From plasma triglycerides to triglyceride metabolism: effects on mortality in the Copenhagen General Population Study.

AIMS: It is unclear whether higher triglyceride metabolism per se contributes to mortality separate from elevated triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and body mass index. This study tested the hypotheses that higher triglyceride metabolism, measured as higher plasma glycerol and ß-hydroxybutyrate, is associated with increased all-cause, cardiovascular, cancer, and other mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study included 30 000 individuals nested within 109 751 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study. During a median follow-up of 10.7 years, 9897 individuals died (2204 from cardiovascular, 3366 from cancer, and 2745 from other causes), while none were lost to follow-up. In individuals with glycerol >80 µmol/L (highest fourth) vs. individuals with glycerol <52 µmol/L (lowest fourth), the multivariable adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.31 (95% confidence interval 1.22-1.40). In individuals with ß-hydroxybutyrate >154 µmol/L (highest fourth) vs. individuals with ß-hydroxybutyrate <91 µmol/L (lowest fourth), the multivariable adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.18 (1.11-1.26). Corresponding values for higher plasma glycerol and ß-hydroxybutyrate were 1.37 (1.18-1.59) and 1.18 (1.03-1.35) for cardiovascular mortality, 1.24 (1.11-1.39) and 1.16 (1.05-1.29) for cancer mortality, and 1.45 (1.28-1.66) and 1.23 (1.09-1.39) for other mortality, respectively. Results were robust to exclusion of first years of follow-up, to stratification for covariates including plasma triglycerides and body mass index, and to further adjustments. CONCLUSION: This study observed an increased risk of all-cause, cardiovascular, cancer, and other mortality with higher triglyceride metabolism. This was not explained by higher plasma triglycerides and body mass index. The hypothesis studied in the present paper should be further validated by isotope flux studies.

Smoking is an independent but not a causal risk factor for moderate to severe psoriasis: A Mendelian randomization study of 105,912 individuals.

Background: Smoking is strongly associated with higher risk of psoriasis in several observational studies; however, whether this association is causal or can be explained by confounding or reverse causation is not fully understood. Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard when examining causality; however, when this method is not feasible, the Mendelian randomization design is an alternative. Herein genetic variants can be used as robust proxies for modifiable exposures and thereby avoiding confounding and reverse causation.In this study, we hypothesized that smoking is an independent and causal risk factor for psoriasis and tested this using a Mendelian randomization design. Methods: We used data from the Copenhagen General Population Study including 105,912 individuals with full information on lifestyle factors, biochemistry, and genotype data. In total, 1,240 cases of moderate to severe psoriasis were included to investigate the association between smoking and psoriasis. To assess causality of the association, we used the genetic variant CHRNA3 rs1051730, where the T-allele is strongly associated with high lifelong cumulative smoking, as a proxy for smoking. Results: In observational analyses, the multivariable adjusted hazard ratio of developing moderate to severe psoriasis was 1.64 (95% confidence interval: 1.35-2.00) in ever smokers with ≤ 20 pack-years and 2.23 (1.82-2.73) in ever smokers with > 20 pack-years compared to never smokers. In genetic analyses, the odds ratio of developing moderate to severe psoriasis was 1.05 (0.95-1.16) per CHRNA3 rs10511730 T-allele in ever smokers. Conclusion: Smoking was an independent risk factor for moderate to severe psoriasis in observational analyses. However, using a genetic variant as a robust proxy for smoking, we did not find this association to be causal.

Traditional and Non-traditional Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Cardiovascular Disease in Women with Psoriasis.

