant. Design, Settings, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed Black participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study attending visit 1 (1987-1989) (followed up until 2019; median follow-up, 27.6 years). Data analyses were completed from June 2022 to April 2023. Exposure: pV142I carrier status. Main outcomes: The association between the variant and AF, HF hospitalization, mortality, and a composite of HF hospitalization or mortality was modeled by generating 10-year absolute risk differences for each year between ages 53 (the median age at visit 1) and 80 years, adjusting for the first 5 principal components of ancestry and sex. As an example, 5- and 10-year risk differences were specifically estimated for the composite outcome among participants surviving to age 80 years. Results: Among 3856 Black participants (including 124 carriers) at visit 1, 2403 (62%) were women, 2140 (56%) had hypertension, and 740 (20%) had diabetes, with no differences between groups. The 10-year absolute risk difference between ages 53 and 80 years increased over time for each outcome. Statistical significance for increased 10-year risk difference emerged near ages 65 years for AF, 70 years for HF hospitalization, and 75 years for mortality. Among participants surviving to age 80 years, carriers had a 20% (95% CI, 2%-37%) and 24% (95% CI, 1%-47%) absolute increased risk for HF hospitalization or death at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Thus, at age 80 years, only 4 carriers would need to be identified to attribute 1 HF hospitalization or death over the following decade to the variant. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, age-specific risks were provided for relevant outcomes with the pV142I variant. Despite a relatively benign course during earlier years, Black individuals who carry the pV142I variant surviving into later life may be particularly vulnerable. These data may inform timing for screening, risk counseling to patients, and potential strategies for early targeted therapy.

Longitudinal Changes in Left Ventricular Diastolic Function in Late Life: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: There is limited data regarding longitudinal changes of diastolic function in the very old, who are at the highest risk for heart failure (HF). OBJECTIVES: This study aims to quantify intraindividual longitudinal changes of diastolic function over 6 years in late life. METHODS: The authors studied 2,524 older adult participants in the prospective community-based ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who underwent protocol-based echocardiography at study visits 5 (2011-2013) and 7 (2018-2019). The primary diastolic measures were tissue Doppler e', E/e' ratio, and left atrial volume index (LAVI). RESULTS: Mean age was 74 ± 4 years at visit 5 and 80 ± 4 at visit 7, 59% were women, and 24% were Black. At visit 5, mean e'septal was 5.8 ± 1.4 cm/s, E/e'septal 11.7 ± 3.5, and LAVI 24.3 ± 6.7 mL/m2. Over a mean of 6.6 ± 0.8 years, e'septal decreased by 0.6 ± 1.4 cm/s, E/e'septal increased by 3.1 ± 4.4, and LAVI increased by 2.3 ± 6.4 mL/m2. The proportion with 2 or more abnormal diastolic measures increased from 17% to 42% (P < 0.001). Compared with participants free of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors or diseases at visit 5 (n = 234), those with prevalent CV risk factors or diseases but without prevalent or incident HF (n = 2,150) demonstrated greater increases in E/e'septal and LAVI. Increases of E/e'septal and LAVI were both associated with the development of dyspnea between visits in analyses adjusted for CV risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Diastolic function generally deteriorates over 6.6 years in late life, particularly among persons with CV risk factors, and is associated with development of dyspnea. Further studies are necessary to determine if risk factor prevention or control will mitigate these changes.

Chronic Kidney Disease, Heart Failure, and Adverse Cardiac Remodeling in Older Adults: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: The associations of kidney dysfunction and damage with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), as well as adverse cardiac remodeling, in late-life remain incompletely understood. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to define the associations between kidney dysfunction and damage and incident HFrEF and HFpEF and cardiac structure and function in late-life. METHODS: This study included 5,170 adults initially free of a heart failure (HF) diagnosis who had estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) measured at visit 5 (2011-2013) of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations of eGFR and UACR with incident HF, HFrEF, and HFpEF through 2019. Multivariable linear regression models were used to investigate the associations of eGFR and UACR at visit 5 with changes in cardiac structure and function between visits 5 and 7 in 2,313 participants with available echocardiograms. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 76 ± 5 years, and 2,225 (43%) were men. The mean eGFR and median UACR were 66 ± 18 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 11 mg/g (25th, 75th percentile: 6, 22 mg/g), respectively. In fully adjusted models, both lower eGFR and higher UACR were associated with greater risk of any HF, HFrEF, and HFpEF. Lower eGFR was associated with larger increases in left ventricular end-diastolic volume index and worsening of diastolic measures. UACR did not associate with changes in cardiac structure or function. CONCLUSIONS: Mild to moderate kidney dysfunction and damage associate with incident HF and adverse cardiac remodeling in late-life.

