Inter- and intra-observer variability of qualitative visual breast-composition assessment in mammography among Japanese physicians: a first multi-institutional observer performance study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Visual assessment of mammographic breast composition remains the most common worldwide, although subjective variability limits its reproducibility. This study aimed to investigate the inter- and intra-observer variability in qualitative visual assessment of mammographic breast composition through a multi-institutional observer performance study for the first time in Japan. METHODS: This study enrolled 10 Japanese physicians from five different institutions. They used the new Japanese breast-composition classification system 4th edition to subjectively evaluate the breast composition in 200 pairs of right and left normal mediolateral oblique mammograms (number determined using precise sample size calculations) twice, with a 1-month interval (median patient age: 59 years [range 40-69 years]). The primary endpoint of this study was the inter-observer variability using kappa (κ) value. RESULTS: Inter-observer variability for the four and two classes of breast-composition assessment revealed moderate agreement (Fleiss' κ: first and second reading = 0.553 and 0.587, respectively) and substantial agreement (Fleiss' κ: first and second reading = 0.689 and 0.70, respectively). Intra-observer variability for the four and two classes of breast-composition assessment demonstrated substantial agreement (Cohen's κ, median = 0.758) and almost perfect agreement (Cohen's κ, median = 0.813). Assessments of consensus between the 10 physicians and the automated software Volpara® revealed slight agreement (Cohen's κ; first and second reading: 0.104 and 0.075, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Qualitative visual assessment of mammographic breast composition using the new Japanese classification revealed excellent intra-observer reproducibility. However, persistent inter-observer variability, presenting a challenge in establishing it as the gold standard in Japan.

Importance of circulating leptin and adiponectin in the causal pathways between obesity and the development of colorectal cancer in Japanese men.

BACKGROUND: The mechanistic associations between obesity and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) remain unclear. Here, using body mass index (BMI) as an obesity indicator, we decomposed the total effects of obesity on the risk of CRC into: (1) direct effects, which are possibly mediated by unmeasured or currently unknown factors; (2) indirect effects mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin; and (3) indirect effects that are not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin but by hyperinsulinemia and chronic inflammation (assessed via circulating connecting peptide and C-reactive protein, respectively). METHODS: We adopted a causal mediation framework, using data from a large prospective cohort study of 44,271 Japanese men. RESULTS: BMI was not associated with the risk of CRC due to direct and indirect effects that were not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin. By contrast, individuals with BMIs of 25.0-27.4 kg/m2 (risk ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.69) and ≥27.5 kg/m2 (risk ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.68) had a higher risk of CRC due to indirect effects of circulating leptin and adiponectin. CONCLUSIONS: Our mediation analyses suggest that the association between BMI and CRC risk may be largely mediated by a pathway involving circulating leptin and adiponectin.

Prognostic significance of ground-glass areas within tumours in non-small-cell lung cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To validate or refute the hypothesis that non-small-cell lung cancers (NSCLC) with ground-glass areas (GGA+) within the tumour on high-resolution computed tomography are associated with a more favourable prognosis than those without GGA (GGA-). METHODS: We analysed data from a multicentre observational cohort study in Japan including 5005 patients with completely resected pathological stage I NSCLC, who were excluded from the Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) 0707 trial on oral adjuvant treatment during the enrolment period. The patients' medical and pathological records were assessed retrospectively by physicians and re-staged according to the 8th tumour, node, metastasis edition. RESULTS: Of the 5005 patients, 2388 (48%) were ineligible for the JCOG0707 trial and 2617 (52%) were eligible but were not enrolled. A total of 958 patients (19.1%) died. Patients with GGA+ NSCLC and pathological invasion ≤3 cm showed significantly better overall survival than others. In patients with tumours with an invasive portion ≤4 cm, GGA+ was associated with better survival. The prognoses of patients with GGA+ T2a and GGA- T1c tumours were similar (5-year overall survival: 84.6% vs 83.1%, respectively). The survival with T2b or more tumours appeared unaffected by GGA, and GGA was not prognostic in these larger tumours. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with GGA+ NSCLC on high-resolution computed tomography and ≤4 cm invasion size may have a better prognosis than patients with solid GGA- tumours of the same T-stage. However, the presence or absence of radiological GGA has little impact on the prognosis of patients with NSCLC with greater (>4 cm) pathological invasion.

