A Comparison of Arterial Input Function Interpolation Methods for Patlak Plot Analysis of 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET Prostate Cancer Studies.

Positron emission tomography (PET) imaging enables quantitative assessment of tissue physiology. Dynamic pharmacokinetic analysis of PET images requires accurate estimation of the radiotracer plasma input function to derive meaningful parameter estimates, and small discrepancies in parameter estimation can mimic subtle physiologic tissue variation. This study evaluates the impact of input function interpolation method on the accuracy of Patlak kinetic parameter estimation through simulations modeling the pharmacokinetic properties of [68Ga]-PSMA-11. This study evaluated both trained and untrained methods. Although the mean kinetic parameter accuracy was similar across all interpolation models, the trained node weighting interpolation model estimated accurate kinetic parameters with reduced overall variability relative to standard linear interpolation. Trained node weighting interpolation reduced kinetic parameter estimation variance by a magnitude approximating the underlying physiologic differences between normal and diseased prostatic tissue. Overall, this analysis suggests that trained node weighting improves the reliability of Patlak kinetic parameter estimation for [68Ga]-PSMA-11 PET.

Cost-effectiveness of switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate to tenofovir alafenamide versus entecavir for chronic hepatitis B patients in Greece.

Aim: This study assessed the clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) to either tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) or entecavir (ETV) in a Greek chronic hepatitis B (CHB) population. Patients & methods: A Markov model from the perspective of a third-party payer in Greece quantified the health and economic benefits of switching from TDF to either TAF or ETV over a lifetime horizon. Results: Over a lifetime, patients who switch from TDF to TAF versus patients who switch from TDF to ETV had an overall lower incidence of compensated cirrhosis (0.4% lower), decompensated cirrhosis (0.04% lower) and hepatocellular carcinoma (0.25% lower). Chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease were also lower in patients who switch to TAF; major osteoporotic fractures were similar for both groups. While total costs were higher for switching from TDF to TAF versus TDF to ETV due to the higher cost of TAF, switching from TDF to TAF versus ETV was cost effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €17,113 per quality-adjusted life year. Conclusion: Switching from TDF to TAF in patients living with CHB is a cost effective strategy to reduce adverse liver disease outcomes, while improving bone- and renal-related safety outcomes.

Comparison of tracer kinetic models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET in intermediate-risk primary prostate cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: 68Ga-PSMA-11 positron emission tomography enables the detection of primary, recurrent, and metastatic prostate cancer. Regional radiopharmaceutical uptake is generally evaluated in static images and quantified as standard uptake values (SUVs) for clinical decision-making. However, analysis of dynamic images characterizing both tracer uptake and pharmacokinetics may offer added insights into the underlying tissue pathophysiology. This study was undertaken to evaluate the suitability of various kinetic models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET analysis. Twenty-three lesions in 18 patients were included in a retrospective kinetic evaluation of 55-min dynamic 68Ga-PSMA-11 pre-prostatectomy PET scans from patients with biopsy-demonstrated intermediate- to high-risk prostate cancer. Three kinetic models-a reversible one-tissue compartment model, an irreversible two-tissue compartment model, and a reversible two-tissue compartment model, were evaluated for their goodness of fit to lesion and normal reference prostate time-activity curves. Kinetic parameters obtained through graphical analysis and tracer kinetic modeling techniques were compared for reference prostate tissue and lesion regions of interest. RESULTS: Supported by goodness of fit and information loss criteria, the irreversible two-tissue compartment model optimally fit the time-activity curves. Lesions exhibited significant differences in kinetic rate constants (K1, k2, k3, Ki) and semiquantitative measures (SUV and %ID/kg) when compared with reference prostatic tissue. The two-tissue irreversible tracer kinetic model was consistently appropriate across prostatic zones. CONCLUSIONS: An irreversible tracer kinetic model is appropriate for dynamic analysis of 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET images. Kinetic parameters estimated by Patlak graphical analysis or full compartmental analysis can distinguish tumor from normal prostate tissue.

