Variation in resource utilization and mortality among patients with varying MR type and severity.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exists regarding the relationships between resource use and outcomes in patients with mitral regurgitation (MR). We examined resource utilization and outcomes across MR type and severity. METHODS: Using the Duke Echocardiography Laboratory Database, we identified patients with an index echo demonstrating moderate or severe MR (2000-2016) and examined 5-year cumulative rates of resources (ie, TTE, TEE, cardiac catheterization, cardiology/CTS referral, MV surgery/TEER, hospitalizations) by severity and type. We performed a multivariable landmark analysis of resource use during a 6 to 12 month period and 5-year mortality; and a multivariable analysis of the association between MR type and 5-year hospitalization costs. RESULTS: Among 4,511 patients with moderate or severe MR, 84.7% had moderate MR and 42.2% had secondary ischemic MR. The median age was 70 years-moderate, 66 years-severe. The mean 5-year cumulative resource utilization rate was 11.1 encounters/patients. Among patients with moderate or severe MR, there was significant variation in utilization of each resource by MR type (all P < .05). For severe MR, the performance of cardiac catheterization or MV surgery during the landmark period was associated with significantly lower mortality; for moderate MR, CTS referral during the landmark was associated with significantly lower mortality (P < .05). Patients with secondary ischemic and non-ischemic MR had significantly higher 5-year hospitalization costs compared with primary myxomatous MR (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Resource utilization and outcomes vary by MR type and severity. Utilization of resources, such as TTE, during guideline-recommended surveillance periods was not associated with a reduction in mortality while other care (catheterization or surgery) was associated with improved survival.

Machine learning to define phenotypes and outcomes of patients hospitalized for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: Findings from ASCEND-HF.

BACKGROUND: Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF) is a heterogenous disease with few therapies proven to provide clinical benefit. Machine learning can characterize distinct phenotypes and compare outcomes among patients with HFpEF who are hospitalized for acute HF. METHODS: We applied hierarchical clustering using demographics, comorbidities, and clinical data on admission to identify distinct clusters in hospitalized HFpEF (ejection fraction >40%) in the ASCEND-HF trial. We separately applied a previously developed latent class analysis (LCA) clustering method and compared in-hospital and long-term outcomes across cluster groups. RESULTS: Of 7141 patients enrolled in the ASCEND-HF trial, 812 (11.4%) were hospitalized for HFpEF and met the criteria for complete case analysis. Hierarchical Cluster 1 included older women with atrial fibrillation (AF). Cluster 2 had elevated resting blood pressure. Cluster 3 had young men with obesity and diabetes. Cluster 4 had low resting blood pressure. Mortality at 180 days was lowest among Cluster 3 (KM event-rate 6.2 [95% CI: 3.5, 10.9]) and highest among Cluster 4 (18.8 [14.6, 24.0], P < .001). Twenty four-hour urine output was higher in Cluster 3 (2700 mL [1800, 3975]) than Cluster 4 (2100 mL [1400, 3055], P < .001). LCA also identified four clusters: A) older White or Asian women, B) younger men with few comorbidities, C) older individuals with AF and renal impairment, and D) patients with obesity and diabetes. Mortality at 180 days was lowest among LCA Cluster B (KM event-rate 5.5 [2.0, 10.3]) and highest among LCA Cluster C (26.3 [19.2, 35.4], P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalized for HFpEF, cluster analysis demonstrated distinct phenotypes with differing clinical profiles and outcomes.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Palliative Care: Insights from the PAL-HF Trial.

BACKGROUND: In a randomized control trial, Palliative Care in Heart Failure (PAL-HF) improved heart failure-related quality of life, though cost-effectiveness remains unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the PAL-HF trial, which provided outpatient palliative care to patients with advanced heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Outcomes for usual care and PAL-HF strategies were compared using a Markov cohort model over 36 months from a payer perspective. The model parameters were informed by PAL-HF trial data and supplemented with meta-analyses and Medicare administrative data. Outcomes included hospitalization, place of death, Medicare expenditures, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Simulated mortality rates were the same for PAL-HF and usual care cohorts, at 89.7% at 36 months. In the base case analysis, the PAL-HF intervention resulted in an incremental gain of 0.03 QALYs and an incremental cost of $964 per patient for an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $29,041 per QALY. In 1-way sensitivity analyses, an intervention cost of up to $140 per month is cost effective at $50,000 per QALY. Of 1000 simulations, the PC intervention had a 66.1% probability of being cost effective at a $50,000 willingness-to-pay threshold assuming no decrease in hospitalization. In a scenario analysis, PAL-HF decreased payer spending through reductions in noncardiovascular hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: These results from this single-center trial are encouraging that palliative care for advanced heart failure is an economically attractive intervention. Confirmation of these findings in larger multicenter trials will be an important part of developing the evidence to support more widespread implementation of the PAL-HF palliative care intervention.