BOIN-ETC: A Bayesian optimal interval design considering efficacy and toxicity to identify the optimal dose combinations.

One of the primary objectives of a dose-finding trial for novel anti-cancer agent combination therapies, such as molecular targeted agents and immune-oncology therapies, is to identify optimal dose combinations that are tolerable and therapeutically beneficial for subjects in subsequent clinical trials. The goal differs from that of a dose-finding trial for traditional cytotoxic agents, in which the goal is to determine the maximum tolerated dose combinations. This paper proposes the new design, named 'BOIN-ETC' design, to identify optimal dose combinations based on both efficacy and toxicity outcomes using the waterfall approach. The BOIN-ETC design is model-assisted, so it is expected to be robust, and straightforward to implement in actual oncology dose-finding trials. These characteristics are quite valuable from a practical perspective. Simulation studies show that the BOIN-ETC design has advantages compared with the other approaches in the percentage of correct optimal dose combination selection and the average number of patients allocated to the optimal dose combinations across various realistic settings.

Multi-institutional study of osimertinib dose-optimization in non-small cell lung cancer patients with EGFR activating mutation aged 70 years or older ('MONEY' trial).

Osimertinib is the standard of care for patients with epidermal growth factor receptor-activating mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer. Dose-toxicity has been previously reported, but no dose-response data within the range of 20-240 mg daily (mg/d). Thus, the current 80 mg/d dosing might be too high for elderly Japanese patients with an average body weight of only 50 kg, resulting in excessive toxicity and cost. We therefore initiated a study to investigate whether osimertinib at 40 mg/d is non-inferior to 80 mg/d in patients with advanced or recurrent epidermal growth factor receptor-activating mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer aged ≥70 years, using a regression discontinuity design. Osimertinib is administered at 40 mg/d for body weight ≤50 kg, and 80 mg/d for body weight >50 kg. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival. Sample size is 550 patients, based on a non-inferiority margin of the progression-free survival hazard ratio 1.333, 0.10 one-sided type I error and 80% power.

Scoring system for diagnosis and pretreatment risk assessment of neuroblastoma using urinary biomarker combinations.

The urinary catecholamine metabolites, homovanillic acid (HVA) and vanillylmandelic acid (VMA), are used for the adjunctive diagnosis of neuroblastomas. We aimed to develop a scoring system for the diagnosis and pretreatment risk assessment of neuroblastoma, incorporating age and other urinary catecholamine metabolite combinations. Urine samples from 227 controls (227 samples) and 68 patients with neuroblastoma (228 samples) were evaluated. First, the catecholamine metabolites vanillactic acid (VLA) and 3-methoxytyramine sulfate (MTS) were identified as urinary marker candidates through comprehensive analysis using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. The concentrations of these marker candidates and conventional markers were then compared among controls, patients, and numerous risk groups to develop a scoring system. Participants were classified into four groups: control, low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk, and the proportional odds model was fitted using the L2-penalized maximum likelihood method, incorporating age on a monthly scale for adjustment. This scoring model using the novel urine catecholamine metabolite combinations, VLA and MTS, had greater area under the curve values than the model using HVA and VMA for diagnosis (0.978 vs. 0.964), pretreatment risk assessment (low and intermediate risk vs. high risk: 0.866 vs. 0.724; low risk vs. intermediate and high risk: 0.871 vs. 0.680), and prognostic factors (MYCN status: 0.741 vs. 0.369, histology: 0.932 vs. 0.747). The new system also had greater accuracy in detecting missing high-risk neuroblastomas, and in predicting the pretreatment risk at the time of screening. The new scoring system employing VLA and MTS has the potential to replace the conventional adjunctive diagnostic method using HVA and VMA.

Multicenter randomized phase II study on S-1 and oxaliplatin therapy as an adjuvant after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases (YCOG1001).

