Derivation and Validation of Thresholds Using Synthetic Data Methods for Single-Test Screening of Emergency Department Patients with Possible Acute Myocardial Infarction Using a Point-of-Care Troponin Assay.

BACKGROUND: Single-sample (screening) rule-out of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with troponin requires derivation of a single-test screening threshold. In data sets with small event numbers, the lowest one or two concentrations of myocardial infarction (MI) patients dictate the threshold. This is not optimal. We aimed to demonstrate a process incorporating both real and synthetic data for deriving such thresholds using a novel pre-production high-precision point-of-care assay. METHODS: cTnI concentrations were measured from thawed plasma using the Troponin I Next (TnI-Nx) assay (i-STAT; Abbott) in adults on arrival to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of AMI. The primary outcome was an AMI or cardiac death within 30 days. We used internal-external validation with synthetic data production based on clinical and demographic data, plus the measured TnI-Nx concentration, to derive and validate decision thresholds for TnI-Nx. The target low-risk threshold was a sensitivity of 99% and a high-risk threshold specificity of >95%. RESULTS: In total, 1356 patients were included, of whom 191 (14.1%) had the primary outcome. A total of 500 synthetic data sets were constructed. The mean low-risk threshold was determined to be 5 ng/L. This categorized 38% (95% CI, 6%-68%) to low-risk with a sensitivity of 99.0% (95% CI, 98.6%-99.5%) and a negative predictive value of 99.4% (95% CI, 97.6%-99.8%). A similarly derived high-risk threshold of 25 ng/L had a specificity of 95.0% (95% CI, 94.8%-95.1%) and a positive predictive value of 74.8% (95% CI, 71.5%-78.0%). CONCLUSIONS: With the TnI-Nx assay, we successfully demonstrated an approach using synthetic data generation to derive low-risk thresholds for safe and effective screening.

Baseline characteristics of patients in the randomized study to investigate the efficacy and safety of ferric carboxymaltose as treatment for heart failure with iron deficiency: HEART-FID trial.

BACKGROUND: Prior clinical trials have investigated intravenous iron in patients with heart failure (HF) and iron deficiency, but the safety and efficacy of this therapy remains unclear. METHODS: We report the baseline demographics and clinical characteristics of patients enrolled in the HEART-FID study and compare HEART-FID participants with patients within other contemporary clinical trials of patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including other intravenous iron trials. RESULTS: In the 3,065 participants randomized in HEART-FID, median (IQR) age was 69.7 (62.0-76.5) years, 1,037 (33.8%) were female, 322 (10.5%) were Black, median ejection fraction was 32% (25%-37%), 1,837 (60.0%) had ischemic etiology, and baseline median NT-proBNP was 1,462 (721-2,966) pg/mL. Median baseline hemoglobin was 12.6 (11.6-13.6) g/dL, and median 6-minute walk test distance was 272 (196-350) m, similar to prior intravenous iron HFrEF trials. Common comorbidities included atrial fibrillation/flutter (43.7%), and type 2 diabetes (45.2%). Compared with several recent HFrEF trials, patients enrolled in HEART-FID had similar baseline demographics and clinical characteristics, though a greater proportion of women and Black participants were recruited in HEART-FID. In HEART-FID, HFrEF therapy included a beta-blocker in 92.5%, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI) in 86.1% (with 29.7% ARNI), and a mineralocorticoid antagonist (MRA) in 55.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Patients enrolled in HEART-FID were similar to those enrolled in other contemporary HFrEF trials and registries, including trials of intravenous iron in HFrEF. However, the HEART-FID cohort is substantially larger and more racially diverse than prior trials of intravenous iron in HFrEF. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03037931).

Ferric Carboxymaltose in Heart Failure with Iron Deficiency.