Effects of Liraglutide on Worsening Renal Function Among Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction: Insights From the FIGHT Trial.

BACKGROUND: The FIGHT (Functional Impact of GLP-1 [glucagon-like peptide-1] for Heart Failure Treatment) trial randomized 300 patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and a recent hospitalization for heart failure to liraglutide versus placebo. While there was no difference in the primary outcome (rank score of time to death, time to rehospitalization for heart failure, and change in NT-proBNP [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide]), there was a significant increase in cystatin C among patients randomized to liraglutide raising concern of adverse renal outcomes. We performed a post hoc analysis of FIGHT to investigate whether liraglutide was associated with worsening renal function (WRF). METHODS: The relationship between randomization to liraglutide and WRF was evaluated using logistic regression models. Two hundred seventy-four patients (91%) had complete data to assess for WRF defined as: increase in SCr ≥0.3 mg/dL, or ≥25% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate, or an increase in cystatin C ≥0.3 mg/L from baseline to 180-days. RESULTS: Patients with WRF (n=113, 41%), compared with those without, were older, had more comorbidities, and lower utilization of guideline-directed medical treatment. Logistic regression models showed that age and baseline cystatin C levels were associated with WRF. In adjusted models, liraglutide was not associated with excess risk of WRF compared with placebo (odds ratio, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.62-1.67]). There was also no difference in the rank score when WRF was added as a fourth-tier outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Liraglutide was not associated with WRF among patients with HFrEF and a recent hospitalization for heart failure. These data support the relative renal safety profile of liraglutide among patients with HFrEF. Registration: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01800968.

Elevated Uric Acid Prevalence and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction: Insights from RELAX.

PURPOSE: We aimed to 1) describe characteristics of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) enrolled in RELAX stratified by normal or elevated baseline serum uric acid (sUA) level; 2) evaluate the association between sUA level and surrogate clinical measures; and 3) assess associations between changes in sUA level over time and changes in surrogate clinical measures. METHODS: We analyzed 212 patients with HFpEF and normal or elevated (>6 mg/dL) baseline sUA measurements from the RELAX trial. Variables examined included clinical characteristics, cardiopulmonary exercise testing, 6-minute walk testing, quality of life, echocardiography, and serum biomarker testing. Baseline characteristics between groups were compared and scatter plots with quadratic regression lines and linear regression modeling were used to assess the relationship between baseline sUA and clinical measures. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to describe composite death or cardiovascular/renal hospitalization. RESULTS: The prevalence of elevated baseline sUA was 68.9%. Patients with elevated sUA had more baseline comorbidities and poorer functional status on cardiopulmonary exercise testing than those without. After adjustment, significant associations between baseline sUA levels and cystatin C, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein were identified. Higher baseline sUA was also associated with worsening peak VO2, 6-minute walk testing, and left ventricular mass. No significant association was found between baseline sUA levels and the composite of death or cardiovascular/renal hospitalization at 24 weeks. CONCLUSION: sUA is an important marker of comorbidities and functional status in patients with HFpEF. Clinical trials of sUA-lowering therapies in patients with HFpEF are promising.

Patient Phenotypes, Cardiovascular Risk, and Ezetimibe Treatment in Patients After Acute Coronary Syndromes (from IMPROVE-IT).