Women with cardiovascular disease are underdiagnos-ed, undertreated and under-represented in research. Even though the increased risk of cardiovascular disease among patients with psoriasis is well establi-shed, only a few studies have examined women with psoriasis. This study examined the prevalence of cardio-vascular risk factors and cardiovascular disease among women with psoriasis. Using the Copenhagen City Heart Study and the Copenhagen General Population Study, 66,420 women were included in a cross-sectional design. Of these, 374 (0.56%) women had hospital-diagnosed psoriasis. Women with vs with-out hospital-diagnosed psoriasis had higher odds ratios of having traditional cardiovascular risk factors, including hypertriglyceridaemia, smoking, obesity, type 2 diabetes, and low physical activity, and of having non-traditional cardiovascular risk factors, including low level of education, high level of psycho-social stress, and low-grade inflammation. Compared with women from the general population, the multi-variable adjusted odds ratio of heart failure and ischaemic cerebrovascular disease in women with hospital-diagnosed psoriasis was 2.51 (95% confidence interval 1.33-4.73) and 2.06 (1.27-3.35). In conclusion, women with hospital-diagnosed psoriasis have a higher prevalence of traditional and non- traditional cardiovascular risk factors, and increased risk of heart failure and ischaemic cerebrovascular disease, even after adjusting for these cardiovascular risk factors.

Risk of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in smokers lacks causal evidence.

Smoking has been associated with opposing risks of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease. Whether these observational associations reflect actual causal associations, confounding, or reverse causation is unclear. Using a Mendelian randomization approach, we tested the hypothesis that smoking protects against ulcerative colitis and is a cause of Crohn's disease. We included 118,683 white Danes aged ≥ 20 from the Copenhagen General Population Study (2003-2015) and the Copenhagen City Heart Study (1991-94 and 2001-03). During follow-up until 2018, we investigated the association of smoking and CHRNA3 rs1051730, where the T-allele is strongly associated with nicotine dependence, with risk of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease. We identified 1312 cases of ulcerative colitis and 671 cases of Crohn's disease. Compared to never-smokers, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for ulcerative colitis were 1.69(95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-2.15) in former smokers and 2.27(1.74-2.96) in current smokers. Corresponding HRs for Crohn's disease were 1.31(0.93-1.84) and 1.93(1.34-2.78), respectively. Among ever-smokers when compared to non-carriers of the CHRNA3 rs1051730 T-allele, age and sex adjusted HRs for risk of ulcerative colitis were 1.03(95%CI 0.89-1.18) in heterozygotes and 0.91(0.72-1.16) in homozygotes. Corresponding HRs for Crohn's disease were 1.05(0.87-1.28) and 1.02(0.74-1.41), respectively. In a meta-analysis combined with UK Biobank, there was no evidence that CHRNA3 rs1051730 was associated with risk of ulcerative colitis or Crohn's disease. In conclusion, current versus never-smoking was associated with unexpected 2.3-fold risk of ulcerative colitis and expected 1.9-fold risk of Crohn's disease in prospective analyses; however, genetic evidence of lifelong increased smoking intensity did not support causal relationships.

Asthma and COPD versus phenotypic traits: Toward precision medicine in chronic airway disease.

BACKGROUND: Asthma and COPD diagnoses are used to classify chronic airway diseases; however, both diseases are related to phenotypic traits like allergy, obesity, cough, sputum production, low-grade inflammation, smoking, elevated blood eosinophil count, comorbidities, and occupational exposures. Whether such traits can replace asthma and COPD diagnoses when assessing risk of exacerbation is unclear. We tested the hypothesis that individuals with either asthma or COPD diagnoses have similar risk of moderate and severe exacerbations when adjusted for differences in phenotypic traits. METHODS: From the Copenhagen General Population Study, a cohort study of the general population, we included 7190 individuals with chronic airway disease. Phenotypic traits were recorded at baseline and risk of exacerbations was assessed during follow-up from 2003 to 2013. RESULTS: The incidence rate ratio (IRR) of moderate exacerbations in individuals with clinical COPD was 1.61 (95% Confidence Interval, 1.27-2.02) compared to individuals with asthma in a model only adjusted for age, sex, and education, but after the inclusion of phenotypic traits IRR was 1.05 (0.82-1.35). Corresponding IRRs of severe exacerbations in individuals with clinical COPD versus asthma were 3.82 (2.73-5.35) and 2.28 (1.63-3.20), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: When taking phenotypic traits into account, individuals with asthma and COPD had comparable risk of moderate exacerbations; however, corresponding risk of severe exacerbations was higher in individuals with COPD than in those with asthma.

