Dynamic path analysis for exploring treatment effect mediation processes in clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints.

Why does a beneficial treatment effect on a longitudinal biomarker not translate into overall treatment benefit on survival, when the biomarker is in fact a prognostic factor of survival? In a recent exploratory data analysis in oncology, we were faced with this seemingly paradoxical result. To address this problem, we applied a theoretically principled methodology called dynamic path analysis, which allows us to perform mediation analysis with a longitudinal mediator and survival outcome. The aim of the analysis is to decompose the total treatment effect into a direct treatment effect and an indirect treatment effect mediated through a carefully constructed mediation path. The dynamic nature of the underlying methodology enables us to describe how these effects evolve over time, which can add to the mechanistic understanding of the underlying processes. In this paper, we present a detailed description of the dynamic path analysis framework and illustrate its application to survival mediation analysis using simulated and real data. The use case analysis provides clarity on the specific exploratory question of interest while the methodology generalizes to a wide range of applications in drug development where time-to-event is the primary clinical outcome of interest.

Mortality of working-age physicians compared to other high-skilled occupations in Austria from 1998 to 2020.

OBJECTIVES: Physicians have been shown to have lower mortality compared to the general population, particularly regarding lifestyle-associated causes of death. Prior literature is divided on whether this is due to higher socioeconomic position (SEP), healthier lifestyle, or other specific occupational characteristics. This study analyzed the mortality of Austrian physicians compared to the general population and other (health) professionals with a similar SEP, and investigated patterns of lifestyle-associated mortality among physicians. METHODS: Data from professional associations and cause-of-death statistics were collated to determine causes of death for all occupational groups. Gender-specific age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and standardized rate ratios (SRR) were calculated to compare main causes of death [cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), external causes] among physicians to other (health) professionals and the general population. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated for more detailed causes of death in physicians compared to the general population. RESULTS: Physicians had lower all-cause mortality than the general population [SRR 0.45, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.41-0.49 for males and SRR 0.60, 95% CI 0.54-0.66 for females] and health professionals (SRR 0.72, 95% CI 0.60-0.88 for males and SRR 0.77, 95% CI 0.63-0.93 for females), mostly due to low CVD and cancer mortality. SMR for detailed causes of death among physicians exhibited a pattern of particularly low mortality in lifestyle-associated causes of death and an increased SMR for suicide among female physicians (SMR 1.58, 95% CI 1.22-2.02). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed lower mortality among physicians compared to the general population and compared to other (health) professionals. Low physician mortality can be primarily explained by lifestyle-associated causes of death.

Bleb vessel density as a predictive factor for surgical revisions after Preserflo Microshunt implantation.

PURPOSE: Bleb failure is a common complication after glaucoma filtration surgery. Different bleb classification schemes incorporating filtration bleb vascularization have been proposed, but the reported correlation with intraocular pressure (IOP) has been variable, possibly because of subjective vascularization grading. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate bleb vascularization after Preserflo Microshunt (PM) implantation using anterior segment OCT-angiography (AS-OCTA) as a biomarker for bleb failure. METHODS: Twenty-three eyes of twenty-three patients underwent PM implantation. Up to 12 months after surgery PM scleral passage-centred AS-OCTA measurements (PLEX Elite 9000) for bleb-vessel density (BVD) determination were performed and IOP as well as necessity for surgical revisions (needling and open revision) were documented. After multi-step image analysis (region of interest definition, artefact removal, binarization, BVD calculation), the predictive value of early postoperative BVD for surgical revisions was assessed using logistic regression modelling. RESULTS: Baseline IOP (23.57 ± 7.75 mmHg) decreased significantly to 8.30 ± 2.12, 9.17 ± 2.33 and 11.70 ± 4.40 mmHg after 1, 2 and 4 week(s), and 13.48 ± 5.83, 11.87 ± 4.49, 12.30 ± 6.65, 11.87 ± 3.11 and 13.05 ± 4.12 mmHg after 2, 3, 6, 9 and 12 month(s), respectively (p < 0.001). Nine patients (39%) needed surgical revisions after a median time of 2 months. Bleb vessel densities at 2 and 4 weeks were significantly associated with future surgical revisions upon logistic regression analysis (2 W/4 W likelihood-ratio test p-value: 0.0244/0.0098; 2 W/4 W area under the receiver operating characteristics curve: 0.796/0.909). CONCLUSION: Filtration bleb vessel density can be determined using AS-OCTA in the early postoperative period and is predictive for bleb failure after PM implantation.

