The Barthel Index predicts surgical textbook outcomes following hepatectomy for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The burgeoning demand for hepatectomy in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) necessitates improved perioperative care. Geriatric populations frequently experience functional decline and frailty, predisposing them to adverse postoperative outcomes. The Barthel Index serves as a reliable measure for assessing functional capacity, and this study evaluates its impact on surgical textbook outcomes (TOs) in elderly HCC patients. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective cohort study analyzed elderly patients (≥70 years) following hepatectomy for HCC between 2013 and 2021. Utilizing a Barthel Index cut-off value of 85, patients were divided into two groups: with and without preoperative functional decline and frailty. The primary outcome was the rate of TO, encompassing seven criteria. TO rates were compared between groups, and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified independent risks for achieving TOs. RESULTS: Of 497 elderly patients, 157 (31.6 â€‹%) exhibited preoperative functional decline and frailty (Barthel Index score <85). The overall TO rate was 58.6 â€‹%. Patients with preoperative Barthel Index score <85 had significantly lower TO rates compared to patients with score ≥85 (29.3 â€‹% vs. 72.1 â€‹%, P â€‹< â€‹0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed preoperative Barthel Index score <85 as an independent risk for achieving TO (odds ratio 3.413, 95 â€‹% confidence interval 1.879-6.198, P â€‹< â€‹0.001). Comparable results were observed in the subgroups of patients undergoing open and laparoscopic hepatectomy. CONCLUSION: Preoperative Barthel Index-based assessment of functional decline and frailty significantly predicts TOs following hepatectomy in elderly HCC patients, enabling identification of high-risk patients and informing preoperative management and postoperative care within geriatric oncology.

Collaborative Modeling to Compare Different Breast Cancer Screening Strategies: A Decision Analysis for the US Preventive Services Task Force.

Importance: The effects of breast cancer incidence changes and advances in screening and treatment on outcomes of different screening strategies are not well known. Objective: To estimate outcomes of various mammography screening strategies. Design, Setting, and Population: Comparison of outcomes using 6 Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) models and national data on breast cancer incidence, mammography performance, treatment effects, and other-cause mortality in US women without previous cancer diagnoses. Exposures: Thirty-six screening strategies with varying start ages (40, 45, 50 years) and stop ages (74, 79 years) with digital mammography or digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) annually, biennially, or a combination of intervals. Strategies were evaluated for all women and for Black women, assuming 100% screening adherence and "real-world" treatment. Main Outcomes and Measures: Estimated lifetime benefits (breast cancer deaths averted, percent reduction in breast cancer mortality, life-years gained), harms (false-positive recalls, benign biopsies, overdiagnosis), and number of mammograms per 1000 women. Results: Biennial screening with DBT starting at age 40, 45, or 50 years until age 74 years averted a median of 8.2, 7.5, or 6.7 breast cancer deaths per 1000 women screened, respectively, vs no screening. Biennial DBT screening at age 40 to 74 years (vs no screening) was associated with a 30.0% breast cancer mortality reduction, 1376 false-positive recalls, and 14 overdiagnosed cases per 1000 women screened. Digital mammography screening benefits were similar to those for DBT but had more false-positive recalls. Annual screening increased benefits but resulted in more false-positive recalls and overdiagnosed cases. Benefit-to-harm ratios of continuing screening until age 79 years were similar or superior to stopping at age 74. In all strategies, women with higher-than-average breast cancer risk, higher breast density, and lower comorbidity level experienced greater screening benefits than other groups. Annual screening of Black women from age 40 to 49 years with biennial screening thereafter reduced breast cancer mortality disparities while maintaining similar benefit-to-harm trade-offs as for all women. Conclusions: This modeling analysis suggests that biennial mammography screening starting at age 40 years reduces breast cancer mortality and increases life-years gained per mammogram. More intensive screening for women with greater risk of breast cancer diagnosis or death can maintain similar benefit-to-harm trade-offs and reduce mortality disparities.

