Using gene and gene-set association tests to identify lethal prostate cancer genes.

BACKGROUND: Recent advances in the detection and treatment of prostate cancer (PCa) have reduced morbidity and mortality from this common cancer. Despite these improvements, PCa remains the second leading cause of cancer death in men in the United States. Further understanding of the genetic underpinnings of lethal PCa is required to drive risk detection and prevention and ultimately reduce mortality. We therefore set out to identify germline variants associated with cases of lethal prostate cancer (LPCa). METHODS: Using a two-stage study design, we compared whole-exome sequencing data of 550 LPCa patients to 488 healthy male controls. Men were classified as having LPCa based on medical record review. Candidate genes were identified using gene- and gene-set-based rare truncating variant association tests. Case-control burden testing through Firth's penalized logistic regression and case-gnomAD allelic burden testing through a one-sided mid-p Fisher's exact test were conducted. Each gene's p-values from these tests were combined into an omnibus p-value for candidate gene selection. In the subsequent validation stage, genes were assessed using the UK Biobank and Firth's penalized logistic regression for each ancestry, combined through meta-analysis. RESULTS: Gene-based rare variant association tests identified 12 genes nominally associated with LPCa. Rare-variant association tests identified a gene set with a significantly higher burden of truncating germline mutations in LPCa patients than controls. Combining gene- and gene-set test results, four nominally significant genes (PPP1R3A, TG, PPFIBP2, and BTN3A3) were selected as candidates. Subsequent validation using the UK Biobank found that PPP1R3A was significantly associated with LPCa risk (odds ratio 2.34, CI 1.20-4.59). Specifically, pGln662ArgfsTer7 was identified as the predominant variant in PPP1R3A among LPCa patients in our dataset. CONCLUSIONS: Both individual gene and gene-set analyses identified candidates associated with LPCa. The novel association of PPP1R3A and LPCa risk merits further investigation.

Polygenic Risk Score Informed Clinical Model for Improving Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a complex disease with environmental and genetic risk factors. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) based on disease-specific risk-associated single nucleotide variants (SNVs) have demonstrated effectiveness in stratifying individual-level disease risk for cardiovascular diseases. This prospective cohort study assessed associations of PRS of AAA (PRSAAA) with risk of incident AAA, analyzed the effectiveness of a combined clinical-genetic risk model, and explored the clinical utility of the model in identifying high-risk individuals for AAA screening. METHODS: PRSAAA was calculated using 911,440 SNVs and PRS of coronary artery disease was calculated using 2,324,683 SNVs derived from mixed ancestry genome-wide association studies. The UK Biobank was used as the study cohort. All individuals with complete genetic data available and no diagnosis of AAA at the time of recruitment were included in the analysis and followed prospectively to assess for incident AAA. A PRS-informed clinical model, Prob-AAA, was developed using clinically significant variables and PRSAAA. RESULTS: Four hundred eighty-one thousand one hundred 5 individuals were included in the analysis with 2,668 incident AAA cases. Incident AAA increased from 0.30 to 0.93% between the lowest and highest decile of PRSAAA; similarly, severe AAA, requiring surgery and/or presenting with rupture, increased from 23 to 39% of incident AAA cases across deciles. PRSAAA was a predictor of incident AAA diagnosis (hazard ratio 2.06 [1.70-2.48]) independent of other clinical risk factors including male sex, older age, and smoking history. Prob-AAA was an independent predictor of incident AAA (hazard ratio 1.92 [1.69-2.20]), and identified 9.6% of cases of incident AAA compared to only 4.2% by PRSAAA. Current screening guidelines captured 5.7% of the overall cohort, with an incident AAA rate of approximately 3.2%. Among males not included by current guidelines, Prob-AAA identified an additional cohort, approximately 2% of the overall cohort, with a similar rate of incident AAA. CONCLUSIONS: Prob-AAA, a PRS-informed clinical model for AAA, improved upon the predictive power of current, clinical risk factor-informed, screening guidelines for AAA.

