Integration of polygenic and gut metagenomic risk prediction for common diseases.

Multiomics has shown promise in noninvasive risk profiling and early detection of various common diseases. In the present study, in a prospective population-based cohort with ~18 years of e-health record follow-up, we investigated the incremental and combined value of genomic and gut metagenomic risk assessment compared with conventional risk factors for predicting incident coronary artery disease (CAD), type 2 diabetes (T2D), Alzheimer disease and prostate cancer. We found that polygenic risk scores (PRSs) improved prediction over conventional risk factors for all diseases. Gut microbiome scores improved predictive capacity over baseline age for CAD, T2D and prostate cancer. Integrated risk models of PRSs, gut microbiome scores and conventional risk factors achieved the highest predictive performance for all diseases studied compared with models based on conventional risk factors alone. The present study demonstrates that integrated PRSs and gut metagenomic risk models improve the predictive value over conventional risk factors for common chronic diseases.

The gut microbiome is a significant risk factor for future chronic lung disease.

BACKGROUND: The gut-lung axis is generally recognized, but there are few large studies of the gut microbiome and incident respiratory disease in adults. OBJECTIVE: We sought to investigate the association and predictive capacity of the gut microbiome for incident asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: Shallow metagenomic sequencing was performed for stool samples from a prospective, population-based cohort (FINRISK02; N = 7115 adults) with linked national administrative health register-derived classifications for incident asthma and COPD up to 15 years after baseline. Generalized linear models and Cox regressions were used to assess associations of microbial taxa and diversity with disease occurrence. Predictive models were constructed using machine learning with extreme gradient boosting. Models considered taxa abundances individually and in combination with other risk factors, including sex, age, body mass index, and smoking status. RESULTS: A total of 695 and 392 statistically significant associations were found between baseline taxonomic groups and incident asthma and COPD, respectively. Gradient boosting decision trees of baseline gut microbiome abundance predicted incident asthma and COPD in the validation data sets with mean area under the curves of 0.608 and 0.780, respectively. Cox analysis showed that the baseline gut microbiome achieved higher predictive performance than individual conventional risk factors, with C-indices of 0.623 for asthma and 0.817 for COPD. The integration of the gut microbiome and conventional risk factors further improved prediction capacities. CONCLUSIONS: The gut microbiome is a significant risk factor for incident asthma and incident COPD and is largely independent of conventional risk factors.

Luminal microbiota related to Crohn's disease recurrence after surgery.

BACKGROUND: Microbial factors are likely to be involved in the recurrence of Crohn's disease (CD) after bowel resection. We investigated the luminal microbiota before and longitudinally after surgery, in relation to disease recurrence, using 16S metagenomic techniques. METHODS: In the prospective Post-Operative Crohn's Endoscopic Recurrence (POCER) study, fecal samples were obtained before surgery and 6, 12, and 18 months after surgery from 130 CD patients. Endoscopy was undertaken to detect disease recurrence, defined as Rutgeerts score ≥i2, at 6 months in two-thirds of patients and all patients at 18 months after surgery. The V2 region of the 16S rRNA gene was sequenced using Illumina MiSeq. Cluster analysis was performed at family level, assessing microbiome community differences between patients with and without recurrence. RESULTS: Six microbial cluster groups were identified. The cluster associated with maintenance of remission was enriched for the Lachnospiraceae family [adjusted OR 0.47 (0.27-0.82), P = .007]. The OTU diversity of Lachnospiraceae within this cluster was significantly greater than in all other clusters. The cluster enriched for Enterobacteriaceae was associated with an increased risk of disease recurrence [adjusted OR 6.35 (1.24-32.44), P = .026]. OTU diversity of Enterobacteriaceae within this cluster was significantly greater than in other clusters. CONCLUSIONS: Luminal bacterial communities are associated with protection from, and the occurrence of, Crohn's disease recurrence after surgery. Recurrence may relate to a higher abundance of facultatively anaerobic pathobionts from the Enterobacteriaceae family. The ecologic change of depleted Lachnospiraceae, a genus of butyrate-producing bacteria, may permit expansion of Enterobacteriaceae through luminal environmental perturbation.

The lower airway microbiota in early cystic fibrosis lung disease: a longitudinal analysis.

