Ability of Caprini and Padua risk-assessment models to predict venous thromboembolism in a nationwide Veterans Affairs study.

OBJECTIVE: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a preventable complication of hospitalization. Risk-stratification is the cornerstone of prevention. The Caprini and Padua are two of the most commonly used risk-assessment models (RAMs) to quantify VTE risk. Both models perform well in select, high-risk cohorts. Although VTE RAMs were designed for use in all hospital admissions, they are mostly tested in select, high-risk cohorts. We aim to evaluate the two RAMs in a large, unselected cohort of patients. METHODS: We analyzed consecutive first hospital admissions of 1,252,460 unique surgical and non-surgical patients to 1298 Veterans Affairs facilities nationwide between January 2016 and December 2021. Caprini and Padua scores were generated using the Veterans Affairs' national data repository. We determined the ability of the two RAMs to predict VTE within 90 days of admission. In secondary analyses, we evaluated prediction at 30 and 60 days, in surgical vs non-surgical patients, after excluding patients with upper extremity deep vein thrombosis, in patients hospitalized ≥72 hours, after including all-cause mortality in a composite outcome, and after accounting for prophylaxis in the predictive model. We used area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) as the metric of prediction. RESULTS: A total of 330,388 (26.4%) surgical and 922,072 (73.6%) non-surgical consecutively hospitalized patients (total N = 1,252,460) were analyzed. Caprini scores ranged from 0 to 28 (median, 4; interquartile range [IQR], 3-6); Padua scores ranged from 0-13 (median, 1; IQR, 1-3). The RAMs showed good calibration and higher scores were associated with higher VTE rates. VTE developed in 35,557 patients (2.8%) within 90 days of admission. The ability of both models to predict 90-day VTE was low (AUCs: Caprini, 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.56; Padua, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.58-0.59). Prediction remained low for surgical (Caprini, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.53-0.54; Padua, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.56-0.57) and non-surgical patients (Caprini, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.58-0.59; Padua, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.59-0.60). There was no clinically meaningful change in predictive performance in any of the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Caprini and Padua RAM scores have low ability to predict VTE events in a cohort of unselected consecutive hospitalizations. Improved VTE RAMs must be developed before they can be applied to a general hospital population.

Age-stratified comparison of active surveillance versus radiofrequency ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma using decision analysis.

BACKGROUND: Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas may be treated with radiofrequency ablation, active surveillance, or surgery. The objective of this study was to use mathematical modeling to compare treatment alternatives for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas among those who decline surgery. We hypothesized that radiofrequency ablation would outperform active surveillance in avoiding progression and surgery but that the effect size would be small for older patients. METHODS: We engaged stakeholders to identify meaningful long-term endpoints for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatment-(1) cancer progression/surgery, (2) need for thyroid replacement therapy, and (3) permanent treatment complication. A Markov decision analysis model was created to compare the probability of these endpoints after radiofrequency ablation or active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinomas and overall cost. Transition probabilities were extracted from published literature. Model outcomes were estimated to have a 10-year time horizon. RESULTS: The primary outcome yielded a number needed to treat of 18.1 for the avoidance of progression and 27.4 for the avoidance of lifelong thyroid replacement therapy for radiofrequency ablation compared to active surveillance. However, as patient age increased, the number needed to treat to avoid progression increased from 5.2 (age 20-29) to 39.1 (age 60+). The number needed to treat to avoid lifelong thyroid replacement therapy increased with age from 7.8 (age 20-29) to 59.3 (age 60+). The average 10-year cost/treatment for active surveillance and radiofrequency ablation were $6,400 and $11,700, respectively, translating to a cost per progression-avoided of $106,500. CONCLUSION: As an alternative to active surveillance, radiofrequency ablation may have a greater therapeutic impact in younger patients. However, routine implementation may be cost-prohibitive for most patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinomas.

Eliciting Low-Risk Thyroid Cancer Treatment Preferences Using Clinical Vignettes: A Pilot Study.

