Egyptian Society of Liver Cancer Recommendation Guidelines for the Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth most common cause of death from cancer. The prevalence of this pathology, which has been on the rise in the last 30 years, has been predicted to continue increasing. HCC is the most common cause of cancer-related morbidity and mortality in Egypt and is also the most common cancer in males. Chronic liver diseases, including chronic hepatitis C, which is a primary health concern in Egypt, are considered major risk factors for HCC. However, HCC surveillance is recommended for patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and liver cirrhosis; those above 40 with HBV but without cirrhosis; individuals with hepatitis D co-infection or a family history of HCC; and Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients exhibiting significant fibrosis or cirrhosis. Several international guidelines aid physicians in the management of HCC. However, the availability and cost of diagnostic modalities and treatment options vary from one country to another. Therefore, the current guidelines aim to standardize the management of HCC in Egypt. The recommendations presented in this report represent the current management strategy at HCC treatment centers in Egypt. Recommendations were developed by an expert panel consisting of hepatologists, oncologists, gastroenterologists, surgeons, pathologists, and radiologists working under the umbrella of the Egyptian Society of Liver Cancer. The recommendations, which are based on the currently available local diagnostic aids and treatments in the country, include recommendations for future prospects.

Multidisciplinary consensus recommendations for management of hepatocellular carcinoma in Middle East and North Africa region.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a growing health concern projected to cross over a million cases worldwide by 2025. HCC presents a significant burden of disease in Middle East and North African (MENA) countries due to a high prevalence of risk factors such as hepatitis C and B infections and rising incidence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. In August 2022, an advisory meeting consisting of experts from 5 MENA countries was convened in an attempt to provide consensus recommendations on HCC screening, early diagnosis, current treatment modalities and unmet medical needs in the region. Data were collected from a pre-meeting survey questionnaire and responses analysed and presented during the advisory meeting. This review summarizes the evidence discussed at the meeting and provides expert recommendations on the management of HCC. The 2022 update of Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) staging and treatment strategy and its implementation in the MENA region was extensively discussed. A key consensus of the expert panel was that multidisciplinary care is crucial to effective patient management that results in better clinical outcomes and overall survival of the patient. The panel recommended the use of predictive and early response biomarkers to guide clinicians in arriving at more effective therapeutic decisions. The experts also emphasized the role of robust screening/surveillance systems, population-based registries, effective referral pathways and standardization of guidelines to ensure the successful management of HCC in the region.

Evolution of liver fibrosis after interferon-based anti-hepatitis C virus therapy failure in 3,049 chronic hepatitis C patients without cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Liver fibrosis is the underlying causeof hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related disease progression to endpoints such as cirrhosis, liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma. The aim of our study was to assess changes in hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV who had a fibrosis evaluation at two time points at least six months apart. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study that included patients who had failed interferon therapy and received HCV retreatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) at least six months later. Patients were evaluated previously for fibrosis according to liver biopsy and fibrosis biomarkers were evaluated before pegylated interferon and ribavirin (PEG/RBV) therapy. Fibrosis was re-evaluated with fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores before starting DAAs. RESULTS: A total of 3,049 patients were included [age 43.47 ± 9.07 years, 55.20 % males] and baseline histopathology showed F1, F2, and F3 in 16.86 %, 46.21 %, and 36.93 %, respectively. The mean time interval between the last dose of previously failed IFN-therapy to the first dose of DAAs was 2.38 (±1.07) years. Overall, there was a significant increase in FIB-4 scores at retreatment times (from 11.71 ± 1.13 to 22.26 ± 1.68, p < 0.001). Patients with baseline FIB-4 < 1.45 (n = 1,569) and between 1.45 and 3.25 (n = 1,237) had significant increases in their FIB-4 at the retreatment time point [median difference; 0.41 (0.91) and 0.24 (1.5), p < 0.001, respectively], whereas patients with FIB-4 > 3.25 had significant reduction of their FIB-4 score at a retreatment timepoint [-0.98 (2.93), p ≤ 0.001]. CONCLUSION: Fibrosis progressed in most patients, even within six months for some patients, and this indicates retreatment of non-system vascular resistance patients even if they do not have significant fibrosis.

Lymphoepithelioma-like Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Case Report and Review of Literature.

