The gut-immune-liver axis in patients with alcohol use disorder and clinically low serum zinc levels.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol use disorder (AUD) with chronic and heavy alcohol consumption causes alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). Early-stage ALD exhibits dyshomeostasis of zinc. We investigated the role of zinc deficiency in gut-barrier dysfunction, proinflammatory response, hepatocyte injury, and death, as well as potential sex differences in AUD patients. METHODS: Thirty-nine male and female AUD patients were grouped by normal [≥71 µg/dL (Group 1, number (n) = 26)] and low [<71 µg/dL (Group 2, n = 13)] serum zinc levels. Demographics, alcohol intake markers [Lifetime Drinking History (LTDH), heavy drinking days in the past 90-days (HDD90), total drinks in the past 90-days (TD90), number of drinking days in the past 90-days (NDD90), average drinks per day in the past 90 days (AvgDPD90)] were collected. Blood samples were tested for complete blood count (CBC), comprehensive metabolic panel (CMP), coagulation markers, gut-barrier dysfunction markers, cytokines, and hepatocyte death markers. RESULTS: Group 2 females exhibited lower LTDH than Group 2 males (p = 0.028), but higher recent drinking. Aspartate transaminase: alanine transaminase (AST:ALT) ratio was higher (p = 0.049) in Group 2 males compared to Group 1 males. Overall, Group 2 showed threefold higher interleukin 8 (IL-8) levels than Group 1 (p = 0.92); these were sevenfold higher in Group 2 females than Group 1 females. Group 2 females also had higher K18M65, but lower K18M30 than Group 1 females. Necrotic type of cell death (K18M65) was well-described only in Group 2 by the arrangement of lipopolysaccharide (LPS), soluble cluster of differentiation 14 (sCD14), and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α) (R2 = 0.633, p = 0.037). CONCLUSION: Our findings demonstrated the role of the gut-immune-liver axis in describing hepatocyte injury and death in zinc-deficient AUD patients. These patients represented an arrangement of gut-barrier dysfunction and an exacerbated immune response. Shift in the cell-death mechanism from apoptosis in zinc-replete females to necrosis in zinc-deficient females suggests a subclinical to clinical transition of ALD associated with zinc status.

Clinical criteria accurately diagnose severe but not moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The precision of clinical criteria and the utility of liver biopsy for diagnosis or prognosis remain unclear in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH). We systematically reviewed the literature to answer these questions. METHODS: Four databases were searched for studies describing the precision of clinical criteria (National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, European Association for Study of Liver, or classical) and the role of histology in AH. The precision(positive predictive value) of criteria was pooled through random-effects meta-analysis, and its variation was investigated through subgroups and meta-regression of study-level factors with their percent contribution to variation (R2). The risk of bias among studies was evaluated through the QUADAS2 tool (PROSPERO-ID-CRD4203457250). RESULTS: Of 4320 studies, 18 in the systematic review and 15 (10/5: low/high risk of bias, N=1639) were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled precision of clinical criteria was 80.2% (95% CI: 69.7-89.7, I2:93%, p < 0.01), higher in studies with severe AH (mean-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease > 20) versus moderate AH (mean-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease < 20): 92% versus 67.1%, p < 0.01, and in studies with serum bilirubin cutoff 5 versus 3 mg/dL (88.5% vs.78.8%, p = 0.01). The factors contributing to variation in precision were Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (R2:72.7%), upper gastrointestinal bleed (R2:56.3%), aspartate aminotransferase:aspartate aminotransferase ratio (R2:100%), clinical criteria (R2:40.9%), bilirubin (R2:22.5%), and Mallory body on histology (R2:19.1%).The net inter-pathologist agreement for histologic findings of AH was variable (0.33-0.97), best among 2 studies describing AH through simple and uniform criteria, including steatosis, ballooning, and neutrophilic inflammation. Few studies reported the utility of histology in estimating steroid responsiveness (N = 1) and patient prognosis (N = 4); however, very broad septa, pericellular fibrosis, and cholestasis were associated with mortality. Bilirubinostasis was associated with infection in 1 study. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical criteria are reasonably precise for diagnosing severe AH, while there is an unmet need for better criteria for diagnosing moderate AH. Histologic diagnosis of AH should be simple and uniform.