PURPOSE: The high recurrence rate of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) after surgery remains a crucial problem. However, adjuvant chemotherapy after hepatectomy for CRCLM has not yet been established. This study evaluated the efficacy of adjuvant therapy with S-1 and oxaliplatin (SOX). METHODS: In a multicenter, randomized, phase II study, patients undergoing curative resection of CRCLM were randomly enrolled in a 1:1 ratio to either the low- or high-dose group. S-1 and oxaliplatin were administered from days 1 to 14 of a 3-week cycle as a 2-h infusion every 3 weeks. The dose of S-1 was fixed at 80 mg/m2. The doses in the low- and high-dose oxaliplatin groups were 100 mg/m2 (low-dose group) and 130 mg/m2 (high-dose group), respectively. This treatment was repeated eight times. The primary endpoint was the rate of discontinuation owing to toxicity. The secondary endpoints were the relapse-free survival (RFS) and frequency of adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: Between August 2010 and March 2015, 44 patients (low-dose group: 31 patients and high-dose group: 13 patients) were enrolled in the study. Of these, one patient was excluded from the efficacy analysis. In the high-dose group, five of nine patients were unable to continue the study due to toxicity in February 2013. At that time, recruitment to the high-dose group was stopped from the protocol. The relative dose intensity (RDI) for S-1 in the low- and high-dose groups were 49.8 and 48.7% (p = 0.712), and that for oxaliplatin was 75.9 and 73.0% (p = 0.528), respectively. The rates of discontinuation due to toxicity were 60 and 53.8% in the low- and high-dose groups, respectively, with no marked difference noted between the groups (p = 0.747). The frequency of grade ≥ 3 common adverse events was neutropenia (23.3%/23.1%), diarrhea (13.3%/15.4%), and peripheral sensory neuropathy (6.7%/7.7%). The disease-free survival (DFS) at 3 years was 52.9% in the low-dose group, which was not significantly different from that in the high-dose group (46.2%; p = 0.705). CONCLUSIONS: SOX regimens as adjuvant therapy after hepatectomy for CRCLM had high rates of discontinuation due to toxicity in both groups. In particular, the RDI of S-1 was < 50%. Therefore, the SOX regimen is not recommended as adjuvant chemotherapy after hepatectomy for CRCLM.

Comparison of Postoperative Stress Urinary Incontinence between Anteroposterior Dissection and Modified Gilling Method in Holmium Laser Enucleation of the Prostate.

PURPOSE: Few studies have evaluated the usefulness of anteroposterior dissection holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP). Thus, this study investigated the incidence of stress urinary incontinence (SUI) after HoLEP and usefulness of anteroposterior dissection HoLEP in preventing postoperative SUI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In total, 288 patients who underwent HoLEP performed by a single experienced surgeon between May 2014 and September 2021 were enrolled. Furthermore, 134 patients underwent retrograde dissection using the modified Gilling method (surgery 1) and 154 patients underwent anteroposterior dissection HoLEP (surgery 2). The risk factors for SUI, as well as the rates of SUI improvement for the two surgical procedures, were evaluated. RESULTS: Postoperative SUI was observed in 58 (20.1%) of 288 patients, of whom, 48 (82.8%) recovered continence within 6 months. Ten patients (17.2%) required more than 6 months to recover continence. SUI incidence 1 month after HoLEP was 29.9% (40/134 patients) for surgery 1 and 11.7% (18/154 patients) for surgery 2; a statistically significant difference was observed between the two groups (odds ratio [OR], 0.311; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.168-0.575; p < 0.001). In addition, surgery 2 was significantly associated with early recovery from SUI compared with surgery 1 (stratified hazard ratio, 0.782; 95% CI, 0.615------0.995; p < 0.001). The multivariable analysis demonstrated that only surgical procedure (OR, 0.350; 95%CI, 0.168-0.732; p=0.005) was an independent predictor of SUI.- Conclusion: We reaffirmed that anteroposterior dissection HoLEP is a useful procedure for reducing the risk of postoperative SUI and early recovery of urinary continence.

Real-world treatment outcomes of metastatic biliary tract cancer patients in Japan: the Tokushukai REAl-world data project 04 (TREAD 04).