Analysis of Breast Cancer Mortality in the US-1975 to 2019.

Importance: Breast cancer mortality in the US declined between 1975 and 2019. The association of changes in metastatic breast cancer treatment with improved breast cancer mortality is unclear. Objective: To simulate the relative associations of breast cancer screening, treatment of stage I to III breast cancer, and treatment of metastatic breast cancer with improved breast cancer mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: Using aggregated observational and clinical trial data on the dissemination and effects of screening and treatment, 4 Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) models simulated US breast cancer mortality rates. Death due to breast cancer, overall and by estrogen receptor and ERBB2 (formerly HER2) status, among women aged 30 to 79 years in the US from 1975 to 2019 was simulated. Exposures: Screening mammography, treatment of stage I to III breast cancer, and treatment of metastatic breast cancer. Main Outcomes and Measures: Model-estimated age-adjusted breast cancer mortality rate associated with screening, stage I to III treatment, and metastatic treatment relative to the absence of these exposures was assessed, as was model-estimated median survival after breast cancer metastatic recurrence. Results: The breast cancer mortality rate in the US (age adjusted) was 48/100 000 women in 1975 and 27/100 000 women in 2019. In 2019, the combination of screening, stage I to III treatment, and metastatic treatment was associated with a 58% reduction (model range, 55%-61%) in breast cancer mortality. Of this reduction, 29% (model range, 19%-33%) was associated with treatment of metastatic breast cancer, 47% (model range, 35%-60%) with treatment of stage I to III breast cancer, and 25% (model range, 21%-33%) with mammography screening. Based on simulations, the greatest change in survival after metastatic recurrence occurred between 2000 and 2019, from 1.9 years (model range, 1.0-2.7 years) to 3.2 years (model range, 2.0-4.9 years). Median survival for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/ERBB2-positive breast cancer improved by 2.5 years (model range, 2.0-3.4 years), whereas median survival for ER-/ERBB2- breast cancer improved by 0.5 years (model range, 0.3-0.8 years). Conclusions and Relevance: According to 4 simulation models, breast cancer screening and treatment in 2019 were associated with a 58% reduction in US breast cancer mortality compared with interventions in 1975. Simulations suggested that treatment for stage I to III breast cancer was associated with approximately 47% of the mortality reduction, whereas treatment for metastatic breast cancer was associated with 29% of the reduction and screening with 25% of the reduction.

The protective effect of Ergolide in osteoarthritis: In vitro and in vivo studies.

Osteoarthritis (OA), a prevalent degenerative condition, occurs due to the deterioration of joint tissues and cells. Consequently, safeguarding chondrocytes against damage caused by inflammation is an area of future research emphasis. There is growing evidence that Ergolide (ERG) has multiple biological functions. Nevertheless, it is still uncertain whether it can hinder the advancement of OA. In this study, we investigate the ERG's potential to reduce inflammation and protect cartilage. ERG treatment in vitro effectively inhibited the excessive production of pro-inflammatory substances, such as inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), cyclooxygenase-2 (COX2), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), leading to their complete suppression. Furthermore, ERG suppressed the production of matrix-degrading enzymes (ADAMTS-5) and matrix metalloproteinase 13 (MMP13), consequently impeding the breakdown of extracellular matrix (ECM) and restraining the synthesis of collagenase II and Aggrecan. Through the P38/MAPK pathway, we discovered that ERG hinders the activation of NF-κB in chondrocytes induced by IL-1ß. The protective effect of ERG was enhanced by the p38 MAPK inhibitor SB203580. In vivo, ERG further demonstrated protective effects on cartilage in animal models of DMM. In conclusion, the study has discovered that ERG exhibits innovative therapeutic potential in the context of OA.