OBJECTIVE: While surgical resection has been the traditional standard treatment for small (≤1 cm), differentiated thyroid cancers, active surveillance (AS) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) are increasingly considered. The aim of this study was to explore patient preferences in thyroid cancer treatment using a series of clinical vignettes. METHODS: Thyroid cancer survivors and general population volunteers were recruited to rank experience-driven clinical vignettes in order of preference. Rankings were compared using Wilcoxon signed rank. Formative qualitative methods were used to develop and refine clinical vignettes that captured 4 treatments-thyroid lobectomy (TL), total thyroidectomy (TT), AS, and RFA-along with 6 treatment complications. Content was validated via interviews with 5 academic subspecialists. RESULTS: Nineteen volunteers participated (10 survivors, 9 general population). Treatment complications were ranked lower than uncomplicated counterparts in 99.0% of cases, indicating excellent comprehension. Counter to our hypothesis, among uncomplicated vignettes, median rankings were 1 for AS, 2 for RFA, 3.5 for TL, and 5 for TT. Trends were consistent between thyroid cancer survivors and the general population. AS was significantly preferred over RFA (P = .02) and TT (P < .01). Among surgical options, TL was significantly preferred over TT (P < .01). CONCLUSION: When treatments for low-risk thyroid cancer are described clearly and accurately through clinical vignettes, patients may be more likely to choose less invasive treatment options over traditional surgical resection.

Association of individual low-income status and area deprivation with mortality in multiple myeloma.

INTRODUCTION: Lower individual-level socioeconomic status (SES) and area-level SES have each been associated with poor survival outcomes among patients with multiple myeloma (MM). A body of literature suggests that individual-level SES may be differentially associated with mortality depending on area-level SES, and vice versa. This study assessed the effect of the cross-level interaction between individual low-income status and area deprivation on mortality among patients with MM. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare data (2006-2016). Individuals were defined as having low income if they were dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid and/or if they received the Low-Income Subsidy. The county-level Social Deprivation Index (SDI) was linked to individual-level SEER-Medicare data and categorized into quintiles, from the least deprived (Quintile 1) to the most deprived (Quintile 5). Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the associations between low-income status, area deprivation, and all-cause mortality were estimated from a mixed-effects Cox proportional-hazards (PH) model. RESULTS: The mortality hazard was higher for individuals with low income than individuals without low income in all quintiles of area deprivation, with the exception of Quintile 5 (Quintile 1: HR 1.53 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-1.77]; Quintile 2: HR 1.17 [95%CI: 1.01-1.36]; Quintile 3: HR 1.34 [95%CI: 1.18-1.53]; Quintile 4: HR 1.33 [95%CI: 1.17-1.52]; Quintile 5: HR 1.09 [95%CI: 0.96-1.23]). Among individuals without low income, individuals residing in the most deprived area had a higher mortality hazard than individuals residing in the least deprived area (HR: 1.22 [95%CI: 1.03-1.45]). In contrast, among individuals with low income, residing in a more deprived area, Quintile 2, was associated with a lower hazard of death than residing in the least deprived area, Quintile 1 (HR: 0.82 [95%CI: 0.67-0.99]), and there was no statistically significant difference between Quintile 1 and Quintiles 3, 4, and 5. DISCUSSION: In this analysis, there was a statistically significant cross-level interaction between individual low-income status and area deprivation on mortality. More research is needed to fully understand the mechanism behind these associations, but the findings show that patients and their health should be considered in the context of where they live.