Combined polygenic scores for ischemic stroke risk factors aid risk assessment of ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: Current risk assessment for ischemic stroke (IS) is limited to clinical variables. We hypothesize that polygenic scores (PGS) of IS (PGSIS) and IS-associated diseases such as atrial fibrillation (AF), venous thromboembolism (VTE), coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension (HTN), and Type 2 diabetes (T2D) may improve the performance of IS risk assessment. METHODS: Incident IS was followed for 479,476 participants in the UK Biobank who did not have an IS diagnosis prior to the recruitment. Lifestyle variables (obesity, smoking and alcohol) at the time of study recruitment, clinical diagnoses of IS-associated diseases, PGSIS, and five PGSs for IS-associated diseases were tested using the Cox proportional-hazards model. Predictive performance was assessed using the C-statistic and net reclassification index (NRI). RESULTS: During a median average 12.5-year follow-up, 8374 subjects were diagnosed with IS. Known clinical variables (age, gender, clinical diagnoses of IS-associated diseases, obesity, and smoking) and PGSIS were all independently associated with IS (P < 0.001). In addition, PGSIS and each PGS for IS-associated diseases was also independently associated with IS (P < 0.001). Compared to the clinical model, a joint clinical/PGS model improved the C-statistic for predicting IS from 0.71 to 0.73 (P < 0.001) and significantly reclassified IS risk (NRI = 0.017, P < 0.001), and 6.48% of subjects were upgraded from low to high risk. CONCLUSIONS: Adding PGSs of IS and IS-associated diseases to known clinical risk factors statistically improved risk assessment for IS, demonstrating the supplementary value of inherited susceptibility measurement . However, its clinical utility is likely limited due to modest improvements in predictive values.

Risk assessment of venous thromboembolism in inflammatory bowel disease by inherited risk in a population-based incident cohort.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), is a chronic inflammatory disease of the digestive tract with increasing prevalence globally. Although venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major complication in IBD patients, it is often underappreciated with limited tools for risk stratification. AIM: To estimate the proportion of VTE among IBD patients and assess genetic risk factors (monogenic and polygenic) for VTE. METHODS: Incident VTE was followed for 8465 IBD patients in the UK Biobank (UKB). The associations of VTE with F5 factor V leiden (FVL) mutation, F2 G20210A prothrombin gene mutation (PGM), and polygenic score (PGS003332) were tested using Cox hazards regression analysis, adjusting for age at IBD diagnosis, gender, and genetic background (top 10 principal components). The performance of genetic risk factors for discriminating VTE diagnosis was estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The overall proportion of incident VTE was 4.70% in IBD patients and was similar for CD (4.46%), UC (4.49%), and unclassified (6.42%), and comparable to that of cancer patients (4.66%) who are well-known at increased risk for VTE. Mutation carriers of F5/F2 had a significantly increased risk for VTE compared to non-mutation carriers, hazard ratio (HR) was 1.94, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-2.65. In contrast, patients with the top PGS decile had a considerably higher risk for VTE compared to those with intermediate scores (middle 8 deciles), HR was 2.06 (95%CI: 1.57-2.71). The AUC for differentiating VTE diagnosis was 0.64 (95%CI: 0.61-0.67), 0.68 (95%CI: 0.66-0.71), and 0.69 (95%CI: 0.66-0.71), respectively, for F5/F2 mutation carriers, PGS, and combined. CONCLUSION: Similar to cancer patients, VTE complications are common in IBD patients. PGS provides more informative risk information than F5/F2 mutations (FVL and PGM) for personalized thromboprophylaxis.

Cancer-associated thrombosis by cancer sites and inherited factors in a prospective population-based cohort.

Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is common and associated with mortality. We estimated CAT rate by cancer sites and inherited factors among cancer patients from the UK Biobank (N =70,406). The 12-month CAT rate after cancer diagnosis was 2.37% overall but varied considerably among cancer sites. Among the 10 cancer sites classified as 'high-risk' of CAT by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines, 6 had CAT rate <5%. In contrast, 5 cancer sites classified as 'average-risk' by the guidelines had CAT rate >5%. For inherited risk factors, both known mutation carriers in two genes (F5/F2) and polygenic score for venous thromboembolism (VTE) (PGSVTE) were independently associated with increased CAT risk. While F5/F2 identified 6% patients with high genetic-risk for CAT, adding PGSVTE identified 13 % patients at equivalent/higher genetic-risk to CAT than that of F5/F2 mutations. Findings from this large prospective study, if confirmed, provide critical data to update guidelines for CAT risk assessment.

Systematic review of reported association studies of monogenic genes and bladder cancer risk and confirmation analysis in a large population cohort.