Survival benefit and impact of adjuvant therapies following FOLFOX-HAIC-based conversion therapy with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Recently, the conversion therapies of FOLFOX-HAIC for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) have dramatically increased the tumor responses and conversion rate; thus, the prognosis of uHCC patients was expected to be prolonged. However, the postoperative recurrence of uHCC patients who successfully underwent conversion therapies stayed high. The present study evaluated the efficacy and safety of postoperatively adjuvant therapy in treating uHCC patients who received FOLFOX-HAIC-based conversion therapy. METHODS: In this real-world retrospective study, uHCC patients who received FOLFOX-HAIC-based conversion therapy were included. The recurrence-free survival (RFS), as primary outcomes, was compared between patients who received adjuvant therapy (AT group) or non-adjuvant therapy (nAT group) using survival analysis and Cox regression. Imbalances in baseline clinical features between the two groups were adjusted through propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). RESULTS: Between January 2016 and December 2022, 204 uHCC patients who received FOLFOX-HAIC-based conversion therapy were included and assigned into AT group (n = 47) and nAT group (n = 157), respectively. The median RFS was significantly longer in the AT group than the nAT group before adjustment [19.2 vs. 10.8 months; hazard ratio (HR), 0.584; 95% CI, 0.383-0.892; P = 0.028], after PSM and after IPTW. Subsequent subgroup analyses revealed the RFS of adjuvant therapy was best in uHCC patients with younger than 60 years, macrovascular invasion, and positive hepatitis B surface antigen. CONCLUSION: Postoperatively, adjuvant therapy was associated with improved survival outcomes compared with non-adjuvant therapy after FOLFOX-HAIC-based conversion therapy among uHCC patients, especially for patients with macrovascular invasion and positive hepatitis B surface antigen.

Immunotherapies for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

Primary liver cancer is the second leading cause of tumor-related deaths in China, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for 80%-90% of these. Since there is a lack of symptoms in the early stages of HCC, a large proportion of patients were identified with unresectable HCC when diagnosed. Due to the severe resistance to chemotherapy, patients with advanced HCC were traditionally treated with systematic therapy in the past decades, and the tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) sorafenib has remained the only treatment option for advanced HCC since 2008. Immunotherapies, particularly immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), have shown a strong anti-tumor effect and have been supported by several guidelines recently. ICIs, for example programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors such as nivolumab and pembrolizumab, programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors such as atezolizumab, and cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4 (CTLA-4) inhibitors such as ipilimumab, the ICI-based combination with TKIs, and VEGF-neutralizing antibody or systematic or local anti-tumor therapies, are being further studied in clinical trials. However, immune-related adverse events (irAEs) including cutaneous toxicity, gastrointestinal toxicity, and hepatotoxicity may lead to the termination of ICI treatment or even threaten patients' lives. This review aims to summarize currently available immunotherapies and introduce the irAEs and their managements in order to provide references for clinical application and further research.

Association of severity in the grading of microvascular invasion with long-term oncological prognosis after liver resection for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter retrospective cohort study from a hepatitis B virus-endemic area.

BACKGROUND: The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant malignant pathological feature related to recurrence and survival after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the severity in the grading of MVI and long-term oncological outcomes in patients with early-stage HCC. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on a prospectively maintained multicenter database on patients who underwent curative resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A HCC between 2017 and 2020. Patients were classified into three groups according to the severity in the grading of MVI: M0 (no MVI), M1 (1-5 sites of MVI occurring ≤1 cm away from the tumor), and M2 (>5 sites occurring ≤1 cm and/or any site occurring >1 cm away from the tumor). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared among the groups. RESULTS: Of 388 patients, M0, M1, and M2 of the MVI gradings were present in 223 (57.5%), 118 (30.4%), and 47 (12.1%) patients, respectively. The median OS and RFS in patients with M0, M1, and M2 were 61.1, 52.7, and 27.4 months; and 43.0, 29.1, and 13.1 months (both P <0.001), respectively. Multivariable analyses identified both M1 and M2 to be independent risk factors for OS [hazard ratio (HR): 1.682, P =0.003; and HR: 3.570, P <0.001] and RFS (HR: 1.550, P =0.037; and HR: 2.256, P <0.001). CONCLUSION: The severity in the grading of MVI was independently associated with recurrence and survival after HCC resection. Patients with the presence of MVI, especially those with a more severe MVI grading (M2), require more stringent recurrence surveillance and/or active adjuvant therapy against recurrence.