Risk prediction following acute coronary syndrome (ACS) remains challenging. Data-driven machine-learning algorithms can potentially identify patients at high risk of clinical events. The Improved Reduction of Outcomes: Vytorin Efficacy International Trial randomized 18,144 post-ACS patients to ezetimibe + simvastatin or placebo + simvastatin. We performed hierarchical cluster analysis to identify patients at high risk of adverse events. Associations between clusters and outcomes were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, unstable angina hospitalization, or coronary revascularization ≥30 days after randomization. We evaluated ezetimibe's impact on outcomes across clusters and the ability of the cluster analysis to discriminate for outcomes compared with the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score. Five clusters were identified. In cluster 1 (n = 13,252), most patients experienced a non-STEMI (54.8%). Cluster 2 patients (n = 2,719) had the highest incidence of unstable angina (n = 83.3%). Cluster 3 patients (n = 782) all identified as Spanish descent, whereas cluster 4 patients (n = 803) were primarily from South America (56.2%). In cluster 5 (n = 587), all patients had ST elevation. Cluster analysis identified patients at high risk of adverse outcomes (log-rank p <0.0001); Cluster 2 (vs 1) patients had the highest risk of outcomes (hazards ratio 1.33, 95% confidence interval 1.24 to 1.43). Compared with GRACE risk, cluster analysis did not provide superior outcome discrimination. A consistent ezetimibe treatment effect was identified across clusters (interaction p = 0.882). In conclusion, cluster analysis identified significant difference in risk of outcomes across cluster groups. Data-driven strategies to identify patients who may differentially benefit from therapies and for risk stratification require further evaluation.

Pro-Inflammatory Biomarkers in Stable Versus Acutely Decompensated Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Underlying inflammation has been increasingly recognized in heart failure with a preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). In this study we tested the hypothesis that pro-inflammatory biomarkers are elevated in patients with acutely decompensated HFpEF (AD-HFpEF) compared with patients with stable HFpEF (S-HFpEF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a post hoc analysis the serum biomarkers tumor necrosis factor-alpha, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein interleukin 6 and pentraxin 3 (PTX3) and clinical, demographic, echocardiographic-Doppler and clinical outcomes data were analyzed in HFpEF patients enrolled in NHLBI Heart Failure Research Network clinical trials which enrolled patients with either AD-HFpEF or S-HFpEF. Compared to S-HFpEF, AD-HFpEF patients had higher levels of PTX3 (3.08 ng/mL versus 1.27 ng/mL, P<0.0001), interleukin-6 (4.14 pg/mL versus 1.71 pg/mL, P<0.0001), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (11.54 pg/mL versus 8.62 pg/mL, P=0.0015), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (11.90 mg/dL versus 3.42 mg/dL, P<0.0001). Moreover, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 and PTX3 levels were significantly higher in AD-HFpEF compared with S-HFpEF patients admitted for decompensated HF within the previous year. PTX3 was positively correlated with left atrial volume index (r=0.41, P=0.0017) and left ventricular mass (r=0.26, P=0.0415), while tumor necrosis factor-alpha was inversely correlated with E/A ratio (r=-0.31, P=0.0395). CONCLUSIONS: Levels of pro-inflammatory biomarkers are strikingly higher in AD-HFpEF compared with S-HFpEF patients. PTX3 and tumor necrosis factor-alpha are correlated with echocardiographic-Doppler evidence of diastolic dysfunction. Taken together these data support the concept that a heightened pro-inflammatory state has a pathophysiologic role in the development of AD-HFpEF.

Factors associated with reporting results for pulmonary clinical trials in ClinicalTrials.gov.

