Assessing the predictive value of HIV indicator conditions in general practice: a case-control study using the THIN database.

BACKGROUND: UK HIV guidelines identify 37 clinical indicator conditions for adult HIV infection that should prompt an HIV test. However, few data currently exist to show their predictive value in identifying undiagnosed HIV. AIM: To identify symptoms and clinical diagnoses associated with HIV infection and assess their relative importance in identifying HIV cases, using data from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) general practice database. DESIGN AND SETTING: A case-control study in primary care. METHOD: Cases (HIV-positive patients) were matched to controls (not known to have HIV). Data from 939 cases and 2576 controls were included (n = 3515). Statistical analysis assessed the incidence of the 37 clinical conditions in cases and controls, and their predictive value in indicating HIV infection, and derived odds ratios (ORs) for each indicator condition. RESULTS: Twelve indicator conditions were significantly associated with HIV infection; 74.2% of HIV cases (n = 697) presented with none of the HIV indicator conditions prior to diagnosis. The conditions most strongly associated with HIV infection were bacterial pneumonia (OR = 47.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.6 to 404.2) and oral candidiasis (OR = 29.4; 95% CI = 6.9 to 125.5). The signs and symptoms most associated with HIV were weight loss (OR = 13.4; 95% CI = 5.0 to 36.0), pyrexia of unknown origin (OR = 7.2; 95% CI = 2.8 to 18.7), and diarrhoea (one or two consultations). CONCLUSION: This is the first study to quantify the predictive value of clinical diagnoses related to HIV infection in primary care. In identifying the conditions most strongly associated with HIV, this study could aid GPs in offering targeted HIV testing to those at highest risk.

Views of general practitioners on the role of CA125 in primary care to diagnose ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND: NICE guidance on the investigation and treatment of ovarian cancer advocates that the tumour marker CA125 should be the first line investigation for women suspected of having ovarian cancer. METHODS: An internet-based survey, of primary care doctors in the West Midlands, was conducted in order to ascertain the views of general practitioners (GPs) of NICE guidance on the use of CA125 to triage suspected ovarian cancer cancers and the impact that this may have on referral pathways. RESULTS: In total 258 GPs responded to the questionnaire. Although 219 (84.9%) responders reported awareness of the NICE guidance only 146 (56.6%) had personally read the document. The majority 187 (72.5%) of respondents anticipated that their use of CA125 would increase as a result of the new guidance. Abdominal bloating (>50 years), persistent abdominal distension and the presence of an abdominal or pelvic mass/swelling were the symptoms felt to be most associated with ovarian cancer. When questioned on the management of a woman with a raised CA125 the majority of respondents reported that a normal ultrasound scan would not stop an urgent secondary care referral if the CA125 was raised. There was no significant difference in the opinions of GPs with <5 years primary care experience compared to GPs with 6+ years. CONCLUSION: The symptoms associated with ovarian cancer are well understood by the GPs that responded however, a coordinated programme of education and training is needed for GPs on the role of CA125 in ovarian cancer, in addition to clearly defined referral pathways, in order to address a likely significant increase in suspected ovarian cancer referrals to secondary care, most of whom will not have ovarian cancer.

Variation in NHS utilisation of vault smear tests in women post-hysterectomy: A study, using routinely collected datasets.

BACKGROUND: 20% of women living in the UK have a hysterectomy during their lifetime, levels are higher in the USA, making it one of the most commonly performed major surgical procedures. Understanding of the indications for hysterectomy and of the rationale for follow-up of women post hysterectomy is currently limited. Guidelines concerning follow-up by means of vaginal vault cytology tests exist but these are not based on 'gold standard' evidence. Furthermore, the extent to which current practice reflects these guidelines is unclear. This study aims to determine the factors associated with variability in hysterectomy rates and subsequent follow-up after surgery by use of the vaginal vault smear cytology test. METHODS/DESIGN: All women resident in the West Midlands region, of the United Kingdom, who had a hysterectomy operation between 1st April 2002 and 30th March 2003 will be identified from the Hospital Episodes Statistics database which also contains proxy data on deprivation status, derived from postcode and self declared ethnicity. These data will be linked to regional cervical screening records for each woman and histopathology laboratory records from the relevant hospitals. Study objectives are to describe: Indications for the hysterectomy operation, histology at hysterectomy, subsequent follow-up by use or non-use of vaginal vault cytology tests and variation between histological groups. Additionally the data will be categorised according to a woman's cytology screening history prior to surgery (i.e. always normal, borderline, resolved abnormalities, CIN etc) and these different groups compared. Variations in these outcomes according to age, deprivation and ethnic group will also be examined. Analysis will be undertaken using SPSS. DISCUSSION: This study will clarify patterns of current practice in one large English region and determine whether this practice reflects existing guidelines. The study will also strengthen the evidence base for future guidelines. STUDY REGISTRATION: National Research Register N0138173331.

Psychological and social sequelae of cannabis and other illicit drug use by young people: a systematic review of longitudinal, general population studies.

BACKGROUND: Use of illicit drugs, particularly cannabis, by young people is widespread and is associated with several types of psychological and social harm. These relations might not be causal. Causal relations would suggest that recreational drug use is a substantial public health problem. Non-causal relations would suggest that harm-reduction policy based on prevention of drug use is unlikely to produce improvements in public health. Cross-sectional evidence cannot clarify questions of causality; longitudinal or interventional evidence is needed. Past reviews have generally been non-systematic, have often included cross-sectional data, and have underappreciated the extent of methodological problems associated with interpretation. METHODS: We did a systematic review of general population longitudinal studies reporting associations between illicit drug use by young people and psychosocial harm. FINDINGS: We identified 48 relevant studies, of which 16 were of higher quality and provided the most robust evidence. Fairly consistent associations were noted between cannabis use and both lower educational attainment and increased reported use of other illicit drugs. Less consistent associations were noted between cannabis use and both psychological health problems and problematic behaviour. All these associations seemed to be explicable in terms of non-causal mechanisms. INTERPRETATION: Available evidence does not strongly support an important causal relation between cannabis use by young people and psychosocial harm, but cannot exclude the possibility that such a relation exists. The lack of evidence of robust causal relations prevents the attribution of public health detriments to illicit drug use. In view of the extent of illicit drug use, better evidence is needed.