Total thyroidectomy is more cost-effective than radioactive iodine as an alternative to antithyroid medication for Graves' disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with Graves' disease treated with radioactive iodine report worse quality of life than those treated by thyroidectomy. However, radioactive iodine is often selected due to lower risk of complications and lower cost. The objective of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of radioactive iodine versus total thyroidectomy for treatment of Graves' disease. METHODS: A Markov decision-analytic model was created to simulate clinical outcomes and costs of medication-refractory Graves' disease treated with radioactive iodine or total thyroidectomy. Complication rates and utilities were derived from published data. Costs were extracted from national Medicare reimbursement rates. We conducted 1-way, 2-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to identify factors that influence cost-effectiveness and reflect uncertainty in model parameters. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $100,000/quality-adjusted life-years. RESULTS: Total thyroidectomy yielded 23.6 quality-adjusted life-years versus 20.9 quality-adjusted life-years for radioactive iodine. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $2,982 per quality-adjusted life-years, indicating that surgery is highly cost-effective relative to radioactive iodine. Surgery was more cost effective than radioactive iodine in 88.2% of model simulations. Sensitivity analyses indicate that the model outcomes are driven predominantly by posttreatment quality of life, with contributing effects from rates of treatment complications and the impact of these complications on quality of life. CONCLUSION: For patients with Graves' disease who either cannot tolerate or are refractory to antithyroid drugs, thyroidectomy is more cost-effective than radioactive iodine. Future research should validate reported differences in quality of life between these 2 treatment modalities.

Constructing Health State Descriptions for Low-Risk Thyroid Cancer: Stakeholder Engagement and Formative Qualitative Research.

OVERVIEW: This paper describes stakeholder involvement and formative qualitative research in the creation of health state descriptions (HSDs) or vignettes for low-risk thyroid cancer. The aim of this project was to engage stakeholders in the contribution of a novel set of HSDs, an important first step in the process of assessing value in thyroid cancer health states. METHODS: We draw upon formative, descriptive qualitative methods, following a multi-stage framework of data collection. We conducted individual semi-structured interviews, cognitive interviews, and focus groups with thyroid cancer patients, community providers, academic subspecialists, and participants with no thyroid cancer diagnosis (N = 31). The HSDs went through several iterations over the course of a year, in collaboration with a highly engaged community advisory board, laying the groundwork for HSDs that are comprehensible, comparable, and appropriate for stated-preference research. FINDINGS: Thyroid cancer survivors compared their experiences with those described in the HSDs. Feedback included concern for the emotional well-being of study participants who would be reading them. Providers were attuned to the need for clinical accuracy and made suggestions to reflect their clinical experience, including for patients with complications or disease progression. The pilot participants with no thyroid cancer were particularly valuable in promoting the need to simplify language and maximize readability. DISCUSSION: Stakeholder engagement was critical to being responsive to feedback as the iterations were refined and presented. Continuous engagement and consultation with multiple sources strengthened the HSDs. A secondary outcome from this project is that stakeholders expressed interest in adapting the HSDs into decision aids for people newly diagnosed with low-risk thyroid cancer.

Economic burden of comorbidities among COPD Patients hospitalized for acute exacerbations: an analysis of a commercially insured population.

INTRODUCTION: This study quantifies costs associated with comorbid conditions among adults diagnosed with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who experience acute exacerbations (AECOPD) needing inpatient hospitalization. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used 2006-2015 IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus data, a health plan claims database. Patients aged 40-64 years, with AECOPD, defined as an inpatient hospitalization for a COPD-related diagnosis were included. The impact of comorbidities on AECOPD costs (costs of the COPD-related inpatient stay plus healthcare services used 30 days post-discharge) was determined using multivariable regression. The models adjusted for clinical complications, previous utilization, age, sex, region, year, length of hospitalization, and season of admission. RESULTS: Among these COPD patients, 89.5% had at least 1 comorbidity. The mean cost for AECOPD was 2015 US $19,687 (SD: 27,035, median: 11,539). Congestive heart failure, lipid disorders, cancer, and presence of any of the 10 most frequent comorbidities were associated with $1,921 (95% confidence interval (CI): 977-2,866), $1,619 (95% CI: 967-2,272), $8,347 (95% CI: 7,236-9,458), and $4,433 (95% CI: 3,598-5,268) higher costs, respectively than corresponding individuals without these comorbid conditions. Patients with depressive disorders were associated with $1,592 (95% CI: 828-2,355) lower costs compared to those without depressive disorders. CONCLUSION: COPD comorbidity imposes a significant economic burden on AECOPD.