Background/aims The Food and Drug Administration Amendments Act mandates that applicable clinical trials report basic summary results to the ClinicalTrials.gov database within 1 year of trial completion or termination. We aimed to determine the proportion of pulmonary trials reporting basic summary results to ClinicalTrials.gov and assess factors associated with reporting. Methods We identified pulmonary clinical trials subject to the Food and Drug Administration Amendments Act (called highly likely applicable clinical trials) that were completed or terminated between 2008 and 2012 and reported results by September 2013. We estimated the cumulative percentage of applicable clinical trials reporting results by pulmonary disease category. Multivariable Cox regression modeling identified characteristics independently associated with results reporting. Results Of 1450 pulmonary highly likely applicable clinical trials, 380 (26%) examined respiratory neoplasms, 238 (16%) asthma, 175 (12%) chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and 657 (45%) other respiratory diseases. Most (75%) were pharmaceutical highly likely applicable clinical trials and 71% were industry-funded. Approximately 15% of highly likely applicable clinical trials reported results within 1 year of trial completion, while 55% reported results over the 5-year study period. Earlier phase highly likely applicable clinical trials were less likely to report results compared to phase 4 highly likely applicable clinical trials (phases 1/2 and 2 (adjusted hazard ratio 0.41 (95% confidence interval: 0.31-0.54)), phases 2/3 and 3 (adjusted hazard ratio 0.55 (95% confidence interval: 0.42-0.72)) and phase not applicable (adjusted hazard ratio 0.43 (95% confidence interval: 0.29-0.63)). Pulmonary highly likely applicable clinical trials without Food and Drug Administration oversight were less likely to report results compared with those with oversight (adjusted hazard ratio 0.65 (95% confidence interval: 0.51-0.83)). Conclusion A total of 15% of pulmonary clinical highly likely applicable clinical trials report basic summary results to ClinicalTrials.gov within 1 year of trial completion. Strategies to improve reporting are needed within the pulmonary community.

Platelet-related biomarkers and their response to inhibition with aspirin and p2y12-receptor antagonists in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

The PLATelet inhibition and patient Outcomes (PLATO) trial showed that treatment with ticagrelor reduced the rate of death due to vascular causes, myocardial infarction and stroke when compared to clopidogrel in patients with ST-elevation or non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (ACS). While the comparative benefit of ticagrelor over clopidogrel increased over time, event rates accrued in both groups during the study period. The purpose of our biomarker-based exploratory analysis was to determine whether long-term platelet inhibition may be associated with platelet adaptation. A sample of 4000 participants from the PLATO trial also consented to participate in a prospectively designed biomarker substudy. Blood samples were procured at baseline, immediately prior to hospital discharge and at 1 and 6 months. Markers of platelet activity, including platelet count, serum CD40-ligand and soluble P-selectin were analyzed. Mean levels were compared at discharge, 1 and 6 months following study drug initiation-first for all patients and subsequently stratified by treatment group. A linear mixed model was used to estimate the short-term change rate (baseline to 1 month) and long-term change rate (1-6 months) for each biomarker. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios for each change in biomarker over the two time periods examined: baseline to 1 month and 1 to 6 months. Prior to randomized treatment (baseline), sCD40 ligand and sP-selectin levels were elevated above the normal range of the assay (0.39 and 33.5 µg/L, respectively). The mean level of each biomarker was significantly different at 1 month compared to baseline (p < 0.0001). When stratified by treatment group, at 1 month patients treated with ticagrelor had a larger increase in platelet count compared to those treated with clopidogrel (p < 0.0001). Similarly, when comparing biomarker levels for all patients at 6 months with those at 1 month, each differed significantly (p < 0.05). There was no significant difference between treatment groups during this time period. The rate of change for both platelet count and sP-selectin were significantly different between baseline and 1 month when compared to the 1 to 6-month time period (p < 0.0001). When comparing treatment groups, the rate of increase in platelets from baseline to 1 month was greater for patients treated with ticagrelor (p < 0.0001). This was no longer observed in the 1 to 6-month interval. Using a Cox proportional hazard model, the increase in platelet count from 1 to 6 months was associated with ischemic-thrombotic events, while sCD40 ligand decrease from 1 to 6 months was associated with hemorrhagic events. There were no differences between treatment groups for the associations with clinical endpoints. Dynamic changes in platelet count, sCD-40 ligand and sP-selectin occur over time among patients with ACS. Platelet-directed therapy with a P2Y12 receptor inhibitor in combination with aspirin modestly impacts the expression of these biomarkers. Platelet count and sCD40 ligand may offer modest overall predictive value for future ischemic-thrombotic or hemorrhagic clinical events, respectively. The existence of a platelet adaptome and its overall clinical significance among patients at risk for thrombotic events will require a more in-depth and platelet-biology specific investigation.