Associations Between Kidney Histopathologic Lesions and Incident Cardiovascular Disease in Adults With Chronic Kidney Disease.

Importance: Histologic lesions in the kidney may reflect or contribute to systemic processes that may lead to adverse cardiovascular events. Objective: To assess the association between kidney histopathologic lesion severity and the risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective observational cohort study included participants without a history of myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure from the Boston Kidney Biopsy Cohort recruited from 2 academic medical centers in Boston, Massachusetts. Data were collected from September 2006 and November 2018, and data were analyzed from March to November 2021. Exposures: Semiquantitative severity scores for kidney histopathologic lesions adjudicated by 2 kidney pathologists, a modified kidney pathology chronicity score, and primary clinicopathologic diagnostic categories. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the composite of death or incident MACE, which included myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure hospitalization. All cardiovascular events were independently adjudicated by 2 investigators. Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations of histopathologic lesions and scores with cardiovascular events adjusted for demographic characteristics, clinical risk factors, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and proteinuria. Results: Of 597 included participants, 308 (51.6%) were women, and the mean (SD) age was 51 (17) years. The mean (SD) eGFR was 59 (37) mL/min per 1.73 m2, and the median (IQR) urine protein to creatinine ratio was 1.54 (0.39-3.95). The most common primary clinicopathologic diagnoses were lupus nephritis, IgA nephropathy, and diabetic nephropathy. Over a median (IQR) of 5.5 (3.3-8.7) years of follow-up, the composite of death or incident MACE occurred in 126 participants (37 per 1000 person-years). Compared with the reference group of individuals with proliferative glomerulonephritis, the risk of death or incident MACE was highest in individuals with nonproliferative glomerulopathy (hazard ratio [HR], 2.61; 95% CI, 1.30-5.22; P = .002), diabetic nephropathy (HR, 3.56; 95% CI, 1.62-7.83; P = .002), and kidney vascular diseases (HR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.51-5.41; P = .001) in fully adjusted models. The presence of mesangial expansion (HR, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.08-8.30; P = .04) and arteriolar sclerosis (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.03-2.72; P = .04) were associated with an increased risk of death or MACE. Compared with minimal chronicity, greater chronicity was significantly associated with an increased risk of death or MACE (severe: HR, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.06-5.87; P = .04; moderate: HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.74-3.75; P = .22; mild: HR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.01-4.89; P = .047) in fully adjusted models. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, specific kidney histopathological findings were associated with increased risks of CVD events. These results provide potential insight into mechanisms of the heart-kidney relationship beyond those provided by eGFR and proteinuria.

Spironolactone effect on cardiac structure and function of patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction: a pooled analysis of three randomized trials.

AIMS: Spironolactone is currently used in a large proportion of patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), yet its effect on cardiac structure and function in a large population has not been well established. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of spironolactone on key echocardiographic parameters in HFpEF. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual-patient-data meta-analysis of three randomized trials (HOMAGE, Aldo-DHF, and TOPCAT) was performed comparing spironolactone (9-12 month exposure) to placebo (or control) for the changes in left atrial volume index (LAVi), left ventricular mass index (LVMi), interventricular septum (IVS) thickness, E/e' ratio, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) among patients with stage B (HOMAGE) or C (Aldo-DHF and TOPCAT) HFpEF. Analysis of covariance was used to test the effect of spironolactone on echocardiographic changes. A total of 984 patients were included in this analysis: 452 (45.9%) from HOMAGE, 398 (40.4%) from Aldo-DHF, and 134 (13.6%) from TOPCAT. The pooled-cohort patient's median age was 71 (66-77) years and 39% were women. Median LAVi was 29 (24-35) ml/m2 , LVMi 100 (84-118) g/m2 , IVS thickness 12 (10-13) mm, E/e' ratio 11 (9-13), and LVEF 64 (59-69)%. Spironolactone reduced LAVi by -1.1 (-2.0 to -0.1) ml/m2 (p = 0.03); LVMi by -3.6 (-6.4 to -0.8) g/m2 (p = 0.01); IVS thickness by -0.2 (-0.3 to -0.1) mm (p = 0.01); E/e' ratio by -1.3 (-2.4 to -0.2) (p = 0.02); and increased LVEF by 1.7 (0.8-2.6)% (p < 0.01). No treatment-by-study heterogeneity was found except for E/e' ratio with a larger effect in Aldo-DHF and TOPCAT (interaction p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone improved cardiac structure and function of patients with HFpEF.

