Periodontitis and Outer Retinal Thickness: a Cross-Sectional Analysis of the United Kingdom Biobank Cohort.

Purpose: Periodontitis, a ubiquitous severe gum disease affecting the teeth and surrounding alveolar bone, can heighten systemic inflammation. We investigated the association between very severe periodontitis and early biomarkers of age-related macular degeneration (AMD), in individuals with no eye disease. Design: Cross-sectional analysis of the prospective community-based cohort United Kingdom (UK) Biobank. Participants: Sixty-seven thousand three hundred eleven UK residents aged 40 to 70 years recruited between 2006 and 2010 underwent retinal imaging. Methods: Macular-centered OCT images acquired at the baseline visit were segmented for retinal sublayer thicknesses. Very severe periodontitis was ascertained through a touchscreen questionnaire. Linear mixed effects regression modeled the association between very severe periodontitis and retinal sublayer thicknesses, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, alcohol consumption, smoking status, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, refractive error, and previous cataract surgery. Main Outcome Measures: Photoreceptor layer (PRL) and retinal pigment epithelium-Bruch's membrane (RPE-BM) thicknesses. Results: Among 36 897 participants included in the analysis, 1571 (4.3%) reported very severe periodontitis. Affected individuals were older, lived in areas of greater socioeconomic deprivation, and were more likely to be hypertensive, diabetic, and current smokers (all P < 0.001). On average, those with very severe periodontitis were hyperopic (0.05 ± 2.27 diopters) while those unaffected were myopic (-0.29 ± 2.40 diopters, P < 0.001). Following adjusted analysis, very severe periodontitis was associated with thinner PRL (-0.55 µm, 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.97 to -0.12; P = 0.022) but there was no difference in RPE-BM thickness (0.00 µm, 95% CI, -0.12 to 0.13; P = 0.97). The association between PRL thickness and very severe periodontitis was modified by age (P < 0.001). Stratifying individuals by age, thinner PRL was seen among those aged 60 to 69 years with disease (-1.19 µm, 95% CI, -1.85 to -0.53; P < 0.001) but not among those aged < 60 years. Conclusions: Among those with no known eye disease, very severe periodontitis is statistically associated with a thinner PRL, consistent with incipient AMD. Optimizing oral hygiene may hold additional relevance for people at risk of degenerative retinal disease. Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Oculomics: A Crusade Against the Four Horsemen of Chronic Disease.

Chronic, non-communicable diseases present a major barrier to living a long and healthy life. In many cases, early diagnosis can facilitate prevention, monitoring, and treatment efforts, improving patient outcomes. There is therefore a critical need to make screening techniques as accessible, unintimidating, and cost-effective as possible. The association between ocular biomarkers and systemic health and disease (oculomics) presents an attractive opportunity for detection of systemic diseases, as ophthalmic techniques are often relatively low-cost, fast, and non-invasive. In this review, we highlight the key associations between structural biomarkers in the eye and the four globally leading causes of morbidity and mortality: cardiovascular disease, cancer, neurodegenerative disease, and metabolic disease. We observe that neurodegenerative disease is a particularly promising target for oculomics, with biomarkers detected in multiple ocular structures. Cardiovascular disease biomarkers are present in the choroid, retinal vasculature, and retinal nerve fiber layer, and metabolic disease biomarkers are present in the eyelid, tear fluid, lens, and retinal vasculature. In contrast, only the tear fluid emerged as a promising ocular target for the detection of cancer. The retina is a rich source of oculomics data, the analysis of which has been enhanced by artificial intelligence-based tools. Although not all biomarkers are disease-specific, limiting their current diagnostic utility, future oculomics research will likely benefit from combining data from various structures to improve specificity, as well as active design, development, and optimization of instruments that target specific disease signatures, thus facilitating differential diagnoses.

