Meaningful Patient-centered Outcomes 1 Year Following Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate meaningful, patient-centered outcomes including alive-at-home status and patient-reported quality of life 1 year after cardiac surgery. BACKGROUND: Long-term patient-reported quality of life after cardiac surgery is not well understood. Current operative risk models and quality metrics focus on short-term outcomes. METHODS: In this combined retrospective/prospective study, cardiac surgery patients at an academic institution (2014-2015) were followed to obtain vital status, living location, and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) at 1 year using the NIH Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS). We assessed the impact of cardiac surgery, discharge location, and Society of Thoracic Surgeons perioperative predicted risk of morbidity or mortality on 1-year outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 782 patients were enrolled; 84.1% (658/782) were alive-at-home at 1 year. One-year PROMIS scores were global physical health (GPH) = 48.8 ±â€Š10.2, global mental health (GMH) = 51.2 ±â€Š9.6, and physical functioning (PF) = 45.5 ±â€Š10.2 (general population reference = 50 ±â€Š10). All 3 PROMIS domains at 1 year were significantly higher compared with preoperative scores (GPH: 41.7 ±â€Š8.5, GMH: 46.9 ±â€Š7.9, PF: 39.6 ±â€Š9.0; all P < 0.001). Eighty-two percent of patients discharged to a facility were alive-at-home at 1 year. These patients, however, had significantly lower 1-year scores (difference: GPH = -5.1, GMH = -5.1, PF = -7.9; all P < 0.001). Higher Society of Thoracic Surgeons perioperative predicted risk was associated with significantly lower PRO at 1 year (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac surgery results in improved PROMIS scores at 1 year, whereas discharge to a facility and increasing perioperative risk correlate with worse long-term PRO. One-year alive-at-home status and 1-year PRO are meaningful, patient-centered metrics that help define long-term quality and the benefit of cardiac surgery.

Comorbidity Assessment in the National Cancer Database for Patients With Surgically Resected Breast, Colorectal, or Lung Cancer (AFT-01, -02, -03).

PURPOSE: Accurate comorbidity measurement is critical for cancer research. We evaluated comorbidity assessment in the National Cancer Database (NCDB), which uses a code-based Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index (CCI), and compared its prognostic performance with a chart-based CCI and individual comorbidities in a national sample of patients with breast, colorectal, or lung cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Through an NCDB Special Study, cancer registrars re-abstracted perioperative comorbidities for 11,243 patients with stage II to III breast cancer, 10,880 with stage I to III colorectal cancer, and 9,640 with stage I to III lung cancer treated with definitive surgical resection in 2006-2007. For each cancer type, we compared the prognostic performance of the NCDB code-based CCI (categorical: 0 or missing data, 1, 2+), Special Study chart-based CCI (continuous), and 18 individual comorbidities in three separate Cox proportional hazards models for postoperative 5-year overall survival. RESULTS: Comorbidity was highest among patients with lung cancer (13.2% NCDB CCI 2+) and lowest among patients with breast cancer (2.8% NCDB CCI 2+). Agreement between the NCDB and Special Study CCI was highest for breast cancer (rank correlation, 0.50) and lowest for lung cancer (rank correlation, 0.40). The NCDB CCI underestimated comorbidity for 19.1%, 29.3%, and 36.2% of patients with breast, colorectal, and lung cancer, respectively. Within each cancer type, the prognostic performance of the NCDB CCI, Special Study CCI, and individual comorbidities to predict postoperative 5-year overall survival was similar. CONCLUSION: The NCDB underestimated comorbidity in patients with surgically resected breast, colorectal, or lung cancer, partly because the NCDB codes missing data as CCI 0. However, despite underestimation of comorbidity, the NCDB CCI was similar to the more complete measures of comorbidity in the Special Study in predicting overall survival.