Association of hepatitis delta virus with liver morbidity and mortality: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Studies have suggested that patients with chronic hepatitis B, either co- or superinfected, have more aggressive liver disease progression than those with the HDV. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis examined whether HDV RNA status is associated with increased risk of advanced liver disease events in patients who are HBsAg and HDV antibody positive. APPROACH AND RESULTS: A total of 12 publications were included. Relative rates of progression to advanced liver disease event for HDV RNA+/detectable versus HDV RNA-/undetectable were extracted for analysis. Reported OR and HRs with 95% CI were pooled using the Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman method for random-effects models. The presence of HDV RNA+ was associated with an increased risk of any advanced liver disease event [random effect (95% CI): risk ratio: 1.48 (0.93, 2.33); HR: 2.62 (1.55, 4.44)]. When compared to the patients with HDV RNA- status, HDV RNA+ was associated with a significantly higher risk of progressing to compensated cirrhosis [risk ratio: 1.74 (1.24, 2.45)] decompensated cirrhosis [HR: 3.82 (1.60, 9.10)], HCC [HR: 2.97 (1.87, 4.70)], liver transplantation [HR: 7.07 (1.61, 30.99)], and liver-related mortality [HR: 3.78 (2.18, 6.56)]. CONCLUSIONS: The patients with HDV RNA+ status have a significantly greater risk of liver disease progression than the patients who are HDV RNA-. These findings highlight the need for improved HDV screening and linkage to treatment to reduce the risk of liver-related morbidity and mortality.

An updated cost-effectiveness analysis of axicabtagene ciloleucel in second-line large B-cell lymphoma patients in the United States.

AIMS: This economic evaluation of axicabtagene ciloleucel (axi-cel) versus previous standard of care (SOC; salvage chemotherapy followed by high-dose therapy with autologous stem cell rescue) in the second line (2L) large B-cell lymphoma population is an update of previous economic models that contained immature survival data. METHODS: This analysis is based on primary overall survival (OS) ZUMA-7 clinical trial data (median follow-up of 47.2 months), from a United States (US) payer perspective, with a model time horizon of 50 years. Mixture cure models were used to extrapolate updated survival data; subsequent treatment data and costs were updated. Patients who remained in the event-free survival state by 5 years were assumed to have achieved long-term remission and not require subsequent treatment. RESULTS: Substantial survival and quality of life benefits were observed despite 57% of patients in the SOC arm receiving subsequent cellular therapy: median model-projected (ZUMA-7 trial Kaplan-Meier estimated) OS was 78 months (median not reached) for axi-cel versus 25 months (31 months) for SOC, resulting in incremental quality-adjusted life year (QALY) difference of 1.63 in favor of axi-cel. Incrementally higher subsequent treatment costs were observed in the SOC arm due to substantial crossover to cellular therapies, thus, when considering the generally accepted willingness to pay threshold of $150,000 per QALY in the US, axi-cel was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $98,040 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Results remained consistent across a wide range of sensitivity and scenario analysis, including a crossover adjusted analysis, suggesting that the mature OS data has significantly reduced the uncertainty of axi-cel's cost-effectiveness in the 2L setting in the US. Deferring treatment with CAR T therapies after attempting a path to transplant may result in excess mortality, lower quality of life and would be an inefficient use of resources relative to 2L axi-cel.

