Tumour characteristics of screen-detected and interval cancers in the Flemish Breast Cancer Screening Programme: A mammographic breast density study.

OBJECTIVE: The objective is to investigate tumour prognostic factors versus breast density in screen-detected cancers and interval cancers. The results may highlight the need for more personalised screening protocols based on breast density in organized screening programmes. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective study was performed of tumour characteristics of screen-detected cancers (n=468) and interval cancers (n=515) of 983 women who participated in the Flemish Breast Cancer Screening Programme in 2009-2010. Breast density was obtained from the screening programme data. Information on nodal invasion and histological grading was taken from the Belgian Cancer Registry. Tumour size and proliferation and receptor expression status were retrieved from pathology reports. The differences in tumour characteristics between screen-detected and interval cancers as well as the variation in these variables with breast density in both groups were studied by logistic regression. RESULTS: A comparison of tumour characteristics between screen-detected cancers and interval cancers systematically showed features of more aggressive tumours in interval cancers: larger tumour size, nodal invasion, grade 3 tumours, and hormone receptor negative phenotype (p<0.05). The analysis of tumour characteristics versus breast density in screen-detected cancers showed higher numbers of aggressive grade 3 tumours in low-density breasts and of the luminal A subtype with good prognosis in high-density breasts (p<0.05). This analysis for interval cancers highlights a high proportion of the difficult-to-treat triple-negative subtype in low-density breasts compared with high-density breasts. In conclusion, the study data support arguments against changes in breast cancer screening programmes with prolongation of screening intervals in low-density breasts.

DNA double strand breaks induced by low dose mammography X-rays in breast tissue: A pilot study.

Breast tissue is very sensitive to ionizing radiation due to the presence of reproductive hormones, including estrogen. In the present pilot study, the efficiency of mammography X-rays to induce DNA double strand breaks (DSB) in mammary epithelial cells was investigated. For this, freshly resected healthy breast tissue was irradiated with 30 kV mammography X-rays in the dose range 0-500 mGy (2, 4, 10, 20, 40, 100 and 500 mGy). Breast specimens were also irradiated with identical doses of 60Co γ-rays as a radiation quality standard. With the γH2AX-foci assay, the number of DNA DSB induced by radiation were quantified in the mammary epithelial cells present in breast tissue. Results indicated that foci induced by 30 kV X-rays and γ-rays followed a biphasic linear dose-response. For 30 kV X-rays, the slope in the low dose region (0-20 mGy) was 8.71 times steeper compared with the slope in the higher dose region (20-500 mGy). Furthermore, compared with γ-rays, 30 kV X-rays were also more effective in inducing γH2AX-foci. This resulted in a relative biological effectiveness (RBE) value of 1.82 in the low dose range. In the higher dose range, an RBE close to 1 was obtained. In conclusion, the results indicated the existence of a low dose hypersensitive response for DSB induction in the dose range representative for mammography screening, which is probably caused by the bystander effect. This could affect the radiation risk calculations for women participating in mammography screening.

A new approach for modeling patient overall radiosensitivity and predicting multiple toxicity endpoints for breast cancer patients.

INTRODUCTION: Evaluation of patient characteristics inducing toxicity in breast radiotherapy, using simultaneous modeling of multiple endpoints. METHODS AND MATERIALS: In 269 early-stage breast cancer patients treated with whole-breast irradiation (WBI) after breast-conserving surgery, toxicity was scored, based on five dichotomized endpoints. Five logistic regression models were fitted, one for each endpoint and the effect sizes of all variables were estimated using maximum likelihood (MLE). The MLEs are improved with James-Stein estimates (JSEs). The method combines all the MLEs, obtained for the same variable but from different endpoints. Misclassification errors were computed using MLE- and JSE-based prediction models. For associations, p-values from the sum of squares of MLEs were compared with p-values from the Standardized Total Average Toxicity (STAT) Score. RESULTS: With JSEs, 19 highest ranked variables were predictive of the five different endpoints. Important variables increasing radiation-induced toxicity were chemotherapy, age, SATB2 rs2881208 SNP and nodal irradiation. Treatment position (prone position) was most protective and ranked eighth. Overall, the misclassification errors were 45% and 34% for the MLE- and JSE-based models, respectively. p-Values from the sum of squares of MLEs and p-values from STAT score led to very similar conclusions, except for the variables nodal irradiation and treatment position, for which STAT p-values suggested an association with radiosensitivity, whereas p-values from the sum of squares indicated no association. Breast volume was ranked as the most significant variable in both strategies. DISCUSSION: The James-Stein estimator was used for selecting variables that are predictive for multiple toxicity endpoints. With this estimator, 19 variables were predictive for all toxicities of which four were significantly associated with overall radiosensitivity. JSEs led to almost 25% reduction in the misclassification error rate compared to conventional MLEs. Finally, patient characteristics that are associated with radiosensitivity were identified without explicitly quantifying radiosensitivity.