Long-term diseases can stop people living long and healthy lives. In many cases, early diagnosis can help to prevent, monitor, and treat disease, which can improve patients' health. In order to diagnose disease, we need tools that are easy for patients to access, painless, and low-cost. The eye may provide the solution. In this review, we discuss the link between changes in the eye and four types of long-term disease that, together, kill most of the population: (1) Cardiovascular disease (affecting the heart and/or blood). (2) Cancer (abnormal growth of cells). (3) Neurodegenerative disease (affecting the brain and/or nervous system). (4) Metabolic disease (problems storing, accessing, and using the body's fuel). We show that neurodegenerative disease leaves tell-tale signs in lots of different parts of the eye. Signs of cardiovascular and metabolic disease biomarkers are mostly found in the back of the eye, and signs of cancer can be found in the tear fluid. Although signs of disease can be seen in the eye, not all of them will tell us what the disease is. We believe that future research will help us to understand more about long-term disease and how to detect it if we combine information from different structures within the eye and develop new tools to target these specific structures.

Smoking, Corneal Biomechanics, and Glaucoma: Results From Two Large Population-Based Cohorts.

Purpose: Smoking may influence measured IOP through an effect on corneal biomechanics, but it is unclear whether this factor translates into an increased risk for glaucoma. This study aimed to examine the association of cigarette smoking with corneal biomechanical properties and glaucoma-related traits, and to probe potential causal effects using Mendelian randomization (MR). Methods: Cross-sectional analyses within the UK Biobank (UKB) and Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA) cohorts. Multivariable linear and logistic regression models were used to assess associations of smoking (status, intensity, and duration) with corneal hysteresis (CH), corneal resistance factor, IOP, inner retinal thicknesses, and glaucoma. Two-sample MR analyses were performed. Results: Overall, 68,738 UKB (mean age, 56.7 years; 54.7% women) and 22 845 CLSA (mean age, 62.7 years; 49.1% women) participants were included. Compared with nonsmokers, smokers had a higher CH (UKB, +0.48 mm Hg; CLSA, +0.57 mm Hg; P < 0.001) and corneal resistance factor (UKB, +0.47 mm Hg; CLSA, +0.60 mm Hg; P < 0.001) with evidence of a dose-response effect in both studies. Differential associations with Goldmann-correlated IOP (UKB, +0.25 mm Hg; CLSA, +0.36 mm Hg; P < 0.001) and corneal-compensated IOP (UKB, -0.28 mm Hg; CLSA, -0.32 mm Hg; P ≤ 0.001) were observed. Smoking was not associated with inner retinal thicknesses or glaucoma status in either study. MR provided evidence for a causal effect of smoking on corneal biomechanics, especially higher CH. Conclusions: Cigarette smoking seems to increase corneal biomechanical resistance to deformation, but there was little evidence to support a relationship with glaucoma. This outcome may result in an artefactual association with measured IOP and could account for discordant results with glaucoma in previous epidemiological studies.

Evaluating an automated machine learning model that predicts visual acuity outcomes in patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration.

PURPOSE: Neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) is a major global cause of blindness. Whilst anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) treatment is effective, response varies considerably between individuals. Thus, patients face substantial uncertainty regarding their future ability to perform daily tasks. In this study, we evaluate the performance of an automated machine learning (AutoML) model which predicts visual acuity (VA) outcomes in patients receiving treatment for nAMD, in comparison to a manually coded model built using the same dataset. Furthermore, we evaluate model performance across ethnic groups and analyse how the models reach their predictions. METHODS: Binary classification models were trained to predict whether patients' VA would be 'Above' or 'Below' a score of 70 one year after initiating treatment, measured using the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) chart. The AutoML model was built using the Google Cloud Platform, whilst the bespoke model was trained using an XGBoost framework. Models were compared and analysed using the What-if Tool (WIT), a novel model-agnostic interpretability tool. RESULTS: Our study included 1631 eyes from patients attending Moorfields Eye Hospital. The AutoML model (area under the curve [AUC], 0.849) achieved a highly similar performance to the XGBoost model (AUC, 0.847). Using the WIT, we found that the models over-predicted negative outcomes in Asian patients and performed worse in those with an ethnic category of Other. Baseline VA, age and ethnicity were the most important determinants of model predictions. Partial dependence plot analysis revealed a sigmoidal relationship between baseline VA and the probability of an outcome of 'Above'. CONCLUSION: We have described and validated an AutoML-WIT pipeline which enables clinicians with minimal coding skills to match the performance of a state-of-the-art algorithm and obtain explainable predictions.