Noncardiovascular deaths are more common than cardiovascular deaths in patients with cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular risk factors and impaired glucose tolerance: Insights from the Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with impaired glucose tolerance have an elevated risk of cardiovascular (CV) death; however, the causes and risk factors associated with non-CV deaths are poorly understood. METHODS: The NAVIGATOR trial enrolled 9,306 participants with impaired glucose tolerance and CV disease or at high CV risk, with a median follow-up of 6.4years. Using this population, we identified (1) the proportion of deaths attributed to CV, non-CV, and unknown causes, and (2) the risk factors associated with non-CV death. RESULTS: During the NAVIGATOR trial follow-up, 622 patients died. Investigators reported 244 (39.2%) CV deaths, 313 (50.3%) non-CV deaths, and 65 (10.5%) deaths of unknown cause. Myocardial infarction was the leading cause of investigator-reported death (57/622 [9.2%]). Among non-CV deaths, the most commonly identified cause related to malignancy (177/313 [56.5%]). Using adjudicated causes of death, Cox proportional hazard models identified 3 independent prognostic markers that increased the risk of non-CV death: history of non-melanoma skin cancer (hazard ratio 2.67 [95% CI 1.65-4.33]; P<.0001), white blood cell count (1 unit >5000/mm3; 1.10 [1.02-1.18]; P=.011), and serum potassium levels (per 1mmol/L above any value; 1.67 [1.302.15]; P<.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Despite the high baseline CV risk among patients in the NAVIGATOR trial, the most common cause of death was non-CV. The high burden of non-CV death in this population has potential implications for future CV event-driven trials.

Implications of Serum Chloride Homeostasis in Acute Heart Failure (from ROSE-AHF).

Lower serum chloride (Cl) levels are strongly associated with increased long-term mortality after admission for acute heart failure (AHF). However, the therapeutic implications of serum Cl levels during AHF are unknown. We sought to determine the short-term clinical response and postdischarge outcomes associated with serum Cl levels in AHF. Serum Cl was measured at randomization (n = 358) and during hospitalization from patients with AHF in the Renal Optimization Strategies Evaluation in Acute Heart Failure trial. Outcomes included diuretic response and renal function at 72 hours and death and rehospitalization at 60 and 180 days. Baseline Cl tertiles were 84 to 98; 99 to 102; and 103 to 117 meq/l. Baseline Cl level was associated with diuretic efficiency (p <0.001) but not change in cystatin C (p = 0.30) at 72 hours and was associated with 60-day death (hazard ratio [HR] 0.86, p = 0.029), 60-day death and rehospitalization (HR 0.90, p = 0.01), and 180-day death (HR 0.91, p = 0.049). These associations were attenuated with additional adjustment for loop diuretic dose (p >0.05). Chloride change correlated with weight change (ρ 0.18, p = 0.001), cystatin C change (ρ -0.35, p <0.001), and cumulative sodium excretion (ρ -0.21, p <0.001) but was not associated with any clinical outcomes (p >0.05 for all). In conclusion, serum Cl levels in AHF were inversely associated with loop diuretic response and were prognostic. However, changes in Cl levels were associated with parameters of decongestion but not with clinical outcomes.

Myocardial viability and impact of surgical ventricular reconstruction on outcomes of patients with severe left ventricular dysfunction undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery: results of the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure trial.

OBJECTIVES: In the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure trial, surgical ventricular reconstruction plus coronary artery bypass surgery was not associated with a reduction in the rate of death or cardiac hospitalization compared with bypass alone. We hypothesized that the absence of viable myocardium identifies patients with coronary artery disease and left ventricular dysfunction who have a greater benefit with coronary artery bypass graft surgery and surgical ventricular reconstruction compared with bypass alone. METHODS: Myocardial viability was assessed by single photon computed tomography in 267 of the 1000 patients randomized to bypass or bypass plus surgical ventricular reconstruction in the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure. Myocardial viability was assessed on a per patient basis and regionally according to prespecified criteria. RESULTS: At 3 years, there was no difference in mortality or the combined outcome of death or cardiac hospitalization between those with and without viability, and there was no significant interaction between the type of surgery and the global viability status with respect to mortality or death plus cardiac hospitalization. Furthermore, there was no difference in mortality or death plus cardiac hospitalization between those with and without anterior wall or apical scar, and no significant interaction between the presence of scar in these regions and the type of surgery with respect to mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with coronary artery disease and severe regional left ventricular dysfunction, assessment of myocardial viability does not identify patients who will derive a mortality benefit from adding surgical ventricular reconstruction to coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

Impact of baseline physical activity and diet behavior on metabolic syndrome in a pharmaceutical trial: results from NAVIGATOR.