Comparison of Tracer Kinetic Models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET in Intermediate Risk Primary Prostate Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: 68Ga-PSMA-11 positron emission tomography enables the detection of primary, recurrent, and metastatic prostate cancer. Regional radiopharmaceutical uptake is generally evaluated in static images and quantified as standard uptake values (SUV) for clinical decision-making. However, analysis of dynamic images characterizing both tracer uptake and pharmacokinetics may offer added insights into the underlying tissue pathophysiology. This study was undertaken to evaluate the suitability of various kinetic models for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET analysis. Twenty-three lesions in 18 patients were included in a retrospective kinetic evaluation of 55-minute dynamic 68Ga-PSMA-11 pre-prostatectomy PET scans from patients with biopsy-demonstrated intermediate to high-risk prostate cancer. A reversible one-tissue compartment model, irreversible two-tissue compartment model, and a reversible two-tissue compartment model were evaluated for their goodness-of-fit to lesion and normal reference prostate time-activity curves. Kinetic parameters obtained through graphical analysis and tracer kinetic modeling techniques were compared for reference prostate tissue and lesion regions of interest. RESULTS: Supported by goodness-of-fit and information loss criteria, the irreversible two-tissue compartment model was selected as optimally fitting the time-activity curves. Lesions exhibited significant differences in kinetic rate constants (K1, k2, k3, Ki) and semiquantitative measures (SUV) when compared with reference prostatic tissue. The two-tissue irreversible tracer kinetic model was consistently appropriate across prostatic zones. CONCLUSIONS: An irreversible tracer kinetic model is appropriate for dynamic analysis of 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET images. Kinetic parameters estimated by Patlak graphical analysis or full compartmental analysis can distinguish tumor from normal prostate tissue.

The cost-effectiveness of non-invasive stool-based colorectal cancer screening offerings from age 45 for a commercial and medicare population.

AIM: The United States Preventive Services Taskforce (USPSTF) recently recommended lowering the age for average-risk colorectal cancer (CRC) screening from 50 to 45 years. While initiating screening at age 45 versus 50 provides a greater opportunity for CRC early detection and prevention, the full profile of benefits, risks, and cost-effectiveness of expanding the screen-eligible population requires further evaluation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The costs and clinical outcomes for screening at age 45 for triennial multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA], and other non-invasive stool-based modalities (annual fecal immunochemical test [FIT] and annual fecal-occult blood test [FOBT]), were estimated using the validated CRC-AIM microsimulation model over a lifetime horizon. Test sensitivity and specificity inputs were based on 2021 USPSTF modeling analyses; adherence rates were based on published real-world data and the costs of the screening test, follow-up colonoscopies, complications, and CRC care were included. Outcomes are reported from the perspective of a United States payer as clinical, life-years gained (LYG), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER); stool-based and follow-up colonoscopy adherence ranges were explored in one-way, probabilistic and threshold analyses. RESULTS: When compared to initiation of CRC screening at age 45 versus 50, all modalities reduced both the incidence of and mortality from CRC and increased LYG. Initiating CRC screening at age 45 was cost-effective with an ICER of $59,816 and $35,857 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for mt-sDNA versus FIT and FOBT, respectively. In the threshold analyses, at equivalent rates to stool-based screening, mt-sDNA was always cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY versus FIT and FOBT. CONCLUSIONS: Initiating average-risk CRC screening at age 45 instead of age 50 increases the estimated clinical benefit by reducing disease burden while remaining cost-effective. Among stool-based screening modalities, mt-sDNA provides the most clinical benefit in a Commercial and Medicare population.

Screening for colorectal cancer at an earlier age can provide additional benefits in terms of reducing disease complications and death. This study looked at the occurrence of disease complications and costs related to different types of colorectal cancer screening in 45 vs. 50 year old people. A model that has previously been used to project lifetime costs and disease complications in people receiving colorectal cancer screening was used in this study. We found that beginning screening at age 45 as compared to at age 50 reduced disease complications and death. In people who started screening at age 45, one particular screening type (multitarget stool DNA) was found to provide better economic value to a greater degree relative to other strategies. These findings were consistent even when many inputs into the model were changed over reasonable ranges. Therefore, our study helps show that starting screening in people at age 45 with average risk for developing colorectal cancer is beneficial by reducing disease complications and deaths, and that multitarget stool DNA is the strategy that provides the most benefits while being economically justifiable.