Objectives: To evaluate which of previously reported monogenic genes are associated with increased bladder cancer risk, we reviewed published papers on associations of genes and bladder cancer risk and performed a confirmation study of these genes in a large population-based cohort. Subjects and methods: A systematic review of published papers prior to June 2022 was performed first to identify all genes where germline mutations were associated with bladder cancer risk. The associations of these candidate genes with bladder cancer risk were then tested among 1695 bladder cancer cases and 186 271 controls in the UK Biobank (UKB). The robust SKAT-O, a gene-based analysis that properly controls for type I error rates due to unbalanced case-control ratio, was used for association tests adjusting for age at recruitment, gender, smoking status, and genetic background. Results: The systematic review identified nine genes that were significantly associated with bladder cancer risk in at least one study (p < 0.05), including MUTYH, MSH2, MSH6, MLH1, ATM, BRCA2, ERCC5, TGFB1 and CHEK2. When pathogenic/likely pathogenic mutations were aggregated within each gene, the association was confirmed for three genes in the UKB at p < 0.0056 (Bonferroni correction for nine tests), including CHEK2, ATM and BRCA2, all also known to be associated with hereditary breast cancer. Suggestive evidence of association was found for two other genes, including MLH1 (p = 0.006) and MSH2 (p = 0.007), both known to be associated with Lynch syndrome. Among these five genes, the bladder cancer risks range from 1.60 (ATM) to 4.88 (MLH1), and mutation carrier rates in cases range from 0.06% (MSH2) to 2.01% (CHEK2). Conclusion: This study provides statistical evidence for association of previously reported genes and bladder cancer risk and has clinical utility for risk assessment and genetic counselling.

Association of Reported Candidate Monogenic Genes With Lung Cancer Risk.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND: Published studies on association of germline monogenic genes and lung cancer risk were inconsistent. Our objective is to assess the validity of reported candidate monogenic genes for their association with lung cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic review of published papers prior to August 2022 was performed first to identify all genes where germline mutations were associated with lung cancer risk. We then performed a confirmation study in 2,050 lung cancer cases and 198,553 controls in the UK Biobank (UKB). Germline mutations of these genes were identified from sequencing data and annotated using The American College of Medical Genetics criteria. The robust SKAT-O, a gene-based analysis that properly controls for false positives due to unbalanced case-control ratio, was used for association tests adjusting for age at recruitment, gender, and genetic background. RESULTS: The systematic review identified 12 genes that were statistically significantly associated with lung cancer risk in at least one study (P < .05), including ATM, BLM, BRCA2, BRIP1, CHEK2, FANCA, FANCD2, MSH6, PMS1, RAD51C, RAD51D, and TP53. When pathogenic/likely pathogenic mutations were aggregated within each gene, the association was confirmed for ATM (P = 4.47E-4) at the study-wise significance level (P < .0042, Bonferroni correction for 12 tests). Suggestive evidence of association was found for 2 other genes, BRCA2 (P = .007) and TP53 (P = .03). Among these 3 genes, the lung cancer risks range from 1.95 (BRCA2) to 5.28 (TP53). CONCLUSION: This study provides statistical evidence for association of previously reported genes and lung cancer risk and has clinical utility for risk assessment and genetic counseling.

Association of rare, recurrent nonsynonymous variants in the germline of prostate cancer patients of African ancestry.

BACKGROUND: Although men of African ancestry (AA) have the highest mortality rate from prostate cancer (PCa), relatively little is known about the germline variants that are associated with PCa risk in AA men. The goal of this study is to systematically evaluate rare, recurrent nonsynonymous variants across the exome for their association with PCa in AA men. METHODS: Whole exome sequencing (WES) of germline DNA in two AA PCa patient cohorts of Johns Hopkins Hospital (N = 960) and Wayne State University (N = 747) was performed. All nonsynonymous variants present in both case cohorts, with a carrier rate between 0.5% and 1%, were identified. Their carrier rates were compared with rates from 8128 African/African American (AFR) control subjects from The Genome Aggregation Database (gnomAD) using Fisher's exact test. Significant variants, defined as false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted p-value ≤ 0.05, were further evaluated in AA PCa cases (N = 132) and controls (N = 1184) from the UK Biobank (UKB). RESULTS: Two variants reached a pre-specified statistical significance level. The first was p.R14Q in GPRC5C (found in 0.47% of PCa cases and 0.01% of population controls); odds ratio (OR) for PCa was 37.46 (95% confidence interval CI 4.68-299.72), pexact = 7.01E-06, FDR-adjusted p-value = 0.05. The second was p.R511Q in IGF1R (found in 0.53% of PCa cases and 0.01% of population controls); OR for PCa was 21.54 (95%CI 4.65-99.76), pexact = 5.51E-06, FDR-adjusted p-value = 0.05. The mean percentage of African ancestry was similar between variant carriers and noncarriers of each variant, p > 0.05. In the UKB AA men, GPRC5C R14Q was 0.76% and 0.08% in cases and controls, respectively, OR for PCa was 9.00 (95%CI 0.56-145.23), pexact = 0.19. However, IGF1R R511Q was not found in cases or controls. CONCLUSIONS: This WES study identified two rare, recurrent nonsynonymous PCa risk-associated variants in AA. Confirmation in additional large populations of AA PCa cases and controls is required.