Cardiac Valve Disease and Prevalent and Incident CKD in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

Rationale & Objective: Recent literature suggests improvement in kidney function after percutaneous valvular replacement therapies, implying a pathophysiological contribution of valvular heart disease to chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, this association has not been investigated epidemiologically. We aimed to assess the association of valvular abnormality with prevalent and incident CKD. Study Design: Cross-sectional and prospective analyses. Setting & Participants: Community-dwelling participants (mean age 75.5 [standard deviation 5.1] years) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (2011-2013). Exposure: Valvular abnormality defined as echocardiography-based aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, and mitral regurgitation. Outcomes: Prevalent CKD was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR]) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Incident CKD was defined as progression to eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 with ≥25% decline or hospitalization/deaths with CKD diagnosis. Analytical Approach: We cross-sectionally evaluated the association between valvular abnormality and prevalent CKD with logistic regression in 5,216 participants. Then, 3,752 participants without prevalent CKD were analyzed for incident CKD using Cox models. Results: There were 1.4% (n = 74) with any aortic stenosis, 10.6% (n = 555) with any aortic regurgitation, and 43.1% (n = 2,249) with any mitral regurgitation. After adjustment for potential confounders, any mitral regurgitation and moderate/severe aortic regurgitation showed significant associations with prevalent CKD (adjusted OR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.03-1.34] and 2.82 [95% CI, 1.12-7.10]), as did any aortic stenosis in a sensitivity analysis with prevalent CKD defined including albuminuria ≥30 mg/g (1.83 [95% CI, 1.10-3.05]). Only any aortic stenosis showed an independent association with incident CKD (adjusted HR, 2.12 [95% CI, 1.13-4.00]). Limitations: Despite a relatively large study population, some subgroups had small numbers. Although we minimized reverse causation, we cannot completely rule it out. Conclusions: Different valvular abnormality types were associated with prevalent CKD. Only aortic stenosis was robustly associated with incident CKD. These findings suggest an etiological link between valvular abnormality and CKD, highlighting the importance of clinical attention to kidney function in individuals with aortic stenosis.

Impact of Sacubitril/Valsartan Compared With Ramipril on Cardiac Structure and Function After Acute Myocardial Infarction: The PARADISE-MI Echocardiographic Substudy.