Development and validation of robust metabolism-related gene signature in the prognostic prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumours worldwide. Given metabolic reprogramming in tumours was a crucial hallmark, several studies have demonstrated its value in the diagnostics and surveillance of malignant tumours. The present study aimed to identify a cluster of metabolism-related genes to construct a prediction model for the prognosis of HCC. Multiple cohorts of HCC cases (466 cases) from public datasets were included in the present analysis. (GEO cohort) After identifying a list of metabolism-related genes associated with prognosis, a risk score based on metabolism-related genes was formulated via the LASSO-Cox and LASSO-pcvl algorithms. According to the risk score, patients were stratified into low- and high-risk groups, and further analysis and validation were accordingly conducted. The results revealed that high-risk patients had a significantly worse 5-year overall survival (OS) than low-risk patients in the GEO cohort. (30.0% vs. 57.8%; hazard ratio [HR], 0.411; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.302-0.651; p < 0.001) This observation was confirmed in the external TCGA-LIHC cohort. (34.5% vs. 54.4%; HR 0.452; 95% CI, 0.299-0.681; p < 0.001) To promote the predictive ability of the model, risk score, age, gender and tumour stage were integrated into a nomogram. According to the results of receiver operating characteristic curves and decision curves analysis, the nomogram score possessed a superior predictive ability than conventional factors, which indicate that the risk score combined with clinicopathological features was able to achieve a robust prediction for OS and improve the individualized clinical decision making of HCC patients. In conclusion, the metabolic genes related to OS were identified and developed a metabolism-based predictive model for HCC. Through a series of bioinformatics and statistical analyses, the predictive ability of the model was approved.

LncRNA TINCR impairs the efficacy of immunotherapy against breast cancer by recruiting DNMT1 and downregulating MiR-199a-5p via the STAT1-TINCR-USP20-PD-L1 axis.

Although programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors have achieved some therapeutic success in breast cancer, their efficacy is limited by low therapeutic response rates, which is closely related to the immune escape of breast cancer cells. Tissue differentiation inducing non-protein coding RNA (TINCR), a long non-coding RNA, as an oncogenic gene associated with the progression of various malignant tumors, including breast cancer; however, the role of TINCR in tumor immunity, especially in breast cancer, remains unclear. We confirmed that TINCR upregulated PD-L1 expression in vivo and in vitro, and promoted the progression of breast cancer. Next, we revealed that TINCR knockdown can significantly improve the therapeutic effect of PD-L1 inhibitors in breast cancer in vivo. Mechanistically, TINCR recruits DNMT1 to promote the methylation of miR-199a-5p loci and inhibit its transcription. Furthermore, in the cytoplasm, TINCR potentially acts as a molecular sponge of miR-199a-5p and upregulates the stability of USP20 mRNA through a competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) regulatory mechanism, thus promoting PD-L1 expression by decreasing its ubiquitination level. IFN-γ stimulation activates STAT1 by phosphorylation, which migrates into the nucleus to promote TINCR transcription. This is the first study to describe the regulatory role of TINCR in breast cancer tumor immunity, broadening the current paradigm of the functional diversity of TINCR in tumor biology. In addition, our study provides new research directions and potential therapeutic targets for PD-L1 inhibitors in breast cancer.

Association of Concurrent Metabolic Syndrome with Long-term Oncological Prognosis Following Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection: A Multicenter Study of 1753 Patients.