Data-Based Radiation Oncology: Design of Clinical Trials in the Toxicity Biomarkers Era.

The ability to stratify patients using a set of biomarkers, which predict that toxicity risk would allow for radiotherapy (RT) modulation and serve as a valuable tool for precision medicine and personalized RT. For patients presenting with tumors with a low risk of recurrence, modifying RT schedules to avoid toxicity would be clinically advantageous. Indeed, for the patient at low risk of developing radiation-associated toxicity, use of a hypofractionated protocol could be proposed leading to treatment time reduction and a cost-utility advantage. Conversely, for patients predicted to be at high risk for toxicity, either a more conformal form or a new technique of RT, or a multidisciplinary approach employing surgery could be included in the trial design to avoid or mitigate RT when the potential toxicity risk may be higher than the risk of disease recurrence. In addition, for patients at high risk of recurrence and low risk of toxicity, dose escalation, such as a greater boost dose, or irradiation field extensions could be considered to improve local control without severe toxicities, providing enhanced clinical benefit. In cases of high risk of toxicity, tumor control should be prioritized. In this review, toxicity biomarkers with sufficient evidence for clinical testing are presented. In addition, clinical trial designs and predictive models are described for different clinical situations.

Screen-detected versus interval cancers: Effect of imaging modality and breast density in the Flemish Breast Cancer Screening Programme.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate if direct radiography (DR) performs better than screen-film mammography (SF) and computed radiography (CR) in dense breasts in a decentralized organised Breast Cancer Screening Programme. To this end, screen-detected versus interval cancers were studied in different BI-RADS density classes for these imaging modalities. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 351,532 women who participated in the Flemish Breast Cancer Screening Programme in 2009 and 2010. Information on screen-detected and interval cancers, breast density scores of radiologist second readers, and imaging modality was obtained by linkage of the databases of the Centre of Cancer Detection and the Belgian Cancer Registry. RESULTS: Overall, 67% of occurring breast cancers are screen detected and 33% are interval cancers, with DR performing better than SF and CR. The interval cancer rate increases gradually with breast density, regardless of modality. In the high-density class, the interval cancer rate exceeds the cancer detection rate for SF and CR, but not for DR. CONCLUSIONS: DR is superior to SF and CR with respect to cancer detection rates for high-density breasts. To reduce the high interval cancer rate in dense breasts, use of an additional imaging technique in screening can be taken into consideration. KEY POINTS: • Interval cancer rate increases gradually with breast density, regardless of modality. • Cancer detection rate in high-density breasts is superior in DR. • IC rate exceeds CDR for SF and CR in high-density breasts. • DR performs better in high-density breasts for third readings and false-positives.

RENEB - Running the European Network of biological dosimetry and physical retrospective dosimetry.