BACKGROUND: Ferric carboxymaltose therapy reduces symptoms and improves quality of life in patients who have heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction and iron deficiency. Additional evidence about the effects of ferric carboxymaltose on clinical events is needed. METHODS: In this double-blind, randomized trial, we assigned ambulatory patients with heart failure, a left ventricular ejection fraction of 40% or less, and iron deficiency, in a 1:1 ratio, to receive intravenous ferric carboxymaltose or placebo, in addition to standard therapy for heart failure. Ferric carboxymaltose or placebo was given every 6 months as needed on the basis of iron indexes and hemoglobin levels. The primary outcome was a hierarchical composite of death within 12 months after randomization, hospitalizations for heart failure within 12 months after randomization, or change from baseline to 6 months in the 6-minute walk distance. The significance level was set at 0.01. RESULTS: We enrolled 3065 patients, of whom 1532 were randomly assigned to the ferric carboxymaltose group and 1533 to the placebo group. Death by month 12 occurred in 131 patients (8.6%) in the ferric carboxymaltose group and 158 (10.3%) in the placebo group; a total of 297 and 332 hospitalizations for heart failure, respectively, occurred by month 12; and the mean (±SD) change from baseline to 6 months in the 6-minute walk distance was 8±60 and 4±59 m, respectively (Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney P = 0.02; unmatched win ratio, 1.10; 99% confidence interval, 0.99 to 1.23). Repeated dosing of ferric carboxymaltose appeared to be safe with an acceptable adverse-event profile in the majority of patients. The number of patients with serious adverse events occurring during the treatment period was similar in the two groups (413 patients [27.0%] in the ferric carboxymaltose group and 401 [26.2%] in the placebo group). CONCLUSIONS: Among ambulatory patients who had heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction and iron deficiency, there was no apparent difference between ferric carboxymaltose and placebo with respect to the hierarchical composite of death, hospitalizations for heart failure, or 6-minute walk distance. (Funded by American Regent, a Daiichi Sankyo Group company; HEART-FID ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03037931.).

Circulating levels and prognostic cut-offs of sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP in women vs. men with chronic heart failure.

AIMS: To define plasma concentrations, determinants, and optimal prognostic cut-offs of soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in women and men with chronic heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual data of patients from the Biomarkers In Heart Failure Outpatient Study (BIOS) Consortium with sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP measured were analysed. The primary endpoint was a composite of 1 year cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization. The secondary endpoints were 5 year cardiovascular and all-cause death. The cohort included 4540 patients (age 67 ± 12 years, left ventricular ejection fraction 33 ± 13%, 1111 women, 25%). Women showed lower sST2 (24 vs. 27 ng/mL, P < 0.001) and hs-cTnT level (15 vs. 20 ng/L, P < 0.001), and similar concentrations of NT-proBNP (1540 vs. 1505 ng/L, P = 0.408). Although the three biomarkers were confirmed as independent predictors of outcome in both sexes, the optimal prognostic cut-off was lower in women for sST2 (28 vs. 31 ng/mL) and hs-cTnT (22 vs. 25 ng/L), while NT-proBNP cut-off was higher in women (2339 ng/L vs. 2145 ng/L). The use of sex-specific cut-offs improved risk prediction compared with the use of previously standardized prognostic cut-offs and allowed to reclassify the risk of many patients, to a greater extent in women than men, and for hs-cTnT than sST2 or NT-proBNP. Specifically, up to 18% men and up to 57% women were reclassified, by using the sex-specific cut-off of hs-cTnT for the endpoint of 5 year cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic HF, concentrations of sST2 and hs-cTnT, but not of NT-proBNP, are lower in women. Lower sST2 and hs-cTnT and higher NT-proBNP cut-offs for risk stratification could be used in women.

Reduced Exercise Capacity in Adults Born at Very Low Birth Weight: A Population-based Cohort Study.