OBJECTIVE: The cardiometabolic risk cluster metabolic syndrome (MS) includes ≥3 of elevated fasting glucose, hypertension, elevated triglycerides, reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), and increased waist circumference. Each can be affected by physical activity and diet. Our objective was to determine whether determine whether baseline physical activity and/or diet behavior impact MS in the course of a large pharmaceutical trial. MATERIALS/METHODS: This was an observational study from NAVIGATOR, a double-blind, randomized (nateglinide, valsartan, both, or placebo), controlled trial between 2002 and 2004. We studied data from persons (n=9306) with impaired glucose tolerance and cardiovascular disease (CVD) or CVD risk factors; 7118 with pedometer data were included in this analysis. Physical activity was assessed with 7-day pedometer records; diet behavior was self-reported on a 6-item survey. An MS score (MSSc) was calculated using the sum of each MS component, centered around the Adult Treatment Panel III threshold, and standardized according to sample standard deviation. Excepting HDL-c, assessed at baseline and year 3, MS components were assessed yearly. Follow-up averaged 6 years. RESULTS: For every 2000-step increase in average daily steps, there was an associated reduction in average MSSc of 0.29 (95% CI (-)0.33 to (-)0.25). For each diet behavior endorsed, there was an associated reduction in average MSSc of 0.05 (95% CI (-)0.08 to (-)0.01). Accounting for the effects of pedometer steps and diet behavior together had minimal impact on parameter estimates with no significant interaction. Relations were independent of age, sex, race, region, smoking, family history of diabetes, and use of nateglinide, valsartan, aspirin, antihypertensive, and lipid-lowering agent. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline physical activity and diet behavior were associated independently with reductions in MSSc such that increased attention to these lifestyle elements provides cardiometabolic benefits. Thus, given the potential to impact outcomes, assessment of physical activity and diet should be performed in pharmacologic trials targeting cardiometabolic risk.

Predictors of cardiovascular events in a contemporary population with impaired glucose tolerance: an observational analysis of the Nateglinide and Valsartan in impaired glucose tolerance outcomes research (NAVIGATOR) trial.

OBJECTIVES: Risk factors for cardiovascular events are well established in general populations and those with diabetes but have been sparsely studied in impaired glucose tolerance (IGT). We sought to identify predictors of (1) a composite cardiovascular outcome (cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and non-fatal stroke) and (2) cardiovascular death, among patients with IGT. DESIGN: We studied participants enrolled in the Nateglinide and Valsartan in Impaired Glucose Tolerance Outcomes Research (NAVIGATOR) trial. Predictors of cardiovascular events were identified in observational analyses. SETTING: Clinical trial participants in 40 countries. PARTICIPANTS: 9306 participants with biochemically confirmed IGT at high risk of cardiovascular events participated in NAVIGATOR. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Cox proportional hazard regression models were constructed using variables (demographic data, medical history, clinical features, biochemical results and ECG findings) recorded at baseline to identify variables associated with and predictive of cardiovascular events. RESULTS: Over 6.4 years, 639 (6.9%) participants experienced a cardiovascular event, and 244 (2.6%) cardiovascular death. While predictors of both outcomes included established risk factors such as existing cardiovascular disease, male gender, older age, current smoking status and higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, other variables such as reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate, previous thromboembolic disease, atrial fibrillation, higher urinary albumin/creatinine ratio and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were also important predictors. Glycaemic measures were not predictive of cardiovascular events. c-Statistics for predicting cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death were 0.74 and 0.82, respectively. This compares with c-statistics for cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death of 0.65 and 0.71, respectively, using the classical Framingham risk factors of age, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, treatment for hypertension and smoking status. CONCLUSIONS: The most powerful independent predictors of cardiovascular events in IGT included both established risk factors and other variables excluding measures of glycaemia, allowing effective identification of high-risk individuals.

Center variation in hospital costs for patients undergoing congenital heart surgery.