We report a case of hepatic lymphoepithelioma-like carcinoma-hepatocellular carcinoma subtype (LEL-HCC) in a 41-year-old man with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The patient presented with abdominal pain and further assessment revealed a hypoechoic mass on ultrasonography. Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 13·6 ng/dl. The patient was diagnosed as hepatocellular carcinoma based on the established triphasic computed tomography (TCT) diagnostic criteria and he underwent a surgical resection of the mass. Microscopic examination showed sheets and cords of malignant epithelial cells intermixed with heavy lymphoid infiltrate, with more than 100 tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) per 10 high-power-field (HPF). Based on immunohistochemical studies, the malignant cells were positive for Hep Par 1 and glypican 3, focally positive for cytokeratin 7 (CK7), and negative for cytokeratin 20 (CK20). TILs were diffusely positive for cluster of differentiation 3 CD3 with an approximately equal CD4/CD8 ratio. The patient was recurrence free at 25 months after surgery, as evident by CT and serum alpha-fetoprotein level. LEL-HCC is a rare variant of HCC with a relatively better prognosis. Exploring the potential for immune modulator-based therapy in this subset of tumors is highly recommended.

Seroprevalence of HBV/HCV coinfection among patients with HCV screened during the national campaign for HCV eradication in Egypt.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Little is known about the true prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) coinfection in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV). This multicenter nationwide study aimed to assess the seroprevalence of HBV among Egyptian patients with HCV and its possible risk factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a cross-sectional, multicenter, nationwide study. Data were extracted from the National Network of Viral Hepatitis Treatment Centers database. Baseline data of patients proved to be viremic during the national campaign for HCV eradication (October 2018-April 2019) were retrieved. Data included demographics, laboratory tests (HBsAg, CBC, liver biochemical profile, creatinine, AFP, HbA1c, and viral load), FIB-4 score calculation, and abdominal ultrasound results. RESULTS: Results of 297,965 patients showed that HBsAg was positive in 2,347 (0.8%) patients. Patients with HBV/HCV were 57% females and had a mean age of 51 ± 13 years. Patients with positive HBsAg showed significantly more tobacco consumption, intravenous drug abuse, hypertension, and diabetes. No significant difference was noted in HCV viremia between patients with HCV and those with HBV/HCV. Only 14% of patients with HBV/HCV had cirrhosis compared with the 9% of those with HCV; two of them had HCC. CONCLUSION: Although Egypt has a heavy HCV burden, the overall prevalence of HBV is low among patients with HCV infection. Comorbid conditions seem to favor coinfection.

International multicenter validation of GES score for HCC risk stratification in chronic hepatitis C patients.

We have recently demonstrated the ability of a simple predictive model (GES) score to determine the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after using direct-acting antivirals. However, our results were restricted to Egyptian patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 4. Therefore, we studied a large, independent cohort of multiethnic populations through our international collaborative activity. Depending on their GES scores, patients are stratified into low risk (≤ 6/12.5), intermediate risk (> 6-7.5/12.5), and high risk (> 7.5/12.5) for HCC. A total of 12,038 patients with chronic HCV were analyzed in this study, of whom 11,202 were recruited from 54 centers in France, Japan, India, the U.S., and Spain, and the remaining 836 were selected from the Gilead-sponsored randomized controlled trial conducted across the U.S., Europe, Canada, and Australia. Descriptive statistics and log-rank tests. The performance of the GES score was evaluated using Harrell's C-index (HCI). The GES score proved successful at stratifying all patients into 3 risk groups, namely low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk. It also displayed significant predictive value for HCC development in all participants (p < .0001), with HCI ranging from 0.55 to 0.76 among all cohorts after adjusting for HCV genotypes and patient ethnicities. The GES score can be used to stratify HCV patients into 3 categories of risk for HCC, namely low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk, irrespective of their ethnicities or HCV genotypes. This international multicenter validation may allow the use of GES score in individualized HCC risk-based surveillance programs.