Rationale: Population-based data regarding the consequences of very low birth weight (VLBW) and bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) on adult exercise capacity are limited. Objectives: To compare exercise capacity in a national VLBW cohort with term-born controls and explore factors contributing to the differences. Methods: At 26-30 years of age, 228 VLBW survivors and 100 controls underwent lung function tests, cardiopulmonary exercise testing, and assessment of resting cardiac structure and function using echocardiography. Data on self-reported physical activity were collected. Measurements and Main Results: Compared with controls, adults with VLBW demonstrated reduced oxygen uptake, work rate, and oxygen pulse at peak exercise (9.3%, 10.7%, and 10.8% lower, respectively) and earlier anaerobic threshold (all P < 0.0001), with all mean values within normal range. VLBW survivors showed reduced physical activity, impaired lung function (reduced FEV1, FEV1/FVC, and DlCO), altered left ventricular structure and function (reduced mass, size, stroke volume, and cardiac output), and reduced right atrial and ventricular size. Adjustment for the combination of three sets of covariates (physical activity with body mass index, lung function, and cardiac structure and function) explained most of the exercise group differences. Beyond the effects of physical activity and body mass index, lung function and cardiac structure and function contributed approximately equally. BPD with other prematurity-related perinatal factors (ventilation, antenatal steroids, extremely low birth weight, and extreme preterm) were not associated with a reduced exercise capacity. Conclusions: Exercise capacity was significantly reduced in adults with VLBW, which we speculate is from combined effects of impaired lung function, altered heart structure and function, and reduced physical activity. Perinatal factors including BPD were not associated with a reduced exercise capacity.

Cardiac biomarkers retain prognostic significance in patients with heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

AIMS: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a frequent comorbidity in patients with heart failure (HF). We assessed the influence of COPD on circulating levels and prognostic value of three HF biomarkers: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT), and soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2). METHODS: Individual data from patients with chronic HF, known COPD status, NT-proBNP and hs-TnT values (n = 8088) were analysed. A subgroup (n = 3414) had also sST2 values. RESULTS: Patients had a median age of 66 years (interquartile interval 57-74), 77% were men and 82% had HF with reduced ejection fraction. NT-proBNP, hs-TnT and sST2 were 1207 ng/l (487-2725), 17 ng/l (9-31) and 30 ng/ml (22-44), respectively. Patients with COPD (n = 1249, 15%) had higher NT-proBNP (P = 0.042) and hs-TnT (P < 0.001), but not sST2 (P = 0.165). Over a median 2.0-year follow-up (1.5-2.5), 1717 patients (21%) died, and 1298 (16%) died from cardiovascular causes; 2255 patients (28%) were hospitalized for HF over 1.8 years (0.9-2.1). NT-proBNP, hs-TnT and sST2 predicted the three end points regardless of COPD status. The best cut-offs from receiver-operating characteristics analysis were higher in patients with COPD than in those without. Patients with all three biomarkers higher than or equal to end-point- and COPD-status-specific cut-offs were also those with the worst prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with HF, those with COPD have higher NT-proBNP and hs-TnT, but not sST2. All these biomarkers yield prognostic significance regardless of the COPD status.

Cardiac structure and function in very preterm-born adolescents compared to term-born controls: A longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is emerging evidence of differences in cardiac structure and function in preterm-born adults and increased risk of heart failure. However, there is a paucity of data in populations who have been exposed to modern intensive care and the impact of perinatal factors is unclear. AIMS: To compare echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function in a regional cohort of 17-year-olds born very preterm compared to term-born peers and the influence of perinatal factors. STUDY DESIGN: Observational longitudinal cohort study. SUBJECTS: A regional cohort of ninety-one 17-year-olds born at <32 weeks gestation compared to sixty-two term-born controls. OUTCOME MEASURES: Echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function. RESULTS: Left ventricular and right atrial volume and left ventricular mass, indexed to body surface area, were significantly smaller in preterm-born adolescents compared to term-born controls even when adjusted for sex. There were no between group differences in cardiac function. Within those born preterm we found a significant association between gestational age and birthweight z-score and measures of cardiac function at 17 years. Within the preterm group, those with a diagnosis of bronchopulmonary dysplasia had higher left ventricular posterior wall thickness, higher mitral deceleration time and lower left atrial area and tricuspid annular plane of systolic excursion. CONCLUSIONS: Adolescents born very prematurely, who have received modern intensive care, have measurable differences in heart structure compared to their term-born peers but heart function is preserved. For those born preterm, gestational age, birthweight and bronchopulmonary dysplasia are associated with differences in cardiac function.