The Risk of Sympathetic Ophthalmia after Vitreoretinal Surgery.

PURPOSE: To investigate the clinical course and outcomes of sympathetic ophthalmia (SO) and correlate these with the nature of the inciting event and the number of vitreoretinal (VR) procedures undergone by patients. DESIGN: A retrospective case review. SUBJECTS: All patients diagnosed with SO who had been treated or monitored at a single center over a 15-year period. METHODS: A search of the electronic patient record system at Moorfields Eye Hospital, London, over a 15-year period (between January 2000 and December 2015) was carried out using the search terms "sympathetic," "ophthalmia," and "ophthalmitis." Sixty-one patients with available records were identified, and data were collected from their complete electronic and paper records. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome measures were best-corrected visual acuity at 1 year and at the end of follow-up and the number of VR surgical procedures preceding the diagnosis of SO. Data on patient age, sex, disease duration, ocular and systemic manifestations, ocular complications, retinal angiography, and treatment were also collected. RESULTS: There was a wide age range at presentation (2-84 years), and the length of follow-up ranged from 1 to 75 years. The first ocular event was trauma in 40 patients and surgery in 21 patients. Vitreoretinal surgery accounted for 13 of the 21 (62%) surgical first-event triggers. Twenty-three of 61 (38%) patients underwent VR surgery (1-7 operations) at some point before diagnosis. Surgical details were available for 15 patients, who had undergone a total of 25 VR procedures. Based on the surgical activity of the unit, the risk of developing SO after a single VR procedure was estimated to be 0.008%, rising to 6.67% with 7 procedures. A total of 23 (38%) patients experienced a decrease in acuity at the end of the follow-up period, vs. 9 (15%) patients experiencing an improvement and 18 (30%) remaining unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: We feel that the most significant finding in this study is the calculated risk of SO development after a single VR procedure, which was significantly lower in our cohort than that previously reported in the literature. This was seen to rise exponentially with additional procedures.

Clinician-driven artificial intelligence in ophthalmology: resources enabling democratization.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This article aims to discuss the current state of resources enabling the democratization of artificial intelligence (AI) in ophthalmology. RECENT FINDINGS: Open datasets, efficient labeling techniques, code-free automated machine learning (AutoML) and cloud-based platforms for deployment are resources that enable clinicians with scarce resources to drive their own AI projects. SUMMARY: Clinicians are the use-case experts who are best suited to drive AI projects tackling patient-relevant outcome measures. Taken together, open datasets, efficient labeling techniques, code-free AutoML and cloud platforms break the barriers for clinician-driven AI. As AI becomes increasingly democratized through such tools, clinicians and patients stand to benefit greatly.

A global review of publicly available datasets for ophthalmological imaging: barriers to access, usability, and generalisability.

Health data that are publicly available are valuable resources for digital health research. Several public datasets containing ophthalmological imaging have been frequently used in machine learning research; however, the total number of datasets containing ophthalmological health information and their respective content is unclear. This Review aimed to identify all publicly available ophthalmological imaging datasets, detail their accessibility, describe which diseases and populations are represented, and report on the completeness of the associated metadata. With the use of MEDLINE, Google's search engine, and Google Dataset Search, we identified 94 open access datasets containing 507 724 images and 125 videos from 122 364 patients. Most datasets originated from Asia, North America, and Europe. Disease populations were unevenly represented, with glaucoma, diabetic retinopathy, and age-related macular degeneration disproportionately overrepresented in comparison with other eye diseases. The reporting of basic demographic characteristics such as age, sex, and ethnicity was poor, even at the aggregate level. This Review provides greater visibility for ophthalmological datasets that are publicly available as powerful resources for research. Our paper also exposes an increasing divide in the representation of different population and disease groups in health data repositories. The improved reporting of metadata would enable researchers to access the most appropriate datasets for their needs and maximise the potential of such resources.