BACKGROUND: Although hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection remains the main cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide, metabolic syndrome, with its increase in prevalence, has become an important and significant risk factor for HCC. This study was designed to investigate the association of concurrent metabolic syndrome with long-term prognosis following liver resection for patients with HBV-related HCC. METHODS: From a Chinese, multicenter database, HBV-infected patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2010 and 2020 were identified. Long-term oncological prognosis, including overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and early (≤2 years of surgery) and late (>2 years) recurrences were compared between patients with versus those without concurrent metabolic syndrome. RESULTS: Of 1753 patients, 163 (9.3%) patients had concurrent metabolic syndrome. Compared with patients without metabolic syndrome, patients with metabolic syndrome had poorer 5-year OS (47.5% vs. 61.0%; P = 0.010) and RFS (28.3% vs. 44.2%; P = 0.003) rates and a higher 5-year overall recurrence rate (67.3% vs. 53.3%; P = 0.024). Multivariate analysis revealed that concurrent metabolic syndrome was independently associated with poorer OS (hazard ratio: 1.300; 95% confidence interval: 1.018-1.660; P = 0.036) and RFS (1.314; 1.062-1.627; P = 0.012) rates, and increased rates of late recurrence (hazard ratio: 1.470; 95% confidence interval: 1.004-2.151; P = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: In HBV-infected patients with HCC, concurrent metabolic syndrome was associated with poorer postoperative long-term oncologic survival outcomes. These results suggested that patients with metabolic syndrome should undergo enhanced surveillance for tumor recurrence even after 2 years of surgery to early detect late HCC recurrence. Whether improving metabolic syndrome can reduce postoperative recurrence of HCC deserves further exploration.

Prospective validation of the Eastern Staging in predicting survival after surgical resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study from China.

BACKGROUND: The Eastern Staging System, which was specially developed for patients undergoing surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has been proposed for more than ten years. To prospectively validate the predictive accuracy of the Eastern staging on long-term survival after HCC resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC from 2011 to 2020 at 10 Chinese hospitals were identified from a prospectively collected database. The survival predictive accuracy was evaluated and compared between the Eastern Staging with six other staging systems, including the JIS, BCLC, Okuda, CLIP, 8th AJCC TNM, and HKLC staging. RESULTS: Among 2365 patients, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 84.2%, 64.5%, and 52.6%, respectively. Among these seven staging systems, the Eastern staging was associated with the best monotonicity of gradients (linear trend χ2: 408.5) and homogeneity (likelihood ratio χ2: 447.3), and the highest discriminatory ability (the areas under curves for 1-, 3-, and 5-year mortality: 0.776, 0.787, and 0.768, respectively). In addition, the Eastern staging was the most informative staging system in predicting survival (Akaike information criterion: 2982.33). CONCLUSION: Using a large multicenter prospectively collected database, the Eastern Staging was found to show the best predictive accuracy on long-term overall survival in patients with resectable HCC than the other 6 commonly-used staging systems.

Comparison between models for detecting hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic liver diseases of various etiologies: ASAP score versus GALAD score.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic panels based on multiple biomarkers and clinical characteristics are considered more favorable than individual biomarker to diagnose hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Based on age, sex, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and protein induced by vitamin K absence II (PIVKA-II) with/without AFP-L3, ASAP and GALAD models are potential diagnostic panels. The diagnostic performances of these two panels were compared relative to HCC detection among patients with various etiologies of chronic liver diseases (CLDs). METHODS: A multicenter case-control study recruited CLDs patients with and without HCC from 14 Chinese hospitals. The etiologies of CLDs included hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), alcoholic liver disease (ALD), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values, the diagnostic performances of ASAP and GALAD models were compared to detect HCC among patients with various etiologies of CLDs. RESULTS: Among 248 HCC patients and 722 CLD controls, the ASAP model demonstrated the highest AUC (0.886) to detect HCC at any stage, outperforming the GALAD model (0.853, P = 0.001), as well as any individual biomarker (0.687-0.799, all P < 0.001). In the subgroup analysis of various CLDs etiologies, the ASAP model outperformed the GALAD model to HCC independent of CLDs etiology. In addition, the ASAP model performed better in detecting early-stage (BCLC stage 0/A) HCC versus the GALAD model. CONCLUSIONS: Despite using one less laboratory variable (AFP-L3), the ASAP model demonstrated better diagnostic performance than the GALAD model to detect all-stage HCC among patients with various etiologies of CLDs-related HCC.