More Frequent Surveillance Following Lung Cancer Resection Is Not Associated With Improved Survival: A Nationally Representative Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether an association exists between the intensity of surveillance following surgical resection for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and survival. BACKGROUND: Surveillance guidelines following surgical resection of NSCLC vary widely and are based on expert opinion and limited evidence. METHODS: A Special Study of the National Cancer Database randomly selected stage I to III NSCLC patients for data reabstraction. For patients diagnosed between 2006 and 2007 and followed for 5 years through 2012, registrars documented all postsurgical imaging with indication (routine surveillance, new symptoms), recurrence, new primary cancers, and survival, with 5-year follow-up. Patients were placed into surveillance groups according to existing guidelines (3-month, 6-month, annual). Overall survival and survival after recurrence were analyzed using Cox Proportional Hazards Models. RESULTS: A total of 4463 patients were surveilled with computed tomography scans; these patients were grouped based on time from surgery to first surveillance. Groups were similar with respect to age, sex, comorbidities, surgical procedure, and histology. Higher-stage patients received more surveillance. More frequent surveillance was not associated with longer risk-adjusted overall survival [hazard ratio for 6-month: 1.16 (0.99, 1.36) and annual: 1.06 (0.86-1.31) vs 3-month; P value 0.14]. More frequent imaging was also not associated with postrecurrence survival [hazard ratio: 1.02/month since imaging (0.99-1.04); P value 0.43]. CONCLUSIONS: These nationally representative data provide evidence that more frequent postsurgical surveillance is not associated with improved survival. As the number of lung cancer survivors increases over the next decade, surveillance is an increasingly important major health care concern and expenditure.

Creation, Implementation, and Assessment of a General Thoracic Surgery Simulation Course in Rwanda.

BACKGROUND: The primary objective was to provide proof of concept of conducting thoracic surgical simulation in a low-middle income country. Secondary objectives were to accelerate general thoracic surgery skills acquisition by general surgery residents and sustain simulation surgery teaching through a website, simulation models, and teaching of local faculty. METHODS: Five training models were created for use in a low-middle income country setting and implemented during on-site courses with Rwandan general surgery residents. A website was created as a supplement to the on-site teaching. All participants completed a course knowledge assessment before and after the simulation and feedback/confidence surveys. Descriptive and univariate analyses were performed on participants' responses. RESULTS: Twenty-three participants completed the simulation course. Eight (35%) had previous training with the course models. All training levels were represented. Participants reported higher rates of meaningful confidence, defined as moderate to complete on a Likert scale, for all simulated thoracic procedures (p < 0.05). The overall mean knowledge assessment score improved from 42.5% presimulation to 78.6% postsimulation, (p < 0.0001). When stratified by procedure, the mean scores for each simulated procedure showed statistically significant improvement, except for ruptured diaphragm repair (p = 0.45). CONCLUSIONS: General thoracic surgery simulation provides a practical, inexpensive, and expedited learning experience in settings lacking experienced faculty and fellowship training opportunities. Resident feedback showed enhanced confidence and knowledge of thoracic procedures suggesting simulation surgery could be an effective tool in expanding the resident knowledge base and preparedness for performing clinically needed thoracic procedures. Repeated skills exposure remains a challenge for achieving sustainable progress.

Clinical Factors and Postoperative Impact of Bile Leak After Liver Resection.

BACKGROUND: Despite technical advances, bile leak remains a significant complication after hepatectomy. The current study uses a targeted multi-institutional dataset to characterize perioperative factors that are associated with bile leakage after hepatectomy to better understand the impact of bile leak on morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Adult patients in the 2014-2015 ACS NSQIP targeted hepatectomy dataset were linked to the ACS NSQIP PUF dataset. Bivariable and multivariable regression analyses were used to assess the associations between clinical factors and post-hepatectomy bile leak. RESULTS: Of 6859 patients, 530 (7.7%) had a postoperative bile leak. Proportion of bile leaks was significantly greater in patients after major compared to minor hepatectomy (12.6 vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001). The proportion of patients with bile leak was significantly greater in patients after major hepatectomy who had concomitant enterohepatic reconstruction (31.8 vs. 10.1%, p < 0.001). Postoperative mortality was significantly greater in patients with bile leaks (6.0 vs. 1.7%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for significant covariates, bile leak was independently associated with increased risk of postoperative morbidity (OR = 4.55; 95% CI 3.72-5.56; p < 0.001). After adjusting for significant effects of postoperative complications, liver failure, and reoperation (all p<0.001), bile leak was not independently associated with increased risk of postoperative mortality (p = 0.262). CONCLUSION: Major hepatectomy and enterohepatic biliary reconstruction are associated with significantly greater rates of bile leak after liver resection. Bile leak is independently associated with significant postoperative morbidity. Mitigation of bile leak is critical in reducing morbidity and mortality after liver resection.