Optimized Systematic Review Tool: Application to Candidate Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

This review aims to develop an appropriate review tool for systematically collating metabolites that are dysregulated in disease and applies the method to identify novel diagnostic biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Studies that analyzed metabolites in blood or urine samples where HCC was compared with comparison groups (healthy, precirrhotic liver disease, cirrhosis) were eligible. Tumor tissue was included to help differentiate primary and secondary biomarkers. Searches were conducted on Medline and EMBASE. A bespoke "risk of bias" tool for metabolomic studies was developed adjusting for analytic quality. Discriminant metabolites for each sample type were ranked using a weighted score accounting for the direction and extent of change and the risk of bias of the reporting publication. A total of 84 eligible studies were included in the review (54 blood, 9 urine, and 15 tissue), with six studying multiple sample types. High-ranking metabolites, based on their weighted score, comprised energy metabolites, bile acids, acylcarnitines, and lysophosphocholines. This new review tool addresses an unmet need for incorporating quality of study design and analysis to overcome the gaps in standardization of reporting of metabolomic data. Validation studies, standardized study designs, and publications meeting minimal reporting standards are crucial for advancing the field beyond exploratory studies.

Egyptian revalidation of non-invasive parameters for predicting esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients: A retrospective study.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: In resource-limited countries, non-invasive tests for assessing liver fibrosis are a potential alternative to costly endoscopic screening for esophageal varices. We aimed to validate several non-invasive parameters for predicting the presence of varices. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between September 2006 and August 2017, a total of 46,014 patients who underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy as one of the perquisites for receiving hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy were enrolled and divided into group I (without varices) and group II (with varices). Non-invasive parameters of fibrosis, namely Lok index, Bonacini score, liver stiffness, FIB-4, Baveno, and extended Baveno criteria, were validated. RESULTS: Lok index, Bonacini score, liver stiffness, and FIB-4 had areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of >0.6 (all P < 0.01 for the null hypothesis that the AUC was 0.5) for determination of the presence/absence of varices, with cutoff values of 0.80, 6.5, 21.9 kPa, and 2.94, and sensitivities of 74%, 74%, 66%, and 83%, respectively. The expanded Baveno VI criteria performed better than the Baveno VI criteria (spared endoscopy rate 81% versus 63%). CONCLUSION: The use of non-invasive methods is of limited value in predicting esophageal varices. The limited accuracy of ≤60% may delay the use of appropriate primary prophylaxis against variceal bleeding in a large proportion of cirrhotic patients.

The egyptian clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of metabolic associated fatty liver disease.

The landscape of chronic liver disease in Egypt has drastically changed over the past few decades. The prevalence of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has risen to alarming levels. Despite the magnitude of the problem, no regional guidelines have been developed to tackle this disease. This document provides the clinical practice guidelines of the key Egyptian opinion leaders on MAFLD screening, diagnosis, and management, and covers various aspects in the management of MAFLD. The document considers our local situations and the burden of clinical management for the healthcare sector and is proposed for daily clinical practical use. Particular reference to special groups was done whenever necessary.

Impact of successful HCV treatment using direct acting antivirals on recurrence of well ablated hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: There are many contradictory studies that dealt with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence rate of well ablated hepatitis C virus (HCV) related HCC. We aim to assess the recurrence rate of previously ablated HCC in patients who received direct acting antiviral (DAA) for their HCV. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This is a retrospective data analysis of 523 HCV patients who have a history of successfully ablated HCC and eligible for HCV treatment. Retrieval was done to demographic/clinical data, HCV pretreatment investigations, HCV treatment outcome. Follow up for survival and HCC recurrence was done every 3 months using abdominal ultrasound and alfa-fetoprotein. RESULTS: Mean age was 53.83 years. Sofosbuvir/daclatasvir/ribavirin was the most used regimen (35.4%) with 438 patients (83.7%) achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The median duration for surveillance was 159 weeks. Hundred and five patients developed recurrent HCC, with a crude recurrence rate of 20.1%. There was no difference between HCV responders and non-responders in crude recurrence rate (p = 0.94) but HCC developed earlier in non-responders (p = <0.01). CONCLUSION: Recurrence of HCC remains a threat in HCV patients even after achieving an SVR. Implementation of long-term surveillance programs is highly recommended.