The history of circadian rhythm research in Austria.

In view of the recent revival of interest in circadian biology and circadian epidemiology at the Medical University of Vienna, it seems appropriate to highlight the rich and pioneering history of circadian research in Austria. Among the forefathers of circadian research in Vienna are Otto Marburg (1874-1948), who discovered important elements of the pineal gland physiology, Robert Hofstätter (1883-1970), who used pineal gland extract in obstetrics/gynecology, and Paul Engel (1907-1997), who discovered that the pineal gland was controlled by light. More recently, Vera Lapin (1920-2007) showed that surgical removal of the pineal gland increased tumor growth, while Franz Waldhauser (*1946) investigated melatonin in conjunction with night work. Michael Kundi (*1950) and his team conducted among the first studies demonstrating differences in rhythms of night workers and early evidence for health impairments among them. Furthermore, Vienna-born Erhard Haus (1926-2013) pioneered the discovery of the role and importance of melatonin in relation to numerous diseases. This rich pioneering contribution of scientists in Vienna or with roots in Vienna is continued today by a new generation of chronobiologists, epidemiologists and clinicians in Vienna whose new insights contribute to the rapidly developing field of circadian rhythms research. Current topics and contributions relate to the impact of circadian rhythm disruption on health, and the application of chronotherapeutic approaches in clinical and preventive settings.

Rotating Night Shift Work, Sleep, and Thyroid Cancer Risk in the Nurses' Health Study 2.

Night shift work has been associated with breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer, but evidence on other types of cancer is limited. We prospectively evaluated the association of rotating night shift work, sleep duration, and sleep difficulty with thyroid cancer risk in the Nurses' Health Study 2 (NHS2). We assessed rotating night shift work duration (years) at baseline and throughout follow-up (1989-2015) and sleep characteristics in 2001. Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for (a) shift work duration, (b) sleep duration, and (c) difficulty falling or staying asleep. We stratified the analyses of night shift work by sleep duration and sleep difficulty. Over 26 years of follow-up, 588 incident cases were identified among 114,534 women in the NHS2 cohort. We observed no association between night shift work and the risk of thyroid cancer. Difficulty falling or staying asleep was suggestively associated with a higher incidence of thyroid cancer when reported sometimes (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.95, 1.66) and all or most of the time (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.00, 1.81). Night shift workers (10+ years) with sleep difficulty all or most of the time (HR 1.47; 0.58-3.73) or with >7 h of sleep duration (HR 2.17; 95% CI, 1.21-3.92) had a higher risk of thyroid cancer. We found modest evidence for an increased risk of thyroid cancer in relation to sleep difficulty, which was more pronounced among night shift workers.

The association between night shift work and breast cancer risk in the Finnish twins cohort.

Breast cancer is highly prevalent yet a more complete understanding of the interplay between genes and probable environmental risk factors, such as night work, remains lagging. Using a discordant twin pair design, we examined the association between night shift work and breast cancer risk, controlling for familial confounding. Shift work pattern was prospectively assessed by mailed questionnaires among 5,781 female twins from the Older Finnish Twin Cohort. Over the study period (1990-2018), 407 incident breast cancer cases were recorded using the Finnish Cancer Registry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusting for potential confounders. Within-pair co-twin analyses were employed in 57 pairs to account for potential familial confounding. Compared to women who worked days only, women with shift work that included night shifts had a 1.58-fold higher risk of breast cancer (HR = 1.58; 95%CI, 1.16-2.15, highest among the youngest women i.e. born 1950-1957, HR = 2.08; 95%CI, 1.32-3.28), whereas 2-shift workers not including night shifts, did not (HR = 0.84; 95%CI, 0.59-1.21). Women with longer sleep (average sleep duration > 8 h/night) appeared at greatest risk of breast cancer if they worked night shifts (HR = 2.91; 95%CI, 1.55-5.46; Pintx=0.32). Results did not vary by chronotype (Pintx=0.74). Co-twin analyses, though with limited power, suggested that night work may be associated with breast cancer risk independent of early environmental and genetic factors. These results confirm a previously described association between night shift work and breast cancer risk. Genetic influences only partially explain these associations.