Disparities in the Use of Diabetes Screening in Appalachia.

PURPOSE: The Appalachian region presents disproportionately high rates of chronic disease compared to the rest of the United States. Early diagnosis of diabetes through screening is an important step in reducing diabetes complications. This study examines disparities in the use of diabetes screening in Appalachia. METHODS: We analyzed 2009 and 2010 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data for 96,111 adults aged ≥45 years from 11 Appalachian states. Based on economic status, Appalachian counties were grouped into distressed (least affluent), at-risk, transitional, and competitive (most affluent). Logistic regression analyses were used to estimate the statistical significance and effect size of factors associated with diabetes screening. RESULTS: Competitive counties had the highest rate of diabetes screening (65.4%). At-risk counties had the lowest rate (60.3%), about 7.8% lower compared to competitive counties (P < .001). After adjusting for socioeconomic factors, differences in screening rates between county economic levels in Appalachia were not statistically significant. Among respondents ≥65 years, at-risk counties had an 8.1% lower screening rate compared to competitive counties; this difference was not adequately explained by differences in socioeconomic factors. Screening rates in distressed and transitional counties were not significantly different from competitive counties in unadjusted or adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS: At-risk counties had significantly lower screening rates than competitive counties. They should receive more policy attention similar to that received by distressed counties. Social policies that improve socioeconomic status and educational attainment, and health policies that reduce barriers to access to care may reduce disparities in diabetes screening rates in the less affluent Appalachian counties.

The Association of Mammographic Density and Molecular Breast Cancer Subtype.

Background: Mammographic density (MD) is associated with increased breast cancer risk, yet limited data exist on an association between MD and breast cancer molecular subtypes.Methods: Women ages 18 years and older with breast cancer and available mammograms between 2003 and 2012 were enrolled in a larger study on MD. MD was classified by the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) classification and by volumetric breast percent density (Volpara Solutions). Subtype was assigned by hormone receptor status, tumor grade, and mitotic score (MS). Subtypes included: Luminal-A (ER/PR+ and grade = 1; ER/PR+ and grade = 2 and MS = 1; ER+/PR- and grade = 1; n = 233); Luminal-B (ER+ and grade = 3 or MS = 3; ER+/PR- and grade = 2; ER/PR+ and grade = 2 and MS = 2; n = 79); Her-2-neu+ (H2P; n = 59); triple-negative (ER/PR-, Her-2-; n = 86). Precancer factors including age, race, body mass index (kg/m2), family history of breast cancer, and history of lobular carcinoma in situ were analyzed.Results: A total of 604 patients had invasive cancer; 457 had sufficient information for analysis. Women with H2P tumors were younger (P = 0.011) and had the highest volumetric percent density (P = 0.002) among subgroups. Multinomial logistic regression (LA = reference) demonstrated that although quantitative MD does not significantly differentiate between all subtypes (P = 0.123), the association between MD and H2P tumors is significant (OR = 1.06; confidence interval, 1.01-1.12). This association was not seen using BI-RADS classification in bivariable analysis but was statistically significant (P = 0.047) when controlling for other precancer factors.Conclusions: Increased MD is more strongly associated with H2P tumors when compared with LA.Impact: Delineating risk factors specific to breast cancer subtype may promote development of individualized risk prediction models and screening strategies. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(10); 1487-92. ©2017 AACR.

Volume-Outcome Relationships in Thoracic Surgery.

Most thoracic surgery studies indicate that hospital and surgeon procedure volume are inversely associated with mortality. However, controversy exists regarding the strength and validity of this volume-outcome association. Because thresholds of procedure volume are used to recommend the regionalization of care, investigation of the volume-outcome relationship is imperative. This article examines the methodology used in the volume-outcome relationship literature and highlights important areas of concern. Careful examination of the literature demonstrates that lung and esophageal cancer resection volume is not strongly associated with mortality and should not be used as a proxy measure for quality.

A pilot study of patient-centered outcome assessment using PROMIS for patients undergoing colorectal surgery.