ASAP Score versus GALAD Score for detection of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter case-control analysis.

Background: The GALAD and ASAP scores are two well-recognized algorithms to estimate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on gender, age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence or Antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and AFP-L3 (included in the GALAD score but not in the ASAP score). The current study sought to compare the diagnostic performance of each score to detect HCC among patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Methods: A multicenter case-control study was undertaken in which blood samples were collected from HCVinfected patients with and without HCC. Using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), ASAP and GALAD scores were compared relative to diagnostic performance to detect any stage HCV-HCC and early-stage HCV-HCC. Results: The analytic cohort included 168 HCV-HCC patients and a control group of 193 HCV-infected patients. The ASAP score had a higher AUROC to detect any stage HCV-HCC versus the GALAD score, both in the overall group (0.917 vs. 0.894, P=0.057) and in the cirrhosis subgroup (0.909 vs. 0.889, P=0.132). Similar results were noted relative to the detection of early-stage HCV-HCC, whether defined by BCLC staging (stage 0-A: 0.898 vs. 0.860, P=0.026) or 8th TNM staging (stage I: 0.899 vs. 0.870, P=0.070). In subgroup analysis to detect AFP-negative HCV-HCC, the ASAP score also demonstrated a higher AUROC than the GALAD score to detect any stage HCV-HCC in the AFP-negative subgroup (0.815 vs. 0.764, P=0.063). Conclusions: The ASAP score had better diagnostic performance for early detection of HCV-HCC compared with the GALAD score. The ASAP score may be preferrable to the GALAD score for HCC screening and surveillance among HCV-infected patients.

Indocyanine green fluorescence imaging for spleen preservation in laparoscopic splenic artery aneurysm resection: A case report.

BACKGROUND: Splenic artery aneurysm (SAA) is a rare vascular lesion conventionally treated by resection or interventional therapy. The surgical procedure usually involves splenectomy, and interventional therapy may cause post-embolization syndromes. Preservation of the spleen and its function is rarely reported during the management of SAA. CASE SUMMARY: We report a patient with an asymptomatic SAA (3.5 cm in diameter), which was en-bloc resected laparoscopically using indocyanine green (ICG) fluorescence imaging to preserve the spleen and its function. CONCLUSION: ICG fluorescence imaging for spleen preservation in laparoscopic SAA resection is safe and may be beneficial in avoiding splenectomy and maintaining splenic function.

Diagnostic Performance of AFP, AFP-L3, or PIVKA-II for Hepatitis C Virus-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Analysis.

Background and Aim: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), a lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), is a protein that is induced by vitamin K deficiency or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) that has been clinically used as a serum biomarker for early detection and diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Diagnostic performance of each serum biomarker alone, or their combinations for the detection of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated HCC were compared. Methods: Serum AFP, AFP-L3, and PIVKA-II levels were evaluated in patients with HCV-associated HCC, and those with chronic HCV infection without HCC (HCV-controls). The areas under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were compared to identify the diagnostic performance of each serum HCC biomarker alone or in combination. Results: Overall, 172 HCV controls and 105 patients with HCV-associated HCC were enrolled. The AFP, AFP-L3, and PIVKA-II levels were significantly increased among patients with HCV-associated HCC when compared with HCV patients without HCC (p < 0.001). When these biomarkers were analyzed individually, PIVKA-II revealed the best predictive performance (AUC: PIVKA-II 0.90 vs. AFP 0.80 vs. AFP-L3 0.69, p < 0.001). In evaluating the combinations of any two biomarkers, the best predictive performance was found in PIVKA-II + AFP (0.93 vs. AFP + AFP-L3 0.78, p = 0.001; and PIVKA-II + AFP-L3 0.89, p < 0.001), which had no difference compared to the predictive performance of the combination of all three serum biomarkers (AFP + AFP-L3 + PIVKA-II 0.93, p = 0.277). Similar results were identified in the subgroups of patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis, and among patients with early-stage HCC defined by BCLC and TNM staging. Conclusions: The addition of the PIVKA-II test to routine AFP test maybe provide a more suitable biomarker approach to detect HCV-induced HCC in patients with HCV infection undergoing HCC surveillance.