Association between public health policies on alcohol and worldwide cancer, liver disease and cardiovascular disease outcomes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The long-term impact of alcohol-related public health policies (PHPs) on disease burden is unclear. We aimed to assess the association between alcohol-related PHPs and alcohol-related health consequences. METHODS: We conducted an ecological multi-national study including 169 countries. We collected data on alcohol-related PHPs from the WHO Global Information System of Alcohol and Health 2010. Data on alcohol-related health consequences between 2010-2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease database. We classified PHPs into five items, including criteria for low, moderate, and strong PHP establishment. We estimated an alcohol preparedness index (API) using multiple correspondence analysis (0 lowest and 100 highest establishment). We estimated an incidence rate ratio (IRR) for outcomes according to API using adjusted multilevel generalized linear models with a Poisson family distribution. RESULTS: The median API in the 169 countries was 54 [IQR 34.9-76.8]. The API was inversely associated with alcohol use disorder (AUD) prevalence (IRR 0.13; 95% CI 0.03-0.60; p = 0.010), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) mortality (IRR 0.14; 95% CI 0.03-0.79; p = 0.025), mortality due to neoplasms (IRR 0.09; 95% CI 0.02-0.40; p = 0.002), alcohol-attributable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (IRR 0.13; 95% CI 0.02-0.65; p = 0.014), and cardiovascular diseases (IRR 0.09; 95% CI 0.02-0.41; p = 0.002). The highest associations were observed in the Americas, Africa, and Europe. These associations became stronger over time, and AUD prevalence was significantly lower after 2 years, while ALD mortality and alcohol-attributable HCC incidence decreased after 4 and 8 years from baseline API assessment, respectively (p <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The API is a valuable instrument to quantify the robustness of alcohol-related PHP establishment. Lower AUD prevalence and lower mortality related to ALD, neoplasms, alcohol-attributable HCC, and cardiovascular diseases were observed in countries with a higher API. Our results encourage the development and strengthening of alcohol-related policies worldwide. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: We first developed an alcohol preparedness index, an instrument to assess the existence of alcohol-related public policies for each country. We then evaluated the long-term association of the country's alcohol preparedness index in 2010 with the burden of chronic liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma, other neoplasms, and cardiovascular disease. The strengthening of alcohol-related public health policies could impact long-term mortality rates from cardiovascular disease, neoplasms, and liver disease. These conditions are the main contributors to the global burden of disease related to alcohol use. Over time, this association has not only persisted but also grown stronger. Our results expand the preliminary evidence regarding the importance of public health policies in controlling alcohol-related health consequences.

The Role Bariatric Surgery and Endobariatric Therapies in Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Disease spectrum varies from steatosis, steatohepatitis, fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Currently, there are no approved medical therapies, and weight loss through lifestyle modifications remains a mainstay of therapy. Bariatric surgery is the most effective therapy for weight loss and has been shown to improve liver histology. Recently, endoscopic bariatric metabolic therapies have also emerged as effective treatments for patients with obesity and NAFLD. This review summarizes the role of bariatric surgery and endoscopic therapies in the management of patients with NAFLD.

Clinical and patient-reported outcome profile of patients with hepatitis B viral infection from the Global Liver Registry™.

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection is one of the most common causes of cirrhosis and liver cancer worldwide. Our aim was to assess clinical and patient-reported outcome (PRO) profile of CHB patients from different regions of the world using the Global Liver Registry. The CHB patients seen in real-world practices are being enrolled in the Global Liver Registry. Clinical and PRO (FACIT-F, CLDQ, WPAI) data were collected and compared to baseline data from CHB controls from clinical trials. The study included 1818 HBV subjects (48 ± 13 years, 58% male, 14% advanced fibrosis, 7% cirrhosis) from 15 countries in 6/7 Global Burden of Disease super-regions. The rates of advanced fibrosis varied (3-24%). The lowest PRO scores across multiple domains were in HBV subjects from the Middle East/North Africa (MENA), the highest - Southeast/East and South Asia. Subjects with advanced fibrosis had PRO impairment in 3 CLDQ domains, Activity of WPAI (p < 0.05). HBV subjects with superimposed fatty liver had more PRO impairments. In multivariate analysis adjusted for location, predictors of PRO impairment in CHB included female sex, advanced fibrosis, and non-hepatic comorbidities (p < 0.05). In comparison to Global Liver Registry patients, 242 controls from clinical trials had better PRO scores (Abdominal, Emotional, and Systemic scores of CLDQ, all domains of WPAI) (p < 0.05). In multivariate analysis with adjustment for location and clinicodemographic parameters, the associations of PROs with the enrollment setting (real-life Global Liver Registry vs. clinical trials) were no longer significant (all p > 0.10). The clinico-demographic portrait of CHB patients varies across regions of the world and enrollment settings. Advanced fibrosis and non-hepatic comorbidities are independently associated with PRO impairment in CHB patients.