Shared Inherited Genetics of Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia and Prostate Cancer.

Background: The association between benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) and prostate cancer (PCa) remains controversial, largely due to a detection bias in traditional observational studies. Objective: To assess the association between BPH and PCa using inherited single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Design setting and participants: The participants were White men from the population-based UK Biobank (UKB). Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: The association between BPH and PCa was tested for (1) phenotypic correlation using chi-square, (2) genetic correlation (r g) based on genome-wide SNPs using linkage disequilibrium score regression, and (3) cross-disease genetic associations based on known risk-associated SNPs (15 for BPH and 239 for PCa), individually and cumulatively using genetic risk score (GRS). Results and limitations: Among 214 717 White men in the UKB, 24 623 (11%) and 14 311 (6.7%) had a diagnosis of BPH and PCa, respectively. Diagnoses of these two diseases were significantly correlated (χ2 = 1862.80, p < 0.001). A significant genetic correlation was found (r g = 0.16; 95% confidence interval 0.03-0.28, p = 0.01). In addition, significant cross-disease genetic associations for established risk-associated SNPs were also found. Among the 250 established genome-wide association study-significant SNPs of PCa or BPH, 49 were significantly associated with the risk of the other disease at p < 0.05, significantly more than expected by chance (N = 12, p < 0.001; χ2 test). Furthermore, significant cross-disease GRS associations were also found; GRSBPH was significantly associated with PCa risk (odds ratio [OR] = 1.26 [1.18-1.36], p < 0.001), and GRSPCa was significantly associated with BPH risk (OR = 1.03 [1.02-1.04], p < 0.001). Moreover, GRSBPH was significantly and inversely associated with lethal PCa risk in a PCa case-case analysis (OR = 0.58 [0.41-0.81], p = 0.002). Only White men were studied. Conclusions: BPH and PCa share common inherited genetics, which suggests that the phenotypic association of these two diseases in observational studies is not entirely caused by the detection bias. Patient summary: For the first time, we found that benign prostatic hyperplasia and prostate cancer are genetically related. This finding may have implications in disease etiology and risk stratification.

Reliability of Ancestry-specific Prostate Cancer Genetic Risk Score in Four Racial and Ethnic Populations.

Background: Reliability of prostate cancer (PCa) genetic risk score (GRS), that is, the concordance between its estimated risk and observed risk, is required for genetic testing at the individual level. Reliability data are lacking for non-European racial/ethnic populations, which hinders its clinical use and exacerbates racial disparity. Objective: To calibrate PCa ancestry-specific GRS in four racial/ethnic populations. Design setting and participants: PCa ancestry-specific GRSs, calculated from published risk-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms in corresponding racial/ethnic populations, were evaluated in men who participated in 23andMe, Inc. genetic testing and consented for research, including 888 086 of European (EUR), 81 109 of Hispanic (HIS), 30 472 of African (AFR), and 13 985 of East Asian (EAS) ancestry, as classified by 23andMe's ancestry composition algorithm. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: The concordance between the observed and estimated PCa risks at ten ancestry-specific GRS deciles was measured primarily by using the calibration slope (ß), where 1 represents a perfect calibration. Platt scaling was used to correct the systematic bias of GRS. Results and limitations: A linear trend of an increased observed PCa prevalence in men with higher ancestry-specific GRS deciles was found in each racial population (all p -trend < 0.001). A calibration analysis revealed a systematic bias of GRS; ß was considerably lower than 1 (0.73, 0.64, 0.66, and 0.75 in EUR, HIS, AFR, and EAS ancestries, respectively). This bias was reduced after the Platt scaling correction: ß for scaled GRS in the testing dataset (40% of individuals) approximated 1 for all groups (0.95, 1.05, 1.02, and 1.01 in EUR, HIS, AFR, and EAS populations, respectively). The generalizability of the Platt correction needs to be validated in independent cohorts. Conclusions: A systematic bias of ancestry-specific GRS in the direction of an overestimated risk for men in the highest decile was found in EUR and non-EUR populations. GRS is well calibrated after correction and is appropriate for genetic testing at the individual level for personalized PCa screening. Patient summary: A corrected genetic risk score is more reliable (supported by the observed prostate cancer [PCa] risk) and appropriate for genetic testing for personalized PCa screening.

