Prediction of Coronary Artery Disease Risk Using Genetic and Phenotypic Variables.

Coronary artery disease (CAD) has the highest disease burden worldwide. To manage this burden, predictive models are required to screen patients for preventative treatment. A range of variables have been explored for their capacity to predict disease, including phenotypic (age, sex, BMI and smoking status), medical imaging (carotid artery thickness) and genotypic. We use a machine learning models and the UK Biobank cohort to measure the prediction capacity of these 3 variable categories, both in combination and isolation. We demonstrate that phenotypic variables from the Framingham risk score have the best prediction capacity, although a combination of phenotypic, medical imaging and genotypic variables deliver the most specific models. Furthermore, we demonstrate that Variant Spark, a random forest based GWAS platform, performs effective feature selection for SNP-based genotype variables, identifying 115 significantly associated SNPs to the CAD phenotype.

The inequity of targeted cystic fibrosis reproductive carrier screening tests in Australia.

OBJECTIVE: European and Australian guidelines for cystic fibrosis (CF) reproductive carrier screening recommend testing a small number of high frequency CF causing variants, rather than comprehensive CFTR sequencing. The study objective was to determine variant detection rates of commercially available targeted reproductive carrier screening tests in Australia. METHODS: Next-generation DNA sequencing of the CFTR gene was performed on 2552 individuals from a whole population sample to identify CF causing variants. The variant detection rates of two commercially available Australian reproductive carrier screening tests, which target 50 or 175 CF causing variants, in this population were calculated. The ethnicity of individuals was determined using principal component analysis. RESULTS: Variant detection rates of the tests for 50 and 175 CF causing variants were 88.2% and 90.8%, respectively. No CF causing variants in individuals of East Asian ethnicity (n = 3) were detected by either test, while >86.6% (n = 69) of CF causing variants in Europeans would be identified by either test. CONCLUSIONS: Reproductive carrier screening tests for a targeted set of high frequency CF variants are unable to detect approximately 10% of CF variants in a multiethnic Australian population, and individuals of East Asian ethnicity are disproportionally affected by this test limitation.