Impact of change in iron status over time on clinical outcomes in heart failure according to ejection fraction phenotype.

AIMS: The importance of iron deficiency (ID) in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unknown. In HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), ID is reported as an independent predictor of mortality in HF although not all published studies agree. Different definitions of ID have been assessed, and the natural history of untreated ID not established, which may explain the conflicting results. This study aimed to assess the relationship between ID and mortality in HFpEF, clarify which definition of ID correlates best with outcomes in HFrEF, and determine the prognostic importance of change in ID status over time. METHODS AND RESULTS: Analyses were conducted on data from 1563 patients participating in a prospective international cohort study comparing HFpEF with HFrEF. Plasma samples from baseline and 6 month visits were analysed for the presence of ID. Two ID definitions were evaluated: IDFerritin  = 'ferritin < 100 mcg/L or ferritin 100-300 mcg/L + transferrin saturation < 20%' and IDTsat  = 'transferrin saturation < 20%'. The risk of all-cause mortality and death/HF hospitalization associated with baseline ID (IDFerritin or IDTsat ) and change in ID status at 6 months (persistent, resolving, developing, or never present) was estimated in multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Of 1563 patients, 1115 (71%) had HFrEF and 448 (29%) HFpEF. Prevalence of ID was similar in HFpEF and HFrEF (58%). Patients with ID were more likely to be female, diabetic, and have a higher co-morbid burden than patients without ID. ID by either definition did not confer independent risk for either all-cause mortality or death/HF hospitalization for patients with HFpEF [IDFerritin hazard ratio (HR) 0.65 (95% confidence interval 0.40-1.05), P = 0.08; IDTsat HR 1.16 (0.72-1.87), P = 0.55]. In the overall study cohort (HFrEF + HFpEF) and HFrEF subgroup, IDFerritin was inferior to IDTsat in prediction of all-cause mortality [overall cohort: HR 1.21 (0.95-1.53), P = 0.12 vs. HR 1.95 (1.52-2.51), P < 0.01; HFrEF: HR 1.12 (0.85-1.48), P = 0.43 vs. HR 1.57 (1.15-2.14), P < 0.01]. Persistence of IDTsat at 6 months was strongly associated with poor outcomes compared with never having IDTsat [HR 2.22 (1.42-3.46), P < 0.01] or having IDTsat at baseline self-resolve by 6 months [HR 1.40 (1.06-1.86), P = 0.02]. CONCLUSIONS: Iron deficiency is equally prevalent in HFpEF and HFrEF but is negatively prognostic only in HFrEF. The natural history of ID is important; persistent ID is strongly associated with mortality whereas resolution is not. IDTsat is the superior definition of ID and should inform future trials investigating the efficacy of intravenous iron replacement in patients with HFrEF.

Vascular endothelial growth factor-A promoter polymorphisms, circulating VEGF-A and survival in acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Development of a competent collateral circulation in established coronary artery disease is cardio-protective. The vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) system plays a key role in this process. We investigated the prognostic performance of circulating VEGF-A and three genetic variants in the VEGFA gene in a clinical coronary cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Coronary Disease Cohort Study (CDCS) recruited 2,140 patients, with a diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), after admission to Christchurch or Auckland City Hospitals between July 2002 and January 2009. We present data for 1927 patients from the cohort genotyped for three SNPs in the VEGF-A gene, rs699947 (C-2578A), rs2010963 (C405G) and rs3025039 (C936T). Plasma VEGF-A concentrations were assayed in a subgroup (n = 550) of CDCS patients (geometric mean 36.6 [34.7-38.5] pg/ml). VEGF-A levels correlated with patient heart rate at baseline (p = 0.034). None of rs699947, rs3025039, nor rs2010963 genotypes were significantly associated with VEGF-A levels, but rs3025039 genotype was positively associated with collateral vessels perfusion according to the Rentrop classification (p = 0.01) and baseline natriuretic peptide levels (p<0.05). Survival in the CDCS cohort was independently associated with baseline VEGF-A levels and (in males) with rs699947 genotype. CONCLUSIONS: This study is strongly suggestive that VEGF-A levels have value as a prognostic biomarker in coronary heart disease patients and SNPs in VEGF-A deserve further investigation as prognostic markers and indicators of angiogenic potential influencing the formation of collateral circulation.

Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trial of Ferric Carboxymaltose in Heart Failure With Iron Deficiency: Rationale and Design.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency (ID) has a prevalence of ≈40% to 50% among patients in heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction and is associated with worse prognosis. Several trials demonstrated that intravenous ferric carboxymaltose leads to early and sustained improvement in patient-reported outcomes and functional capacity in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction with ID, yet morbidity and mortality data are limited. METHODS: The objective of the HEART-FID trial (Ferric Carboxymaltose in Heart Failure With Iron Deficiency) is to assess efficacy and safety of ferric carboxymaltose compared with placebo as treatment for symptomatic HF with reduced ejection fraction with ID. HEART-FID is a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial enrolling ≈3014 patients at ≈300 international centers. Eligible patients are aged ≥18 years in stable chronic HF with New York Heart Association functional class II to IV symptoms, ejection fraction ≤40%, ID (ferritin <100 ng/mL or ferritin 100-300 ng/mL with a transferrin saturation <20%), and documented HF hospitalization or elevated N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. Consented patients are assigned to ferric carboxymaltose or placebo at baseline, with repeated visits/assessments every 6 months for additional study drug based on hemoglobin and iron indices for the trial duration. The primary end point is a hierarchical composite of death and HF hospitalization at 12 months and change from baseline to 6 months in the 6-minute walk test distance. CONCLUSIONS: The HEART-FID trial will inform clinical practice by clarifying the role of long-term treatment with intravenous ferric carboxymaltose, added to usual care, in ambulatory patients with symptomatic HF with reduced ejection fraction with ID. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03037931.

Cardiovascular Outcomes in Young Adulthood in a Population-Based Very Low Birth Weight Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To assess differences in left heart structure and function, and endothelial function in a national cohort of very low birth weight (VLBW) young adults and term-born controls. STUDY DESIGN: The New Zealand VLBW study is a prospective, population-based, longitudinal cohort study which included all infants born <1500 g in 1986. The VLBW cohort (n = 229; 71% of survivors) and term-born controls (n = 100), were assessed at age 26-30 years. Measures of left heart structure and function were evaluated by echocardiography, vascular function was assessed using blood pressure, reactive hyperemia index, and arterioventricular coupling by calculating left ventricular (LV) and arterial elastance. RESULTS: Compared with controls, those born VLBW had smaller LVs, even when indexed for body surface area (mean LV mass, 89.7 ± 19.3 g/m2 vs 95.0 ± 22.3 g/m2 [P = .03]; LV end-diastolic volume, 58.3 ± 10.9 mL/m2 vs 62.4 ± 12.4 mL/m2 [P = .002]; and LV end-systolic volume, 20.8 ± 4.9 mL/m2 vs 22.6 ± 5.8 mL/m2 [P = .004]). VLBW participants had lower stroke volume (median, 37.2 mL/m2 [IQR, 33-42 mL/m2] vs median, 40.1 mL/m2 [IQR, 34-45 mL/m2]; P = .0059) and cardiac output (mean, 4.8 ± 1.2 L/min vs 5.1 ± 1.4 L/min; P = .03), but there was no difference in ejection fraction. The VLBW group had higher LV elastance (3.37 ± 0.88 mm Hg/mL vs 2.86 ± 0.75 mm Hg/mL; P < .0001) and arterial elastance (1.84 ± 0.4 vs 1.6 ± 0.4; P < .0001) and lower reactive hyperemia index (0.605 ± 0.28 vs 0.688 ± 0.31; P = .041). These measures were influenced by birth weight and sex, but we found limited associations with other perinatal factors. CONCLUSIONS: Being born preterm and VLBW is associated with differences in cardiovascular structure and function in adulthood. This population may be more vulnerable to cardiovascular pathology as they age. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12612000995875.