Rotating Night Shift Work and Bladder Cancer Risk in Women: Results of Two Prospective Cohort Studies.

Bladder cancer is the sixth most common cancer in the United States. Night shift work has previously been linked with cancer risk. Whether there is an association between rotating night shift work and bladder cancer in women has not been studied previously. Eligible participants in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS, n = 82,147, 1988-2016) and Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII, n = 113,630, 1989-2015) were prospectively followed and a total of 620 and 122 incident bladder cancer cases were documented during the follow-up of NHS and NHSII, respectively. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for bladder cancer incidence. We observed a significantly increased risk of bladder cancer among women with >5 years of night shift work history compared with women who never worked rotating night shifts in NHS (HR = 1.24; 95%CI = 1.01-1.54, p for trend = 0.06), but not in the pooled NHS and NHS II (HR = 1.18; 95%CI = 0.97-1.43, p for trend = 0.08). Secondary analyses stratified by smoking status showed no significant interaction (p = 0.89) between the duration of rotating night shift work and smoking status. In conclusion, our results did not provide strong evidence for an association between rotating night shift work and bladder cancer risk.

Maternal adherence to healthy lifestyle and risk of depressive symptoms in the offspring: mediation by offspring lifestyle.

BACKGROUND: Adherence to healthy lifestyles can be beneficial for depression among adults, but the intergenerational impact of maternal healthy lifestyles on offspring depressive symptoms is unknown. METHODS: In total, 10 368 mothers in Nurses' Health Study II and 13 478 offspring in the Growing Up Today Study were paired. Maternal and offspring healthy lifestyles were defined as a composite score including a healthy diet, normal body mass index (BMI), never-smoking, light-to-moderate consumption of alcohol, and regular moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Maternal lifestyles were assessed during their offspring's childhood. Offspring depressive symptoms were repeatedly assessed five times using the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale-10 (CESD-10); the offspring were between the ages of 14 and 30 when the first CESD-10 was assessed. Covariates included maternal variables (age at baseline, race/ethnicity, antidepressant use, pregnancy complications, etc.) and offspring age and sex. RESULTS: Children of mothers with the healthiest lifestyle had significantly fewer depressive symptoms (a 0.30 lower CESD-10 score, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.09-0.50) in comparison with children of mothers with the least healthy lifestyle. The association was only found significant in female offspring but not in males. For individual maternal lifestyle factors, a normal BMI, never-smoking, and adherence to regular physical activity were independently associated with fewer depressive symptoms among the offspring. The association between maternal healthy lifestyles and offspring depressive symptoms was mediated by offspring's healthy lifestyles (mediation effect: 53.2%, 95% CI 15.8-87.3). CONCLUSIONS: Our finding indicates the potential mechanism of intergenerational transmission of healthy lifestyles to reduce the risk of depressive symptoms in offspring.

Mucosal Biofilms Are an Endoscopic Feature of Irritable Bowel Syndrome and Ulcerative Colitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) and inflammatory bowel diseases result in a substantial reduction in quality of life and a considerable socioeconomic impact. In IBS, diagnosis and treatment options are limited, but evidence for involvement of the gut microbiome in disease pathophysiology is emerging. Here we analyzed the prevalence of endoscopically visible mucosal biofilms in gastrointestinal disease and associated changes in microbiome composition and metabolism. METHODS: The presence of mucosal biofilms was assessed in 1426 patients at 2 European university-based endoscopy centers. One-hundred and seventeen patients were selected for in-depth molecular and microscopic analysis using 16S ribosomal RNA gene amplicon-sequencing of colonic biopsies and fecal samples, confocal microscopy with deep learning-based image analysis, scanning electron microscopy, metabolomics, and in vitro biofilm formation assays. RESULTS: Biofilms were present in 57% of patients with IBS and 34% of patients with ulcerative colitis compared with 6% of controls (P < .001). These yellow-green adherent layers of the ileum and right-sided colon were microscopically confirmed to be dense bacterial biofilms. 16S-sequencing links the presence of biofilms to a dysbiotic gut microbiome, including overgrowth of Escherichia coli and Ruminococcus gnavus. R. gnavus isolates cultivated from patient biofilms also formed biofilms in vitro. Metabolomic analysis found an accumulation of bile acids within biofilms that correlated with fecal bile acid excretion, linking this phenotype with a mechanism of diarrhea. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of mucosal biofilms is an endoscopic feature in a subgroup of IBS and ulcerative colitis with disrupted bile acid metabolism and bacterial dysbiosis. They provide novel insight into the pathophysiology of IBS and ulcerative colitis, illustrating that biofilm can be seen as a tipping point in the development of dysbiosis and disease.