Decreased Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Directly Acting Antiviral Therapy in Patients with Hepatitis C-Related Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Existing data are controversial regarding the incidence of hepatitis C (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following directly acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. This prospective study aimed to assess incidence, and risk factorss of HCC following DAA therapy in patients with HCV-related advanced fibrosis (F3) and cirrhosis (F4). METHODS: Incidence of HCC was calculated in 1,630 patients with HCV-related F3 and F4 treated with DAA prospectively followed for up to 43 months in a single tertiary referral center and compared to historical controls. Risk factors of incident HCC were also determined. RESULTS: The crude outcome rate was 2.15/100 person-years, significantly lower than a similar historical cohort (5.57/100 person-years). Risk of developing HCC was higher with the presence of cirrhosis (F4 vs F3, AHR 3.59) and treatment failure (vs achieving SVR, AHR 3.37). Presence of decompensated cirrhosis, platelet count <100×103/mL, and high AFP were independent risk factors of developing HCC. CONCLUSION: Incidence of HCC was significantly lower in patients with HCV-related advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis treated with DAAs than in a historical cohort of untreated patients. Decompensated cirrhosis, baseline AFP ≥10 ng/mL, diabetes, and nonresponse to DAA were independent risk factors of incident HCC.

Direct acting antivirals are associated with more liver stiffness regression than pegylated interferon therapy in chronic hepatitis C patients.

OBJECTIVES: Extent of post-treatment fibrosis change in patients with different stages of fibrosis not fully known. We aimed to study changes in liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients who were treated with pegylated interferon/ribavirin (PEG/RBV) or direct acting antivirals (DAAs). METHODS: Retrospective evaluation of results of transient elastography (TE) was done before and 1 year after end of treatment for patients treated with PEG/RBV (n = 268) and DAAs (n = 245). RESULTS: The average age was 45.54 ± 10.64 years; mainly males. All patients in the DAAs group achieved sustained virological response (SVR), unlike 56.3% of the patients in the PEG/RBV group. F3-F4 fibrosis was predominant in the PEG/RBV nonresponder patients (51.3%) and DAAs responders (57.1%). TE decreased 1 year after end of treatment (p = 0.001) in the viral responders of the PEG/RBV group (7.44 ± 4.02 vs. 10.24 ± 7.29 kPa) and DAAs group (12.12 ± 9.21 vs. 16.81 ± 12.84 kPa) respectively. The delta TE change in the DAAs responders was higher than the PEG/RBV responders (p = 0.001) and PEG/RBV nonresponders (p = 0.001). The percentage of patients with liver fibrosis regression was higher in DAAs responders (52.5%) than in PEG/RBV responders (23.3%). CONCLUSION: Treatment with DAAs is associated with fibrosis improvement more than treatment with PEG/RBV in chronic hepatitis C patients.

Impact of COVID-19 on global HCV elimination efforts.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has placed a significant strain on national healthcare systems at a critical moment in the context of hepatitis elimination. Mathematical models can be used to evaluate the possible impact of programmatic delays on hepatitis disease burden. The objective of this analysis was to evaluate the incremental change in HCV liver-related deaths and liver cancer, following a 3-month, 6-month, or 1-year hiatus in hepatitis elimination programs. METHODS: Previously developed models were adapted for 110 countries to include a status quo or 'no delay' scenario and a '1-year delay' scenario assuming significant disruption in interventions (screening, diagnosis, and treatment) in the year 2020. Annual country-level model outcomes were extracted, and weighted averages were used to calculate regional (WHO and World Bank Income Group) and global estimates from 2020 to 2030. The incremental annual change in outcomes was calculated by subtracting the 'no-delay' estimates from the '1-year delay' estimates. RESULTS: The '1-year delay' scenario resulted in 44,800 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 43,800-49,300) excess hepatocellular carcinoma cases and 72,300 (95% UI: 70,600-79,400) excess liver-related deaths, relative to the 'no-delay' scenario globally, from 2020 to 2030. Most missed treatments would be in lower-middle income countries, whereas most excess hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related deaths would be among high-income countries. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of COVID-19 extends beyond the direct morbidity and mortality associated with exposure and infection. To mitigate the impact on viral hepatitis programming and reduce excess mortality from delayed treatment, policy makers should prioritize hepatitis programs as soon as it becomes safe to do so. LAY SUMMARY: COVID-19 has resulted in many hepatitis elimination programs slowing or stopping altogether. A 1-year delay in hepatitis diagnosis and treatment could result in an additional 44,800 liver cancers and 72,300 deaths from HCV globally by 2030. Countries have committed to hepatitis elimination by 2030, so attention should shift back to hepatitis programming as soon as it becomes appropriate to do so.