Exploring the Use of State Medical Cannabis Legislation as a Proxy for Medical Cannabis Use Among Patients Receiving Chemotherapy.

OPINION STATEMENT: The use of medical cannabis is expanding in the USA. Due to conflicting, low-quality evidence, many oncologists may not feel confident to recommend it to patients. Given the potential for legal and financial risks when conducting clinical trials with medical cannabis, the use of observational data should be explored. Observational data that directly capture medical cannabis use in relation to prescription medications and track the prevalence and patterns of cannabis use is sparse. To gain insights into the role medical cannabis plays in the pharmaceutical landscape, proxies such as cannabis legislation need to be explored. In the context of recommendation-nonadherent antiemetic prescribing among patients experiencing chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting, medical cannabis may be a suitable alternative to an antiemetic in states that allow medical cannabis. Findings suggest that legislation may impact the use of certain antiemetics in states with cannabis legislation in place. The presence or absence of legislation regarding medical cannabis use may serve as an early, observable surrogate marker of medical cannabis use in the community. In light of the paucity of clinical trials and observational datasets that capture cannabis use, there remains a tremendous need for the development of methodologies or standardized datasets that appropriately and reliably capture the use of medical cannabis to facilitate research into its clinical application and effect on prescription medication use. Standardizing the reporting and destigmatizing use could eliminate the dependence upon proxy measures as a substitute for more extensive data and go a long way in improving data capture, thus allowing us to generate knowledge and hypotheses from observational data until research conditions improve and allow for expanded clinical trials involving medical cannabis.

Chronic non-cancer pain and its association with healthcare use and costs among individuals with obstructive sleep apnea.

Aim: To evaluate the impact of chronic non-cancer pain (CNCP) on healthcare use and costs among individuals diagnosed with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). Materials & methods: Using the IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus database, we identified individuals (18-64 years old) during 2007-2014, divided into two groups: OSA + CNCP versus OSA-only. Generalized linear models were used to analyze binary and count outcomes. Results: Relative to OSA-only controls, OSA + CNCP cases had increased odds for inpatient and emergency department visits and higher rates for physician office visits, non-physician outpatient visits, and prescription drug fills. Relative to controls, direct healthcare costs for cases were higher, primarily driven by inpatient and non-physician outpatient visit costs. Conclusion: Relative to OSA-only controls, OSA + CNCP cases displayed increased healthcare use and costs across all points of service.

Stakeholder-Engaged Derivation of Patient-Informed Value Elements.

OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to identify patient-informed value elements that can be used to make value assessment more patient centered. METHODS: Mixed methods were used iteratively to collect and integrate qualitative and quantitative data in a four-stage process: identification (stage 1), prioritization (stage 2), refinement (stage 3), and synthesis (stage 4). Qualitative methods involved one-on-one discussions with 14 patient stakeholders from diverse medical communities representing mental health, osteoporosis, blindness, lupus, eczema, oncology, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and hypercholesterolemia. Stakeholders completed guided activities to prioritize elements important to patient healthcare decision making. Responses were summarized descriptively as frequencies and proportions. RESULTS: Stakeholders identified 94 value elements in stage 1. Of these, 42 elements remained following the stage 2 prioritization and the stage 3 refinement. During the stage 4 synthesis, the 42 patient-informed value elements comprised the principal set of value elements that were organized by 11 categories: tolerability, disease burden, forecasting, accessibility of care/treatment, healthcare service delivery, cost incurred on the patient, cost incurred on the family, personal well-being, stigma, social well-being, and personal values. The categories fell under five domains: short- and long-term effects of treatment, treatment access, cost, life impact, and social impact. CONCLUSIONS: In total, 75% of the value elements in the conceptual model were patient derived and distinct from the elements used in existing value frameworks. Recommendations for tailoring, quantifying, and applying the patient-informed value elements in distinct patient communities are provided. This provides a foundation from which future research may test patient-informed value elements in existing value frameworks and economic evaluations.

Utilization of novel systemic therapies for multiple myeloma: A retrospective study of front-line regimens using the SEER-Medicare data.