Grand-maternal lifestyle during pregnancy and body mass index in adolescence and young adulthood: an intergenerational cohort study.

To examine associations of healthy lifestyle during pregnancy with body mass index (BMI) and risk of overweight or obesity of grandchildren during adolescence and young adulthood. Our study population included 14,001 grandmother-mother-child triads comprised of participants of two ongoing prospective cohort studies of related individuals. We used self-reported grand-maternal gestational weight gain, diet, physical activity, and smoking during pregnancy to create a lifestyle score ranged from 0 to 12, with a higher score indicating healthier lifestyle. Grandchild BMI was self-assessed in follow-up questionnaires. Compared with individuals whose grandmothers had the least healthy lifestyle during pregnancy, individuals whose grandmothers had the most healthy lifestyle had 0.17 (95% CI 0.01, 0.33; P for trend = 0.05) kg/m2 lower BMI and 7% (95% CI 2%, 12%; P for trend = 0.001) lower risk of overweight or obesity during adolescence and young adulthood. The inverse associations between grand-maternal lifestyle and BMI in grandchildren were mainly mediated by maternal pre-pregnancy BMI (mediation effect: 64%; P value = 0.001). Overall, maternal BMI, along with maternal socioeconomic status and lifestyle factors in the second and third generations accounted for all of the inter-generational association (mediation effect: 99%; P value < 0.001). The inverse associations of grand-maternal lifestyle with BMI of offspring were not modified by grand-maternal pre-pregnancy BMI, grandchild age, or grandchild gender. Grandchildren of women who had the healthiest lifestyles during pregnancy defined by no excess gestational weight gain, no smoking, a healthy diet and being physically active, were less likely to be overweight or obese in adolescence and early adulthood.

Maternal healthful dietary patterns during peripregnancy and long-term overweight risk in their offspring.

Adherence to healthful dietary patterns is associated with lower body mass index (BMI) in adults; however, whether maternal diet quality during peripregnancy is related to a lower overweight risk in the offspring remains to be elucidated. We investigated the associations between the Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI), Alternate Mediterranean Diet (aMED) and Dietary Approach to Stop Hypertension (DASH) during peripregnancy and offspring weight outcomes in a study including 2729 mother-child pairs from the Nurses' Health Study II and offspring cohort Growing Up Today Study II. Children, 12-14 years at baseline were 21-23 years at the last follow-up. Overweight or obesity was defined according to International Obesity Task Force (< 18 years) and World-Health-Organization guidelines (18 + years). Maternal dietary patterns were calculated from food frequency questionnaires. Log-binomial models were used to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals. In models adjusted for sex, gestational age at delivery and maternal total energy intake, greater maternal adherence to aMED and DASH, but not AHEI, was associated with lower overweight risk in the offspring (RRQ5 vs Q1 = 0.82 [0.70-0.97] for aMED and 0.86 [0.72-1.04] for DASH, P for trend < 0.05 for both). After additional adjustment for maternal pre-pregnancy lifestyle factors and socio-demographic characteristic, none of the diet quality scores were significantly associated with offspring overweight risk. Maternal pre-pregnancy BMI did not modify any of these associations. In this population of generally well-nourished women, maternal healthful dietary patterns during the period surrounding pregnancy were not independently associated with offspring overweight risk at ages 12-23 years.

Association between Inflammatory Potential of Diet and Bladder Cancer Risk: Results of 3 United States Prospective Cohort Studies.