Hybrid 18F-Fluoroethyltyrosine PET and MRI with Perfusion to Distinguish Disease Progression from Treatment-Related Change in Malignant Brain Tumors: The Quest to Beat the Toughest Cases.

Conventional MRI has important limitations when assessing for progression of disease (POD) versus treatment-related changes (TRC) in patients with malignant brain tumors. We describe the observed impact and pitfalls of implementing 18F-fluoroethyltyrosine (18F-FET) perfusion PET/MRI into routine clinical practice. Methods: Through expanded-access investigational new drug use of 18F-FET, hybrid 18F-FET perfusion PET/MRI was performed during clinical management of 80 patients with World Health Organization central nervous system grade 3 or 4 gliomas or brain metastases of 6 tissue origins for which the prior brain MRI results were ambiguous. The diagnostic performance with 18F-FET PET/MRI was dually evaluated within routine clinical service and for retrospective parametric evaluation. Various 18F-FET perfusion PET/MRI parameters were assessed, and patients were monitored for at least 6 mo to confirm the diagnosis using pathology, imaging, and clinical progress. Results: Hybrid 18F-FET perfusion PET/MRI had high overall accuracy (86%), sensitivity (86%), and specificity (87%) for difficult diagnostic cases for which conventional MRI accuracy was poor (66%). 18F-FET tumor-to-brain ratio static metrics were highly reliable for distinguishing POD from TRC (area under the curve, 0.90). Dynamic tumor-to-brain intercept was more accurate (85%) than SUV slope (73%) or time to peak (73%). Concordant PET/MRI findings were 89% accurate. When PET and MRI conflicted, 18F-FET PET was correct in 12 of 15 cases (80%), whereas MRI was correct in 3 of 15 cases (20%). Clinical management changed after 88% (36/41) of POD diagnoses, whereas management was maintained after 87% (34/39) of TRC diagnoses. Conclusion: Hybrid 18F-FET PET/MRI positively impacted the routine clinical care of challenging malignant brain tumor cases at a U.S. institution. The results add to a growing body of literature that 18F-FET PET complements MRI, even rescuing MRI when it fails.

Estimating recurrences prevented and costs avoided with atezolizumab in early non-small cell lung cancer in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Recurrence of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (eNSCLC) is associated with significant mortality and costs. Atezolizumab (ATZ) was recently approved as adjuvant treatment following resection and platinum-based chemotherapy for adults with stage II-IIIA NSCLC with PD-L1 expression ≥1% after demonstrating significant improvement in disease-free survival (DFS) relative to best supportive care (BSC) in the IMpower010 trial (NCT02486718). This study evaluated the population-level impact of ATZ as adjuvant treatment for eNSCLC in the United States by estimating the number and costs of recurrences avoided. METHODS: A Monte Carlo simulation model estimated the cumulative number of recurrences and deaths prevented, along with direct, indirect, and terminal care costs, by treating eNSCLC patients with ATZ compared to BSC. The model included eligible patients treated in any given year and followed over a 5-year period. Recurrence and mortality rates and costs were based on the IMpower010 data and supplemented by estimates from published literature. RESULTS: An estimated 4400 eNSCLC patients in the United States were eligible for adjuvant ATZ in any given year, of whom 2387 would experience recurrence within 5 years with BSC. Following the introduction of ATZ, 1030 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1023, 1036) recurrences and 369 (95% CI: 362, 376) deaths would be avoided with estimated reductions in cumulative recurrence-related direct, indirect, and terminal care costs of $785 million, $15 million, and $32 million, respectively, over a 5-year time horizon. CONCLUSIONS: Adjuvant ATZ is estimated to prevent a significant number of recurrences and reduce the economic burden of eNSCLC.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Axicabtagene Ciloleucel as Second-Line Therapy in Patients with Large B-Cell Lymphoma in the United States: An Economic Evaluation of the ZUMA-7 Trial.