Association of Previous Gastric Bypass Surgery and Patient Outcomes in Alcohol-Associated Cirrhosis Hospitalizations.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Roux-En-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) is associated with risk of alcohol use disorder. The impact of RYGB among patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) remains unknown. METHODS: A retrospective cohort from National Inpatient Sample (01/2006-09/2015) database on 421,156 admissions with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (AC) was stratified for non-primary discharge diagnosis of previous RYGB. Admissions with RYGB (cases) were matched 1:3 to without RYGB (controls) based on propensity score on demographics, calendar year, socioeconomic status (insurance and zip code income quartile), obesity, diabetes, anxiety, and alcohol use disorder. Primary outcome was concomitant discharge diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis (AH) or development of acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). RESULTS: Of 10,168 admissions (mean age 49 yrs., 75% females, 79% whites), cases (N = 2542) vs. controls had higher prevalence of concomitant AH (18.8 vs. 17%, P = 0.032), hepatic encephalopathy (31 vs. 25%), infection (28 vs. 24%), and grade 3 ACLF (13 vs. 5%), P < 0.001. Conditional logistic regression models showed higher odds for AH, hepatic encephalopathy, and infection among cases. In-hospital mortality of 6.3% (43% in ACLF) was lower in cases, but similar in the sub-cohorts of AH (N = 1768) or ACLF (N = 768). Results were similar in a sensitivity analysis of matched cohort of 2016 hospitalizations (504 cases) with primary discharge diagnosis of AC. CONCLUSION: Among patients with AC, previous RYGB is associated with increased likelihood of concomitant AH, hepatic encephalopathy, and infection, but similar in-hospital mortality. Prospective studies are needed to validate, determine causality, and understand mechanisms of these findings among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

Impact of COVID-19 on Liver Transplant Activity in the USA: Variation by Etiology and Cirrhosis Complications.

Background and Aims: The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the care of patients with liver disease. We examined impact of COVID-19 on liver transplant (LT) activity in the USA. Methods: LT listings in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database (April 2018-May 2021) were analyzed to examine the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the LT activity based on etiology: hepatitis C virus (HCV), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), alcoholic hepatitis (AH), and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) complications: hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) grade 2 or 3) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Joinpoint regression models assessed time trend changes on a log scale. Results: Of 23,871 recipients (8,995 in the COVID era, April 2018-February 2020), mean age 52 years, 62% men, 61% Caucasian, 32% ALD, 15% HCC, 30% ACLF grades 2-3, and mean MELD score 20.5), monthly LT changes were a decrease of 3.4% for overall LTs and 22% for HCC after September 2020, and increase of 4.5% for ALD since 11/2020 and 17% since 03/2021 for ACLF grade 2-3. Monthly MELD scores increased by 0.7 and 0.36 after June 2020 for HCV and HCC respectively. Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted LT activity, with a decrease of LTs especially for HCC, and an increase of LTs for ALD and severe ACLF. Strategies are needed to reorganize cirrhosis patients to overcome the aftereffects of COVID-19 pandemic.

Effect of cofactors on NAFLD/NASH and MAFLD. A paradigm illustrating the pathomechanics of organ dysfunction.

Primary nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is bi-directionally associated with the metabolic syndrome and its constitutive features ("factors": impaired glucose disposal, visceral obesity, arterial hypertension, and dyslipidemia). Secondary NAFLD occurs due to endocrinologic disturbances or other cofactors. This nosography tends to be outdated by the novel definition of metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). Irrespective of nomenclature, this condition exhibits a remarkable pathogenic heterogeneity with unpredictable clinical outcomes which are heavily influenced by liver histology changes. Genetics and epigenetics, lifestyle habits [including diet and physical (in)activity] and immunity/infection appear to be major cofactors that modulate NAFLD/MAFLD outcomes, including organ dysfunction owing to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, heart failure, and sarcopenia. The identification of cofactors for organ dysfunction that may help understand disease heterogeneity and reliably support inherently personalized medicine approaches is a research priority, thus paving the way for innovative treatment strategies.