Inherited risk assessment and its clinical utility for predicting prostate cancer from diagnostic prostate biopsies.

BACKGROUND: Many studies on prostate cancer (PCa) germline variants have been published in the last 15 years. This review critically assesses their clinical validity and explores their utility in prediction of PCa detection rates from prostate biopsy. METHODS: An integrative review was performed to (1) critically synthesize findings on PCa germline studies from published papers since 2016, including risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), polygenic risk score methods such as genetic risk score (GRS), and rare pathogenic mutations (RPMs); (2) exemplify the findings in a large population-based cohort from the UK Biobank (UKB); (3) identify gaps for implementing inherited risk assessment in clinic based on experience from a healthcare system; (4) evaluate available GRS data on their clinical utility in predicting PCa detection rates from prostate biopsies; and (5) describe a prospective germline-based biopsy trial to address existing gaps. RESULTS: SNP-based GRS and RPMs in four genes (HOXB13, BRCA2, ATM, and CHEK2) were significantly and consistently associated with PCa risk in large well-designed studies. In the UKB, positive family history, RPMs in the four implicated genes, and a high GRS (>1.5) identified 8.12%, 1.61%, and 17.38% of men to be at elevated PCa risk, respectively, with hazard ratios of 1.84, 2.74, and 2.39, respectively. Additionally, the performance of GRS for predicting PCa detection rate on prostate biopsy was consistently supported in several retrospective analyses of transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-biopsy cohorts. Prospective studies evaluating the performance of all three inherited measures in predicting PCa detection rate from contemporary multiparametric MRI (mpMRI)-based biopsy are lacking. A multicenter germline-based biopsy trial to address these gaps is warranted. CONCLUSIONS: The complementary performance of three inherited risk measures in PCa risk stratification is consistently supported. Their clinical utility in predicting PCa detection rate, if confirmed in prospective clinical trials, may improve current decision-making for prostate biopsy.

Albuca Bracteata Polysaccharides Attenuate AOM/DSS Induced Colon Tumorigenesis via Regulating Oxidative Stress, Inflammation and Gut Microbiota in Mice.

Inflammation is an important risk factor in the development of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and colitis-associated colorectal cancer (CAC). Accumulating evidence indicates that some phytochemicals have anti-cancer properties. Polysaccharides extracted from Albuca bracteata (AB) have been reported to possess anti-neoplastic activities on colorectal cancer (CRC) models. However, it is still unclear whether they exert therapeutic effects on colorectal cancer. In this study, we investigate the properties of polysaccharides of A. bracteate, named ABP. The average molecular weight of ABP was 18.3 kDa and ABP consisted of glucose, mannose, galactose, xylose, galacturonic acid, glucuronic acid at a molar ratio of 37.8:8:2.5:1.7:1:1. An Azoxymethane/Dextran sodium sulfate (AOM/DSS) induced CAC mouse model was established. The CAC mice treated with ABP showed smaller tumor size and lower tumor incidence than untreated ones. ABP increased anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10, inhibited secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines (IL-6, IFN-γ, and TNF-α), mitigated oxidative stress by increasing GSH and decreasing MDA levels, suppressed the activation of STAT3 and expressions of its related genes c-Myc and cyclin D1. Moreover, ABP treatment increased the relative abundance of beneficial bacteria (f_Ruminococcaceae, g_Roseburia, g_Odoribacter, g_Oscillospira, and g_Akkermansia) and the levels of fecal short-chain fatty acid (SCFA) in CAC model mice. In summary, our data suggest that ABP could be a potential therapeutic agent for treating CAC.

KLK3 germline mutation I179T complements DNA repair genes for predicting prostate cancer progression.