BACKGROUND: Congenital heart disease consumes significant health care resources; however, there are limited data regarding factors affecting resource utilization. The purpose of this study was to evaluate variation between centers in total hospital costs for 4 congenital heart operations of varying complexity and associated factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Premier Database was used to evaluate total cost in children undergoing isolated atrial septal defect (ASD) repair, ventricular septal defect (VSD) repair, tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) repair, or arterial switch operation (ASO) from 2001 to 2007. Mixed models were used to evaluate the impact of center on total hospital costs adjusting for patient and center characteristics and length of stay. A total of 2124 patients were included: 719 ASD (19 centers), 792 VSD (20 centers), 420 TOF (17 centers), and 193 ASO (13 centers). Total cost increased with complexity of operation from median $12 761 (ASD repair) to $55 430 (ASO). In multivariable analysis, models that accounted for center effects versus those that did not performed significantly better for all 4 surgeries (all P≤0.01). The proportion of total cost variation explained by center was 19% (ASD repair), 11% (VSD repair), 6% (TOF repair), and 3% (ASO). Higher-volume centers had significantly lower hospital costs for ASD and VSD repair but not for TOF repair and ASO. CONCLUSIONS: Total hospital costs varied significantly by center for all congenital heart surgeries evaluated, even after adjustment for patient and center characteristics and length of stay. Differences among centers were most prominent for lower complexity procedures.

Quality of care of and outcomes for African Americans hospitalized with heart failure: findings from the OPTIMIZE-HF (Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure) registry.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to examine the characteristics, quality of care, and clinical outcomes for a large cohort of African-American patients hospitalized with heart failure (HF) in centers participating in a quality improvement initiative. BACKGROUND: Heart failure in African Americans is characterized by variations in natural history, lesser response to evidence-based therapies, and disparate health care. We hypothesized that a performance improvement program will achieve similar adherence to quality measures in African Americans admitted with HF compared with non-African Americans. METHODS: The OPTIMIZE-HF (Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure) registry-based performance-improvement program includes a pre-specified 10% subgroup with 60- to 90-day follow-up. Data on quality of care measures and outcomes were analyzed for 8,608 African-American patients compared with 38,501 non-African-American patients. RESULTS: African Americans were significantly younger and more likely to receive evidence-based medications but less likely to receive discharge instructions and smoking cessation counseling. In multivariable analyses, African-American race was an independent predictor of lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval 0.57 to 0.87; p < 0.001) but similar hospital length of stay. After multivariable adjustment, post-discharge outcomes were similar for American-American and non-African-American patients, but African-American race was associated with higher angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor prescription and left ventricular function assessment; no other HF quality indicators were influenced by race. CONCLUSIONS: In the context of a performance-improvement program, African Americans with HF received similar or better treatment with evidence-based medications, less discharge counseling, had better in-hospital survival, and similar adjusted risk of follow-up death/repeat hospital stay.

International variation in the use of blood transfusion in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes.

The purpose of this study was to determine international patterns of blood transfusion in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Previous studies showed geographic heterogeneity in some aspects of ACS care. Data for variability in the use of blood transfusion in ACS management are limited. Pooled data from 3 international randomized trials of patients with non-ST-segment elevation ACS (n = 23,906) were analyzed to determine the association between non-United States (US) location and blood transfusion after stratifying by the use of invasive procedures. The analysis adjusted for differences in patient characteristics and was repeated using a 2-stage mixed-model approach and in patients who underwent in-hospital coronary artery bypass grafting. Compared with US patients, both unadjusted and adjusted hazards for blood transfusion were significantly lower in non-US patients who did not undergo invasive procedures (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.17 to 0.33; adjusted HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.14 to 0.28). This was also true in non-US patients who underwent invasive procedures (unadjusted HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.44; adjusted HR 0.31, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.42). Results were similar in both validation analyses. In conclusion, there was substantial international variation in blood transfusion use in patients with ACS. These results, along with the controversy regarding the appropriate use of transfusion in patients with coronary heart disease, emphasize the need for understanding the role of blood transfusion in the management of patients with ACS and factors that influence transfusion decisions.

Influence of a performance-improvement initiative on quality of care for patients hospitalized with heart failure: results of the Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF).