PURPOSE: Few studies have assessed patient-reported outcomes following colorectal surgery. The absence of this information makes it difficult to inform patients about the near-term effects of surgery, beyond outcomes assessed by traditional clinical measures. This study was designed to provide information about the effects of colorectal surgery on physical, mental, and social well-being outcomes. METHODS: The NIH Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS®) Assessment Center was used to collect patient responses prior to surgery and at their routine postoperative visit. Four domains were selected based on patient consultation and clinical experience: depression, pain interference, ability to participate in social roles and activities, and interest in sexual activity. Multilevel random coefficient models were used to assess the change in scores during the follow-up period and to assess the statistical significance of differences in trends over time associated with key clinical measures. RESULTS: In total, 142 patients were consented, with 107 patients completing pre- and postoperative assessments (75%). Preoperative assessments were typically completed 1 month prior to surgery (mean 29.5 days before, SD = 19.7) and postoperative assessments 1 month after surgery (mean 30.7 days after, SD = 9.2), with a mean of 60.3 days between assessment dates. Patients demonstrated no statistically significant changes in scores for pain interference (-0.18 points, p = 0.80) or the ability to participate in social roles and activities (0.44 points, p = 0.55), but had significant decreases in depression scores between pre- and postoperative assessments (-1.6 points, p = 0.03) and near significant increases in scores for interest in sex (1.5 points, p = 0.06). Pain interference scores for patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy significantly increased (3.5 points, p = 0.03). Scores for the interest in sex domain decreased (worsened) for patients with oncologic etiology (-3.7 points, p = 0.03). No other differences in score trends by patient characteristics were large enough to be statistically significant at the p < 0.05 threshold. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that the majority of patients quickly return to baseline physical, mental, and social function following colorectal surgery. This information can be used preoperatively to counsel patients about the typical impact of colorectal surgery on quality of life.

Early Palliative Care Reduces End-of-Life Intensive Care Unit (ICU) Use but Not ICU Course in Patients with Advanced Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Early palliative care for advanced cancer patients improves quality of life and survival, but less is known about its effect on intensive care unit (ICU) use at the end of life. This analysis assessed the effect of a comprehensive early palliative care program on ICU use and other outcomes among patients with advanced cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort of patients with advanced cancer enrolled in an early palliative care program (n = 275) was compared with a concurrent control group of patients receiving standard care (n = 195) during the same time period by using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The multidisciplinary outpatient palliative care program used early end-of-life care planning, weekly interdisciplinary meetings to discuss patient status, and patient-reported outcomes assessment integrated within the electronic health record. RESULTS: Patients in the control group had statistically significantly higher likelihood of ICU admission at the end of life (odds ratios [ORs]: last 6 months, 3.07; last month, 3.59; terminal admission, 4.69), higher likelihood of death in the hospital (OR, 4.14) or ICU (OR, 5.57), and lower likelihood of hospice enrollment (OR, 0.13). Use of chemotherapy or radiation did not significantly differ between groups, nor did length of ICU stay, code status, ICU procedures (other than cardiopulmonary resuscitation), disposition location, and outcomes after ICU admission. CONCLUSION: Early palliative care significantly reduced ICU use at the end of life but did not change ICU events. This study supports early initiation of palliative care for advanced cancer patients before hospitalizations and intensive care. The Oncologist 2017;22:318-323 IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Palliative care has shown clear benefit in quality of life and survival in advanced cancer patients, but less is known about its effect on intensive care. This retrospective cohort study at a university hospital showed that in the last 6 months of life, palliative care significantly reduced intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital admissions, reduced deaths in the hospital, and increased hospice enrollment. It did not, however, change patients' experiences within the ICU, such as number of procedures, code status, length of stay, or disposition. The findings further support that palliative care exerts its benefit before, rather than during, the ICU setting.

Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) Use in Surgical Care: A Scoping Study.

BACKGROUND: Surgeons recognize the importance of patient reported outcomes in the evaluation of health care. Documenting health related quality of life (HRQOL) can enhance surgical quality improvement efforts. Systematic documentation of HRQOL began in 1963. Currently, multiple varied and unstandardized instruments make it difficult to compare quality of life measures across studies. The NIH developed the Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) to provide a standardized assessment designed to complement traditional outcomes measures. STUDY DESIGN: We used systematic scoping methodology to investigate the characteristics of PROMIS use in studies assessing quality of life measures as surgical outcomes. RESULTS: A systematic search of PubMed revealed 21 publications describing the use of PROMIS to assess surgical outcomes. The 21 study publications reported observations on 2,561 patients. Twenty-nine percent of patients had injuries, 33% had neoplasms, and 38% included other patients having neither injuries nor neoplasms. General surgery/gynecology/plastic surgery had 8 publications, orthopaedic surgery had 9 publications, and neurosurgery had 4 publications. Most studies included additional measures. There were 25 instruments used in addition to PROMIS. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed that PROMIS performed efficiently, accurately, and reliably in assessing patient-reported HRQOL in multidisciplinary surgical publications.