PURPOSE: Inflammatory reaction has been linked to bladder cancer. Diet, which drives systemic inflammation, may be considered a modifiable risk factor for bladder cancer. We examined the association of diet with pro-inflammatory potential and bladder cancer risk using the novel EDIP (empirical dietary inflammatory pattern) score comprising predefined food groups determining a pattern most predictive of plasma inflammatory markers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We followed a total of 172,802 women in the NHS (Nurses' Health Study) from 1984 to 2012 and the NHS II from 1991 to 2013 as well as 45,272 men in the HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study) from 1986 to 2012. Multivariable adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate the RR and 95% CI of bladder cancer across EDIP score quintiles. We performed inverse variance weighted meta-analysis to pool estimates across cohorts stratified by smoking status. RESULTS: During 4,872,188 person-years of observation 1,042 incident bladder cancer cases were identified. Overall, high EDIP scores reflecting dietary patterns with pro-inflammatory potential were not associated with a higher risk of bladder cancer (quintile 5 vs 1 pooled multivariable adjusted RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.75-1.12, ptrend = 0.67). Results were consistent across individual cohorts (quintile 5 vs 1 in the NHS RR 1.04, 95% CI 0.78-1.37, ptrend = 0.71; in the NHS II RR 1.44, 95% CI 0.53-3.91, ptrend = 0.13; and in the HPFS RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.55-1.01, ptrend = 0.11). Results were similar regardless of smoking status. CONCLUSIONS: We observed no association between diets with pro-inflammatory potential and bladder cancer risk. Although additional studies are needed to explore other nutritional pathways with the potential for bladder cancer prevention, our results suggest that diets associated with inflammation are not associated with bladder cancer risk.

Rotating night shift work and colorectal cancer risk in the nurses' health studies.

Animal and human data have suggested that shift work involving circadian disruption may be carcinogenic for humans, but epidemiological evidence for colorectal cancer remains limited. We investigated the association of rotating night shift work and colorectal cancer risk in two prospective female cohorts, the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and NHS2, with 24 years of follow-up. In total, 190,810 women (NHS = 77,439; NHS2 = 113,371) were included in this analysis, and 1,965 incident colorectal cancer cases (NHS = 1,527; NHS2 = 438) were reported during followup (NHS: 1988-2012, NHS2: 1989-2013). We used Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for a wide range of potential confounders. We did not observe an association between rotating night work duration and colorectal cancer risk in these cohorts (NHS: 1-14 years: Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% CI: 0.94, 1.16; 15+ years: HR 1.15, 95% CI: 0.95, 1.39; Ptrend = 0.14 and NHS2: 1-14 years: HR 0.81, 95% CI: 0.66, 0.99; 15+ years: HR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.64 and Ptrend = 0.88). In subsite analysis in NHS, rectal cancer risk increased after long-term (15+ years) rotating night shift work (proximal colon cancer: HR 1.00, 95% CI: 0.75, 1.34, Ptrend = 0.90; distal colon cancer: HR 1.27, 95% CI: 0.87, 1.85, Ptrend = 0.32; rectal cancer: HR 1.60, 95% CI: 1.09, 2.34, Ptrend = 0.02). We found no overall evidence of an association between rotating night shift work and colorectal cancer risk in these two large cohorts of nurses. Risk for rectal cancer significantly increased with shift work duration, suggesting that long-term circadian disruption may play a role in rectal cancer development.

Can chance cause cancer? A causal consideration.

The role of randomness, environment and genetics in cancer development is debated. We approach the discussion by using the potential outcomes framework for causal inference. By briefly considering the underlying assumptions, we suggest that the antagonising views arise due to estimation of substantially different causal effects. These effects may be hard to interpret, and the results cannot be immediately compared. Indeed, it is not clear whether it is possible to define a causal effect of chance at all.

Mediation analysis of the relationship between sex, cardiovascular risk factors and mortality from coronary heart disease: Findings from the population-based VHM&PP cohort.

BACKGROUND: In Europe, annually about 77,000 women, but 253,000 men die prematurely from coronary heart disease (CHD) before the age of 65 years. This gap narrows with increasing age and disappears after the eighth life decade. However, little is known regarding the contribution of cardiovascular risk factors to this sex difference. OBJECTIVE: We investigated to what extent men's higher risk of dying from CHD is explained through a different risk factor profile, as compared to women. METHODS: Mediation analysis technique was used to assess the specific contributions of blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose, and smoking to the difference between men and women regarding CHD mortality in a large Austrian cohort consisting of 117,264 individuals younger than 50 years (as a proxy for pre-menopausal status) and 54,998 older ones, with 3892 deaths due to CHD during a median follow-up of 14.6 years. RESULTS: Adjusting for age and year of examination, we observed a male versus female CHD mortality hazard ratio (HR) of 4.7 (95% CI: 3.4-5.9) in individuals younger than 50 years, of which 40.9% (95% CI: 27.1%-54.7%) was explained through risk factor pathways, mainly through blood pressure. In older participants, there was a HR of 1.9 (95% CI: 1.8-2.0) of which 8.2% (95% CI: 4.6%-11.7%) was mediated through the risk factors. CONCLUSION: The extent to which major risk factors contribute to the sex difference regarding CHD mortality decreases with age. The female survival advantage was explained to a substantial part through the pathways of major risk factors only in younger individuals.