Smoking Reduces Plasma Bilirubin: Observational and Genetic Analyses in the Copenhagen General Population Study.

INTRODUCTION: Observational studies have found lower concentrations of plasma bilirubin in current smokers compared with former and never smokers. However, whether there is a causal relationship between smoking and bilirubin is unknown. In a Mendelian randomization analysis, we tested the hypothesis that higher tobacco consumption is causally associated with lower concentrations of plasma bilirubin. METHODS: We genotyped 103 557 individuals aged 20-100 years from the Copenhagen General Population Study for the CHRNA3 rs1051730 genotype, known to be associated with higher tobacco consumption. Tobacco consumption was defined as daily and cumulative tobacco consumption. RESULTS: In observational multivariable-adjusted analyses, a 10 g/day higher daily tobacco consumption was associated with a 0.28 µmol/L (95% confidence interval = 0.20 to 0.35) lower concentration of plasma bilirubin in current smokers, and a 10 pack-year higher cumulative tobacco consumption was associated with a 0.19 µmol/L (0.17 to 0.21) lower concentration of plasma bilirubin in former and current smokers. Using the CHRNA3 rs1051730 genotype as a proxy for daily and cumulative tobacco consumption, the difference in plasma bilirubin per T-allele was -0.12 µmol/L (-0.23 to -0.002) in current smokers and -0.09 µmol/L (-0.15 to -0.01) in current and former smokers combined. Furthermore, observationally bilirubin concentrations increased with time from smoking cessation in former smokers. CONCLUSION: Higher daily and cumulative tobacco consumption were associated with lower concentrations of plasma bilirubin in observational and genetic analyses, suggesting that the association is causal. IMPLICATIONS: Our results are compatible with two possible interpretations of previous observational studies, either that bilirubin is a mediator of smoking-induced respiratory disease or that the association between plasma bilirubin and respiratory disease stems from residual confounding because of smoking. Future studies should examine whether bilirubin is a causal risk factor for respiratory disease, or merely a marker of smoking status.

Vitamin D and Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Mendelian Randomization Analyses in the Copenhagen Studies and UK Biobank.

Context: Vitamin D may be a modifiable risk factor for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Objectives: We tested the hypothesis that plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels are causally associated with risk of Crohn disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Design, Setting, Patients, and Interventions: We used a Mendelian randomization design to study 120,013 individuals from the Copenhagen City Heart Study, the Copenhagen General Population Study, and a Copenhagen-based cohort of patients with IBD. Of these, 35,558 individuals had plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D measurements available, and 115,110 were genotyped for rs7944926 and rs11234027 in DHCR7 and rs10741657 and rs12794714 in CYP2R1, all variants associated with plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels. We identified 653 cases of CD and 1265 cases of UC, of which 58 and 113, respectively, had 25-hydroxyvitamin D measurements available. We also included genetic data from 408,455 individuals from the UK Biobank, including 1707 CD cases and 3147 UC cases. Main Outcome Measure: Hazard ratios for higher plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels. Results: The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for 10 nmol/L higher 25-hydroxyvitamin D level were 1.04 (95% CI: 0.93 to 1.16) for CD and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.06 to 1.21) for UC. A combined 25-hydroxyvitamin D allele score was associated with a 1.4-nmol/L increase in plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D level and hazard ratios of 0.98 (95% CI: 0.94 to 1.03) for CD and 1.01 (95% CI: 0.97 to 1.05) for UC. Combining genetic data from the Copenhagen studies and the UK Biobank, genetically determined vitamin D did not appear to influence the risk of CD or UC. Conclusions: Our results do not support a major role for vitamin D deficiency in the development of IBD.

Blood eosinophil count and risk of pneumonia hospitalisations in individuals with COPD.