BACKGROUND: Germline mutations in DNA repair genes and KLK3 have been associated with adverse prostate cancer (PCa) outcomes in separate studies but never jointly. The objective of this study is to simultaneously assess these two types of germline mutations. METHODS: Germline rare pathogenic mutations (RPMs) in 9 commonly tested DNA repair genes and KLK3 variants were tested for their associations with PCa progression in two PCa cohorts: (1) hospital-based PCa patients treated with radical surgery at the Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH, N = 1943), and (2) population-based PCa patients in the UK Biobank (UKB, N = 10,224). Progression was defined as metastasis and/or PCa-specific death (JHH) and PCa-specific death (UKB). RPMs of DNA repair genes were annotated using the American College of Medical Genetics recommendations. Known KLK3 variants were genotyped. Associations were tested using a logistic regression model adjusting for genetic background (top ten principal components). RESULTS: In the JHH, 3.2% (59/1,843) of patients had RPMs in 9 DNA repair genes; odds ratio (OR, 95% confidence interval) for progression was 2.99 (1.6-5.34), P < 0.001. In comparison, KLK3 I179T mutation was more common; 9.7% (189/1,943) carried the mutation, OR = 1.6 (1.05-2.37), P = 0.02. Similar results were found in the UKB. Both types of mutations remained statistically significant in multivariable analyses. In the combined cohort, compared to patients without any mutations (RPMs-/KLK3-), RPMs-/KLK3+ patients had modestly increased risk for progression [OR = 1.54 (1.15-2.02), P = 0.003], and RPMs+/KLK3+ patients had greatly increased risk for progression [OR = 5.41 (2.04-12.99), P < 0.001]. Importantly, associations of mutations with PCa progression were found in patients with clinically defined low- or intermediate risk for disease progression. CONCLUSIONS: Two different cohorts consistently demonstrate that KLK3 I179T and RPMs of nine commonly tested DNA repair genes are complementary for predicting PCa progression. These results are highly relevant to PCa germline testing and provide critical information for KLK3 I179T to be considered in guidelines.

Association of germline rare pathogenic mutations in guideline-recommended genes with prostate cancer progression: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Germline mutations in several genes, mainly DNA repair genes, have been associated with prostate cancer (PCa) progression. However, primarily due to the rarity of mutations, statistical evidence for these associations is not consistently established. The objective of this study is to synthesize evidence from multiple studies using a meta-analysis. METHODS: Genes analyzed were chosen based on National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines recommendations (10 genes) and a commonly reported gene (NBN). PCa progression in this analysis was defined as either having metastases or PCa-specific mortality. We searched PubMed for papers published before April 26, 2021, using selected keywords. Pooled odds ratio (OR) was estimated in all races and Caucasians-only using both fixed- and random-effect models. RESULTS: The search identified 1028 papers and an additional five from a manual review of references. After a manual process that excluded noneligible studies, 11 papers remained, including a total of 3944 progressors and 20,054 nonprogressors. Combining results from these eligible studies, mutation carrier rates were significantly higher in progressors than nonprogressors for NBN, BRCA2, ATM (under both fixed- and random-effect models), for CHEK2 (under fixed-effect model only), and for PALB2 (under random-effect model only), p < 0.05. Pooled OR (95% confidence interval) was 6.38 (2.25-18.05), 3.41 (2.31; 5.03), 1.93 (1.17-3.20), and 1.53 (1.00-2.33) for NBN, BRCA2, ATM, and CHEK2, respectively, under fixed-effect model and 2.63 (1.12-6.13) for PALB2 under random-effect model. No significant association was found for the six remaining genes. Certainty of evidence was low for many genes due primarily to the limited number of eligible studies and mutation carriers. CONCLUSIONS: Statistical evidence for five genes was obtained in this first meta-analysis of germline mutations and PCa progression. While these results may help urologists and genetic counselors interpret germline testing results for PCa progression, more original studies are needed.

Calibration of polygenic risk scores is required prior to clinical implementation: results of three common cancers in UKB.

BACKGROUND: SNP-based polygenic risk scores have recently been adopted in the clinic for risk assessment of some common diseases. Their validity is supported by a consistent trend between their percentile rank and disease risk in populations. However, for clinical use at the individual level, the reliability of score values is necessary considering they are directly used to calculate remaining lifetime risk. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the reliability of polygenic score values to estimate prostate cancer (PCa), breast cancer (BCa) and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in three incident cohorts from the UK Biobank (n>500 000). METHODS: Cancer-specific Genetic Risk Score (GRS), a well-established population-standardised polygenic risk score, was calculated. RESULTS: A systematic bias was found between estimated risks (GRS values) and observed risks; ß (95% CI) was 0.67 (0.58-0.76), 0.74 (0.65-0.84) and 0.82 (0.75-0.89), respectively, for PCa, BCa and CRC, all significantly lower than 1.00 (perfect calibration), p<0.001. After applying a correction factor derived from a training data set, the ß for corrected GRS values in an independent testing data set were 1.09 (1.05-1.13), 1.00 (0.88-1.12) and 1.08 (0.96-1.21), respectively, for PCa, BCa and CRC. CONCLUSION: Assessing the calibration of polygenic risk scores is necessary and feasible to ensure their reliability prior to clinical implementation.