RATIONALE: In infants and young children with cystic fibrosis, lower airway infection and inflammation are associated with adverse respiratory outcomes. However, the role of lower airway microbiota in the pathogenesis of early cystic fibrosis lung disease remains uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To assess the development of the lower airway microbiota over time in infants and young children with cystic fibrosis, and to explore its association with airway inflammation and pulmonary function at age 6 years. METHODS: Serial, semi-annual bronchoscopies and bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) procedures were performed in infants newly diagnosed with cystic fibrosis following newborn screening. Quantitative microbiological cultures and inflammatory marker (interleukin 8 and neutrophil elastase) measurements were undertaken contemporaneously. 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing was conducted on stored BAL samples. Spirometry results recorded at 6 years of age were extracted from medical records. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Ninety-five BAL samples provided 16S ribosomal RNA gene data. These were collected from 48 subjects aged 1.2-78.3 months, including longitudinal samples from 27 subjects and 13 before age 6 months. The lower airway microbiota varied, but diversity decreased with advancing age. Detection of recognised cystic fibrosis bacterial pathogens was associated with reduced microbial diversity and greater lower airway inflammation. There was no association between the lower airway microbiota and pulmonary function at age 6 years. CONCLUSIONS: In infants with cystic fibrosis, the lower airway microbiota is dynamic. Dominance of the microbiota by recognised cystic fibrosis bacterial pathogens is associated with increased lower airway inflammation, however early microbial diversity is not associated with pulmonary function at 6 years of age.

Microbial Factors Associated with Postoperative Crohn's Disease Recurrence.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The intestinal microbiota is a key antigenic driver in Crohn's disease [CD]. We aimed to identify changes in the gut microbiome associated with, and predictive of, disease recurrence and remission. METHODS: A total of 141 mucosal biopsy samples from 34 CD patients were obtained at surgical resection and at colonoscopy 6 and/or 18 months postoperatively; 28 control samples were obtained: 12 from healthy patients [healthy controls] and 16 from hemicolectomy patients [surgical controls]. Bacterial 16S ribosomal profiling was performed using the Illumina MiSeq platform. RESULTS: CD was associated with reduced alpha diversity when compared with healthy controls but not surgical controls [p < 0.001 and p = 0.666, respectively]. Beta diversity [composition] differed significantly between CD and both healthy [p < 0.001] and surgical [p = 0.022] controls, but did not differ significantly between those with and without endoscopic recurrence. There were significant taxonomic differences between recurrence and remission. Patients experiencing recurrence demonstrated elevated Proteus genera [p = 0.008] and reduced Faecalibacterium [p< 0.001]. Active smoking was associated with elevated levels of Proteus [p = 0.013] postoperatively. Low abundance of Faecalibacterium [< 0.1%] and detectable Proteus in the postoperative ileal mucosa was associated with a higher risk of recurrence (odds ratio [OR] 14 [1.7-110], p = 0.013 and 13 [1.1-150], p = 0.039, respectively) when corrected for smoking. A model of recurrence comprising the presence of Proteus, abundance of Faecalibacterium, and smoking status showed moderate accuracy (area under the curve [AUC] 0.740, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.69-0.79]). CONCLUSIONS: CD is associated with a microbial signature distinct from health. Microbial factors and smoking independently influence postoperative CD recurrence. The genus Proteus may play a role in the development of CD.

Brain-derived neurotrophic factor genetic polymorphism (rs6265) is protective against chemotherapy-associated cognitive impairment in patients with early-stage breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), a neurotrophin that regulates neuronal function and development, is implicated in several neurodegenerative conditions. Preliminary data suggest that a reduction of BDNF concentrations may lead to postchemotherapy cognitive impairment. We hypothesized that a single nucleotide polymorphism (rs6265) of the BDNF gene may predispose patients to cognitive impairment. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of BDNF gene polymorphism on chemotherapy-associated cognitive impairment. METHODS: Overall, 145 patients receiving chemotherapy for early-stage breast cancer (mean age: 50.8 ± 8.8 y; 82.1% Chinese) were recruited. Patients' cognitive functions were assessed longitudinally using the validated Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Cognitive Function (v.3) and an objective computerized tool, Headminder. Genotyping was performed using Sanger sequencing. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between BDNF Val66Met polymorphism and cognition after adjusting for ethnicity and clinically important covariates. RESULTS: Of the 145 patients, 54 (37%) reported cognitive impairment postchemotherapy. The Met/Met genotype was associated with statistically significant lower odds of developing cognitive impairment (odds ratio [OR] = 0.26; 95% CI: 0.08-0.92; P = .036). The Met carriers were less likely to experience impairment in the domains of verbal fluency (OR = 0.34; 95% CI: 0.12-0.90; P = .031) and multitasking ability (OR = 0.37; 95% CI: 0.15-0.91; P = .030) compared with the Val/Val homozygote. No associations were observed between Headminder and the BDNF Val66Met polymorphism. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to provide evidence that carriers of the BDNF Met allele are protected against chemotherapy-associated cognitive impairment. Further studies are required to validate the findings.