Circulating Forms of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in Very Preterm Infants.

BACKGROUND: B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a cardiac hormone released with an N-terminal fragment (NTproBNP) under conditions of ventricular pressure or volume overload. BNP has been proposed for use as a biomarker of cardiac dysfunction in premature infants in the setting of hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (HsPDA) and bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). In adult settings the presence of proBNP and glycosylated isoforms may affect assay interpretation. However, there are limited data on how immature preterm physiology may affect BNP or NTproBNP levels and no published data on post-translational BNP processing in premature infants. METHODS: Pooled serial plasma samples from preterm infants born at less than 30 weeks gestation were analyzed for BNP congeners using Luminex® assay and high performance liquid chromatography. Samples were grouped according to clinical status: Group 1, no HsPDA and no BPD, Group 2 HsPDA and no/mild BPD, Group 3 HsPDA and moderate/severe BPD. RESULTS: Plasma from 15 infants was analyzed, and across all three groups NTproBNP predominated with minimal amounts of other isoforms; no glycosylation was detected. CONCLUSIONS: NTproBNP appears to be the predominant isoform across each of our clinical groups in our pooled sample analysis with no evidence of significant glycosylation. This suggests NTproBNP is likely to be a robust marker in this clinical setting.

Analytical and biological assessment of circulating human erythroferrone.

BACKGROUND: Erythroferrone (ERFE) is an erythroid hormone putatively involved in stress erythropoiesis. Its regional clearance and circulating form in humans, as well as levels in normal health and coronary disease remain unclear. METHODS: To establish a reference interval, ERFE was measured in 155 healthy volunteers using the Intrinsic LifeSciences ELISA. To identify trans-organ gradients in ERFE, regional blood sampling was undertaken in patients (n = 13) undergoing clinically indicated cardiac catheterisation. The Intrinsic ELISA was assessed for reproducibility, stability, linearity and possible cross-reactivity, interference and anticoagulant effects. Circulating forms of ERFE were evaluated by HPLC. RESULTS: In healthy individuals, the median concentration of ERFE was 0.51 ng/mL (IQR: 0.12-1.25), with men (n = 78) having higher levels than women (n = 77) (0.67 vs 0.32 ng/mL, p = 0.0001). ERFE concentrations in trans-organ sampling revealed no clear organ of clearance or production. Samples with high endogenous ERFE levels were suppressed by haemoglobin (≥2 g/L), bilirubin (≥200 µmol/L), lipaemia (>1 g/L), and freeze thawing (≥2 cycles), but this was not observed with low ERFE concentrations. Endogenous ERFE immunoreactivity was 46% higher in EDTA plasma compared with serum and lithium heparin plasma. On SE-HPLC, ERFE eluted as intact and cleaved forms. CONCLUSION: We provide a useful reference range for ERFE in EDTA plasma. We found no specific site of secretion or clearance. The Intrinsic ELISA performed adequately but is limited by interference and stability when endogenous levels are high. Circulating forms are multiple and complex.

Circulating levels and prognostic value of soluble ST2 in heart failure are less influenced by age than N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T.

AIMS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) and soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2) predict outcome in chronic heart failure (HF). We assessed the influence of age on circulating levels and prognostic significance of these biomarkers. METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual data from 5301 patients with chronic HF and NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, and sST2 data were evaluated. Patients were stratified according to age: <60 years (n = 1332, 25%), 60-69 years (n = 1628, 31%), 70-79 years (n = 1662, 31%), and ≥ 80 years (n = 679, 13%). Patients (median age 66 years, 75% men, median left ventricular ejection fraction 28%, 64% with ischaemic HF) had median NT-proBNP 1564 ng/L, hs-TnT 21 ng/L, and sST2 29 ng/mL. Age independently predicted NT-proBNP and hs-TnT, but not sST2. The best NT-proBNP and hs-TnT cut-offs for 1-year and 5-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and 1- to 12-month HF hospitalization increased with age, while the best sST2 cut-offs did not. When stratifying patients according to age- and outcome-specific cut-offs, this stratification yielded independent prognostic significance over NT-proBNP levels only, or the composite of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT, and improved risk prediction for most endpoints. Finally, absolute NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, and sST2 levels predicted outcomes independent of age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction category, ethnic group, and other variables. CONCLUSIONS: Soluble ST2 is less influenced by age than NT-proBNP or hs-TnT; all these biomarkers predict outcome regardless of age. The use of age- and outcome-specific cut-offs of NT-proBNP, hs-TnT and sST2 allows more accurate risk stratification than NT-proBNP alone or the combination of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT.