PURPOSE: A European network was initiated in 2012 by 23 partners from 16 European countries with the aim to significantly increase individualized dose reconstruction in case of large-scale radiological emergency scenarios. RESULTS: The network was built on three complementary pillars: (1) an operational basis with seven biological and physical dosimetric assays in ready-to-use mode, (2) a basis for education, training and quality assurance, and (3) a basis for further network development regarding new techniques and members. Techniques for individual dose estimation based on biological samples and/or inert personalized devices as mobile phones or smart phones were optimized to support rapid categorization of many potential victims according to the received dose to the blood or personal devices. Communication and cross-border collaboration were also standardized. To assure long-term sustainability of the network, cooperation with national and international emergency preparedness organizations was initiated and links to radiation protection and research platforms have been developed. A legal framework, based on a Memorandum of Understanding, was established and signed by 27 organizations by the end of 2015. CONCLUSIONS: RENEB is a European Network of biological and physical-retrospective dosimetry, with the capacity and capability to perform large-scale rapid individualized dose estimation. Specialized to handle large numbers of samples, RENEB is able to contribute to radiological emergency preparedness and wider large-scale research projects.

Uncertainty of fast biological radiation dose assessment for emergency response scenarios.

PURPOSE: Reliable dose estimation is an important factor in appropriate dosimetric triage categorization of exposed individuals to support radiation emergency response. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Following work done under the EU FP7 MULTIBIODOSE and RENEB projects, formal methods for defining uncertainties on biological dose estimates are compared using simulated and real data from recent exercises. RESULTS: The results demonstrate that a Bayesian method of uncertainty assessment is the most appropriate, even in the absence of detailed prior information. The relative accuracy and relevance of techniques for calculating uncertainty and combining assay results to produce single dose and uncertainty estimates is further discussed. CONCLUSIONS: Finally, it is demonstrated that whatever uncertainty estimation method is employed, ignoring the uncertainty on fast dose assessments can have an important impact on rapid biodosimetric categorization.

In vitro cellular radiosensitivity in relationship to late normal tissue reactions in breast cancer patients: a multi-endpoint case-control study.

PURPOSE: A minority of patients exhibits severe late normal tissue toxicity after radiotherapy (RT), possibly related to their inherent individual radiation sensitivity. This study aimed to evaluate four different candidate in vitro cellular radiosensitivity assays for prediction of late normal tissue reactions, in a retrospective matched case-control set-up of breast cancer patients. METHODS: The study population consists of breast cancer patients expressing severe radiation toxicity (12 cases) and no or minimal reactions (12 controls), with a follow-up for at least 3 years. Late adverse reactions were evaluated by comparing standardized photographs pre- and post-RT resulting in an overall cosmetic score and by clinical examination using the LENT-SOMA scale. Four cellular assays on peripheral blood lymphocytes reported to be associated with normal tissue reactions were performed after in vitro irradiation of patient blood samples to compare case and control radiation responses: radiation-induced CD8+ late apoptosis, residual DNA double-strand breaks, G0 and G2 micronucleus assay. RESULTS: A significant difference was observed for all cellular endpoints when matched cases and controls were compared both pairwise and grouped. However, it is important to point out that most case-control pairs showed a substantial overlap in standard deviations, which questions the predictive value of the individual assays. The apoptosis assay performed best, with less apoptosis seen in CD8+ lymphocytes of the cases (average: 14.45%) than in their matched controls (average: 30.64%) for 11 out of 12 patient pairs (p < .01). The number of residual DNA DSB was higher in cases (average: 9.92 foci/cell) compared to their matched control patients (average: 9.17 foci/cell) (p < .01). The average dose response curve of the G0 MN assay for cases lies above the average dose response curve of the controls. Finally, a pairwise comparison of the G2 MN results showed a higher MN yield for cases (average: 351 MN/1000BN) compared to controls (average: 219 MN/1000BN) in 9 out of 10 pairs (p < .01). CONCLUSION: This matched case-control study in breast cancer patients, using different endpoints for in vitro cellular radiosensitivity related to DNA repair and apoptosis, suggests that patients' intrinsic radiosensitivity is involved in the development of late normal tissue reactions after RT. Larger prospective studies are warranted to validate the retrospective findings and to use in vitro cellular assays in the future to predict late normal tissue radiosensitivity and discriminate individuals with marked RT responses.

Pitfalls in Prediction Modeling for Normal Tissue Toxicity in Radiation Therapy: An Illustration With the Individual Radiation Sensitivity and Mammary Carcinoma Risk Factor Investigation Cohorts.