GES: A validated simple score to predict the risk of HCC in patients with HCV-GT4-associated advanced liver fibrosis after oral antivirals.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk persists after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), particularly in patients with cirrhosis. Identifying those who are likely to develop HCC is a critical unmet medical need. Our aim is to develop a score that offers individualized patient HCC risk prediction. METHODS: This two-centre prospective study included 4400 patients, with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis who achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR), including 2372 patients (derivation cohort). HCC-associated factors were identified by multivariable Cox regression analysis to develop a scoring model for prediction of HCC risk; and subsequently internally and externally validated in two independent cohorts of 687 and 1341 patients. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, the median follow-up was 23.51 ± 8.21 months, during which 109 patients (4.7%) developed HCC. Age, sex, serum albumin, α fetoprotein and pretreatment fibrosis stage were identified as risk factors for HCC. A simple predictive model (GES) score was constructed. The 2-year cumulative HCC incidence using Kaplan-Meier method was 1.2%, 3.3% and 7.1% in the low-risk, medium-risk and high-risk groups respectively. Internal and external validation showed highly significant difference among the three risk groups (P < .001) with regard to cumulative HCC risk. GES score has high predictive ability value (Harrell's C statistic 0.801), that remained robustly consistent across two independent validation cohorts (Harrell's C statistic 0.812 and 0.816). CONCLUSION: GES score is simple with validated good predictive ability for the development of HCC after eradication of HCV and may be useful for HCC risk stratification in those patients.

Platelet-albumin-bilirubin score - a predictor of outcome of acute variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was validated as a prognostic indicator in patients with liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. Incorporating platelet count in the platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) score improved validity in predicting outcome of patients undergoing resection and ablation. AIM: To evaluate the PALBI score in predicting outcome of acute variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: The data of 1517 patients with cirrhosis presenting with variceal bleeding were analyzed. Child Turcotte Pugh (CTP) class, Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), ALBI and PALBI scores were calculated on admission, and were correlated to the outcome of variceal bleeding. Areas under the receiving-operator characteristic curve (AUROC) were calculated for survival and rebleeding. RESULTS: Mean age was 52.6 years; 1176 were male (77.5%), 69 CTP-A (4.5%), 434 CTP-B (29.2%), 1014 CTP-C (66.8%); 306 PALBI-1 (20.2%), 285 PALBI-2 (18.8%), and 926 PALBI-3 (61.1%). Three hundred and thirty-two patients died during hospitalization (21.9%). Bleeding-related mortality occurred in 11% of CTP-B, 28% of CTP-C, in 21.8% of PALBI-2 and 34.4% of PALBI-3 patients. The AUROC for predicting survival of acute variceal bleeding was 0.668, 0.689, 0.803 and 0.871 for CTP, MELD, ALBI and PALBI scores, respectively. For predicting rebleeding the AUROC was 0.681, 0.74, 0.766 and 0.794 for CTP, MELD, ALBI and PALBI scores, respectively. CONCLUSION: PALBI score on admission is a good prognostic indicator for patients with acute variceal bleeding and predicts early mortality and rebleeding.

Elastography and serum markers of fibrosis versus liver biopsy in 1270 Egyptian patients with hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is a leading cause of liver fibrosis. OBJECTIVE: To compare utility of liver transient elastography, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 index (FIB4), Forns Index and Goteborg University cirrhosis index (GUCI) in predicting fibrosis stage assessed by liver biopsy in Egyptian CHC patients. METHODS: One thousand two-hundred and seventy CHC patients undergoing liver biopsy in preparation for therapy and 40 healthy potential living liver donors had transient elastography and calculation of APRI, FIB4, Forns and GUCI scores on the same day or day preceding the biopsy. RESULTS: Mean age was 39.89 (17-60 years) and most were males (70.7%). All donors had F0 fibrosis, most patients had F1-F2 fibrosis (n = 1011, 79.6%) and 259 (20.4%) had F3-F4 fibrosis. Patients with F3-F4 fibrosis had higher median values of APRI (0.99 vs. 0.46), FIB4 (2.15 vs. 0.95) and Forns (7.34 vs. 4.79) indices, GUCI score (1.16 vs. 0.49) and transient elastography (19.2 vs. 6.2 kPa) (all P = 0.001). For F1 discrimination, AUROC of transient elastography was higher than both Forns and GUCI scores (P = 0.001). APRI, FIB4 and GUCI had lower AUROC than transient elastography for predicting fibrosis stage in F2 and F3 patients (P = 0.001). Transient elastography had the best area under receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting fibrosis stage in F4 patients (P = 0.001). The transient elastography cutoff values (kPa) were F1 (>4.8), F2 (>8.3), F3 (>10.1) and F4 (>13.4). Age, APRI, FIB4, Forns, GUCI and transient elastography were independent predictors of F3-F4 fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Liver elastography is superior to APRI, FIB4, Forns and GUCI scores in predicting fibrosis in CHC patients.