Observed evidence for guideline-recommended genes in predicting prostate cancer risk from a large population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Germline testing for prostate cancer (PCa) is now recommended by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network. While multi-gene testing has been proposed, evidence for their association with PCa risk is not well established. METHODS: We tested associations of pathogenic/likely pathogenic mutations in 10 guideline-recommended genes (ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, PALB2, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PMS2, and HOXB13) with PCa risk in the UK Biobank, a population-based cohort. Mutations were annotated based on prostate-specific transcripts using the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics standards. Associations were tested in 4399 PCa cases and 85,403 unaffected male controls using logistic regression adjusting for age and genetic background. p < .005 was considered significant based on Bonferroni correction. RESULTS: Among the 10 tested genes, significantly higher mutation carrier rates in PCa cases versus controls were found for four genes at p < .005; HOXB13, BRCA2, ATM, and CHEK2, with odds ratios (95% confidence interval) estimated at 4.96 (3.62-6.69), 3.23 (2.23-4.56), 2.95 (2.01-4.22), 1.94 (1.43-2.58), respectively. No significant association was found between mutation carrier status and age at PCa diagnosis or family history of PCa. Despite the large sample size of this study, statistical power remains limited, especially for genes where pathogenic mutation carrier rates are extremely rare (<0.03%). CONCLUSION: Observed evidence for PCa risk was found for four of the 10 guideline-recommended genes in this large population-based study. Mutations in these four genes can be interpreted with confidence in genetic counseling for PCa risk assessment. Evidence for the remaining six genes needs to be further evaluated in larger studies.

Association of prostate cancer polygenic risk score with number and laterality of tumor cores in active surveillance patients.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PCa) is characterized by its tendency to be multifocal. However, few studies have investigated the endogenous factors that explain the multifocal disease. The primary objective of the current study is to test whether inherited PCa risk is associated with multifocal tumors in PCa patients. METHODS: Subjects in this study were PCa patients of European ancestry undergoing active surveillance at Johns Hopkins Hospital (N = 805) and NorthShore University HealthSystem (N = 432). The inherited risk was measured by genetic risk score (GRS), an odds ratio-weighted and population-standardized polygenic risk score based on known risk-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms. PCa multifocality was indirectly measured by the number and laterality of positive tumor cores from a 12-core systematic biopsy. RESULTS: In the combined cohort, 35.7% and 66.3% of patients had ≥2 tumor cores at the initial diagnostic biopsy and on at least one subsequent surveillance biopsy, respectively. For tumor laterality, 7.8% and 47.8% of patients had bilateral tumor cores at diagnostic and surveillance biopsies, respectively. We found, for the first time, that patients with higher numbers of positive cores at diagnostic and surveillance biopsies, respectively, had significantly higher mean GRS values; p = .01 and p = 5.94E-04. Additionally, patients with bilateral tumors at diagnostic and surveillance biopsies, respectively, had significantly higher mean GRS values than those with unilateral tumors; p = .04 and p = .01. In contrast, no association was found between GRS and maximum core length of tumor or tumor grade at diagnostic/surveillance biopsies (all p > .05). Finally, we observed a modest trend that patients with higher GRS quartiles had a higher risk for tumor upgrading on surveillance biopsies. The trend, however, was not statistically significant (p > .05). CONCLUSIONS: The associations of GRS with two measurements of PCa multifocality (core numbers and laterality) provide novel and consistent evidence for the link between inherited PCa risk and multifocal tumors.

Polygenic risk score is a predictor of adenomatous polyps at screening colonoscopy.