Impact of age and comorbidity on treatment of non-small cell lung cancer recurrence following complete resection: A nationally representative cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Older patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are less likely to receive guideline-recommended treatment at diagnosis, independent of comorbidity. However, national data on treatment of postoperative recurrence are limited. We evaluated the associations between age, comorbidity, and other patient factors and treatment of postoperative NSCLC recurrence in a national cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We randomly selected 9001 patients with surgically resected stage I-III NSCLC in 2006-2007 from the National Cancer Data Base. Patients were followed for 5 years or until first NSCLC recurrence, new primary cancer, or death, whichever came first. Perioperative comorbidities, first recurrence, treatment of recurrence, and survival were abstracted from medical records and merged with existing registry data. Factors associated with active treatment (chemotherapy, radiation, and/or surgery) versus supportive care only were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Median age at initial diagnosis was 67; 69.7% had >1 comorbidity. At 5-year follow-up, 12.3% developed locoregional and 21.5% developed distant recurrence. Among patients with locoregional recurrence, 79.5% received active treatment. Older patients (OR 0.49 for age >75 compared with <55; 95% CI 0.27-0.88) and those with substance abuse (OR 0.43; 95% CI 0.23-0.81) were less likely to receive active treatment. Women (OR 0.62; 95% CI 0.43-0.89) and patients with symptomatic recurrence (OR 0.69; 95% CI 0.47-0.99) were also less likely to receive active treatment. Among those with distant recurrence, 77.3% received active treatment. Older patients (OR 0.42 for age >75 compared with <55; 95% CI 0.26-0.68) and those with any documented comorbidities (OR 0.59; 95% CI 0.38-0.89) were less likely to receive active treatment. CONCLUSION: Older patients independent of comorbidity, patients with substance abuse, and women were less likely to receive active treatment for postoperative NSCLC recurrence. Studies to further characterize these disparities in treatment of NSCLC recurrence are needed to identify barriers to treatment.

Blood transfusion is an independent predictor of morbidity and mortality after hepatectomy.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have indicated that blood transfusion is associated with increased risk of worse outcomes among patients selected for hepatectomy. However, the independent effect of transfusion has not been confirmed. We hypothesize that blood transfusion is an independent factor that affects outcomes in patients undergoing hepatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients at tertiary care center who underwent hepatectomy between 2006 and 2013 were identified and linked with the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program PUF data set. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the effect of blood transfusion on 30-d mortality and morbidity, adjusted for differences in extent of resection and estimated probabilities of morbidity and mortality. RESULTS: Among 522 patients in the study, 48 (9.2%) patients required perioperative blood transfusion within 72 h of resection, and 172 (33%) underwent major hepatectomy. Indications for hepatectomy included metastatic neoplasm (n = 229, 44%), primary hepatic neoplasm (n = 108, 21%), primary extra-hepatic biliary neoplasm (n = 23, 4%), and nonmalignant indications (n = 162, 31%). Eighty-eight (17%) patients had a postoperative morbidity. Blood transfusion was significantly associated with postoperative morbidity (odds ratio [OR] = 4.18, 95% CI = 2.18-8.02, P = 0.0001) and mortality (OR = 14.5, 95% CI = 3.08-67.8, P = 001), after adjustment for the concurrent effect of National Surgical Quality Improvement Program estimated probability of morbidity (OR = 1.15, 95% CI = 0.11-12.2, P = 0.042). The extent of resection was not significantly associated with morbidity (OR = 1.30, 95% CI, 0.74-2.28, P = 0.366) or mortality (OR = 1.14, 95% CI = 0.24-5.50, P = 0.870). CONCLUSIONS: Blood transfusion is a highly statistically significant independent predictor of morbidity and mortality after hepatectomy. Judicious use of perioperative transfusion is indicated in patients with benign and malignant indications for liver resection.

Screening individuals with intracranial aneurysms for abdominal aortic aneurysms is cost-effective based on estimated coprevalence.