Predicting Incremental and Future Visual Change in Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration Using Deep Learning.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the predictive usefulness of quantitative imaging biomarkers, acquired automatically from OCT scans, of cross-sectional and future visual outcomes of patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD) starting anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Treatment-naive, first-treated eyes of patients with neovascular AMD between 2007 and 2017 at Moorfields Eye Hospital (a large, United Kingdom single center) undergoing anti-VEGF therapy. METHODS: Automatic segmentation was carried out by applying a deep learning segmentation algorithm to 137 379 OCT scans from 6467 eyes of 3261 patients with neovascular AMD. After applying selection criteria, 926 eyes of 926 patients were analyzed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Correlation coefficients (R2 values) and mean absolute error (MAE) between quantitative OCT (qOCT) parameters and cross-sectional visual function, as well as the predictive value of these parameters for short-term visual change, that is, incremental visual acuity (VA) resulting from an individual injection, as well as VA at distant time points (up to 12 months after baseline). RESULTS: Visual acuity at distant time points could be predicted: R2 = 0.80 (MAE, 5.0 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study [ETDRS] letters) and R2 = 0.7 (MAE, 7.2 ETDRS letters) after injection at 3 and at 12 months after baseline (P < 0.001 for both), respectively. Best performing models included both baseline qOCT parameters and treatment response. Furthermore, we present proof-of-principle evidence that the incremental change in VA from an injection can be predicted: R2 = 0.14 (MAE, 5.6 ETDRS letters) for injection 2 and R2 = 0.11 (MAE, 5.0 ETDRS letters) for injection 3 (P < 0.001 for both). CONCLUSIONS: Automatic segmentation enables rapid acquisition of quantitative and reproducible OCT biomarkers with potential to inform treatment decisions in the care of neovascular AMD. This furthers development of point-of-care decision-aid systems for personalized medicine.

Insights From Survival Analyses During 12 Years of Anti-Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Therapy for Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration.

Importance: Although multiple imputation models for missing data and the use of mixed-effects models generally provide better outcome estimates than using only observed data or last observation carried forward in clinical trials, such approaches usually cannot be applied to visual outcomes from retrospective analyses of clinical practice settings, also called real-world outcomes. Objective: To explore the potential usefulness of survival analysis techniques for retrospective clinical practice visual outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study covered a 12-year observation period at a tertiary eye center. Of 10 744 eyes with neovascular age-related macular degeneration receiving anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy between October 28, 2008, and February 1, 2020, 7802 eyes met study criteria (treatment-naive, first-treated eyes starting anti-VEGF therapy). Eyes were excluded from the analysis if they received photodynamic therapy or macular laser, any previous anti-VEGF therapy, treatment with anti-VEGF agents other than ranibizumab or aflibercept, or had an unknown date or visual acuity (VA) value at first injection. Main Outcomes and Measures: Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards modeling were used to consider VA reaching an Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) letter score of 70 (Snellen equivalent, 20/40) or better, duration of VA sustained at or better than 70 (20/40), and VA declining to 35 (20/200) or worse. Results: A total of 7802 patients (mean [SD] age, 78.7 [8.8] years; 4776 women [61.2%]; and 4785 White [61.3%]) were included in the study. The median time to attaining a VA letter score greater than or equal to 70 (20/40) was 2.0 years (95% CI, 1.87-2.32) after the first anti-VEGF injection. Predictive features were baseline VA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43 per 5 ETDRS letter score or 1 line; 95% CI, 1.40-1.46), baseline age (HR, 0.88 per 5 years; 95% CI, 0.86-0.90), and injection number (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.10-1.15). Of the 4439 of 7802 patients (57%) attaining this outcome, median time sustained at an ETDRS letter score of 70 (20/40) or better was 1.1 years (95% CI, 1.1-1.2). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration beginning anti-VEGF therapy were more likely to experience positive visual outcomes within the first 2.0 years after treatment, typically maintaining this outcome for 1.1 years but then deteriorating to poor vision within 8.7 years. These findings demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed analyses. This data set, combined with the statistical approach for retrospective analyses, may provide long-term prognostic information for patients newly diagnosed with this condition.