The landscape of treatment for multiple myeloma (MM) has significantly changed over the last decade due to novel agents that have shown superiority in efficacy such as proteasome inhibitors (PIs) and immunomodulatory drugs (IMiDs) over traditional therapies. However, the real-world utilization of these new agents has not been studied well. This study evaluated year-to-year changes in treatment choices in a cohort of patients aged 66 or older in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry linked with Medicare claims (SEER-Medicare) data who were diagnosed with MM between 2007 and 2011. We identified 2477 symptomatic newly diagnosed patients who were followed for 6 months or more postdiagnosis and treated with systemic therapies but not with stem cell transplantation. Symptomatic patients were identified by evidence of hypercalcemia, renal failure, anemia, or bone lesions (CRAB criteria). The minimum follow-up was imposed to ensure sufficient data to characterize treatment. Our analysis found that the proportion of treated patients increased from 75% in the 2007 cohort to 79% in the 2011 cohort. The share of PI-based regimens including PI plus alkylating agents, PI plus IMiD, and PI-only increased from 9% to 21%, 3% to 11%, and 16% to 22%, respectively, between 2007 and 2011. These findings translate to the share of PI-based regimens having increased from 28% to 55% and that of IMiDs-based regimens (excluding PI plus IMiD) having decreased from 43% to 27%. In conclusion, while the usage of PIs among elderly MM patients increased significantly replacing IMiD-based regimens (with or without alkylating agents but not with PI) between 2007 and 2011, this significant shift did not increase the proportion of treated patients.

Changes in Opioid Utilization Following Tumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitor Initiation in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis.

INTRODUCTION: Pain control is one of the most important aspects of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) management from the patient's perspective. Newer generations of RA treatment including tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) have the potential to alleviate pain and thus reduce opioid utilization. However, patterns of opioid utilization before and after TNFi initiation have not been well characterized. This study aims to examine multiple measures of change in opioid utilization after the initiation of TNFi. METHODS: Patients aged ≥ 18 years with RA and 24 months continuous enrollment between January 2007 and December 2015 who newly initiated a TNFi in IQVIA™ Health Plan Claims Data were included in our study. Opioid utilization at baseline and during follow-up were identified and compared. RESULTS: Of 2330 patients with RA that were included in the study, 38.8% of patients used opioids in both baseline and follow-up periods. From pre-index to post-index, the proportion of patients receiving any opioid decreased from 54.0 to 51.0%. In addition, the proportion of those who received ≥ 50 mg median daily MED decreased from 12.6 to 10.6% during pre-post periods. CONCLUSIONS: This real-world study of commercially insured patients with RA suggests that opioid use among these patients is prevalent. There was a small decrease in overall opioid utilization after TNFi initiation.