BACKGROUND: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors attenuate left ventricular (LV) enlargement after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Preclinical data suggest similar benefits with combined angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibition, but human data are conflicting. The PARADISE-MI Echo Study (Prospective ARNI Versus ACE Inhibitor Trial to Determine Superiority in Reducing Heart Failure Events After Myocardial Infarction) tested the effect of sacubitril/valsartan compared with ramipril on LV function and adverse remodeling after high risk-AMI. METHODS: In a prespecified substudy, 544 PARADISE-MI participants were enrolled in the Echo Study to undergo protocol echocardiography at randomization and after 8 months. Patients were randomized within 0.5 to 7 days of presentation with their index AMI to receive a target dose of sacubitril/valsartan 200 mg or ramipril 5 mg twice daily. Echocardiographic measures were performed at a core laboratory by investigators blinded to treatment assignment. The effect of treatment on change in echo measures was assessed with ANCOVA with adjustment for baseline value and enrollment region. The primary end points were change in LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and left atrial volume (LAV), and prespecified secondary end points included changes in LV end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes. RESULTS: Mean age was 64±12 years; 26% were women; mean LVEF was 42±12%; and LAV was 49±17 mL. Of 544 enrolled patients, 457 (84%) had a follow-up echo at 8 months (228 taking sacubitril/valsartan, 229 taking ramipril). There was no significant difference in change in LVEF (P=0.79) or LAV (P =0.62) by treatment group. Patients randomized to sacubitril/valsartan demonstrated less increase in LV end-diastolic volume (P=0.025) and greater decline in LV mass index (P=0.037), increase in tissue Doppler e'lat (P=0.005), decrease in E/e'lat (P=0.045), and decrease in tricuspid regurgitation peak velocity (P=0.024) than patients randomized to ramipril. These differences remained significant after adjustment for differences in baseline characteristics. Baseline LVEF, LV end-diastolic volume, LV end-systolic volume, LV mass index, LAV, and Doppler-based diastolic indices were associated with risk of cardiovascular death or incident heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with sacubitril/valsartan compared with ramipril after AMI did not result in changes in LVEF or LAV at 8 months. Patients randomized to sacubitril/valsartan had less LV enlargement and greater improvement in filling pressure. Measures of LV size, systolic function, and diastolic properties were predictive of cardiovascular death and incident heart failure after AMI in this contemporary, well-treated cohort. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT02924727.

A Simple Score to Identify Increased Risk of Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Importance: Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) is a form of heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Technetium Tc 99m pyrophosphate scintigraphy (PYP) enables ATTR-CM diagnosis. It is unclear which patients with HFpEF have sufficient risk of ATTR-CM to warrant PYP. Objective: To derive and validate a simple ATTR-CM score to predict increased risk of ATTR-CM in patients with HFpEF. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study of 666 patients with HF (ejection fraction ≥ 40%) and suspected ATTR-CM referred for PYP at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, from May 10, 2013, through August 31, 2020. These data were analyzed September 2020 through December 2020. A logistic regression model predictive of ATTR-CM was derived and converted to a point-based ATTR-CM risk score. The score was further validated in a community ATTR-CM epidemiology study of older patients with HFpEF with increased left ventricular wall thickness ([WT] ≥ 12 mm) and in an external (Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois) HFpEF cohort referred for PYP. Race was self-reported by the participants. In all cohorts, both case patients and control patients were definitively ascertained by PYP scanning and specialist evaluation. Main Outcomes and Measures: Performance of the derived ATTR-CM score in all cohorts (referral validation, community validation, and external validation) and prevalence of a high-risk ATTR-CM score in 4 multinational HFpEF clinical trials. Results: Participant cohorts included were referral derivation (n = 416; 13 participants [3%] were Black and 380 participants [94%] were White; ATTR-CM prevalence = 45%), referral validation (n = 250; 12 participants [5%]were Black and 228 participants [93%] were White; ATTR-CM prevalence = 48% ), community validation (n = 286; 5 participants [2%] were Black and 275 participants [96%] were White; ATTR-CM prevalence = 6% ), and external validation (n = 66; 23 participants [37%] were Black and 36 participants [58%] were White; ATTR-CM prevalence = 39%). Score variables included age, male sex, hypertension diagnosis, relative WT more than 0.57, posterior WT of 12 mm or more, and ejection fraction less than 60% (score range -1 to 10). Discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.89; 95% CI, 0.86-0.92; P < .001) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow; χ2 = 4.6; P = .46) were strong. Discrimination (AUC ≥ 0.84; P < .001 for all) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 2.8; P = .84; Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 4.4; P = .35; Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 2.5; P = .78 in referral, community, and external validation cohorts, respectively) were maintained in all validation cohorts. Precision-recall curves and predictive value vs prevalence plots indicated clinically useful classification performance for a score of 6 or more (positive predictive value ≥25%) in clinically relevant ATTR-CM prevalence (≥10% of patients with HFpEF) scenarios. In the HFpEF clinical trials, 11% to 35% of male and 0% to 6% of female patients had a high-risk (≥6) ATTR-CM score. Conclusions and Relevance: A simple 6 variable clinical score may be used to guide use of PYP and increase recognition of ATTR-CM among patients with HFpEF in the community. Further validation in larger and more diverse populations is needed.