OBJECTIVE: Aneurysm rupture is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, and evidence suggests shared risk for both abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) and intracranial aneurysms (IAs). We hypothesized that screening for AAA in patients with known IA is cost-effective. METHODS: We used a decision tree model to compare costs and outcomes of AAA screening vs no screening in a hypothetical cohort of patients with IA. We measured expected outcomes using quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). We performed a Monte Carlo simulation and additional sensitivity analyses to assess the effects of ranging base case variables on model outcomes and identified thresholds where a decision alternative dominated the model (both less expensive and more effective than the alternative). RESULTS: In our base case analysis, screening for AAA provided an additional 0.17 QALY (2.5-97.5 percentile: 0.11-0.27 QALY) at a saving of $201 (2.5-97.5 percentile: $-127 to $896). This yielded an ICER of $-1150/QALY (2.5-97.5 percentile: $-4299 to $6374/QALY), that is, screening saves $1150 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this model, screening for AAA in individuals with IA is cost-effective at an ICER of $1150/QALY, well below accepted societal thresholds estimated at $60,000/QALY. Cost-effectiveness of cross-screening in these populations is sensitive to aneurysm coprevalence and risk of rupture. Further prospective study is warranted to validate this finding.

Reconsidering adjuvant versus salvage radiation therapy for prostate cancer in the genomics era.

AIM: We developed a decision analysis framework to simulate the clinical choice of early adjuvant versus delayed salvage radiation therapy after radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS & METHODS: We designed a Markov decision analysis model to represent two alternative treatment approaches for prostate cancer after prostatectomy over a 10-year time horizon. The model contained individualized inputs including genomic classifier score. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate model results. RESULTS: Observation with delayed salvage radiation is preferred according to the base case, with greater average length and quality of life. However, adjuvant therapy is preferred over observation with salvage when genomics-based estimates of recurrence are high. CONCLUSION: Model results were sensitive to genomics-based estimates of cancer recurrence and to nonprostate cancer mortality.

Natural history of coexistent mitral regurgitation after aortic valve replacement.

OBJECTIVES: The long-term evolution of coexistent mitral regurgitation (MR) after aortic valve replacement (AVR) for aortic stenosis remains poorly defined. Prior studies have demonstrated that acute improvement in MR after AVR is modest, and more aggressive approaches have been advocated. This study examines the evolution of MR after AVR and identifies prognostic indicators for MR improvement. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated demographic and echocardiographic data of 423 patients who underwent primary isolated AVR for aortic stenosis with coexistent mild (n = 314) or moderate (n = 109) MR at our institution, from 2004 to 2013. For each patient, preoperative and postoperative MR was extracted from 903 echocardiograms and graded on a 0 to 4+ scale. Hierarchic linear models were used to estimate postoperative residual MR over a 5-year follow-up period. Patients were then stratified by improvement in MR, and preoperative risk factors and survival were compared between groups. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between survival and preoperative and postoperative MR. RESULTS: The overall acute reduction in MR was -0.23 degrees per patient. Patients with moderate MR had a -0.53 degree reduction in MR, whereas patients with mild MR had only a -0.13 degree reduction in MR (P < .001). Residual MR, however, worsened over time and regressed back to baseline, particularly in patients with preoperative moderate MR. At last follow-up, 70 (17%) patients returned to 2+ or worse MR. Residual MR at last echocardiographic follow-up was not affected by left ventricular ejection fraction, severity of preoperative aortic valve gradient (AVG), magnitude of reduction of AVG, or other comorbidities. Degree of preoperative MR did not affect midterm survival. Patients whose MR improved after AVR demonstrated a trend toward improved survival (75% vs 65% 5-year survival; P = .06), compared with those without MR whose survival remained unchanged or worsened. CONCLUSIONS: Coexistent MR modestly improves after AVR, but eventually regresses back to baseline or worsens over time in many patients. Preoperative AVG, reduction of AVG, heart failure, or atrial fibrillation was not predictive of residual MR. Moderate preoperative MR did not adversely affect 5-year survival. Patients with improvement in MR, however, demonstrated a trend toward improved survival at 5 years. More aggressive approaches for coexistent moderate MR should be considered in patients who need AVR for aortic stenosis.

Estimating the risk of bowel ischemia requiring surgery in patients with tomographic evidence of pneumatosis intestinalis.