Prediction of Survival Among Patients Receiving Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Response-Based Approach.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The heterogeneity of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the widespread use of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) outside recommended guidelines have encouraged the development of scoring systems that predict patient survival. The aim of this study was to build and validate statistical models that offer individualized patient survival prediction using response to TACE as a variable. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Clinically relevant baseline parameters were collected for 4,621 patients with HCC treated with TACE at 19 centers in 11 countries. In some of the centers, radiological responses (as assessed by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [mRECIST]) were also accrued. The data set was divided into a training set, an internal validation set, and two external validation sets. A pre-TACE model ("Pre-TACE-Predict") and a post-TACE model ("Post-TACE-Predict") that included response were built. The performance of the models in predicting overall survival (OS) was compared with existing ones. The median OS was 19.9 months. The factors influencing survival were tumor number and size, alpha-fetoprotein, albumin, bilirubin, vascular invasion, cause, and response as assessed by mRECIST. The proposed models showed superior predictive accuracy compared with existing models (the hepatoma arterial embolization prognostic score and its various modifications) and allowed for patient stratification into four distinct risk categories whose median OS ranged from 7 months to more than 4 years. CONCLUSIONS: A TACE-specific and extensively validated model based on routinely available clinical features and response after first TACE permitted patient-level prognostication.

Liver stiffness measurements and FIB-4 are predictors of response to sofosbuvir-based treatment regimens in 7256 chronic HCV patients.

Objectives: To assess the role of baseline liver stiffness (LS) by Transient elastography (TE) and FIB-4 in the prediction of virological response to sofosbuvir - based regimens in chronic HCV patients.Methods: A retrospective, multicenter study including 7256 chronic HCV patients who received different sofosbuvir-based regimens. Baseline demographic and laboratory data were recorded. TE was performed with FIB-4 calculation at baseline.Results: Sustained virological response at week 12 post-treatment (SVR12) was 91.4%. Pretreatment TE values and FIB-4 were significantly lower among sustained responders (17.8 ± 11.5 kPa, 2.66 ± 1.98, respectively) versus relapsers (24.5 ± 13.9 kPa, 4.02 ± 3.3, respectively). Best cutoff levels for LS by TE and FIB-4 score for prediction of failure to treatment response were 16.7 kPa and 2.4, respectively. Among different treatment protocol, patients with FIB-4 > 2.4, TE values >16.7 kPa are more prone to treatment failure except when using SOF/SIM treatment regimens.Conclusion: Baseline LS by TE and FIB-4 score may be useful for predicting treatment outcome in the new era of DAAs and could be integrated into pretreatment assessment of chronic HCV patients for better optimization of patient management.

Intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma: a summary review.

It is well known that intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) encompasses the widest class of patients with this disease. The main characteristic of this special sub-group of patients is that it is extensively heterogenous. This substantial heterogeneity is due to the wide range of liver functions of such patients and variable tumor numbers and sizes. Real world clinical data show huge support for transarterial chemo-embolization (TACE) as a therapeutic modality for intermediate stage HCC, applied in 50%-60% of those class of patients. There are special considerations in various international guidelines regarding treatment allocation in intermediate stage HCC. There is an epidemiological difference in HCC in eastern and western cohorts, and various guidelines have been proposed. In patients with HCC, it has frequently been reported that there is poor correlation between the clinical benefit and real gain in patient condition and the conventional way of tumor response assessment after locoregional treatments. This is due to the evaluation criteria in addition to the scoring systems used for treatment allocation in those patients. It became clear that intermediate stage HCC patients receiving TACE need a proper prognostic score that offers valid clinical prediction and supports proper decision-making. Also, it is the proper time to study more treatment options beyond TACE, such as multimodal regimens for this class of patients. In this review, we tried to provide a summary of the challenges and future directions in managing patients with intermediate stage HCC.