OBJECTIVES: To investigate temporal trends in treatment patterns and prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with metastatic biliary tract cancer. METHODS: From the Tokushukai REAl-world Data project, we identified 945 patients with metastatic biliary tract cancer treated with gemcitabine, tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil, gemcitabine plus cisplatin, gemcitabine plus tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil or gemcitabine plus cisplatin and tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil between April 2010 and March 2022. Stratified/conventional Cox regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between overall survival and patient- and tumour-related factors, study period, hospital volume, hospital type and first-line chemotherapy regimen. Using inverse probability of treatment weighting with propensity scores, overall survival was also compared between monotherapy and combination therapy groups. RESULTS: We enrolled 366 patients (199 men; median age, 72 years). Over a median follow-up of 5.2 months, the median overall survival was 7.0 months (95% confidence interval 6.2-9.0), and the median time to treatment failure was 3.5 months (95% confidence interval 3.1-4.5). Median overall survival and time to treatment failure for gemcitabine/tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil/gemcitabine plus cisplatin/gemcitabine plus tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil/gemcitabine plus cisplatin and tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil regimen were 6.2/6.6/7.9/16.2/15.1 and 2.8/3.4/4.1/15.3/7.4 months, respectively. Primary disease site, previous surgery, previous endoscopic procedures and hospital type were identified as significant prognostic factors. Inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis demonstrated that combination therapy had a significantly better prognosis than monotherapy (hazard ratio 0.61, 95% confidence interval 0.43-0.88, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Our real-world data analysis showed that standard care for metastatic biliary tract cancer is widely used in hospitals throughout Japan and verified the survival benefits of combination therapy over monotherapy observed in prior clinical trials. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: UMIN000050590 (http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm).

Epidemiology of cruciate ligament surgery in Japan: A repeated cross-sectional study from 2014 to 2021.

Understanding the incidence and trends of cruciate ligament (CL) surgeries in Japan is crucial for providing effective healthcare services. This study aimed to use open data available from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan (NDB) to analyze changes in CL surgeries over time and the characteristics of the Japanese population by sex and age. We retrospectively identified CL surgeries of the knee joint registered from April 2014 to March 2022 using the NDB open data. Data on sex, age, and practice were extracted to determine the number of cases per 100,000 population. Trends in the annual incidence of CL surgeries were evaluated using Poisson regression analysis. A total of 142,931 CL surgeries were performed from 2014 to 2021, with arthroscopic ligament reconstruction accounting for 98% of cases. The number of surgeries significantly increased from 16,975 in 2014 to 19,735 in 2019 (P<0.001). CL surgeries were most common in the 15-19 and 20-29 years age groups, with variations between males and females. The incidence of CL surgery in Japan has increased, with characteristics varying by sex and age, including middle-aged and older patients. Further investigation of general patterns in CL surgery in Japan would be valuable.

Prognostic factors in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer after curative resection: a post hoc analysis of the JFMC46-1201 trial.

PURPOSE: The goal of the current study was to identify prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in high-risk stage II colon cancer. METHODS: The subjects were patients with histologically confirmed stage II colon cancer undergoing R0 resection who met at least one of the following criteria: T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous carcinoma, and < 12 examined lymph nodes. Patients self-selected surgery alone or a 6-month oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) regimen. Serum CEA mRNA at ≥ 24 h after surgery and < 2 weeks after registration was also examined as a potential prognostic factor for stage II colon cancer. This study is registered with UMIN-CTR (protocol ID: UMIN000007783). RESULTS: 1880 were included in the analysis to identify prognostic factors for DFS and OS in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer. In multivariate analyses, gender, depth of tumor invasion, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (POAC) emerged as significant independent prognostic factors for DFS. Similarly, multivariate analysis showed that age, gender, depth of tumor invasion, perforation/penetration, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and POAC were significant independent prognostic factors for OS. Univariate analyses showed no significant difference in DFS or OS for CEA mRNA-positive and mRNA-negative cases. CONCLUSION: This study showed that gender, depth of tumor invasion, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and lack of use of POAC were significant independent prognostic factors in stage II colon cancer.

The Efficacy of Ramelteon to Prevent Postoperative Delirium After General Anesthesia in the Elderly: A Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: Postoperative delirium is common and serious in elderly patients. Several drugs have been proposed as potential prophylactic agents for postoperative delirium. Studies on melatonin receptor agonists showed heterogeneity in age, cognitive function, anesthesia, surgery, interventions, methodologies for assessing outcomes, and results. Our objective was to examine the effect of ramelteon to prevent postoperative delirium in elderly patients, including those with dementia. DESIGN: A stratified, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial (UMIN000028436, jRCTs031180054). SETTING: Tertiary medical center. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged older than or equal to 65 years undergoing elective surgery under general anesthesia. INTERVENTION: Ramelteon (8 mg orally) or placebo (lactose) for six nights (the preoperative night and five consecutive nights from postoperative day 1 to 5) at around 9 P.M. MEASUREMENTS: Patients were screened for postoperative delirium using the Confusion Assessment Method for the Intensive Care Unit twice daily until the sixth postoperative day. Patients with positive results were referred to a consultant psychiatrist to establish the diagnosis of delirium. RESULTS: A total of 108 patients were randomly assigned to receive ramelteon (n = 55) or placebo (n = 53). Most of the patients' characteristics were reasonably well-balanced between the two groups. The stratified log-rank test showed no significant difference in preventing postoperative delirium between ramelteon and placebo (χ2 = 0.30, degrees of freedom = 1, p = 0.60). The Cox proportional hazard ratio for ramelteon compared to placebo was 1.40 (95% confidence interval: 0.40-4.85, χ2 for likelihood ratio test = 0.29, degrees of freedom = 1, p = 0.60). CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in the incidence of postoperative delirium between ramelteon and placebo after general anesthesia in elderly patients.