PURPOSE: To identify the main causes underlying the failure of prediction models for radiation therapy toxicity to replicate. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Data were used from two German cohorts, Individual Radiation Sensitivity (ISE) (n=418) and Mammary Carcinoma Risk Factor Investigation (MARIE) (n=409), of breast cancer patients with similar characteristics and radiation therapy treatments. The toxicity endpoint chosen was telangiectasia. The LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) logistic regression method was used to build a predictive model for a dichotomized endpoint (Radiation Therapy Oncology Group/European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer score 0, 1, or ≥2). Internal areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (inAUCs) were calculated by a naïve approach whereby the training data (ISE) were also used for calculating the AUC. Cross-validation was also applied to calculate the AUC within the same cohort, a second type of inAUC. Internal AUCs from cross-validation were calculated within ISE and MARIE separately. Models trained on one dataset (ISE) were applied to a test dataset (MARIE) and AUCs calculated (exAUCs). RESULTS: Internal AUCs from the naïve approach were generally larger than inAUCs from cross-validation owing to overfitting the training data. Internal AUCs from cross-validation were also generally larger than the exAUCs, reflecting heterogeneity in the predictors between cohorts. The best models with largest inAUCs from cross-validation within both cohorts had a number of common predictors: hypertension, normalized total boost, and presence of estrogen receptors. Surprisingly, the effect (coefficient in the prediction model) of hypertension on telangiectasia incidence was positive in ISE and negative in MARIE. Other predictors were also not common between the 2 cohorts, illustrating that overcoming overfitting does not solve the problem of replication failure of prediction models completely. CONCLUSIONS: Overfitting and cohort heterogeneity are the 2 main causes of replication failure of prediction models across cohorts. Cross-validation and similar techniques (eg, bootstrapping) cope with overfitting, but the development of validated predictive models for radiation therapy toxicity requires strategies that deal with cohort heterogeneity.

Individual patient data meta-analysis shows a significant association between the ATM rs1801516 SNP and toxicity after radiotherapy in 5456 breast and prostate cancer patients.

PURPOSE: Several small studies have indicated that the ATM rs1801516 SNP is associated with risk of normal tissue toxicity after radiotherapy. However, the findings have not been consistent. In order to test this SNP in a well-powered study, an individual patient data meta-analysis was carried out by the International Radiogenomics Consortium. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The analysis included 5456 patients from 17 different cohorts. 2759 patients were given radiotherapy for breast cancer and 2697 for prostate cancer. Eight toxicity scores (overall toxicity, acute toxicity, late toxicity, acute skin toxicity, acute rectal toxicity, telangiectasia, fibrosis and late rectal toxicity) were analyzed. Adjustments were made for treatment and patient related factors with potential impact on the risk of toxicity. RESULTS: For all endpoints except late rectal toxicity, a significantly increased risk of toxicity was found for carriers of the minor (Asn) allele with odds ratios of approximately 1.5 for acute toxicity and 1.2 for late toxicity. The results were consistent with a co-dominant pattern of inheritance. CONCLUSION: This study convincingly showed a significant association between the ATM rs1801516 Asn allele and increased risk of radiation-induced normal tissue toxicity.

A semi­automated FISH­based micronucleus­centromere assay for biomonitoring of hospital workers exposed to low doses of ionizing radiation.

