Prediction of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in very preterm infants: competitive risk model nomogram.

Objective: To develop predictive clinical models of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) through competing risk analysis. Methods: Retrospective observational cohort study, including preterm newborns ≤32 weeks gestational age, conducted between January 1, 2013 and September 30, 2022 in a third-level Neonatal Intensive Care Unit in Spain. A prediction study was carried out using competing risk models, where the event of interest was BPD and the competing event was death. A multivariate competing risk model was developed separately for each postnatal day (days 1, 3, 7 and 14). Nomograms to predict BPD risk were developed from the coefficients of the final models and internally validated. Results: A total of 306 patients were included in the study, of which 73 (23.9%) developed BPD and 29 (9.5%) died. On day 1, the model with the greatest predictive capacity was that including birth weight, days since rupture of membranes, and surfactant requirement (area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), 0.896; 95% CI, 0.792-0.999). On day 3, the final predictive model was based on the variables birth weight, surfactant requirement, and Fraction of Inspired Oxygen (FiO2) (AUC, 0.891; 95% CI, 0.792-0.989). Conclusions: Competing risk analysis allowed accurate prediction of BPD, avoiding the potential bias resulting from the exclusion of deceased newborns or the use of combined outcomes. The resulting models are based on clinical variables measured at bedside during the first 3 days of life, can be easily implemented in clinical practice, and can enable earlier identification of patients at high risk of BPD.

Epidemiology and risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in preterm infants born at or less than 32 weeks of gestation.

OBJECTIVES: To describe risk factors of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in very preterm infants in the first weeks of life. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of preterm infants ≤ 32 weeks of gestational age and birth weight ≤ 1500 g. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in the first weeks of life. RESULTS: A total of 202 newborns were included in the study (mean gestational age 29.5 ± 2.1 weeks), 61.4% never received invasive mechanical ventilation. The incidence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia was 28.7%, and 10.4% of the patients were diagnosed with moderate-severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia was independently associated with gestational age (P < 0.001; OR = 0.44 (95% CI = 0.30-0.65)), the need for mechanical ventilation on the first day of life (P = 0.001; OR = 8.13 ((95% CI = 2.41-27.42)), nosocomial sepsis (P < 0.001; OR = 9.51 ((95% CI = 2.99-30.28)) and FiO2 on day 14 (P < 0.001; OR = 1.39 ((95% CI = 1.16-1.66)). Receiving mechanical ventilation at the first day of life (P = 0.008; OR = 5.39 ((95% CI = 1.54-18.89)) and at the third day of life (P = 0.001; OR = 9.99 ((95% CI = 2.47-40.44)) and nosocomial sepsis (P = 0.001; OR = 9.87 ((95% CI = 2.58-37.80)) were independent risk factors for moderate-severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. CONCLUSIONS: Gestational age, mechanical ventilation in the first days of life and nosocomial sepsis are early risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia. The analysis of simple and objective clinical data, allows us to select a group of patients at high risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in whom it could be justified to act more aggressively, and shows areas for improvement to prevent its development or reduce its severity.

Incidence, Predictors and Outcomes of Noninvasive Ventilation Failure in Very Preterm Infants.

Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) is now considered the first-line treatment for respiratory distress syndrome in preterm infants. We aimed to evaluate the rates of non-invasive ventilation failure rate in very preterm infants, as well as to identify its predictors and associated outcomes. We designed a single-center retrospective cohort study including infants ≤32 weeks gestational age and ≤1500 g. The NIV failure was defined as the need for intubation at <72 h of life. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 154 patients were included in the study, with a mean GA of 29.7 ± two weeks. The NIV failure rate was 16.2% (n = 25) and it was associated with lower bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD)-free survival (OR 0.08; 95% CI 0.02−0.32) and higher incidence of intraventricular hemorrhage > II (OR 6.22; 95% CI 1.36−28.3). These infants were significantly smaller in GA and weight. Higher FiO2 during resuscitation (OR 1.14; 95% CI 1.06−1.22) and after surfactant administration (OR 1.17; 95% CI 1.05−1.31) represented independent risk factors for NIV failure. In conclusion, NIV failure is frequent and it could be predicted by a higher oxygen requirement during resuscitation and a modest response to surfactant therapy. Importantly, this NIV failure is associated with worse clinical outcomes.

[Epidemiology and risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in prematures infants born at or less than 32 weeks of gestation]. / Epidemiología y factores de riesgo asociados a displasia broncopulmonar en prematuros menores de 32 semanas de edad gestacional.

OBJECTIVES: To describe risk factors of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in very preterm infants in the first weeks of life. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of preterm infants ≤ 32 weeks of gestational age and birth weight ≤ 1500 g. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia in the first weeks of life. RESULTS: A total of 202 newborns were included in the study (mean gestational age 29.5 ± 2.1 weeks), 61.4% never received invasive mechanical ventilation. The incidence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia was 28.7%, and 10.4% of the patients were diagnosed with moderate-severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia was independently associated with gestational age at birth (p < 0.001; OR = 0.44 [95% CI = 0.30-0.65]), the need for mechanical ventilation on the first day of life (p = 0.001; OR = 8.13 [95% CI = 2.41-27.42]), nosocomial sepsis (p < 0.001; OR = 9.51 [95% CI = 2.99-30.28]) and FiO2 on day 14 (p < 0.001; OR = 1.39 [95% CI = 1.16-1.66]). Receiving mechanical ventilation at the first day of life (p = 0.008; OR = 5.39 [95% CI = 1.54-18.89]) and at the third day of life (p = 0.001; OR = 9.99 [95% CI = 2.47-40.44]) and nosocomial sepsis (p = 0.001; OR = 9.87 [95% CI = 2.58-37.80]) were independent risk factors for moderate-severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia. CONCLUSIONS: Gestational age at birth, mechanical ventilation in the first days of life and nosocomial sepsis are early risk factors for bronchopulmonary dysplasia. The analysis of simple and objective clinical data, allows us to select a group of patients at high risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in whom it could be justified to act more aggressively, and shows areas for improvement to prevent its development or reduce its severity.