Cigarette Smoking, Cessation, and Risk of Heart Failure With Preserved and Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Smoking is well-recognized as a risk factor for heart failure (HF). However, few studies have evaluated the prospective association of cigarette smoking and smoking cessation with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) as distinct phenotypes. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to quantify the association of cigarette smoking and smoking cessation with the incidence of HFpEF and HFrEF. METHODS: In 9,345 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study White and Black participants without history of HF at baseline in 2005 (age range 61-81 years), we quantified the associations of several established cigarette smoking parameters (smoking status, pack-years, intensity, duration, and years since cessation) with physician-adjudicated incident acute decompensated HF using multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.0 years, there were 1,215 incident HF cases. Compared with never smokers, current cigarette smoking was similarly associated with HFpEF and HFrEF, with adjusted HRs ∼2. There was a dose-response relationship for pack-years of smoking and HF. A more extended period of smoking cessation was associated with a lower risk of HF, but significantly elevated risk persisted up to a few decades for HFpEF and HFrEF. CONCLUSIONS: All cigarette smoking parameters consistently showed significant and similar associations with HFpEF and HFrEF. Smoking cessation significantly reduced the risk of HF, but excess HF risk persisted for a few decades. Our results strengthened the evidence that smoking is an important modifiable risk factor for HF and highlighted the importance of smoking prevention and cessation for the prevention of HF, including HFpEF.

Association of Right Ventricular Afterload With Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is widely perceived to originate from the left atrium (LA). Whether increases in right ventricular (RV) afterload in older adults play an etiological role in AF genesis independent of LA and left ventricular (LV) remodeling is unknown. RESEARCH QUESTION: Is higher RV afterload associated with greater AF risk independent of LA and LV remodeling? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In this observational prospective study, we included 2,246 community-dwelling older adults (mean age, 75 years) without known cardiovascular disease, with LV ejection fraction > 50%, LA volume index < 34 mL/m2, and E/e' ratio < 14 and a measurable functional tricuspid regurgitation jet velocity. From 2D-echocardiograms, we estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR). We ascertained incident AF (through 2018) from hospital discharge codes and death certificates. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) by Cox regression. RESULTS: During follow-up (median, 6.3 years; interquartile interval, 5.5-6.9 years), 215 participants developed AF. AF risk was significantly higher in the third (vs first) tertile of PASP (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.08-2.54) and PVR (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.00-2.08) independent of LA and LV structure and function, heart rate, BMI, prevalent sleep apnea, systemic BP, antihypertensive medications, and lung, kidney, and thyroid function. These associations persisted after further exclusion of participants with tricuspid regurgitation jet velocity > 2.8 m/s and lateral and septal mitral annular velocity above age- and sex-specific reference limits. INTERPRETATION: In older adults, higher RV afterload is associated with greater AF risk independent of LA and LV remodeling. Future research should focus on confirming this novel association and elucidate underlying mechanisms.

Lung function impairment and risk of incident heart failure: the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study.

AIMS: The aim is to evaluate associations of lung function impairment with risk of incident heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were pooled across eight US population-based cohorts that enrolled participants from 1987 to 2004. Participants with self-reported baseline cardiovascular disease were excluded. Spirometry was used to define obstructive [forced expiratory volume in 1 s/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) <0.70] or restrictive (FEV1/FVC ≥0.70, FVC <80%) lung physiology. The incident HF was defined as hospitalization or death caused by HF. In a sub-set, HF events were sub-classified as HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; EF <50%) or preserved EF (HFpEF; EF ≥50%). The Fine-Gray proportional sub-distribution hazards models were adjusted for sociodemographic factors, smoking, and cardiovascular risk factors. In models of incident HF sub-types, HFrEF, HFpEF, and non-HF mortality were treated as competing risks. Among 31 677 adults, there were 3344 incident HF events over a median follow-up of 21.0 years. Of 2066 classifiable HF events, 1030 were classified as HFrEF and 1036 as HFpEF. Obstructive [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.27] and restrictive physiology (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.27-1.62) were associated with incident HF. Obstructive and restrictive ventilatory defects were associated with HFpEF but not HFrEF. The magnitude of the association between restrictive physiology and HFpEF was similar to associations with hypertension, diabetes, and smoking. CONCLUSION: Lung function impairment was associated with increased risk of incident HF, and particularly incident HFpEF, independent of and to a similar extent as major known cardiovascular risk factors.