The aim of the present study was to perform cytogenetic analysis by means of a semi­automated micronucleus­centromere assay in lymphocytes from medical radiation workers. Two groups of workers receiving the highest occupational doses were selected: 10 nuclear medicine technicians and 10 interventional radiologists/cardiologists. Centromere­negative micronucleus (MNCM­) data, obtained from these two groups of medical radiation workers were compared with those obtained in matched controls. The blood samples of the matched controls were additionally used to construct a 'low­dose' (0­100 mGy) MNCM­ dose­response curve to evaluate the sensitivity and suitability of the micronucleus­centromere assay as an 'effect' biomarker in medical surveillance programs. The physical dosimetry data of the 3 years preceding the blood sampling, based on single or double dosimetry practices, were collected for the interpretation of the micronucleus data. The in vitro radiation results showed that for small sized groups, semi­automated scoring of MNCM­ enables the detection of a dose of 50 mGy. The comparison of MNCM­ yields in medical radiation workers and control individuals showed enhanced MNCM­ scores in the medical radiation workers group (P=0.15). The highest MNCM­ scores were obtained in the interventional radiologists/cardiologists group, and these scores were significantly higher compared with those obtained from the matched control group (P=0.05). The higher MNCM­ scores observed in interventional radiologists/cardiologists compared with nuclear medicine technicians were not in agreement with the personal dosimetry records in both groups, which may point to the limitation of 'double dosimetry' procedures used in interventional radiology/cardiology. In conclusion, the data obtained in the present study supports the importance of cytogenetic analysis, in addition to physical dosimetry, as a routine biomonitoring method in medical radiation workers receiving the highest occupational radiation burdens.

The role of Size-Specific Dose Estimate (SSDE) in patient-specific organ dose and cancer risk estimation in paediatric chest and abdominopelvic CT examinations.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a clinically applicable method to estimate patient-specific organ and blood doses and lifetime attributable risks (LAR) from paediatric torso CT examinations. METHODS: Individualized voxel models were created from full-body CT data of 10 paediatric patients (2-18 years). Patient-specific dose distributions of chest and abdominopelvic CT scans were simulated using Monte Carlo methods. Blood dose was calculated as a weighted sum of simulated organ doses. LAR of cancer incidence and mortality were estimated, according to BEIR-VII. A second simulation and blood dose calculation was performed using only the thoracic and abdominopelvic region of the original voxel models. For each simulation, the size-specific dose estimate (SSDE) was calculated. RESULTS: SSDE showed a significant strong linear correlation with organ dose (r > 0.8) and blood dose (r > 0.9) and LAR (r > 0.9). No significant differences were found between blood dose calculations with the full-body voxel models and the thoracic or abdominopelvic models. CONCLUSION: Even though clinical CT images mostly do not cover the whole body of the patient, they can be used as a voxel model for blood dose calculation. In addition, SSDE can estimate patient-specific organ and blood doses and LAR in paediatric torso CT examinations. KEY POINTS: • Blood dose can be simulated using the patient's clinical CT images. • SSDE estimates patient-specific organ/blood dose and LAR in paediatric CAP CT-examinations. • SSDE makes on-the-spot dose and LAR estimations possible in routine clinical practice.

Organ Doses and Radiation Risk of Computed Tomographic Coronary Angiography in a Clinical Patient Population: How Do Low-Dose Acquisition Modes Compare?

OBJECTIVE: To compare the organ doses and lifetime-attributable risk of cancer for electrocardiogram-triggered sequential and high-pitch helical scanning in a clinical patient population. METHODS: Phantom thermoluminiscence dosimeter measurements were used as a model for the organ dose assessment of 314 individual patients who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography. Patient-specific lifetime-attributable cancer risks were calculated. RESULTS: Phantom measurements showed that heart rate had a significant influence on the delivered radiation exposure in sequential mode, and calcium scoring and contrast bolus tracking scans make a nonnegligible contribution to patients' dose. Therefore, they should be taken into account for patients' organ dose estimations. Median cancer induction risks are low, with 0.008% (0.0016%) and 0.022% (0.056%) for high-pitch and sequential scanning for men (women), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The use of high-pitch helical scanning leads to 65% and 72% lower lifetime-attributable risk values for men and women, respectively, compared with sequential scanning.