Pembrolizumab Induced Acute Kidney Injury and Liver Injury in a Patient with Malignant Melanoma.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have recently gained recognition as valuable treatment options for a variety of cancers. Pembrolizumab is a monoclonal antibody that acts as an inhibitor of programmed cell death receptor-1 (PD-1). This helps release host T-cells from regulatory inhibition by tumor neoantigens, therefore mediating antitumor effects. Pembrolizumab has been approved for a variety of cancers including melanoma, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, non-small cell lung cancer, and urothelial cell carcinoma. It has also recently gained attention for possible use in hepatocellular carcinoma and triple negative breast cancer. Although efficacious, ICIs manifest a unique set of immune-related adverse effects (irAEs) including acute kidney injury (AKI) and acute liver injury (ALI) of which the mechanism is poorly understood. While these irAEs have been described previously in literature individually, there is a paucity of literature describing their simultaneous occurence. With the growing incorporation of ICIs in oncological regimens, it is important to characterize the presentation of irAEs to facilitate earlier recognition and intervention to avoid further complications. We present a case of a 60-year-old male who presented with concurrent AKI and ALI secondary to pembrolizumab therapy for advanced metastatic melanoma. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first reported incident in literature of AKI and ALI occurring simultaneously secondary to ICI immunotherapy with pembrolizumab, although each have been reported and characterized individually.

Impact of medical eligibility criteria and OPTN policy on simultaneous liver kidney allocation and utilization.

BACKGROUND: Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) implemented medical eligibility and safety-net policy on 8/10/17 to optimize simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) utilization. We examined impact of this policy on SLK listings and number of kidneys used within 1-yr. of receiving liver transplantation (LT) alone. METHODS AND RESULTS: OPTN database (08/10/14-06/12/20) on adults (N = 66 709) without previous transplant stratified candidates to listings for SLK or LT alone with pre-LT renal dysfunction at listing (eGFR < 30 mL/min or on dialysis). Outcomes were compared for pre (08/10/14-08/09/17) vs. post (08/10/17-06/12/20) policy era. SLK listings decreased in post vs. pre policy era (8.7% vs. 9.6%; P < .001), with 22% reduced odds of SLK listing in the postpolicy era, with a decrease in all OPTN regions except regions 6 and 8, which showed an increase. Among LT-alone recipients with pre-LT renal dysfunction (N = 3272), cumulative 1-year probability was higher in post vs. prepolicy period for dialysis (5.6% vs. 2.3%; P < .0001), KT listing (11.4% vs. 2.0%; P < .0001), and KT (3.7% vs. .25%; P < .0001). Sixty-seven (2.4%) kidneys were saved in post policy era, with 18.1%, 16.6%, 4.3%, and 2.9% saving from regions 7, 2, 11, and 1, respectively. CONCLUSION: Medical eligibility and safety-net OPTN policy resulted in decreased SLK use and improved access to LT alone among those with pre-LT renal dysfunction. Although decreased in postpolicy era, regional variation of SLK listings remains. In spite of increased use of KT within 1-year of receiving LT alone under safety net, less number of kidneys were used without impact on patient survival in postpolicy era.

Liver Biopsy in Patients With Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Patients with alcohol-associated liver disease may develop severe forms of presentation of acute-on-chronic liver failure, with a high risk for short-term mortality. Alcoholic hepatitis should be suspected among patients with alcohol-associated liver disease who present with acute-on-chronic liver failure. In this review, we discuss the need and feasibility of liver biopsy in the diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis and predicting its prognosis among decompensated patients with alcohol-associated liver disease and acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Metastatic tumors to the pancreas: Balancing clinical impression with cytology findings.