A Comprehensive Review of Methods to Measure Oral Oncolytic Dose Intensity Using Retrospective Data.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the real-world use of oral oncolytics is essential to assess drug effectiveness. Retrospective analyses using medical and pharmacy claims data allow observation of drug use patterns and health outcomes. However, studies of medication adherence to oral oncolytics may not be sufficient in characterizing exposure because they typically measure refill frequency, not the administered dose or dose changes. Patients who appear fully adherent by traditional measures may be receiving different doses and experiencing differing effectiveness. Relative dose intensity (RDI) is a measure that has been used for intravenous drugs to capture the amount of a particular chemotherapeutic agent administered per unit of time (dose intensity), expressed as the fraction of the amount recommended in evidence-based guidelines. Such a measure would be useful for real-world studies of comparative effectiveness to characterize patient exposure to oral oncolytics. OBJECTIVE: To identify studies that used administrative claims data to measure real-world oral oncolytic dose intensity, RDI, or similar constructs. METHODS: Two health sciences librarians conducted a literature search (PubMed, January 1, 1809-February 6, 2018) including terms in each of the following concept areas: oncology drugs, dosage, and retrospective data sources. At least 2 reviewers scanned each title and abstract of publications retrieved from PubMed. Abstracts that indicated the study reported dose or related concepts and oral oncolytics using retrospective data sources were marked for full-text review. During full-text review, papers were excluded if they did not study oral oncolytics (i.e., only described intravenous chemotherapy); if they did not report drug dosage; or if the study was not retrospective. Resulting studies were included for full-text data extraction. RESULTS: Of the 1,640 publications returned from the search, 41 were marked for full-text review. Full-text review established that 17 studies addressed a concept related to dose of oral oncolytics using retrospective data. Twenty-four studies were excluded: 11 did not measure dose; 9 did not study oral oncolytics; and 4 were not retrospective studies. Among the 17 articles marked for extraction, 5 articles reported dose intensity or RDI using medical records or electronic health record (EHR) data. CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals not only the need for a claims-based measure of dose intensity for oral oncolytics, but also provides a basis for the development of such a measure based on previous EHR-based studies. While several claims data studies have characterized oral oncolytic dosing and duration, we found that no studies combined these dimensions into a single measure such as dose intensity. Methods using EHR data may be translatable to a claims data study. Future research is needed to develop and validate such measures. DISCLOSURES: Novartis Pharmaceuticals provided funding for this study and is a manufacturer of oral onalytics, which is under study in this article. Arcona and Zacker are employees of Novartis. Slejko reports grants from PhRMA, PhRMA Foundation, and Takeda Pharmaceuticals and consulting fees from Pfizer, outside the submitted work. Stuart reports consulting fees from the University of Maryland during the study. The other authors have nothing to disclose. The preliminary findings of this study were presented in a poster at AMCP Nexus 2018, October 22-25, 2018, in Orlando, FL.

Hepatitis C Treatment Regimens Are Cost-Effective: But Compared With What?

BACKGROUND: Numerous economic models have been published evaluating treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, but none provide a comprehensive comparison among new antiviral agents. OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the cost-effectiveness of all recommended therapies for treatment of genotypes 1 and 4 chronic HCV. METHODS: Using data from clinical trials, observational analyses, and drug pricing databases, Markov decision models were developed for HCV genotypes 1 and 4 to compare all recommended drugs from the perspective of the third-party payer over a 5-, 10-, and 50-year time horizon. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was conducted by assigning distributions for clinical cure, age entering the model, costs for each health state, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for each health state in a Monte Carlo simulation of 10 000 repetitions of the model. RESULTS: In the lifetime model for genotype 1, effects ranged from 18.08 to 18.40 QALYs and total costs ranged from $88 107 to $184 636. The lifetime model of genotype 4 treatments had a range of effects from 18.23 to 18.43 QALYs and total costs ranging from $87 063 to $127 637. Grazoprevir/elbasvir was the optimal strategy followed by velpatasvir/sofosbuvir as the second-best strategy in most simulations for both genotypes 1 and 4, with drug costs and efficacy of grazoprevir/elbasvir as the primary model drivers. CONCLUSIONS: Grazoprevir/elbasvir was cost-effective compared with all strategies for genotypes 1 and 4. Effects for all strategies were similar with cost of drug in the initial year driving the results.

Impact on postoperative bleeding and cost of recombinant activated factor VII in patients undergoing heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac transplantation can be complicated by refractory hemorrhage particularly in cases where explantation of a ventricular assist device is necessary. Recombinant activated factor VII (rFVIIa) has been used to treat refractory bleeding in cardiac surgery patients, but little information is available on its efficacy or cost in heart transplant patients. METHODS: Patients who had orthotopic heart transplantation between January 2009 and December 2014 at a single center were reviewed. Postoperative bleeding and the total costs of hemostatic therapies were compared between patients who received rFVIIa and those who did not. Propensity scores were created and used to control for the likelihood of receiving rFVIIa in order to reduce bias in our risk estimates. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients underwent heart transplantation during the study period. Twenty-one patients (27.6%) received rFVIIa for refractory intraoperative bleeding. There was no difference in postoperative red blood cell transfusion, chest tube output, or surgical re-exploration between patients who received rFVIIa and those who did not, even after adjusting with the propensity score (P = 0.94, P = 0.60, and P = 0.10, respectively). The total cost for hemostatic therapies was significantly higher in the rFVIIa group (median $10,819 vs. $1,985; P < 0.0001). Subgroup analysis of patients who underwent redo-sternotomy with left ventricular assist device explantation did not show any benefit for rFVIIa either. CONCLUSIONS: In this relatively small cohort, rFVIIa use was not associated with decreased postoperative bleeding in patients undergoing heart transplantation; however, it led to significantly higher cost.