A prospective study on metabolic risk factors and gallbladder cancer in the metabolic syndrome and cancer (Me-Can) collaborative study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between metabolic risk factors (individually and in combination) and risk of gallbladder cancer (GBC). METHODS: The metabolic syndrome and cancer project (Me-Can) includes cohorts from Norway, Austria, and Sweden with data on 578,700 men and women. We used Cox proportional hazard regression models to calculate relative risks of GBC by body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, and plasma levels of glucose, cholesterol, and triglycerides as continuous standardised variables and their standardised sum of metabolic syndrome (MetS) z-score. The risk estimates were corrected for random error in measurements. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 12.0 years (SD = 7.8), 184 primary gallbladder cancers were diagnosed. Relative risk of gallbladder cancer per unit increment of z-score adjusted for age, smoking status and BMI (except for BMI itself) and stratified by birth year, sex and sub-cohorts, was for BMI 1.31 (95% confidence interval 1.11, 1.57) and blood glucose 1.76 (1.10, 2.85). Further analysis showed that the effect of BMI on GBC risk is larger among women in the premenopausal age group (1.84 (1.23, 2.78)) compared to those in the postmenopausal age group (1.29 (0.93, 1.79)). For the other metabolic factors no significant association was found (mid blood pressure 0.96 (0.71, 1.31), cholesterol 0.84 (0.66, 1.06) and serum triglycerides 1.16 (0.82, 1.64)). The relative risk per one unit increment of the MetS z-score was 1.37 (1.07, 1.73). CONCLUSION: This study showed that increasing BMI and impaired glucose metabolism pose a possible risk for gallbladder cancer. Beyond the individual factors, the results also showed that the metabolic syndrome as an entity presents a risk constellation for the occurrence of gallbladder cancer.

Comparison of arterial versus venous parameters of Rotational thromboelastometry and multiple platelet function analyzer: results of a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: In the operating room and at the ICU, Rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) and multiple platelet function analyzer (Multiplate) are frequently performed on arterial blood samples while known reference ranges refer to venous blood only. To evaluate whether there are clinical important differences between parameters measured in arterial and venous blood, we performed a prospective study in patients undergoing orthopedic surgery. METHODS: Arterial and venous blood samples were drawn simultaneously after line insertion (T0), intraoperatively (T1), at the end of surgery (T2) and the INTEM, EXTEM and FIBTEM ROTEM assays, as well as the ASPI, ADP and TRAP assays were performed in arterial and venous samples using the ROTEM and the Multiplate device, respectively. RESULTS: After informed consent, 52 patients were enrolled and data of 50 patients remained for final analysis. Venous and arterial measurement results correlated significantly with a coefficient of 0.519-0.977. At the three measurement points only a few statistically significant deviations were detected for some of the ROTEM and Multiplate parameters. The magnitude of differences was small and most likely without clinical relevance. Pathological conditions were detected with similar frequency regardless of the sampling site. Only Multiplate TRAP at T0 indicated low platelet aggregation more frequently in venous than in arterial samples (p = 0.0455); however, values were only narrow below reference range. CONCLUSION: The observed differences between arterial and venous results were within the range of variability of the methods reported for venous blood. Pathological values that might be clinically relevant could be detected at similar rates regardless of the sampling site.

Total serum cholesterol and cancer incidence in the Metabolic syndrome and Cancer Project (Me-Can).