BACKGROUND: Despite evidence-based national guidelines for optimal treatment of heart failure (HF), the quality of care remains inadequate. We sought to evaluate the effect of a national hospital-based initiative on quality of care in patients hospitalized with HF. METHODS: Two hundred fifty-nine US hospitals participating in the Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF) submitted data on 48 612 patients with HF from March 1, 2003, through December 31, 2004. Admission, hospital, discharge care, and outcomes data were collected using a Web-based registry that provided real-time feedback on performance measures benchmarked to other hospitals. Process-of-care improvement tools, including evidence-based best-practice algorithms and customizable admission and discharge sets, were provided. RESULTS: Provision of complete discharge instructions and smoking-cessation counseling increased significantly (from 46.8%-66.5% and 48.2%-75.6%, respectively; P < .001 for both). Left ventricular function assessment started at a high rate (89.3%) and improved to 92.1% (P < .001). Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors were prescribed at discharge to 75.8% of eligible patients, which did not improve during the 2-year study. There were trends for reduction of in-hospital mortality, postdischarge death, and combined postdischarge death and rehospitalization and a significant reduction in mean length of stay. Use of preprinted admission order sets and/or discharge checklists increased from 35.6% to 54.1% and was associated with an increase in the use of evidence-based therapies and lower risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Participation in OPTIMIZE-HF was associated with an increase in use of evidence-based therapy, adherence to performance measures, and shorter lengths of stay in patients hospitalized with HF. Increased use of process-of-care improvement tools was associated with further improvements in quality of care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier NCT00344513.

Outcomes in heart failure patients after major noncardiac surgery.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate mortality and readmission rates of heart failure (HF) patients after major noncardiac surgery. BACKGROUND: There is a lack of generalizable outcome data on HF patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery because previous studies have been limited to a few academic centers or have not focused on this group of patients. METHODS: Using the 1997 to 1998 Standard Analytic File 5% Sample of Medicare beneficiaries, we identified patients with HF who underwent major noncardiac surgery. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to provide adjusted mortality and readmission rates in patients after noncardiac surgery. Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and all other remaining patients (Control) who had similar surgery served as reference groups. RESULTS: Of 23,340 HF patients and 28,710 CAD patients, 1,532 (6.56%) HF patients and 1,757 (6.12%) CAD patients underwent major noncardiac surgery. There were 44,512 patients in the Control group with major noncardiac surgery. After accounting for demographic characteristics, type of surgery, and comorbid conditions, the risk-adjusted operative mortality (death before discharge or within 30 days of surgery) was HF 11.7%, CAD 6.6%, and Control 6.2% (HF vs. CAD, p < 0.001; CAD vs. Control, p = 0.518). The risk-adjusted 30-day readmission rate was HF 20.0%, CAD 14.2%, and Control 11.0% (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients 65 years of age and older, HF patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery suffer substantial morbidity and mortality despite advances in perioperative care, whereas patients with CAD without HF have similar mortality compared with a more general population.

The prognostic importance of comorbidity for mortality in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the prevalent and prognostically important coexisting illnesses among single coronary artery disease (CAD) patients. BACKGROUND: As the population ages, physicians are increasingly required to make decisions concerning patients with multiple co-existing illnesses (comorbidity). Many trials of CAD therapy have excluded patients with significant comorbidity, such that there are limited data to guide the management of those patients. METHODS: To consider the long-term prognostic importance of comorbid illness, we examined a cohort of 1471 patients with CAD who underwent cardiac catheterization between 1985 and 1989 and were followed up through 2000 in the Duke Databank for Cardiovascular Diseases. Weights were assigned to individual diseases according to their prognostic significance in Cox proportional hazards models, thus creating a new CAD-specific index. The new index was compared with the widely used Charlson index, according to prevalence of conditions, individual and overall associations with survival, and agreement. RESULTS: The Charlson index and the CAD-specific index were highly associated with long-term survival and almost equivalent to left ventricular ejection fraction. When considering the components of the Charlson index, diabetes, renal insufficiency, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and peripheral vascular disease had greater prognostic significance among CAD patients, whereas peptic ulcer disease, connective tissue disease, and lymphoma were less significant. Hemiplegia, leukemia, lymphoma, severe liver disease, and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome were rarely identified among patients undergoing coronary angiography. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbid disease is strongly associated with long-term survival in patients with CAD. These data suggest co-existing illnesses should be measured and considered in clinical trials, disease registries, quality comparisons, and counseling of individual patients.