A Web-Based Prediction Model for Estimating the Probability of Post-hepatectomy Major Complications in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study from a Hepatitis B Virus-Endemic Area.

BACKGROUND: The identification of patients at high risk of developing postoperative complications is important to improve surgical safety. We sought to develop an individualized tool to predict post-hepatectomy major complications in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: A multicenter database of patients undergoing hepatectomy for HCC were analyzed; 2/3 and 1/3 of patients were assigned to the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Independent risks of postoperative 30-day major complications (Clavien-Dindo grades III-V) were identified and used to construct a web-based prediction model, which predictive accuracy was assessed using C-index and calibration curves, which was further validated by the validation cohort and compared with conventional scores. RESULTS: Among 2762 patients, 391 (14.2%) developed major complications after hepatectomy. Diabetes mellitus, concurrent hepatitis C virus infection, HCC beyond the Milan criteria, cirrhosis, preoperative HBV-DNA level, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) were identified as independent predictors of developing major complications, which were used to construct the online calculator ( http://www.asapcalculate.top/Cal11_en.html ). This model demonstrated good calibration and discrimination, with the C-indexes of 0.752 and 0.743 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, which were significantly higher than those conventional scores (the training and validation cohorts: 0.565 ~ 0.650 and 0.568 ~ 0.614, all P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A web-based prediction model was developed to predict the probability of post-hepatectomy major complications in an individual HBV-infected patient with HCC. It can be used easily in the real-world clinical setting to help management-related decision-making and early warning, especially in areas with endemic HBV infection.

Prothrombin induced by vitamin K Absence-II versus alpha-fetoprotein in detection of both resectable hepatocellular carcinoma and early recurrence after curative liver resection: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II) are two commonly used biomarkers for detection and prognostic prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study sought to evaluate and compare the use of these two biomarkers to detect HCC, as well as predict postoperative early recurrence (within 2 years after HCC resection). METHODS: Data on consecutive patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2014 and 2020 was prospectively collected and reviewed. Serum AFP and PIVKA-II levels within one week before surgery or at the time of detection of early recurrence were assessed; preoperative AFP positivity (≥20 ng/ml) and preoperative PIVKA-II positivity (≥40 mAU/ml) were examined relative to recurrence using univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses. RESULTS: Among 751 patients who underwent curative HCC resection, 589 (78.4%) patients had preoperative PIVKA-II positivity versus 498 (66.3%) patients had preoperative AFP positivity (P < 0.001). With a median follow-up of 41.6 months, 370 (50.1%) patients had an early HCC recurrence; among patients with an early recurrence, the proportion of patients with PIVKA-II positivity versus AFP positivity (76.5% vs. 60.0%, P = 0.002) was higher. On multivariate analysis, preoperative PIVKA-II positivity, but not preoperative AFP positivity was an independent risk factor to predict early recurrence after HCC resection. CONCLUSIONS: AFP and PIVKA-II are useful biomarkers to detect resectable HCC and predict early recurrence after HCC resection, with the latter showing higher rates of positivity. Preoperative PIVKA-II positivity was independently associated with early recurrence following HCC resection.