BACKGROUND: Pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) presents a challenging dilemma for surgeons given its association with both benign and life threatening conditions. As such, the need for surgical intervention is oftentimes difficult to discern. We hypothesize that a clinical nomogram can be used to predict the need for surgical intervention in patients with PI. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of 217 consecutive cases with PI on abdominal computed tomography over a 10-year period at a tertiary care hospital. Bivariable and multivariable analysis were conducted to assess the statistical significance of the association between patient factors and need for surgical intervention, defined as positive findings at surgery. RESULTS: There were 217 patients with PI identified during the study, of which 178 were treated with curative intent. Of these, 82 patients underwent surgical exploration, and 96 patients were managed conservatively. Forty-four percent of patients who had radiographic evidence of PI were managed conservatively and did well, whereas an additional 6% underwent nontherapeutic laparotomies. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that patients with tenderness on examination, lactic acidosis, and tachycardia had significantly higher likelihood of the need for surgical intervention, whereas patients with diabetes had a lower likelihood of surgical intervention. These and other selected patient characteristics can be used to efficiently and reliably estimate the probability of ischemic bowel at laparotomy. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of PI does not always warrant surgical intervention. We present a nomogram to assist with clinical decision-making based on the presence of clinical factors.

The impact of chronic liver disease on the risk assessment of ACS NSQIP morbidity and mortality after hepatic resection.

BACKGROUND: The American College of Surgeons (ACS) National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) risk-adjustment model for patients who require hepatic resection does not include metrics of underlying chronic liver disease. The applicability of the current risk adjustment model is under debate. This study aims to assess the impact of chronic liver disease on the ACS NSQIP estimates of postoperative morbidity and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study included all cases of hepatic resection at our quaternary referral institution between 2006 and 2013. Metrics of chronic liver disease were abstracted and linked with the ACS NSQIP risk-adjustment model estimated probabilities of morbidity and mortality for each case. Sequential general linear models were used to estimate differences in ACS NSQIP probabilities of morbidity and mortality associated with measures of underlying chronic liver disease. RESULTS: A total of 522 hepatic resections were performed during the study period. The patient cohort included 91 patients with fibrosis (17%) and 38 patients with cirrhosis (7%). The mean ACS NSQIP estimated probability of morbidity was 0.24 ± 0.11 and probability of mortality was 0.02 ± 0.02. Fibrosis was associated with increased probability of morbidity (0.26 ± 0.11; P = .019); cirrhosis was also associated with increased probability of morbidity (0.27 ± 0.10; P = .059). Parenchymal liver disease was not associated with increased probability of mortality (all P ≥ .62). Increased probabilities of mortality were associated with diagnosis and extent of resection (both P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients selected for hepatectomy, metrics of chronic liver disease were associated with differences in ACS NSQIP estimated probability of morbidity. Incorporation of metrics of chronic liver disease into the ACS NSQIP targeted hepatectomy modules should improve estimates of risk after hepatic resection.

Longitudinal patterns of cancer patient reported outcomes in end of life care predict survival.

PURPOSE: Patients with advanced cancer typically demonstrate sharp deterioration in physical function and psychological status during the last months of life. This study evaluates the relationship between survival in patients with advanced cancer and longitudinal assessment of anxiety, depression, fatigue, pain interference, and/or physical function using the US National Institute of Health Patient Reported Outcomes Information System. METHODS: Mixed-effects models were used to evaluate patient-reported outcome trajectories over time among patients with advanced loco-regional or metastatic cancer receiving care in a hospital-based palliative care clinic. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the statistical significance of differences in the probability of survival associated with patient-reported outcome scores. RESULTS: A total of 472 patients completed 1992 assessments during the 18-month study period. Longitudinal scores for fatigue, pain interference, and physical function demonstrated statistically significant non-linear trajectories. Scores for depression, fatigue, pain interference, and physical function were highly statistically significant predictors of survival (p < 0.01). Clinically meaningful differences in the probability of survival were demonstrated between patients with scores at the 25th vs. 75th percentiles, with absolute differences in survival at 6 and 12 months after assessment from 10 to 18 percentage points. CONCLUSIONS: Patient-reported outcomes can be used to reliably estimate where patients are along the trajectory of deteriorating health status leading toward the end of life, and for identifying patients with declining symptoms in need of referral to palliative care or more aggressive symptom management.