Equipping for risk: Lessons learnt from the UK shale-gas experience on assessing environmental risks for the future geoenergy use of the deep subsurface.

findings are presented from an investigation to improve understanding of the environmental risks associated with developing an unconventional-hydrocarbons industry in the UK. The EQUIPT4RISK project, funded by UK Research Councils, focused on investigations around Preston New Road (PNR), Fylde, Lancashire, and Kirby Misperton Site A (KMA), North Yorkshire, where operator licences to explore for shale gas by hydraulic fracturing (HF) were issued in 2016, although exploration only took place at PNR. EQUIPT4RISK considered atmospheric (greenhouse gases, air quality), water (groundwater quality) and solid-earth (seismicity) compartments to characterise and model local conditions and environmental responses to HF activities. Risk assessment was based on the source-pathway-receptor approach. Baseline monitoring of air around the two sites characterised the variability with meteorological conditions, and isotopic signatures were able to discriminate biogenic methane (cattle) from thermogenic (natural-gas) sources. Monitoring of a post-HF nitrogen-lift (well-cleaning) operation at PNR detected the release of atmospheric emissions of methane (4.2 ± 1.4 t CH4). Groundwater monitoring around KMA identified high baseline methane concentrations and detected ethane and propane at some locations. Dissolved methane was inferred from stable-isotopic evidence as overwhelmingly of biogenic origin. Groundwater-quality monitoring around PNR found no evidence of HF-induced impacts. Two approaches for modelling induced seismicity and associated seismic risk were developed using observations of seismicity and operational parameters from PNR in 2018 and 2019. Novel methodologies developed for monitoring include use of machine learning to identify fugitive atmospheric methane, Bayesian statistics to assess changes to groundwater quality, a seismicity forecasting model seeded by the HF-fluid injection rate and high-resolution monitoring of soil-gas methane. The project developed a risk-assessment framework, aligned with ISO 31000 risk-management principles, to assess the theoretical combined and cumulative environmental risks from operations over time. This demonstrated the spatial and temporal evolution of risk profiles: seismic and atmospheric impacts from the shale-gas operations are modelled to be localised and short-lived, while risk to groundwater quality is longer-term.

Familial Paget's disease of bone: nonlinkage to the PDB1 and PDB2 loci on chromosomes 6p and 18q in a large pedigree.

Paget's disease of bone is a common condition characterized by bone pain, deformity, pathological fracture, and an increased incidence of osteosarcoma. Genetic factors play a role in the pathogenesis of Paget's disease but the molecular basis remains largely unknown. Susceptibility loci for Paget's disease of bone have been mapped to chromosome 6p21.3 (PDB1) and 18q21.1-q22 (PDB2) in different pedigrees. We have identified a large pedigree of over 250 individuals with 49 informative individuals affected with Paget's disease of bone; 31 of whom are available for genotypic analysis. The disease is inherited as an autosomal dominant trait in the pedigree with high penetrance by the sixth decade. Linkage analysis has been performed with markers at PDB1; these data show significant exclusion of linkage with log10 of the odds ratio (LOD) scores < -2 in this region. Linkage analysis of microsatellite markers from the PDB2 region has excluded linkage with this region, with a 30 cM exclusion region (LOD score < -2.0) centered on D18S42. These data confirm the genetic heterogeneity of Paget's disease of bone. Our hypothesis is that a novel susceptibility gene relevant to the pathogenesis of Paget's disease of bone lies elsewhere in the genome in the affected members of this pedigree and will be identified using a microsatellite genomewide scan followed by positional cloning.

Plasma homocysteine levels in indigenous Australians.

OBJECTIVES: To determine plasma homocysteine levels in indigenous Australians living in urban areas, and the relationship of these levels with other risk factors in this population. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SUBJECTS AND SETTING: 365 urban indigenous Australian subjects, 153 men and 212 women, mean (SE) age 42 (1) years, ascertained without regard to history of atherosclerotic disease, in collaboration with community-based health centres in five indigenous communities in south-east Queensland, 1997-1998. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Plasma homocysteine levels, age, sex, smoking history, metformin therapy, history of atherosclerotic vascular disease, serum creatinine level, red cell folate and serum vitamin B12 levels. RESULTS: 89 subjects (24%) had plasma homocysteine levels 15 mumol/L or above. Homocysteine levels were higher in men than in women (men: 14.4 mumol/L; 95% confidence interval [CI], 13.6-15.2; women: 11.9 mumol/L; 95% CI, 11.4-12.5) (P < 0.001); correlated with age (P < 0.001); higher in current smokers (P = 0.02); higher in subjects taking metformin therapy (P = 0.007); and higher in subjects with a history of atherosclerotic vascular disease (P < 0.001). Homocysteine levels were also correlated with serum levels of creatinine (P < 0.001), red cell folate (P < 0.001), and vitamin B12 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These data indicate that the high plasma levels of homocysteine of Australian indigenous subjects are associated with a history of vascular disease, and correlated with, among other things, smoking, and folate and vitamin B12 nutritional deficiency. These are potentially reversible risk factors, and our data suggest that focusing public health initiatives on these issues may reduce the high prevalence of cardiovascular disease in the Australian indigenous population.

In vitro effects of fluconazole (UK-49,858) and ketoconazole on mouse lymphocyte proliferation and on Candida blastospore destruction by human polymorphonuclear leukocytes.

The effects of fluconazole, a novel antifungal compound with a bis-triazole structure, were compared with those of ketoconazole on mitogen-induced DNA synthesis by cultured mouse lymphocytes, and on the destruction of fungal (Candida albicans) blastospores by human polymorphonuclear leukocytes. Fluconazole had little or no effect on concanavalin A- or lipopolysaccharide-induced lymphocyte proliferation at concentrations at which ketoconazole caused marked inhibition of the response to both these mitogens. Similarly, fungal cell killing by polymorphonuclear leukocytes was substantially depressed by ketoconazole but was unaffected by fluconazole. In addition, therefore, to having excellent in vivo antifungal activity, fluconazole, unlike ketoconazole, has been shown to have no inhibitory effect in two in vitro assays of immune function.

The origin of fibrin breakdown products and the interpretation of their appearance in the circulation.

It has been shown that the incubation of human plasma with urokinase at a concentration sufficient to cause rapid lysis of the clots formed on the addition of thrombin does not give rise to the production of measurable concentrations of non-clottable fibrinogen breakdown products. Also, breakdown products could not be detected in the course of experiments in vivo when urokinase was administered to monkeys and only in very low concentrations when a fibrinolytic state was induced by exercise in three healthy human volunteers. In contrast, high concentrations of breakdown products were found after thrombin infusion into monkeys. It is concluded that circulating fibrinogen is not readily broken down into non-clottable products by the fibrinolytic enzymes, and that normal animals and healthy human subjects do not have substantial deposits of fibrin that are available for breakdown during a fibrinolytic episode. The presence of breakdown products in the circulation is therefore likely to be indicative of the fibrinolytic response to an initial coagulation event.