An open-source data set of anti-VEGF therapy in diabetic macular oedema patients over 4 years and their visual acuity outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this paper is to evaluate visual acuity (VA) outcomes of intravitreal anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in diabetic macular oedema (DMO). METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, electronic medical records for all patients undergoing intravitreal injections in a tertiary referral centre between March 2013 and October 2018 were analysed. Treatment response in terms of VA outcomes was reported for all eyes over a 4-year observation period. RESULTS: Our cohort includes 2614 DMO eyes of 1964 patients over 48 months. Cox proportional-hazards modelling identified injection number (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.18), male gender (HR = 1.13) and baseline VA (HR = 1.09) as independent predictors to reach a favourable visual outcome of more than 70 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study letters. Half of our cohort reached 70 letters 1.9 months after starting anti-VEGF therapy. Of those that reached 70 letters, 50% fell below 70 letters by 14.7 months. CONCLUSION: To date, this is the largest single centre cohort study and over the longest observation period reporting on real-life outcomes of anti-VEGF in DMO. We have made an anonymised version of our data set available on an open-source data repository as a resource for clinical researchers globally.

Automated deep learning design for medical image classification by health-care professionals with no coding experience: a feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: Deep learning has the potential to transform health care; however, substantial expertise is required to train such models. We sought to evaluate the utility of automated deep learning software to develop medical image diagnostic classifiers by health-care professionals with no coding-and no deep learning-expertise. METHODS: We used five publicly available open-source datasets: retinal fundus images (MESSIDOR); optical coherence tomography (OCT) images (Guangzhou Medical University and Shiley Eye Institute, version 3); images of skin lesions (Human Against Machine [HAM] 10000), and both paediatric and adult chest x-ray (CXR) images (Guangzhou Medical University and Shiley Eye Institute, version 3 and the National Institute of Health [NIH] dataset, respectively) to separately feed into a neural architecture search framework, hosted through Google Cloud AutoML, that automatically developed a deep learning architecture to classify common diseases. Sensitivity (recall), specificity, and positive predictive value (precision) were used to evaluate the diagnostic properties of the models. The discriminative performance was assessed using the area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC). In the case of the deep learning model developed on a subset of the HAM10000 dataset, we did external validation using the Edinburgh Dermofit Library dataset. FINDINGS: Diagnostic properties and discriminative performance from internal validations were high in the binary classification tasks (sensitivity 73·3-97·0%; specificity 67-100%; AUPRC 0·87-1·00). In the multiple classification tasks, the diagnostic properties ranged from 38% to 100% for sensitivity and from 67% to 100% for specificity. The discriminative performance in terms of AUPRC ranged from 0·57 to 1·00 in the five automated deep learning models. In an external validation using the Edinburgh Dermofit Library dataset, the automated deep learning model showed an AUPRC of 0·47, with a sensitivity of 49% and a positive predictive value of 52%. INTERPRETATION: All models, except the automated deep learning model trained on the multilabel classification task of the NIH CXR14 dataset, showed comparable discriminative performance and diagnostic properties to state-of-the-art performing deep learning algorithms. The performance in the external validation study was low. The quality of the open-access datasets (including insufficient information about patient flow and demographics) and the absence of measurement for precision, such as confidence intervals, constituted the major limitations of this study. The availability of automated deep learning platforms provide an opportunity for the medical community to enhance their understanding in model development and evaluation. Although the derivation of classification models without requiring a deep understanding of the mathematical, statistical, and programming principles is attractive, comparable performance to expertly designed models is limited to more elementary classification tasks. Furthermore, care should be placed in adhering to ethical principles when using these automated models to avoid discrimination and causing harm. Future studies should compare several application programming interfaces on thoroughly curated datasets. FUNDING: National Institute for Health Research and Moorfields Eye Charity.