Blood eosinophil count in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with higher exacerbation rate and favourable response to corticosteroids; however, frequent exacerbations and use of inhaled corticosteroids could elevate pneumonia risk. We tested the hypothesis that high blood eosinophil counts are associated with high risk of pneumonia in individuals with severe COPD from the general population.We included 7180 individuals with COPD from the Copenhagen General Population Study, including 643 with forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) <50% predicted between 2003 and 2011. All primary discharge diagnoses of pneumonia during follow-up were recorded.Among individuals with COPD and FEV1 <50% pred, the multivariable adjusted incidence rate ratio was 2.17 (95% CI 1.31-3.58) for pneumonia comparing individuals with blood eosinophil counts ≥0.34×109 cells·L-1versus <0.34×109 cells·L-1 In individuals with clinical COPD, defined by recent exacerbation, ≥10 pack-years of smoking and FEV1 <70% pred, the corresponding risk was 4.52 (2.11-9.72). Risk of pneumonia did not differ by blood eosinophil count in individuals with COPD and FEV1 ≥50% pred.In individuals with COPD and FEV1 <50% pred, blood eosinophil count ≥0.34×109 cells·L-1 was associated with high risk of hospitalisation due to pneumonia.

AHRR hypomethylation, lung function, lung function decline and respiratory symptoms.

Epigenome-wide association studies have shown a consistent association between smoking exposure and hypomethylation in the aryl hydrocarbon receptor repressor (AHRR) gene (cg05575921). We tested the hypothesis that AHRR hypomethylation is associated with low lung function, steeper lung function decline, and respiratory symptoms in the general population.AHRR methylation extent was measured in 9113 individuals from the 1991-1994 examination of the Copenhagen City Heart Study, using bisulfite-treated leukocyte DNA. Spirometry at the time of blood sampling was available for all individuals. Lung function was measured again for 4532 of these individuals in 2001-2003.Cross-sectionally, a 10% lower methylation extent was associated with a 0.2 z-score (95% CI 0.1-0.2) lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) after multivariable adjustment including smoking. Hypomethylation was also associated with a lower z-score for both forced vital capacity (FVC) and FEV1/FVC. In prospective analyses, individuals in the lowest versus highest tertile of methylation extent had a steeper decline in FEV1/height3 (p for examination×methylation interaction=0.003) and FVC/height3 (p=0.01), but not FEV1/FVC (p=0.08). Multivariable-adjusted odds ratios per 10% lower methylation extent were 1.31 (95% CI 1.18-1.45) for chronic bronchitis and 1.21 (95% CI 1.13-1.30) for any respiratory symptoms.AHRR hypomethylation was associated with low lung function, steeper lung function decline, and respiratory symptoms.

TP53 Arg72Pro, mortality after cancer, and all-cause mortality in 105,200 individuals.

Rs1042522 (Arg72Pro) is a functional polymorphism of TP53. Pro72 has been associated with lower all-cause mortality and lower mortality after cancer. We hypothesized that TP53 Pro72 is associated with lower mortality after cancer, lower all-cause mortality, and with increased cancer incidence in the general population in a contemporary cohort. We genotyped 105,200 individuals aged 20-100 years from the Copenhagen General Population Study, recruited in 2003-2013, and followed them in Danish health registries. During follow-up 5,531 individuals died and 5,849 developed cancer. Hazard ratios for mortality after cancer were 1.03 (95% confidence interval:0.93-1.15) for Arg/Pro and 0.96 (95% CI:0.79-1.18) for Pro/Pro versus Arg/Arg. Hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 0.99 (95% CI:0.93-1.04) for Arg/Pro and 1.09 (95% CI:0.98-1.21) for Pro/Pro versus Arg/Arg. Risk of cancer specific mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and respiratory mortality were not associated with Arg72Pro genotype overall; however, in exploratory subgroup analyses, genotype-associated risks of malignant melanoma and diabetes were altered. Considering multiple comparisons the latter findings may represent play of chance. The TP53 Arg72Pro genotype was not associated with mortality after cancer, all-cause mortality, or cancer incidence in the general population in a contemporary cohort. Our main conclusion is therefore a lack of reproducing an effect of TP53 Arg72Pro genotype on mortality.

Morbidity and Mortality in 7,684 Women According to Personal Hair Dye Use: The Copenhagen City Heart Study followed for 37 Years.