BACKGROUND: Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based polygenic risk scoring is predictive of colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, few studies have investigated the association of genetic risk score (GRS) with detection of adenomatous polyps at screening colonoscopy. METHODS: We randomly selected 1769 Caucasian subjects who underwent screening colonoscopy from the Genomic Health Initiative (GHI), a biobank of NorthShore University HealthSystem. Outcomes from initial screening colonoscopy were recorded. Twenty-two CRC risk-associated SNPs were obtained from the Affymetrix™ SNP array and used to calculate an odds ratio (OR)-weighted and population-standardized GRS. Subjects with GRS of < 0.5, 0.5-1.5, and > 1.5 were categorized as low, average and elevated risk. RESULTS: Among 1,769 subjects, 520 (29%) had 1 or more adenomatous polyps. GRS was significantly higher in subjects with adenomatous polyps than those without; mean (95% confidence interval) was 1.02 (1.00-1.05) and 0.97 (0.95-0.99), respectively, p < 0.001. The association remained significant after adjusting for age, gender, body mass index, and family history, p < 0.001. The detection rate of adenomatous polyps was 10.8%, 29.0% and 39.7% in subjects with low, average and elevated GRS, respectively, p-trend < 0.001. Higher GRS was also associated with early age diagnosis of adenomatous polyps, p < 0.001. In contrast, positive family history was not associated with risk and age of adenomatous polyps. CONCLUSIONS: GRS was significantly associated with adenomatous polyps in subjects undergoing screening colonoscopy. This result may help in stratifying average risk patients and facilitating personalized colonoscopy screening strategies.

Assessing the clinical utility of genetic risk scores for targeted cancer screening.

BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have identified thousands of disease-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). A subset of these SNPs may be additively combined to generate genetic risk scores (GRSs) that confer risk for a specific disease. Although the clinical validity of GRSs to predict risk of specific diseases has been well established, there is still a great need to determine their clinical utility by applying GRSs in primary care for cancer risk assessment and targeted intervention. METHODS: This clinical study involved 281 primary care patients without a personal history of breast, prostate or colorectal cancer who were 40-70 years old. DNA was obtained from a pre-existing biobank at NorthShore University HealthSystem. GRSs for colorectal cancer and breast or prostate cancer were calculated and shared with participants through their primary care provider. Additional data was gathered using questionnaires as well as electronic medical record information. A t-test or Chi-square test was applied for comparison of demographic and key clinical variables among different groups. RESULTS: The median age of the 281 participants was 58 years and the majority were female (66.6%). One hundred one (36.9%) participants received 2 low risk scores, 99 (35.2%) received 1 low risk and 1 average risk score, 37 (13.2%) received 1 low risk and 1 high risk score, 23 (8.2%) received 2 average risk scores, 21 (7.5%) received 1 average risk and 1 high risk score, and no one received 2 high risk scores. Before receiving GRSs, younger patients and women reported significantly more worry about risk of developing cancer. After receiving GRSs, those who received at least one high GRS reported significantly more worry about developing cancer. There were no significant differences found between gender, age, or GRS with regards to participants' reported optimism about their future health neither before nor after receiving GRS results. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic risk scores that quantify an individual's risk of developing breast, prostate and colorectal cancers as compared with a race-defined population average risk have potential clinical utility as a tool for risk stratification and to guide cancer screening in a primary care setting.

Cystic fibrosis F508del carriers and cancer risk: Results from the UK Biobank.

Cystic fibrosis (CF) carriers carrying one defective copy of a CFTR germline mutation are common in the general population. A recent study reported associations of CF carriers with risk for cancers of digestive organs and pancreatic cancer. In the current study, we assessed associations of CFTR F508del carriers with the risk for 54 types of cancers in the UK Biobank, a large population-based study. In Caucasians, compared to the carrier rate of 3.15% (12 357/392274) in noncancer subjects, the rate was significantly higher in cancer patients overall (2621/79619 = 3.29%), especially in patients with colorectal cancer (247/6667 = 3.70%), cancers of gallbladder and biliary tract (21/351 = 5.98%), thyroid cancer (30/665 = 4.51%) and unspecified non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (74/1805 = 4.10%), all P ≤ .05. In contrast, the carrier rate in patients with cancers of lung and bronchus was significantly lower (89/3463 = 2.57%), P = .05. The association of CFTR F508del carriers with these types of cancer remained significant after adjusting for respective cancer-specific risk factors. For pancreatic cancer, although a higher carrier rate (38/1004 = 3.78%) was found in patients with this cancer, the difference was not statistically significant (P = .26). This null association was unlikely due to lack of statistical power; the large sample size of our study had >80% power, at a significance level of .05, to detect an association of >1.5-fold increased risk. In conclusion, the identified associations of CFTR F508del carriers with multiple types of cancer may have potential biological and clinical implications if confirmed in independent study populations.