Prognostic impact of Achilles tendon thickness in elderly patients after percutaneous coronary intervention: A 5-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Evaluating the Achilles tendon thickness (ATT) may be beneficial for risk stratification of long-term secondary cardiovascular events among patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: This observational study evaluated major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), including cardiovascular death/death from unknown causes, at 5 years after PCI according to the baseline ATT (≥9 mm vs. <9 mm). RESULTS: Overall, 355 patients aged ≥75 years were enrolled; 47 (13.2 %) and 308 patients (86.8 %) had an ATT ≥9 mm and <9 mm, respectively. The incidence of MACCEs at 5 years was numerically higher but not significantly different for the ATT ≥9 mm group compared with the ATT <9 mm group (Gray's p-value = 0.10). However, the incidence of cardiovascular death/death from unknown causes at 5 years was significantly higher in the ATT ≥9 mm group than in the ATT <9 mm group (Gray's p-value = 0.034). Multivariable Fine and Gray competing risk analysis showed that an ATT ≥9 mm was associated with both MACCEs [hazard ratio (HR), 1.95; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.12-3.41; p-value = 0.019] and cardiovascular death/death from unknown causes (HR, 2.81; 95 % CI, 1.31-6.03; p-value = 0.008) at 5 years in patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSIONS: A significantly thick Achilles tendon could be a marker for MACCEs, including cardiovascular death/death from unknown causes, at 5 years among elderly patients with an eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m2 after PCI.

TITE-gBOIN-ET: Time-to-event generalized Bayesian optimal interval design to accelerate dose-finding accounting for ordinal graded efficacy and toxicity outcomes.

One of the primary objectives of an oncology dose-finding trial for novel therapies, such as molecular-targeted agents and immune-oncology therapies, is to identify an optimal dose (OD) that is tolerable and therapeutically beneficial for subjects in subsequent clinical trials. These new therapeutic agents appear more likely to induce multiple low or moderate-grade toxicities than dose-limiting toxicities. Besides, for efficacy, evaluating the overall response and long-term stable disease in solid tumors and considering the difference between complete remission and partial remission in lymphoma are preferable. It is also essential to accelerate early-stage trials to shorten the entire period of drug development. However, it is often challenging to make real-time adaptive decisions due to late-onset outcomes, fast accrual rates, and differences in outcome evaluation periods for efficacy and toxicity. To solve the issues, we propose a time-to-event generalized Bayesian optimal interval design to accelerate dose finding, accounting for efficacy and toxicity grades. The new design named "TITE-gBOIN-ET" design is model-assisted and straightforward to implement in actual oncology dose-finding trials. Simulation studies show that the TITE-gBOIN-ET design significantly shortens the trial duration compared with the designs without sequential enrollment while having comparable or higher performance in the percentage of correct OD selection and the average number of patients allocated to the ODs across various realistic settings.

Clinical Outcomes of First Subsequent Therapies After Abiraterone Acetate Plus Prednisone for High-Risk Metastatic Castration-Sensitive Prostate Cancer in the LATITUDE Study.