Novel X-ray imaging technology enables significant patient dose reduction in interventional cardiology while maintaining diagnostic image quality.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to quantify the reduction in patient radiation dose during coronary angiography (CA) by a new X-ray technology, and to assess its impact on diagnostic image quality. BACKGROUND: Recently, a novel X-ray imaging technology has become available for interventional cardiology, using advanced image processing and an optimized acquisition chain for radiation dose reduction. METHODS: 70 adult patients were randomly assigned to a reference X-ray system or the novel X-ray system. Patient demographics were registered and exposure parameters were recorded for each radiation event. Clinical image quality was assessed for both patient groups. RESULTS: With the same angiographic technique and a comparable patient population, the new imaging technology was associated with a 75% reduction in total kerma-area product (KAP) value (decrease from 47 Gycm2 to 12 Gycm2, P<0.001). Clinical image quality showed an equivalent detail and contrast for both imaging systems. On the other hand, the subjective appreciation of noise was more apparent in images of the new image processing system, acquired at lower doses, compared to the reference system. However, the higher noise content did not affect the overall image quality score, which was adequate for diagnosis in both systems. CONCLUSIONS: For the first time, we present a new X-ray imaging technology, combining advanced noise reduction algorithms and an optimized acquisition chain, which reduces patient radiation dose in CA drastically (75%), while maintaining diagnostic image quality. Use of this technology may further improve the radiation safety of cardiac angiography and interventions.

Operational guidance for radiation emergency response organisations in Europe for using biodosimetric tools developed in EU MULTIBIODOSE project.

In the event of a large-scale radiological emergency, the triage of individuals according to their degree of exposure forms an important initial step of the accident management. Although clinical signs and symptoms of a serious exposure may be used for radiological triage, they are not necessarily radiation specific and can lead to a false diagnosis. Biodosimetry is a method based on the analysis of radiation-induced changes in cells of the human body or in portable electronic devices and enables the unequivocal identification of exposed people who should receive medical treatment. The MULTIBIODOSE (MBD) consortium developed and validated several biodosimetric assays and adapted and tested them as tools for biological dose assessment in a mass-casualty event. Different biodosimetric assays were validated against the 'gold standard' of biological dosimetry-the dicentric assay. The assays were harmonised in such a way that, in an emergency situation, they can be run in parallel in a network of European laboratories. The aim of this guidance is to give a concise overview of the developed biodosimetric tools as well as how and when they can be used in an emergency situation.

Factors modifying the risk for developing acute skin toxicity after whole-breast intensity modulated radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: After breast-conserving radiation therapy most patients experience acute skin toxicity to some degree. This may impair patients' quality of life, cause pain and discomfort. In this study, we investigated treatment and patient-related factors, including genetic polymorphisms, that can modify the risk for severe radiation-induced skin toxicity in breast cancer patients. METHODS: We studied 377 patients treated at Ghent University Hospital and at ST.-Elisabeth Clinic and Maternity in Namur, with adjuvant intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) after breast-conserving surgery for breast cancer. Women were treated in a prone or supine position with normofractionated (25 × 2 Gy) or hypofractionated (15 × 2.67 Gy) IMRT alone or in combination with other adjuvant therapies. Patient- and treatment-related factors and genetic markers in regulatory regions of radioresponsive genes and in LIG3, MLH1 and XRCC3 genes were considered as variables. Acute dermatitis was scored using the CTCAEv3.0 scoring system. Desquamation was scored separately on a 3-point scale (0-none, 1-dry, 2-moist). RESULTS: Two-hundred and twenty patients (58%) developed G2+ dermatitis whereas moist desquamation occurred in 56 patients (15%). Normofractionation (both p < 0.001), high body mass index (BMI) (p = 0.003 and p < 0.001), bra cup size ≥ D (p = 0.001 and p = 0.043) and concurrent hormone therapy (p = 0.001 and p = 0.037) were significantly associated with occurrence of acute dermatitis and moist desquamation, respectively. Additional factors associated with an increased risk of acute dermatitis were the genetic variation in MLH1 rs1800734 (p=0.008), smoking during RT (p = 0.010) and supine IMRT (p = 0.004). Patients receiving trastuzumab showed decreased risk of acute dermatitis (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The normofractionation schedule, supine IMRT, concomitant hormone treatment and patient related factors (high BMI, large breast, smoking during treatment and the genetic variation in MLH1 rs1800734) were associated with increased acute skin toxicity in patients receiving radiation therapy after breast-conserving surgery. Trastuzumab seemed to be protective.