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS: Metastatic lesions of the pancreas (PMET) account for 1%-5% of all malignant solid pancreatic lesions (SPL). In this study we evaluated the utility of endoscopic ultrasonography with fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) in diagnosing PMET. METHODS: Patients who underwent EUS-FNA at a community referral center between 2011-2017 for SPL were identified. Clinical, radiologic, and EUS-FNA features of those with PMET were compared to those with primary solid tumors of the pancreas: pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and neuroendocrine tumors (PNET). RESULTS: A total of 191 patients were diagnosed with solid pancreatic malignancy using EUS-FNA: 156 PDAC, 27 PNET, and eight (4.2%) had PMET. Patients with PMET were less likely to have abdominal pain (25.0% vs. 76.3% vs. 48.2%; p < 0.01) or obstructive jaundice (37.5% vs. 58.3% vs. 0%; p < 0.01) compared to PDAC and PNET. Those with PMET were more likely to have mass lesions with/without biliary or pancreatic ductal dilatations (100% vs. 86.5% vs. 85.2%; p < 0.01) and lower CA19-9 (82.5 ± 43.21 U/mL vs. 4,639.30 ± 11,489.68 U/mL vs. 10.50 ± 10.89 U/mL; p < 0.01) compared to PDAC and PNET. Endosonographic features were similar among all groups. Seven (87.5%) patients with PMET had a personal history of malignancy prior to PMET diagnosis. The primary malignancy was renal cell carcinoma in five PMET. CONCLUSIONS: PMET are exceedingly rare, comprising less than 5% of SLP. Patients with PMET are less likely to present with symptoms and mostly identified by surveillance imaging for the primary malignancy.

Diagnosis of Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis: When Is Liver Biopsy Required?

Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is a unique clinical syndrome in patients with excessive and prolonged alcohol consumption, and negatively impacts the patient outcomes. Among patients with asymptomatic alcohol-associated liver disease with elevated liver enzymes and/or steatosis, liver biopsy is required to diagnose AH. Noninvasive assessment should be performed in these patients to determine risk of advanced fibrosis. In symptomatic patients with jaundice, liver biopsy is required when the clinical diagnosis is uncertain. Liver biopsy is not recommended to determine prognosis of patients with AH. Noninvasive biomarkers are emerging for diagnosis of and determining prognosis of patients with AH.

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma from more rural and lower-income households have more advanced tumor stage at diagnosis and significantly higher mortality.

BACKGROUND: Patients from rural and low-income households may have suboptimal access to liver disease care, which may translate into worse HCC outcomes. The authors provide a comprehensive update of HCC incidence and outcomes among US adults, focusing on the effect of rural geography and household income on tumor stage and mortality. METHODS: The authors retrospectively evaluated adults with HCC using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data from 2004 to 2017. HCC incidence was reported per 100,000 persons and was compared using z-statistics. Tumor stage at diagnosis used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results staging system and was evaluated with multivariate logistic regression. HCC mortality was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox proportional hazards methods. RESULTS: HCC incidence plateaued for most groups, with the exception of American Indians/Alaska Natives (2004-2017: APC, 4.17%; P < .05) and patients in the lowest household income category (<$40,000; 2006-2017: APC, 2.80%; P < .05). Compared with patients who had HCC in large metropolitan areas with a population >1 million, patients in more rural regions had higher odds of advanced-stage HCC at diagnosis (odds ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.00-1.20; P = .04) and higher mortality (hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08; P = .02). Compared with the highest income group (≥$70,000), patients with HCC who earned <$40,000 annually had higher odds of advanced-stage HCC (odds ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.01-1.32; P = .03) and higher mortality (hazard ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.16-1.31; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients from rural regions and lower-income households had more advanced tumor stage at diagnosis and significantly higher HCC mortality. These disparities likely reflect suboptimal access to consistent high-quality liver disease care, including HCC surveillance.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Acute Hepatic Porphyrias: Results from the Longitudinal Study of the U.S. Porphyrias Consortium.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increased in acute hepatic porphyrias (AHP). The aim of this study was to explore the clinicopathologic characteristics, outcomes, and frequency of HCC in patients with AHP in the United States. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This cross-sectional analysis evaluated patients with HCC in a multicenter, longitudinal study of AHP. Among 327 patients with AHP, 5 (1.5%) were diagnosed with HCC. Of the 5 HCC cases, 4 had acute intermittent porphyria and 1 had variegate porphyria, confirmed by biochemical and/or genetic testing. All patients were white females, with a median age of 27 years (range 21-75) at diagnosis. The median age at HCC diagnosis was 69 years (range 61-74). AHP was asymptomatic in 2 patients; 2 reported sporadic attacks; and 1 reported recurrent attacks (>4 attacks/year). All patients had a single HCC lesion on liver imaging that was 1.8-6.5 centimeters in diameter. Serum alpha fetoprotein levels were below 10 ng/mL in all 4 patients with available results. Four patients underwent liver resection, and 1 was treated with radioembolization. No significant inflammation or fibrosis was found in adjacent liver tissues of 3 patients who underwent liver resection. Two patients developed recurrence of HCC at 22 and 26 months following liver resection. All patients are alive with survival times from HCC diagnosis ranging from 26-153 months. CONCLUSION: In this U.S. study, 1.5% of patients with AHP had HCC. HCC in AHP occurred in the absence of cirrhosis, which contrasts with other chronic liver diseases. Patients with AHP, regardless of clinical attacks, should be screened for HCC, beginning at age 50. The pathogenesis of hepatocarcinogenesis in AHP is unknown and needs further investigation.