BACKGROUND: Permanent hair dye contains aromatic amines which are carcinogenic, and can cause allergic skin reactions. In the long term personal use of hair dye might therefore influence both morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVES: We tested the hypothesis that personal use of hair dye in women is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in the general population. METHODS: We included 7,684 women from the Copenhagen City Heart Study with information on the use of personal hair dye. We assessed the risk of cancer, skin diseases, other morbidities, and mortality during a median follow-up of 27 years (range 0-37). RESULTS: The multivariable adjusted hazard ratio for malignant melanoma in women with versus without personal use of hair dye was 2.07 (95% confidence interval 1.25-3.42). There was no increased risk of other cancer types. For other skin diseases and other major causes of morbidity we found no differences between the two groups, except for a minor excess of digestive diseases and increased risk of Parkinson's disease among women using hair dye. Finally, we found no difference in all-cause mortality comparing women using personal hair dye or not. After correction for multiple comparisons, none of the results remained significant. However, in sensitivity analysis the excess risk of malignant melanoma remained increased with a hazard ratio of 2.58 (95%CI 1.33-5.03) among users of personal hair dye. CONCLUSIONS: Personal use of hair dye does not have major influences on morbidity and mortality. Our finding of a 2-fold risk of malignant melanoma in women using hair dye is hypothesis generating.

Blood Eosinophils and Exacerbations in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. The Copenhagen General Population Study.

RATIONALE: Whether high blood eosinophils are associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations among individuals with COPD in the general population is largely unknown. OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that high blood eosinophils predict COPD exacerbations. METHODS: Among 81,668 individuals in the Copenhagen General Population Study, we examined 7,225 with COPD based on spirometry. We recorded blood eosinophils at baseline and future COPD exacerbations longitudinally, defined as moderate (short-course treatment with systemic corticosteroids) or severe (hospitalization). We also assessed exacerbation risk in a subgroup of 203 individuals with clinical COPD, defined as participants with a smoking history of at least 10 pack-years, FEV1 less than 70% of predicted value, and at least one moderate or severe exacerbation in the year before baseline. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: During a median of 3.3 years of follow-up (range, 0.03-8.1), 1,439 severe and 2,864 moderate COPD exacerbations were recorded. Among all participants with COPD, blood eosinophils above versus below 0.34 × 10(9) cells per liter had multivariable-adjusted incidence rate ratios of 1.76 (95% confidence interval, 1.56-1.99) for severe exacerbations and 1.15 (1.05-1.27) for moderate exacerbations. Corresponding values in those with clinical COPD were 3.21 (2.49-4.14) and 1.69 (1.40-2.04). In contrast, using a cutpoint of 2% for blood eosinophils, the risk of exacerbations was increased for severe exacerbations only among individuals with clinical COPD and not in individuals in the broader population. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with COPD in the general population, increased blood eosinophil levels above 0.34 × 10(9) cells per liter were associated with a 1.76-fold increased risk of severe exacerbations.

Statin Use Is Associated with Reduced Mortality in Patients with Interstitial Lung Disease.

INTRODUCTION: We hypothesized that statin use begun before the diagnosis of interstitial lung disease is associated with reduced mortality. METHODS: We studied all patients diagnosed with interstitial lung disease in the entire Danish population from 1995 through 2009, comparing statin use versus no statin use in a nested 1:2 matched study. RESULTS: The cumulative survival as a function of follow-up time from the date of diagnosis of interstitial lung disease (n = 1,786 + 3,572) and idiopathic lung fibrosis (n = 261 + 522) was higher for statin users versus never users (log-rank: P = 7 · 10(-9) and P = 0.05). The median survival time in patients with interstitial lung disease was 3.3 years in statin users and 2.1 years in never users. Corresponding values in patients with idiopathic lung fibrosis were 3.4 versus 2.4 years. After multivariable adjustment, the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality for statin users versus never users was 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.68 to 0.79) in patients with interstitial lung disease and 0.76 (0.62 to 0.93) in patients with idiopathic lung fibrosis. Results were robust in all sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Among patients with interstitial lung disease statin use was associated with reduced all-cause mortality.