A let-7 microRNA polymorphism in the KRAS 3'-UTR is prognostic in oropharyngeal cancer.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to investigate the effect of genetic polymorphisms in miRNA sequences, miRNA target genes and miRNA processing genes as additional biomarkers to HPV for prognosis in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) patients. Secondarily, the prevalence of HPV-associated OPSCC in a European cohort was mapped. METHODS: OPSCC patients (n=122) were genotyped for ten genetic polymorphisms in pre-miRNAs (pre-mir-146a, pre-mir-196a2), in miRNA biosynthesis genes (Drosha, XPO5) and in miRNA target genes (KRAS, SMC1B). HPV status was assessed by p16 immunohistochemistry (IHC) and high-risk HPV in situ hybridization (ISH) or by p16 IHC and PCR followed by enzyme-immunoassay (EIA). Overall and disease specific survival were analysed using Kaplan-Meier plots (log-rank test). Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR). RESULTS: The overall HPV prevalence rate in our Belgian/Dutch cohort was 27.9%. Patients with HPV(+) tumours had a better 5-years overall survival (78% vs. 46%, p=0.001) and a better 5-years disease specific survival (90% vs. 70%, p=0.016) compared to patients with HPV(-) tumours. In multivariate Cox analysis including clinical, treatment and genetic parameters, HPV negativity (HR=3.89, p=0.005), advanced T-stage (HR=1.81, p=0.050), advanced N-stage (HR=5.86, p=0.001) and >10 pack-years of smoking (HR=3.45, p=0.012) were significantly associated with reduced overall survival. The variant G-allele of the KRAS-LCS6 polymorphism was significantly associated with a better overall survival (HR=0.40, p=0.031). CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that OPSCC patients with the KRAS-LCS6 variant have a better outcome and suggest that this variant may be used as a prognostic biomarker for OPSCC.

Integrated models for the prediction of late genitourinary complaints after high-dose intensity modulated radiotherapy for prostate cancer: making informed decisions.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To develop predictive models for late radiation-induced hematuria and nocturia allowing a patient individualized estimation of pre-treatment risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 262 PCa patients treated with curative intensity modulated radiotherapy to the intact prostate or prostate bed. A total of 372 variables were used for prediction modeling, among which 343 genetic variations. Toxicity was scored using an in-house developed toxicity scale. Predictor selection is achieved by the EMLasso procedure, a penalized logistic regression method with an EM algorithm handling missing data and crossvalidation avoiding overfit. Model performance was expressed by the area under the curve (AUC) and by sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Variables of the model predicting late hematuria (36/262) are bladder volume receiving ⩾75 Gy, prostatic transurethral resection and four polymorphisms. (AUC = 0.80, sensitivity = 83.3%, specificity = 61.5%). The AUC drops to 0.67 when the genetic markers are left out. The model that predicts for late nocturia (29/262) contains the minimal clinical target volume (CTV) dose, the CTV volume and three polymorphisms (AUC = 0.76, sensitivity = 75.9%, specify = 67.4%). This model is a better predictor for nocturia compared to the nongenetic model (AUC of 0.60). CONCLUSIONS: We were able to develop models that predict for the occurrence of late radiation-induced hematuria and nocturia, including genetic factors which might improve the prediction of late urinary toxicity.

Multibiodose radiation emergency triage categorization software.

In this note, the authors describe the MULTIBIODOSE software, which has been created as part of the MULTIBIODOSE project. The software enables doses estimated by networks of laboratories, using up to five retrospective (biological and physical) assays, to be combined to give a single estimate of triage category for each individual potentially exposed to ionizing radiation in a large scale radiation accident or incident. The MULTIBIODOSE software has been created in Java. The usage of the software is based on the MULTIBIODOSE Guidance: the program creates a link to a single SQLite database for each incident, and the database is administered by the lead laboratory. The software has been tested with Java runtime environment 6 and 7 on a number of different Windows, Mac, and Linux systems, using data from a recent intercomparison exercise. The Java program MULTIBIODOSE_1.0.jar is freely available to download from http://www.multibiodose.eu/software or by contacting the software administrator: MULTIBIODOSE-software@gmx.com.