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between total serum cholesterol (TSC) and cancer incidence in the Metabolic syndrome and Cancer project (Me-Can). METHODS: Me-Can consists of seven cohorts from Norway, Austria, and Sweden including 289,273 male and 288,057 female participants prospectively followed up for cancer incidence (n = 38,978) with a mean follow-up of 11.7 years. Cox regression models with age as the underlying time metric were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) for quintiles of cholesterol levels and per 1 mmol/l, adjusting for age at first measurement, body mass index (BMI), and smoking status. Estimates were corrected for regression dilution bias. Furthermore, we performed lag time analyses, excluding different times of follow-up, in order to check for reverse causation. RESULTS: In men, compared with the 1st quintile, TSC concentrations in the 5th quintile were borderline significantly associated with decreasing risk of total cancer (HR = 0.94; 95%CI: 0.88, 1.00). Significant inverse associations were observed for cancers of the liver/intrahepatic bile duct (HR = 0.14; 95%CI: 0.07, 0.29), pancreas cancer (HR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.33, 0.81), non-melanoma of skin (HR = 0.67; 95%CI: 0.46, 0.95), and cancers of the lymph-/hematopoietic tissue (HR = 0.68, 95%CI: 0.54, 0.87). In women, hazard ratios for the 5th quintile were associated with decreasing risk of total cancer (HR = 0.86, 95%CI: 0.79, 0.93) and for cancers of the gallbladder (HR = 0.23, 95%CI: 0.08, 0.62), breast (HR = 0.70, 95%CI: 0.61, 0.81), melanoma of skin (HR = 0.61, 95%CI: 0.42, 0.88), and cancers of the lymph-/hematopoietic tissue (HR = 0.61, 95%CI: 0.44, 0.83). CONCLUSION: TSC was negatively associated with risk of cancer overall in females and risk of cancer at several sites in both males and females. In lag time analyses some associations persisted, suggesting that for these cancer sites reverse causation did not apply.

Metabolic risk factors and primary liver cancer in a prospective study of 578,700 adults.

Initial studies have indicated diabetes and obesity to be risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma; but the association between other metabolic risk factors and primary liver cancer (PLC) has not been investigated. The metabolic syndrome and cancer project (Me-Can) includes cohorts from Norway, Austria and Sweden with data on 578,700 subjects. We used Cox proportional hazard models to calculate relative risks (RRs) of PLC by body mass index (BMI), blood pressure and plasma levels of glucose, cholesterol and triglycerides as continuous standardized variables (z-score with mean = 0 and standard deviation (SD) = 1) and their standardized sum of metabolic syndrome (MetS) z-score. RRs were corrected for random error in measurements. During an average follow-up of 12.0 years (SD = 7.8), 266 PLCs were diagnosed among cohort members. RR of liver cancer per unit increment of z-score adjusted for age, smoking status and BMI and stratified by birth year, sex and sub-cohorts, was for BMI 1.39 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24-1.58), mid blood pressure 2.08 (0.95-4.73), blood glucose 2.13 (1.55-2.94) cholesterol 0.62 (0.51-0.76) and serum triglycerides 0.85 (0.65-1.10). The RR per one unit increment of the MetS z-score was 1.35 (1.12-1.61). BMI, glucose and a composite MetS score were positively and cholesterol negatively associated with risk of liver cancer.

Blood pressure and other metabolic syndrome factors and risk of brain tumour in the large population-based Me-Can cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Brain tumour has few established determinants. We assessed to which extent risk of brain tumour was related to metabolic syndrome factors in adults. METHODS: In the Me-Can project, 580 000 individuals from Sweden, Austria, and Norway were followed for a median of 10 years after baseline measurement. Data on brain tumours were obtained from national cancer registries. The factors of metabolic syndrome (BMI, SBP and DBP, and blood levels of glucose, cholesterol, and triglycerides), separately and combined, were analysed in quintiles and for transformed z-scores (mean transformed to 0 and standard deviation to 1). Cox proportional hazards multivariate regression models were used, with corrections for measurement error. RESULTS: During follow-up, 1312 primary brain tumours were diagnosed, predominantly meningioma (n = 348) and high-grade glioma (n = 436). For meningioma, the hazard ratio was increased for z-scores of SBP [hazard ratio = 1.27 per unit standard deviation, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.57], of DBP (hazard ratio = 1.29, 95% CI 1.04-1.58), and of the combined metabolic syndrome score (hazard ratio = 1.31, 95% CI 1.11-1.54). An increased risk of high-grade glioma was found for DBP (hazard ratio = 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.50) and triglycerides (hazard ratio = 1.35, 95% CI 1.05-1.72). For both meningioma and high-grade glioma, the risk was more than double in the fifth quintiles of DBP compared to the lowest quintile. For meningioma this risk was even larger for SBP. CONCLUSION: Increased blood pressure was associated with risk of brain tumours, especially of meningiomas.