Cardiac structure and function and quality of life associations in HFpEF: An analysis from TOPCAT-Americas.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) have poor health-related quality of life (HR-QoL). However, the relationship between HR-QoL measures and the alterations of cardiac structure and function that are present in patients with HFpEF remains unknown. AIMS: To study the associations between HR-QoL and echocardiographic parameters in HFpEF. METHODS: Regression modelling in patients from TOPCAT-Americas who had both HR-QoL questionnaires and a baseline echocardiogram. RESULTS: A total of 631 patients (36% of the TOPCAT-Americas population) had both echocardiographic and HR-QoL at baseline. KCCQ-23 Overall Summary Score (OSS; 0-100 points) was negatively (higher echocardiographic values-poorer/lower HR-QoL scores) associated with left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD: ß = -3.56 [-7.00 to -0.13] points-per-1 cm, P = 0.042), interventricular septum thickness (ß = -1.31 [-2.19 to -0.42] points-per-1 mm, P = 0.004), posterior wall thickness (ß = -1.57 [-2.52 to -0.63] points-per-1 mm, P = 0.001 and left atrial width (ß = -3.27 [-6.39 to -0.15], P = 0.040) points-per-1 cm, and positively (higher echocardiographic values-better/higher HR-QoL scores) associated with left ventricular end-diastolic volume index (LVEDVi: ß = 0.23 [0.09 to 0.37] points-per-1 ml/m2, P = 0.002) and left ventricular end-systolic volume index (LVESVi: ß = 0.41 [0.18 to 0.63] points-per-1 ml/m2, P < 0.001). Body mass index (BMI: ß = -0.74 [-1.02 to -0.47] points-per-1Kg/m2, P < 0.001), diabetes (ß = -6.01 [-10.05 to -1.97], P = 0.004), and asthma (ß = -6.78 [-13.52 to -0.04], P = 0.049) were negatively associated with OSS. A similar pattern of associations was observed for KCCQ-23 Clinical Summary Score, EQ5D-VAS and NYHA class. CONCLUSION: In patients with HFpEF, HR-QoL measures were associated with cardiac structure and function alterations. Extra-cardiac factors were also associated with HR-QoL, which may influence HR-QoL results when testing cardiovascular drugs.

Transthyretin V142I Genetic Variant and Cardiac Remodeling, Injury, and Heart Failure Risk in Black Adults.

OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated the association of transthyretin (TTR) gene variant, in which isoleucine substitutes for valine at position 122 (V142I), with cardiac structure, function, and heart failure (HF) risk among middle-aged Black adults. BACKGROUND: The valine-to-isoleucine substitution in the TTR protein is prevalent in Black individuals and causes cardiac amyloidosis. METHODS: Jackson Heart Study participants without HF at baseline who had available data on the TTR V142I variant were included. The association of the TTR V142I variant with baseline echocardiographic parameters and repeated measures of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI) was assessed using adjusted linear regression models and linear mixed models, respectively. Adjusted Cox models, restricted mean survival time analysis, and Anderson-Gill models were constructed to determine the association of TTR V142I variant with the risk of incident HF, survival free of HF, and total HF hospitalizations. RESULTS: A total of 119 of 2,960 participants (4%) were heterozygous carriers of the TTR V142I variant. The TTR V142I variant was not associated with measures of cardiac parameters at baseline but was associated with a greater increase in high-sensitivity troponin I (hs-TnI) levels over time. In adjusted Cox models, TTR V142I variant carriers had significantly higher risk of incident HF (HR: 1.80; 95% CI: 1.07-3.05; P = 0.03), lower survival free of HF (mean difference: 4.0 year; 95% CI: 0.6-6.2 years); P = 0.02), and higher risk of overall HF hospitalizations (HR: 2.12; 95% CI: 1.23-3.63; P = 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: The TTR V142I variant in middle-aged Black adults is not associated with adverse cardiac remodeling but was associated with a significantly higher burden of chronic myocardial injury, and greater risk of incident HF and overall HF hospitalizations.