Plasma levels of soluble VEGF receptor isoforms, circulating pterins and VEGF system SNPs as prognostic biomarkers in patients with acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Development of collateral circulation in coronary artery disease is cardio-protective. A key process in forming new blood vessels is attraction to occluded arteries of monocytes with their subsequent activation as macrophages. In patients from a prospectively recruited post-acute coronary syndromes cohort we investigated the prognostic performance of three products of activated macrophages, soluble vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) receptors (sFlt-1 and sKDR) and pterins, alongside genetic variants in VEGF receptor genes, VEGFR-1 and VEGFR-2. METHODS: Baseline levels of sFlt-1 (VEGFR1), sKDR (VEGFR2) and pterins were measured in plasma samples from subgroups (n = 513; 211; 144, respectively) of the Coronary Disease Cohort Study (CDCS, n = 2067). DNA samples from the cohort were genotyped for polymorphisms from the VEGFR-1 gene SNPs (rs748252 n = 2027, rs9513070 n = 2048) and VEGFR-2 gene SNPs (rs2071559 n = 2050, rs2305948 n = 2066, rs1870377 n = 2042). RESULTS: At baseline, levels of sFlt-1 were significantly correlated with age, alcohol consumption, NTproBNP, BNP and other covariates relevant to cardiovascular pathophysiology. Total neopterin levels were associated with alcohol consumption at baseline. 7,8 dihydroneopterin was associated with BMI. The A allele of VEGFR-2 variant rs1870377 was associated with higher plasma sFlt-1 and lower levels of sKDR at baseline. Baseline plasma sFlt-1 was univariately associated with all cause mortality with (p < 0.001) and in a Cox's proportional hazards regression model sFlt-1 and pterins were both associated with mortality independent of established predictors (p < 0.027). CONCLUSIONS: sFlt-1 and pterins may have potential as prognostic biomarkers in acute coronary syndromes patients. Genetic markers from VEGF system genes warrant further investigation as markers of levels of VEGF system components in these patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry. ACTRN12605000431628 . 16 September 2005, Retrospectively registered.

Plasma Ceramides as Prognostic Biomarkers and Their Arterial and Myocardial Tissue Correlates in Acute Myocardial Infarction.

We identified a plasma signature of 11 C14 to C26 ceramides and 1 C16 dihydroceramide predictive of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Among patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery, those with recent AMI, compared with those without recent AMI, showed a significant increase in 5 of the signature's 12 ceramides in plasma but not simultaneously-biopsied aortic tissue. In contrast, a rat AMI model, compared with sham control, showed a significant increase in myocardial concentrations of all 12 ceramides and up-regulation of 3 ceramide-producing enzymes, suggesting ischemic myocardium as a possible source of this ceramide signature.