Axicabtagene ciloleucel (axi-cel) was found to have superior clinical outcomes compared to standard of care (SOC; salvage chemoimmunotherapy, followed by high-dose therapy with autologous stem cell rescue for responders) for second-line large B-cell lymphoma (2L LBCL) in the pivotal ZUMA-7 trial. The aim of this analysis was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of using axi-cel compared to the current standard 2L LBCL therapy. A 3-state partitioned-survival model estimated the cost effectiveness and budget impact from a payer perspective in the United States. Clinical outcomes were extrapolated based on the pivotal trial. The model calculated expected quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total costs (in United States dollars [USD], and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), along with the budget impact. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed. The proportion alive at 10 years was estimated as 48% for axi-cel and 38% for SOC; median overall survival was estimated at 59 and 24 months for axi-cel and SOC, respectively. Over a lifetime horizon, the model estimated a total of 5.56 and 7.08 QALYs for SOC and axi-cel, respectively, of which 41% and 74% were in the event-free state, respectively. Incremental QALYs and costs were 1.51 and $100,366 USD, resulting in an ICER of $66,381 USD per QALY for axi-cel versus SOC. Despite crossover to subsequent CAR T in the SOC arm, second-line CAR T use was found to improve the quality and length of life compared to SOC. Cost offsets due to subsequent CAR T use led to a limited incremental cost difference. Treatment with axi-cel is a cost-effective option that addresses an important unmet clinical need for patients with LBCL who relapse or are refractory to front-line therapy.

Remdesivir for the treatment of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 receiving supplemental oxygen: a targeted literature review and meta-analysis.

This network meta-analysis (NMA) assessed the efficacy of remdesivir in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 requiring supplemental oxygen. Randomized controlled trials of hospitalized patients with COVID-19, where patients were receiving supplemental oxygen at baseline and at least one arm received treatment with remdesivir, were identified. Outcomes included mortality, recovery, and no longer requiring supplemental oxygen. NMAs were performed for low-flow oxygen (LFO2); high-flow oxygen (HFO2), including NIV (non-invasive ventilation); or oxygen at any flow (AnyO2) at early (day 14/15) and late (day 28/29) time points. Six studies were included (N = 5245 patients) in the NMA. Remdesivir lowered early and late mortality among AnyO2 patients (risk ratio (RR) 0.52, 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.34-0.79; RR 0.81, 95%CrI 0.69-0.95) and LFO2 patients (RR 0.21, 95%CrI 0.09-0.46; RR 0.24, 95%CrI 0.11-0.48); no improvement was observed among HFO2 patients. Improved early and late recovery was observed among LFO2 patients (RR 1.22, 95%CrI 1.09-1.38; RR 1.17, 95%CrI 1.09-1.28). Remdesivir also lowered the requirement for oxygen support among all patient subgroups. Among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 requiring supplemental oxygen at baseline, use of remdesivir compared to best supportive care is likely to improve the risk of mortality, recovery and need for oxygen support in AnyO2 and LFO2 patients.