A citywide smoking ban reduced maternal smoking and risk for preterm births: a Colorado natural experiment.

BACKGROUND: Few reports exist on the association of a public smoking ban with fetal outcomes and maternal smoking in the United States. We sought to evaluate the effect of a citywide smoking ban in comparison to a like municipality with no such ban in Colorado on maternal smoking and subsequent fetal birth outcomes. METHODS: A citywide smoking ban in Colorado provided a natural experiment. The experimental citywide smoking ban site was implemented in Pueblo, Colorado. A comparison community was chosen that had no smoking ban, El Paso County, with similar characteristics of population, size, and geography. The two sites served as their own controls, as each had a preban and postban retrospective observation period: preban was April 1, 2001, to July 1, 2003; postban was April 1, 2004, to July 1, 2006. Outcomes were maternal smoking (self-report), low birth weight (LBW) (defined as <2500 g or as <3000 g), and preterm births (<37 weeks gestation) in singleton births from mothers residing in these cities and reported to the State Department of Public Health. A difference-in-differences estimator was used to account for site and temporal trends in multivariate models. RESULTS: Compared to El Paso County preban, the odds of maternal smoking and preterm births were, respectively, 38% (p<0.05) and 23% (p<0.05) lower in Pueblo. The odds for LBW births decreased by 8% for <3000 g and increased by 8.4% for <2500 g; however, neither was significant. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first evidence in the United States that population-level intervention using a smoking ban improved maternal and fetal outcomes, measured as maternal smoking and preterm births.

Cost-effectiveness of statin therapy for vascular event prevention in adults with elevated C-reactive protein: implications of JUPITER.

OBJECTIVES: High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) has been explored for use in predicting cardiovascular risk. The recent Justification for the Use of Statins in Primary Prevention: An Intervention Trial Evaluating Rosuvastatin (JUPITER) study found that statin therapy reduced cardiovascular events in those with low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels below current treatment thresholds (≤130 mg/dL, 3.4 = mmol/L), but with elevated hs-CRP levels (≥2.0 mg/L). This study examines the cost-effectiveness of statin treatment for individuals with elevated hs-CRP but normal LDL cholesterol. METHODS: A Markov decision-analytic model was conducted from the U.S. societal perspective. Data from JUPITER were used to estimate rates of myocardial infarction, angina and stroke. Statin costs were based on generic simvastatin 80 mg, equipotent to the rosuvastatin 20 mg dose used in JUPITER. Primary prevention was the focus and secondary prevention was not modeled explicitly. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were calculated using nationally representative preference-based utility weights. One-way sensitivity analyses and multivariate probabilistic sensitivity analysis were used to explore uncertainty in model parameters as well as estimate the likelihood of cost-effectiveness when all event rates, costs and utilities were drawn randomly from distributions reflecting uncertainty. RESULTS: Statin therapy cost $10,889/QALY for vascular event prevention in this population. Results were sensitive to the cost of statin treatment. Based on 10,000 simulations, statin therapy was cost-effective in 99.5% of simulations, using a willingness-to-pay threshold of $20,000/QALY, and 100% of simulations using a threshold of $50,000/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with statins in patients with elevated hs-CRP but normal cholesterol appears to be cost-effective. Limitations of this study include the assumption that an equipotent dose of simvastatin resulted in the same risk reduction as rosuvastatin. Further, post-event states simulated the average experience of a patient. Continued statin use, subsequent events and/or heart failure were not explicitly modeled.