Prognostic Implications of Dual Platelet Reactivity Testing in Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Studies on platelet reactivity (PR) testing commonly test PR only after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has been performed. There are few data on pre- and post-PCI testing. Data on simultaneous testing of aspirin and adenosine diphosphate antagonist response are conflicting. We investigated the prognostic value of combined serial assessments of high on-aspirin PR (HASPR) and high on-adenosine diphosphate receptor antagonist PR (HADPR) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). HASPR and HADPR were assessed in 928 ACS patients before (initial test) and 24 hours after (final test) coronary angiography, with or without revascularization. Patients with HASPR on the initial test, compared with those without, had significantly higher intraprocedural thrombotic events (IPTE) (8.6 vs. 1.2%, p ≤ 0.001) and higher 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; 5.2 vs. 2.3%, p = 0.05), but not 12-month MACCE (13.0 vs. 15.1%, p = 0.50). Patients with initial HADPR, compared with those without, had significantly higher IPTE (4.4 vs. 0.9%, p = 0.004), but not 30-day (3.5 vs. 2.3%, p = 0.32) or 12-month MACCE (14.0 vs. 12.5%, p = 0.54). The c-statistic of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score alone, GRACE score + ASPR test and GRACE score + ADPR test for discriminating 30-day MACCE was 0.649, 0.803 and 0.757, respectively. Final ADPR was associated with 30-day MACCE among patients with intermediate-to-high GRACE score (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 4.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14-17.66), but not low GRACE score (adjusted OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 0.13-10.79). In conclusion, both HASPR and HADPR predict ischaemic events in ACS. This predictive utility is time-dependent and risk-dependent.

Factors affecting N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels in preterm infants and use in determination of haemodynamic significance of patent ductus arteriosus.

This study aimed to investigate factors affecting N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) in preterm infants and the ability of NTproBNP to predict haemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (HsPDA). Prospective cohort study of 51 infants < 30 weeks gestation. Blood NTproBNP and heart ultrasound were performed on day of life 3, 10, 28 and 36 weeks corrected age. NTproBNP levels analysed for prediction of HsPDA. The effect of gestational age, ventilation, hypoxia, bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD), creatinine and haemoglobin levels on NTproBNP levels were investigated. Infants with HsPDA had higher mean (SD) day 3 NTproBNP (1840 pmol/L (1058) versus 178 pmol/L (140) p < 0.001). Receiver operator curves of day 3 NTproBNP for prediction of day 3 and day 10 HsPDA had an area under the curve of 0.98 and 0.94, respectively. A chosen day 3 NTproBNP value of ≥ 287 pmol/L for the prediction of day 3 HsPDA correctly classified 92% (sensitivity 92%, specificity 92%). NTproBNP demonstrated only modest ability to predict severe BPD. Chronological but not gestational age affected NTproBNP. Ventilation, hypoxia and haemoglobin levels did not influence NTproBNP but creatinine level was positively correlated. CONCLUSION: Day 3 NTproBNP is a useful biomarker to predict HsPDA and may be a valuable tool in future trial design. What is Known: • NTproBNP is a cardiac hormone used to diagnose and monitor cardiac dysfunction in adults and has been shown to be higher in premature infants with haemodynamically significant ductus arteriosus (HsPDA). What is new: • NTproBNP is highly predictive of ultrasound-defined HsPDA and may be a useful tool for further triage • Early NTproBNP higher in infants who develop severe BPD and with renal impairment but not affected by gestational age, recent exposure to hypoxia or haemoglobin levels while late levels unexpectedly higher in those without BPD or HsPDA.

Management of non ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome patients in New Zealand: a longitudinal analysis. Results from the New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome national audits of 2002, 2007 and 2012.

AIMS: The first New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) national audit of 2002 was a collaborative effort between clinicians and nurses, and demonstrated important limitations to Non ST-elevation ACS patient (NSTEACS) care. A momentum for change was created. Subsequent audits in 2007 and 2012 allow assessment over time. METHODS: Over 14 days in May 2002, 2007 and 2012, patients with suspected ACS admitted to a hospital in New Zealand were audited. 'Definite' ACS was determined at discharge, after in-hospital investigations; we reviewed NSTEACS patients. RESULTS: From 2002, more patients underwent assessment of left ventricular function (echocardiogram) and coronary angiography. Evidence-based in-hospital medical treatments and revascularisation have also increased over the decade. CONCLUSIONS: Over a ten-year period, evidence-based care for patients presenting with a NSTEACS event in New Zealand has improved. However, considerable room remains to optimise management, particularly with development of systems of care to facilitate prompt referral and delivery of angiography in these high-risk individuals.