Validating a novel score based on interaction between ACLF grade and MELD score to predict waitlist mortality.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Among candidates listed for liver transplant (LT), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score may not capture acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) severity. Data on the interaction between ACLF and MELD score in predicting waitlist mortality are scarce. METHODS: We analyzed the UNOS database (01/2002 to 06/2018) for LT listings in adults with cirrhosis and ACLF (without hepatocellular carcinoma). ACLF grades 1, 2, 3a, and 3b- were defined using the modified EASL-CLIF criteria. RESULTS: Of 18,416 candidates with ACLF at listing (mean age 54 years, 69% males, 63% Caucasians), 90-day waitlist mortality (patient death or being too sick for LT) was 21.6% (18%, 20%, 25%, and 39% for ACLF grades 1, 2, 3a, and 3b, respectively). Using a Fine and Gray regression model, we identified an interaction between MELD and ACLF grade, with ACLF having a higher impact at lower MELD scores. Other variables included candidate's age, sex, liver disease etiology, listing MELD, ACLF grade, obesity, and performance status. A score developed using parameter estimates from the interaction model on the derivation cohort (n = 9,181) stratified the validation cohort (n = 9,235) into quartiles: Q1 (score <10.42), Q2 (10.42-12.81), Q3 (12.82-15.50), and Q4 (>15.50). Waitlist mortality increased with each quartile from 13%, 18%, 23%, and 36%, respectively. Observed vs. expected waitlist mortality deciles in the validation cohort showed good calibration (goodness of fit p = 0.98) and correlation (R = 0.99). CONCLUSION: Among selected candidates who have ACLF at listing, MELD score and ACLF interact in predicting cumulative risk of 90-day waitlist mortality, with higher impact of ACLF grade at lower listing MELD score. Validating these findings in large prospective studies will support consideration of both MELD and ACLF when prioritizing transplant candidates and allocating liver grafts. LAY SUMMARY: In patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation, the presence of multiorgan failure, a condition referred to as acute-on-chronic liver failure, is associated with high waiting list mortality rates. Current organ allocation policy disadvantages patients with this condition. This study describes and validates a new scoring method that performs better than the currently available scoring systems. Further validation of this approach may reduce the deaths of patients with cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure on the transplant waiting list.

Changing Population of Liver Transplant Recipients in the Era of Direct-acting Antiviral Therapy.

Background and Aims: With the availability of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and changing liver disease etiology for liver transplantation (LT), data on the changes in LT recipient population in the DAA era are scanty. Methods: The United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) registry (01/2007 to 06/2018) was used to develop a retrospective cohort of LT recipients for HCV, alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). LT recipients in the DAA era (2013-2018) were compared with those in the pre-DAA era (2007-2012) era for recipient characteristics. Chi-square and analysis of variance were the statistical tests used for categorical and continuous variables, respectively. Results: Of 40,309 LT recipients (21,110 HCV, 7586 NASH, and 11,713 ALD), the 21,790 in the DAA era (9432 HCV, 7240 ALD, and 5118 NASH) were more likely to be older, female, obese, diabetic, have acute-on-chronic liver failure with a higher model for end-stage liver disease score, receive grafts with a lower donor risk index, and have waited on the LT list for a shorter period compared with their pre-DAA era counterparts. Specific to ALD, LT recipients with alcohol hepatitis were more likely to be younger at the time of LT. Of 9895 LT recipients with hepatocellular carcinoma, recipients in the DAA era were observed to have a higher proportion of HCV (43% vs. 32%, p<0.001), a lower proportion of ALD (9% vs. 12%, p<0.001), and no change for NASH (13% vs. 13%, p=0.9) compared with the pre-DAA era. Within the hepatocellular carcinoma population, LT recipients in the DAA era were older, diabetic, and waited on the LT list longer compared with their pre-DAA counterparts. Conclusions: Along with changing liver disease etiology in the DAA era, the LT recipient population demographics, comorbidities, liver disease severity, and graft quality are changing. These changes are relevant for future studies, immunosuppression, and post-transplant follow-up.