BACKGROUND: Abiraterone acetate plus prednisone with androgen deprivation therapy is a standard treatment option for patients with high-risk metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC). However, no data are available on the optimal subsequent treatment option in patients treated with abiraterone acetate plus prednisone for high-risk mCSPC. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of subsequent therapy after discontinuation of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone in patients with high-risk mCSPC. METHODS: Overall survival and time to treatment failure from initiation of subsequent therapies were estimated by applying a marginal structural Cox proportional hazards model using inverse probability of treatment weighting with a change of time scale to time on treatment. RESULTS: A total of 217 patients received subsequent therapies: 127 received chemotherapy, 49 received non-chemotherapy, and 41 received other treatments. For overall survival, when adjusted with the marginal structural Cox proportional hazards model using inverse probability of treatment weighting, the hazard ratio was 1.212 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.742-1.979) for chemotherapy versus non-chemotherapy, 0.534 (95% CI 0.267-1.066) for non-chemotherapy versus other treatments, and 0.635 (95% CI 0.317-1.271) for chemotherapy versus other treatments. For time to treatment failure, the hazard ratio was 1.287 (95% CI 0.832-1.989) for chemotherapy versus non-chemotherapy, 0.785 (95% CI 0.486-1.269) for non-chemotherapy versus other treatments, and 0.898 (95% CI 0.612-1.318) for chemotherapy versus other treatments. CONCLUSIONS: No differences were observed between the treatment effects of chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy in patients with high-risk mCSPC after abiraterone acetate plus prednisone. These findings suggest that life-extending subsequent therapy after abiraterone acetate plus prednisone for mCSPC should be chosen at the physician's discretion and patient's preference. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01715285, registered 26 October, 2012.

Observational study to predict the efficacy and optimal duration of nivolumab treatment in patients with previously treated advanced or recurrent non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors, including nivolumab, are essential agents for treating non-small cell lung cancer. However, predictive markers are currently lacking, especially using factors based on patient-reported outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study of 244 patients with advanced or recurrent non-small cell lung cancer treated with second- or later-line nivolumab from August 2016 to December 2017. Patient-reported outcomes, including quality of life, were evaluated by the EQ-5D-5L before and during nivolumab treatment. To predict the efficacy of nivolumab during the early treatment phase, we also analyzed the patients' clinical characteristics, responses and immune-related adverse events at 9 weeks of therapy. The primary endpoint was the disease control rate at 25 weeks after the initiation of nivolumab. RESULTS: The objective response and disease control rates at 25 weeks were 18.5 and 41.2%, respectively. The emergence of immune-related adverse events at 9 weeks did not significantly affect the disease control rate at 6 months. The response at 9 weeks and patient-reported quality of life were potentially predictive of disease control at week 25. Disease control on week 9 and patients-reported outcomes were potential predictive factors for the overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: This study found no new baseline factors predicting the outcome of nivolumab treatment in patients with non-small cell lung cancer, but response to nivolumab was a robust predictor of overall efficacy. In addition, patient-perceived quality of life could predict the durable efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors.

A Clinical Study of Alveolar Bone Tissue Engineering Using Autologous Bone Marrow Stromal Cells: Effect of Optimized Cell-Processing Protocol on Efficacy.

(1) Objectives: The effect of cell-processing protocols on the clinical efficacy of bone tissue engineering is not well-known. To maximize efficacy, we optimized the cell-processing protocol for bone-marrow-derived mesenchymal stromal cells for bone tissue engineering. In this study, the efficacy of bone tissue engineering using this modified protocol was compared to that of the original protocol. (2) Materials and Methods: This single-arm clinical study included 15 patients. Cells were obtained from bone marrow aspirates and expanded in culture flasks containing basic fibroblast growth factor. The cells were seeded onto ß-tricalcium phosphate granules and induced into osteogenic cells for two weeks. Then, the cell-scaffold composites were transplanted into patients with severe atrophic alveolar bone. Radiographic evaluations and bone biopsies were performed. The results were compared with those of a previous clinical study that used the original protocol. (3) Results: Panoramic X-ray and computed tomography showed bone regeneration at the transplantation site in all cases. The average bone area in the biopsy samples at 4 months was 44.0%, which was comparable to that in a previous clinical study at 6 months (41.9%) but with much less deviation. No side effects related to cell transplantation were observed. In regenerated bone, 100% of the implants were integrated. (4) Conclusions: Compared to the original protocol, the non-inferiority of this protocol was proven. The introduction of an optimized cell-processing protocol resulted in a comparable quality of regenerated bone, with less fluctuation. Optimized cell-processing protocols may contribute to stable bone regeneration.