Cost-Effectiveness of KTE-X19 for Adults with Relapsed/Refractory B-Cell Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Despite currently available treatments for adults with relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia (R/R ALL), survival outcomes remain poor, highlighting the need for new therapeutic strategies. This study estimates the cost-effectiveness of KTE-X19 to treat adults with R/R ALL from a US payer perspective. METHODS: The model had two components: a decision-tree, where pre-infusion costs for patients who ultimately did not receive KTE-X19 are accounted for, followed by a partitioned survival analysis, where all KTE-X19 infused patients would enter the three-state (pre-progression, progressed disease, death) model. Comparators included current standard of care treatments, i.e., blinatumomab (BLIN), inotuzumab ozogamicin (INO), and salvage chemotherapy (CHEMO). Both standard parametric and mixture cure models were used to model survival. Efficacy, safety, healthcare resource utilization, and health state utility inputs were derived from the ZUMA-3 trial (NCT02614066) and literature. Cost inputs were derived from literature or publicly available sources. Outcomes and costs were discounted 3% annually. Results of KTE-X19 versus comparators are reported as total and incremental life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, and resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) and key scenario analyses were also performed. RESULTS: In the base case, incremental QALYs for KTE-X19 were 2.44, 3.26, and 4.61 versus BLIN, INO, and CHEMO, respectively. Incremental costs were $50,913, $251,532, and $432,027, respectively, resulting in ICERs of $20,843/QALY (versus BLIN), $77,271/QALY (versus INO), and $93,768/QALY (versus CHEMO). Deterministic sensitivity analysis results were most sensitive to subsequent allogeneic stem cell transplant rates and post-progression utilities. PSA found that KTE-X19 is 78.4%, 74.0%, and 75.4% likely to be cost-effective versus BLIN, INO, and CHEMO, respectively. Across most scenarios, at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000/QALY, KTE-X19 was cost-effective versus all treatments. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to current options for adults with R/R ALL, KTE-X19 is cost-effective, driven primarily by improved survival.

Several treatments for adults with relapsed/refractory B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (R/R B-ALL) have been approved in the past decade in the US, including blinatumomab (BLIN) and inotuzumab ozogamicin (INO). However, despite the high costs associated with these treatments, survival for patients remains poor. KTE-X19, an autologous anti-CD19 chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy, approved by the Food and Drug Administration in October 2021, has potential to improve survival, but its economic value has not yet been determined. This model comprehensively evaluated the long-term clinical and economic value of KTE-X19 versus current treatments, including BLIN, INO, and salvage chemotherapy (CHEMO). Inputs were derived from key clinical trials, the literature, and other publicly available sources. The model used the perspective of a US third party payer over a patient lifetime. Compared to BLIN, INO and CHEMO, KTE-X19 resulted in improved quality of life as measured with incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 2.44 (vs BLIN), 3.26 (vs INO), and 4.61 (vs CHEMO). Treatment with KTE-X19 had incremental costs of $50,913 (vs BLIN), $251,532 (vs INO), and $432,027 (vs CHEMO). KTE-X19 was found to provide good value for money based on incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $20,843/QALY (vs BLIN), $77,271/QALY (vs INO), and $93,768/QALY (vs CHEMO). These values are well below the commonly accepted thresholds to determine economic value. Results were also found to be robust across sensitivity and scenario analyses.

Cost-Effectiveness of Outreach Strategies for Stool-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening in a Medicaid Population.

Outreach, including patient navigation, has been shown to increase the uptake of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in underserved populations. This analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of triennial multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) versus outreach, with or without a mailed annual fecal immunochemical test (FIT), in a Medicaid population. A microsimulation model estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio using quality-adjusted life years (QALY), direct costs, and clinical outcomes in a cohort of Medicaid beneficiaries aged 50-64 years, over a lifetime time horizon. The base case model explored scenarios of either 100% adherence or real-world reported adherence (51.3% for mt-sDNA, 21.1% for outreach with FIT and 12.3% for outreach without FIT) with or without real-world adherence for follow-up colonoscopy (66.7% for all). Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3.0%. At 100% adherence to both screening tests and follow-up colonoscopy, mt-sDNA costed more and was less effective compared with outreach with or without FIT. When real-world adherence rates were considered for screening strategies (with 100% adherence for follow-up colonoscopy), mt-sDNA resulted in the greatest reduction in incidence and mortality from CRC (41.5% and 45.8%, respectively) compared with outreach with or without FIT; mt-sDNA also was cost-effective versus outreach with and without FIT ($32,150/QALY and $22,707/QALY, respectively). mt-sDNA remained cost-effective versus FIT, with or without outreach, under real-world adherence rates for follow-up colonoscopy. Outreach or navigation interventions, with associated real-world adherence rates to screening tests, should be considered when evaluating the cost-effectiveness of CRC screening strategies in underserved populations.