Recent advances in characterizing the gastrointestinal microbiome in Crohn's disease: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The intestinal microbiota is involved in the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease. A reduction in the diversity of the intestinal microbiota as well as specific taxonomic and functional shifts have been reported in Crohn's disease and may play a central role in the inflammatory process. The aim was to systematically review recent developments in the structural and functional changes observed in the gastrointestinal microbiome in patients with Crohn's Disease. RESULTS: Seventy-two abstracts were included in this review. The effects of host genetics, disease phenotype, and inflammatory bowel disease treatment on the gastrointestinal microbiome in Crohn's disease were reviewed, and taxonomic shifts in patients with early and established disease were described. The relative abundance of Bacteroidetes is increased and Firmicutes decreased in Crohn's disease compared with healthy controls. Enterobacteriaceae, specifically Eschericia coli, is enriched in Crohn's disease. Faecalibacterium prausnitzii is found at lower abundance in Crohn's disease and in those with postoperative recurrence. Observed functional changes include major shifts in oxidative stress pathways, a decrease in butanoate and propanoate metabolism gene expression, lower levels of butyrate, and other short-chain fatty acids, decreased carbohydrate metabolism, and decreased amino acid biosynthesis. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in microbial composition and function have been described, although a causative role remains to be established. Larger, prospective, and longitudinal studies are required with deep interrogation of the microbiome if causality is to be determined, and refined microbial manipulation is to emerge as a focused therapy.

Copy number polymorphisms in new HapMap III and Singapore populations.

Copy number variations can be identified using newer genotyping arrays with higher single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) density and copy number probes accompanied by newer algorithms. McCarroll et al. (2008) applied these to the HapMap II samples and identified 1316 copy number polymorphisms (CNPs). In our study, we applied the same approach to 859 samples from three Singapore populations and seven HapMap III populations. Approximately 50% of the 1291 autosomal CNPs were found to be polymorphic only in populations of non-African ancestry. Pairwise comparisons among the 10 populations showed substantial differences in the CNPs frequencies. Additionally, 698 CNPs showed significant differences with false discovery rate (FDR)<0.01 among the 10 populations and these loci overlap with known disease-associated or pharmacogenetic-related genes such as CFHR3 and CFHR1 (age related macular degeneration), GSTTI (metabolism of various carcinogenic compounds and cancers) and UGT2B17 (prostate cancer and graft-versus-host disease). The correlations between CNPs and genome-wide association studies-SNPs were investigated and several loci, which were previously unreported, that may potentially be implicated in complex diseases and traits were found; for example, childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, age-related macular degeneration, breast cancer, response to antipsychotic treatment, rheumatoid arthritis and type-1 diabetes. Additionally, we also found 5014 novel copy number loci that have not been reported previously by McCarroll et al. (2008) in the 10 populations.

Multi-platform segmentation for joint detection of copy number variants.

MOTIVATION: With the expansion of whole-genome studies, there is rapid evolution of genotyping platforms. This leads to practical issues such as upgrading of genotyping equipment which often results in research groups having data from different platforms for the same samples. While having more data can potentially yield more accurate copy-number estimates, combining such data is not straightforward as different platforms show different degrees of attenuation of the true copy-number or different noise characteristics and marker panels. Currently, there is still a relative lack of procedures for combining information from different platforms. RESULTS: We develop a method, called MPSS, based on a correlated random-effect model for the unobserved patterns and extend the robust smooth segmentation approach to the multiple-platform scenario. We also propose an objective criterion for discrete segmentation required for downstream analyses. For each identified segment, the software reports a P-value to indicate the likelihood of the segment being a true CNV. From the analyses of real and simulated data, we show that MPSS has better operating characteristics when compared to single-platform methods, and have substantially higher sensitivity compared to an existing multiplatform method. AVAILABILITY: The methods are implemented in an R package MPSS, and the source is available from http://www.meb.ki.se/~yudpaw.