Molecular signatures of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma risk in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is an urgent unmet need in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In cohorts of 409 patients with NAFLD from multiple global regions, we defined and validated hepatic transcriptome and serum secretome signatures predictive of long-term HCC risk in patients with NAFLD. A 133-gene signature, prognostic liver signature (PLS)-NAFLD, predicted incident HCC over up to 15 years of longitudinal observation. High-risk PLS-NAFLD was associated with IDO1+ dendritic cells and dysfunctional CD8+ T cells in fibrotic portal tracts along with impaired metabolic regulators. PLS-NAFLD was validated in independent cohorts of patients with NAFLD who were HCC naïve (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 22.7 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively) or HCC experienced (de novo HCC recurrence rates at 5 years were 71.8 and 42.9% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). PLS-NAFLD was bioinformatically translated into a four-protein secretome signature, PLSec-NAFLD, which was validated in an independent cohort of HCC-naïve patients with NAFLD and cirrhosis (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 37.6 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). Combination of PLSec-NAFLD with our previously defined etiology-agnostic PLSec-AFP yielded improved HCC risk stratification. PLS-NAFLD was modified by bariatric surgery, lipophilic statin, and IDO1 inhibitor, suggesting that the signature can be used for drug discovery and as a surrogate end point in HCC chemoprevention clinical trials. Collectively, PLS/PLSec-NAFLD may enable NAFLD-specific HCC risk prediction and facilitate clinical translation of NAFLD-directed HCC chemoprevention.

Efficacy of Adjuvant Chemotherapy With Tegafur-Uracil in Patients With Completely Resected, Node-Negative NSCLC-Real-World Data in the Era of Molecularly Targeted Agents and Immunotherapy.

Introduction: In Japan, adjuvant tegafur-uracil (UFT) chemotherapy is recommended for patients with completely resected, stage I NSCLC. This treatment requires real-world re-evaluation because of recent advances in target-based and immuno-oncological treatments and refinement of lung cancer staging. Methods: The Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) 0707, a phase 3 trial comparing the benefits of UFT and S-1 (tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil) in patients with completely resected stage I NSCLC (T1 >2 cm and T2 in the TNM sixth edition), was conducted in Japan. A multicenter observational cohort study (Comprehensive Support Project for Oncology Research [CSPOR]-LC03) was also conducted for those patients excluded from JCOG 0707 during the study enrollment period. Physicians from institutions that participated in JCOG 0707 retrospectively assessed the medical records of each patient. The efficacy of UFT was evaluated in the CSPOR-LC03 cohort. Results: In the entire study population (n = 5005), patients treated with UFT (n = 1549) had significantly longer overall survival (OS) than those without any adjuvant chemotherapy (n = 3338). There was no significant difference in OS between the patients treated with UFT (n = 1061) and those without adjuvant chemotherapy (n = 1484) in the JCOG 0707-eligible population (logrank p = 0.755). For tumors without ground-glass attenuation and size greater than 3 cm, patients treated with UFT had significantly longer survival than those without adjuvant chemotherapy, on univariate but not on multivariate analysis. Conclusions: There was no significant difference in OS between the patients treated with UFT and those without adjuvant chemotherapy in the clinical trial-eligible population. Adjuvant UFT for patients with completely resected NSCLC may be recommended only in patients with a tumor without ground-glass attenuation and size greater than 3 cm. In patients with node-negative early NSCLC, further study is needed to select patients who will benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

gBOIN-ET: The generalized Bayesian optimal interval design for optimal dose-finding accounting for ordinal graded efficacy and toxicity in early clinical trials.

One of the primary objectives of an oncology dose-finding trial for novel therapies, such as molecular targeted agents and immune-oncology therapies, is to identify an optimal dose (OD) that is tolerable and therapeutically beneficial for subjects in subsequent clinical trials. These new therapeutic agents appear more likely to induce multiple low- or moderate-grade toxicities than dose-limiting toxicities. Besides, efficacy should be evaluated as an overall response and stable disease in solid tumors and the difference between complete remission and partial remission in lymphoma. This paper proposes the generalized Bayesian optimal interval design for dose-finding accounting for efficacy and toxicity grades. The new design, named "gBOIN-ET" design, is model-assisted, simple, and straightforward to implement in actual oncology dose-finding trials than model-based approaches. These characteristics are quite valuable in practice. A simulation study shows that the gBOIN-ET design has advantages compared with the other model-assisted designs in the percentage of correct OD selection and the average number of patients allocated to the ODs across various realistic settings.